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Combining and Transforming Random Variables Worksheet Name: _____________________________________________________ Date: ____________ Period: _____ Linear Transformations of Random Variables If Y = a + bX is a linear transformation of the random variable X, then: β’ The probability distribution of Y has the same shape as the probability distribution of X. β’ ππ = π + πππ β’ ππ = |π|ππ₯ (since b could be a negative number). β’ ππ2 = π 2 ππ2 1) In a large introductory statistics class, the distribution of X = raw scores on a test was approximately normally distributed with a mean of 17.2 and a standard deviation of 3.8. The professor decides to scale the scores by multiplying the raw scores by 4 and adding 10. a. Define the variable Y to be the scaled score of a randomly selected student from this class. Find the mean and standard deviation of Y. Show your work. b. What is the probability that a randomly selected student has a scaled test score of at least 90? Show your work. 2) A small ferry runs every half hour from one side of a large river to the other. The number of cars X on a randomly chosen ferry trip has the probability distribution shown below. You can that ππ = 3.87 and ππ = 1.29 Cars Probability 0 0.02 1 0.05 2 0.08 3 0.16 4 0.27 5 0.42 a) The cost for the ferry trip is $5 per car. Make a graph of the probability distribution for the random variable M = money collected on a randomly selected ferry trip. b) Find ππ and ππ and interpret. c) The ferry expenses are $20 per trip. Define random variable Y to be the amount or profit (money collected minus expenses) made by the ferry company on a randomly selected day. Find ππ and ππ . Interpret the mean. Show your work. d) The ferry company now decides to increase the cost of a trip to $6. We can calculate the companyβs profit Y on a randomly selected trip from the number of cars X. Find the mean and standard deviation of Y. Show your work. Combining Random Variables Suppose I am offered a chance to play a game involving two spinners. Complete the spinners to show the given probability distributions: Spinner X X P(X) 2 0.3 Spinner Y 4 0.4 5 0.1 8 0.2 X P(X) 3 0.2 4 0.2 5 0.6 1) What is the expected value, variance and standard deviation for each spinner? ππ₯ = _______ Var(X) = ______ ππ₯ = ______ ππ¦ = _______ Var(Y) = ______ ππ¦ = ______ 2) In this game, you will each of the spinners once. What are the possible outcomes and probabilities for the sum of the two spinners? Fill in the following table to form the probability distribution of X + Y. The whole chart should be completed. (X, Y) (2, 3) (2, 4) X+Y 5 6 P(X + Y) 0.06 0.06 3) What is the expected value, variance, and standard deviation for the game as described by your answer in part 2? ππ+π = ___________ Var(X + Y) = _________ ππ+π = ___________ 4) Suppose that the game is changed to represent the different between the two spinners. Thus your return on any game is X β Y. Complete the table below to find the probabilities of the difference of the two spinners. (X, Y) X-Y P(X - Y) 5) What is the expected value, variance and standard deviation for the game described in part 4? ππβπ = ___________ Var(X - Y) = _________ ππβπ = ___________ Summary: Use your data you found in #1, #3 and #5 and comparing means, variances and standard deviations to generalize into 4 rules listed below. Rules for Means: For any two random variables X and Y, then ππ+π = _________________ For any two random variables X and Y, then ππβπ = _________________ Rules of Variance/Standard Deviation For any two independent random variables X and Y, then the variance of X + Y is 2 ππ+π = _________________ and therefore, ππ+π = _______________________ For any two independent random variables X and Y, then the variance of X β Y is 2 ππβπ = _________________ and therefore, ππβπ = _______________________ Note: Random Variables X and Y must be INDEPENDENT in order to apply combining random variable rules. Probability models often assume independence when the random variables describe outcomes that appear unrelated to each other.