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Intro to Ecological Economics-human dev Growth=increase in throughput-quantitative Growth Development Development=qualitative improvement Intro to Ecological Economics-population Demographic transition Theory Growth Development Intro to Ecological Economics-population Intro to Ecological Economics-forest succession Growth Development Reorganization Aggredation Transition Steady-state (mature) We hear: “There is no conflict between economic growth and environmental protection!” World GDP and CO2 $100,000 $10,000 $1,000 $100 $10 1 0 0 0 $1 60 Million yrs of CO2 CLIMATE DAMAGE CLIMATE DAMAGE ESA Listings and GDP 1400 $10 1200 $9 1000 $8 800 $7 600 $6 400 $5 R2 = 98.4 200 0 1973 $4 $3 1980 1990 2001 Source: The Wildlife Society Technical Review 2003-1. Endangerment Causes Urbanization Agriculture Water diversions (e.g., reservoirs) Recreation, tourism development Pollution Domestic livestock, ranching 247 205 160 148 143 136 Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601. Causes (cont.) Mineral, gas, oil extraction Non-native species Harvest Modified fire regimes Road construction/maintenance Industrial development 134 115 101 83 83 81 Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601. GNP K Natural capital allocated to wildlife Natural capital allocated to human economy Time Czech, B. 2000. Economic growth as the limiting factor for wildlife conservation. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28(1):4-14. Natural Capital “We treat the earth like a business in liquidation.” Herman Daly Opportunity cost. Loss is not counted. (OVERSHOOT) Economic Carrying Capacity (“Plimsoll line”) K K-selection r-selection Time K and r-selected Economies SCALE-Full World or Empty World? Source: Ecological Economics Principles & Applications, Farley and Daly We Might Ask GGP K Economy of nature Human economy Natural Capital Allocation Revisited GNP X natural capital allocable Natural capital allocated to non-human economy KU KT Natural capital allocated to human economy Time Intro to Ecological Economics Entropy=disorder, randomness 2nd Law: entropy always increases (waste) ECONOMY LOW ENTROPY (dissipated) HIGH ENTROPY Intro to Ecological Economics WHAT IS ANTI-ENTROPIC? (waste) ECONOMY LOW ENTROPY HIGH ENTROPY Distribution-Grow out of poverty? Poverty rate vs. GDP per Capita (1996$) $35,000 20% 18% $30,000 16% $25,000 14% $20,000 12% $15,000 10% poverty rate 01 2 0 99 1 9 97 1 9 95 1 9 93 1 9 91 1 9 89 1 9 87 9 85 1 9 83 per capita GDP (1996$) 1 1 9 81 1 9 79 1 9 77 1 9 75 1 9 73 1 9 71 1 9 69 9 67 1 9 65 1 9 63 1 9 1 9 1 9 1 61 8% 59 $10,000 ALLOCATION Adam Smith