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Economic analysis from the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Volume III, Issue 7 29.06.2006 ECFIN COUNTRY FOCUS Highlights in this issue: • Good regulation enhances market flexibility. Poor regulation undermines productivity • The UK's regulatory burden is generally rather low, although not in specific areas • Other countries now appear to be lightening their regulatory burdens faster than the UK Regulation in the UK: is it getting too heavy? John Sheehy* Summary Some regulation is needed to enhance growth and economic welfare, but too much undermines productivity. Generally, the UK seems lightly regulated, especially in its international transactions, and it has a public enterprise sector small in both size and scope. Yet British business has become more critical of the regulatory burden it faces, and work done for the government identifies areas of excessive regulatory burden. The UK seems to interfere directly in the control of some business enterprises more than the EU average, seems to "gold plate" EU legislation, and seems to be obliging SMEs to spend more and more time dealing with regulations. But perhaps the primary cause of growing British business criticism could be that regulation in the UK is generally not now so much lighter relative to other Member States or other developed economies as it used to be. If the lightness of the UK's regulatory burden was a competitive advantage for British business in the past, in recent years other countries appear to have been lightening their regulatory burdens faster than the UK, significantly eroding that advantage; this could also perhaps partially explain why the UK is no longer closing its productivity gap on other advanced countries. What risk does heavy regulation pose? Regulations are rules which government bodies use to implement specific laws and general objectives; they consist of specific standards or instructions concerning what can or cannot be done by individuals, businesses, and other organisations. Regulations establish the rules governing all aspects of economic activity, notably market competition, business conduct, the labour market, consumer protection, public health and safety, and the environment. According to the OECD (2005), regulations are "perhaps the most pervasive form of state intervention in economic activity" but are "essential for the good working of market economies". Unhindered markets can suffer from problems of monopoly or externalities, problems which governments may be able to correct by regulating. For example, government can set regulations to maintain health and safety standards or, in an industry subject to increasing returns, to prevent the resulting natural monopoly from exploiting its market power. A sound regulatory regime that reduces risk and bolsters market credibility may be essential to the attraction of investment and business. Regulating property rights and competition and natural monopolies can boost efficient economic activity, enhancing economic growth and welfare. * Directorate for the Economies of the Member States. The views expressed in the ECFIN Country Focus belong to the authors only and do not necessarily correspond to those of the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs or the European Commission. If regulation is not done well, it can be very damaging However, too much regulation can undermine productivity performance. Even regulations introduced for sound economic reasons may be excessive and entail compliance costs that exceed any possible benefits; alternatively, regulations may be badly designed. In either case, the regulatory outcome will be inefficient. And when regulations are introduced as a result of regulatory capture, they are almost inevitably costly. Regulations which curb competition and private governance are likely to have a negative effect on productivity by slowing down technological catchup to best-practice technologies or impact negatively on employment creation. The UK government recognise the challenge posed by regulation. They consider regulatory reform a key source of product, capital and, especially, labour market flexibility. Market flexibility is one of the five economic tests the UK Treasury applies to determine whether the UK should adopt the euro. In 2003, they concluded that markets in the UK and the rest of the EU were insufficiently flexible. British business is very critical of the UK's regulatory burden British business is very critical of growing "red tape" Analysis for the government has identified regulatory burdens British business has become noticeably more vocal in criticising the degree of regulation in the UK. As the UK Parliament's Select Committee on Trade and Industry remarked in the introduction to their March 2005 report (House of Commons, 2005), business organisations have undertaken constant public campaigns against what they see as the increasing tide of regulation which is constraining their ability to deploy their workforce in a flexible manner. According to Ambler et al (2006), the cumulative cost (net of benefits to business) of regulations to UK business introduced since 1998 has grown by £50bn (approximately 5% of GDP), of which 86% in 2004/05 stemmed from EU legislation. However, business believes that much of the transposition of EU law into UK law is unnecessarily "gold plated" – i.e., more regulation being used to implement an EU directive than required (e.g., to widen the scope or add to the substantive requirement). Deloitte & Touche (2005), surveying British business opinion about the attractiveness of the UK as a location to do business, found that the balance of opinion on the evolution of regulation over the past five years was significantly negative. A separate survey of SMEs in 2005 by the Federation of Small Businesses (2006) revealed that 56% of respondents had had to increase the time they spent dealing with legislative requirements. Work for the government has tended to corroborate businesses' view. The 2005 Hampton Review (Hampton, 2005), set up by the Chancellor of the Exchequer, concluded that the regulatory system … as a whole is uncoordinated and good practice is not uniform. There are overlaps in regulators’ responsibilities and enforcement activities. There are too many forms, and too many duplicated information requests (p.1). Meanwhile, the 2005 Arculus Report (Arculus, 2005), delivered at the Prime Minister's request, concluded that the total annual cost of regulation to the UK economy in 2005 was over £100 billion (or between 10% and 12% of GDP), approximately equivalent to the UK Treasury's annual income tax receipts, and that the UK could "considerably reduce the regulatory burden on business". Yet the evidence suggests that, overall, UK levels of regulation are actually relatively light Yet, compared to many countries in the OECD and the EU, the UK is relatively lightly regulated ECFIN Country Focus At first sight, the complaints by British business about increasing regulatory burdens in the UK seem puzzling. According to the OECD (2005) indicators of Product Market Regulation (PMR), the degree of product market regulation in the UK in 2003 was significantly lighter than the EU (and the OECD) average. According to the OECD database, overall, the UK was the second lightest regulated economy in the OECD, and the lightest EU Member State. Chart 1 shows that the UK's regulation of its UK trade and foreign investment relations with the rest of the world is especially light (the OECD's index of restrictiveness ranges from 0 - no regulation to 6 - maximum restrictiveness), lighter than its regulation of its domestic economy. Nonetheless, the UK regulates its domestic economy significantly more lightly than do other EU Member States. Volume III, Issue 7 Page 2 Chart 1: Intensity of competition-reducing regulation 2.0 Index of restrictiveness 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Product market regulation Inw ard-oriented policies UK Outw ard-oriented policies EU Source: OECD (2005) The UK regulates entrepreneurship particularly lightly The OECD divides its high level indicator of regulatory activity in the domestic economy into two: (1) the degree of state control and (2) barriers to entrepreneurial activity. Chart 2 shows that entrepreneurial activity, in particular, is very lightly regulated in the UK compared to the rest of the EU. Chart 2: State control and barriers to entrepreneurship, 2003 Index of restrictiveness 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 State control Barriers to entrepreneurship UK EU Source: OECD (2005) Box: OECD database The OECD's indicators of Product Market Regulation (PMR) were first developed in 1998 (OECD, 2000) to measure the extent to which regulations in individual OECD countries reduced the potential intensity of competition in areas of the product market where competition is viable. The indicators summarise a large set of formal rules and regulations affecting competition in OECD countries. Answers to a questionnaire sent to OECD Member governments are the principal source of regulatory data used by the indicators. The PMR indicators summarise information on 139 economy-wide or industry-specific regulatory provisions, the bulk of the information coming from country responses to the questionnaire. Nevertheless, the database, good as it is, is still limited. For example, it excludes environmental and health and safety regulations. The indicators are divided into three levels: low, medium and high. First, 16 low level indicators are calculated from the responses generated by the questionnaire by appropriately assigning responses with a numerical value over a scale of zero to six and weighting them for aggregation purposes. The low level indicators are then further aggregated using another weighting scheme to produce fewer, more general "medium-level" indicators. Finally, further aggregation of the medium level indicators produces an even smaller set of "higher level" indicators. The supreme high level indicator attempts to summarise all the information gleaned from the questionnaires into a single overall indicator of product market regulation. ECFIN Country Focus Volume III, Issue 7 Page 3 And the government is very active about regulatory reform The British government takes regulatory reform very seriously The government puts great store by regulatory simplification and deregulation. To that end, it introduced to Parliament in January 2006, the Legislative and Regulatory Reform Bill. The Bill aims to make it quicker and easier to tackle unnecessary or over-complicated regulation and help bring about a risk-based approach to regulation. Should it become law, the Bill will deliver a number of wide-scale reforms announced in the May 2005 Better Regulation Action Plan, which itself follows a number of Action Plans for Regulatory Reform. The government's regulatory reform commitment can be seen in its institutional arrangements; at the heart of government, in the Cabinet Office, is the Better Regulation Executive which works to reduce and remove unnecessary regulation right across government. There is a Better Regulation Commission which conducts in-depth reviews of different aspects of regulation in order to find ways to lessen regulatory burdens. Inside government Departments, there are trained Better Regulation Units to advise policy-makers. Departments have to carry out regulatory Impact Assessments (RIAs) on all policy changes and these RIAs are then, themselves, regularly scrutinised by the Better Regulation Commission and the National Audit Office. There have also been a number of important in-depth reports on regulation in the UK under the current government: two notable examples mentioned already are the Hampton Review and the Arculus Report. Nevertheless, in specific areas of regulation, the UK is not always the most lightly regulated country In some specific areas, the UK regulates relatively heavily and may also unnecessarily "gold plate" EU legislation The UK government, according to the OECD, seems to interfere relatively heavily in business enterprises, more apparently than other EU governments (see Chart 3). Apparently, the UK's public authorities possess special voting rights over businesses in which they have shares that are more generous than in other countries. Similarly, in some sectors of the economy, the UK's regulatory touch is not the lightest. According to a study done for the Commission services by Copenhagen Economics, in 2004 the UK's regulation of its retail sector was heavier than in at least five other Member States. The OECD comes up with a similar finding, estimating that in 2003 the UK was the fourth ranked Member State in the EU for the intensity of its regulation covering road transport and retail distribution. The OECD also finds the UK's regulation of fixed and mobile telecommunications to be relatively heavier than a number of other Member States. As for European legislation, Ambler et al (2004) find that when the UK transposes an EU directive, on average it will "gold plate" the directive by more than tripling the amount of words used compared to the English language version of the original EU directive. Chart 3: Specific levers of state control Index of restrictiveness (2003) 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Scope of public enterprise sector Size of public enterprise sector Direct control over Use of command & business control regulation enterprise UK Price controls EU Source: OECD (2005) ECFIN Country Focus Volume III, Issue 7 Page 4 And the UK is generally not as lightly regulated relative to other advanced industrial countries as it used to be In recent years, other countries appear to have reduced the burden of their regulatory regimes faster than the UK While the UK continues to try to lighten the restrictiveness of its regulatory burdens, other Member States have also been busy. Chart 4 shows how Member States' degree of product market regulation has changed between 1998 and 2003. Countries to the right of the dotted line have reduced the burden of their product market regulation over that period. All Member States are to the right of the dotted line, which means that all Member States covered by the OECD, including the UK, have reduced their levels of product market regulation. However, most Member States are further away from the dotted line than the UK meaning that not only have the UK's EU partners generally reduced the restrictiveness of their overall product market regulation faster than the UK, some - notably Denmark, Sweden and Finland - have very nearly caught it up. This could be a factor behind the UK's recent disappointing productivity growth slowdown and inability to close its productivity gaps with other advanced economies. Chart 4: Restrictiveness of economy-wide product market regulation 4.0 2003 EU15 average 3.5 3.0 PL 2.5 HU 2.0 EU15 average 1.5 IE DK 1.0 NL AT FR PT DE SE BE FIN IT EL CZ ES UK 0.5 1998 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Source: OECD (2006) However, the best available evidence on regulatory burdens may not do justice to current UK regulatory reform However, the OECD's PMR database may not do justice to the UK government's ongoing regulatory activities. First, the PMR database does not assess the overall quality of regulations; in the case of the UK, where the emphasis in regulatory reform has shifted away from the radical deregulation of the 1980s to a concern with better regulation, this may mean the database does not adequately reflect the value of today's regulatory efforts by the government. Secondly, the database, whilst being the best available, is still incomplete, and that may bias its results. The indicators do not, for example, take account of issues of implementation and enforcement. Finally, as remarked at the beginning of this Country Focus, because a certain amount of regulation enhances economic growth and welfare, therefore an optimally regulated country would not have PMR indicators registering zero. That means that the UK's potential by 1998 to reduce its regulatory burden further may already have been limited by comparison with the potential in other countries. Conclusion British business has become more vocal in criticising the UK's regulatory burden. Puzzlingly, the best available evidence suggests that the UK's overall levels of regulation are actually relatively light, if not in some specific areas of regulation. Furthermore, the government pursues regulatory reform energetically. Nonetheless, summary data indicates that other countries, including many of the UK's EU partners, appear in recent years to have been deregulating faster than the UK. The primary cause of British business criticism could reflect these signs that, in a globalising world, regulation in the UK is now not significantly lighter than in some other Member States, or in other developed economies. Whereas in earlier years, when the UK's regulatory burden was much lighter than in other countries, British business enjoyed the competitive advantage of lower regulatory compliance costs and, therefore, operating costs than their external competitors. Today, however, as regulatory regimes outside the UK have apparently gained ground on the UK, the competitive advantage may have shrunk. That, in turn, may be a factor behind the ECFIN Country Focus Volume III, Issue 7 Page 5 UK's recent inability to further close its productivity gap with other advanced countries. References Ambler, T. et al (2004), How Much Regulation is Gold Plate? A Study of UK Elaboration of EU Directives, London, the British Chambers of Commerce, available from: http://www.chamberonline.co.uk/policy/pdf/goldplate.pdf Ambler, T. et al (2006), Regulators: Box Tickers or Burdens Busters? UK Regulatory Impact Assessments in 2004/05, London, the British Chambers of Commerce, available from: http://www.chamberonline.co.uk/policy/pdf/RIA_2006.pdf Arculus, D. (2005), Regulation - Less is More: Reducing Burdens, Improving Outcomes, London, BRTF, available from: http://www.brc.gov.uk/downloads/pdf/lessismore.pdf Copenhagen Economics (2005), Economic Assessment of the Barriers to the Internal Market for Services – Final Report, Copenhagen, available from: http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/services/services-dir/studies_en.htm Deloitte & Touche (2005), Trading Places: How Globalisation will Drive Future UK Competitiveness, London, available from: http://www.deloitte.com/dtt/article/0,1002,sid%253D43550%2526cid%253D101639,00.html Federation of Small Businesses (2006), Lifting the Barriers to Growth in UK Small Businesses: The FSB Biennial Membership Survey, 2006, London, available from: http://www.fsb.org.uk/data/default.asp?id=381&loc=policy Hampton, P. (2005), Reducing administrative burdens: effective inspection and enforcement, London, HM Treasury, available from: http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file22988.pdf House of Commons (2005), Trade and Industry – seventh report, Select Committee on Trade and Industry, London, available from: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200405/cmselect/cmtrdind/90/9002.htm OECD (2000), Summary indicators of product market regulation with an extension to employment protection legislation, Economics Department Working Paper No.226, Paris, OECD Publications, available from: http://puck.sourceoecd.org/vl=4111140/cl=17/nw=1/rpsv/cgi-bin/wppdf?file=5lgsjhvj846b.pdf OECD (2005), Product market regulation in OECD countries: 1998 to 2003, Economics Department Working Paper No.419, OECD Publications, available from: http://puck.sourceoecd.org/vl=4111140/cl=17/nw=1/rpsv/cgi-bin/wppdf?file=5lgsjhvj755k.pdf OECD (2006), Economic Policy Reforms: Going for Growth 2006, Paris, OECD Publications, available from: http://www.oecd.org/document/7/0,2340,en_2649_201185_35995079_1_1_1_1,00.html The ECFIN Country Focus provides concise analysis of a policy-relevant economic question for one or more of the EU Member States. It appears fortnightly. Chief Editor: Marco Buti, Director of the Directorate for the Economies of the Member States. Coordinating Committee: Zdeněk Čech, Heinz Jansen, Martin Larch Layout: Vittorio Gargaro, Johannes Kattevilder E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/publications/countryfocus_en.htm ECFIN Country Focus Volume III, Issue 7 Page 6