Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Climate change narratives, rights and the poor: Scientifc discourse, international political discourse and local voices NORGLOBAL dissemination conference, October 2011 Asuncion Lera St.Clair CMI/CICERO 1 Key research question ► Narratives of climate change are becoming central to development discourse, and increasingly frame understandings of other global challenges, such as poverty and health. ► In this project we ask how the new climate change narratives affect approaches and responses to the poor and their rights, particularly as regards their social rights related to resources profoundly affected by climate change impacts such as water and food, with a focus on South Africa. 2 Research design ► Framings: Policy, argument and linguistic analysis of key global and national documents/texts on energy, climate and development ► Legal: Socio-economic versus environmental rights ► Mobilization: movements and litigation of rights ► Bottom up narratives: Field work based analysis of bottom up responses from communites affected by environmental degradation, energy projects (Medupi coal mine), and collection of bottom-up community-based views on climate 3 Partners in South Africa ►Centre for Civil Society, University of Kwazulu-Natal, Durban (Active on climate justice) ►The Socio-Economic Rights Institute of South Africa (SERI) ►In dialogue with UCT, Stellenbosch U. 4 The importance of climate change and development: In the medium and long term, the largest source of uncertainty in climate change scenarios are what development models will be pursued by both developed and developing countries. "The World Bank is a trusted partner in climate-smart investments. Four out of five countries the World Bank works with have now made climate change among the top priorities for their antipoverty plans" (WB Website) 6 Climate Change and Development Framings: A comparative analysis of the Human Development Report 2007/8 and the World Development Report 2010 Des Gasper and Ana Victoria Portocarrero (International Institute of Social Studies, Erasmus University Rotterdam) Asuncion Lera St.Clair (Chr. Michelsens Institute, Bergen Centre for International Climate and environmental Research-Oslo ) HDR 2007/8 -- WDR 2010 ► The HDR uses the same title for Report and Overview: it provides an ethical and political message about struggle, division, and overcoming division, in order to face a shared crisis. It appeals to ideals of bravery, solidarity and human community. The Overview maintains this style. WDR 2010’s message is not a political and ethical statement asserting a We, but instead a managerialist ‘Can-Do’ that matches the World Bank’s predominant technocratic-bureaucratic style and reflects a framing of climate change as a challenge that can be tamed with sufficient funds and technology. ► Its call for solidarity is reflected in frequent use of the word8 ► Our Methodology of comparison ► Content-analysis: lexical choice = vocabulary; collocation ► world-view, a pattern of attention and perception. The Report Overviews are of very similar length, so simple word-frequency counts that indicate large differences suffice to indicate different world-views. ► (Alexander, R.J., 2009: Framing Discourse on the Environment: A Critical Discourse Approach (London: Routledge). A vocabulary conveys a Frame-analysis: systematic comparison in posited key dimensions, of the views, presences and absences (Schmidt, R. (2006). Value-Critical Policy Analysis. In D. Yanow & P. Schwartz-Shea eds., Interpretation and Method (pp. 300-315). Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe. Yanow, D., 2000. Conducting Interpretive Policy Analysis. Thousand Oaks, CA:Sage.). 9 Organizational, intellectual and situational contexts ► GDOs: agenda and norm setters, knowledge brokers, discursive and material power, expert institutions ► UNDP/Human development paradigm increased ideological influence but little policy impact ► World Bank: circular, self-referential, cognitively narrow and reductionist economic thinking ► Reports: tools for positioning ► HDR and WDR on climate shifts the history of slow convergence between these 2 Reports 10 Framing the Problem - checklist importance given to the problem; and for whom and for what it is considered a problem – for economic growth, for equity & human rights, for poor people & future generations? 2. The links seen between climate and development, with attention to meanings attached to ‘development’ and 3. The specification of causal linkages and structural rigidities, and the related degree of urgency. 4. What understanding of vulnerabilities and responsibilities 5. Uses of the term ‘efficiency’ and its role in directing attention to activities in poor rather than rich countries. 6. How far the reports consider the issue in terms of human rights. 1. 11 Findings: WORLDVIEW - Dramatically different vocabularies ‘justice’ ‘human rights’ ‘equity’/’equitable’ ‘climate smart’ ‘political’ ‘economic growth’ ‘efficiency’ ‘We’ ‘manage’ ‘human’ HDR 2007/8 WDR 2010 7 11 2 0 0 0 15 9 23 23 21 6 26 48 56 11 6 102 26 8 12 Findings on DIAGNOSIS: 1 ► For the Human Development Report the problem is a fundamental civilizational issue, in which the basic life quality and even sometimes the lives of poor people--‘rural communities in Bangladesh, farmers in Ethiopia and slum dwellers in Haiti’ (p.10 [3])--are endangered, in large degree by actions by others, in rich countries, who have a compelling moral obligation to provide support and to modify their current patterns of living. ► None of this vision characterises the World Development Report (see Table 1). 13 WDR: the details of a mainstream economic vision of a world smoothly ordered by corporations and markets but marked by convenient omissions and techno-optimism wherever required for maintaining this vision (Storm, 2011), ► and by absence of self-reflection regarding the models of development that have led to the climate crises in the first place. In the WDR’s organizational and intellectual context, climate change and poverty are technical problems to be addressed by economic policy and technological innovation, tasks to be led by the development aid bureaucracies and global business. They are problems that will be resolved, not intensified, by economic growth. ► market-based ‘solutions’ are put forward to whatever ‘local difficulties’ may arise, such as climate change (O’Brien et al. 2009; St.Clair 2009). ► 14 Findings on DIAGNOSIS: 2 ► ► ► The WDR evinces less urgency, reflecting its relatively greater concern with monetary magnitudes and hence implicitly with the interests of those with more resources to protect themselves from possible future stresses. The HDR’s reliance on a currency of human welfare highlights that lives can be broken and stunted, and contributes to its greater sense of urgency and willingness to query unending economic growth in rich countries. The Reports share ideas about inertia and lock-in, which generate urgency but which, together with a standard conceptualisation of ‘efficiency’, direct attention primarily towards influencing the faster-growing LDCs. 15 Findings: shared POLICY VISION 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Developing countries need more growth An insurance rationale Mitigation: HIEs should adopt carbon-pricing: either a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system. These mechanisms generate finances for transfers to LDCs for mitigation and adaptation, to be administered by a multilateral mechanism. The transfers will be programme-based. Developing countries will have to commit to quantitative goals and policy changes for mitigation, adaptation, and management of water, land, and energy. No international regime is proposed to require and enforce changes in rich countries. Freer domestic markets. Plus smart regulation. Open global product markets. 16 Policy measures: the paradox of the HDR ► ► ► Following its stress on human rights and ethical principles, the HDR does relatively little to apply those ideas in policy proposals. Whether the key constraints are the training of its staff in economics schools in the North, its lesser budget compared to the World Bank’s research resources, political pressures within and upon a multilateral agency, or stubborn reality, would require a separate study to try to answer. The HDR 2007/8 seems a classic UN report, influenced by inspiring humanist perspectives but with relatively limited resources for research and little associated funding for programs with which to induce others to accept its ideas, which produces a synthetic set of practical measures that do not offend potential funders and largely rely on proposals worked out by richer agencies. 17 Some policy differences ► ► ► ► The HDR calls for carbon budgets for all countries and more program flexibility for LDCs, HDR is explicit about the ethical underpinnings—solidarity over time and obligations of rich countries arising from the damage to others that they are responsible for—which together imply (but here the HDR hesitates and prevaricates) limits to further economic growth in rich countries; whereas the WDR tries to proceed with only a language of enlightened self-interest and win-win ‘deals’, with no talk of Northern obligations or self-limitation, let alone of human rights. …. Yet , despite those differences, the bulk of the proposals are the same. 18 Why does the HDR 2007/8 not convert its critique far into a distinctive policy approach? Three possibilities, and then (next slide) an overall interpretation. First, its structuralist belief in ‘lock-in’ already in the North, and fear of an imminent high-carbon ‘lock-in’ too in the South, leads it to share the mainstream preference to focus on change of direction in the South, not the North Especially given also: Second, its residual adherence sometimes to a decontextualized notion of ‘efficiency’ as judged in market terms (i.e. according to market purchasing power, rather than in terms of human development values). But most especially, and intensified by the first point: Third, its belief in ‘the fierce urgency of the now’, leads HDR to rush to a full policy package, designed in terms of instruments already available on the table. 19 Key to pay attention to the lack of questioning of development and poverty reduction ideas Strong presence of the issues in IPCC 5AR(particularly WG2) ► Many in the GEC community unhappy with market-based solutions, misinterpretation of the science-politics relations on climate change issues ► Large agreement on the need to contextualize, interpret what climate change means for people ► Bridging literatures and traditions and fast tracking social and human science research for climate change. ► yet, informed by and in conversation with climate science ► 20