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ASAMBLEA PARLAMENTARIA EURO-LATINOAMERICANA EURO-LATIN AMERICAN PARLIAMENTARY ASSEMBLY ASSEMBLEIA PARLAMENTAR EURO-LATINO-AMERICANA ASSEMBLÉE PARLEMENTAIRE EURO-LATINO- AMÉRICAINE PARLAMENTARISCHE VERSAMMLUNG EUROPA-LATEINAMERIKA Committee for Economic, Financial and Commercial Affairs 29.4.2015 WORKING DOCUMENT Trade aspects of the various EU-LAC negotiations currently under way LAC co-rapporteur: Guillermo Antonio Osorno Molina (Parlacen) DT\1059827EN.doc EN AP101.799v01-00 United in diversity EN ASSESSMENT OF THE TRADE PILLAR OF THE ASSOCIATION AGREEMENT BETWEEN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE EUROPEAN UNION INTRODUCTION The trade pillar of the Association Agreement between Central America and the European Union was formally initiated by all the Central American states on 1 December 2013. It had come into force between the EU and Nicaragua, Honduras and Panama on 1 August 2013. Due to a difference of content, it came into provisional force between the EU and Costa Rica and El Salvador two months later. It came into effect with Guatemala on 1 December 2013, bringing the trade pillar into operation with the six Central American signatory countries to the Agreement. According to the report from the Central America Economic Integration Secretariat (SIECA), Comercio bilateral de Centroamérica con la Unión Europea: evaluación del primer trimestre de 2014 (Bilateral trade between Central America and the European Union: evaluation of the first quarter of 2014), Central American exports to the European Union in the first quarter of 2014 amounted to US$ 1 021.6 million, 10.5% less than for the same period in 2013. As Figure 1 shows, however, by the end of 2014 the region had exported a total of US$ 3 853 million, US$ 34 million more than in 2013, meaning that the recovery had gathered pace since the beginning of the year. Figure 1 Value of exports from Central America to the European Union Source: www.sieca.int AP101.799v01-00 EN 2/10 DT\1059827EN.doc However, Central American exports to Europe fell even further than in the present year between 2012 and 2013. A similar trend occurred in Europe, as shown in Figure 2. The fall was however due to lower exports worldwide, as shown in Figure 3. As will be explained below, the trade pillar of the Association Agreement between the European Union and Central America has generated new opportunities for both regions via new markets and costs savings by removing tariffs. Figure 2 Value of exports from the European Union to Central America Source: http://wits.worldbank.org/ Figure 3 Value of world exports DESCRIPTION Source: http://wits.worldbank.org/ DT\1059827EN.doc 3/10 AP101.799v01-00 EN Central America The greatest reported falls in Central American exports in 2014 concerned coffee, ethyl alcohol and fruit juices. However, according to the Bank of Guatemala, the trade pillar has provided a new market for non-traditional products from the region, such as bananas, fertilisers, iron, steel and other base metals which, according to the statistics, were exported by Guatemala to Europe for the first time thanks to the Association Agreement's trade pillar. Guatemala's exporters' association, Agexport, reports major growth in the exports of 54 varieties of Guatemalan products to the EU, for a total value of US$ 72.2 million, representing 35% of exports to the region. Growth products included vegetables (26.2%), fresh fruit (9.6%), sesame seeds (16.25%), bananas (13.5%), flowers and foliage (10%), prawns and crayfish (56%), household furniture (40%), machinery and appliances for electronic use and articles of apparel (55%). All these products benefit from tariff preferences under the Association Agreement. Where Guatemala is concerned, products whose exports decreased, but not as a result of the Association Agreement, were primarily alcoholic beverages, which fell by US$ 23.4 million, fats and oils for human consumption by US$ 7.8 million and coffee by US$ 7.5 million, a decisive factor in the 14% reduction in exports to the European Union. Almost the same pattern occurred with El Salvador, although while the overall value of exports to the European Union fell, it reported a substantial increase in its sugar exports. According to data from the Sugar Producers' Association of El Salvador (AAES), exports of sugar and molasses to the EU amounted to US$ 25 million between January and October 2014. This is the first year in which the sugar industry managed to market its products under favourable conditions, thanks to the Association Agreement, as explained in the El Salvador daily newspaper La Prensa Gráfica. It also reports on other products that previously did not reach Europe, such as aircraft parts. This is one of the few added-value, technological industries in which El Salvador can compete at world level, and very favourably with the EU thanks to the trade pillar of the Association Agreement. Table 1 - drawn up by the Central American Parliament using data from a range of sources shows favourable markets for each Central American country following the entry into force of the trade pillar of the Association Agreement. PARLACEN is strongly supported at institutional level in these sectors. AP101.799v01-00 EN 4/10 DT\1059827EN.doc Table 1 Favourable markets by country under the new Association Agreement Country Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua Costa Rica Panama Potential markets Plantains, fertilisers, iron, steel and other base metals Sugar and aircraft parts Meat and bananas Sugar, chia plant seeds and honey Microchips, pineapple and manioc Beef, rice and tuna loin Source: ACAN-EFE (2015), CentralAmericanData (2014), Chacón, S. (2013), El19Digital (2015), Quintanilla, L. (2014), Vides, A. (2014), Porras (2011) Available information indicates that Costa Rica, Honduras and Guatemala are the Central American countries that have derived most benefit from the Association Agreement with the European Union in the brief period since it came into force. Costa Rica, Honduras and Guatemala together account for 83% of exports to Europe. A little more than 50% of the region's exports come from Costa Rica. Trade between Costa Rica and the EU has been increasing steadily for 10 years, reaching the EUR 8.7 billion mark in 2012. Historically, Costa Rica's presence on the international markets has mainly been on account of its agricultural sector. In recent decades, Costa Rica has successfully supplied more products that meet the strictest quality standards, such as microchips and medical equipment, on the European market. Nicaragua's sale of 42 000 tonnes of sugar to Romania in October 2013 was the most representative under the Association Agreement for Nicaragua to date, as confirmed by the Head of the EU Delegation to the Central American Integration System (SICA), Ambassador Javier Sandomingo, resident in Managua. He pointed out that non-traditional Nicaraguan products that had taken advantage of the Association Agreement included chia plant seeds, which have health benefits (also known as "chan" in the region). Nicaragua also exported honey worth US$ 1.4 million during 2014, an increase of US$ 1.04 million (288.9%) compared to 2013. In 2014, Germany became the leading market for Nicaraguan honey, absorbing 83% of its production. It is however reported that the tariff-free quotas of beef, rice and tuna loin negotiated under the Agreement with the European Union are not being taken up by Panamanian producers. The lack of certification regarding meat processing plants for export, the crisis in the stockbreeding sector and the lack of incentives to produce exportable food products are all factors that, in the producers' view, prevent the country from taking advantage of the tariff benefits that the Economic Association Agreement provides for the country. Neither are meat or bananas from Honduras reaching Europe. This is due to a shortage of products, technical requirements or commercial shortcomings. German Zepeda, director of the Coordinadora de Sindicatos Bananeros y Agroindustriales de Honduras (Honduran agricultural and banana trade union federation, COSIBAH), reports that almost 100% of banana exports are concentrated on the US market and there is no sign that the situation will change in the near future. The specific reason is that the sector is still not ready for larger-scale production. Mr Zepeda does not rule out the possibility of exploring the European market, but calls for DT\1059827EN.doc 5/10 AP101.799v01-00 EN government support, which he says has not been interested in opening transport links to promote its products in Europe. In conclusion, several reports suggest that there is room to expand production of regional exports to the European Union, covered by the more liberal tariff conditions of the trade pillar of the Association Agreement. What is lacking, however, are the technical means to fill the quotas available on the European market. In other words, where some products are concerned, what is needed is not more markets, but more production and organisation. European Union 9.5% of EU exports to Central America were of agricultural products, 90.3% industrial products and 0.2% fisheries products. The EU's main exports to Central America include machinery and transport equipment, accounting for 47.2% of exports, while chemicals represented 21.5% of exports in 2012. According to the World Trade Organization (WTO), the EUR 5 243 million of exports to the EU represented 0.3% of the European Union's total exports. Across all these exports, it is expected that the European Union may save a total of EUR 87 million each year by removing tariff duties, as agreed under the Association Agreement. Panama, for example, is one of the region's largest whisky importers. With imports of 70% of its whisky from Europe, major European savings will be made in this sector. Similarly, the European Union expects to save EUR 6 million per year by not having to pay customs duties on wines exported to the region. The key objective of the European Union, in terms of trade with Central America, is to boost trade between the two regions in order to strengthen the regional integration process between the Central American countries. In the long term, this means setting up a customs union and the economic integration of Central America. Such integration would facilitate the movement of European goods within Central America. It is hoped that the region will harmonise its customs procedures and use a single customs document in the future, instead of applying the current "national" regulations. The abolition of double levies over time would mean that an importer would only have to pay a single duty for the region instead of several at each border within the region, which would attract more foreign investment to Central America. This will help local businesses to develop greater regional strength, enabling them to compete on foreign markets. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS BETWEEN THE TWO REGIONS The purpose of the Association Agreement - from the Central American side - is to foster sustainable development and to deepen the integration process in the region. Closer economic, political, social and cultural integration between the countries of Central America is important in order to attract investment to the region and to help local businesses to develop their markets so they can compete internationally. This type of reinforcement has been supported by the European Union through a range of programmes. One of the most widely-recognised projects, which seeks to facilitate trade between the two regions by harmonising complementary regional policies, publicising the benefits of the Association Agreement and strengthening regional integration institutions, is the Regional Support Project for Central American Economic Integration and for the Implementation of the Association Agreement AP101.799v01-00 EN 6/10 DT\1059827EN.doc (PRAAIA). The project seeks to encourage Central American producers to harness the Agreement. The project was launched in November 2012 and is expected to be completed in April 2017. The total cost of the project is estimated at EUR 10.5 million, EUR 500 000 of which cofinanced by the Central American Integration System (SICA). The aim of the project is to boost the participation of regional and national SMEs. This is to be achieved in various ways, including regional and national courses, seminars and workshops. The first of these were carried out with the "Euroforos" (Euroforums), which analyse the advantages of Central American exports to the European Union. These forums were inaugurated in Managua, Nicaragua, where 90 of the country's SMEs with an export profile, operating in the fruit, vegetable, processed food, honey, chia seeds, cocoa, textiles and craft goods sectors, received training on aspects of the Association Agreement. These included "non-tariff requirements for access to the EU market", "European consumer trends and habits", and "Emerging market niches for Central American products". A Euroforum event was also held in Panama City on 19 November 2014 at which the main exporters of bananas, pineapples, watermelons, ethyl alcohol and coffee, among other products, were informed about the sanitary and phytosanitary requirements of the Agreement for exports to the European market, together with a presentation of companies that had already successfully exported to Europe. The process of setting up a Central American Customs Union extends beyond the duration of EU cooperation through the PRAAIA project. The results of the project also seek harmonisation, standardisation and simplification of customs procedures. This includes improving and facilitating electronic links between the customs systems of the signatory countries to the Agreement, together with more robust regional statistics, transport and financial services. Greater commercial transparency between the regions is also a primary objective of the customs union, especially where subsidies are concerned. Under the Agreement, the EU and the Central American countries are to report regularly on subsidies granted to producing and exporting companies, and also to exchange information on matters concerning subsidies granted to services. Lastly, sanitary and phytosanitary standards are to be harmonised in Central America over the coming years. This will facilitate the free movement of Central American goods both within the region and internationally. CONCLUSIONS Given that many Central American products are being exported more, and in some cases for the first time to Europe, it is clear that the treaty will bring many new advantages to the region. Seeing that such non-traditional products as chia seeds, honey, plantains and aircraft parts have been imported into Europe in significant quantities over the last year, it can be guaranteed that new products will be exported to the EU in the future, thanks to the trade pillar. As has been argued here on behalf of PARLACEN and the region, what is standing in the way of greater exports abroad, and to the EU in particular, is in many cases low production in Central America. This is why the Association Agreement must be harnessed in such a way DT\1059827EN.doc 7/10 AP101.799v01-00 EN that it brings more jobs to our countries, by creating products for which demand is high abroad, and which can be produced with fewer resources or greater facility in the six Central American countries that have signed the Agreement. This challenge can be successfully met in various ways, one being certification of processing, or improving the technical requirements often needed to export products to the new markets being opened up through treaties such as the Association Agreement. It is frequently difficult to compete with foreign products, many of which are subsidised by European governments through programmes such as the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). In such cases, administrative, economic and logistical studies are of great importance in verifying the opportunities available for the various Central American products in the light of these rules. RECOMMENDATIONS Thanks to the Central American climate, as the figures show, many of the most-exported products to Europe are raw materials: Europe's geographical situation does not allow the production of many of the products that are cultivated and harvested here, such as tropical fruit. Teak wood also grows must faster in this region than in Europe, giving us a "comparative advantage" with these products. This means that we can harvest teak more easily than in Europe. It would therefore be advisable for us to concentrate on products where we enjoy the greatest comparative advantage, in exchange for products for which they enjoy the greatest comparative advantage. For this reason, the Europeans seek to import such products from foreign countries. However, what the six Central American countries covered by the Agreement should seek to do is to remain as productive as, or become more productive than, other parts of the world where similar products can also be produced at competitive prices, such as southern Asia. Similarly, Central America now also has the option of importing products from both the United States and Europe. Since many products can now come from Europe with better quality or at lower prices than from the United States or Asia-Pacific, it is important to remain abreast of new options available on our markets. At the same time, no effort must be spared in ensuring that these treaties remain fair. At many WTO conferences, the developing countries have criticised the industrialised countries for subsidising their agricultural produce, as in the case of the CAP in Europe. In addition, the developed countries often prevent the entry of foreign products, particularly agricultural ones, as they do not meet the necessary requirements - these are known as non-tariff barriers. This type of trade discrimination can be countered mainly through the capacity-building that governments can provide in particular to SMEs and micro-enterprises to enable them to compete on the international market. Lastly, work should continue to sound out sectors in which Central America has the greatest competitive advantage. This does not necessarily have to be a new product, as in the case of honey in El Salvador or plantains in Guatemala: the aim could be to identify goods that are already being produced at competitive prices in Central America, and to identify the countries that are importing them at the highest prices in Europe. Here, it would be a matter of seeking specific markets in Europe while in other cases, it is necessary to boost Central American production to fill the quotas provided by the European Union or gradually allowed under the trade pillar of the Association Agreement. 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