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Simple Sample Spaces…Tree Diagrams Warm Up – Describe the Correlation x = Weight of luggage y = Cost to fly your luggage on an airplane. Strong Positive Warm Up – Describe the Correlation x = Number of Chiropractic Adjustments y = Amount of Back Pain Strong Negative Warm Up – What Kind of Sampling? Every 5th adult entering an airport is checked for extra security screening. Systematic Warm Up – What Kind of Sampling? A writer for an art magazine randomly selects and interviews 50 male and 50 female artists. Stratified Warm Up A student scores a 75 on a geography test with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 5. The same student scores a 249 on his math test that had a mean of 300 and a standard deviation of 34. On which test did the student score better relative to the other students in the class? The student scored better on geography test. Objective Find Sample Space using Tree Diagrams and the Multiplication Rule. Relevance Learn various methods of finding out how many possible outcomes of a probability experiment are possible. Use this information to find probability. Definitions Outcome – a particular result of an experiment Event – any subset of all outcomes. (This is called the Sample Space) Sample Space: The set of all possible outcomes. Outcomes cannot overlap. All outcomes must be represented. Can find by: 1. A List 2. A Tree Diagram 3. Grid Example List the sample space for drawing one card from a deck of cards. Clubs: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Diamonds: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Hearts: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Spades: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, J, Q, K, A 52 Outcomes Example…… Find the sample space for rolling 2 dice. Die 2 Die 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6 2 2,1 2,2 2,3 2,4 2,5 2,6 3 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 4 4,1 4,2 4,3 4,4 4,5 4,6 5 5,1 5,2 5,3 5,4 5,5 5,6 6 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 6,6 Example Find the sample space for the gender of children if a family has 3 children. See if you can list all of the possibilities. BBB,BBG,BGB,BGG,GBB,GBG,GGB,GGG 8 Outcomes Tree Diagrams Tree Diagram – a device used to list all possibilities in a systematic way. Each branch lists the choices. Let’s do a tree diagram of the previous example with the gender of 3 children. Remember, we had 8 outcomes. Tree Diagram of 3 Children Gender B B G B B G G Start B B G G B G G Example Display the sample space using a tree diagram if a coin is tossed and a die is rolled. Coin Tossed & Die Rolled - 12 Outcomes: H1,H2,H3,H4,H5,H6,T1,T2,T3,T4,T5,T6 H 1 2 3 4 5 6 Start T 1 2 3 4 5 6 You Try Draw a tree diagram if you toss one coin and spin a 4 section spinner. Answer……8 Outcomes: H1,H2,H3,H4,T1,T2,T3,T4 1 2 H 3 4 1 Start 2 3 T 4 Example A lunch menu has a choice of the following (one from each category) Meat: Hamburger, Hot Dog, Chicken Starch: French Fries, Baked Potato Drink: Coke, Tea List all of the possible combinations. Answer……12 Outcomes Coke FF Tea Hamburger Coke BP Tea Coke FF Tea Hot Dog Coke BP Tea Coke FF Tea Chicken Coke BP Tea Example Sue and Tom play in a tournament. The 1st person to win 2 out of 3 games is the winner. Find all the possible outcomes. Answer……6 Outcomes Game Over Sue Sue Sue Tom Tom Sue Sue Tom Tom Tom Game Over Multiplication Rule… Section 4.3 Independent / Dependent Definition Two events E and F are independent if the occurrence of event E in a probability experiment does not affect the probability of event F. Two events are dependent if the occurrence of event E in a probability experiment affects the probability of event F. Examples Independent Draw a queen from a deck of cards. Replace it. Draw another queen. Roll a die and get a 6. Roll a 2nd die and get a 3. Dependent Draw a card from a deck. Do NOT replace it. Draw another card. Eating too many calories. Putting on Weight. Situation Event 1: Draw a card. Independent or Dependent? Independent Event 2: Roll a die. Event 1: Earned a Bachelor’s Degree Event 2: Earn more than $100,000 per year. Dependent Situation Event 1: Being Female Independent or Dependent? Independent Event 2: Having Brown Hair Event 1: Complete your Homework Event 2: Making a 100 on the HW grade Dependent Situation Event 1: Having your car start Independent or Dependent? Dependent Event 2: Making it to statistics class on time Event 1: Play the California Lottery Event 2: Play the South Carolina Lottery Independent Multiplication Counting Rule When 2 events are independent, multiply the # of possibilities in each category to get the total # of possibilities. Example Find the number of items in the sample space of a license plate containing 3 letters and 3 numbers (digits) that can be repeated. 26 26 26 10 10 10 17,576,000 Example Find the number of items in the sample space of a license plate containing 3 letters and 3 numbers (digits) that can NOT be repeated. 26 25 24 10 9 8 11232000 Example How many ways can a nurse visit 4 places. 4 3 2 1 24 Example Find the number of items in the sample space of a 5 digit I.D. tag if the numbers a. Can be repeated 10 10 10 10 10 100000 b. Can NOT be repeated. 10 9 8 7 6 30240 Example How many ways can someone read 5 books? 5 4 3 2 1 120 Example How many outcomes are in the sample space if a person selects 3 items from a jar with 6 items A. With Replacement 6 6 6 216 B. Without Replacement 6 5 4 120