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Physics and Challenges of Tropical Cyclones Ashley Bernheisel 24 February 2014 Discussion Outline Why this topic? Difference between a cyclone, hurricane, and typhoon Physics of Cyclones Challenges Can we destroy tropical cyclones? Conclusion References Why this topic? Property of Ashley Bernheisel Property of Carl Miller Property of Ashley Bernheisel Property of Carl Miller Cyclone, Hurricane, Typhoon? Rotating storm (“cyclonic”) stretching 100-1000 km horizontally and 15 km vertically All the same phenomenon, different locations Cyclone: South Pacific, Indian Ocean Hurricane: Atlantic, Northeast Pacific Typhoon: Northwest Pacific Counter clockwise rotation in the Northern Hemisphere Clockwise rotation in the Southern Hemisphere http://www.ucar.edu/news/features/hurricanes/htc_desc.htm http://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/photos-over-100-dead-as-typhoonrips-through-philippines How is a cyclone formed? Tropical disturbance Energy transferred from oceans to atmosphere Air becomes more buoyant Coriolis Effect Drop in atmospheric pressure 7% of tropical disturbances turn into tropical cyclones http://www.abc.net.au/storm/exposure/thirteen.htm http://www.nicerweb.com/sketches/video/B BC-WildPacific/ http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/met/Faculty/busin ger/poster/hurricane/ Diagram of Cyclone Formation http://c9geonaturalhazards.wikispaces.com/Caitlin.m Basic Concepts Why warm waters? How does a tropical cyclone cool the ocean surface? http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Weather456/tropical-cyclonesphysics-energetics-and-mechanics Basic Concepts - 2 Why is moist air lighter than drier air at the same temperature? What causes the warm core in the cyclone? http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Weather456/tropical-cyclonesphysics-energetics-and-mechanics http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A17.html Basic Concepts - 3 What causes the pressure heights to fall in a tropical cyclone? Types of energy associated with tropical cyclones? http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Weather456/tropicalcyclones-physics-energetics-and-mechanics The Mature Cyclone: A Natural Carnot Heat Engine http://eaps4.mit.edu/faculty/Emanuel/ Maximum Wind Speed Equation: http://www.columbian.com/news/2013/nov/10/typhoo n-deaths-climb-into-thousands-in-philippines/ Can We Destroy Tropical Cyclones? STORMFURY Project – Silver Iodide Placing a substance on the ocean surface? (Soot) Cooling the surface waters? Altering heat balance using high altitude particles? Seeding them with hygroscopic particles? http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub /sfury.html Challenges International Effort Understanding Effects: 1. Movement, 2. Genesis and Intensity Change 3. Ocean-Biogeochemistry Interaction 4. Response and feedback to climate change 5. Tectonics, Geomorphology, Seismology Numerical Weather Predictions McNoldy Statement http://www.cnn.com/2013/11/09/world/iyw-how-tohelp-typhoon-haiyan/ http://www.dodlive.mil/index.php/2009/11/armed-withscience-the-joint-typhoon-warning-center-tropical-weathersupport/ Conclusion http://www.japanfocus.org/site/view/2763 Tropical Cyclone is generic term for a cyclonic storm Formation needs the right conditions Ideal cyclone is like a Carnot Heat Engine Maximum Wind Speed We have not found a way to destroy tropical cyclones Many challenges ahead Tropical Cyclones have an enormous amount of energy References Emmanuel, Kerry. “Lectures on Tropical Cyclones”. 13 April 1998. http://wind.mit.edu/~emanuel/geosys/node1.html Emmanuel, Kerry. “The Theory of Hurricanes.” Annual Reviews Fluid Mechanics. 1991. http://www.math.nyu.edu/caos_teaching/hurricanes/em anuel91.pdf “Frequently Asked Questions”. NOAA: Hurricane Research Division. 2014. http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html “How do tropical cyclones form?” . 10 October 2012. http://blog.cyclonecenter.org/2012/10/10/how-dotropical-cyclones-form/ Rawlins, Cavin. “Tropical Cyclones”. Weather Underground. 25 October 2009. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Weather456/tropic al-cyclones-physics-energetics-and-mechanics Questions? http://rs.resalliance.org/2007/10/29/global-tropical-cyclone-tracks/