Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
August 10, 2013 Canada, the United States, and the European Union: Neglected Lessons in Building a Currency Zone out of Separate States Christopher Kobrak ESCP Europe Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto [email protected] Joe Martin Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto Donald S. Brean Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto Abstract: Recent tensions in the Eurozone have elicited relatively little public discussions of how large federal systems grappled over time with forging a common financial and monetary system. This paper draws on the disparate experiences of two North American countries from similar traditions – Canada and the United States, with a view to putting that process in historical context. Despite advantages which Europe does not enjoy, these countries’ efforts to build their national banking systems and common currency as well as unify their national debt followed a long and varied path. The paper argues that Europeans would profit from the lesson that the process required many difficult political steps in order to build the necessary consensus for these systems to function, with all their flaws, as a binding rather than divisive force. We contend that those who supported and implemented the introduction of the Euro ignored much of the institutional and organizational infrastructure required to successfully run an “optimal currency area.” 1 European monetary unification is a process, not a grand achievement or a great blunder. That process will end neither in Stage III begins on January 1, 1999, nor when the Euro replaces national currencies in 2002. Rather, Europe’s monetary union will continue to develop. (Eichengreen, 1997, p. 9) Introduction Since its conception just after World War II, the European project has had a paradoxical relationship with history. Born in the minds of many Americans and Europeans first as an antidote to long-standing national conflicts and later to American power and currency chaos, at times the idea of a united Europe seemed to require a flight from experience into uncharted territory. The vision of Europe seems to rest on a kind of historical need rather than historical examples. Even the recent tensions in the Eurozone have elicited relatively little public discussions of how large federal systems grappled over time with forging a common financial and monetary system. This paper draws on the disparate experiences of two North American countries from similar traditions: Canada and the United States. Despite many advantages which Europe does not enjoy, these countries’ efforts to build their national banking systems and common currency as well as unify their national debt followed a long and varied path. The paper will argue that Europeans would profit from the lesson that the process required many difficult political steps in order to build the necessary consensus for these systems to function, with all their flaws, as a binding rather than divisive force. For over 200 years, financial and intellectual exchange between Europe and North America has been extensive and fluctuating. Early United States attempts to stabilize its finances profited from British ideas and money. Alexander Hamilton, America’s first Treasury Secretary, modeled the U.S. first central bank on the Bank of England, and his other financial innovations on those in Britain and the Netherlands. (Sylla, 2007) Many of America’s first financial corporations, including the central bank, had sizeable European investments. (Wilkins, 1992) America’s trade during the first half of the 19th century and industrialization after the Civil War could not have occurred without copious amounts of foreign investment. When U.S. reformers finally accepted the need of a new central bank in the 20th century, they sent representatives to Europe to gather information about European banking. Several recent European immigrants not only participated in designing the U.S.’s third central bank at the beginning of the 20th century, one also held a leadership position in the new Federal Reserve. As financial flows reversed after World War I, so too did financial advice. Many Americans were reticent about foreign political and financial commitments, 2 but not about instructing Europeans about how to solve their financial problems. From reparations to monetary and default policies during the interwar period, many American financial and political leaders tried to shape European finance, often to the chagrin of many European leaders. But this level of perceived intrusion into Europe affairs paled in comparison to that following World War II. As the only country whose finances were left standing, the economic balance of power shifted to unprecedented level in America’s favor. With much of Europe devastated and in the face of a renewed world communism threats, U.S. public and private leaders were not bashful about using the Bretton Woods system and the Marshall Plan to reshape European banking, push for a diminution of national economic barriers, and stronger economic union. Ironically, while American political pressure contributed the first impetus for the first steps in creating the European Union, resentment of American political power and economic carelessness provided the stimulus for the second, tighter economic and political integration in the late 1960s and 1970s, especially the creation of a common currency. With this history in mind, it is easy to understand why Europeans have been slow to study America’s experience with federalism, but it does not explain why they have ignored Canada. This paper highlights several aspects of American and Canadian financial experience that might be useful in dealing with the current European financial malaise. Much of the original intellectual impetus came from a Canadian, who spent most of his life in the United States, the Nobel Laureate Robert Mundell. The paper will suggest that Mundell’s original groundbreaking work (Mundell, 1961) on optimal currency areas and later explicit support for a European currency (Mundell, 1973a, 1973b) neglected the importance of institutional and organizational development, as already noted by some critics (North, 1990; Feldstein, 1997). The paper will build on several papers discussing why Mundell’s seminal work may not apply to Europe today, including comments by Mundell himself, and a recent paper dealing with U.S. federalism and the European Union (Henning and Kessler, 2012). Like the Henning and Kessler, this paper is a mixture of analysis and literature review. But unlike that excellent piece, it will go beyond its emphasis on the “no bailout” aspect of the U.S. experience to explore other elements of North American financial history. We will argue that operating a common currency is just one aspect of an entire financial system, including banking, with which it should live in harmony. We will suggest some historical lessons, and unlike most discussion of the subject, we will include Canada. Though considerably smaller than either the U.S. or European economies, Canada provides its own set of rather unique insights into creating a common 3 financial system. With greater linguistic divides and fewer constitutional provisions for common financial and commercial integration, it parallels the European situation perhaps even more than the United States. The crux of our argument is that in a Northian sense (North, 1990), European leaders failed to build, indeed, to a large extent, underestimated the importance of and obstacles to acquiring the institutional and organizational underpinnings required for a common financial system, especially a common currency. North argued that it is not just pure economic principles that explain economic success or failure, but also the creation of the appropriate institutions (rules of the game) and organizations that formally or informally enforce them. The existence and effectiveness of those institutions are a product of historical processes, often of long duration, but always essential for resolving conflicts over competing priorities. The bulk of the paper is divided into three sections. The first section highlights some of the intellectual and historical background of the Euro. The next two describe aspects of the North American experience Europeans should integrate into their evaluation of efforts to maintain the Eurozone. While the authors certainly believe in the value of historical comparison, many of the experiences described here serve as cautionary tales about the dangers of drawing of history analogies, without sufficient attention to the context of events or counter examples. The Historical and Intellectual Issues The idea of a common currency and financial system for Europe is not new. Although dealing with the complexity and costs of many currencies was the rule rather than the exception in European history, in the second half of the educated people could draw on many examples of common currency system to assess its economic value. From the Roman Empire through the end of the Gold Standard, Europe enjoyed several periods were business could be done through wide swath of the peninsula with one species. Even while the Bretton Woods System continued to function as planned some advocates of a federal Europe dreamt of a common currency, a dream that morphed for many into an economic necessity during the 1970s, as inflation and dollar value fluctuations increased uncertainty. Not surprisingly, in this macro-economic environment the issues connected with creating an optimal currency areas became of more theoretical and practical interest. Ignoring some of his own caveats and contradicting many of his more theoretical views, the seminal work of Robert Mundell in the 1960s and 1970s was interpreted by many as buttressing the cause of those who pleaded for a European currency. Canadian born but to a large extent 4 American bred, Mundell laid out several propositions that suggested that European monetary union was not only possible but desirable (Mundel, 1961, Mundel, 1973a and b): 1) Currency devaluations among countries that should be in a single currency zone are counterproductive; 2) Reduction in transaction costs would offset the costs of maintaining a common currency; 3) Even in regions with segmented national labor markets and reactions to exogenous shocks, a common currency may help mitigate economic shocks; 4) Flexible exchange rates among optimal different currency zones are an effective way of overcoming the adverse effects of macro-economic shocks. In the early 1970s, Mundell made his enthusiasm for a European currency explicit. As the commitment to pegging European currency to the dollar wound down, Mundell argued that the only way to kill unsettling currency speculation and to achieve intra-European currency stability, ostensibly necessary to establish a common market, was to create a common currency. Europe needed less currency flexibility rather than more if it wanted to achieve its commercial, financial, social, and political aims. By the time Bretton Woods came to an end he wrote, “The exchange rate should be taken out of both national and international politics in Europe.” (Mundell, 1973b, p. 147) Even before the new currency circulated in Europe, many economists expressed their reservations about its introduction. But rarely were the arguments historical or institutional. Most argued, as did Mundell originally, that countries should have similar labor markets and similar reactions to exogenous shocks. Creating the discipline of a common currency would by necessity force very different economic regions to accept one monetary adapted the weighted average of economic conditions in the whole region, which would exacerbate rather than reduce the effects of economic cycles. National economies with high growth rates and inflation would enjoy lower interest rates than would be advisable, and those with poorer conditions too high. In general, many governments which once had to pay higher nominal interest rates for debt would at least for a while enjoy the benefits of their neighbors fiscal prudence and borrow more than they should. Conversely, in the face of economic downturns, countries worst hit by shocks would have to live with tighter monetary conditions and higher interest rates than they would if they controlled their own economic policy. (Feldstein, 1997) Understandably, the early critics of the Euro are already sitting shiva. (Feldstein, 2012) 5 Obligations to State and Local Government Henning and Kessler rightly stress one feature of the American experience: the early decision of federal government not to intervene to save states from bankruptcy and the ensuing movement to force balance budgeting on states. This feature of America’s history is particularly important to those many Europeans concerned about the Greek and other past or future bailouts. Although Alexander Hamilton’s reforms, which put the early federal finances on a firm footing, contained extensive provisions for assuming state debt, this was not his primary objective. Unlike Eurozone, the states of the United States began their lives in the Union virtually debt free. Centralizing and thereby stabilizing American financing and taxing in federal hands was designed to increase the new country’s ability to raise funds. Indeed, he failed, however, to make the federal government the sole U.S. governmental borrower, and on a few occasions, albeit after his death, the federal government took direct or indirect responsibility for state or local debt payments. For over two hundred years, however, the federal government played little or no role in bolstering the credit worthiness of state debt. Within 60 years of Hamilton’s ill-fated attempt to put the U.S. solidify America’s fledgling financial system, however, several U.S. states had run up large debt for public works and defaulted. Even during the first half of the 19th century, when those defaults threatened the federal government’s ability to borrow abroad and war with Great Britain, for many reasons a bi-partisan rejection of assuming state debt prevailed. This decision about state debt had three short- and long-term ramifications. First, the debt was eventually repaid, before states could effectively use capital markets again. Despite the no-bailout policy, states and local governments continued to be active borrowers on domestic and foreign debt markets. For most of U.S. history, states were active players on debt markets. As late as 2009, state and local borrowing accounted for over 20% of the Gross Domestic Products of many U.S. states. Second, most states passed and took relatively seriously balanced budget amendments to their constitutions, provisions which have been bent over the years, but not fatally broken since. Lastly, through most of American history and much of the time with a single currency, federal taxes and spending did not serve as a means of making transfer payments among the states. Not until the 1930s, did the U.S. government take responsibility for countercyclical macroeconomic policies, including large amounts of automatic state transfer payments and subsidies for programs like Social Security, home ownership, and later Medicare and Medicaid. Even with the government’s massive 2009 stimulus package, the vast majority of federal support to states since 2009 has come in the 6 form automatic payments mandated long before the financial crisis. (Henning and Kessler, 2012) Although Henning and Kessler’s argument is well conceived and accurate as far as it goes, the omission of several important contextual points reduces its value for policy matters. First, through much of the period they described America was notorious in the civilized world for its many financial crises, many brought on or exacerbated by state and local defaults. While balanced budget provision of state constitutions helped control state commitments, they did not eliminate actual or de facto defaults, even as late as the 21st century, such as that in California This is hardly an experience European leaders want to replicate. Moreover, safety-net transfer payments and fiscal policies lessoned the pressures on states to use borrowing to fund their operations. More importantly, Henning and Kessler leave out that during much of the period in which the “no bailout norm” developed, the United States had neither an effective common currency nor a central bank that used “government” securities or anything else to tweak money supply. The dollar was the nominal currency of the United States and theoretically convertible into gold and silver. But regional banks could print their own currency, with large differences from region to region in the value of the paper they issued depending on the knowledge and reputation of the issuing bank and conditions in the region. From 1864 on, only new nationally chartered banks could effectively issue currency, backed up by gold, silver, and federal debt. But as the “no bailout norm” developed, no U.S. private or central bank was confronted by the dilemma facing the European Central Bank, namely relying on “national” (state) debt as means of augmenting the money supply. From 1837 to 1914, the United States did not even have a central bank. Not until 1935, did the United States have a single paper dollar issued by the Federal Reserve. In part, what Henning and Kessler ignore about the American experience with default is the other side of the coin, as it were: the multifaceted benefits of having a large supply of federal debt as a benchmark and monetary instrument, which took financial pressure off regional governments at the outset of union, reduced the importance of state and local debt for public finance, and for the creation of a unified financial system. The Canadian experience also highlights some flaws in their analysis. Canada has had an effective single currency longer than the United States, but without a central bank for much of the period. What differentiated the Canadian experience from the American and European, and contributed to the greater stability of Canadian banking, was federal assumption, from day one, of responsibility for banking, as will be discussed in the next section. 7 The British North America Act, which created the Canadian Confederation in 1867, was in many respects a response to economic and political developments “south of the border.” It addressed fundamental issues about fiscal and borrowing responsibilities among the four “provinces” that became Canada and the central government. Under the terms of Part VI of the Act (Distribution of Powers, sections 91 and 92), the federal government was given exclusive responsibility for defense, foreign affairs and all matters not specifically assigned to the provinces (authors’ italics), the opposite of the U.S. division, which left to the states anything not specifically delegated to the federal government. The provinces were given responsibility for all local matters such as education. To this day, there is no federal department of education in Canada; not until 1919 did it have a department of health and welfare. On the revenue side, the federal government was originally given unlimited taxing powers (although it originally relied primarily on customs 1, plus inland revenue, postal and public works duties), while the provinces were restricted to taxes levied directly, such as those on property or income. Provinces relied on excise and sales taxes. In addition to public borrowing and taxation (Public Credit, subsection 4), Parliament was given authority well beyond that given to the federal government in the U.S. constitution. Its responsibility included Currency and Coinage (subsection 14) and Banking, Incorporation of Banks, and the Issue of Paper Money (sub-section 15). (Authors’ Italics) Although the Canadian founding fathers did not establish a central bank, very much in the spirit of America’s original financial legislation, the federal government assumed provincial debt. 2 The largest amount was in direct debt which represented 76% of the gross debt assumed by the Dominion but there was an additional 12% of capital liabilities, principally for railways. In return the new Dominion received a variety of assets, the largest of which were railways, canals and harbor improvements. 3 As in the United States, this policy (Part VIII of the Act) had two beneficial effects. First, the provinces, like the states in the United States, started the Union with a clean slate. Second, and perhaps more importantly, federal debt was firmly established as a benchmark for all securities and a means of adjusting bank reserves and the money supply. As in the United States, provinces were free to borrow for the public good, but under subsection 23 of 1 In the fiscal year ended in 1866 Nova Scotia received 75% of its combined [provincial and municipal] revenue from Customs, New Brunswick 72 % and Canada 45%. Table 6, p. 44 Rowell Sirois Report 2 On June 30, 1867 Canada [Ontario and Quebec], New Brunswick and Nova Scotia had a net debt of $91.2 million. Most of this debt was Canada’s – over 80%. When British Columbia and Prince Edward Island joined Confederation their debt was assumed as well. Manitoba did not have any debt to assume. 3 Table 5A _ Provincial Assets and Liabilities Assumed by the Dominion at Confederation, p. 42 Rowell Sirois Report 1940. 8 Section 92 the provinces were also given authority over the borrowing of all public entities in the provinces, (The borrowing of Money on the sole Credit of the Province), which included “Municipal Institutions in the Province” (subsection 8). The municipalities were in fact “creatures of the province.” Indeed in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick local government was not well developed beyond a few major centers. Unlike the United States after the Progressive movement, which witnessed a surge in local powers, there were no ‘home rule’ provisions in Canada. But like the American experience, then, direct provincial bailouts by the central government seemed to be ruled out. Like Europe, but unlike the United States, from the beginning, a series of transfer payments from the federal government to the poorer provinces was envisioned. As provinces entered the union, the amount of the transfer payments was part of the agreements. “In the case of the Better Terms granted to Nova Scotia in 1869, the financial terms surrounding the admission of Manitoba in 1870 4, British Columbia, in 1871, Prince Edward Island in 1873 and Alberta and Saskatchewan in 1905, it is very evident that the actual basis employed in fixing the amount of subsidies was fiscal need.” 5 See above In short, the practice began, well ahead of the United States, of supplying funds upfront to the provinces rather than bailing them out when they ran into fiscal problems. But while both the Canadian and U.S. central governments do not take responsibility for state or local borrowings, both Canadian state and provincial governments take charge of distressed political entities in their jurisdiction. As in most countries, Canadian government spending for social programs expanded greatly after World War I. In addition to new central government expenditures associated with the wars and depressed economy, provinces increased their budgets. No industrialized country was harder hit than Canada by the Great Depression, which put great financial pressure on the provincial and local governments. The Depression “served to underline the fundamental weaknesses of the Canadian fiscal system.” 6 During the 1930s, the province of Alberta and Newfoundland, still a separate British territory, defaulted on their debt. municipalities went bankrupt. Many As “creatures of the provinces” they were placed under provincial Municipal Boards, which became ‘trustees in bankruptcy.’ Many municipalities stayed under the Municipal Board for decades, because the municipal politicians could use the Municipal boards as an excuse for not spending. 4 A shot gun marriage precipitated by the most controversial figure in Canadian history, Louis Riel, a Metis, who was hung in 1885 for high treason. 5 Pp. 12-13 of the Submission By the Government of Saskatchewan to the Royal Commission on DominionProvincial Relations [Canada.1937] 6 Perry ‘A Fiscal History of Canada’, p. 369 9 The severity of the Depression led to the appointment of the Royal Commission on Dominion Provincial Relations (the Rowell Sirois Commission), the most important of all the Royal Commissions appointed since Confederation. Although most of the Commission’s recommendations were not implemented, a key one was: the introduction of unconditional grants from the federal government to the poorer provinces (which in 1957 became equalization 7 grants) in place of per capita subsidies. While provincial government borrowing was still not guaranteed by the central government, these transfer payments from the stronger to the economically weaker provinces, like those in the United States from stronger states to weaker ones, acted as the kind of automatic transfer payments, the kind European countries still have to negotiate, when they go beyond the original entry subsidies. Until very recently, most ongoing transfer payments among member countries in Europe were for agricultural subsidies and relatively small as a percent of European Gross Product. 8 As a result of the Depression, too, many charitable or municipal welfare activities became provincial responsibilities. Because the expenses became so high, many social expenditures were transferred to the federal government, but administered by the provinces, as in the United States. In 1940, the provinces agreed to the introduction of federal unemployment insurance and old age pensions plans. These trends continued after World War II. After the war, federal officials decided to focus more on social services, even though they were still the responsibility of the provinces, rather than economic infrastructure as was more the case in the United States right after the war. 9. This policy decision led to significant federal provincial conflicts, especially between Quebec and Ontario and the federal government. By the mid-1950s, the federal government dominated public spending within the Canadian Confederation, accounting for over 60% of both revenue and expenditure of all governmental entities in Canada. The provinces represented approximately 20%, and the local governments around 14% of revenue and 16.5% of expenditures. 7 For years there were three ‘have provinces’ – Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia, with four really ‘have not’ provinces – the Atlantic provinces, two near ‘have not’ provinces – Quebec and Manitoba and Saskatchewan moving from have to have not depending on the commodity cycle. However in recent years Ontario has become a ‘have not’ province while Newfoundland has become a ‘have’ province. 8 http://ec/europa.eu/budget/figures/2012/2012_en.cfm, updated January 19, 2012, May 21, 2012 search. Total EU expenditures accounted for just over 1% of the Union’s Gross Product. 9 The Trans Canada Highway, for example, is a pale imitation Eisenhower’s Interstate Highway System. Interprovincial trade barriers were not dealt with nor was a single Securities Regulator. 10 As in the United States, the shift in proportions of government spending in Canada away from the federal toward provincial and local governments is part of a complex story that makes clear demarcation among different levels of government responsibility difficult. In the late 1950s, the national government introduced a shared cost hospitalization program. These national initiatives were resisted in some provinces, most particularly by the Province of Quebec. This was particularly true after the election of Jean Lesage in 1960 with a platform of “maître chez nous.” 10 As costs at the provincial level continued to increase, agitation increased to limit provincial exposure. As a consequence, a Federal Provincial Continuing Committee was created to examine the respective responsibilities and revenues of the two levels of government. Just as the results of this report were distributed on a confidential basis (showing significant future provincial deficits), the Federal government introduced a sharedcost Medicare program which would add greatly to Provincial deficits. This led to continuing fighting (including the creation of a Tri Level Task Force on Public Finance), which resulted in the introduction of Established Program Financing [EPF] block funding for social programs in the late 1970s. By 1980, the federal government and provincial governments were spending almost identical amounts, although the federal government collected less than it spent while the converse was true of the provinces. The growth in provincial spending, “Big Spenders,” in the words of C. D. Howe Institute Senior Policy Analyst Beatrice Ip, was largely due to increases in expenditures on health, education and welfare, which were still provincial responsibilities. 11 Since 1980, there has continued to be lots of argument over revenues and expenditures, but all levels of government have tended toward more balanced budgets. In 2005, the federal government raised and spent 38% of the total pie, the provincial governments 44%, and the local governments 18%. Most importantly for this discussion, on the face of it, federal expenditures represent a shrinking rather than increasing portion of Canadian government spending, without any threat to the Canadian dollar. Federal Financial Regulation Understandably recent discussions about the Euro’s weakness focus on sovereign debt. In so far as national regulation of banks enters into analysis, they tend to examine the problems caused by nationally regulated banking associated with the banks’ investment in 10 Lesage had a number of powerful Ministers and Deputy Minister who later became separatist Premiers. Lesage went beyond Federal Provincial Conferences and introduced Inter Provincial Conferences, the better to organize Provincial complaints 11 Although these were provincial responsibilities, the provinces were encouraged to spend in these areas by the federal government, especially with their introduction of Medicare. 11 sovereign debt and the use of that sovereign debt as collateral for European Central Bank (ECB) funding. The North American experience points to a more fundamental problem. Many of the framers of the American Constitution were reluctant to give the new federal government responsibility for banking and other financial regulation. The licensing and regulating of bank and insurance firms grew quickly in the new nations, but was decidedly then and still is to some extent a state responsibility. The only financial activity delegated to the federal government explicitly by the constitution was the creation and maintenance of the currency, which implied by the framers that the states should control the organization of financial services. Hamilton understood that this division was untenable. In a masterful stroke, he basically bribed the debtor states – and used other carrots with those less indebted – to allow him to create a national bank and build a federal fiscal system, which would allow for the payment of the new consolidated government debt. The federal assumption of state debt and the creation of a national bank achieved for a short time Hamilton’s goals. U.S. debt and taxation was shifted to the federal government, whose credit rating in the eyes of most of the world allowed it to raise funds on nascent international capital markets. Defining dollars in terms of gold and silver bolstered faith in the new government’s finances. Even though private banks issued their own paper currency, for a short time the United States had an effective quasi-government organization (The First Bank of the United States) in place to facilitate the “privately printed currencies could be accepted as legal tender” by pressuring banks to keep sufficient species and government debt on hand to insure convertibility. It should be remembered that issuing bank notes played a very different role in the banking systems of the 18th and 19th century, than it does today. Moreover, once Hamilton became convinced that the new national banks should have branches all over the country, the U.S. not only had an effective monitor of state chartered banks, it also effectively had a national banking system. From the last decade of the 18th to the first decade of the 21st, the American experience has shown that financial stability and maintenance of a common currency required more federal intervention in banking. Although the Constitution gave the federal government the right to define a dollar, in practice the absence of federal powers to create money and prevalence of fragmented banking law meant that the United States effectively had many currencies issued by private banks. (Mihm, 2007) The Civil War reforms of banking, the National Banking Acts of 1863 and 1864, not only gave the Treasury the ability to issue federal currency and created nationally chartered banks with the power to issue their own paper money, but it also intentionally created obstacles to state-chartered banks continuing to 12 issue currency. Although nationally charted bank and government paper money co-existed until the New Deal vested the power to issue paper money solely in the 20-year-old Federal Reserve, the much changed but spiritual descendant of Hamilton’s original vision. From the 1860s through the 1930s, if not earlier, each successful step the United States took toward a national currency was accompanied by greater national control of banking. By 1935, when the U.S. counterpart of the ECB was issuing currency, it and other federal agencies had extensive control of the whole U.S. financial system. By end of the New Deal, while states still maintained some authority over banks, most bank regulation had been transferred to the national government, a trend that would continue through the rest of the century and beyond. In short, creating the regulatory conditions for a unified financial system and single currency was a long, arduous process in the United States, even though political union proceeded financial. (Rousseau, 2013) The Canadian story is similar in that creating a national currency required more unified control of banking, but with different starting points and progressed at a different pace. Indeed, at critical junctions Canadians profited by learning from the mistakes of their southern neighbor’s splintered banking system. (Smith, 2012) The initial impetus for banking in Canada was replacing British Army Bills after the War of 1812. Banks were required to satisfy the demand for a reliable paper currency to replace the bills and supplement species. Before confederation, Canada had a number of colonial chartered, royal, private, and free (banks without charters) banks, and bank failures. Actual government bills did not appear until 1871, but several attempts had been made before. Canada’s first national banking act (1871) and subsequent revisions addressed bank solvency and customer confidence, especially in relation to private bank notes. Even before it had a central bank, Canada’s banking system was cross-Provincial and regulated chiefly by the national government. As discussed above, the British North America Act gave banking regulatory responsibility to central government, at a time when the U.S. federal government took its first real steps to remove some banking authority from the states. Although private bank notes played a reduced role in the Canadian economy in the second half of the 19th century and second half of 20th, they began to be phased out in 1935, when Canada created its first central bank. (Neufeld, 1972) The introduction of a single, common currency came in increments and with increasing central control over banking. As already mentioned, the British North America Act gave the Federal government authority over both currency and banking. Currency and banking regulation advanced in parallel. This provision was recommended at a meeting of 13 colonial leaders in Quebec City in October, 1864. Those colonial leaders were well aware of the turmoil to the “south of the border” caused by American federalism’s failure to develop a national banking system. In the year after Confederation, the Dominion Notes Act was passed. It took over the existing Provincial Notes, which traded alongside those issued by the chartered banks and redeemed them in Montreal, Toronto, Halifax and Saint John, the main centers of the three colonies and territories which entered Confederation between 1870 and 1873. In 1871, the Uniform Currency Act came into effect, establishing the decimal currency system uniformly across Canada at a rate of $4.8666 to the pound and $10.00 Canadian to the American $10 Gold Eagle. While Dominion Notes were introduced in 1871, chartered banks were allowed to issue $4.00 and larger notes, a minimum amount that was raided to $5.00 in 1880. Chartered banks continued to issue their own notes until the Bank of Canada, Canada’s central bank began operations in 1935. From then on, the Bank of Canada issued paper currency, replacing the old Dominion Notes and the chartered banks were required to phase out their notes. With the Gold Standard, issues of money supply were relatively straight forward. Whatever monetary policy Canada had, and it was limited, was handled between the Department of Finance and the Canadian Bankers’ Association. Before World War II, there was no money market to speak of and Canada was on the gold standard with few interruptions (1914 to 1926) until the Great Depression. The severity of the Great Depression made banks very cautious. The government offered little guidance and direction, and the agricultural sector was particularly hard hit by credit restrictions. The political unrest led to the creation of Canada’s first central bank. The Bank had from the outset a high degree of freedom from government interference, a political policy that was reinforced that were enshrined in law in the 1960s. Nevertheless, even before Canada had a central bank, it had established a national system of banking and money supply. Finance and Nation Building: The North American Experience Money creation and its attending financial institutions have political as well as economic implications. Hamilton and the Canadian founding fathers were well aware of this. It can bring people together and separate them too. The Greeks remained separate city states because they failed to create a unified currency zone; the Romans, in contrast, helped create an Empire by establishing one currency, albeit with others traded. People identify with their money and the institutions that support it, as did the English in the heyday of the pound and the Germans with DM. For much of its history, Canada created serious penalties for Indian 14 minorities for using and celebrating tribal forms of money. (Davis, 2002, p.12) While scholars stress the micro and macro-economic functions of money, such as unit of account, measure, payment, and storage of value they tend to neglect the political. It is part of building sovereignty, an evolutionary process requiring patience and flexibility. In what currency do you measure your wealth, is not just a financial question. It is also a political one, answer to which evolves over time. This cursory review of American and Canadian financial history is not designed to provide policy conclusions to the European debt crises and the integrity of the Euro. Financial history cannot do this, no more than knowing one’s own personal history can determine where one will or should eat dinner tonight. But like that personal history, knowing financial history frames some possibilities; it may even inflame the appetite or discourage some courses of action. Much of what is learned from history is that solutions from one period may not apply in others, as their macroeconomic and political contexts change. When the United States and Canada created their common currency, national and local governments spent much less than they do today, and international finance was smaller and less high-tech. Indeed, the transaction costs of having multiple currencies were much higher than today, making the comparative benefits of a common currency zone greater. Given the economic effects of multiple, independent currencies, in the mid-19th century, it should be no wonder then that many western countries (regions) were fighting a two-front currency policy, establishing the benefits of paper money and fixing the value of that money to one common currency, one commonly accepted measure of value, gold. The North American achievement during the second half of the 19th century unfolded against the background of an Atlantic community single currency zone. Although not as stable and automatically self-correcting as many have thought, the pre-World War I Gold Standard Era still is justifiably famous for its currency convertibility and stability. In short, the North American experience in the 19th and 20th centuries cannot be applied to Europe in the 21st mechanically. (Eichengreen, 1997) European efforts to forge a common currency have been very important to Americans and Canadians. Some of the most vocal opponents and advocates for the European common currency have come from Americans or American organizations. Some North Americans like to think that their distance from European political conflicts may give them special insights, but their analyses of the importance of transfer payments, inflation rates, and the symmetry (or lack thereof) of economic shocks rarely go beyond very recent data. The more interesting questions involve the role of factor mobility and bailouts when the common currencies were 15 introduced and during their early development stages. (Eichengreen, 1997) Even if Europe today is less set up for a single currency than the United States, the more relevant comparison is between Europe today and the United States of the mid-19th century and how regional differences in inflation and growth rates affected the single currency project. Even if we have different sets of policy alternatives, how political actors dealt with the inevitable stress brought on by economic downturns might offer some guidance. This brings us to the chief insight provided by history. American efforts to establish a common currency and financial system were among the most contentious in their history. Although the Federalist Papers did not address the issue directly, they debated the basic balance of powers for a new government that created the framework for financial decisions. During the first sixty years with the Constitution, the very existence of America’s first two central banks provided one of the most controversial issues in American politics, resulting finally in the first two banks having only 20-year lives and a nearly 80 year hiatus until a Federal Reserve had support. To be sure, the North and South fought the Civil War over other issues, but it is no accident that Republicans used their control of the federal government to pass some national banking legislation. Well into the 19th century, support for centralized financial control and the Gold Standard remained shaky. Although William Jennings Bryan lost the presidential election three times, the author of the famous “Cross of Gold” speech received the nomination of the Democratic Party three times. The ability of the federal government to raise more revenues through an income tax, which helped provide funds that ended up as automatic distributions to less well-off states, required amending the U.S. Constitution, an Amendment that is still referred to by some as the Karl Marx Amendment to the Constitutions, nearly 100 years after its passage. Each of America’s financial crises in the 20th century brought on very public debates about what kind of financial system America should have. Some of these debates led to fundamental changes in that system, sometimes over the objections of or bowing to sectional interests, but generally with rather widespread public consciousness about the tradeoffs and why the changes were needed. (Roe, 1994) Here too Canada’s experience points in the same direct. Although Canada’s transition to a unified financial system was less traumatic than America’s, only the cataclysmic conditions of the Great Depression were sufficient to force the creation of a central bank, over twenty years after America’s third. Moreover, Canadian financial regulators had the wisdom to add a clause to its first financial act in the 19th century, requiring the government to review policies every ten years, a requirement that has now become every five years. In short, 16 forging a common financial system in Canada required Parliamentary debate about fundamental principles and a flexible response to changing financial conditions. From the very beginning of the European Union’s history to Valéry Giscard d’Estang’s 500-page constitution through our current round of financial fixes, European leaders have had a propensity to push greater union through a consensus of elites, well ahead of a broader public consensus. While this strategy has some merit, the lack of public enthusiasm in the stronger and weaker economies for a tighter union should come as no surprise. Nonetheless, we should not despair: major economic policy transformations are normally long-term processes. As the quote, which introduces this paper argues, history counsels patience. 17 References Beckhart, Benjamin Haggott, (1929) The Banking System of Canada (New York, Harcourt) Breckenridge, Roeliff Morton, (1910) The History of Banking in Canada, [Washington, the National Monetary Commission] Davies, Glyn. (2002) History of Money: From Ancient Times to the Present Day (Cardiff: University of Wales Press) Eichengreen, Barry. (1997), European Monetary Unification: Theory, Practice, and Analysis (Cambridge, MA.: MIT Press). Feldstein, Martin. (2012), “The Failure of the Euro: The Little Currency That Couldn’t,” Foreign Affairs, February. Feldstein, Martin. (1997), “EMU and International Conflict,” Foreign Affairs, November/December. Henning, C. Randall and Kessler, Martin. (2012) “Fiscal Federalism: US History for Architects of Europe’s Fiscal Union,” Bruegel Essay and Lecture Series. Innis, H.A., and A.R.M. Lower, [1933], Select Documents in Canadian Economic History, 1783-1885, (Toronto: University of Toronto Press). MacIntosh, Robert. (1991). Different Drummers: Banking and politics in Canada. (Toronto: MacMillan). Martin, Joe, (1974) “The Role and Place of Ontario in the Canadian Confederation” as part of The Evolution of Policy in Contemporary Ontario Prepared for the Ontario Economic Council. McKinnon, Ronald. (May, 2000) “Mundell, the Euro, and Optimal Currency Areas,” Working Paper. Mihm, Stephen. A Nation of Counterfeiters: Capitalists, Con Men, and the Making of the United States (Cambridge, MA.: Harvard University Press, 2007) Mundell, Robert A. (1961) “A Theory of Optimal Currency Areas,” American Economic Review, 51, pp. 509-17. Mundell, Robert A. (1963) “Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates,” Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29, pp. 475-485. Mundell, Robert A. (1973a), “Uncommon Arguments for Common Currencies,” in H.G. Johnson and A.K. Swoboda, The Economics of Common Currencies (London: Allen & Unwin), pp. 114-32. 18 Mundell, Robert A. (1973b), “A Plan for a European Currency,” in H.G. Johnson and A.K. Swoboda, The Economics of Common Currencies (London: Allen and Unwin), pp. 143-72. Neufeld, E. P. (1972), “The Chartered Banks,” in The Financial System of Canada: Its Growth and Development (Macmillan Company), pp. 71-89. North, Douglass C. (1990), Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). Powell, James,(2005) A History of the Canadian Dollar [Ottawa, Bank of Canada] Rousseau, Peter L. “Politics on the road to U.S. monetary union,” Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Paper Series, March 25, 2013. Report of the Royal Commission on Dominion Provincial Relations, (1954) also known as the Rowell Sirois Report, Book I Canada 1867 – 1939. Queen’s Printer. Shortt, Adam,(republished 1986) History of Canadian Currency and Banking, 1600-1880, (Toronto: The Canadian Banker’s Association). Smith, Andrew. “Continental Divide: The Canadian Banking and Currency Laws of 1871 in the Mirror of the United States,” Enterprise & Society, (2012), Vol. 13, no. 3. Sylla, Richard. (2007), “Reversing Financial Reversals: Government and the Financial System since 1789,” in Government and the American Economy: A New History, ed. Price Fishback (Chicago: University of Chicago Press), pp. 115-147. Wilkins, Mira. (1989), The History of Foreign Investment in the United States to 1914 (Cambridge, MA.: Harvard University Press). 19