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1 Exercises for Lecture 22 – Stat 112 1. Moore and McCabe, third edition, 12.9 (do 12.1 instead in fourth edition). 2. (based on Moore and McCabe, third edition, 12.5 and 12.6 (12.18 and 12.19 in fourth edition) Do piano lessons improve the spatial-temporal reasoning of preschool children? In exercise 7.51 (Exercise 7.65) in fourth edition, this questions was examined by comparing the change scores (after treatment minus before treatment) of 34 children who took piano lessons with the scores of 44 children who did not. The latter group actually contained three groups of children: 10 were given singing lessons, 20 had some computer instruction and 14 received no extra lessons. The data appears in Moore and McCabe and is in piano.JMP. (a) The following is the output for the multiple linear regression of score on a dummy variable for piano, a dummy variable for singing and a dummy variable for computer. Analyze the question of whether there is any difference between the spatial-temporal reasoning of children who receive piano lessons, singing lessons, computer instruction and no extra lessons. State the null and alternative hypotheses, the test statistic with degrees of freedom, the P-value and your conclusion. Response Scores Whole Model Actual by Predicted Plot Scores Actual 10 5 0 -5 -5 0 5 10 Scores Predicted P<.0001 RSq=0.27 RMSE=2.7348 Summary of Fit RSquare RSquare Adj Root Mean Square Error Mean of Response Observations (or Sum Wgts) 0.272481 0.242987 2.734753 1.794872 78 Analysis of Variance Source Model Error C. Total DF 3 74 77 Sum of Squares 207.28139 553.43655 760.71795 Mean Square 69.0938 7.4789 F Ratio 9.2385 Prob > F <.0001 Parameter Estimates Term Intercept Estimate 0.7857143 Std Error 0.730893 t Ratio 1.08 Prob>|t| 0.2859 Term Piano Singing Computer Estimate 2.8319328 -1.085714 -0.335714 Std Error 0.868431 1.132295 0.952968 t Ratio 3.26 -0.96 -0.35 Prob>|t| 0.0017 0.3408 0.7256 Effect Tests Source Piano Singing Computer Nparm 1 1 1 DF 1 1 1 Sum of Squares 79.530112 6.876190 0.928151 F Ratio 10.6340 0.9194 0.1241 Prob > F 0.0017 0.3408 0.7256 Residual by Predicted Plot 8 Scores Residual 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -5 0 5 10 Scores Predicted (b) Use the Bonferroni multiple comparisons procedure to compare the group means. The pooled estimate of the standard deviation is s p 2.7348 . The four group means are Group Piano Singing Computer None Mean 3.618 -0.300 0.450 0.786 Number in Group 34 10 20 14 3. Moore and McCabe, question 12.11 (12.30 in fourth edition). The data is in insect.JMP. 4. New chemicals are screened to see if they cause cancer in lab mice. A “bioassay” can be done with 500 mice; 250 are chosen at random and given the test chemical in their food; 250 get a normal lab diet. After 33 months, cancer rates in the two groups are compared, using the two sample z-test. Investigators look at cancer rates in about 25 organs and organ systems – lungs, liver, circulatory system, etc. With one chemical, z 1.8 for the lungs, z 2.4 for the liver, z 2.1 for leukemia, and there are another 22 values of z that range from –1.6 to 1.5. The investigators conclude that the chemical causes liver cancer ( z 2.4, the p-value for the one-sided test is approximately 0.01). Comment briefly on whether you think the investigators conclusion is appropriate. 5. What is the distinction between a planned and an unplanned comparison?