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Dimensions and Measures of Development PAD 6838/ 7865 Development Dimensions Economic Dimension Political Dimension Social Dimension Health Dimension Physical Dimension Environmental Dimension Economic dimension Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Gross value added by all resident producers in the economy plus any taxes and minus subsidies (depreciation not included; intermediate inputs are subtracted in the gross value). Gross National Income (GNI): Total value added from domestic and foreign sources claimed by residents [GNI= GDP + income from foreign sources] Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): The exchange rate that equates the price of a basket of identically traded goods and services (weighted for relative importance in GDP) with another country’s currency (usually the US$) Carried out through International Comparison Program (ICP) Understan ding PPP: Big Mac Index [http://www.economist.c om/media/audio/burgern omics.ram ] Source: The Economist GNI per capita, 2008 Source: World Bank GNI per capita, adjusted for PPP: High income: $11,906 or more Middle—Upper: $3,856 to $11,905 Middle—Lower: $976 to $3,855 Low: $975 or less Political Dimension Capitalist (First World); Socialist (Second World) Non-Alignment Third Way/ Alternative Development Path Bandung Conference, 1955 Initial 29 Countries (e.g. Burma, India, Indonesia, Egypt, Pakistan, Yugoslavia) Now, 115 member countries Post Colonialism Government forms Democracy and Political Freedom Good governance (transparency; lack of corruption) Social Dimension - 1 Equity/ Equality Distribution of Income/ Wealth Gini coefficient is measured by the Lorenz curve [Area A / (Area A + Area B)] 0= complete equality; 1=complete inequality Lorenz curve maps the cumulative income share on the vertical axis against the distribution of the population on the horizontal axis. Individual Freedom Human Freedom Index Social equity—Gini coefficient Social Dimension - 2 Status of various groups Law and Legal apparatus (Institutions) Women; Minority; Children; Religion; Laws (Rights to property) Efficiency of Court Systems Efficiency of law enforcement (police) Culture, Norms, Traditions, Religion Education Gross National Happiness? [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXJwNSkdTH0 ] See Bhutan’s effort: http://www.grossnationalhappiness.com/ Health Dimension Mortality Morbidity Life Expectancy at birth Public health diseases Chronic diseases Life Threatening diseases Nutrition Calorie Intake Physical Dimension Physical Infrastructure Water; Sewerage; Electricity, Telecom Housing; Transportation Hospitals; Schools Urban/ Rural Industrial Development Environmental Dimension Emissions, pollution Biodiversity Intergenerational Equity Sustainable Development Integrating dimensions: HDI Human Development Index Healthy life: Life expectancy at birth [Ilife] Knowledge: Education (Mean years of schooling, expected years of schooling) [IEducation] Decent standard of living: GNI PPP per capita [Iincome] Women’s status Gender Empowerment Measure Gender Development Index Calculating HDI Dimension index = (actual value – minimum value)/(maximum value – minimum value) HDI= (ILife. IEducation. IIncome) ^(1/3) Human Development Index, 2010 Black: Very low HDI (<0.4) Very light blue: Low HDI (0.4 to 0.55) Light blue: Medium HDI (>=0.55; <0.7) Blue: High HDI (0.7 to 0.85) Dark blue: Very High HDI (>0.85) Index Differences Integrating dimensions: Stiglitz et al WELL-BEING: Based on critique of GDP The Stiglitz et al Commission’s report “advocates a shift of emphasis from a ‘production-oriented’ measurement system to one focused on the well-being of current and future generations, i.e. toward broader measures of social progress.” (p. 10) Dimensions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Material living standards (income, consumption and wealth) Health Education Personal activities including work Political voice and governance Social connections and relationships Environment (present and future conditions) Insecurity, of an economic as well as a physical nature Stiglitz et al recommendations 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. When evaluating material well-being, look at income and consumption rather than production Emphasise the household perspective Consider income and consumption jointly with wealth Give more prominence to the distribution of income, consumption and wealth Broaden income measures to non-market activities [leisure and other unpaid activities, e.g. housemaker] Quality of life depends on people’s objective conditions and capabilities. Steps should be taken to improve measures of people’s health, education, personal activities and environmental conditions. In particular, substantial effort should be devoted to developing and implementing robust, reliable measures of social connections, political voice, and insecurity that can be shown to predict life satisfaction. Quality-of-life indicators in all the dimensions covered should assess inequalities in a comprehensive way Stiglitz et al recommendations 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Surveys should be designed to assess the links between various qualityof-life domains for each person, and this information should be used when designing policies in various fields Statistical offices should provide the information needed to aggregate across quality-of-life dimensions, allowing the construction of different indexes. Measures of both objective and subjective well-being provide key information about people’s quality of life. Statistical offices should incorporate questions to capture people’s life evaluations, hedonic experiences and priorities in their own survey Sustainability assessment requires a well-identified dashboard of indicators. The distinctive feature of the components of this dashboard should be that they are interpretable as variations of some underlying “stocks”. A monetary index of sustainability has its place in such a dashboard but, under the current state of the art, it should remain essentially focused on economic aspects of sustainability. The environmental aspects of sustainability deserve a separate followup based on a well-chosen set of physical indicators. In particular there is a need for a clear indicator of our proximity to dangerous levels of environmental damage (such as associated with climate change or the depletion of fishing stocks.) Millennium Development Goals GOALS AND THEIR ACHIEVEMENT BY 2010 Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 1. • The global economic crisis has slowed progress, but the world is still on track to meet the poverty reduction target Achieve universal primary education 2. • Hope dims for universal education by 2015, even as many poor countries make tremendous strides Promote gender equality and empower women 3. • For girls in some regions, education remains elusive Reduce child mortality 4. • Child deaths are falling, but not quickly enough to reach the target Improve maternal health 5. • Reduce by three quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria & other diseases 6. • The spread of HIV appears to have stabilized in most regions, and more people are surviving longer Ensure environmental sustainability 7. • The rate of deforestation shows signs of decreasing, but is still alarmingly high Develop a global partnership for development 8. • Aid continues to rise despite the financial crisis, but Africa is shortchanged Sources GNI per capita map Human Development Map http://datafinder.worldbank.org/gni-percapita-ppp http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/data/hd_m ap/ Millennium Development Goals data http://devdata.worldbank.org/atlas-mdg/ Quiz What is HDI? GNI includes foreign investment. True or false? A country’s Gini coefficient is 0. Therefore, it has perfect equality. True or False? What is well-being? What are the critiques of alternative measures of GDP? Debate next class Should population growth be controlled? Jury of 3 (1 PhD + 2 master’s students) Divide into two groups of 11 each (approx)—pros vs cons There will be some additional readings online for you to decide