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Chapter 10 Extratropical Cyclones and Anticyclones Figure CO: Chapter 10, Extratropical Cyclones and Anticyclones Courtesy of NASA Figure UN01: A vase, or two faces Figure UN02: Jacob Bjerknes Courtesy of Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen The Norwegian Cyclone Model Life Cycle • The cyclone starts as a frontal wave – A stationary front separates cold, dry cP air from warm, moist mT air – Called a wave because warm sector (mT) air resembles a gradually steepening ocean wave • The open wave in adolescence – Moves east or northeast – Develops warm and cold fronts – Precipitation falls ahead of the warm front and in the vicinity of the cold front The Norwegian Cyclone Model Life Cycle (continued) • The occluded cyclone in full maturity sprouts an occluded front as warm air mass rises – Usually lowest barometric pressure in this stage – Winds usually strongest in this stage – Cloudiness associated with the fronts wraps poleward and around the back side of the cyclone • The cut-off cyclone – Final stage – Clouds and precipitation around the low’s center dissipate Figure T01a: The Life Cycle of the Extratropical Cyclone, Based on the Bergen School Model Modified from Bjerknes, J. and Solberg, H., 1922: 'Life cycle of cyclones and the polar front theory of atmospheric circulation'. Geofys. Publ., 12, pp 1-61. Courtesy of Norwegian Geophysical Society. Courtesy of CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison Figure T01b: The Life Cycle of the Extratropical Cyclone, Based on the Bergen School Model Modified from Bjerknes, J. and Solberg, H., 1922: 'Life cycle of cyclones and the polar front theory of atmospheric circulation'. Geofys. Publ., 12, pp 1-61. Courtesy of Norwegian Geophysical Society. Courtesy of CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison The story of an extratropical cyclone • Day 1, Sat., Nov. 8,1975: Low (Panhandle Hook) forms just NE of Amarillo • Day 2, Sun., Nov. 9: Ship sails at 2 p.m.; Storm has matured to young adult stage • Day 3, Mon., Nov. 10: The storm is occluding. Ship sinks at 7:20 p.m. • Day 4, Tues., Nov. 11: The storm is dying • Subtract 7 from date to get Day # Figure 02: Edmund Fitzgerald Courtesy of Ruth Hudson Figure 03: Photo of two Fitzgerald sailors. Courtesy of Ruth Hudson Figure 01: Map of Great Lakes Day 1: Cyclogenesis • Cyclogenesis: cycle of cyclone birth and growth • Key ingredients for cyclogenesis – Surface temperature gradients, a front – A strong jet stream, helps the low deepen and the fronts intensify – Presence of mountains or other surface boundaries like a coastline near a warm ocean current – Winds blowing across temperature gradients – Baroclinic instability, the process by which cyclones get their energy—related to horizontal temperature gradients and vertical wind shear Figure 04A: Weather maps (surface and 500 mb) and satellite picture for Nov. 8, 1975. Source: NOAA Figure 04B: Weather maps (surface and 500 mb) and satellite picture for Nov. 8, 1975. Source: NOAA Figure 04C: The satellite picture is centered over extreme western Texas; clouds are visible along the west coast of Baja California at the left of the image. Courtesy of National Snow and Ice Data Center Typical cyclone paths • Depend on topography • Depend on position of the polar front • Depend on upper-level winds – Extratropical cyclones move approximately with the 500mb wind and at about half the speed Figure 05: Regions of cyclogenesis Source: Courtesy of Pam Naber Knox, former Wisconsin State Climatologist. Figure B01_1: Conservation of angular momentum Figure B01_2: Cyclone going over Rockies Figure 06: Regions of cyclogenesis across North America. Adapted from Zishka, K. M., and P. J. Smith, Monthly Weather Review, April 1980: 391-392 Day 2: Cyclone as a Young Adult • Comma cloud is characteristic of mature extratropical cyclones – Quite different from the circular tropical cyclone • Cloudless region between the comma head and tail is the dry slot – A feature of mature extratropical cyclones – Not seen in hurricanes Figure 07A: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 9, 1975. Source: NOAA Figure 07B: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 9, 1975. Source: NOAA Figure 07C: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 9, 1975. Courtesy of National Snow and Ice Data Center Figure 08: Zoom-in of satellite image in previous figure. Courtesy of National Snow and Ice Data Center Back to the story, Day 2 • The cyclone moves very rapidly, steered by the upper-level winds at 500mb. • On Day 2 (Nov. 9) gale warnings were issued in the mid-afternoon for the next day (Monday, Day 3, Nov. 10) • Gale warnings are for winds up to 38 knots (44 mph), not typical, not too unusual • Ships take the northern, longer route to protect ships from high seas caused by north and northeast winds. Figure 09: Madison, Wisconsin, weather during the passage of the Edmund Fitzgerald cyclone Data from NWS Figure 10A: The approximate positions of the Fitzgerald cyclone and its fronts Data from NWS Figure 10B: Cross-sections of weather on Nov. 9, 1975. Data from NWS Figure 10C: Cross-sections of weather on Nov. 9, 1975. Day 3: The Strengthening Storm • At midnight the cyclone is strengthening rapidly and aiming northward over Lake Superior • The strongest winds will soon be coming out of the west, not the northeast • This will leave the freighter exposed to hurricane-force west winds and high seas on the 10th (Day 3) Cyclone—Jet-Stream Relationships • Surface pressure drops when there is divergence of the wind in the column of air above the low • Upper-level divergence can occur in two different ways – Straight-line acceleration is called speed divergence – Spreading out is called diffluence • Divergence commonly occurs east of a trough • The surface pressure falls along and ahead of the low Figure 11: The relationship between the two types of divergence (speed divergence and diffluence) Figure 12: Cyclone stages and upper-level winds and temperatures. Adapted from Carlson, T. N. Mid-Latitude Weather Systems. American Meteorological Society, 1998. Figure 13: Jet stream on Nov. 9, 1975. Data from NWS Figure B02_1: The conveyor belts of an extratropical cyclone Modified from Wilson, E.E., “Great Lakes Navigation Season’ Mariners Weather Log 20 (1975): 139-149 Figure B02_2: Surface ozone levels in and near Chicago on November 9–11, 1975 Day 3: The Mature Cyclone • To the west of the low, blizzard conditions, as much as 14 inches of snow in northern Wisconsin • From Iowa to Tennessee 15 tornadoes • Occluded front joins the low and the cold and warm fronts – Occlusion: Warm air ascends over the warm front, which removes warm air from the surface • The narrowing region of warm air lifts completely above the surface near the low, leaving the boundary between two cold air masses called the occluded front Figure 14A: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 10, 1975. Source: NOAA Figure 14B: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 10, 1975. Figure 14C: Weather maps and satellite image for Nov. 10, 1975. Courtesy of National Snow and Ice Data Center Figure 15: Pressure changes at four different weather stations. Data from NWS Figure 16: Winds at Sault Ste. Marie and Marquette, MI. Data from NWS Figure 17: The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald Courtesy of Frederick Stonehouse Results of the Occlusion Process • The surface low gradually retreats to the cold air to the north and west • The surface low ends up beneath the upperlevel low • Eventually the cyclone is isolated from its fuel source, the mT air • An occluding cyclone can develop further if it gets energy from latent heating • This intensification was fatal for the Fitzgerald Figure 18A: Weather maps for Nov. 11, 1975 Source: NOAA Figure 18B: Weather maps for Nov. 11, 1975 Source: NOAA Figure 18C: Weather maps for Nov. 11, 1975 Source: NOAA Figure B04_1: Paths of 1975 and 1998 storms Source: Don Rolfson, National Weather Service Marquette/NOAA Figure B04_3: Wave and lighthouse. © Kalamazoo Gazette, Taya Kashuba/AP Photos Figure 19: Capsized Fitzgerald lifeboat Courtesy of Le Sault de Sainte Marie Historical Sites, Inc. Figure 20: The Wreck Site II Courtesy Great Lakes Shipwreck Historical Society The Extratropical Anticyclone • • • • • An anticyclone is a high-pressure system Highs are air masses, nearly homogeneous Highs can linger as long as weeks in summer Air in a high diverges at the surface Weak gradients of temperature and humidity mean no fronts in a high • Highs are stable and often cloudless on account of sinking • Highs have weak PGF, weak winds Figure 21: Weather map of 1979 blizzard and high pressure. Adapted from Kocin, P. and Uccellini, L. Snowstorms Along the Northeastern Coast of the United States: 1955 to 1985. American Meteorological Society, 1990. The Extratropical Anticyclone (continued) • Anticyclogenesis, the development of anticyclones, occurs away from jet streams • Summertime highs – Can thrive and intensify if cut off or blocked from the main jet-stream winds and surface temperature gradients • Can be responsible for deadly heat waves Figure 22: Typical regions of anticyclogenesis (shaded) and anticyclone paths Adapted from Zishka, K. M., and P. J. Smith, Monthly Weather Review, April 1980: 394-395. Figure B07: The Groundhog Day Blizzard of 2011 © Kiichiro Sato/AP Photos Figure 23: 500-mb height anomalies over Europe. From G. A. Meehl et al., Science 305, 994 -997 (2004). Reprinted with permission from AAAS. Figure 24: Temperature anomalies over Europe. Image by Reto Stöckli, Robert Simmon and David Herring, NASA Earth Observatory, based on data from the MODIS land team. Figure 25: Average summer temperatures in Switzerland for the years 1864-2003. Adapted from C. Schär et al., Nature 427, 332-336. Figure 26: Daily mortality rate in the state of Baden-Württemberg, Germany, from January 2002 through August 2003. Adapted from Koppe, C. and Jendritzky, G. Gesundheitliche Auswirkungen der Hitzewelle. Sozialministerium Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, 2004.