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Homework 1 Suggested Solutions Questions from Chapter 2 1. Wheat and bread Product accounting adds up value added by all producers. The wheat producer has no intermediate inputs and produces 30 million bushels at $3/bu. for $90 million. The bread producer produces 100 million loaves at $3.50/loaf for $350 million. The bread producer uses $75 million worth of wheat as an input. Therefore, the bread producer’s value added is $275 million. Total GDP is therefore $90 million + $275 million = $365 million. Expenditure accounting adds up the value of expenditures on final output. Consumers buy 100 million loaves at $3.50/loaf for $350 million. The wheat producer adds 5 million bushels of wheat to inventory. Therefore, investment spending is equal to 5 million bushels of wheat valued at $3/bu., which costs $15 million. Total GDP is therefore $350 million + $15 million = $365 million. 2. Coal producer, steel producer, and consumers. (a) (i) Product approach: Coal producer produces 15 million tons of coal at $5/ton, which adds $75 million to GDP. The steel producer produces $10 million tons of steel at $20/ton, which is worth $200 million. The steel producer pays $125 million for 25 million tons of coal at $5/ton. The steel producer’s value added is therefore $75 million. GDP is equal to $75 million + $75 million = $150 million. (ii) Expenditure approach: Consumers buy 8 million tons of steel at $20/ton, so consumption is $160 million. There is no investment and no government spending. Exports are 2 million tons of steel at $20/ton, which is worth $40 million. Imports are 10 million tons of coal at $5/ton, which is worth $50 million. Net exports are therefore equal to $40 million − $50 million = −$10 million. GDP is therefore equal to $160 million + (−$10 million) = $150 million. (iii) Income approach: The coal producer pays $50 million in wages and the steel producer pays $40 million in wages, so total wages in the economy equal $90 million. The coal producer receives $75 million in revenue for selling 15 million tons at $15/ton. The coal producer pays $50 million in wages, so the coal producer’s profits are $25 million. The steel producer receives $200 million in revenue for selling 10 million tons of steel at $20/ton. The steel producer pays $40 million in wages and pays $125 million for the 25 million tons of coal that it needs to produce steel. The steel producer’s profits are therefore equal to $200 − $40 million − $125 million = $35 million. Total profit income in the economy is therefore $25 million + $35 million = $60 million. GDP therefore is equal to wage income ($90 million) plus profit income ($60 million). GDP is therefore $150 million. (b) There are no net factor payments from abroad in this example. Therefore, the current account surplus is equal to net exports, which is equal to (−$10 million). 5. Deflating Data 5. (a) Year 1 nominal GDP = 990m. Year 2 nominal GDP=1730.5m. Year 2 real GDP=1450m. Year 1 GDP deflator equals 100. Year 2 GDP deflator equals 119.3. The percentage change in the deflator equals 19.3%. (b) Year 1 production (market basket) at year 1 prices equals year 1 nominal GDP = $990m. The value of the market basket at year 2 prices is equal to 1,500m.⋅$0.60+300m.⋅$0.85=$1050m. Year 1 CPI equals 100. Year 2 CPI equals ($1050/$990) ⋅ 100 = 106.1. The percentage change in the CPI equals 6.1%. The relative price of broccoli has gone up. The relative quantity of broccoli has also gone up. The CPI attaches a smaller weight to the price of broccoli, and so the CPI shows less inflation. 7. Price controls Nominal GDP is calculated by measuring output at market prices. In the event of effective price controls, measured prices equal the controlled prices. However, controlled prices reflect an inaccurate measure of scarcity values. Nominal GDP is therefore distorted. In addition to distortions in nominal GDP measures, price controls also inject an inaccuracy in attempts to decompose changes in nominal GDP into movements in real GDP and movements in prices. With price controls, there is typically little or no change in white market prices over time. Alternatively, black market or scarcity value prices typically increase, perhaps dramatically. Measures of prices (in terms of scarcity values) understate inflation. Whenever inflation measures are too low, changes in real GDP overstate the extent of increases in actual production. 9. National Accounting Identities (a) Disposable income = 110; (b) Transfers = 15; (d) GDP = 120; (e) Government Surplus = -10; (f) Current account = -15; (g) Investment = 25 Questions from Chapter 3 1. Comovement First we draw a scatter plot of the data. (a) Although the correlation coefficient does not appear to be very large, x and y are positively correlated. (b) For this part of the problem, we need to draw the data in the form of two time series plots. The variable y lags the variable x. (c) The two time series appear to be characterized by persistence. 8. Consumer Durables Both consumption and investment are procyclical and coincident. The key difference is that investment is much more volatile than consumption. Consumer durables provide services over a horizon greater than one year. Some consumer nondurable products, like apparel, provide services well beyond the date of purchase. Services, by definition, are fully utilized at the point of sale. The same kinds of timing considerations that affect business investment are likely to come into play with consumer durables, and to a lesser extent, consumer nondurables. Therefore, it is logical that consumer durable purchases should be more volatile than consumer nondurable purchases and that consumer nondurable purchases should be more volatile than consumption of services.