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Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago UNCORRECTED PROOF Frog community responses to recent American bullfrog invasions Yiming LI 1*, Zhunwei KE 1,2, Yihua WANG 1,2, Tim M. BLACKBURN3 1 Key laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China 2 Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 19 Yuquan Road, Beijing 100039, China 3 Institute of Zoology, ZSL, Regent’s Park, London, NW1 4RY, United Kingdom Abstract Native species may decline quickly when confronted with an exotic species to which they are not adapted. The extent of decline may depend on the abundance of an invader and the length of time since it first arrived in the community (residence time), and the interaction between these two variables. We tested these effects using data on the effects of American bullfrog Lithobates catesbeianus invasion on native frog communities in 65 permanent lentic waters on islands in the Zhoushan Archipelago, China. We examined variation in native frog abundance and species richness in relation to features of the American bullfrog invasion, habitat disturbance, characteristics of the water body and fish communities and the presence of red swamp crayfish. Bullfrog invaded sites had lower native frog density and species richness, higher submerged vegetation cover and greater frequency of repairs to the water body than did non-invaded sites. The minimum adequate general linear mixed models showed that both native frog density and species richness were negatively related to post-metamorphosis bullfrog density, and that native frog species richness was also positively related to the vegetation cover. There was no effect on either native frog density or species richness of residence time or its interaction with bullfrog density, or of the abundance of bullfrog tadpoles. The results suggested that post-metamorphosis bullfrogs had impacts on native frog communities in the islands, and that the extents of these impacts are proportional to post-metamorphosis bullfrog density [Current Zoology 57 (1): – , 2011]. Key words Invader abundance, Residence time, Impact, American bullfrog, Native frog decline Many invasive species have large impacts on native communities and human economies, posing a major Received Feb. 25; 2010; accepted June 2, 2010. Corresponding author. [email protected] © 2011 Current Zoology 1 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago threat to global biodiversity (Williamson, 1996; Wilcove et al., 1998; Mack et al., 2000; Pimentel et al., 2002). Understanding the factors governing the impacts of invaders is thus of considerable importance for the management of invasive species. Such factors may include the abundance of the invader, the time since the start of the invasion (here termed ‘residence time’), the invader’s functional distinctiveness, and disturbance or other changes to the environment (Parker et al., 1999; Mack et al., 2000; Ricciardi and Atkinson, 2004; McKinney, 2005; Sax et al., 2005; Strayer et al., 2006). However, few studies have been conducted to evaluate these effects on assemblages of native species (Parker et al., 1999; Mack et al., 2000; Strayer et al., 2006; Wilson et al., 2007). Strayer et al. (2006) distinguished between invasions in an ‘acute’ phase, immediately after a new species arrives, and a ‘chronic’ phase, after various ecological and evolutionary processes have come into play. Any decline in native species may be especially severe in the acute phase, when confronted with an exotic species (predator, competitor, or disease transmitter) to which they have not been previously exposed, and to which they are not yet adapted. The extent of this decline in the invaded community is likely to increase with both the abundance of the invader and the residence time. Invader abundance and residence time may also act synergistically: lower invader abundance over a longer residence time, or higher invader abundance over a shorter residence time, may have greater impacts on the invaded community than lower invader abundance over shorter residence time. We tested the impacts of invader abundance and residence time by evaluating the effects of exotic American bullfrogs (Lithobates catesbeianus; hereafter referred to as bullfrogs) on the richness and abundance of species in native frog communities on islands in the Zhoushan Archipelago, China. Naturalized populations of bullfrogs on the islands derive from escapes from bullfrog farms or from deliberate releases for religious purposes, and have recently invaded multiple water bodies on several of the islands (Li et al., 2006). This provides a unique replicated natural experiment on the effects of the abundance and residence time of an invasive species on native frog communities. Naturalized bullfrogs have caused population declines or local extinctions of some native amphibians and snakes in the United States and other countries (ISSG 2002; Kats & Ferrer 2003; Ficetola et al. 2007b) through the combined impacts of larvae and adults, although a few studies have shown the impacts of bullfrog tadpoles on local frog tadpoles (Kupferberg, 1997; Kiesecker and Blaustein, 1997; Kiesecker et al., 2001). However, little is known about influence of post-metamorphosis bullfrogs alone on the local frogs, or on the quantitative effects of bullfrog density and residence time. We used the experiment in nature provided by naturalised bullfrogs on the Zhoushan Archipelago to test three predictions about the impacts of bullfrogs on native frog communities. If bullfrog density and residence time had harmful impacts on the native frog communities, it would be expected that (1) the native frog density 2 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago and species richness of local communities were lower in bullfrog-invaded sites than non-invaded sites; (2) native frog density and species richness were negatively correlated with bullfrog density and residence time; and (3) there were synergistic effects of bullfrog density and residence time, such that the interactions between these variables explained variation in native frog abundance and species richness over bullfrog density and residence time alone. We focused on effects on the abundance and richness of native frog species because the effects of invasive species are most frequently quantified in these terms (Sax et al., 2005). 1 Materials and Methods 1.1 Study species The bullfrog is native to the eastern and Great Plains regions of the United States and Nova Scotia in Canada (Bury and Whelan, 1984). Since the end of the 19th century it has been introduced widely across the world (ISSG, 2002; Li and Xie, 2004; Govindarajulu, 2004; Ficetola et al., 2007a,b; Giovannelli et al., 2008; Liu and Li, 2009). Bullfrogs prefer larger permanent still waters such as ponds or reservoirs and breed from early spring through late summer (Bruneau and Magnin, 1980; Bury and Whelan, 1984; Shirose and Brooks, 1995; Wang and Li, 2009). Bullfrog larvae typically require several months to three years before metamorphosis (Willis et al., 1956; Degraaf and Yamasaki, 2001). Bullfrogs often co-occur with other aquatic invasive species (Moyle, 1973; Adams et al 1999). The invasion of bullfrogs can be facilitated by the presence of co-evolved non-native fish (Adams et al., 2003). In the Zhoushan Archipelago and nearby mainland, propagule pressure and human hunting pressure (negative effect) are major determinants of bullfrog invasion success, while characteristics of permanent water bodies, such as submerged vegetation cover, maximum depth and surface area, do not affect the invasion success (Li et al., 2006). 1.2 Study islands The Zhoushan Archipelago (29°31′–31°04′N and 121°30′–123°25′ E) is located in the East China Sea, Zhejiang Province of China (Fig. 1). The detailed descriptions of the archipelago can be found elsewhere (Li et al., 1998; 2006). Eight native frog and toad species occurred in our study sites, and frogs can be found in permanent water bodies and surrounding areas. They exhibit some habitat and resource overlap with bullfrogs (Wu et al., 2005). Breeding sites for amphibians are mainly provided by freshwater ponds, pools, reservoirs, rivers, streams, rice fields, ditches and puddles. Rivers and streams are relatively rare on the islands, while reservoirs and ponds are common. Here, pond refers to a permanent lentic water without a dam, and reservoir to a permanent lentic water with a dam. Most ponds or reservoirs are artificially constructed, and were used for breeding fishes and invasive red swamp crayfish Procambarus clarkii by the fishery department of local 3 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago government from the 1980s to the early 1990s. This ceased in most ponds or reservoirs in the mid 1990s because of poor economic returns. Ponds or reservoirs now mainly provide fresh water for local people and agricultural irrigation. Native and exotic fish are commonly found in ponds or reservoirs, including species of Cyprinidae (e.g Cyprinus carpio, Ctenopharyngodon idellus, Carassius auratus, Parabramis pekinensis, Aristichys nobilis and Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) and Catostomidae (e.g. Misgurnus anguillicaudatus). The exotic red swamp crayfish has spread in rice fields and permanent water bodies on the islands. Submerged vegetation is similar across the water bodies (Li et al., 2002), and is dominated by annual plants such as Polygonum ssp., Cyperus ssp., Beckmannia spp., Potentilla ssp. and perennial plants like Carex spp. and Alternanthera philoxeroides. Most water bodies have a patrolman who is responsible for protecting them from damage due to human activities or natural disasters. Human activities such as fishing and swimming in water bodies are prohibited by the local government, but illegal fishing often occurs. 1.3 Methods Data on site characteristics, densities of bullfrogs, and densities and species richness of native frogs in permanent lentic waters on eight islands were collected from early June to late July in the bullfrog breeding season of 2005 and non-breeding season between mid August and early October 2006. Additional data on time since bullfrog invasion, habitat disturbance, characteristics of fish communities and the presence of the crayfish were gathered in or after the non-breeding season in 2006. Data gathered in 2006 were used for analysis, while the 2005 data were used to help determine which water bodies were not invaded, and which had more recent bullfrog invasions (see below). Bullfrogs have established naturalised reproducing populations on nine of the islands in the archipelago: Zhoushan, Daishan, Liuheng, Taohua, Xiushan, Xiashi, Cezi, Fodu and Putuoshan. Zhoushan was excluded from survey because the main sites invaded by bullfrogs (Li et al., 2006) had been destroyed due to urban development and no bullfrogs could be found there. Frogs were surveyed on the remaining eight islands in a randomly determined order. Investigators looked for all permanent lentic waters (>40 m2 in area), such as ponds or reservoirs, which bullfrogs typically inhabit, within 500 m of the main roads on each island. Water bodies that are being used for aquaculture or are often flooded with seawater, which are frequently artificially dried by people, were not considered as permanent lentic waters. Frogs were not found in reservoirs with banks made entirely of stone or cement, possibly because they are unsuitable habitats. These waters were excluded from the survey. Bullfrog invaded waters were defined as water bodies where bullfrogs were found or their calls were heard 4 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago for a long period (see methods on bullfrog residence time). 61 permanent bodies of water were found and surveyed in 2005. In 2006, the survey extended to 79 permanent bodies of water, including 59 of the permanent waters surveyed in the previous year (the other two sites had been destroyed). In total, 56 water bodies were identified as invaded by bullfrogs and 23 as uninvaded in 2006. Both adult and sub-adult bullfrogs or tadpoles were found in most invaded sites, suggesting that bullfrog breeding populations had established in them. 1.3.1 Density of post-metamorphosis bullfrog and bullfrog tadpoles and density and species richness of native frogs Line transect methods were used to investigate the density of post-metamorphosis bullfrogs, and the density and species richness of native frogs in water bodies (Jaeger, 1994). Transects (2 m×10 m) followed the shoreline with half the width of the transect (1 m) in the water and half on the shore. The accessible shoreline of each water body was divided into segments of equal length, excluding parts constructed from stones or cement. For waters <200 m2 in area, the shoreline was divided into 2–4 segments, and for those >200 m2 into five segments. One line transect was located at random within each segment. All permanent waters were surveyed for two or three consecutive nights each year. Transects were located in a different randomly chosen position each night. All transect sampling was carried out at night between the hours of 1930 and 2230. To avoid disturbing the frogs, an observer walked slowly and as lightly as possible along each transect (1–2 km/h) with an electric torch (12 volt DC lamp) counting all native frogs and post-metamorphosis bullfrogs encountered. Frogs were carefully searched for in lighted areas at least 1.5 m ahead of the observer. Frogs heard diving into water or jumping away from the bank in the un-searched part of a transect were followed to determine their identity. If the frog escaped unidentified, the transect was discarded and another transect would be fixed in that segment. Occasionally, a transect was re-searched after 10 minutes. This happened where accessible area in the segment was limited. Experience on frogs at the study site suggested that 10 minutes was sufficient for frogs to recover from being disturbed (Wu et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2007). Frog species were identified by sight with the help of guidebooks (Huang, 1990), and specimens were collected to confirm identifications. Careful attention was also paid to calls from water bodies sampled to determine if they were invaded by the bullfrog. The mean number of native frog individuals, post-metamorphosis bullfrog individuals and native frog species per transect were used as a measure of native frog density, bullfrog density and native frog species richness respectively, at each site. We also counted bullfrog tadpoles in the water part of each transect following the amphibian survey each night, and calculated the average number of the tadpoles per transect. 1.3.2 Fish species richness Information on the occurrence and species richness of fish species was obtained from the fishery departments of local governments on each island, which used to manage fishery of breeding 5 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago fishes and crayfish in water bodies. All water bodies in our analysis had fish present, and so this variable was excluded from further consideration. 1.3.4 Presence of red swamp crayfish We set up a line transect along the bank (accessible shoreline) of each pond or reservoir. We carefully looked for red swamp crayfish in the water and on the banks along the line transect between the hours of 1930 and midnight with an electric torch (12 volt DC lamp), and collected the crayfish we found. The collected crayfish were identified using a guidebook (Li and Xie, 2002), and then released back into the water. We recorded the presence of the crayfish as a dichotomous variable (1: present, or 0: absent). 1.3.5 Water body characteristics The location of each site was recorded using a Global Positioning System (GPS). For reservoirs (most water bodies), maximum depth was estimated as the difference in height between the water surface and the bottom of the dam. For ponds, which are small and shallow, and usually less than 3 m in depth, maximum depth was directly measured in an accessible area. The surface area of a water body was estimated according to its geometrical shape (most water bodies were approximately triangular or rectangular). Following the frog line transect survey (see above), the cover of submerged vegetation in a 1 m wide strip from the water’s edge in the water part of each transect was estimated and assigned to one of 10 categories: 1 (0%), 2(1%–10%), 3 (11%–20%),…9 (81%–90%) and 10 (>90%) (Li et al., 2006). We estimated shade in a water body by measuring the angle from the water body center at eye height to the top of the tree line or horizon east, south and west using a handheld clinometer (Adams et al., 2003). We used the average of the angles as an index of shade. 1.3.6 Water repair and illegal fishing Water repair and illegal fishing are main human disturbances to water bodies in the islands. Repairs that are conducted by local governments usually include the re-building of damaged banks and the clearing of sludge from the water. The water development department of local government on each island was visited and information on the repairs carried out on every water body between August 2005 and before survey in 2006 was obtained. As all native frog species in the study take less than three months from eggs to metamorphosis (Huang, 1990), the data on the past year were more likely to reflect immediate effects of the repair on survival of tadpoles or post-metamorphosis frogs. The occurrence of repairs was scored as a dichotomous variable (1, occurrence of repairs in the past three years; 0, no repairs). We investigated illegal fishing activities around water bodies between 8:00 and 17:00 during daytime. We visited each water body two times in two days, half hour each time each day. We looked around a water body if there were fishing activities. We determined fishing activities around the water body if there were people with fishing tools such as fish rod or fishnet. We defined the fishing activities as a dichotomous variable (1, 6 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago occurrence of fishing; 0, no fishing). 1.3.7 Bullfrog residence time We obtained information on residence time for bullfrogs in invaded sites using questionnaire surveys (Yiming Li, unpublished data). One person was usually interviewed for each water body not invaded by bullfrogs, and 2 or 3 people were for a bullfrog-invaded water body. However, for some invaded water bodies where residents were relatively few, only one interview was possible. In total 120 people were interviewed, averaging 1.5 persons per water body. The time since bullfrog invasion as estimated by each interviewee was calculated as the average of the range of residence times given by the person. When an interviewee gave the answer of > n years on the residence time for a water body, we treated the residence time as n+1 years for the water body. When several interviewers gave different answers on the residence time for the bullfrog invasion for a water body, the average value of these answers was used. There were 31 water bodies where ≧2 people were interviewed. In these cases, the range of residence times obtained from different interviewees fell between 0 and 4.5 years, with a mean (± standard error) of 1.63 years (± 1.47 years). For 32% of these water bodies, interviewees gave the same residence time, while the range was ≤ 2 years for 65% of water bodies, and ≤ 4 years for 94% of water bodies. The range of residence times increased with increasing average residence time. Ranges above 3 years generally come from water bodies that had been invaded for more than 10 years. Thus, estimates of residence times were quite consistent across different interviewees. The questionnaire survey identified two reservoirs not invaded by bullfrogs but where sub-adults and adults of bullfrogs were found. The residence time for the bullfrog invasion was assumed as one year in these cases. Residence times for bullfrog invasion for water bodies on the islands range from 1 to 14.5 years. 1.3.8 Statistical analysis The logarithm of the mean number of native frogs, post-metamorphosis bullfrogs and bullfrog tadpoles per transect (calculated as log [1+(total number of frogs counted at a site / number of transects measured at a site)]) were used in all analyses. The synergistic effect of post-metamorphosis bullfrog density and time since invasion was incorporated as the interaction term between post-metamorphosis bullfrog density and residence time. This synergistic effect thus increases with increasing post-metamorphosis bullfrog density and/or residence time. We did not pursue the synergistic effect of bullfrog tadpole density and residence time because the occurrence of the tadpoles was very low. In 14/79 water bodies sampled, no post-metamorphosis bullfrogs or bullfrog tadpoles were detected by the line transect survey in waters known from other evidence to have been invaded. It is impossible to know from the data whether or not these populations had become extinct, and so they were excluded from our analysis. This left 65 water bodies, 42 bullfrog invaded sites and 23 uninvaded sites. Differences in maximum depth, vegetation cover (the distribution of vegetation cover is not normal in 7 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago bullfrog uninvaded sites), shade and surface area of a water body, fish species richness, density of native frogs, and native frog species richness were compared between sites that had and had not been invaded by bullfrogs using non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis tests. The occurrence of water body repairs or illegal fishing in the past year were similarly compared using Chi-squared tests. As water bodies on each island are located closer to each other than those on other islands, species distributional data of water bodies may display spatial autocorrelation (Dormann, 2007; Dormann et al., 2007). We used linear mixed models in R version 2.7.1 (function glmer in the lme4 package, R Development Core Team 2006) to derive the relationships between native frog density and species richness (dependent variables) and independent variables relating to the environment (area, depth, shade, vegetation cover; all log-transformed), human impacts (occurrence of repairs, occurrence of illegal fishing) and other species occurrence (fish species richness, presence of red swamp crayfish, density of post-metamorphosis bullfrogs, bullfrog residence time, and the interaction of the last two variables), with island as a random effect. We used backward stepwise selection to reduce a full model containing all independent variables to the model with the lowest BIC value, by sequential deletion of the variable with the lowest contribution to the model at each step. We checked that the addition of no variable to this minimum adequate model further lowered its BIC. We used BIC in preference to AIC as it reduces the likelihood of overfitting. 2 Results All islands included sites that were and were not invaded by bullfrogs, except Xiashi, where our study sites only included water bodies invaded by bullfrogs. Bullfrogs were detected in 42/65 water bodies surveyed (Table 1). Bullfrog tadpoles were only found in six water bodies, all of which also had post-metamorphosis bullfrogs present. Ponds and reservoirs that had been invaded by bullfrogs did not differ significantly from non-invaded sites in surface area, shade, maximum depth, characteristics of fish communities and fishing (Table 1). However, sites invaded by bullfrogs had lower native frog density, lower native frog species richness, higher submerged vegetation cover (or more submerged vegetation cover) and a higher frequency of water repairs than non-invaded sites. Nine percent of bullfrog invaded sites (4/42) had no native frogs, whereas native frogs were present in all non-invaded sites (23/23). A minimum adequate general linear mixed model for native frog density only contained post-metamorphosis bullfrog density (Table 2). The native frog density was negatively related to post-metamorphosis bullfrog density (Fig.2A). There was no significant effect of bullfrog residence time on 8 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago native frog density, or of the interaction between residence time and bullfrog density. There was also no effect of bullfrog tadpole density on native frog density, over and above the effect of post-metamorphosis bullfrog density. The minimum adequate model for native frog species richness included two variables: native frog richness and vegetation cover. Native frog richness was negatively correlated with post-metamorphosis bullfrog density and positively with vegetation cover (Fig 2B, C). 3 Discussion Both native frog density and native frog species richness were, on average, significantly lower at sites invaded by bullfrogs than at uninvaded sites on islands in the Zhoushan archipelago (Table 1). Minimum adequate models for both native frog density and species richness each included a significant term for post-metamorphosis bullfrog density, but no significant effects of residence time or its interaction with density. These results support the first of our predictions, that native frog species richness and density are lower in water bodies invaded by bullfrogs. They also partially support our second prediction, in that native frog species richness and density were consistently negatively correlated with bullfrog density. However, there is no support for the prediction of a negative effect of bullfrog residence time on native frog community structure, or for synergistic effects of bullfrog density and residence time. These results suggested that the native frogs have not adapted to bullfrog invasion after 15 years of the invasion, and strongly implicate post-metamorphosis bullfrogs as a cause of declines in the abundance and species richness of native frog species in bullfrog-invaded sites. Although vegetation cover and the occurrence of recent repairs to the water body differed between sites with and without bullfrogs (Table 1), there is no evidence that these were responsible for lower native frog density or species richness in sites invaded by bullfrogs. Neither native frog density nor species richness was associated with the recent occurrence of water repairs, once bullfrog density and vegetation cover were included in the analysis. The greater vegetation cover in sites invaded by bullfrogs (Table 1) is unlikely to lead to lower species richness because the general linear mixed models indicated that higher vegetation cover actually promotes the native frog richness. Several previous studies have reported negative effects of red swamp crayfish invasion on native amphibians through predation on eggs, larvae and adults (Gamradt et al., 1997; Cruz et al., 2006). There was no difference in the presence of the crayfish between sites with and without bullfrogs and no relationship between the native frogs and the presence of the crayfish in the islands. One possible explanation for these results is that the Zhoushan islands are home to a native crayfish Macrobrachium nipponensis, which is functionally similar to red swamp crayfish. Native frogs may previously have evolved specific anti-predator traits to co-exist with the 9 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago native crayfish, thus may not be damaged by the alien crayfish. In the absence of data on red swamp crayfish density and residence time in the waters sampled, this possibility should be treated with caution. The effects of red swamp crayfish invasion on native frogs in the islands certainly warrant further study. We found no evidence that characteristics of fish communities were responsible for the lower native frog density and species richness. The negative effects of introduced fish on native amphibians have been extensively documented (Moyle, 1973; Fisher and Shaffer, 1996; Adams, 1999; Martinez-Solano et al., 2004; Davison and Knapp, 2008), and there is evidence that introduced fish have larger impacts on native amphibians than bullfrogs in areas where the fish and bullfrogs co-occurred (Adams et al., 1999). While we could not distinguish between the presence of native and introduced fish species, we found no effect of fish species richness on native frog richness or density, while fish were present in all water bodies in our analysis. We cannot rule out the hypothesis that the presence of a specific fish species drives differences in the density and richness of native frog species, but the density of that fish would have to co-vary strongly with bullfrog density to be responsible for the strong negative effects of bullfrog density we observed. There was no difference in the richness or presence of fish communities between sites with or without bullfrogs (Table 1). Post-metamorphosis bullfrogs most likely threaten populations of native frogs through predation, competition and by spreading disease (predation: Werner et al., 1995; Pearl et al., 2004; Hirai, 2004; Wu et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2007; food competition: Wu et al, 2005; disease: Daszak et al., 2004; Garner, 2006). All three types of threats may contribute to native frog decline in the islands. Post-metamorphosis bullfrogs prey upon at least four native frog species (R. limnocharis, R. nigromaculata, R. japonica and B. bufo gargarizans) in the islands (Wu et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2007). They also have some dietary overlap with these native frog species, competing with them for food resources (Wu et al., 2005). Post-metamorphosis bullfrogs sampled in autumn 2006 on the islands have been found to be infected with the fungal pathogen Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Yiming Li, unpublished data), which has affected at least 200 amphibian species worldwide (see Kriger and Hero, 2006). It is possible that post-metamorphosis bullfrogs might have carried and spread the disease to the Zhoushan islands, and that the disease may be responsible for the native frog decline. The threats to native frogs of predation, competition and infection may all plausibly increase with post-metamorphosis bullfrog density. Bullfrog tadpole competition is also recognized as an important mechanism in affecting native amphibian tadpoles (Kupferberg, 1997; Kiesecker and Blaustein 1997; Lawler, et al., 1999; Kiesecker et al., 2001). Effects of bullfrog tadpoles on native frogs were not detected in the present study, perhaps due to the lower occurrence of tadpoles relative to post-metamorphosis frogs. Bullfrog populations in many of the water bodies studied did not successfully produce eggs in a given year (unpublished data). Also, new tadpoles in some water bodies 10 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago finish their metamorphosis before winter, which is likely to lead to the lower presence of tadpoles in water bodies in the islands. In conclusion, the present study is consistent with the hypothesis that post-metamorphosis bullfrogs have negative impacts on native frog communities in islands of the Zhoushan archipelago. The presence of exotic bullfrogs in lentic water bodies is associated with reductions in the total density and species richness of native frog species. The extents of these reductions are proportional to post-metamorphosis bullfrog density, but not to residence time over the 15 years that the invasion has been occurring. 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LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago Table 1 Comparison of site characteristics, densities of native frogs and bullfrogs, and native frog species richness for 65 permanent waters with and without bullfrog invasion in the Zhoushan archipelago, China Site characteristic Bullfrogs absent Bullfrogs present (n = 23) (n = 42) χ2 P Log permanent water area (m2) 3.253±0.627 3.441±0.712 0.612 0.434 Maximum water depth (m) 5.174±3.221 5.607±4.408 0.000 0.995 Mean vegetation cover (category) 1.973±1.654 2.776±1.992 5.455 0.020 Shade (angle) 23.188±9.808 24.841±10.629 0.512 0.474 Occurrence of water repairs (%) 1/23 7/42 13.125† <0.001 Occurrence of fishing (%) 19/23 37/42 0.080† 0.777 Occurrence of red swamp crayfish 10/23 17/42 0.384† 0.535 Fish species richness 3.261±1.214 3.024±0.897 1.090 0.297 Mean native frog species richness / 1.042±0.603 0.738±0.631 4.476 0.034 2.701±2.860 1.337±1.306 4.355 0.037 0±0 2.073±2.521 - - 0±0 0.07±0.182 - - 0±0 8.79±3.8 - - (%) transect Mean native frog density richness / transect Mean number of postmetamorphic bullfrogs / transect Mean number of bullfrog tadpoles/transect Time since bullfrog invasion (years) Values are means ± standard deviations. χ2 is the chi-squared value (d.f. = 1) calculated from a Kruskal-Wallis test or a Chi-square test (†) comparing sites invaded by bullfrogs to those without bullfrogs. P is the associated P-value. 16 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago Table 2 The minimum adequate general linear mixed models with native frog density or richness as the dependent variable and other factors as independent variables Models Parameters ±SD t value Probability Native frog density (minimum BIC= -17.34) Intercept 0.4161±0.0767 5.428 <0.001 -0.3551±0.0733 4.845 <0.001 0.7341±0.161 4.561 <0.001 Bullfrog density -0.8677±0.1717 5.055 <0.001 Vegetation cover 0.6514±0.1922 3.39 0.001 Bullfrog density Native frog richness (minimum BIC=92.53) Intercept 17 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago Fig. 1 The islands of the Zhoushan archipelago, China The eight islands included in this study are Daishan, Liuheng, Taohua, Xiushan, Xiashi, Cezi, Fodu and Putuoshan. Fig. 2 The relationships among native frog density, native frog richness, postmetamorphic bullfrog density and vegetation cover in permanent lentic water bodies on Zhoushan Archipelago, China A. Native frog density and postmetamorphic bullfrog density. B. Native frog richness and postmetamorphic bullfrog density. Native frog richness and vegetation cover. 18 C. Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago Figure 1 19 Y.M. LI et al.,: Impacts of American bullfrogs on native frogs in Zhoushan Archipelago Fig 2. A Log (1+native frog density) 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Log (1+bullfrog density) B Log native frog richness 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 0.000 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Log (1+bullfrog density) C 2.500 Native frog richness 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 0.000 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Log vegetation cover 20