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Click Here JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114, B00A07, doi:10.1029/2008JB005978, 2009 for Full Article Thermal and metamorphic environment of subduction zone episodic tremor and slip Simon M. Peacock1 Received 1 August 2008; revised 10 December 2008; accepted 29 May 2009; published 5 August 2009. [1] Episodic tremor and slip (ETS) have been detected in the Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones, where the subducting crust is relatively warm because of the young incoming lithosphere (<20 Ma) and modest plate convergence rates (40–60 mm/a). In the southwest Japan subduction zone, low-frequency earthquakes occur on the plate interface at depths of 30–35 km beneath Shikoku where finite element thermal models predict temperatures of 425°C in the subducting oceanic crust and at depths of 30–40 km beneath the Kii Peninsula where predicted temperatures are 325°C. Warmer temperatures of 575°C are predicted at ETS depths beneath southern Vancouver Island in the Cascadia subduction zone, but here tremor also occurs within the overlying fore-arc crust where temperatures are lower. In the southwest Japan and Cascadia subduction zones, subducting oceanic crust passes through the blueschist, greenschist, and amphibolite metamorphic facies where mineral dehydration reactions are complex. The different temperatures predicted for the two subduction zones suggest that ETS does not coincide with a specific temperature or metamorphic reaction. Several lines of evidence indicate that a free H2O-rich fluid is present, at least transiently, in subducting oceanic crust and fluids released by prograde metamorphic dehydration reactions may help trigger or enable ETS within the subducting plate. Less clear is the role H2O may play in tremor observed in the Cascadia fore-arc crust where free H2O may exist locally in faults and fractures, but retrograde hydration reactions are expected to consume H2O. Citation: Peacock, S. M. (2009), Thermal and metamorphic environment of subduction zone episodic tremor and slip, J. Geophys. Res., 114, B00A07, doi:10.1029/2008JB005978. 1. Introduction [2] Many features of subduction zones are directly linked to the subduction of H2O. Indeed, subduction on Earth likely occurs only because H2O and hydrous minerals weaken the lithosphere [e.g., Regenauer-Lieb et al., 2001; O’Neill et al., 2007]. Over the past decade, continuous GPS networks have revealed slow slip events near or within the seismogenic zone in a number of circum-Pacific subduction zones (see review by Schwartz and Rokosky [2007]). In the Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones, slow slip events correlate with seismic tremor, a phenomenon referred to as episodic tremor and slip (ETS) [Rogers and Dragert, 2003; Obara et al., 2004]. Several authors have proposed that H2O-rich fluids released by dehydration reactions in the subducting plate play a role in triggering or enabling ETS [e.g., Obara, 2002; Seno and Yamasaki, 2003; Katsumata and Kamaya, 2003; Kodaira et al., 2004; Shelly et al., 2006; Wang et al., 2006; Liu and Rice, 2007; Yoshioka et al., 2008; Furukawa, 2009]. Alternatively, ETS may represent a mode of shear failure intermediate between seismic stick slip and aseismic stable sliding, with or without the 1 Department of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Copyright 2009 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/09/2008JB005978$09.00 presence of fluids [e.g., Rogers and Dragert, 2003; Ide et al., 2007]. In this contribution, I present the results of thermal-petrologic modeling of the Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones, which provide insight into the thermal, metamorphic, and fluid conditions under which ETS occurs. [3] In subduction zones, the subducting plate and the overriding plate experience different thermal and petrologic histories. Mafic oceanic crust and ultramafic uppermost mantle undergo retrograde metamorphism as the oceanic lithosphere cools away from the ridge and variable amounts of hydrous minerals form in the oceanic crust and mantle as a result of hydrothermal circulation [e.g., Davis and Elderfield, 2003]. More H2O is added to the oceanic lithosphere as sediments are deposited on top of the plate and additional hydration reactions caused by hydrothermal circulation in the trench – outer rise region [Peacock, 2001; Ranero et al., 2003]. Global estimates of subduction zone H2O fluxes reveal that oceanic sediments contain most of the pore H2O entering subducting zones whereas the variably hydrated oceanic crust contains most of the chemically bound H2O [e.g., Peacock, 2004]. [4] During subduction, the sediments, oceanic crust, and uppermost mantle of the subducting plate undergo prograde metamorphism, characterized by increasing temperature and pressure, and by the release of H2O. Pore H2O is expelled by porosity collapse caused by weakening of the solid B00A07 1 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP Figure 1. Geotectonic map of the Cascadia subduction zone showing location of thermal model constructed through southern Vancouver Island (VI). Line labeled A-A00 represents location of complete thermal model; thicker line labeled A-A0 represents portion of thermal model depicted in Figure 3. Depth contours, in km, for subducting Juan de Fuca plate and location of July 2004 seismic tremor beneath southern Vancouver Island (small squares) from Kao et al. [2005]. Solid triangles represent Holocene volcanoes. matrix. Chemically bound H2O is liberated by metamorphic dehydration reactions, most of which depend strongly on temperature at depths less than 50 km. The thermal structure of a subduction zone determines where dehydration reactions occur in subducting lithosphere. In cool subduction zones, dehydration reactions are predicted to extend to depths of 100 km or more, whereas in warm subduction zones, like Cascadia and southwest Japan, dehydration reactions are restricted to shallower depths and considerable H2O is released beneath the fore arc [Kirby et al., 1996; Peacock, 1996]. [5] Compared to the subducting plate, the overriding (fore-arc) plate has typically undergone a complex thermal and petrologic history related to formation and accretion. Fore-arc terranes may include fragments of continental crust, accreted island arcs, oceanic plateaus, and accretionary prisms. Low heat flow measurements and thermal models demonstrate that fore-arc temperatures decrease over time as heat conducts downward into the subducting lithosphere [e.g., Hyndman and Wang, 1993]. Thus, during subduction, the overriding fore-arc crust and mantle undergo retrograde metamorphism. Variable amounts of H2O may be incorporated into the fore-arc crust and mantle as a result of the infiltration of fluids derived from the subducting plate. 2. Location of Subduction Zone ETS [6] In the Cascadia subduction zone (Figure 1), continuous GPS data reveal that slow slip events, lasting one to several B00A07 weeks, occur periodically on the plate interface downdip of the seismogenic zone [Dragert et al., 2001]. These events partially release stresses at depth that accumulate from ongoing plate convergence, but increase stresses on the shallower locked portion of the plate boundary. Rogers and Dragert [2003] demonstrated that slow slip events correlate spatially and temporally with unusual seismic tremor and refer to the two phenomena as episodic slip and tremor, or ETS. It is difficult to precisely locate ETS. Surface GPS data can be well modeled by 2 cm of aseismic slip along the plate interface at depths of 30– 40 km [Dragert et al., 2001], but this solution is not unique. Locating the seismic tremor is challenging because of the lack of distinct P or S wave arrivals and the tendency of tremor to occur in clusters. Kao et al. [2005, 2007] overcame these difficulties by applying a source-scanning algorithm to tremor observed in the northern Cascadia subduction zone, which revealed that tremor occurs over a considerable depth range extending from the shallow forearc crust down into the subducting oceanic crust. It remains unknown whether the correlated slow slip occurs over a similar depth range (10 –50 km) as the tremor, or if the slow slip is confined to the plate interface [Kao et al., 2007]. [7] Obara [2002] observed seep seismic tremor along the southwest Japan subduction zone (Figure 2). Using a crosscorrelation technique, Obara [2002] showed that tremor originated from the plate interface at depths 30 km depth Figure 2. Geotectonic map of southwest Japan subduction zone showing location of the thermal models constructed through Shikoku and Kii Peninsula. Lines labeled B-B00 and C-C00 represent locations of complete thermal models; thicker lines labeled B-B0 and C-C0 represent portions of thermal models depicted in Figures 4 and 5, respectively. Depth contours, in km, for subducting Philippine Sea plate from Baba et al. [2002], Nakajima and Hasegawa [2007], and Hirose et al. [2008] and location of low-frequency earthquakes (small black pluses) from Hirose et al. [2008]. Solid triangles represent Holocene volcanoes. 2 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP beneath southwest Japan. In map view tremor occurs over an area extending 600 km along strike, but a pronounced gap exists beneath easternmost Shikoku and the Kii channel [Obara, 2002] (Figure 2). Seismicity in southwest Japan includes deep low-frequency earthquakes that are spatially and temporally associated with deep tremor [Katsumata and Kamaya, 2003; Obara and Hirose, 2006]. Hirose et al. [2008] used double-difference tomography to determine more accurately the geometry of the subducting Philippine Sea plate. Deep low-frequency earthquakes occur along the plate interface at a depth of 30 km, extending to slightly greater depths beneath the Kii Peninsula and the Tokai district to the northeast [Hirose et al., 2008] (Figure 2). Slow slip events, correlating with periods of increased tremor, have been detected in tilt data extracted from the Hi-net high-sensitivity seismograph network [Obara et al., 2004]. Tremor events in the southwest Japan subduction zone appear to occur along or near the plate interface and, in contrast to Cascadia, do not appear to extend upward into the overlying fore-arc crust [Shelly et al., 2006; Wang et al., 2006; Hirose et al., 2008]. Research continues to determine if this contrast between the two subduction zones is real, or reflects differences in the techniques use to locate the tremor source. 3. Thermal Modeling [8] Temperatures at depths of 30 km in subduction zones are determined primarily by the thermal structure of the incoming lithosphere and the plate convergence rate [e.g., Peacock, 2003]. Both the Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones are characterized by relatively warm (young) incoming lithosphere and modest convergence rates. Here, two-dimensional finite element heat transfer models are used to calculate temperatures at depth in the two subduction zones. The two-dimensional models are constructed perpendicular to the subduction zone trench and volcanic arc, rather than parallel to the oblique convergence vector, in order to minimize heat transfer in the third dimension. Because the structure of subduction zones varies along strike and the geometry of subduction may vary over time, two-dimensional thermal models are only approximations, with estimated uncertainties of 50 –100°C for forearc depths of 30 –40 km. [9] Details of the numerical model are given by Peacock and Wang [1999] and Peacock [2003]. Briefly, for each subduction zone: (1) the geometry of the subducting slab is defined by Wadati-Benioff seismicity and seismic reflection and refractions surveys; (2) the orthogonal convergence rate is defined using recent plate motion models; (3) the age of the incoming lithosphere at the deformation front (trench) is defined by marine magnetic anomalies on the Juan de Fuca [Wilson, 1993] and Philippine Sea plates [Chamot-Rooke et al., 1987] and an oceanic geotherm [Stein and Stein, 1992] of corresponding age defines the trench-side boundary condition; (4) a continental geotherm yielding a surface heat flux of 65 mW/m2 is used for the arc-side boundary condition; (5) the upper (0 – 15 km depth) and lower (15 – 30 km) crust contains radioactive heat-producing elements generating 1.3 and 0.27 mW/m3, respectively; (6) the thermal conductivity of the crust is 2.5 W/(m K) and the B00A07 mantle is 3.1 W/(m K); and (7) flow in the mantle wedge is simulated using Batchelor’s isoviscous corner flow solution, truncated at the tip of the mantle wedge to satisfy surface heat flow measurements. Note that the choice of mantle rheology does not significantly affect the temperatures calculated for the shallow fore arc, unless flow in the mantle wedge corner were to extend updip to depths <50 km, which would be inconsistent with fore-arc heat flow observations [e.g., Wiens et al., 2008]. [10] A steady state thermal model of the Cascadia subduction zone was constructed through southern Vancouver Island (Figure 1) using the subducting plate geometry of Rogers [1998]. The age of the Juan de Fuca oceanic lithosphere at the deformation front is 7.5 Ma and the convergence rate is 40 mm/a based on DeMets et al.’s [1994] NUVEL-1A plate motion model. At the deformation front, a 3-km-thick sedimentary section overlies and insulates the oceanic crust [Hyndman and Wang, 1993]. [11] Two transient thermal models were constructed for the southwest Japan subduction zone, one through Shikoku and one through the Kii peninsula located 200 km to the east (Figure 2). The geometry of the subducting Philippine Sea plate was defined using the results of Baba et al. [2002], Nakajima and Hasegawa [2007], and Hirose et al. [2008] (Figure 2). At the Nankai Trough, a 1.2-km-thick sedimentary section overlies and insulates the oceanic crust [Hirahara, 1981]. The thermal structure beneath southwest Japan has been affected by the subduction of the Shikoku ridge, a back-arc spreading center that was active until 15 Ma ago [Hibbard and Karig, 1990]. For both transects, a steady state subduction thermal structure, calculated using a 100 Ma incoming lithosphere and a 90 mm/a convergence rate, was used as the initial thermal condition for the transient solution. Fifteen million years of thermal evolution was then simulated during which time the slab age, and therefore the thermal structure, of the incoming oceanic lithosphere was varied. For the Shikoku transect, a 0 Ma oceanic geotherm was used to define the thermal structure of the incoming lithosphere at the start of the transient simulation and the age of the incoming oceanic lithosphere was increased linearly from 0 Ma to 15 Ma during the 15 Ma of simulation time. For the Kii peninsula transect, where the Shikoku ridge was subducted earlier, a 5 Ma oceanic geotherm was used to define the thermal structure of the incoming lithosphere at the start of the transient simulation and the age of the incoming oceanic lithosphere was increased linearly from 5 Ma to 20 Ma during the 15 Ma of simulation time. Orthogonal convergence rates between the Philippine Sea and Amuria plates were calculated using the REVEL plate velocity model [Sella et al., 2002]. For the Shikoku and Kii peninsula transects, orthogonal convergence rates of 58 and 52 mm/a, respectively, were used for the transient solution. 4. Predicted Temperatures and Surface Heat Flux [12] The calculated thermal structures for the Cascadia (southern Vancouver Island transect) and southwest Japan (Shikoku and Kii peninsula transects) subduction zones are depicted in Figures 3, 4, and 5. The subduction of young oceanic lithosphere at 40– 60 mm/a in the Cascadia and 3 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP B00A07 Figure 3. Calculated (a) surface heat flux and (b) thermal structure for southern Vancouver Island (Cascadia subduction zone), with inferred location of ETS (shaded region) from Kao et al. [2005]. Contour interval is 100°C. Dashed line labeled M represents fore-arc Moho. See Figure 1 for location of transect A-A0. southwest Japan subduction zones results in relatively warm calculated fore-arc temperatures as compared to most subduction zone fore arcs. For example, at 30 km depth, calculated subduction interface temperatures for Cascadia (510°C) and southwest Japan (Shikoku = 390°C; Kii = 280°C) are higher than temperatures of 160– 175°C calculated for the NE Japan and Izu-Bonin subduction zones [Peacock, 2003], which are characterized by the rapid subduction of old oceanic lithosphere. Beneath southwest Japan, the numerical simulations predict the Kii Peninsula is cooler than the Shikoku fore arc, consistent with the findings of Hyndman et al. [1995]. These along-strike thermal variations for southwest Japan reflect variations in the slab geometry (steeper beneath the Kii Peninsula) and the timing of the subduction of the fossil Shikoku spreading center (subducting beneath Shikoku today). [13] The predicted surface heat flux out of the Cascadia (southern Vancouver Island transect) and southwest Japan (Shikoku and Kii peninsula transects) fore arcs are depicted in Figures 3a, 4a, and 5a. Surface heat flux decreases from the trench toward the arc. In the fore arc, where the subducting slab is at a depth of 30 km, the predicted surface heat flux is 60 mW/m2 for Cascadia, 50 mW/m2 for Shikoku, and 40 mW/m2 for the Kii Peninsula. The predicted fore-arc heat fluxes are inversely proportional to the convergence rate and age of the incoming plate, and are Figure 4. Calculated (a) surface heat flux and (b) thermal structure for Shikoku transect (southwest Japan subduction zone), with inferred location of ETS (shaded region) from Hirose et al. [2008]. Contour interval is 100°C. Dashed line labeled M represents fore-arc Moho. See Figure 2 for location of transect B-B0. 4 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP B00A07 of 30 – 50 km do not depend on the mantle viscosity formulation. It is less clear why the two approaches predict substantially different temperatures at 30 km depth, but higher temperatures predicted by my models are probably attributable to the inclusion (in my models) of (1) a 1.2-kmthick sedimentary section on top of the incoming Philippine Sea plate, which acts like an insulating blanket to elevate temperatures in the underlying crust; (2) a fore-arc crust that has a lower thermal conductivity than the underlying mantle; and (3) radioactive heat production in the fore-arc crust. In addition, thermal models like Yoshioka et al.’s [2008] that are constructed at an angle to the structure of a subduction zone may introduce uncertainties owing to heat flow in the third dimension (perpendicular to the thermal model). 5. Metamorphic Conditions Where ETS Occurs Figure 5. Calculated (a) surface heat flux and (b) thermal structure for Kii Peninsula transect (southwest Japan subduction zone), with inferred location of ETS (shaded region) from Hirose et al. [2008]. Contour interval is 100°C. Dashed line labeled M represents fore-arc Moho. See Figure 2 for location of transect C-C0. broadly consistent with the marine and land heat flow data reported by Hyndman and Wang [1995] and Hyndman et al. [1995]. [14] Recently, Yoshioka et al. [2008] presented twodimensional thermal models constructed across southwest Japan in order to investigate along-strike regional variations in earthquake occurrence frequency. Two of their models lie close to the two southwest Japan profiles presented here. Compared to the models presented here, Yoshioka et al. [2008] predict cooler slab interface temperatures at 30 km depth and dramatically hotter slab interface temperatures at 50 km depth. At 30 km depth beneath Shikoku and the Kii peninsula, Yoshioka et al. [2008] predict slab interface temperatures of 300°C and 240°C, respectively, as compared to 390°C and 280°C predicted by the models presented here (Figures 4 and 5). At 50 km depth beneath Shikoku and the Kii peninsula, Yoshioka et al. [2008] predict very warm slab interface temperatures of 870°C and 810°C, compared to 490°C and 350°C predicted by the models presented here (Figures 4 and 5). [15] Yoshioka et al.’s [2008] thermal models differ from those presented here in several respects. The very large differences in calculated temperatures at 50 km depth, primarily reflect different mantle flow models. Yoshioka et al. [2008] employed a temperature- and depth-dependent mantle rheology, where flow in the mantle wedge is driven by full coupling between the slab and mantle wedge beginning at 30 km depth. Thermal models like Yoshioka et al.’s [2008], which employ a very shallow slab – mantle wedge coupling depth, predict high fore-arc temperatures and thermal gradients [Furukawa, 1993] that are inconsistent with observed low heat flow in fore arcs [Hyndman et al., 1995; Peacock and Wang, 1999; Peacock, 2003; Wiens et al., 2008]. In models where coupling between the slab and mantle wedge begins at greater depth (e.g., 70 km in the models presented here), fore-arc temperatures at depths [16] To gain insight into the petrology of the subducting oceanic crust and regions of dehydration, calculated pressure-temperature (P-T) paths for the subducting oceanic crust are overlain on a phase diagram constructed for hydrous mid-ocean ridge basalt [Hacker et al., 2003a, 2003b] in Figure 6. The basaltic phase diagram presented in Figure 6a depicts the P-T stability field of different metamorphic facies characterized by specific mineral assemblages. For example, a greenschist facies metabasalt consists of epidote + albite (plagioclase feldspar) + actinolite (calcic amphibole) + chlorite + quartz ± accessory minerals. Metamorphic facies boundaries mark important metamorphic reactions that result in different mineral assemblages. It is important to note that, with rare exceptions, metamorphic facies boundaries do not correspond to a single, univariant metamorphic reaction. Rather, metamorphic facies boundaries involve continuous, multivariant metamorphic reactions and are generally broader than depicted in Figure 6a. Many metamorphic facies boundaries are marked by major dehydration reactions, but dehydration reactions also occur within metamorphic facies. The gray shading in Figure 6 reflects the maximum calculated H2O content of each metamorphic facies; mineral assemblages stable in lowtemperature metamorphic facies are capable of containing more bound H2O than higher temperature metamorphic facies. See Hacker et al. [2003a] for a detailed description of how the phase diagram was constructed and the H2O calculations. [17] P-T paths calculated for the three transects differ considerably indicating that the subducting oceanic crust experiences significantly different metamorphic conditions in each region (Figure 6b). Beneath southern Vancouver Island (Cascadia), subducting oceanic crust descends along a warm P-T path and experiences greenschist ! amphibolite ! eclogite facies metamorphism. Beneath Shikoku (southwest Japan), the predicted P-T paths are slightly cooler, with the subducting oceanic crust predicted to pass through the epidote blueschist facies. Beneath the Kii Peninsula (southwest Japan), subducting oceanic crust descends along even cooler P-T paths and experiences blueschist facies metamorphism. [18] The different P-T conditions in the Cascadia and southwest Japan fore arcs suggest that ETS is not a result of specific thermal or metamorphic conditions. At ETS depths, 5 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP B00A07 within subducting oceanic crust does not appear to be confined to a specific temperature or metamorphic facies or to a particular metamorphic transition. 6. Metamorphic Fluids and Permeability Figure 6. Calculated metamorphic conditions encountered by subducting oceanic crust in Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones. (a) Phase diagram showing metamorphic facies for mid-ocean ridge basalt and calculated maximum H2O contents after Hacker et al. [2003a]. Metamorphic facies: eA, epidote amphibolite; eB, epidote blueschist; egA, epidote-garnet amphibolite; jeB, jadeite-epidote blueschist; laE, lawsonite-amphibole eclogite, PA; prehnite-actinolite; PP, prehnite-pumpellyite; Z, zeolite facies. (b) Calculated P-T paths for top (solid lines) and base (dashed lines) of subducting oceanic crust for three transects, superimposed on metamorphic facies. Stippled regions represent calculated P-T conditions within subducting oceanic crust where ETS region occurs. subducting oceanic crust is predicted to be 525– 650°C and undergoing amphibolite facies metamorphism beneath southern Vancouver Island, 375 – 475°C and undergoing epidote-blueschist facies metamorphism beneath Shikoku, and 275– 350°C and undergoing blueschist facies metamorphism beneath the Kii Peninsula (Figure 6b). Thus, ETS [19] While ETS appears not to be linked to specific metamorphic reaction, H2O-rich metamorphic fluids are likely present where ETS occurs within the subducting oceanic crust or along the subduction interface. In the subducting oceanic crust and uppermost mantle, prograde metamorphic dehydration reactions release H2O-rich fluids. Pore pressures will be near lithostatic in rocks undergoing active dehydration [e.g., Fyfe et al., 1978]. The extent to which significant volumes of H2O exist at a given time depends on fluid production rates and the permeability structure of the subducting plate, the overriding plate, and the plate interface. Subduction is a slow geologic process and the amount of H2O produced is correspondingly small. For warm subduction zones, like Cascadia and southwest Japan, Hyndman and Peacock [2003] calculated that metamorphic dehydration reactions in subducting oceanic crust and mantle beneath the fore-arc release on the order of 100 mL (a tea cup!) of H2O per square meter column of rock per year. [20] The permeability of metamorphic rocks undergoing prograde metamorphism at depths of 30 to 40 km and temperatures of 300 to 600°C is not well constrained. Because metamorphic rocks exposed at the surface are dry, permeabilities must be sufficient to allow metamorphic fluids to escape on geologic (million year) time scales. Most metamorphic dehydration reactions result in a reduction in mineral volume, so porosity is expected to increase, at least transiently while the dehydration reaction is occurring. If the surrounding rocks are sufficiently permeable, the H2O produced by dehydration reactions may drain away rapidly. Alternatively, if the surrounding rocks are relatively impermeable, fluid draining may not occur until the fluid pressure exceeds the confining pressure (s3) plus tensile strength of the rock causing hydraulic fracture and fluid escape [Fyfe et al., 1978]. Fluid release may be quasi-episodic with dehydration reactions increasing fluid pressure slowly over time until hydraulic fracturing drains the fluid and the process repeats. [21] Subduction zone plate boundaries are Earth’s largest thrust faults with cumulative slip commonly exceeding thousands of kilometers. Field observations of large faults reveal that rather than a single discrete surface, large faults are complex zones made up of anastomosing slip surfaces, gouge, cataclasite, and breccia (fault core) surrounded by variably fractured and hydrothermally altered rocks (damage zone) [e.g., Sibson, 1977; Hickman et al., 1995; Caine et al., 1996]. With increasing pressure and temperature, brittle faults zones grade downward into ductile shear zones characterized by mylonitic deformation [e.g., Scholz, 1990]. The very low permeability of fine-grained cataclasites and mylonites, particularly when foliated, would suggest that fault zones and mylonites zones act as barriers to fluid flow. But extensive interaction between fluids and fault zone rocks is evidenced by hydrothermal alteration, metamorphic veins, and textures documenting repeated episodes of fracturing and brecciation followed by cementation and crack 6 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP healing [e.g., Moore and Vrolijk, 1992; Hickman et al., 1995]. Permeability along the subduction plate interface likely varies during the seismic cycle, with permeability increasing during periods of slip due to fracturing and brecciation, and decreasing between slip events due to crack healing, silica and carbonate cementation, pressure solution, and retrograde metamorphic reactions [e.g., Hickman et al., 1995]. An important question is: Integrated over time, is the subduction plate interface (i.e., the subduction thrust fault zone at shallow depth and the ductile shear zone at greater depth) relatively permeable or impermeable compared to the underlying subducting plate and the overlying plate? [22] Seismological observations suggest metamorphic fluids are present where ETS is occurring in the southwest Japan subduction zone. Beneath southwestern Shikoku, low-frequency earthquakes associated with ETS occur in a region of relatively high Vp/Vs, which are interpreted to reflect relatively high pore pressures in this region [Shelly et al., 2006]. Similarly, Wang et al. [2006] showed that lowfrequency earthquakes beneath the Kii peninsula occur in a region of relatively high Poisson’s ratio indicative of the presence of metamorphic fluids. Beneath southern Vancouver Island, receiver function analysis reveals anomalously high Poisson’s ratios indicating the pervasive presence of H2O at high pore pressures in the subducting oceanic crust trapped beneath a low-permeability plate interface [Audet et al., 2009]. [23] Are metamorphic fluids present above the plate interface in the Cascadia fore-arc crust where episodic tremor is observed? Depending on the permeability structure of the subduction zone, fluids released from the subducting plate may (1) remain trapped in the subducting plate, (2) migrate updip along the plate interface, or (3) infiltrate the overriding plate. Geologic observations, such as the serpentine mud volcanoes in the Mariana fore arc [Fryer, 1996] and geophysical observations [Bostock et al., 2002; Hyndman and Peacock, 2003] provide strong evidence that fluids derived from the subducting slab infiltrate the overlying fore-arc mantle causing extensive hydration (serpentinization). Less clear is the extent to which the fore-arc crust nearer the trench is hydrated by fluids released from the subducting plate. While it seems likely that fluids escaping from the subducting plate at shallower levels would infiltrate the overlying fore-arc crust, it is possible that the subduction plate interface is less permeable at shallower depths as suggested by Audet et al. [2009] and Song et al. [2009]. Assuming H2O-rich fluids do infiltrate the overriding fore-arc plate, these fluids will tend to react with the fore-arc crust to produce hydrous mineral assemblages [e.g., Yardley and Valley, 1997]. Different rocks have different capacities to absorb H2O through retrograde hydration reactions; thus, the extent to which H2O infiltrating the fore arc will be absorbed by hydration reactions will depend, in part, on the specific rock types encountered by the fluid. Because serpentine minerals contain 13 wt % H2O, ultramafic rocks in the fore-arc mantle and crust have the capacity to absorb large amounts of H2O through serpentinization reactions. Mafic rocks, which compose a significant part of the fore-arc crust, can absorb significant amounts of H2O through greenschist facies hydration reactions that produce chlorite, amphibole, and other hydrous minerals. In contrast, felsic rocks have limited capacity to B00A07 absorb H2O because quartz and feldspar are relatively stable under fore-arc conditions. Integrated over tens of millions of years of subduction, enough H2O is liberated from subducted materials to fully hydrate the overlying fore-arc crust. More commonly, exposures of fore-arc crust reveal spatially heterogeneous retrograde hydration that is localized along fault zones, fractures, and metamorphic veins. Free H2O may exist in faults and fractures lined by hydrous minerals and may be linked to fore-arc ETS, but free H2O is unlikely to be uniformly present through the fore arc. [24] Must a free H2O-rich fluid phase be present in order for ETS to occur? If so, then the gap in ETS beneath eastern Shikoku and the Kii channel (Figure 2) might reflect a lack of fluids in this area. The thermal and metamorphic environment in the subducting Philippine Sea plate in this area should be intermediate between the Shikoku and Kii Peninsula models presented in Figures 4 and 5, suggesting that prograde metamorphic dehydration reactions should be occurring in this region. Seno and Yamasaki [2003] propose that the crust subducting in this region is composed of tonalite (a felsic plutonic rock) and therefore may not be as hydrated prior to subduction as mafic oceanic crust composed of basalt and gabbro. Alternatively, perhaps deformation of the slab, as evidenced by the contorted slab contours, elevates permeabilities in this region, such that metamorphic fluids drain out of the subducting crust rapidly and fluid pressures do not reach sufficiently high levels. In the northeast Japan subduction zone, predicted slab P-T paths are much cooler [Peacock and Wang, 1999] suggesting that the absence of ETS in this region may reflect the lack of significant metamorphic dehydration reactions in the subducting slab at shallow depth. [25] Nadeau and Dolenc [2005] reported ETS along the San Andreas Fault, which is a very different thermal and metamorphic setting than a subduction zone. Prograde metamorphism occurs primarily at convergent plate boundaries where rocks are tectonically buried; metamorphic fluids are released by dehydration reactions that occur as hydrous minerals become unstable with increasing pressure and temperature. In contrast, at a transform plate boundary, the two plates slip past each other horizontally with no tectonic burial, so metamorphic dehydration reactions do not generally occur along transform faults. However, the San Andreas fault cuts across former subduction zone forearc rocks, which were likely variably hydrated by the earlier subduction process. Postsubduction heating (thermal relaxation) of the previously hydrated fore-arc rocks could generate significant volumes of metamorphic fluids, through serpentine and other dehydration reactions [Hyndman and Peacock, 2003]. Alternatively, fluids may be present in the San Andreas fault zone as a result of downward circulation of meteoric fluids or upward migration of fluids released from deeper magmas or the mantle [Hickman et al., 1995]. 7. Conclusions [26] Thermal and petrologic models of the Cascadia and southwest Japan subduction zones suggest that prograde metamorphic reactions are likely taking place in the subducting crust in both regions, but the range in calculated temperatures suggest episodic tremor and slip does not coincide with a specific temperature or dehydration reac- 7 of 9 B00A07 PEACOCK: METAMORPHISM AND SUBDUCTION ZONE EPISODIC TREMOR AND SLIP tion. Several lines of evidence indicate a free H2O-rich fluid phase is present where ETS occurs in subducting oceanic crust, where prograde metamorphic dehydration reactions occur. It is less likely that large amounts of fluids are pervasively present in the overlying fore-arc crust where tremor has been observed beneath Vancouver Island. However, free H2O may exist locally in faults and fractures lined by hydrous minerals, and fore-arc ETS may be related to such structures. [27] Acknowledgments. 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