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Econ 201 Lecture 7 When all relevant production costs are incurred by sellers, and when all relevant product benefits accrue to buyers, the market equilibrium price and quantity are socially optimal. P S P* D Q* Q When Smart for One is Dumb for All Production of some goods entails costs that fall on people other than those who sell the good: Goods whose production generates toxic smoke Goods whose production generates noise In the market equilibrium for such goods, the benefit to buyers of the last good produced is, as before, equal to the cost incurred by sellers to produce that good. But since producing that good also resulted in the costs of the associated pollution, we know that the full marginal cost of the last unit produced—the seller’s private marginal cost plus the marginal pollution cost borne by others—must be higher than the benefit of the last unit produced. So market equilibrium quantity > socially optimal quantity. Total economic surplus would be higher if output of the good were lower. Yet neither sellers nor buyers have any incentive to alter their behavior. Increases in production of some goods benefit people other than those who buy them. Honey and apples More bees => more apples More apple trees => more honey Market equilibrium results in too little production of such goods. “Change in demand” vs. “Change in the quantity demanded” Price D' Price Increase in demand D 10 D Increase in the quantity demanded 8 6 4 D' D 2 D 0 Quantity 0 Quantity 1 2 3 4 5 Newspaper story: “Producers raised prices, and the resulting fall in demand caused prices to fall back to their original level.” WRONG!! A rise in price causes a fall in the quantity demanded, not a fall in demand. “If it did it wouldn’t.” “An increase in supply”: At every price, there is an increase in the quantity supplied. Price S S' Quantity “An increase in the quantity supplied”: For an upward sloping supply curve, an increase in price leads to an increase in the quantity supplied. 2 Price ($/lobster) 10 S 8 6 4 2 S 0 1 Quantity (1000s of lobsters/day) 2 3 4 5 6 Predicting and Explaining Changes in Price and Quantity An increase in demand will lead to an increase in both the equilibrium price and quantity. Price D' A decrease in demand will lead to a decrease in both the equilibrium price and quantity. Price S D S D' D P' P P P' D D' D S Quantity 0 Q D' S 0 Q' Q' Quantity Q An increase in supply will lead to a decrease in the equilibrium price and an increase in the equilibrium quantity. A decrease in supply will lead to an increase in the equilibrium price and a decrease in the equilibrium quantity. Price Price S P S' P' S' P' S P D Q Q' D Quantity Q' Q Quantity Determinants of Demand •Incomes For most goods, the quantity demanded at any price will rise with income. Goods that have this property are called normal goods. P P D1 D0 D1 D0 Q Q Income rises, normal good Income falls, normal good For inferior goods, the quantity demanded at any price will fall with income. Example: Ground beef with high fat content. P D0 D1 Q Income rises, inferior good Consumers abandon inferior goods in favor of higher quality substitutes (such as leaner grades of meat in the ground beef case) as soon as they can afford to. 3 •Tastes P D1 D0 Q Tastes shift in favor Example: Following the release of Jurassic Park and The Lost World, tastes in children’s toys shifted toward designs involving prehistoric reptiles. •Prices of substitutes and complements Substitutes: e.g., coffee and tea Price of tea Complements: e.g., coffee and cream Price of coffee D 0 D1 D1 D0 Quantity of coffee Quantity of tea Price of cream falls Price of coffee falls Determinants of Supply •Technology. A more efficient lobster trap is invented: Price S S' Quantity •Factor Prices The price of diesel fuel rises: Price S' S Quantity Interest rates fall Price S S' Quantity 4 Example 7.1. Why do the prices of some goods, like apples, go down during the months of heaviest consumption, while others, like beachfront cottages, go up? The seasonal consumption increase is the result of a supply increase in the case of apples, a demand increase in the case of cottages. P Sw Pw Ps Qw Qs P Ss S Ps Pw D Q S Dw Qw Qs Ds Q Beachfront Cottages Apples Example 7.2. What will happen to the equilibrium price and quantity in the fresh seafood market if both of the following events occur: (1) a scientific report is issued saying that fish contains mercury, which is toxic to humans; and (2) the price of diesel fuel falls significantly? The equilibrium price will go down, but the equilibrium quantity may go either up (right panel) or down (left panel). P P S S S' S' S S S' D D' S' Q D' D Q