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Tephigram Analysis All ASL My printing from 1985 …. Freezing Level AMS FRLVL Not freezing temperatures from surface radiative cooling Above Freezing Layer - AFL Near Freezing Layers - NFL >30 mb thick -2oC to +1oC Air Mass Analysis - The w plot w conservative property of air masses w near the surface influenced by diabatic effects Representative w in dry air mass Dry air influences on Tw Cloud Analysis – Cloud Base Td increase or T-Td Spread decrease allow for hygristor and thermistor lag convective or turbulent mixing occur base where the narrowing spread suddenly remains constant, indicating a saturated air mass (or nearly) ASL Cloud Analysis – Cloud Top Td decrease or T-Td Spread increase allow for hygristor and thermistor lag super adiabatic lapse rate exists due to evaporated cooling on the sensor, the cloud top is located at the start of the increasing spread. convective clouds, the cloud tops may be estimated by balancing energies along the updraft curve. The average convective cloud tops will be at the equilibrium level (E). The maximum cloud tops will reach the energy balance level (EBL) Cloud top heights can be derived from satellite imagery by matching the infrared temperature to a representative tephigram ASL Cloud Amounts Dewpoint Depressions 0 - 2C suggests overcast 2 - 4C suggests broken 4 - 6C suggests scattered Suggested dewpoint depression ranges should be increased with height at temperatures below -12C (Frost Point considerations - use 1C per 3000 feet which corresponds to the moist adiabatic lapse rate). Cloud Types Non-convective Clouds– stable layers Convective Clouds Convective Cloud Convective Cloud BASE - LFC Average TOPS - Equilibrium level E Maximum TOPS - Energy Balance Level EBL Type - CU, TCU, ACC, CB, depends on depth, strength, and level Amount - SUBJECTIVE. The easier it is to reach the LFC, the more convection there will be. Timing or Location - e.g. “Over and in lee GRTLKS”, “mid-afternoon”, etc. TC - Surface temperature needed for parcels to convect freely. PL/LI - it is important to mark down "PI/LI" if it exists. The bases and tops of PI/LI need not be plotted. This is primarily a flag for possible convection. Mid Level Convection – ACC/CB ACC is used to denote mid-level convection. TCU is used to denote surface-forced convection, even if the cloud base is in the mid-levels. CBs can arise from surface or mid-level forces. Tephigram Exercises Hodographs The speed and direction of warm and cold fronts Differential temperature advection , changing stability Expected vertical motion near fronts VWS varies with the isobaric thermal gradient Thermal Wind Vector and Horizontal Temperature Gradient Applies when winds are nearly geostrophic Not in PBL, strong VV, strong curvature Height of the Gradient Wind Level wind in the PBL is a combination of: gradient wind (geostrophic + curvature) friction effects and horizontal temperature gradient. Friction produces a characteristic veering and increase of wind with height known as the Ekman spiral Total Thermal Wind & Vertical Wind Shear VT is wind vector difference from the uppr to the lower levels VWS is VT/Z The Hodograph and the Top of the PBL Typically at the top of the PBL, the wind speed increases sharply and the characteristic veering with height ends Horizontal Temperature Advection Cold advection requires that winds back with height Horizontal Temperature Advection Warm advection requires that winds veer with height Differential Temperature Advection and Changes in Vertical Stability Impacts on stability trends Vertical changes in thermal advection Greater VWS – greater thermal advections Differential Temperature Advection and Changes in Vertical Stability Backing over Veering Cold Advection over Warm Advection Decreasing Stability Non-Frontal Inversions shallow radiation inversion in continental arctic air Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. Relative maximum in VWS is the mixing zone of a front Gradients of temperature and humidity are always in the cold air Top of VWS is top of mixing layer Warm air above top of VWS layer – nil thermal gradients in warm air and nil VWS Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. Isotherms in mixing zone parallel the front VT in mixing zone parallel the front VT magnitude proportional to magnitude of the front Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. VN is the normal from the origin perpendicular to the VWS associated with the front Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. Speed of a front at the level identified on a hodograph will be the magnitude of VN -the normal from the origin perpendicular to the VWS associated with the front instantaneous speed valuable for short range prognosis excellent check for frontal motion. Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. Changes in VWS intensity Changes in VWS type Applied Hodographs Height of a frontal surface, base of mixing zone. Orientation of frontal zone. Direction of frontal motion. Speed of a front. Instantaneous changes in vertical stability. Vertical motion in the warm air mass. basis for short-range cloud forecasting assume that the frontal surface does not change slope for a short period of time. the equation of continuity, implies that horizontal divergence must be accompanied by vertical motion. Active (or Anabatic) Cold Front Component of wind in the warm air above the mixing level is less that the speed of the front Inactive or Katabatic Cold Front Component of wind in the warm air above the mixing level is more that the speed of the front Active (or Anabatic) Warm Front Normal to Front Component of wind in the warm air above the mixing level is more than the speed of the front Inactive (or Katabatic) Warm Front Backing wind in the warm air relative to the frontal shear denotes an active – anabatic front. Veering wind in the warm air relative to the frontal shear denotes an inactive – katabatic front. Component of wind in the warm air above the mixing level is less than the speed of the front Hodograph Analysis Methodology Identify the Gradient Wind Level (Top of the PBL) Identify the wind at the top of the PBL. (Useful for estimating the surface wind). Identify layers with relatively strong vertical wind shear. For each layer, determine the: top (frontal surface) and base of the mixing zone vertical wind shear (for turbulence forecasting) orientation of the frontal zone speed and direction of motion of the front vertical motion in the warm air mass Identify the changes in vertical stability that would result from the differences in the vertical temperature advections. Collaborate the results of the hodograph analysis with other data such as tephigrams, upper air analyses, and satellite imagery. Example of Hodograph Analysis and Interpretation Example of Hodograph Analysis and Interpretation •AB is the shear in the friction layer- veering and increase with height. •The gradient wind level is 3,000 ft. •BC very small vertical wind shear - likely occurs within an air mass. •CD gives a vertical wind shear of 8 kt per 1000 ft - a relative maximum = a frontal zone. Frontal surface at 10,000 ft with base of the mixing zone is at 7,000 ft •Frontal surface oriented WNW-ESE - colder air northeast of the station. •Front is stationary. (VN is zero). •Wind in the warm air above the frontal surface represented by DE are the same as the frontal speed, there is little vertical motion above the frontal surface. •EF - shear in a frontal zone, since there is a relative maximum of 6 kt per 1,000 ft in the 14,000 to 18,000 ft layer. Frontal surface at 18,000 ft with base of the mixing zone is at 14,000 ft. •Frontal surface oriented south-north with colder air to the west of the station. •Cold front moving eastward (from 270 degrees) at around 10 kt. •Wind in the warm air above the frontal surface increase with height indicates slight subsidence in the warm air mass. •With cold air advection between 14,000 and 18,000 ft above little advection at lower levels, the vertical column of the atmosphere below 18,000 ft must show decreasing vertical stability with time. Horizontal Temperature Advection Actual temperature changes in the atmosphere may arise from diabatic processes vertical motion or horizontal temperature advection T VN VT / z t 120 (C/hr) V in kt and the vertical wind shear is expressed in kt per 1000 ft Parcel convection and the four stability classifications Identifying latent instability Potential (convection) instability