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Actualité scientifique ,8$1*9!-*-#8!&"$E/8* 58!&"$!/8#"&7.# @F#GHI July#JIKG 5&!.0!8#%*D*(-.#reassessed in the Andes (© IRD / L. Audin) Gulf of Guayaquil and Andes. Although being able to predict the date on which the next big earthquake will occur is still some way off becoming a reality, it is now possible to identify the areas where they will occur. IRD researchers and their French, Ecuadorian and Peruvian partners have just measured the current deformation !"#$%&#"'($%&("#)*($#'+#$%&#,"-&.#+'(#$%&#/(.$#$!0.!"2#3456#7%&(&#$%&#$&8$'"!8.#'+#$%*8!/8#*"-# 5'1$%#,0&(!8*"#)9*$&.#2':&("#$%&#%!2%#.&!.0!8#*8$!:!$;#!"#$%&#(&2!'"<#=%&#.8!&"$!.$.#$%&"#!-&"$!/&-# the areas where the fault, located at the interface of these two plates, is capable of generating large earthquakes or not. =%!.#7'(>6#7%!8%#7*.#)1?9!.%&-#!"#@*$1(&'.8!&"8&6#*9.'#.%&-#9!2%$#'"#$%&#+'(0*$!'"#'+#9*(2&# tectonic structures such as the Bolivian highlands and the Gulf of Guayaquil in Ecuador, with the discovery of a continental microplate in Peru and southern Ecuador. Good to know =%&#,"-&.#(&2!'"#!.#'"&#'+#$%�'.$#!"$&".&#.&!.0!8#*(&*.#'"#$%&#)9*"&$<#=%!.#.&!.0!8#*8$!:!$;#!.#8*1.&-#?;#$%*8!/8#A8&*"!8# )9*$&#.9!-!"2#1"-&(#$%'1$%#,0&(!8*"#8'"$!"&"$<#=%!.#)%&"'0&"'"#!.#>"'7"#*.#B.1?-18$!'"C#*"-#*881019*$&.#B&9*.$!8C# &"&(2;#*9'"2#$%'"$*8$#D'"&#'+#$%&#$7'#$&8$'"!8#)9*$&.<#=%&#&"&(2;#!.#(&9&*.&-#7%&"#$%&#&*($%#8(1.$#/"*99;#?(&*>.#*"-# causes major earthquakes. Glossary GPS:#39'?*9#4'.!$!'"!"2#5;.$&06#*#29'?*9#)'.!$!'"!"2#.;.$&0< Fault: the boundary between two tectonic blocks or plates on which earthquakes occur. VA@=,V=5 Clearly determined seismic areas =%&# (&.&*(8%&(.# 7&(&# *?9&# $'# 9'8*$&# $%&# *(&*.# *$# (!.><# A"9;# $7'# +*19$# .&20&"$.# can produce mega-earthquakes (greater $%*"# T<_# '"# $%&# [!8%$&(# .8*9&O6# )'$&"$!*99;# *88'0)*"!&-# ?;# $.1"*0!.S# $%&# /(.$# !.# located in central Peru and the second is further north, extending from northern Ecuador to southern Colombia. In between these two active segments, the research $&*0#!-&"$!/&-#*#$%!(-#.1?-18$!'"#.&20&"$<# 5'0&7%*$#.1()(!.!"29;6#$%!.#!.#8%*(*8$&(!.&-# ?;# .9!-!"2# $%*$# !.# 0*!"9;# B*.&!.0!8C<# 5'# !"# $%!.#*(&*#.)*""!"2#0'(&#$%*"#K6III#>0#+('0# the north of Peru to the south of Ecuador, or JI`#'+#$%	&"2$%#'+#$%&#,"-&*"#.1?-18$!'"6# $%&#*881019*$&-#&"&(2;#.&&0.#!".1+/8!&"$# to produce a mega-earthquake. Across the (&2!'"6#&*($%^1*>&.#(&0*!"#0'(&#.1)&(/8!*9# and more modest in magnitude, as shown in recent history. Andean structures explained =%&.&# .$1-!&.# %*:&# *9.'# &"*?9&-# $%&# researchers to discover a large continental ?9'8>6#7&-2&-#?&$7&&"#$%*8!/8#*"-#5'1$%# ,0&(!8*"# )9*$&.<# =%!.# )!&8&# '+# 8'"$!"&"$# 7*.#8*99&-#$%&#B.9!:&(#Z"8*C#?;#$%&#*1$%'(.# '+#$%&#.$1-;#*"-#!.#0'(&#$%*"#K6_II#>0#9'"2# *"-#MII#$'#GII#>0#7!-&<#Z$#!.#.&)*(*$&-#+('0# $%'"$!"&"$*9#)9*$&#*"-#0':&.#_#$'#H#00# per year towards the south-east in relation $'#!$<#=%!.#/"-!"2#.122&.$.#$%*$#$%Q((&"$# deformation of the Andes from Venezuela to southern Chile, and the seismic activity in the region are dominated by the movements of several microplates of that type. =%&# -!.8':&(;# '+# $%&# B.9!:&(# Z"8*C# *9.'# explains the location of major tectonic structures. For example, the Bolivian highlands, the second highest plateau in $%'(9-6#7*.#8(&*$&-#?;#$%&#B.9!:&(#Z"8*C# and the central Andes microplate coming together. In contrast, the opening of the Gulf of Guayaquil in Ecuador is a result of the divergence of the Inca block and the northern Andes microplate. Coordination Gaëlle Courcoux Information and Culture Department =<#LMM#NIOG#PK#PP#PG#PI Q*RS#LMM#NIOG#PK#PP#PJ#JT /8%&.*8$1U!(-<+( =%&.&#.$1-!&.#*99'7#*#?&$$&(#1"-&(.$*"-!"2# of recent developments in the Andes and $%&!(# 8'"$!"&"$*9# 0*(2!".<# =%&;# $%&(&+'(&# make better estimates of seismic hazards in the region possible. www.ird.fr/la-mediatheque Partners 3]'*D1(# 9*?'(*$'(;# )*($"&(.6# Z5=\46# Z5=&((&6# Z3a \4@#*"-#Z3b#!"#\81*-'(#*"-#Z34#*"-#Z3@#!"#4&(1< Media Contact References NOCQUET JEAN-MATHIEU, VILLEGAS-LANZA J. C., CHLIEH MOHAMED, MOTHES P. A., ROLANDONE F., JARRIN P., CISNEROS D., ALVARADO A., AUDIN LAURENCE, BONDOUX FRANCIS, MARTIN XAVIER, FONT YVONNE, RÉGNIER MARC, VALLÉE MARTIN, TRAN T., BEAUVAL CÉLINE, MENDOZA J. M. M., MARTINEZ W., TAVERA H., YEPES H<#b'$!'"#'+# continental slivers and creeping subduction in the northern Andes. Nature Geoscience6#JIKG6#Y#NGO6#)<# JTYaJPK<#Z55@#KY_JaITPG<#+-!SIKIIHKPGJ Contacts Jean-Mathieu Nocquet, IRD researcher =<#NL_PMO#PPP#ITTT#GK c&*"a0*$%!&1<"'8^1&$U!(-<+( V(!.$&99&#WXA5 =<#LMM#NIOG#PK#PP#PG#TY )(&..&U!(-<+( Indigo, IRD Photo Library Daina Rechner Mohamed Chlieh, IRD researcher =<#NL__KO#KG#MGM#GIJ 0'%*0&-<8%9!&%U!(-<+(# Laurence Audin, IRD researcher 9*1(&"8&<*1-!"U!(-<+( =<#LMM#NIOG#YH#HM#_J#G_ Géoazur Joint Research Unit NZ[W#d#X@5#d#V@[5#d#AV,O =<#LMM#NIOG#PK#PP#PG#TK !"-!2'U!(-<+( Photos : www.indigo.ird.fr ISTerre Joint Research Unit NZ[W#d#XeQ#V@[5#d#X5#d#ZQ5==,[O 51?.8(!?&#$'#$%&#.8!&"$!+!8#"&7.#'+#$%&#Z[WS#+!8%&.*8$1U!(-<+( 44 boulevard de Dunkerque, CS 90009 13572 Marseille Cedex 02 France © IRD/DIC, Août 2014 - Conception et réalisation graphique : L. CORSINI First measurement of the deformation in the northern Andes =%&# ,"-&.# %*:&# %*-# $%(&&# '+# $%&# 9*(2&.$# earthquakes ever recorded: on the border ?&$7&&"#V'9'0?!*#*"-#\81*-'(#!"#KPIH6#*.# 7&99#*.#!"#V%!9&6#!"#KPHI#*"-#*2*!"#!"#JIKI<# When will one of these major earthquakes happen there again? It is impossible to say... But scientists can now identify the areas where it will occur. Researchers from the 3]'*D1(6# Z5=&((&# *"-# Z5=\4# 9*?'(*$'(!&.# and their partners from geophysical and geographical institutes in Ecuador and Peru, have just measured the deformation in the northern Andes caused by the subduction of $%&# 4*8!/8# A8&*"!8# )9*$&# 1"-&(# $%&# 5'1$%# American continental plate. Using a vast 345# "&$7'(># 7%!8%# %*.# ?&&"# -&)9';&-# .!"8&#JIIT#*"-#'?.&(:*$!'"*9#-*$*#8'99&8$&-# .!"8&# $%&# KPPI.6# $%&;# %*:&# ^1*"$!/&-# $%&# 0':&0&"$.# '+# KII# 0&*.1(&0&"$# )'!"$.# from central Peru to southern Colombia, with an accuracy of about one millimetre per year.