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Effects of climate change on Arctic arthropod assemblages and distribution PhD thesis Rikke Reisner Hansen Academic advisors: Main supervisor Toke Thomas Høye and co-supervisor Signe Normand Submitted 29/08/2016 Data sheet Title: Effects of climate change on Arctic arthropod assemblages and distribution Author University: Aarhus University Publisher: Aarhus University – Denmark URL: www.au.dk Supervisors: Assessment committee: Arctic arthropods, climate change, community composition, distribution, diversity, life history traits, monitoring, species richness, spatial variation, temporal variation Date of publication: August 2016 Please cite as: Hansen, R. R. (2016) Effects of climate change on Arctic arthropod assemblages and distribution. PhD thesis, Aarhus University, Denmark, 144 pp. Keywords: Number of pages: 144 PREFACE………………………………………………………………………………………..5 LIST OF PAPERS……………………………………………………………………………….6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS……………………………………………………………………...7 SUMMARY……………………………………………………………………………………...8 RESUMÉ (Danish summary)…………………………………………………………………....9 SYNOPSIS……………………………………………………………………………………....10 Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………...10 Study sites and approaches……………………………………………………………………...11 Arctic arthropod community composition…………………………………………………….....13 Potential climate change effects on arthropod composition…………………………………….15 Arctic arthropod responses to climate change…………………………………………………..16 Future recommendations and perspectives……………………………………………………...20 References………………………………………………………………………………………..21 PAPER I: High spatial variation in terrestrial arthropod species diversity and composition near the Greenland ice cap……………………………………………………………………………….27 PAPER II: Meter scale variation in shrub dominance and soil moisture structure Arctic arthropod communities……………………………………………………………………………………..37 PAPER III: Diversity and composition changes along a continentality gradient in the Arctic……………..55 PAPER IV: Synchronous seasonal dynamics in composition, richness and turnover of arthropod assemblages across the Arctic…………………………………………………………………..97 PAPER V: Habitat-specific effects of climate change on a low-mobility Arctic spider species…………...122 PAPER VI: High-Arctic butterflies become smaller with rising temperatures……………………………..132 PAPER VII: Phenology of high-Arctic butterflies and their floral resources: Species-specific responses to climate change………………………………………………………………………………….136 As if some little Arctic flower, Upon the polar hem, Went wandering down the latitudes, Until it puzzled came To continents of summer, To firmaments of sun, To strange, bright crowds of flowers, And birds of foreign tongue! I say, as if this little flower To Eden wandered in – What then? Why, nothing, only Your inference therefrom! - Emily Dickinson 1860 PREFACE This thesis is the realization of three years’ work at the Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, during which I have been stationed mostly at the Arctic Research Center, but also at the section for Biodiversity and conservation, Kalø. The fieldwork, which formed a large part of the thesis, was conducted in Nuuk, South-west Greenland during the summer of 2013. The thesis was supervised by Toke Thomas Høye with Signe Normand as co-supervisor, and I was also fortunate to be a part of a larger scientific collaboration with researchers from Canada, USA and Norway. The thesis is comprised of two main parts. An introduction of the general conceptual framework, preceding a summary of the results of the scientific papers, included in the thesis. Part two consists of seven papers. Paper I and II have been published in Polar Biology and PeerJ respectively. Paper III is in preparation for BMC Ecology and paper IV in preparation for Ecography. Paper V – VII have been published in Polar Biology, Biology Letters and Current Zoology, respectively. In this synopsis, I will first describe the patterns of global climate change and its amplification in the Arctic, which will set the scene for the main subject of my thesis; Overall impacts of climate change at the species level and at the community level. I will present some of the recent research in this field and contrast it to my research on diversity and compositional changes in Arctic arthropods. Life history traits such as phenology, reproduction and body size have been heavily impacted by climate change. I will present some of the results from recent research in this field and relate changes in life history traits to changes in distributional patterns (i.e. species occurrences). The Arctic is a large heterogeneous biome, and some of the results may therefor only be applicable in a narrow geographic context. I have attempted to distinguish between the patterns that can be generalized into an overall Arctic context and the patterns that are unique for Greenland. Finally, I round up the synopsis with a conclusion and finishing comments of future recommendations based on the findings of my PhD. LIST OF PAPERS PAPER I: Hansen RR, Hansen OLP, Bowden JJ, Normand S, Bay C, Sørensen JG, and Høye TT. 2016a. High spatial variation in terrestrial arthropod species diversity and composition near the Greenland ice cap. Polar Biology:1-10 DOI: 10.1007/s00300-016-1893-2. PAPER II: Hansen RR, Hansen OLP, Bowden JJ, Treier UA, Normand S, and Høye TT. 2016b. Meter scale variation in shrub dominance and soil moisture structure Arctic arthropod communities. Peerj 4:e2224 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.2224. PAPER III: Hansen OLP, Hansen RR, Bowden JJ, Normand S, Treier U and Høye TT. In prep. Diversity and composition changes along a continentality gradient in the Arctic. BMC Ecology. PAPER IV: Hansen RR, Asmus A, Bowden JJ, Loboda S, Iler AM, CaraDonna PJ, Hansen OLP, Normand S, Loonen MJJE, Schmidt NM, Aastrup P and Høye TT. In prep. Synchronous seasonal dynamics in composition, richness and turnover of arthropod assemblages across the Arctic. Ecography. PAPER V: Bowden JJ, Hansen RR, Olsen K, and Høye TT. 2015b. Habitat-specific effects of climate change on a low-mobility Arctic spider species. Polar Biology 38:559-568 DOI: 10.1007/s00300-014-1622-7. PAPER VI: Bowden JJ, Eskildsen A, Hansen RR, Olsen K, Kurle CM, and Høye TT. 2015a. High-Arctic butterflies become smaller with rising temperatures. Biology Letters 11 DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2015.0574. PAPER VII: Høye TT, Eskildsen A, Hansen RR, Bowden JJ, Schmidt NM, and Kissling WD. 2014. Phenology of high-arctic butterflies and their floral resources: Species-specific responses to climate change. Current Zoology 60:243-251 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The past three years work, now culminating with the production of this thesis, has been exciting, but also challenging years and I could not have achieved this without the support of family, friends and colleagues. Some of the challenges, I had help overcoming with tremendous support from my supervisor Toke Thomas Høye and co-supervisor Signe Normand. Both offered me sound scientific guidance during all phases of my PhD, and helped me to understand all aspects of the publication process. I would particularly like to thank Toke Thomas Høye for enthusiastically believing in my results, and encouraging me to pursue my goals. I am grateful to both for showing me that pursuing a scientific career does not need to come at the expense of family, but that career and family can act in concert and strengthen the outcome in the end. My colleagues both at Kalø and Arctic Research Center as well as colleagues visiting from abroad, have made the years fly bye, not only by offering scientific sparring at a qualified and interdisciplinary level, but particularly by adding pleasant company to the journey. I kindly thank the Arctic Research Center for providing funding and housing throughout the full course of my PhD. I would also like to thank the Natural History Museum in Aarhus, who harbored me during the sorting and identification process and provided materials, room and enjoyable company. I owe very special gratitude to my son Daq Lindhardt Reisner who has endured my absence, short holidays and parental mood swings with a smile and an amazing attitude. This could not have gone as smoothly without the help of my mom Karin Bursche Leth and the BuskVeje family, who all have provided my son with a second home, in my absence. Finally, I would like to thank my partner Lars Nygaard Nielsen for bearing with me in the final stages and showing me unconditional encouragement and loving support. Rikke Reisner Hansen August 2016 SUMMARY With this thesis I provide new insight into how climate change can be expected to affect different aspects of future arthropod diversity (i.e. composition, diversity and life history traits), through the deciphering of past and contemporary distribution patterns. I identify important drivers of local and regional variation in community and population differences of Arctic terrestrial arthropods. The focus is primarily on Greenland, yet the results are discussed in a wider geographical context. We show that Arctic arthropod assemblages varies over very short distances and that patterns in composition and diversity are dictated by local to landscape scale habitat features (Paper I and II). Large geographical features, such as fjords, glaciers and mountain ranges fragments species pools and creates distinct site specific arthropod communities (Paper I, II and III). These findings are in sharp contrast to the conception of the Arctic as a species poor and homogenous environment. While heterogeneity of the habitat sampled and the overall size of the study area are variables shown to be positively correlated with species diversity, less attention has been given to the temporal accumulation of species within and between years. We demonstrate a non-uniform seasonal development of Arctic arthropod community composition throughout the season along with peaking richness patterns during parts of the season, where conditions are optimal. These patterns are repeated across multiple Arctic sites, spanning a large climatic gradient, but with significant inter-annual and habitat variation (Paper IV). Changes in important life history traits (i.e. body size and phenology) are features that will eventually cause species to alter their occurrences, and ultimately whole community compositions. Species specific investigations revealed that body size variation as a response to climate change, may be masked by local habitat heterogeneity and potentially depend on trophic level of the study organism (Paper V and VI). Inter-annual body size variations of a high Arctic crab spider differ significantly between the habitats, as well as, between males and females (Paper V). Body size of high arctic butterfly is significantly decreasing as a response to increasing temperatures over nearly 20 years (Paper VI). Several studies have demonstrated decoupling of ecological events, such as flight time in butterflies and the peak abundance of floral resources. One of our studies (Paper VII), investigating phenological responses to recent warming for two Arctic butterfly species, show a trend towards earlier flight time for one of the species (Boloria Chariclea) and not the other (Colias hecla). The study furthermore demonstrates contrasting species specific relations with abiotic variables and confirms the need for species specific studies of phenological responses. RESUMÉ Med denne afhandling, bidrager jeg med viden om hvordan klimaændringer kan forventes at påvirke forskellige aspekter af fremtidig diversitet af leddyr (i.e. artssammensætning, diversitet og livshistorietræk), via en udredning af fortidige og nutidige udbredelsesmønstre. Jeg identificerer de vigtige drivkræfter bag lokal og regional variation i samfunds- og populationsmæssige forskelle i landlevende Arktiske leddyr. Fokus er primært på Grønland men resultaterne diskuteres i en bredere geografisk kontekst. Vi viser at leddyrs samfund varierer over korte afstande og at mønstre i sammensætning og diversitet er dikteret af forskelle i habitater på lokal til landskabs skala (Artikel I og II). Store geografiske barrierer, såsom fjorde, gletsjere og bjergkæder hjælper til at fragmentere artspuljer og skabe lokalt specifikke artssammensætninger (Artikel I, II og III). Disse resultater står i skarp kontrast til den gængse opfattelse af Arktis som et artsfattigt og homogent terræn. Heterogeniteten af et område, samt størrelsen af arealet som indsamles på, har vist sig at være positivt korreleret med artsdiversitet, mindre opmærksomhed er imidlertid blevet tildelt sammenhængen mellem tidsmæssig akkumulering af arter indenfor og årerne imellem. Vi viser at artsammensætninger af Arktiske leddyr ikke udvikler sig ens gennem sæsonen, men at der er perioder hvor artsrigdom topper og hvor der sker få ændringer i artssammensætning fra en uge til næste. Disse mønstre gentager sig over flere lokaliteter i Arktis, som tilsammen spænder over store klimatiske gradienter (Artikel IV). Ændringer i vigtige livshistorietræk (e.g. kropsstørrelser of fænologi) gør at arter ændrer forekomster og vil i sidste ende ændre artssammensætninger for hele leddyrssamfund. Artsspecifikke undersøgelser viser at variation i kropsstørrelser muligvis maskeres af forskelle i habitater og kan afhænge af trofisk niveau (Artikel V og VI). År til år variation i kropsstørrelser hos en høj-Arktisk krabbe edderkop er signifikant forskellige imellem habitater såvel som mellem hanner og hunner (Artikel V). Størrelsen af en Arktisk sommerfugl er blevet signifikant mindre gennem de seneste næsten 20 år, som et respons på stigende temperature (Paper VI). En del studier har påvist en afkobling mellem økologiske events, såsom flyvetid af sommerfugle og optimal tilgængelighed af deres føderessourcer. Et af vores studier (Artikel VII), som undersøger fænologiske responser til seneste tids opvarmning hos to arter af Arktiske sommerfugle, demonstrerer tendens til tidligere flyvetid hos den ene art (Boloria chariclea) og ikke den anden (Colias hecla). Studiet viser derudover nogle kontrasterende artsspecifikke sammenhæng med abiotiske variable og understreger behovet for artsspecifikke studier af fænologi. SYNOPSIS Introduction Documenting the spatial and temporal distribution of species is essential to grasp the consequences a changing climate has for biodiversity (Heller & Zavaleta 2009). Arthropods as well as plants are central for many food chains and make up the vast majority of global and Arctic biodiversity (Hodkinson 2013). With arthropods being sensitive to abiotic conditions (Danks 2004) and while they provide an array of ecosystem services, a deeper knowledge of their ecology, diversity and distribution is crucial to understand how to conserve Arctic biodiversity as a whole. However, basic knowledge regarding all aspects of Arctic arthropods is still scant and lacking far behind that of plants and vertebrates. The Arctic is often referred to as a homogenous and biodiversity low region (Hodkinson 2013), yet it is home to more than 2200 species of insects and spiders (Danks 1981), approximately 800 of which live in Greenland (Böcher et al. 2015). Greenland covers an area of 2.166.086 km2, with an area of 410.449 km2 free of ice, and is divided into high- low- and subArctic regions (Greenland Statbank 2015). The North American Arctic spans an area nearly four times the size of the ice-free Greenland and houses, in comparison, approximately 1650 terrestrial arthropod species (Danks 1991). Within Greenland, the inland icecap, fjord and topographical features provide large barriers for species to disperse (Normand et al. 2013; Hansen et al. 2016a). A large difference in species composition and diversity is therefore found between the latitudinal and longitudinal gradients. These gradients and the large variation in e.g. topography and environmental variables, renders Greenland a very interesting geographic focal point for studying distribution patterns and the effects of climate change. Global warming is unequivocal and during the 20th century the globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperature has increased by approximately 0.85. Most of this over the course of the past couple of decades (Ipcc 2014b). Climate change across the globe is however, not uniform due to polar amplification and feedback mechanisms (figure 1). Polar amplification refers to the phenomenon that warming or cooling trends are strongest over high latitudes, particularly over the Arctic. This is due to poleward atmospheric heat transfer, oceanic oscillation dynamics (Manabe 1969) and a number of positive feedback mechanisms, including diminishing snow and sea ice cover (Screen & Simmonds 2010), as well as permafrost melt (Kellogg 1983). Melting of the permafrost forms part of a feedback mechanism, contributing to the release of large quantities of methane encapsulated in the frozen soils as massive carbon stocks. Permafrost dynamics are not directly being addressed in this thesis, but play an indirect role in the altering of tundra habitats (Woo & Young 2006; Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Perreault et al. 2015). Due to the complex and heterogeneous patterns of the climate system, there is vast geographic variation even within the Arctic. Predicting climate change patterns at a scale relevant to organisms with narrow range distributions, like arthropods, therefore requires detailed levels of ground-truthing. I intend to show how the balance between detailed investigations and broader scope approaches can supplement each other and add to pan Arctic generalizations about climate change effects on arthropod community composition. Figure 1: Change in average surface temperature (a) and change in average precipitation (b) based on multi-model mean projections for 2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005 under two different scenarios. Least case (left) and worst case (right) (Ipcc 2014c). Study sites and approaches Inferring contemporary patterns in species composition onto future prediction of distributional changes, can partly be achieved through time for space substitution (Pickett 1989). The large variation in environmental variables within Greenland makes for an ideal region for these inferences. Even though the results of the studies in this thesis all pertains to Greenland as the geographic focus of the research, some of the mechanisms responsible for the patterns that I present in this thesis, can be generalized to the Arctic as a whole. For instance, the Greenlandic ice cap with its glacier arms forms a dispersal barrier for species with limited dispersal capacity (i.e. arthropods and plants) (Normand et al. 2013; Hansen et al. 2016a) and affects distributional patterns. However, general dispersal barriers are not unique for Greenland as large parts of the Arctic is comprised of large water bodies, glaciers, mountain ranges, all limiting dispersal and area of suitable habitats for species (CAFF 2013). Hydrology and vegetation changes, as well as, increasing temperatures are phenomena occurring across the Arctic, yet, the direction and magnitude is not uniform (Woo & Young 2006; Ipcc 2014a; Myers-Smith et al. 2015; Wrona et al. 2016). The Godthåbsfjord area, South-west Greenland covers a large variety in climatic and topographic gradients and serves as a model area to study responses to these variations. It stretches from the coast to the inland ice sheet and branches out, covering a large heterogenous area (Figure 2). The mouth of the fjord is characterized by a coastal climate with relatively high precipitation and narrow annual temperature range. As we move further in the fjord, towards a more continental climate, the gap between winter and summer temperatures widens and humidity decreases. Apart from the more direct influences of climate variability within the fjord system, the fjord also represents a large gradient in habitat variability. This generates a large variety in living conditions for a large suite of organisms. Topographic variation occurs both along the fjord systems, but also within each location and serves as proxy temperature measures. Figure 2: The two main study sites in Greenland. The Zackenberg valley has been depicted with a white circle The second focus area is at the Zackenberg research station in North-east Greenland. In a global change context, Zackenberg research station is situated ideally at the border between highand low Arctic (Figure 2). This region is predicted to undergo the largest climatic changes worldwide (ACIA 2004) and is unaffected by direct human influence. The Zackenberg Basic program is part of the most extensive ecosystem monitoring program in the Arctic; the Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring program (GEM) (Albon et al. 2014). The geographical locations are Nuuk (SW Greenland) and Zackenberg (NE Greenland). Arthropods have been collected as contribution to GEM in Nuuk, and Zackenberg, since 2007 and 1996 respectively. The Zackenberg Basic Monitoring Program has been in operation since 1996 with standardized collection of arthropods via a gridded pitfall trapping regime. The overall aim of the biological monitoring program (Biobasis) is to establish long and simultaneous data series on all trophic levels in a low Arctic ecosystem. The biological program includes a large number of parameters related to terrestrial plants, arthropods, birds and mammal dynamics, and lake ecology. During the past 20 years where Zackenberg basic has been operating, the temperature in the region has increased significantly (Bowden et al. 2015). Arctic arthropod community composition Global change is altering the landscape, making new land available for farming, mining and other extractive industries. These activities are predicted to affect large land masses (CAFF 2013), hereby increasing the possibility that rare species will go extinct. In order to foresee how the change in land-use will affect the inhabiting arthropod species, we first need to identify areas of conservation concern and understand how the abiotic environment shapes arthropod species composition. Species distribution patterns vary across multiple spatial scales (Willis & Whittaker 2002), but with four overall amplitudes relevant to arthropods. I) Global scale: Species diversity generally decreases toward the poles (Gaston 2000), with the Arctic as a region relatively low in biodiversity. II) Regional scale: Within the Arctic itself, large climatic gradients divide the Arctic into high, low and sub-Arctic regions, which coupled with large scale dispersal barriers (i.e. inland ice cap), create a variety of living conditions. III) Local scale: Large habitat variability and dispersal barriers, creates variations in species composition. A handful of studies have now shown pronounced compositional changes at regional to local scales within groups of arthropods (Bowden & Buddle 2010; Rich et al. 2013; Sikes et al. 2013). IV) Micro scale. Variation in habitats, operating at relatively minute scales (a few meters), can furthermore cause species to cluster, increasing the potential of species extinction during periods of disturbance. One major obstacle in identifying how the environment will change future patterns in Arctic arthropod species distributions is limited data on contemporary arthropod species distribution. In paper I we addressed some of the paucities in Arctic arthropod literature, investigating basic distributional patterns. We examined the degree of spatial variation in species diversity and assemblage structure among five habitat types at two sites of similar abiotic conditions and plant species composition. We discovered distinct differences in arthropod composition and diversity between the two sites and habitats, even though compositions were largely driven by the same, spatially homogenous abiotic variables (soil moisture and temperature). The study demonstrated large turnover, even over much smaller spatial scales than expected and thus highlighted the importance of the heterogeneity of Arctic landscapes on local to landscape scale distributional patterns of Arctic arthropods. One of ecology’s most general rules states that the size of an area sampled is positively correlated with the number of species detected (Connor & McCoy 1979; Lomolino 2000). This is referred to as the species-area relationship. This rule holds true in the Arctic, where a recent study demonstrated how short-term sampling of multiple habitats, compared to long term sampling in fewer habitats, resulted in drastic increases in the number of species detected (Sikes et al. 2013). The temporal pendant of species-area relationship: species-time relationship, states how observing an area over temporal increments accumulates species (Preston 1960). However, studies also show that there are seasonal windows, where conditions are optimal, resulting in a peak in species numbers (White & Gilchrist 2007; Xu et al. 2015). This suggests that sampling efforts, aimed at capturing the total species pool, could be prioritized to match these windows of optimal conditions. To date, these temporal patterns have received very little, if any, attention in Arctic arthropod research. In paper IV, we used the Zackenberg family and species level arthropod data, coupled with family level data from three other Arctic sites spanning a large climatic gradient, to explore the seasonal development of Arctic arthropod communities across multiple sites, habitats and taxa. We were able to show how the seasonal patterns of Arctic arthropod composition and richness developed synchronously across a large Arctic gradient at both the species and family level. There was a tendency towards earlier peak in richness at the sub-Arctic sites, but across all sites one week of carefully planned sampling, represented a large proportion of the total season richness. There was, however, large inter-annual variation for the sites with fewer yearly replications, as compared to Zackenberg with 18 years of data. Results also showed large variation between the habitats. This led us to the conclusion that short-term sampling over multiple habitats and years can detect significant proportions of the full arthropod community that a site holds through a full season. Potential climate change effects on arthropod communities The warming of the Arctic region holds dramatic consequences for terrestrial biodiversity (Callaghan et al. 2005; Post et al. 2009) and carries both direct and indirect consequences for Arctic arthropods. Some of these effects are summarized in figure 3. With arthropods being ectothermic, they are directly influenced by changing temperatures (figure 3, pathway 1). This makes them particularly susceptible to the extremes caused by temperature inclinations, which is thought to impact species composition and diversity heavily (Danks 2004). The forecasted change in precipitation, combined with higher temperatures, glacier melt, and permafrost thaw, alters soil moisture content (Rawlins et al. 2010; Perreault et al. 2015) causing dramatic shifts in plant species compositions (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Elmendorf et al. 2012; Wrona et al. 2016), as well as thermocast erosion, again influencing the hydrological regime (Perreault et al. 2015) (figure 3, pathway 2, 3, 4 and 5). All of which leads increased plant productivity and indirectly effects arthropod composition and diversity (figure 3, pathway 6) (Hodkinson 2013). The hydrological response, however, is not unidirectional - while some areas are becoming wetter and others are drying out (Zona et al. 2009), highly dependent upon permafrost dynamics (Woo & Young 2006). Altered vegetation structure creates a change in surface temperatures, with shading in the summer and snow accumulation in the winter (Blok et al. 2010), impacting the soil dwelling micro arthropods that are important detritivores and food sources for larger arthropods (figure 3, pathway 7 and 8). Changes in surface covers will also undoubtedly alter both micro and macro habitats as structures in the tundra habitats are rearranged (Lawrence & Swenson 2011). At subsurface level, for instance, rhizosphere processes and mycorrhizal associations are influenced by shifts in vegetation (Lindahl & Tunlid 2015) (figure 3, pathway 9). The current observed shrub expansions, tree-line advances and species shifts is reducing local surface albedo (figure 3, pathway 10), exacerbating regional warming through a change in the reflecting snow and ice cover (Wenxin et al. 2013). The transition from tundra to shrubland promotes various additional feedback mechanisms, caused by increased evapotranspiration, resulting in further water loss (figure 3, pathway 11). The idiosyncrasies of these dynamics across the Arctic (Myers-Smith et al. 2015) necessitates multiple site comparisons of habitat and species responses to climate change and a deeper understanding of the interplay between biotic and abiotic responses. Figure 3: Conceptual diagram of the some of the direct and indirect effects of climate change on arthropod community composition. The direct effect of warming is indicated by a dashed line Arthropod responses to climate change There are three ways arthropod species can respond to the direct and indirect effects of a changing climate. Either through range shifts, defined as the change in geographic distributions over time (Lenoir & Svenning 2013), phenological advancement of life history events (Høye & Forchhammer 2008; Høye et al. 2014), and finally through direct alteration of body sizes in organisms adapting to the abrupt changes in physical conditions (Gardner et al. 2011). The three types of species responses to climate change, affect species at the individual and population level, eventually resulting in altered species occurrences, which ultimately sums up to changes in whole arthropod communities. The first four papers of this thesis addresses the potential climate change effects on arthropod communities, while the last three papers examine the species specific effects on life history traits, such as body size and phenology. - Arthropod species compositional changes to habitat and climatic gradients The alteration of habitats due to shrub expansion into open tundra and changing wetland hydrology, are likely to affect habitat availability for many organisms through changes in species’ distributions, diversity and composition. Terrestrial arthropods in particular, are associated with specific habitat types and likely respond strongly to habitat changes in the Arctic (Bowden & Buddle 2010; Rich et al. 2013; Sikes et al. 2013; Sweet et al. 2014; Hansen et al. 2016b). Paper II used data collected in the 2013 field campaign to the Godthåbsfjord area, were we sampled transitions in shrub dominance and soil moisture between three different habitats (fen, dwarf shrub heath, and tall shrub tundra) at three different sites. We provided evidence that arthropod diversity and composition vary with soil moisture and vegetation height over very small spatial scales (10–20 m), and discussed the implications of changing tundra habitats to the associated biodiversity. We also identified a handful of species significantly associated with the three different habitats and found that most of the species in the study displayed some form of habitat affinity, matching previous reports (Böcher et al. 2015). Papers I and II both disputed the homogeneity of Arctic arthropod composition and firmly documented the variation in arthropod communities over very small spatial scales. Range shifts in species-changing occurrences (during their pursuit of optimal conditions) affects whole species compositions, and is a well-documented response to climate change (Lenoir & Svenning 2015). Range shifts include changes in latitude and elevation, and are therefore directly linked to increasing temperatures, as species track their thermal niches. This implies species movements limited to northward or upward shift. However, species composition is highly affected by other factors acting out at the horizontal, and to some extent, local level, such as land use changes (Eskildsen 2015), topographic variation (Rovzar et al. 2016) and soil moisture variation (Le Roux et al. 2013). These gradients have been shown to vary greatly, even at the meter-scale (Suvanto et al. 2014), consequently broadening the need for further inclusion of gradients in range shift studies. Studies of local climatic gradients can provide us with valuable information on distributional shifts (Lenoir & Svenning 2015), as variations in microclimate can be controlled by topography. Thus, species responses to local topographic variation may help in predicting how compositions are likely to change in the future. Coastal mountainous regions are strongly influenced by continentality (Hodkinson 2005) due to significant differences in thermal capacity between ocean and land. Such differences likely contribute to the structuring of arthropod assemblages. In paper III, we explored the large gradient in continentality represented by the Godthåbsfjord fjord system and tested whether species diversity and composition changed in response to continentality and micro-climatic conditions. We furthermore tested whether the two groups of arthropods used in the study (beetles and spiders), responded in synchrony to continentality and microclimate. We found that species composition changed significantly along the fjord and that diversity increased with continentality. Spiders and beetles did not, however, show a similar response to the two gradients, as spider diversity responded more to changes in local topography and beetles to continentality. Difference in dispersal capacity between the two groups is likely a contributing factor to this observed pattern, highlighting the need to include functional traits in future studies. A resulting conclusion of this study was that adding details, in terms of multiple environmental gradients and taxonomic groups, increases our understanding of how species assemblages may diversify as a response to climate change. - Changes to life history traits Body size is a particularly important trait to the life history of species and has been deemed the third universal response to climate change, alongside shifts in phenology and range (Gardner et al. 2011). In terrestrial arthropods, body size is primarily influenced by food and temperature (Chown & Gaston 2010) and changes in body size affect both fecundity and mass (Bowden & Buddle 2012), as well as overall fitness (Jakob et al. 1996). Snowmelt has proven to be a particularly important predictor of phenology and body size variation (Høye et al. 2009; Høye et al. 2013) and is occurring significantly earlier in the Arctic each year. The timing of snowmelt is modulated by local habitat (Stow et al. 2004), with later snowmelt in low-lying habitats with more or less pronounced shrubby vegetation. Paper number V explores the effect local habitat has on body size changes. Using individuals of a high Arctic crab spider, collected through the GEM program, we examined how reproductive traits (e.g. body size) and sex ratios have changed over the years with increasing temperatures and earlier snowmelt. The individuals were collected in mesic and arid dwarf shrub heath, and the distinctness of the habitats presented the opportunity to study exactly how the habitat modifies the impact of snowmelt on body size change. Body size variation was significantly related to the timing of snowmelt, and differed significantly between the sexes and between habitats, with the spiders in the mesic habitat showing a stronger response to later snowmelt. This study illustrates how local variation in habitats may conceal climate change effects, highlighting the need to include multiple habitats to the study of species-specific responses to climate change. Two hypotheses describe how warmer temperatures drive body size changes in ectothermic species. First, the metabolic rates of arthropods increase with warmer temperatures (Gillooly et al. 2001; Gardner et al. 2011). A mismatch may then arise between the increase in metabolic rate and the resources an organism needs to accrue in order to compensate for energy losses related to increased metabolic costs, thus resulting in smaller body size. In contrast, the longer season associated with rising temperatures allows organisms to obtain more resources during the growth season, resulting in larger body sizes (Høye et al. 2009). These two responses may therefor depend upon trophic level and act in concert (Sheridan & Bickford 2011). In paper number VI, we studied the response of body size to increasing temperatures in two species of butterflies: Colias hecla and Boloria chariclea also collected at Zackenberg as part of the GEM program. We found that wing length decreased in both species in response to warmer summer temperatures, likely caused by increasing metabolism. A previous study on wolf spiders, collected from the same traps, contrasted these findings, as wolf spiders were increasing in body size in response to earlier snowmelt (Høye et al. 2009). Though the study organisms did not respond to the same abiotic variables, the variables are linked to increasing season length. Hence, the two studies corroborate the theory that the contrasting responses depend on trophic level, and thereby energy level of food-resources. If the diet of an organism is energy rich, a longer active season is beneficial. However, for the opposite scenario, a longer active season is costly, and reduces important aspects of fitness related traits, such as body size. Phenology is a key indicator of species responses to climate change, particularly in polar regions (Parmesan 2006). In recent years, a growing number of studies have documented shift in phenology in a wide array of taxa (Roy & Sparks 2000; Kutz et al. 2005; Høye & Forchhammer 2008; Høye et al. 2014). The changes reported encompass earlier adult emergence and expanded flight season of insects, earlier breeding activity and arrival of migrant birds, as well as earlier flowering of plants (Walther et al. 2002). Set astride the direct influences on the life history of individual species, climate changes also carry the potential to disrupt both inter- and intraspecific interactions (Høye et al. 2013). Decoupling of ecological events, such as mismatches between resources and consumer activity, are some of the more severe examples and pose imminent threats to the persistence of overall ecosystem functioning (Walther et al. 2002; Post et al. 2009). In paper VII, we demonstrated a trend towards earlier flight season in the most abundant butterfly species (Boloria chariclea) in the Zackenberg valley. The timing of onset, peak and end of the flight season in B. chariclea were closely related to snowmelt, July temperatures, and dynamics between snowmelt and increased temperature. The duration of the butterfly flight season was significantly positively correlated to the temporal overlap with floral resources, and shows how the aforementioned decoupling of ecological events is already manifesting. Future recommendations and perspectives Results presented in this thesis show that Arctic arthropod species respond to very local changes in habitat parameters in terms of compositional changes as well as life history traits (e.g. body size and phenology). Understanding how species respond to local changes in the environment can help us to recognize how species distribute over larger spatial gradients. In order to achieve this, however, we first need to test the generality of mechanisms driving the local patterns. Many studies already point to idiosyncratic site responses, potentially caused by uneven temporal coverage, unmeasured local variation, or low statistical power (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Oberbauer et al. 2013). We therefore need to assess whether this is an artifact of unstandardized sampling protocols or true site specific characteristics. Hence, spatial upscaling of long-term ecosystem-level monitoring programs, such as Zackenberg and Nuuk basic, can help avoid the caveats of unstandardized studies. These ecosystem monitoring programs are costly, and to fill all the gaps and represent all compartments of Arctic ecosystems is a daunting task. Additional short-term studies may work as a supplement to current data compilation. Through spatial upscaling of standardized sampling designs of gradient studies mimicking future ecological changes, we can distinguish idiosyncrasies from general mechanisms. With a synchronous seasonal development and aggregation of arthropod species, we are able to upscale compositional studies to cover larger spatial extents with so-called “snapshot” gradient studies. This kind of sampling will provide large-scale insights to the spatial variation in species assemblages and the driving mechanisms behind, as well as standardize sampling procedures, for more reliable pan-Arctic inferences. The Circumpolar Biodiversity Monitoring Program (CBMP) is an international network of scientists, government agencies, Indigenous organizations and conservation groups working together to harmonize and integrate efforts to monitor the Arctic's living resources (CAFF 2013). This “network of networks” facilitates the interplay between full scale monitoring programs and snapshot studies and is a valuable platform in future studies Most of the papers presented in this thesis hint at responses acting out at a highly detailed and local level. Responses that may go undetected if investigated at more coarse spatial resolutions. Hence the devil is in the details, but detailed investigations of general mechanisms are applicable in wider contexts. The results of this thesis show that the drastic increase in temperatures during the last couple of decades, and the following rearranging of structural components in the Arctic tundra, holds dire implications for arthropod diversity. With consequences encompassing decoupling of important life history events, changes to reproduction and overall fitness with resulting changes in species compositions and diversity reported over multiple taxa. Arthropods are globally the most diverse group of organisms, even in the Arctic. Hence, community- and species-level responses to climate change will reveal overall threats to other aspects of biodiversity. Moreover, arthropod responses are acute due to their ectothermic lifestyle, mobility, and short generation time, rendering them the “canary in the coal mine” for climate change implications at multiple trophic levels. 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Polar Biol DOI 10.1007/s00300-016-1893-2 ORIGINAL PAPER High spatial variation in terrestrial arthropod species diversity and composition near the Greenland ice cap Rikke Reisner Hansen1 • Oskar Liset Pryds Hansen1 • Joseph James Bowden1 • Signe Normand2 • Christian Bay3 • Jesper Givskov Sørensen2 • Toke Thomas Høye1,4,5 Received: 17 August 2015 / Revised: 11 January 2016 / Accepted: 11 January 2016 Ó Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2016 Abstract Arthropods form a major part of the terrestrial species diversity in the Arctic, and are particularly sensitive to temporal changes in the abiotic environment. It is assumed that most Arctic arthropods are habitat generalists and that their diversity patterns exhibit low spatial variation. The empirical basis for this assumption, however, is weak. We examine the degree of spatial variation in species diversity and assemblage structure among five habitat types at two sites of similar abiotic conditions and plant species composition in southwest Greenland, using standardized field collection methods for spiders, beetles and butterflies. We employed non-metric multidimensional scaling, species richness estimation, community dissimilarity and indicator species analysis to test for local (within site)- and regional (between site)-scale differences in arthropod communities. To identify specific drivers of local arthropod assemblages, we used a combination of ordination techniques and linear regression. Species richness and the species pool differed between sites, with the latter indicating high species turnover. Local-scale assemblage patterns were related to soil moisture and temperature. We conclude that Arctic arthropod species assemblages vary substantially over short distances due to local soil characteristics, while regional variation in the species pool is likely influenced by geographic barriers, i.e., inland ice sheet, glaciers, mountains and large water bodies. In order to predict future changes to Arctic arthropod diversity, further efforts are needed to disentangle contemporary drivers of diversity at multiple spatial scales. Keywords Araneae Biodiversity Climate change Coleoptera Habitat heterogeneity Lepidoptera Introduction Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00300-016-1893-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. & Rikke Reisner Hansen [email protected] 1 Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 114, Bldg. 1540, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark 2 Department of Bioscience, Aarhus, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 116, Bldg. 1540, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark 3 Department of Bioscience, Roskilde, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark 4 Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, Høegh-Guldbergs Gade 6B, Bldg. 1630, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark 5 Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, Grenåvej 14, 8410 Rønde, Denmark Climate change is causing rapid alterations to Arctic habitats (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Elmendorf et al. 2012; Schmidt et al. 2012), and for many taxonomic groups like arthropods, we are largely unable to identify biodiversity hotspots and prioritize conservation efforts in a changing Arctic environment (CAFF 2013). The climatic changes are furthermore causing glaciers and the Greenland ice cap to retreat and expose new land, which is already stimulating industrial interests and activities. Such activities will affect large areas, and to identify areas of conservation concern, we have to understand how specific aspects of the abiotic environment shapes Arctic biodiversity (CAFF 2013). Species assemblages vary across spatial scales (Willis and Whittaker 2002) with species diversity generally decreasing toward the poles (Gaston 2000). This also applies within the Arctic where large climatic gradients 123 Polar Biol divide the Arctic into high, low and sub-Arctic regions, creating a variety of living conditions. While much of the Arctic may be perceived as a collection of homogeneous landscapes inhabited by generalist species, and rather depauperate in diversity, some studies have shown pronounced compositional changes at regional to local scales within groups of arthropods (Bowden and Buddle 2010; Rich et al. 2013). If we incorrectly assume little or no species turnover at small scales, however, we risk the extinction of local and rare species in connection with industrial activities and climate change. Species distributions can furthermore be clustered within microhabitats at very fine spatial scales, increasing the probability of significant species loss during periods of disturbance (Sander and Wardell-Johnson 2011). In the Arctic, arthropods are of particular interest as this group comprises a large part of the Arctic biodiversity (Høye and Sikes 2013). Collectively, the number of Arctic arthropod species greatly exceeds that of all other non-microbial eukaryotic species groups combined, including plants and vertebrates (Hodkinson 2013). To provide adequate, reliable predictions for conservation and survey planning, we need to understand how arthropods are distributed and to identify the environmental factors which are driving variation in arthropod assemblages. Turnover patterns can be affected by a multitude of factors. Peninsula effects can serve as a filter to species dispersal creating a change in species pools over small distances (Simpson 1964). The Arctic in general and Greenland in particular is dominated by fjords, glaciers, large water bodies and the inland ice cap that can create important dispersal barriers. Species composition and diversity varies with habitat heterogeneity such that a very heterogeneous habitat has more suitable living conditions for more species with a larger range of functional traits (Tews et al. 2004; Kostylev et al. 2005; Brind’Amour et al. 2011). Small-scale topographic and abiotic changes can further create distinct microhabitats supporting certain species pools (Suvanto et al. 2014). For arthropods, this is particularly relevant as they represent a great variety of life history, behavior and morphological and physiological adaptations (Wise 1993; Danks 2004). A recent study on spider diversity at Toolik Lake, Alaska, documented high species turnover just by sampling different habitats at a local scale (Sikes et al. 2013), highlighting the importance of investigating patterns of arthropod diversity at a higher spatial resolution. Habitat heterogeneity and complexity is often referred to as the variation in vegetation structure (Imhoff et al. 1997; Venn and Kotze 2014). However, vegetation structure integrates a larger suite of variables, such as solar radiation and soil characteristics. By separating these factors confounded within vegetation structure, we may better 123 understand the drivers of changes in arthropod communities. A large body of the literature supports variation in vegetation structure as a strong driver of arthropod communities at regional to landscape scales (Halaj et al. 2000; Jimenez-Valverde and Lobo 2007; Bowden and Buddle 2010; Rich et al. 2013). Vegetation structure affects multiple aspects of microclimatic conditions (e.g., temperature and moisture regimes) to which arthropods are highly sensitive (Rypstra 1986; Rushton and Eyre 1992; Bonte et al. 2002). Yet, only a few studies have studied the specific environmental variables structuring Arctic arthropod communities (Bowden and Buddle 2010; Rich et al. 2013). The goal of this study was to investigate how the composition of Arctic arthropod assemblages changes at a local and regional scale by examining species richness, composition and species turnover within and between two sites of similar vegetation composition and abiotic conditions. Specifically, we were interested in answering two questions: (1) Do species assemblages and turnover rates change at local and regional scales in low Arctic Greenland? (2) Which environmental parameters predict local arthropod assemblages in areas of low structural complexity? We chose three arthropod taxa representing different functional groups as our focal study organisms: butterflies (pollinators that are herbivorous in all life stages), spiders (generalist predators and strongly influenced by structural elements for web building, foraging etc.) and beetles (including both herbivores, fungivores, detritivores and predators). Materials and methods Study area and data The study was carried out in West Greenland at the remote area of Isua, situated approximately 100 km northeast of the capital Nuuk. The location was selected with the additional aim to obtain baseline biodiversity data due to plans of mining the region’s large iron deposits. The two study sites selected, referred to as site A (65°270 N, 50°220 W) and site B (65°220 N, 50°460 W), respectively, are situated approximately 32 km apart. Site A is located close (*2 km) to the ice edge at an approximate elevation of 600 m.a.s.l, and site B is further away (*34 km) at an approximate elevation of 700 m.a.s.l (Fig. 1). Both sites had similar dwarf shrub cover and comparable plant communities. The vegetation of the two study sites could be divided into the following five habitat types: fen, snow-bed, herb slope, exposed ridge and dry heath. The dominant plant species (occurring in more than 30 out of the 80 plots selected) found at each site were Vaccinium uliginosum, Empetrum nigrum, Carex bigelowii Polar Biol Fig. 1 Map of the study area in southwest Greenland. Site A (white) at 65°270 N, 50°220 W and site B (black) at 65°220 N, 50°460 W are situated approximately 32 km apart. The figure includes an inset map of the entire Greenland with the capital of Greenland (Nuuk) depicted with a diamond-shaped dot, and the study area indicated with a black dot Ice sheet Site A Site B Nuuk 10 km and Salix herbacea. Additional information on plant species is given in Online Resource 1. In each habitat category at each site, a 40 9 40 m plot group, comprising 16 different 10 9 10 m plots was established. In total, 160 plots (two sites* five habitat types * 16 plots in each plot group) were established. Arthropods were collected using yellow pitfall traps ([ = 10 cm). Two pitfall traps separated by half a meter were dug into the ground with the rim of the pitfall flush to the soil surface in each plot (320 pitfall traps in total). The color of the pitfalls was chosen to catch flying as well as surfaceactive arthropods (Høye et al. 2014). At site B, the traps were active between July 28 and August 1, 2013; at site A the traps were active from August 4 to August 8, 2013, resulting in a total of 3200 pitfall trap days. Because the sites were very remote and access to each site was only possible with chartered helicopter, we opted to sample intensely across a high number of plots to optimize our collection of most arthropods in the relatively short time frame. Vegetation cover of shrubs, herbs, graminoids and bare ground was estimated in a circle with a 5 m radius from the center of each plot as percent cover and were classified in six categories as not present or in equal-sized percentage ranges of: 1–20 %, 21–40 %, 41–60 %, 61–80 % and 81–100 %. Vegetation height was recorded as prevailing height in 50 % of the circle and classified in four groups (0–5 cm, 6–10 cm, 11–15 cm and 16–20 cm). Presence of plant species were registered in the 5-m circle. Slope was measured in vertical meters between the highest and lowest point of the plot. Aspect was recorded using a Garmin S30 and classified to nearest cardinal direction (north, south, east, and west). Soil moisture (% volumetric water content) and soil temperature (with one decimal accuracy) was measured consistently in five places within a 1 m radius from the center of each plot (center, north, south, east and west) using a soil moisture sensor and a standard digital cooking thermometer. All spiders, beetles and butterflies were identified to the species level based on genital and morphological characters using a WildÒ M5A stereo microscope. Spiders were identified using the available literature through The World Spider Catalog (World Spider Catalog 2016) as well as Spiders of North America (Paquin and Dupérré 2003). Beetles were identified using both Scandinavian and North American literature (Lindroth 1985, 1986; Böcher 1988) and consulting the collection at the Natural History Museum, Aarhus. All specimens were identified by the corresponding author. Specimens are preserved in 75 % ethanol at the Natural History Museum, Aarhus. The dataset with habitat information, sampling periods and coordinates is available in Online Resource 2 and through Global Biodoversity Information Facility (GBIF) (http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.15468/hblhkl). Not all juveniles or larvae could be assigned to species, so only adult specimens were included in the data analysis. Data analysis We ran species richness estimations and ordinations on both plant and arthropod community matrices to compare patterns of diversity and composition for both groups. Specifically, we wanted to examine whether a potentially lower arthropod diversity closer to the ice edge could be an effect of the plant communities being at an earlier 123 Polar Biol successional stage. All statistical analyses were conducted in R, version 3.1.0 (R Development Core Team 2015). Species diversity Species diversity was rarefied and extrapolated for investigation across sites and habitats based on Hill numbers (q = 0; species richness, q = 1; Shannon diversity, q = 2; Simpson diversity) and standardized by sample coverage (Chao and Jost 2012; Chao et al. 2014) using the iNEXT package (Hsieh et al. 2014). Prior to extrapolation, both samples were approximating 100 % coverage, so they were both compared at 100 % coverage, minimizing extrapolation. We tested whether the results were significantly different across sites with a Student’s t test. A Venn diagram was created to visually interpret the difference in species pools between the two sites. To investigate how turnover rates differed between sites, we used the function ‘betadisper’ in the ‘vegan’ package (Oksanen et al. 2015), followed by ANOVA. This test assesses the variability in average distances from the group centroid among individual sampling units and is recommended as a method to measure beta diversity (Anderson et al. 2006). For this analysis, we employed the Chao dissimilarity index which is robust even with under-sampled data, containing many rare species (Chao et al. 2005). We then used ANOVA to test the difference between the sampling units. This was followed by a partitioning of beta diversity into nestedness and turnover with the use of the package ‘betapart’ (Baselga and Orme 2012). This function calculates three measures of beta diversity: overall beta diversity (bSOR), spatial turnover rates (bSIM) and nestedness (bNES). The latter two define how much of the overall beta diversity is attributed to pure spatial turnover rates and how much is due to nestedness based on the Sørensen index (Baselga 2010). We compared partitioning of beta diversity between the two sites and within sites among habitats, to assess how the actual species turnover differs at the various levels. Species composition Non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) (Legendre and Legendre 1998) was conducted using the function metaMDS (K = 2, iterations = 100) based on the Bray– Curtis dissimilarity index. Ordinations were performed using the ‘vegan’ package in R (Oksanen et al. 2015) which uses multiple random start configurations to find a stable global solution for the ordination and transforms data to reduce the influence of highly abundant species. Because of the relatively short sampling periods, we were concerned about undersampling. Therefore, we investigated several combinations of the data when running NMDS. This led us to the conclusion that both arthropods 123 and plant species were better represented by amalgamating the 16 plots of 10 9 10 m into four clusters of four neighboring plots of 20 9 20 m. Two arthropod plots contained no specimens belonging to the three investigated groups, and these plots were omitted from all ordination analyses. To further counteract a potential effect of undersampling, we reran the ordinations on arthropod abundance data without singletons (species represented by one individual). Site and habitat effects in the composition of the arthropod assemblages were analyzed with analysis of dissimilarities, using the function ‘adonis’ in the ‘vegan’ package. Analysis of dissimilarities is analogous to distance-based redundancy analysis and is recommended as a robust method for permutational multivariate analysis of variance with community ecology data (McArdle and Anderson 2001). Environmental correlation with composition The importance of local (within site) predictor variables for structuring of arthropods at each site was determined by vectors fitted to ordinations. To match the structure of the amalgamated arthropod matrix, all values of predictor variables were averaged over the four plots and standardized to a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one to enable a meaningful interpretation of the results. To allow for a more objective interpretation of the ordination results and as a basis for choosing variables in the later model selection, the continuous abiotic variables were overlaid on the NMDS plot as vectors, using the ‘envfit’ function in the ‘vegan’ package (Oksanen et al. 2015). The direction and length of each vector indicates the direction of the gradient and the strength of the correlation, respectively. Only the significant variables were included in further analyses. All tested variables can be found in Online Resource 3. We chose not to include plant species composition as a predictor as we were interested in testing the specific drivers of arthropod distributions and plant species composition may confound such factors as vegetation structure, soil moisture and soil temperature. To assure that the difference in arthropod composition and species diversity at the two sites was not caused by differences in environmental conditions, we tested for difference in means of the significant measured variables with t tests. To account for covariation and colinearity between variables not accounted for by the ‘envfit’ analysis, we employed a generalized linear model (GLM) to fit the scores of the two ordination axes. This technique has been applied previously to spatially predict vegetation gradients along a climatic gradient (Muenchow et al. 2013). Using this technique, we tested for an interaction between habitat and the significant variables from the ‘envfit’ analysis, and an interaction was only included in Polar Biol the final model if significant. We explored different possibilities for nonlinear responses using both correlation analysis and a generalized additive model and found no indication of nonlinearity between any of the predictor variables and the extracted ordination axes. Model parameters were chosen based on the significance of variables from the vector fitting described above. Backward selection was then employed until the simplest GLM explaining the largest portion of the variance was obtained. Finally, we ran a species indicator analysis to assess the strength and statistical significance of the relationship between species occurrence/abundance and the specific habitats. For this purpose, we used the function ‘multipatt’ in the R package ‘indicspecies’ (Cáceres and Legendre 2009). Results A total of 868 adult individuals, constituting 36 species and 14 families were identified within the three preselected orders: Lepidoptera (178 individuals, two families, two species), Coleoptera (66 individuals, six families, seven species) and Araneae (628 individuals, six families, 27 species). Among these was a spider species from the family Linyphiidae that was previously unknown from Greenland [Pelecopsis mengei (Simon, 1884), 7 individuals] and a weevil with only a few previous records from Greenland [Rutidosoma globulus (Herbst, 1795), 22 individuals] (Böcher 2015; Marusik 2015). This latter finding was restricted to two habitats (herb slope and snow-bed) at site A (Table 1). There was no significant difference in the means of the environmental predictor variables between the two sites except for percent herb cover (Online Resource 3). Soil moisture content was highly variable within sites and vegetation height was very similar between sites (Online Resource 3). Plant species assembly at site B was a subset of species represented at site A, i.e., strict nestedness (Online Resource 6), but for arthropods, the species pool at each site consisted partly of species restricted to either site A or B as well as shared species (Fig. 3b). There was a nearsignificant difference in turnover rates between the sites (F1,36 = 2.98, p = 0.09), and a significant difference between habitats within site A (F4,13 = 4.00, p = 0.03) but not at site B (F4,15 = 1.52, p = 0.24), indicating higher between habitat variation at site A. For plant species, there was no significant difference in turnover rates between or within site. Pure spatial turnover between sites was equally influential as nestedness on overall beta diversity (bSOR = 0.37, bSIM = 0.19 and bNES = 0.18). Pure spatial turnover, however, was high between the habitats within sites, whereas nestedness contributed little to turnover (site A: bSOR = 0.72, bSIM = 0.66 and bNES = 0.06; site B: bSOR = 0.62, bSIM = 0.55 and bNES = 0.08). Species composition Visual inspection of the NMDS ordination (runs = 100, stress = 0.18) revealed segregation at the site level as arthropod composition in similar habitats differed between sites (Fig. 4a). For plants (runs = 4, stress = 0.19), the habitats at the different sites resembled each other more than the arthropods (Online Resource 7). Results of the analysis of dissimilarities (Adonis) showed that arthropod communities differed significantly between sites (F1,37 = 8,54, p \ 0.0001) and between the habitats at the different sites (F4,33 = 5.05, p \ 0.0001). Composition of arthropod communities varied by site, and the analysis of predictor variables were performed at site level to identify the specific drivers of the variation in within-site arthropod assemblages. The plant communities also differed significantly between sites (F1,39 = 18.30, p \ 0.0001) and between the habitats within site (F4,35 = 5.05, p \ 0.0001). Environmental correlation with composition Species diversity Species richness (q = 0) increased significantly from site A to site B (t = -6.3, p \ 0.0001), but Shannon (q = 1) and Simpson (q = 2) diversity did not differ between sites (Fig. 2). This was exactly opposite for extrapolated plant species richness as both species richness and Shannon and Simpsons diversity were significantly higher at site A (Online Resource 4). Habitat-level species richness for arthropods was also significantly higher at site B for herb slope, ridge, heath and snow-bed (p \ 0.05), while fen habitats did not differ significantly (Fig. 3a). Estimated plant species richness at habitat level was higher than or similar at site A compared to site B (Online Resource 5). At site A, four significant variables were selected by vector fitting: soil moisture, soil temperature, slope and aspect. At site B, the variables soil moisture, soil temperature, bare ground and vegetation height were significant (Online Resource 3, Fig. 4b, c). These variables formed the basis for the model selection. Only soil moisture and soil temperature significantly predicted species composition at both sites, and at site B, vegetation height was also included in the final model (Table 2). There were no significant interactions between the variables, and interaction terms were not included in the final model. Species indicator analyses selected eight species as significant for site A (p \ 0.05). Two species were 123 Polar Biol Table 1 Overview of the abundance of identified arthropods and the habitats they were collected from Site A Order Family Species Araneae Dictynidae Dictyna major (Menge, 1869) Araneae Dictynidae Emblyna borealis (O.P. Cambridge, 1877) Araneae Hahniidae Hahnia glacialis (Sørensen, 1898) Araneae Linyphiidae Agyneta nigriceps (Simon, 1884) Araneae Linyphiidae Agyneta subtilis Araneae Linyphiidae Ceratinella ornatula (Crosby & Bishop, 1925) Araneae Linyphiidae Collinsia holmgreni (Thorell, 1871) 2 Araneae Linyphiidae Collinsia spetsbergensis (Thorell, 1871) 3 Araneae Linyphiidae Erigone arctica (White, 1852) Araneae Linyphiidae Erigone tirolensis (L. Koch, 1872) Araneae Linyphiidae Erigone whymperi (O.P. Cambridge, 1877) Araneae Linyphiidae Islandiana princeps (Brændegård, 1932) Araneae Linyphiidae Mecynargus borealis (Jackson, 1930) Araneae Linyphiidae Mecynargus morulus (O.P. Cambridge, 1873) Araneae Linyphiidae Oreoneta frigida (Thorell, 1872) Araneae Linyphiidae Pelecopsis mengei (Simon, 1884) Araneae Linyphiidae Sciastes extremus (Holm, 1967) Araneae Linyphiidae Semljicola obtusus (Emerton, 1914) Araneae Linyphiidae Typhocrestus pygmaeus (Sorensen, 1898) Fen B 1 Ridge 22 Herb Heath Snow 2 Fen Ridge 2 Herb Heath Snow 1 1 4 1 14 1 2 1 1 22 1 3 9 1 31 2 1 1 3 1 4 1 1 2 1 2 2 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 Araneae Linyphiidae Walckenaeria clavicornis (Emerton, 1882) 1 2 Araneae Lycosidae Arctosa insignita (Thorell, 1872) 64 7 11 Araneae Lycosidae Pardosa furcifera (Thorell, 1875) 7 2 Araneae Lycosidae Pardosa glacialis (Thorell, 1872) 1 2 1 Araneae Lycosidae Pardosa groenlandica (Thorell, 1872) 1 1 28 Araneae Lycosidae Pardosa hyperborea (Thorell, 1872) Araneae Philodromidae Thanatus arcticus (Thorell, 1872) Araneae Theridiidae Enoplognatha intrepida (Sorensen, 1898) Coleoptera Byrrhidae Byrrhus fasciatus (Forster, 1771) Coleoptera Carabidae Bembidion grapii (Gyllenhal, 1827) Coleoptera Carabidae Patrobus septentrionis (Dejean, 1821) Coleoptera Coccinellidae Coccinella transversoguttata (Falderman, 1835) Coleoptera Curculionidae Rutidosoma globulus (Herbst, 1795) Coleoptera Dytiscidae Hydroporus morio (Aubé, 1838) Coleoptera Staphylinidae Mycetoporus nigrans (Mäklin, 1853) 3 Lepidoptera Nymphalidae Boloria chariclea (Schneider, 1794) 10 Lepidoptera Pieridae Colias hecla (Lefèbvre, 1836) 6 4 3 5 1 4 23 9 92 3 15 36 82 1 2 22 3 9 1 2 2 5 6 1 3 1 3 5 1 2 1 2 1 8 1 2 6 5 3 7 6 2 13 1 1 1 26 1 1 2 1 18 13 94 The table is sorted by order, then family and then species significantly associated with fens at site A: the water beetle Hydroporus morio (Aubé, 1838) and the wolf spider Pardosa furcifera (Thorell, 1875). Two species associated with heath habitats: the wolf spider Pardosa groenlandica (Thorell, 1872) and the ladybug Coccinella transversoguttata (Falderman, 1835) and three species were associated with ridges: the mesh weaver Dictyna major (Menge, 1869), the philodromid spider Thanatus arcticus (Thorell, 1872) and the ground beetle Bembidion grapii (Gyllenhal, 1827). A rare weevil, R. globulus (Herbst, 123 1795), was found in both snow-bed and herb slope habitats. For site B, eight species were also selected as significant indicator species (p \ 0.05). The comb-tailed spider Hahnia glacialis (Sørensen, 1898) and the wolf spider Pardosa hyperborea (Thorell, 1872) were associated with heath habitats, R. globulus (Herbst, 1795) and the sheet web spider P. mengei (Simon, 1884) were associated with herb slopes, the sheet web spider Erigone arctica was found in fen and snow-bed habitats, C. transversoguttata and P. groenlandica were found in heath and ridge habitats and Polar Biol 50 a fen ridge herb slope snow bed heath 40 30 20 NMDS2 Effective species numbers ** 10 0 Species richness Shannon diversity Simpson diversity Fig. 2 Diversity profiles, characterized by effective number of species (± Standard Error) for Hill number order q = 0 (species richness), q = 1 (Shannon diversity) and q = 2 (Simpson diversity), at site A (white) and site B (black) extrapolated to a common base coverage of 100 %. Significance (p \ 0.05) of differences between sites is indicated with asterisk NMDS1 b c NMDS2 Soil temperature a 60 Aspect * 50 Soil moisture NMDS2 Slope Soil temperature Bare ground Soil moisture Vegetation height 40 * * 30 * 20 10 0 Fen Ridge Herb Snow Heath b NMDS1 NMDS1 Fig. 4 a Arthropod NMDS plots for site A (white) and B (black). Each dot represents the species composition in a specific plot sampled in one of five habitat types (fen, snow-bed, herb slope, exposed ridge and dry heath). Arthropod NMDS plot for site A (b) and site B (c) with the significant predictors from the envfit analysis overlaid as vectors. The direction and length of each vector indicates the direction of the gradient and the strength (p \ 0.05) of the correlation, respectively the wolf spider Arctosa insignita (Thorell, 1872) was associated with all habitats except wind-exposed ridges. Discussion Fig. 3 a Species richness (? Standard Error) for Hill number q = 0 within habitats extrapolated to a common base coverage of 1. Site A and site B are represented by white and black colors, respectively. Significance (p \ 0.05) of differences between sites for each habitat type is indicated with asterisk. b Venn diagrams based on percentages of species unique to site A (white), species unique to site B (black) and species shared among site A and site B (gray) We found clear regional-scale differences in the species richness and composition of arthropod communities at two remote sites in low Arctic Greenland with the site closest to the ice edge containing the least species. This difference was evident in most of the five habitat types sampled at the two sites and fits poorly with the common perception of the Arctic as a homogenous biome (CAFF 2013). These findings correspond well with the findings of Sikes et al. (2013), where sampling habitats adjacent to two long-term experimental research sites (LTER) yielded 24 spider species that were not found at LTER. Two of these were new state records (Sikes et al. 2013). Plant species richness 123 Polar Biol Table 2 Summary of the non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) analysis Model Parameter Site A, MDS1 Intercept F1,16 = 33.74 Soil temperature Estimate p 0.83 ± 0.15 \0.0001 -0.06 ± 0.01 \0.0001 0.62 ± 0.27 \0.0001 R2Adj = 0.66 p \ 0.0001 Site A, MDS2 Intercept F2,15 = 65.54 Soil moisture R2Adj = 0.30 p = 0.027 Soil temperature Site B, MDS1 Intercept F3,16 = 21.17 Soil moisture R2Adj = 0.76 Soil temperature -0.0053 ± 0.0017 0.009 -0.034 ± 0.016 0.05 -0.0013 ± 0.35 \0.0001 0.0058 ± 0.0022 0.02 0.094 ± 0.022 \0.0001 0.006 p \ 0.0001 Vegetation height 0.19 ± 0.061 Site B, MDS2 Intercept 0.37 ± 0.12 0.005 F2,28 = 11.73 Vegetation height -0.23 ± 0.067 0.003 R2Adj = 0.36 p = 0.003 The table presents results of the linear regression models of the extracted NMDS ordination axes 1 and 2 from each site in separate rows. Parameters are chosen based on an environmental fitting analysis displayed the opposite pattern and suggests that the difference in arthropod communities was not due to an earlier succession stage at the site closest to the ice sheet. The partitioning of beta diversity suggests that some of the turnover between the sites is due to a subset of species at site A, but there is also some degree of pure spatial turnover, also reflected by the Venn diagram. This serves as an indication that the arthropod community at site A is not solely a result of source–sink dynamics between the two sites, but also different species pools. A distinct difference between the two sites is the effective land area that forms the basis for species recruitment to each site. The inland ice sheet and a large glacier reduce the vegetated area in the surroundings of site A. A peninsula effect at site A generated by the reduced immigration potential provides a likely explanation to our observed differences in turnover and diversity (Simpson 1964). In other words, the surroundings at the two sites have similar abiotic conditions, but very different proportions of suitable habitat. The relative abundance of species in the samples affects diversity measures, particularly when the common species are habitat generalists (Chao et al. 2005). Wolf spiders are highly abundant and make up more than 50 % of the individuals in the samples. When adding equal weight to common and uncommon species in the samples (q = 0), we found a significantly higher species richness at site B than at site A, but when adding more and more weight to 123 the more common species (q = 1 and 2), the coveragebased difference in diversity disappeared. Wolf spiders are well adapted to open tundra habitats and are good dispersers, so when a group (i.e., wolf spiders) is highly abundant and well adapted to the prevailing habitat type, they are likely to be more successful in establishing new populations than less abundant groups of ballooning spider species that require specific habitat features to establish (Bonte et al. 2003). Wolf spiders then occur in high numbers at both sites and thus dominate the diversity measures. Butterflies and wolf spiders are both active dispersers, yet the butterflies are mostly restricted to site B. The active flight of butterflies allow for more controlled habitat selection compared to the random ballooning of wolf spiders. At the local scale, i.e., between habitats within sites, we found significant species turnover as well as significant indicator species for each habitat. This indicates that a number of arthropod species exhibit strong habitat fidelity driven by different microclimatic conditions (i.e. soil moisture and temperature) specific to each habitat. Our results show that soil moisture and soil temperature are important factors in determining arthropod species patterns at the local scale. Plant species composition has previously been shown to influence local arthropod species composition more than soil characteristics (Schaffers et al. 2008). Plant species composition is comprised of several factors, such as soil properties, vegetation structure and solar radiation, and might, as effect, mask specific predictor variables. The species found in this study are comprised of groups with a high amount of generalist predatory species. Among the beetles, only a few are herbivores, and these are believed to be polyphagous (Böcher 2015). The food preferences of the two butterfly species are unknown in Greenland, but in other regions they feed on multiple plant species in the larval stage (Karlsholt et al. 2015). We thus have no reason to believe that any herbivore–plant interactions cause a loss of descriptive power in the models. Furthermore, it is generally believed that plant–arthropod associations in the Arctic are expressions of the plantspecific abiotic microenvironment and not arthropod–plant relationships (Coulson et al. 2003). Shifts in precipitation regimes are inherent components of climate change (Zona et al. 2009; Umbanhowar et al. 2013), and the resultant spatial variation in soil moisture is likely to be an underestimated factor in the Arctic (Le Roux et al. 2013). Plant species compositions may not reflect sudden or very local changes in hydrology, and studies have demonstrated how the rate of plant compositional responses to climate change depend heavily on habitat type and latitude and responds faster at the northern latitudes (Daniels et al. 2011; Schmidt et al. 2012). Arctic arthropods are sensitive to rapid changes in the abiotic environment at the population Polar Biol (Bowden et al. 2013, 2015; Høye et al. 2014) and community level (Høye and Forchhammer 2008a, b). Hence, changes in the composition of Arctic ecological communities in response to climate change may be more rapidly detected in arthropods than in plants. The scale of observation is important for identifying areas of high species diversity (Willis and Whittaker 2002), and the ability to detect rare species is highly dependent on the spatial resolution and extent of the survey (Crawley and Harral 2001; Lennon et al. 2001). In this study, we have shown that species pools of Arctic arthropods can change over relatively short distances even in areas of low species diversity and that local conditions can influence turnover rates. Future studies investigate the detailed habitat requirements of individual arthropod species, e.g., by determining indicator species for different habitat types. A quantification of key functional traits like dispersal ability will further aid efforts to identify areas of particular conservation concern and will facilitate a more accurate prediction of species vulnerability to resource development and climate change. In this study, we found two species with none or very few previous records from Greenland among the 36 species identified. This highlights the limited existing knowledge on the occurrence of individual species of arthropods in Greenland. Our study documents that diversity patterns of arctic arthropods are more complex than previously thought with considerable local and regional spatial variation. Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge logistical support from the Arctic Research Centre (ARC), Aarhus University. This work is a contribution to the Arctic Science Partnership (ASP) aspnet.org. We would also like to thank the Natural History Museum, Aarhus for use of laboratory and equipment during the identification process. TTH was supported by a Jens Christian Skou fellowship at the Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, and SN was supported by the Villum foundation’s Young Investigator Programme (VKR023456). References Anderson MJ, Ellingsen KE, McArdle BH (2006) Multivariate dispersion as a measure of beta diversity. Ecol Lett 9:683–693. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2006.00926.x Baselga A (2010) Partitioning the turnover and nestedness components of beta diversity. 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Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511623431 World Spider Catalog (2016) Natural History Museum Bern. http:// wsc.nmbe.ch. Accessed 1 Feb 2014 Zona D et al (2009) Methane fluxes during the initiation of a largescale water table manipulation experiment in the Alaskan Arctic tundra. Global Biogeochem Cy. doi:10.1029/2009gb003487 Meter scale variation in shrub dominance and soil moisture structure Arctic arthropod communities Rikke Reisner Hansen1,2, Oskar Liset Pryds Hansen1,2, Joseph J. Bowden1, Urs A. Treier1,3,4, Signe Normand1,3,4 and Toke Høye1,2,5 1 Arctic Research Centre, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus C, Denmark Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, Rønde, Denmark 3 Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark 4 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Birmensdorf, Switzerland 5 Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark 2 ABSTRACT Submitted 5 May 2016 Accepted 15 June 2016 Published 14 July 2016 Corresponding author Rikke Reisner Hansen, [email protected] Academic editor Dezene Huber Additional Information and Declarations can be found on page 13 DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 Copyright 2016 Hansen et al. Distributed under Creative Commons CC-BY 4.0 The Arctic is warming at twice the rate of the rest of the world. This impacts Arctic species both directly, through increased temperatures, and indirectly, through structural changes in their habitats. Species are expected to exhibit idiosyncratic responses to structural change, which calls for detailed investigations at the species and community level. Here, we investigate how arthropod assemblages of spiders and beetles respond to variation in habitat structure at small spatial scales. We sampled transitions in shrub dominance and soil moisture between three different habitats (fen, dwarf shrub heath, and tall shrub tundra) at three different sites along a fjord gradient in southwest Greenland, using yellow pitfall cups. We identified 2,547 individuals belonging to 47 species. We used species richness estimation, indicator species analysis and latent variable modeling to examine differences in arthropod community structure in response to habitat variation at local (within site) and regional scales (between sites). We estimated species responses to the environment by fitting species-specific generalized linear models with environmental covariates. Species assemblages were segregated at the habitat and site level. Each habitat hosted significant indicator species, and species richness and diversity were significantly lower in fen habitats. Assemblage patterns were significantly linked to changes in soil moisture and vegetation height, as well as geographic location. We show that meter-scale variation among habitats affects arthropod community structure, supporting the notion that the Arctic tundra is a heterogeneous environment. To gain sufficient insight into temporal biodiversity change, we require studies of species distributions detailing species habitat preferences. Subjects Biodiversity, Biogeography, Conservation Biology, Ecology, Entomology Keywords Coleoptera, Araneae, Environmental gradients, Biodiversity, Habitat suitability INTRODUCTION Understanding the factors that structure ecological communities on continental, regional and local scales provides the basis for understanding how global changes might affect How to cite this article Hansen et al. (2016), Meter scale variation in shrub dominance and soil moisture structure Arctic arthropod communities. PeerJ 4:e2224; DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 species composition and biodiversity (Vellend et al., 2013; Dornelas et al., 2014). Climate change is happening at an accelerated pace in the Arctic (Callaghan et al., 2004; IPCC, 2014), and altered moisture regimes and shrub expansion are two of the most prominent habitat-altering phenomena caused by these changes (Rouse et al., 1997; Tape, Sturm & Racine, 2006; Myers-Smith et al., 2011; Elmendorf et al., 2012). Shrub expansion and altered moisture regimes represent considerable consequences of climate change to the Arctic tundra; altering unique habitats such as open heath, wetlands and grasslands (ACIA, 2004). Firstly, warming in the Arctic has led to accelerated plant growth, particular for woody plants, causing a shift towards greater shrub cover, and a northward migration of the tree line (Callaghan, Tweedie & Webber, 2011), increased biomass (Epstein et al., 2012), and changes in plant species composition (Walker et al., 2012). These trends are expected to continue during future climate change (Normand et al., 2013; Pearson et al., 2013). Secondly, a changing Arctic climate with changes in precipitation, glacial melt, and permafrost degradation may alter the spatial extent of wetlands (Avis, Weaver & Meissner, 2011). In areas with continuous permafrost, top soils become wetter due to the impermeable strata that prevent infiltration and percolation (Woo & Young, 2006). Some areas with discontinuous permafrost, however, become drier, due to increased net evapotranspiration and increased drainage due to permafrost thaw (Zona et al., 2009; Perreault et al., 2015). The long term persistence of Arctic wetlands is debated, but climate change projections and field studies indicate deterioration and ultimate destruction of Arctic wetlands (Woo & Young, 2006). These habitat changes, both shrubification and wetland deterioration, will trigger several feedback loops within the climate system (Chapin et al., 2005) and may have profound effects on ecosystems (Post et al., 2009). In order to understand how these habitat changes, affect Arctic biodiversity, we need to adequately describe how Arctic species composition responds to environmental changes. The alteration of habitats, due to e.g., shrub expansion into open tundra and changing wetland hydrology, are likely to affect habitat availability for many organisms, through changes in species’ distributions, diversity, and composition. Terrestrial arthropods (e.g. insects and spiders) in particular, are associated with specific habitat types and likely respond strongly to habitat changes in the Arctic (Bowden & Buddle, 2010; Rich, Gough & Boelman, 2013). Arthropods have long been recognized as valuable indicators of changing environments because of their relatively short lifecycles and their physiology being directly driven by the external environment (ectothermic). Studies of the impacts of habitat changes upon Arctic arthropod communities are, however, only beginning to emerge (Bowden & Buddle, 2010; Rich, Gough & Boelman, 2013; Sikes, Draney & Fleshman, 2013; Sweet et al., 2014; Hansen et al., 2016). In spite of the common conception of the Arctic as a species-poor and relatively homogenous environment, studies have shown that arthropod assemblages vary substantially over short distances (Hansen et al., 2016), with species responding to local and regional climatic gradients (O. L. P. Hanser et al., 2013, unpublished data). Arthropod communities are expected to change in response to the direct effects of increasing temperatures and prolonged growing seasons (Høye et al., 2013; Høye et al., 2014), but also indirectly through changes in soil moisture and vegetation Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 2/18 structure (Bowden & Buddle, 2010; Hansen et al., 2016), changes to snowmelt dynamics (Høye et al., 2009; Bowden et al., 2015b), and shrub expansion (Rich, Gough & Boelman, 2013). Several studies indicate direct effects of temperature change on arthropods (Post et al., 2009; Høye et al., 2013; Bowden et al., 2015a), but we do not yet fully comprehend the distribution of, or habitat requirements for, the majority of Arctic arthropod species. Arctic and alpine tundra areas are vast, and the knowledge of geographical variation associated with recent environmental and ecosystem change is limited. In this study, we explore the influence of moisture regime and habitat structure on the composition and diversity of Arctic arthropod communities, and investigate the site specific effects of the drivers of change. We propose the following hypothesis: Arctic arthropod assemblages and diversity vary with soil moisture and vegetation height at very small spatial scales (10–20 m). Specifically, we compare beetle and spider communities sampled in different habitats (fen, dwarf shrub heath, and tall shrub tundra) at three sites along a large scale gradient. We expect to find distinct arthropod communities in each habitat, and that abundances of groups like wolf spiders, and other active hunters, will be lower in the tall shrub tundra compared to open habitats. METHODS Study area and sampling design Arthropods were sampled with uncovered pitfall traps from the 29th of June to the 23rd of July 2013 at three sites (1, 2, and 3) along the Godthaabsfjord in West Greenland (Fig. 1). Site 1 was situated at the mouth of the fjord and thus characterized by a coastal climate with relatively high precipitation, narrow annual temperature range, and topographic variation (app. 0–300 m.a.s.l.). The shrub community at site 1 was dominated by dwarf shrubs and a very sparse cover of tall shrub species such as Salix glauca (Lange (family: Salicidae)). Site 2 was low lying and flat, and characterized by a mosaic of low shrub vegetation (< 50 cm), dominated by S. glauca, mixed with Betula nana (Lange (family: Betulacae)), Vaccinium uliginosum (L., (family: Ericacae)), Rhododendron groenlandicum (Oeder (family: Ericacae)), and Empetrum nigrum (Lange (family: Ericacae)). Site 3 was characterized by a continental climate and pronounced topographic variation (app. 0–600 m.a.s.l.) with well-defined tall shrub patches dominated by high growth of S. glauca and Alnus crispa (Aiton (family: Betulacae)) (> 50 cm). These patches were mainly located at south facing slopes below 100 m.a.s.l. All dwarf shrub species at site 2 were also present at site 3. Moisture transitions (fen-heath) were sampled at sites 1 and 2, while transitions in vegetation height and cover of tall shrubs (heath-shrub) were sampled at sites 2 and 3. Four fen-heath plots were established, two at site 1 and two at site 2. Each fen-heath plot consisted of two sub-plots placed 10 m apart. Each sub-plot was situated exactly 5 m from a distinct fen-heath transition zone (Fig. 2). Twelve heath-shrub plots were established at site 2 and site 3 (six at each site). Each heath-shrub plot consisted of two sub-plots 20 m apart; one located at the center of a patch of tall shrubs and one in the adjacent open dwarf shrub heath. Each sub-plot was delineated by a circle with a 5 m radius. At the center of each sub-plot, two yellow pitfall traps (9 cm diameter) were placed 50 cm Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 3/18 A Site 3 Site 2 Site 1 B Nuuk 50 0 Km Figure 1 Map of the study area. (A) The Godthåbsfjord area, South-West Greenland (64 11′N, 51 44′W), showing the three study sites (1, 2 and 3) depicted with a circle and the capital Nuuk depicted with a diamond. (B) Greenland with the study area framed in a square (Loecher & Ropkins, 2015). Mapdata: © Google 2016. apart (Fig. 2). The traps were dug down such that the rim was flush with the surface and filled one third with a soap water solution. There was no overflow due to rainwater accumulation during sampling. The color of the pitfalls was chosen to catch flying as well as surface-active arthropods (Høye et al., 2014). Pitfall traps were emptied twice, once halfway through and once at the end of the sampling period. Samples were stored separately. The following structural and environmental parameters were measured in each sub-plot: (i) percent cover of shrubs, herbs, graminoids and bare ground in six categories: 0, 1–20, 21–40, 41–60, 61–80, and 81–100%, (ii) height (to the nearest 5 cm) of the vegetation height with the highest coverage in the sub-plot, (iii) presence of plant species, (iv) slope in vertical meters between the highest and lowest point of the sub-plot, (v) aspect, recorded using a handheld GPS and classified to nearest cardinal direction (North, South, East, and West), (vi) pH, measured directly with a soil pH measurement kit, model HI 99121, (vii) soil type at 15 cm depth was recorded as humus or sand. Specimens and data All spiders and beetles were sorted from the samples and the adult specimens were identified (by RRH) to species based on morphological characters using a Wild M5A stereo microscope. Not all juveniles could be assigned to species, so only adult specimens were included in the analysis. Spiders were identified using the available literature through The World Spider Catalog (2016) and Spiders of North America (Paquin & Dupérré, 2003). Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 4/18 A Fen B Shrub 10 m 20 m 5m radius 5m radius Heath Heath Figure 2 Sampling design. Conceptual figure of the sampling design showing fen transects in the (A) and shrub transects in the (B). Beetles were identified using both Scandinavian and North American literature (Lindroth, 1985; Lindroth, 1986; Böcher, 1988) and by consulting the collection at the Natural History Museum Aarhus, Denmark. Specimens are preserved in 75% ethanol at the Natural History Museum Aarhus. The dataset is available through the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (http://doi.org/10.15468/li6jkm). Data analysis The mean and standard error were calculated for significant environmental variables across all habitats at each site. We ran a correlation analysis of all potential variables, based on Pearson’s correlation coefficient, and tested whether the uncorrelated variables differed significantly between sites and habitats with a MANOVA. To counteract effects of potential-under sampling, all analyses were carried out excluding singletons. All analyses were carried out in R version 3.2.2. Species diversity Species diversity was rarefied and extrapolated for investigation across habitats based on Hill numbers (q = 0; species richness, q = 1; Shannon diversity, q = 2; Simpson diversity) and standardized by sample coverage (Chao & Jost, 2012; Chao et al., 2014) using the iNEXT R-package (TC Hsieh, KH Ma & A Chao, 2014. unpublished data). We extrapolated to double the reference sample of the habitat with the smallest sample coverage (shrub). Samples were compared at base-coverage, estimated as a minimum of Ca and Cb, where Ca is maximum coverage at reference sample size and Cb is minimum coverage at two times reference sample size. iNEXT computes bootstrap confidence bands around the sampling curves, facilitating the comparisons of diversity across multiple assemblages. We then visually assessed if diversity measures differed significantly between habitats. We ran a species indicator analysis to assess the strength and statistical significance of the relationship between species abundances and the specific habitats. We used the function ‘multipatt’ in the R package ‘indicspecies’ (De Cáceres, Legendre & Moretti, 2010). This analysis provides a specificity value ‘A’(0–1), which indicates the probability of a certain species occurring in a certain habitat as well as a sensitivity value ‘B’(0–1), which Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 5/18 indicates how many of the plots belonging to a certain habitat the target species is located in. Significance (p < 0.05) is assessed based on the A and B values (De Cáceres & Legendre, 2009). In addition to significance testing, we opted to describe habitat preferences more broadly by assigning all species with an A value for a given habitat larger than 0.8 and a B value larger than 0.1 to that specific habitat. In this way, the importance of the sensitivity value is down weighted. Species composition Traditional methods to visually investigate how arthropod species composition varies between habitats, such as non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS), have been shown to confound trends in location with changes in dispersion, leading to potentially misleading results (Warton, Wright & Wang, 2012). To avoid these issues while still enabling visualization, we employed latent variable modelling through the R package ‘boral’ (Hui, 2016). Latent variable modelling is a Bayesian model-based approach that explains community composition through a set of underlying latent variables to account for residual correlation, for example due to biotic interaction. This method offers the possibility to adjust the distribution family to e.g., negative binomial distribution which better accounts for over-dispersion in count data. Thus, it accounts for the increasing mean-variance relationship without confounding location with dispersion (Hui et al., 2015). Three “types” of models may be fitted: (1) With covariates and no latent variables, boral fits independent response General Linear Models (GLMs) such that the columns of y are assumed to be independent; (2) With no covariates, boral fits a pure latent variable model (Rabe-Hesketh, Skrondal & Pickles, 2004) to perform model-based unconstrained ordination (Hui et al., 2015); (3) With covariates and latent variables, boral fits correlated response GLMs, with latent variables. Sub-plots placed in dwarf shrub heath could potentially differ depending on the transition examined (fen-heath or shrub-heath). Therefore, we created latent variable plots for both plants and arthropods to visually assess if the heath sub-plots in the fenheath and shrub-heath plots groups were distinguishable. In the latent variable plot for plant species composition, heath sub-plots were not segregated (Fig. S1) and all heath plots were hereafter treated as one category. We modelled arthropod species’ distributions with two latent variables to enable visualization comparable to a two dimensional NMDS. From the latent variable model, we extracted the posterior median values of the latent variables which we used as coordinates on ordination axes to represent species composition at plot level (Hui et al., 2015). We then tested the difference in local species composition based on these coordinates between the paired samples (fen-heath or shrub-heath) for each transect using paired t-tests. To test the significance of and, interactions between, the environmental variables and site, we used a multivariate extension of GLMs using the function ‘manyglm’ in the package ‘mvabund’ (Wang et al., 2012). This recently developed method offers the possibility to model distributions based on count data by assuming a negative binomial distribution. Vegetation height and graminoid cover have higher resolutions compared to Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 6/18 the classifications ‘fen’ and ‘shrub’ as these are measured on a continuous scale. We used vegetation height as a proxy for shrub treatment effects and cover of graminoids as a proxy for soil moisture. The gradients in these variables are representative of the moisture transition of fen-heath plot groups and the shrub dominance transition of the shrubheath plot groups (Fig. S2). We tested for main effects of all the un-correlated variables, selected by the Pearson correlation analyses, and for an interaction between the variables and site. The model assumptions of mean-variance and log-linearity were examined with residual vs. fit plots and a normal quantile plot, and no transformations were needed. RESULTS A total of 2,547 individuals, constituting 45 species and 13 families were identified within the two orders: Araneae (2,223 individuals, seven families, 37 species) and Coleoptera (324 individuals, 6 families, 8 species). We found a species of sheet web spider (Wabasso cacuminatus (Millidge, 1984)) not previously known from Greenland, represented by one individual. One species (Pelecopsis mengei, (Simon, 1884)), represented in our samples by three individuals, remained unknown from Greenland until recently (Marusik, 2015; Hansen et al., 2016) (Table 1). Extrapolated species richness (q = 0) did not differ significantly between habitats due to overlapping confidence intervals but there was a trend towards higher species richness in heath sub-plots, lower in shrub sub-plots, and lowest in fen sub-plots (Fig. 3). The same pattern was observed for Shannon diversity (q = 1) as well as for Simpson diversity (q = 2), however both these indices differed significantly between habitats, with the highest diversity in the shrub sub-plots, intermediate in the heath sub-plots, and lowest in the fen sub-plots (Fig. 3). The three species significantly (p < 0.05) associated with fen habitats were all sheet web spiders. Erigone whymperi (O.P. Cambridge, 1877), Mecynargus paetulus (O.P. Cambridge, 1875), and Wabasso quaestio (Chamberlin, 1948). Just one species, the ladybird Coccinella transversoguttata (Faldermann, 1835), was significantly associated with heath habitats. Shrub habitats housed six significantly associated species: the comb-footed spider Ohlertidion lundbecki (Sørensen, 1894), and five species of sheet web spiders: Dismodicus decemoculatus (Emerton, 1852), Improphantes complicates (Emerton, 1882), Pocadicnemis americana (Millidge, 1984), Semljicola obtusus (Emerton, 1914), Sisicus apertus (Holm, 1939) (Table 1). The latent variable plots showed that the plant species composition of the shrub subplots overlapped with the composition of the heath plots (Fig. S1), but vegetation height was significantly different (Table 2). The plant species composition of the fen plots was different from both the heath and shrub sub-plots (Fig. S1). Arthropod species composition was segregated both at site and habitat level, but the distribution of sub-plots in the latent variable arthropod plot indicated interaction between site and treatment (Fig. 4). Vegetation height in the shrub sub-plots at site 2 was significantly lower than that at site 3 (F1,21 = 13.46, p = 0.001), and the overall cover of graminoids was significantly lower at the fen sub-plots at site 1, compared to the fen sub-plots at site 2 (F1,29 = 0.21, Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 7/18 Table 1 Arthropod species. List of arthropod species sampled and their abundance in three habitats; fen, dwarf shrub heath, and tall shrub tundra at three sites along the Nuuk fiord in Western Greenland. The last column shows the results of a species indicator analysis (for details see main text). Species were assigned to one of the three habitats if A (specificity value) > 0.8 and B (sensitivity value) > 0.1. The table is sorted by order, family, and species, respectively. Order Family Species Abundance Fen Araneae Heath Habitat Shrub Dictynidae Dictyna major (Menge, 1869) Gnaphosidae Haplodrassus signifer (C.L. Koch, 1839) 1 Hahniidae Hahnia glacialis (Sørensen, 1898) 1 7 1 No classification Linyphiidae Agyneta jacksoni (Simon, 1884) 3 8 1 No classification Agyneta nigripes (Brændegård, 1937) 2 3 1 2 1 Bathyphantes simillimus (L. Koch, 1879) Dismodicus decemoculatus (Emerton, 1852) No classification No classification Fen and heath 1 No classification 10 Shrub* Erigone arctica (White, 1852) 6 Fen Erigone psycrophila (Thorell, 1871) 1 No classification Erigone whymperi (O.P. Cambridge, 1877) 8 Fen* Hilaira herniosa (Thorell, 1875) 1 Hybauchenidium gibbosum (Sørensen, 1898) Hypsosinga groenlandica (Simon, 1889) 2 Improphantes complicatus (Emerton, 1882) 5 3 Heath and shrub 2 4 Heath and shrub 2 8 Shrub* 1 No classification 1 Heath and shrub Lepthyphantes turbatrix (O.P. Cambridge, 1877) Mecynargus borealis (Jackson, 1930) 4 Mecynargus morulus (O.P. Cambridge, 1873) 2 Mecynargus paetulus (O.P. Cambridge, 1875) No classification Heath Fen* 33 Oreonetides vaginatus (Thorell, 1872) 1 No classification Pelecopsis mengei (Simon, 1884) 2 1 Heath and shrub Pocadicnemis americana (Millidge, 1976) 6 18 Shrub* Sciastes extremus (Holm, 1967) 1 Scotinotylus sacer (Crosby, 1929) Semljicola obtusus (Emerton, 1914) 3 Sisicus apertus (Holm, 1939) Tiso aestivus (L. Koch, 1872) 1 Wabasso cacuminatus (Millidge, 1984) No classification 5 Shrub 6 15 Shrub* 1 3 Shrub* 31 1 Heath 1 Wabasso quaestio (Chamberlin, 1948) 12 Walckenaeria karpinskii (O.P. Cambridge, 1873) 6 No classification Fen* 21 Fen and heath* 17 Heath Thomisidae Xysticus durus (Sørensen, 1898) Lycosidae Arctosa insignita (Thorell, 1872) 17 29 2 Fen and heath* Pardosa furcifera (Thorell, 1875) 524 552 257 No classification Pardosa groenlandica (Thorell, 1872) 17 23 8 No classification Pardosa hyperborea (Thorell, 1872) 6 347 140 Heath and shrub* Philodromidae Thanatus arcticus (Thorell, 1872) 2 10 Theridiidae Robertus fuscus (Emerton, 1894) 1 No classification Ohlertidion lundbecki (Sørensen, 1898) 2 Shrub Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 Fen and heath 8/18 Table 1 (continued ). Order Family Species Abundance Fen Coleoptera Habitat Heath Shrub Byrrhidae Byrrhus fasciatus (Forster, 1771) 1 11 Carabidae Patrobus septentrionis (Dejean, 1821) 50 17 23 Fen and shrub* Coccinellidae Coccinella transversoguttata (Falderman, 1835) 51 2 Heath* Cryptophagidae Caenoscelis ferruginea (Sahlberg, 1820) 38 2 Heath and shrub Curculionidae Otiorynchus arcticus (O. Fabricius, 1780) 1 20 1 Heath Otiorynchus nodosus (Müller, 1764) 18 66 19 No classification Staphylinidae Heath Mycetoporus nigrans (Mäklin, 1853) 2 No classification Quedius fellmanni (Zetterstedt, 1838) 2 No classification Note: * Indicates Significance, p < 0.05. Shannon diversity Simpson diversity Species richness 4.0 7 30 3.5 Estimates 6 3.0 25 5 Habitat Fen Heath Shrub 2.5 4 20 2.0 3 Figure 3 Diversity profiles. Species richness, Shannon diversity and Simpson diversity coloured by habitat. Error bars represent 95 percent confidence intervals. Table 2 Environmental variables. Mean (± S.E) of the environmental variables included in GLM’s and latent variable models, showing the difference between sites and treatments. Graminoid cover was measured in six categories: 0, 1–20, 21–40, 41–60, 61–80, and 81–100%. Vegetation height was measured (classified to the nearest 5 cm) of the vegetation height with the highest coverage in the sub-plot. Site Habitat Vegetation height (height classes) Graminoid (% cover) pH Site 1 Heath 2.6 (0.2) 15 (5) 5.8 (0.1) Fen 2.5 (0.2) 55 (6.3) 5.5 (0.2) Heath 2.4 (0.2) 18.6 (3.7) 6.4 (0.1) Site 2 Site 3 Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 Fen 2.3 (0.3) 75 (6.3) 6.5 (0.04) Shrub 7.5 (1.2) 10.3 (3.5) 6.2 (0.3) Heath 3.2 (0.4) 12.7 (11.4) 6.2 (0.2) Shrub 28.5 (4.1) 4 (1.9) 6.5 (0.04) 9/18 LV2 Shrub Heath Fen Site 1 Site 2 Site 3 LV1 Figure 4 Latent variable plot for arthropod species composition. Species distribution plot of the best fitted latent variable model showing the mean of the latent variable with a negative binomial distribution. Ellipses represent 95 percent confidence intervals around the centroids of each habitat. Table 3 Table of deviance. Results of the multivariate generalized linear model, including all variables tested, along with residual degrees of freedom, degrees of freedom, deviance and p-value. Parameter Residual degrees of freedom Degrees of freedom Deviance p-value Intercept 55 Vegetation height (height class) 54 1 117.9 0.001 Graminoid cover (% cover) 53 1 93.2 0.001 pH 52 1 43.0 0.389 Site 50 2 296.2 0.001 Vegetation height: site 48 2 35.0 0.639 Graminoid cover: site 46 2 103.8 0.003 pH: site 44 2 40.8 0.568 p = 0.049). The pH levels were nearly significantly different between the shrub sub-plots from site 2 to site 3 (F1,21 = 4.17, p = 0.054) and highly significantly different between the fen sub-plots from site 1 to site 2 (F1,29 = 66.01, p < 0.0001). pH did not differ between fen and heath (F1,29 = 0.69, p = 0.41) or shrub and heath (F1,21 = 0.50, p = 0.49). Cover of graminoids was significantly lower for heath sub-plots compared to fen sub-plots (F1,29 = 74.54, p < 0.0001). Vegetation height differed significantly between shrub and heath habitats (F1,21 = 26.04, p < 0.0001), with lower vegetation height in the heath sub-plots compared to shrub sub-plots (Table 2; Fig. S2). Arthropod species composition differed significantly due to different moisture regimes and different height classes. pH levels were not a significant driver of arthropod communities, nor was there a significant interaction between site and the levels of pH. Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 10/18 Table 4 T-test of local transitions. Paired t-test of the local transitions in soil moisture and shrub dominance. LV1 and LV2 represent the first and second coordinate of the latent variable. Model Residual degrees of freedom Estimates t p Fen transect site 1 LV1 7 -0.86 -5.32 0.001 Fen transect site 1 LV2 7 -0.43 -4.78 0.002 Fen transect site 2 LV1 7 -1.70 -0.26 0.13 Fen transect site 2 LV2 7 -0.37 -3.21 0.02 Shrub transect site 2 LV1 5 -0.72 -3.90 0.01 Shrub transect site 2 LV2 5 -0.35 -3.10 0.03 Shrub transect site 3 LV1 5 -1.16 -5.50 0.003 Shrub transect site 3 LV2 5 -0.62 -3.28 0.02 There was a significant interaction between cover of graminoid species and site, but no significant interaction was detected between height class and site (Table 3). Arthropod species composition differed significantly between the local fen-heath transitions, but for site 2 only; one latent variable axis differed significantly between fen-heath transitions. The local shrub-heath transects differed significantly for both axes and both sites (Table 4). DISCUSSION Although Arctic tundra is often perceived as a relative homogenous biome, it consists of a wide range of habitat types due to strong environmental transitions occurring over short spatial scales. In this study, we have demonstrated clear effects of vegetation height and soil moisture on diversity and composition of spiders and beetles in low Arctic Greenland. This effect is evident across distances of 10–20 m. Fen, heath, and shrub vegetation hosted distinct arthropod communities differing in both composition and diversity. While previous studies have emphasized the importance of vegetation structure as predictors of Arctic arthropod communities (Bowden & Buddle, 2010; Rich, Gough & Boelman, 2013; Sweet et al., 2014), it has not been demonstrated that such effects are visible at the scale of meters. Existing literature generally agrees with the habitat classifications we have assigned the species in this study. According to existing descriptions of habitat preferences, the wetland species we find in this study are found strictly in wet open habitats, whereas both shrub and heathland species mostly have a more general distribution (Leech, University of Alberta & Department of Entomology, 1966; Böcher, 2015; Marusik, 2015), indicating a higher degree of habitat specialization in the fens. The sheet web spider, Erigone arctica, was significantly linked to wet fen habitats in an alpine study site in West Greenland (Hansen et al., 2016), and in this study, E. arctica was also linked to fen plots, further suggesting habitat specialization. We found the lowest diversity in the fens, which are spatially limited, compared to much more wide spread heathland habitats. Both tall shrub tundra and dwarf shrub heath are comprised of different habitats with open patches, moist areas, and varying vegetation structure. Such variation in habitat structure likely leads to higher diversity compared to the fen habitats, which are rather homogenous. Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 11/18 This particular study area is characterized as low Arctic with discontinuous permafrost unaffected by glacial meltwater. Models predict that this area will experience increased evapotranspiration and precipitation (Rawlins et al., 2010). Increased drainage due to permafrost melt coupled with evapotranspiration is likely to lead to wetland deterioration. Shrubification has been forecasted to be most pronounced at the boundary between high and low Arctic where permafrost is melting and in areas where soil moisture is greatest (Myers-Smith et al., 2015). In the Godthåbsfjord, it is therefore likely that shrub expansion will be most notable in the fens and snow-beds. With shrubification (Myers-Smith et al., 2011; Elmendorf et al., 2012), as well as, increased land use such as forestry and agriculture (ACIA, 2004), wetland habitats are at risk (CAFF, 2013). Our results suggest that wetland deterioration and shrubification will strongly affect arthropod communities, and may compromise the living conditions of individual specialized species. We found an interaction between site and graminoid cover, suggesting that the fens differ between sites. Wetlands with coastal proximity are known to be impacted by salt influx from the sea (Woo & Young, 2006). This is supported by the slightly higher pH at site 1 compared to site 2, but does not explain differences in arthropod composition in the fens between the coastal (site 1) and intermediate site (site 2), as pH was not significant in the multivariate GLM. Even though plant species composition showed clear segregation of wet and dry plots, conditions may be drier at the intermediate site than at the coastal site, where summer precipitation is higher. Plant species composition reflects an integration of seasonal variation in soil moisture conditions (Daniels et al., 2011) such that they may not reflect sudden soil moisture changes. The variation in moisture regime only partially explained arthropod species composition at the intermediate site and supports the idea of drier conditions at the intermediate site affecting arthropod species composition differently. We expected the effect of vegetation height to be less pronounced at the intermediate site due to the patchy structure of the shrubs and overall lower vegetation; yet, we did not find an interaction between site and treatment. We studied mostly mobile predatory species. The few herbivores like the weevils: Otiorynchus arcticus (O. Fabricius, 1780) and Otiorynchus nodosus (Müller, 1764) are mostly found in open heath plots with low vegetation. It is conceivable that even a small change in vegetation height has an effect on the surface active predatory species, because vegetation height may also affect the composition and abundance of prey items. The web builders, like sheet web spiders, require some amount of vegetation structure to form webs, but even low shrubs provide structure and shelter. Rich, Gough & Boelman (2013) found that overall arthropod abundance and species richness increased in shrub plots in Arctic Alaska, but suggested that for groups like wolf spiders and other active hunters, full shrub encroachment of open habitats could be detrimental. Our results show that abundances of these groups are lower in shrub sub-plots and support this notion. CONCLUSION We have established a baseline of species occurrence in relation to transition in soil moisture and shrub dominance which will facilitate future assessment of changes in Arctic Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 12/18 arthropod communities, where these transitions in habitat structure are likely to change. The variation in community composition at the scale of meters was surprising and suggests drastic changes in arthropod species composition given continued shrubification and wetland deterioration. We found that the strength of the environmental predictor variables varied among sites. Understanding the sources of such site variation is an important topic for future studies. Two important steps are needed to further the knowledge of arthropod responses to changing habitats. Primarily, we need information on species occurrence across multiple taxa and multiple environmental gradients. Habitat preferences of species are needed to determine the effects that climate change will have in Arctic ecosystems. Spiders and butterflies have proven useful for detection of rapid environmental change due to climate change (Høye et al., 2014; Bowden et al., 2015a; Bowden et al., 2015b) and may serve as important indicator taxa in future studies. Secondly, we need further studies of spatial variability and change in environmental gradients like soil moisture. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This work is a contribution to the Arctic Science Partnership (ASP: http://asp-net.org). We would also like to thank the Natural History Museum Aarhus for use of laboratory and equipment during the identification process. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS Funding Toke Thomas Høye was supported by a Jens Christian Skou fellowship at the Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies and Signe Normand was supported by the Villum foundation’s Young Investigator Programme (VKR023456). Logistical support was provided by the Arctic Research Centre (ARC), Aarhus University. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Grant Disclosures The following grant information was disclosed by the authors: Jens Christian Skou Fellowship at the Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies. Villum foundation’s Young Investigator Programme: VKR023456. Arctic Research Centre (ARC), Aarhus University. Competing Interests The authors declare there are no competing interests. Author Contributions Rikke Reisner Hansen conceived and designed the experiments, performed the experiments, analyzed the data, wrote the paper, prepared figures and/or tables, reviewed drafts of the paper. Hansen et al. (2016), PeerJ, DOI 10.7717/peerj.2224 13/18 Oskar Liset Pryds Hansen performed the experiments, contributed reagents/materials/ analysis tools, reviewed drafts of the paper, contributed substantially to the design of the experiments, contributed to data interpretation and approved the final version. Joseph J. Bowden contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools, reviewed drafts of the paper, contributed substantially to data interpretation and approved the final version. Urs A. Treier reviewed drafts of the paper, contributed to the fieldwork, data interpretation and approved the final version. Signe Normand reviewed drafts of the paper, contributed to the fieldwork, data interpretation and approved the final version. Toke Høye conceived and designed the experiments, reviewed drafts of the paper, contributed substantially to the fieldwork, data interpretation and approved the final version. 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Høye1,2,5 . 1 [email protected] Department of Bioscience - Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 114, bldg. 1540, DK-8000 Aarhus C 2 Department of Bioscience - Biodiversity and Conservation, Aarhus University, Grenåvej 14, Kalø, DK-8410 Rønde 3 Natural History Museum Aarhus, Wilhelm Meyers Allé 210, Universitetsparken, DK-8000 Aarhus C 4 Department of Bioscience - Ecoinformatics and Biodiversity, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 116, bldg. 1540, DK-800 Aarhus C 5 Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, Høegh-Guldbergs Gade 6B, bldg. 1630, DK-8000 Aarhus C Abstract Background: Studies using climatic gradients can be valuable in order to predict range shifts triggered by climate change. These studies and their impact on species abundances, however, are unevenly distributed among the ecoregions of the world and are generally scarce in the Arctic. We tested whether species diversity and composition changed in response to change in continentality and micro-climatic gradients in the Arctic. We also tested the similarity of diversity and composition patterns along the gradient among the two dominant groups of ground dwelling arthropods, spiders (Araneae) and beetles (Coleoptera). The study was conducted at the Godthaabsfjord (64° 10'N 51° 45'W), west Greenland during the summer 2013. Three sites were selected along the fjord to represent a continentality gradient. At each site three micro climates, defined as north-facing, south-facing and horizontal plots, were selected at which pitfall trapping methods were used to collect ground-dwelling arthropods. In this study we will first quantify the compositional and diversity changes with increasing continentality and with increasing solar radiation. For each of the gradients we will assess if spider (Araneae) and beetle (Coleoptera) community composition are varying in the same way along these climatic gradients. Results: In total, 53 species (43 spider species, 10 beetle species) of 107 species known in Greenland were identified from 4,181 individuals. Species diversity increased towards continental sites, while species composition changed significantly along the gradient. Along the micro climatic gradient species diversity increased towards warmer habitats for beetles, while spider diversity peaked at horizontal plots. Nor were the best explanatory variables the same for both taxa, as beetles were best correlated to continentality, while changes in spider communities were best explained by local topography. Conclusions: The diversity and community composition does change along increasing continentality and solar radiation. However, the community composition for the dominant wolf spiders, were markedly different from other groups. Also, species diversity profiles showed contrasting patterns along the two gradients. This study emphasizes the need to include multiple gradients and multiple taxa to understand the complexity of local and regional responses to climate. Keywords Continentality, Micro climate, Biodiversity, Arctic, Climate, Araneae, Coleoptera, Indicator taxa Background Climatic gradients are important to understand in order to predict range shifts triggered by climate change (Lenoir & Svenning 2015). Still, changes in composition and diversity of species along climatic gradients (e.g., elevation) are not well documented in Arctic arthropods and plants (But see, Bowden & Buddle, 2010; Bruun et al., 2006). Studies on contemporary range shifts have typically focused on uni-variate range shifts, such as latitude or altitude. These clines may represent narrow gradients that do not consider east- to west-ward range shifts. The effects of local gradients have not been considered along with regional structuring of species and communities (Lennoir & Svenning 2015). Climatic gradients structure community composition of species across a large range of spatial scales, from micro climates varying within a few meters, depending on topography, a few hundred altitudinal meters on a mountain side to continental distances of hundreds or thousands kilometres (Hodkinson 2005; Whittaker 1960). Therefore, climatic gradients are important to include in a broader framework for understanding the distribution of species. In coastal mountainous areas, continentality is a strong gradient due to the large differences in thermal capacity between the ocean and land. It is, however, an infrequently considered gradient that changes in temperature lapse rate along elevation (Hodkinson 2005). It could, therefore, also strongly affect arthropod species composition and diversity. Continentality is a pronounced climatic gradient in Northern ecosystems (e.g. Hein et al. 2014a; Hein, et al. 2014b), which can be described by three physical properties: diurnal temperature range, proportion of heat shared by interface substances and the depth or height to which heat is transported (Driscoll & Fong 1992). Continental areas are thus more susceptible to temperature fluctuations than coastal areas, due to their physical properties. Apart from the physical properties, Löffler & Finch (2005), proposed a set of additional covariates along the continentality gradient, which includes increased solar radiation, less precipitation, higher maximum temperature, less soil moisture, and lower wind velocity in continental areas. These geophysical properties do not only affect arthropods directly, but could also cause indirect effects on arthropods through plant growth or other secondary biotic interactions. With increased primary production and more stable weather, a continental site could be expected to hold greater species diversity than coastal sites. Snow dynamics (i.e. snow cover and snowmelt timing) and shrub cover (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Löffler & Finch 2005) are both linked to temperature and wind, and therefore change with elevation and continentality. Snowmelt timing determines the onset of the summer season for Arctic arthropods and plants (Høye et al. 2007), and is therefore an important driver of plant and arthropod community composition (Kreyling et al. 2012; Dollery et al. 2006). Studies of climatic gradients and their impact on communities of species are unevenly distributed among ecoregions and highly desirable for the Arctic in order to assess current patterns, and predict future changes in range shifts for populations and communities (Lenoir & Svenning 2015; Meltofte 2013). Greenland, in particular, poses a huge potential for knowledge gain in climate related range shifts through the exploration of climatic gradients, as historical sampling is scarce or non-existent (Jensen & Christensen 2003). Furthermore, the diversity of arthropod communities in the Arctic have traditionally been seen as more simple than they are (Meltofte 2013), yet arthropod species compositions have been shown to be heterogeneous and vary in diversity and composition over short distances (Hansen et al 2016). Differences in arthropod communities between coastal and continental areas around Greenland have been registered based on scattered, non-systematic sampling and anecdotal evidence (Jensen & Christensen 2003). While this has increased our knowledges on the distributions of a few species, data on arthropod community composition is lacking for most regions in Greenland (e.g. Böcher et al 2015; Høye et al. 2013; Meltofte 2013). A single taxon may not act as a suitable surrogate measure for the diversity and compositional responses of all other taxa along climatic gradients, as individual taxa may respond differently (Axmacher et al. 2011). This is especially true at small spatial scales, where the variability in the environment does not correspond to the same variability in species richness in all taxa (Ricketts et al. 2002; Giorgini et al. 2015). At larger scales, however, a single taxon may be a reasonable predictor of another (Mikusinski et al. 2001; Giorgini et al. 2015). It is however not clear if all taxa will vary in similar ways along climatic gradients or if some taxa respond differently than others. This study addresses the following questions 1) is species diversity increasing and does species composition change with increasing continentality and with increasing solar radiation (from north to south facing slopes)? 2) are spiders (Araneae) and beetle (Coleoptera) community composition varying in the same way along these climatic gradients? Results In total, 4,181 adult individuals of spiders and beetles were collected and identified from 96 plots, comprising 43 spider species and 10 beetle species, table S1. The wolf spiders (Lycosidae) with 3,114 individuals and four species were the most numerous and widely distributed family, leaving 527 and 540 individuals, belonging to the beetles (Coleoptera) and other spiders (Araneae excl. Lycosidae), respectively (table S1). Wolf spiders were present in all 96 plots, while other spiders and beetles were present in 91 and 88 plots, respectively. Hence the analysis of spiders was done separately with and without wolf spiders. Species diversity Species richness increased significantly from the coastal site, 1, to the intermediate and continental sites, 2 and 3, for all groups combined (figure 1a). Shannon diversity increased significantly between site 1 and 3, but when up weighing abundant species (Simpson diversity) this increase along the continentality gradient disappeared. For beetles, the greatest increase in diversity occurred between the intermediate site, 2, and the continental site, 3, closest to the head of the fjord. For spiders, the increase primarily occurred closer to the mouth of the fjord, between site 1 and 2 (figure 1a). North-facing plots were significantly less species rich than horizontal plots along the local climatic gradients (figure 1b), while no difference was found for Simpson and Shannon diversity. For beetles no differences were detected between any of the micro-climates. The horizontal plots yielded a significantly higher species richness of spiders than both the south- and north-facing plots. For spiders, excluding the wolf spiders, the confidence interval of north-facing plots spanned the confidence intervals of the two other groups and was therefore excluded to optimize the reference coverage for the remaining groups and thus increase estimate precision. Composition The three sites separated in ordination space (figure 2) along the continentality gradient for all combinations of taxonomic groups. It is also clear that the micro-climates tended to vary along the same trajectory as continentality, such that communities from cold microclimates at the continental site are similar to the communities from warmer microclimates at the coastal sites. The fitted environmental variables revealed that slope and continentality separated the communities in a perpendicular direction from each other consistently for all taxonomic subsets. Species composition of spiders, beetles, and both groups combined, differed significantly between sites and between micro-climates (table 1). We found a significant interaction term between site and microclimate for all taxonomic subsets except for the beetles (table 1). Some of the abundant species differed significantly between micro-climates and/or sites (table S2). All significant species showed increased activity-abundance from the coastal site 1 to the continental site 3 and from North- to South-facing plots (table S3). The structuring of sites was best explained by continentality and slope (table 2). The interpretation is highly sensitive to the selection of taxonomic group; however wolf spiders dictated the overall picture of community structure. For beetles and spiders, excluding wolf spiders, continentality alone was the best explanatory variable. Topography did not add explanatory power when continentality was included (table 2). Point-biserial correlation coefficients were calculated between species abundances and sites, 19 of 53 species were significantly correlated with one or two sites in the fjord (table S4). The highest number of indicator species were found at the most continental site with 11 of the species associated with that climate. Pardosa groenlandica, Erigone whymperi, and Mecynargus paetulus were significant indicators for the most oceanic site. For the most continental site 11 species were significant indicators, among those Pardosa hyperborea, Coccinella transversoguttata, Pocadicnemis americana and Caenoscelis ferruginea had a pointbiserial correlation above 0.450. Pocadicnemis americana, who was almost exclusively found on south-facing plots, was in combination with Pardosa groenlandica and P. hyperborea highly correlated with the warm south facing plots (point-biserial correlation 0.360, pval = 0.010). Interestingly Pardosa hyperborea in combination with Mycetoporus nigrans were suggested as the best indicators for north facing plots (point-biserial correlation 0.376, pval = 0.005), however P. hyperborea was not significant alone contrary to M. nigrans (point-biserial correlation 0.422, pval = 0.002). Discussion Species diversity increased significantly along the continentality gradient and along the local climate gradient. Species composition also varied significantly along the two gradients. The changes were, however, not consistent among taxonomic groups, nor were the variables predicted to have the most explanatory power for species composition the same among the taxonomic groups. Even though the general pattern, when assessing the extreme endpoints of the gradients were similar, beetles and spiders did not respond similarly along the gradients. While beetle diversity decreased with temperature, i.e. highest at south-facing plots and lowest at north-facing plots, spider diversity was estimated to be most diverse at horizontal plots. This difference could be caused by scale, topographic context, other covariables or a combination. Species diversity While spiders and beetles both had significantly higher species diversity at the continental site relative to the coastal site, there was a discrepancy at the intermediate site, where beetle diversity did not increase, contrary to the spiders (figure 1a). This discrepancy is not visible in the model combining all taxonomic groups, indicating that patterns of diversity of specific taxonomic or functional groups can be masked by more diverse groups. Further the differences between spiders and beetles could be better understood in an analysis of species diversity by functional traits. Composition We found continentality to be a strong gradient for structuring of arthropod community composition. The main driver of the other spiders and beetles lies within the continentality gradient, which clearly separates the sites. Taxonomic differences If the taxonomic groups varied similarly along the climatic gradients, it would be possible to predict both abundances and species richness based on information about a selected indicator group. This has been done in several studies covering plants, birds, butterflies and beetles (Axmacher et al. 2011; Giorgini et al. 2015; Ricketts et al. 2002; Mikusinski et al. 2001); the conclusions, however, have been inconsistent. Ricketts et al. (2002), for example, suggest that differences in habitat preferences between arthropod orders makes it difficult to assume indicator taxa at small scales. Also, Giorgini et al. (2015) find that species richness is more reliably estimated at coarser scales. While the overall patterns of species diversity and community composition between the two groups at the extremes in this study correspond, idiosyncrasies exists along both the continentality and micro-climatic gradients that may not be apparent in simple correlations between taxonomic groups. Thus the scale in this study is too fine to imply consistent changes among taxonomic groups, as scale matters in the ability to predict diversity of one group from another (Giorgini et al. 2015). Topographic context The sourrounding topography may also interact with the local topography. The topography on larger scale creates different living conditions for otherwise equal micro-climates. e.g. some south facing plots on the continental site, situated on a mountain-side, are not only differenct from other sites, but also from other south-facing plots at the same site, suggesting that topographic context could enhance or decrease the effect of a slope at a small scale. When the contiguous area becomes smaller the very local ability to avoid extinctions and to be a subject for immigration decreases, creating an area in which virtually all populations would be sink populations and only maintained by immigration from adjacent habitats (Hanski 1998; Eriksson et al. 2002). This could also create a more mixed community that is not entirely defined by the micro-climate, but subject to an edge effect between habitats (Ries & Sisk 2004). Covariables The interaction term between the two gradients for arthropod communities in this study may be partly explained by micro-climate- and continentality- specific variation in snowmelt timing. On larger scales snowmelt is driven by radiative fluxes and energy advection, which varies greatly (Mioduszewski et al. 2014; Mioduszewski et al. 2015). Prevailing wind and wind speed on the other hand controls snow accumulation at smaller scales (Pomeroy et al. 1997). At smaller scales, snowmelt timing is also highly variable in space. Snow accumulation in itself may not have any short term impact on arthropod survival or community composition (Convey et al. 2014; Legault & Weis 2013). Slope is an important predictor of wolf spider composition and is somewhat orthogonal to continentality (figure 2). While slope could be a proxy for soil moisture, as meso-topography is well correlated with soil moisture (Le Roux et al. 2013) it is not, however, possible to disentangle the ridges and depressions in this study. Horizontal plots could thus include both the highest and lowest soil moisture. Other methods using digital elevation models have shown not to produce good predictions of soil moisture (Le Roux et al. 2013). These results indicate that future studies, investigating broad scale variation in species diversity and composition, should include continentality, as well as, local topography. The results also show that the diversity of taxonomic groups respond at different stages to climatic gradients, though overall trends are similar. In future research, we recommend that a broad variety of taxa should be included, whenever possible to understand such idiosyncratic responses. Conclusions Both the continentality and micro-climate affected the species diversity and species composition. 2) The two arthropod orders, beetles and spiders, did not respond completely synchronously to either of the two gradients, albeit, the overall pattern was the same. This study emphasizes the need for future studies to include multiple gradients and multiple taxa to better understand the complexity of climatic responses in what has been thought of as simple systems. This study also shows how two gradients can interact and even though having different scales and different covariables. This may also suggest temperature to be the dominant variable for some, but not all species. Methods This study was conducted at Godthaabsfjorden (64° 10'N 51° 45'W), west Greenland (figure 3) between June 27 and July 20, 2013. Three sites were selected along the fjord from the mouth to the head. The resulting continentality gradient stretched approximately 60 km in total with 30 km between each site. Microclimates at each site were categorized as North facing, South facing or horizontal so as to represent a local micro-climatic gradient of solar radiation defined by slope and aspect. Horizontal plots did not have a slope greater than 11°, while north and south were greater than 11° and within 70° from geographic north/south. From the 186 plots sampled, 96 plots with equal, concurrent sampling effort (figure S1) and situated below 60 m.a.s.l. were chosen within the aforementioned climate gradient criteria. The plots (table 3) were distributed slightly unevenly among the gradient categories with 30, 50 and 16 on site 1, 2 and 3 respectively and of which 37, 11 and 48 categorized as south, north and horizontal plots. Each plot was sampled using yellow pitfall traps (H: 81 mm, ⌀: 100 mm) for 16 to 20 (mean 17.4) days. Samples from plots extending more than 20 days and plots with a total sampling duration less than 14 days were excluded, in order to keep the sampling effort at a comparable level (figure S1). At each plot, two pitfall traps were set at a distance of about 2 meters from each other. Species Identification Spiders were identified using literature available through The World Spider Catalog (World Spider Catalog 2014). Beetles were identified using various Scandinavian and North American literature (i.e., Böcher 1988; Lindroth et al. 1985; Lindroth et al. 1986; Palm 1966) and through consultation of the collection at the Natural History Museum Aarhus, Denmark. All individuals were identified to the lowest possible taxonomic level, however only adult individuals identified to species level were used in the analysis. Specimens are preserved in 75% vol. ethanol at the Natural History Museum, Aarhus. Data analysis Species Diversity Analysis Data analysis was conducted using R version 3.2.3 (2015-12-10) (R Core Team 2015). Diversity for each micro-climate at each site was rarefied and extrapolated, using abundance data with the iNEXT R-package (Hsieh et al. 2014; Chao et al. 2014). Initially all groups (each local microclimate for each site, n = 9, and local micro-climates pooled together, n = 3) were compared, but due to low sample-sizes (table 3) and to reduce the within group variation, it was not feasible to compare other than the best replicated set of groups for the two gradients (i.e. site 2 for microclimates and south facing plots for continentality). Hill numbers, which represent species richness, shannon diversity, weighting species by relative frequency and simpson diversity, weighting dominant species (Chao et al. 2014), were used to analyze species diversity. The units of the Hill numbers are effective number of species that is the number of equally abundant species equivalent to a diversity measure (Chao et al. 2014). Maximum extrapolation ratio, r, (i.e the ratio of extrapolated sample size and reference sample size) was set to r = 2, as recommended by Chao et al. (2014). Each model was compared at a common base coverage that was set to Cbase = min{Ca, Cb}, where Ca = max{C(n1), C(n2), ..., C(nk)} and Cb = min{C(rn1), C(rn2), ..., C(rnk)}, where n1, n2, ..., nk is the reference sample sizes for the groups. In this way, at least one group was not extrapolated and thus optimizing the precision and contrasts of the estimates. If a group confidence interval at Cbase spanned the two other groups, within a given order, this group was removed and the analysis rerun, to increase contrast among the remaining groups. Composition analysis To assess species composition along the two gradients and among taxonomic groups, four nonmetric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) ordinations were run using the vegan package version 2.3-5 (Oksanen et al. 2015). For each analysis a maximum of 5000 random starts were chosen to find the global minimum stress solution. Spearman rank correlation between community matrix and the gradients were used to check that Bray-Curtis distance was the most appropriate dissimilarity index to be used in the distance matrix. Monte Carlo simulations with randomized data (n = 25) of ten runs each at maximum 20 random starts and visual inspection of scree plots were used to choose the optimal number of dimensions and insure that stress levels by the data were not higher than what could be generated from randomized data. Ellipsoids describing the standard error of the average of scores for each site were added to assess the differences among sites in ordination space. Continuous environmental variables were fitted to each plot as vectors to describe the ordination space and included slope, topography, continentality, species richness and abundance. Slope was assessed as the field-measure: number of vertical meters per 10 horizontal meters. Topography was calculated as a continuous index to quantify the combined information of slope and aspect (equation 1 and 2). For plots with aspect towards north the index would generate a negative value, and for plots with aspect towards south a positive value dependent on the steepness of the slope. Horizontal plots received values near zero. To test for differences in communities between sites and habitats a model approach was used (Warton et al. 2014). This was done for two reasons. First, more common and widely used PERMANOVA and related distance-metric tests are not well-suited, being either too liberal or too conservative in their conclusions for unbalanced data sets and requires similar variability in all species for non-confounding interpretation of dispersion and displacement (Warton et al. 2012; Anderson & Walsh 2013). The null hypothesis stating no difference between sites and habitats was tested using the manyglm function in the R-package mvabund (Wang et al. 2012). This function fitted a generalized linear model for high dimensional data with a negative binomial error distribution. Analysis of deviance was assessed using likelihood-ratio-test and species specific contributions were assessed using p-values adjusted for multiple testing. The model assumptions of mean-variance and log-linearity were controlled through residual vs. fit plots. No patterns were found to indicate violations of the model assumptions. Point-biserial correlation coefficients (i.e Pearson correlation between species abundance and a binary vector for site membership) were used to identify indicator species for each site or combination of sites following De Cáceres & Legendre (2009) and De Cáceres et al. (2010). Spearman rank correlations between community dissimilarity matrices and environmental variables (Clarke & Ainsworth 1993) were used to assess the set of environmental variables that best explained the data. Full documentation of the analysis can be found in the appendix. Declarations Authors' contributions OLPH, RRH and TTH conceived the idea and planned the field work. OLPH, RRH, TTH, SN and UT carried out the fieldwork. OLPH, RRH and JJB identified the species. OLPH carried out the analyses and wrote the first draft. Everyone contributed to the interpretation of results and preparation of the final version of the paper. 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Whittaker, R.H., 1960. Vegetation of the Siskiyou Mountains, Oregon and California. Ecological Monographs, 30(3), pp.279–338. Available at: http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.2307/1943563\nhttp://www.esa journals.org/action/showCitFormats?doi=10.2307/1943563. World Spider Catalog, 2014. World Spider Catalog. World Spider Catalog. Available at: http://wsc.nmbe.ch [Accessed December 1, 2014]. Figures Figure 1 Estimated effective number of species (± 95% confidence interval) calculated for species richness, shannon diversity, and simpson diversity, along two gradients: (a) Continentality for south-facing plots and (b) local temperature gradient (north, horizontal and south facing plots) at the intermediate site, 2. (a) Continentality: For spiders and beetles the species richness increases along the gradient, but the increase happens in different parts of the fjord. Spider species diversity increases between the coastal and intermediate sites, 1 and 2, while the increase for beetles happens between the intermediate and continental sites, 2 and 3. (b) The local micro-climatic gradient suggest that spiders have the highest species richness on horizontal plots. 1 Figure 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Two dimensional non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) ordination plots, based on Bray-Curtis distances. For each ordination a subset is shown for each site. Centroids (± SE) for sites and covariates are printed in the rightmost panel of each row. (a) represent all species combined together, while (b) represent subsets of taxonomic groups. Wolf spiders heavily dominate the overall structure (top and third row), while the remaining spiders and beetles are structured along the continentality gradient. Stress spiders and beetles: 14, beetles: 18, wolf spiders: 12, spiders excl wolf spiders: 14 10 11 12 Tables 13 Table 3 14 Number of plots that fulfilled the selection criteria for each category. North Horizontal South 15 Site 1, Coastal 2 15 13 Site 2, Intermediate 6 31 13 Site 3, Continental 3 2 11 16 Table 1 17 18 19 20 Analysis of deviance tables. Testing the hypothesis that the community between sites and habitats is not different (based on glm for each species, see table S2). The test was run for all data combined and for subsets of taxonomic groups. All but the interaction term for beetles were significant at α = 0.05. Res.Df Df.diff Dev Pr(>Dev) Spiders and Beetles (Intercept) 95 site 93 2 408.128 0.001 micro climate 91 2 275.343 0.001 site:micro climate 87 4 156.992 0.001 Beetles (Intercept) 87 site 85 2 146.752 0.001 micro climate 83 2 64.594 0.002 site:micro climate 79 4 23.934 0.229 Spiders (Intercept) 95 site 93 2 254.544 0.001 micro climate 91 2 213.367 0.001 site:micro climate 87 4 134.112 0.001 Wolf spiders (Intercept) 95 site 93 2 68.789 0.001 micro climate 91 2 57.797 0.001 site:micro climate 87 4 60.099 0.001 Spiders excl. wolf spiders 21 (Intercept) 90 site 88 2 184.903 0.001 micro climate 86 2 156.411 0.001 site:micro climate 82 4 0.001 75.452 22 Table 2 23 24 Spearman rank correlations between community dissimilarities and the best combination of environmental variables. Based on bioenv in vegan R-package. Variables size correlation Spiders and Beetles topography 1 0.354 continentality slope 2 0.444 continentality topography slope 3 0.443 continentality 1 0.310 continentality topography 2 0.286 continentality topography slope 3 0.246 topography 1 0.352 continentalityslope 2 0.421 continentality topography slope 3 0.426 continentality 1 0.103 continentality slope 2 0.104 continentality topography slope 3 0.089 Beetles Wolf spiders Spiders excl. wolfspiders 25 26 Equations 27 Eq 1 28 29 30 Eq 2 31 Supplementary material 32 Figure S1 33 Samples used in the analysis. Dots denotes start and endpoints for samples. 34 35 36 37 Table S1 Occurrences of species and number of individuals in the nine different combinations of site (Coastal, Intermediate and Continental) and local climatic gradient (horizontal, north or south). Coastal Horizont al Beetles Ground beetles Nort h Intermediate Sout h Horizont al Nort h Continental Sout h Horizont al Nort h Sout h Tota l Bembidion grapii 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 39 0 3 32 0 6 3 1 3 87 Coccinella transversogutta ta 0 1 1 13 4 12 3 7 44 85 Nephus redtenbacheri 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 Dorytomus imbecillus 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Otiorhynchus arcticus 3 0 13 0 0 0 5 0 21 42 Otiorhynchus nodosus 10 1 12 100 21 18 3 8 11 184 Byrrhus fasciatus 2 0 3 8 0 11 0 2 5 31 Caenoscelis ferruginea 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 79 82 Mycetoporus nigrans 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 7 2 12 Arctosa insignita 6 0 10 45 3 10 0 0 0 74 Pardosa furcifera 438 0 33 802 36 230 29 40 8 161 6 25 7 21 5 2 24 1 5 12 102 6 0 39 64 104 291 20 56 742 132 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Patrobus septentrionis Ladybirdbeetl es Weevils Other beetles Spiders Wolf spiders Pardosa groenlandica Pardosa hyperborea Theridiidae Enoplognatha intrepida Ohlertidion lundbecki 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Robertus fuscus 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Dictyna major 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 Emblyna borealis 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 Hahnia glacialis 1 0 10 0 0 17 1 12 16 57 Haplodrassus signifer 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 5 Hypsosinga groenlandica 0 0 0 30 0 3 0 0 11 44 Thanatus arcticus 2 0 2 7 1 7 0 0 16 35 Xysticus durus 0 0 2 6 1 7 0 0 11 27 Agyneta allosubtilis 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 Agyneta jacksoni 4 0 6 14 0 2 0 1 4 31 Agyneta nigripes 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Agyneta subtilis 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 Bathyphantes eumenis 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Dismodicus decemoculatus 0 0 0 11 0 1 0 11 2 25 Erigone arctica 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 Erigone psychrophila 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Erigone whymperi 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8 Hilaira herniosa 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Hybauchenidiu m gibbosum 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 Improphantes 0 0 2 2 1 2 0 1 1 9 Other spiders Linyphiidae complicatus Islandiana princeps 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Lepthyphantes turbatrix 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 Mecynargus borealis 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 7 Mecynargus morulus 0 0 4 4 1 3 0 0 0 12 Mecynargus paetulus 31 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 36 Oreonetides vaginatus 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 Pelecopsis mengei 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 5 Pocadicnemis americana 0 0 1 1 0 12 0 0 41 55 Sciastes extremus 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Semljicola obtusus 4 3 4 19 0 11 0 0 0 41 Sisicus apertus 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 1 5 Tiso aestivus 0 0 0 1 6 6 0 0 11 24 Wabasso cacuminatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 10 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 15 Walckenaeria castanea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Walckenaeria clavicornis 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 Walckenaeria karpinskii 8 2 9 26 2 5 0 0 2 54 605 18 179 1227 185 685 69 159 105 4 418 1 Wabasso quaestio Total 38 39 Table S2 40 Analysis of deviance table for each species. Pr(>Dev) and deviance in brackets is reported 41 42 for each species. Species Stat p-val Pardosa groenlandica 0.298 0.039 Erigone whymperi 0.258 0.046 Mecynargus paetulus 0.238 0.039 Otiorhynchus nodosus 0.382 0.003 Arctosa insignita 0.363 0.001 Pardosa hyperborea 0.662 0.001 Coccinella transversoguttata 0.507 0.001 Pocadicnemis americana 0.467 0.001 Caenoscelis ferruginea 0.461 0.001 Hybauchenidium gibbosum 0.413 0.001 Hahnia glacialis 0.389 0.001 Thanatus arcticus 0.362 0.003 Otiorhynchus arcticus 0.346 0.004 Mycetoporus nigrans 0.337 0.001 Tiso aestivus 0.282 0.025 Dismodicus decemoculatus 0.270 0.027 Pardosa furcifera 0.350 0.005 Walckenaeria karpinskii 0.273 0.039 0.264 0.043 Site 1 Site 2 Site 3 Site 1 & 2 Site 2 & 3 Hypsosinga groenlandica 43 44 Table S3 45 46 Univariate abundance estimates from the manyglm. (Inter cept) sit e2 sit e3 habita tNorth habitatH orisontal site2:hab itatNorth site3:hab itatNorth site2:habita tHorisontal site3:habita tHorisontal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Bembidio n grapii 14.82 0 12 .4 2 0 0 0 -12.42 0 -12.42 Patrobus septentri onis -1.47 0. 69 0. 17 -13.35 2.42 -0.69 13.55 -1.62 -0.72 Otiorhyn chus arcticus 0 14 .8 2 0. 65 -14.82 -1.61 14.82 -0.65 1.61 1.88 Otiorhyn chus nodosus -0.08 0. 41 0. 08 -0.61 -0.33 1.54 1.59 1.17 0.73 Dorytom us imbecillu s 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.38 0 Coccinell a transvers oguttata -2.56 2. 48 3. 95 1.87 -12.25 -2.2 -2.41 11.46 11.27 Nephus redtenba cheri 14.82 0 13 .1 1 0 0 0 -13.11 0 -13.11 Byrrhus fasciatus -1.47 1. 3 0. 68 -13.35 -0.55 -1.3 13.73 -0.64 -13.48 Caenosce lis ferrugine a 14.82 0 16 .7 9 0 0 0 -16.79 0 -1.57 Gen.Var Beetles Ground beetles Weevils Ladybir dbeetles Other beetles Mycetopo rus nigrans 14.82 12 .2 5 13 .1 1 14.12 0 -13.35 -11.57 -12.25 -13.11 Emblyna borealis 14.82 12 .2 5 0 0 0 -12.25 0 -0.87 0 Dictyna major 14.82 12 .2 5 0 0 0 -12.25 0 -12.25 0 Hahnia glacialis -0.26 0. 53 0. 64 -14.55 -2.45 -0.53 15.56 -12.64 1.38 Haplodra ssus signifer -1.47 13 .3 5 13 .3 5 -13.35 -13.35 13.35 27.07 24.73 13.35 Hypsosin ga groenlan dica 14.82 13 .3 5 14 .8 2 0 0 -13.35 -14.82 1.43 -14.82 Thanatus arcticus -1.87 1. 25 2. 25 -12.94 -0.14 11.77 -2.25 -0.73 -15.05 Xysticus durus -1.87 1. 25 1. 87 -12.94 -12.94 11.77 -1.87 11.92 -1.87 Arctosa insignita -0.26 0 14 .5 5 -14.55 -0.65 14.12 14.55 1.29 0.65 Pardosa furcifera 0.93 1. 94 1. 25 -15.75 2.44 14.67 18.66 -2.06 0.55 Pardosa groenlan dica 0.48 0. 13 0. 39 0.77 0.03 -2.48 -0.35 -2.47 -0.81 Pardosa hyperbor ea 1.1 2. 01 3. 11 -15.91 -2.01 15.66 14.63 -0.37 0.11 Spiders Other spiders Wolf spiders Theridii dae Enoplogn atha intrepida 14.82 0 12 .4 2 0 0 0 -12.42 0 -12.42 Robertus fuscus 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.38 0 Ohlertidi on lundbecki 14.82 0 12 .4 2 0 0 0 -12.42 0 -12.42 Agyneta allosubtili s 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 12.07 0 Agyneta jacksoni -0.77 1. 1 0. 24 -14.04 -0.55 1.1 13.96 1.63 -13.26 Agyneta nigripes 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.38 0 Agyneta subtilis 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 12.77 0 Bathypha ntes eumenis 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.38 0 Dismodic us decemoc ulatus 14.82 12 .2 5 13 .1 1 0 0 -12.25 3 1.53 -13.11 Erigone arctica 14.82 0 0 0 13.9 0 0 -13.9 -13.9 Erigone psychrop hila 14.82 0 0 0 12.11 0 0 -12.11 -12.11 Erigone whymper i 14.82 0 0 0 14.05 0 0 -2.67 -14.05 Hilaira herniosa 14.82 0 0 0 0 13.02 0 0 0 Hybauch enidium gibbosu m 14.82 0 13 .8 0 0 0 0.61 0 0.32 Improph antes -1.87 0 0. -12.94 -12.94 13.02 14.24 12.07 0.53 Linyphii dae complicat us 53 Islandian a princeps 14.82 0 0 0 0 13.02 0 0 0 Lepthyph antes turbatrix 14.82 0 12 .4 2 0 0 0 -12.42 11.38 -12.42 Mecynarg us borealis -2.56 12 .2 5 12 .2 5 -12.25 0.55 12.25 12.25 12.22 -0.55 Mecynarg us morulus -1.18 0. 29 13 .6 4 -13.64 -13.64 13.31 13.64 13.06 13.64 Mecynarg us paetulus 14.82 0 0 0 15.54 0 13.72 -2.77 -15.54 Oreoneti des vaginatu s 14.82 12 .2 5 0 0 0 -12.25 0 -0.87 0 Pelecopsi s mengei 14.82 12 .9 4 0 0 0 -12.94 0 -0.46 0 Pocadicn emis american a -2.56 2. 48 3. 88 -12.25 -12.25 -2.48 -3.88 8.9 -3.88 Sciastes extremus 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.38 0 Semljicol a obtusus -1.18 1. 01 13 .6 4 1.58 -0.14 -16.23 -1.58 -0.18 0.14 Sisicus apertus 14.82 12 .2 5 12 .4 2 0 0 -12.25 -12.42 0.23 -12.42 Tiso aestivus 14.82 14 .0 4 14 .8 2 0 0 0.77 -14.82 -2.66 -14.82 Wabasso cacumina tus 14.82 0 0 0 0 0 15.1 0 0 Wabasso quaestio 14.82 0 0 0 14.41 0 0 -1.42 -14.41 Walckena eria castanea 14.82 0 12 .4 2 0 0 0 -12.42 0 -12.42 Walckena eria clavicorni s 14.82 0 0 15.22 0 -15.22 -15.22 12.07 0 Walckena eria karpinskii -0.37 0. 59 1. 34 0.37 -0.26 -0.51 -13.48 1.04 -12.85 47 48 Table S4 49 50 Point-biserial correlations between species abundance and stations (Association function: r.g.). Selected number of species: 19. Species Stat p-val Pardosa groenlandica 0.298 0.039 Erigone whymperi 0.258 0.046 Mecynargus paetulus 0.238 0.039 Otiorhynchus nodosus 0.382 0.003 Arctosa insignita 0.363 0.001 Pardosa hyperborea 0.662 0.001 Coccinella transversoguttata 0.507 0.001 Pocadicnemis americana 0.467 0.001 Caenoscelis ferruginea 0.461 0.001 Hybauchenidium gibbosum 0.413 0.001 Hahnia glacialis 0.389 0.001 Thanatus arcticus 0.362 0.003 Otiorhynchus arcticus 0.346 0.004 Mycetoporus nigrans 0.337 0.001 Site 1 Site 2 Site 3 Tiso aestivus 0.282 0.025 Dismodicus decemoculatus 0.27 0.027 Pardosa furcifera 0.35 0.005 Walckenaeria karpinskii 0.273 0.039 0.264 0.043 Site 1 & 2 Site 2 & 3 Hypsosinga groenlandica 51 52 Table S5 53 54 familyname genusnam e speciesname authorname wdescriptio n wingr ef wdevelopm ent flying Carabidae Nebria rufescens (Ström, 1768) Fully developed, but never observed flying (cf Lindroth 1945a and Lindroth et al 1974). In Scandinavi an specimens the flight muscles may be reduced (cf Gislén & Brinck, 1950). cf Larson and Gigja (1959) mentioned a few icelandic individuals with strikingly better developed wings than in most speciemens 2 Full no . Carabidae Patrobus septentrionis Dejan, 1821 Hind wings always fully developed, and spontaneou s flight has been observed in northern Norway (cf Lindroth 1945a) 2 Full yes Carabidae Bembidion grapii Gyllenhal, 1827 Polymorphi c hind wings. Four types from fully developed to quite rudimentar y, scale like (cf Lindroth 1945a, 1949, 1957, 1958, 1963a, 1979; Lindroth et al 1973). High spatial variation in Greenland cf Lindroth (1959) and table 3. 2 Full/reduce d yes/n o Carabidae Trichocellu s cognatus (Gyllenhal, 1827) Hind wings always well developed and at least in europe flight is frequent (cf Lindroth 1945a, Den Boer et al 1980) 2 Full yes Dytiscidae Hyrdoporu s morio Aubé, 1838 Hind wings always fully developed and able to 2 Full yes fly. Dytiscidae Colymbete s dolabratus (Paykull, 1798) Hind wings constantly full and functional, and the species has frequently been observed flying 2 Full yes Gyrinidae Gyrinus opacus Sahlberg, 1819 The hinds wings are always fully developed and functional 2 Full yes Hydrophilida e Helophorus brevipalpis Bedel, 1881 The hind wings are always fully developed, and the species is an active flyer (cf BalfourBrowne, 1958), frequently found in wind drift material on seashores in Denmark (cf. M Hansen 1986) 2 Full yes Staphylinida e Omalium excavatum Stephens, 1834 The hind wings are fully developed and no doubt functional (cf. Lindroth et al 1973) 2 Full yes Staphylinida e Xylodromu s concinnus (Marsham, 1802) No information 2 NA NA Staphylinida e Euaestethu s laeviusculus Mannerheim , 1844 No information 1 NA NA Staphylinida e Lathrobium fulvipenne Gravenhorst , 1806 In Iceland (and Greenland) the hind wings are rudimentar y, but a macroptero us form is known from the European Continent (cf. Lindroth et al 1973) 2 Full/reduce d yes/n o Staphylinida e Quedius mesomelinus (Marsham, 1802) The hind wings are slightly reduced and according to Lindroth et al (1973) possibly nonfunctio nal. 2 reduced no Staphylinida e Quedius fellmanni (Zetterstedt , 1838) Wings reduced and not fit for flight (cf Smetana 1964) 2 reduced no Staphylinida e Mycetopor us nigrans Mäklin, 1853 No information 1 NA NA Staphylinida e Micralymm a marinum (Ström, 1783) The hind wings are always entirely reduced 2 reduced no Staphylinida e Micralymm a brevilingue Schiödte, 1845 Hind wings always entirely reduced 2 reduced no Staphylinida e Gnypeta cavicollis Sahlberg, 1880 The hind wings are fully developed. 2 Full NA Staphylinida Atheta groenlandica Mahler, The hind 2 Full yes e 1988 wings are always fully developed and no functional doubt. Staphylinida e Atheta islandica (Kraatz, 1856) The hind wings are full and functional (Lindroth et al 1973) 2 Full yes Staphylinida e Atheta hyperborea Brudin, 1940 Hind wings fully developed 2 Full NA Staphylinida e Atheta vestita (Gravenhor st, 1806) The hind wings are fully developed and probably functional (cf Lindroth et al 1973) 2 Full yes Byrrhidae Simplocari a metallica (Sturm, 1807) The hind wings are always fully developed. 2 Full NA Byrrhidae Simplocari a elongata Sahlberg, 1903 The hind wings are fully developed. 2 Full NA Byrrhidae Arctobyrrh us subcanus (LeConte, 1878) At least in greenland the hind wings are so short that flight is impossible 2 reduced no Byrrhidae Byrrhus fasciatus Forster, 1771 The hind wings are fully developed and the species regularly flies in sunny wearher (cf Lindroth 2 Full yes 1931 and Lindroth et al 1973). Cryptophagi dae Caenosceli s ferruginea (Sahlberg, 1820) Wings fully developed 2 Full NA Coccinellidae Nephus redtenbacheri (Mulsant, 1846) Wings fully developed and functional 2 Full yes Coccinellidae Coccinella transversogutt ata Falderman, 1835 The hind wings are always fully developed and the species are quite often seen flying short distances, especially when disturbed 2 Full yes Latridiidae Latridius minutus (Linnaeus, 1767) Hind wings are fully developed and functional 2 Full yes Latridiidae Latridius transversus (Olivier, 1790) No information 1 NA NA Latridiidae Corticaria rubripes Mannerheim , 1844 Hind wings are always fully developed 2 Full NA Chrysomelid ae Phratora polaris (Sparre Scheider, 1886) No information 1 NA NA Curculionida e Otiorhynch us arcticus (O. Fabricius, 1780) The hind wings are always rudimentar y 2 rudimentar y no Curculionida e Otiorhynch us nodosus (Müller, 1764) Always wingless 2 Wingless no Curculionida e Hypera diversipunctat a (Schrank, 1798) In greenland wings highly reduced 2 reduced no Curculionida e Dorytomus imbecillus Faust, 1882 No information 2 NA NA Curculionida e Rutidosom a globulus (Herbst, 1795) The hindwings are rudimentar y 2 rudimentar y no Hydrophilida e Cercyon obsoletus (Gyllenhal, 1808) No information 2 NA NA Staphylinida e Euphaleru m sorbi (Gyllenhal, 1810) No information 2 NA NA Staphylinida e Ocalea cf. picata (Stephens, 1832) No information 2 NA NA Staphylinida e Othius angustus Stephens, 1833 No information 2 NA NA Staphylinida e Philonthus cf. cepholates (Gravenhor st, 1802) Macroptero us. 2 Full NA Staphylinida e Philonthus politus (Linnaeus, 1758) Macroptero us and often flying (cf Lindroth et al 1973) 2 Full yes Buprestidae Melanophil a acuminata (De Geer, 1774) No information 2 NA NA Dermestidae Anthrenus museorum (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Dermestidae Attagenus pellio (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Dermestidae Dermestes lardarius (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Dermestidae Reesa vespulae (Milliron, 1939) No information 2 NA NA Lyctidae Lyctus brunneus (Stephens, 1830) No information 2 NA NA Anobiidae Ernobius mollis (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Anobiidae Anobium punctatum (De Geer, 1774) No information 2 NA NA Ptinidae Ptinus fur (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Ptinidae Ptinus tectus Boieldieu, No 2 NA NA 1856 information Ptinidae Ptinus raptor Sturm, 1837 No information 2 NA NA Trogossitida e Tenebroide s mauritanicus (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Malachiidae Malachius aeneus (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cucujidae Oryzaephil us surinamensis (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cryptophagi dae Cryptopha gus acutangulus Gyllenhal, 1827 No information 2 NA NA Cryptophagi dae Cryptopha gus lapponicus Gyllenhal, 1827 No information 2 NA NA Latridiidae Corticaria serrata (Paykull, 1798) No information 2 NA NA Latridiidae Dienerella filum (Aubé, 1850) No information 2 NA NA Latridiidae Thes bergrothi (Reitter, 1880) No information 2 NA NA Tenebrionida e Tribolium confusum Jacquelin du Val, 1863 No information 1 NA NA Tenebrionida e Tribolium destructor Uyttenboog art, 1934 No information 2 NA NA Tenebrionida e Tenebrio obscurus Fabricius, 1792 No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Callidium violaceum (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Gracilia minuta (Fabricius, 1781) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Molorchus minor (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Phymatode s testaceus (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Pogonoche rus fasciculatus (De Geer, 1775) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Tetropium castaneum (Linnaeus, 1758) No information 2 NA NA Cerambycida e Xylotrechu s colonus (Fabricius, 1775) No information 2 NA NA 55 Curculionida e Otiorhynch us sulcatus (Fabricius, 1775) No information 1 NA NA Scolytidae Pityogenes chalcographus (Linnaeus, 1761) No information 2 NA NA Synchronous seasonal dynamics in composition, richness and turnover of arthropod assemblages across the Arctic Rikke Reisner Hansena*, Ashley Asmusb, Joseph James Bowdena, Sarah Lobodac, Amy M. Ilerd, Paul J. CaraDonnad, Oskar Liset Pryds Hansena,f, Signe Normanda,g, Maarten J.J.E. Loonene, Niels Martin Schmidta,h, Peter Aastrupa,h, Toke Thomas Høyea,i a. Arctic Research Centre, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark b. Department of Biology, University of Texas, Arlington, USA c. Mc. Gill University, Montréal, Canada d. Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark e. Arctic Centre, University of Groningen, The Netherlands f. Natural history museum of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark g. Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark h. Arctic Ecosystem Ecology, Department of Bioscience, Roskilde, Denmark i. Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, Rønde, Denmark * Corresponding author: Rikke Reisner Hansen, E-mail: [email protected] Abstract Tracking changes in community composition in response to environmental change, requires knowledge on species distributions in space and time. For Arctic Arthropods this knowledge is accumulating slowly due to the prohibitive costs of field work and species identification. Accordingly, it is important to determine to which extent the timing and duration of sampling affects detectability of species. With a solid base in a monitoring scheme incorporating nearly 20 years of consecutive weekly arthropod sampling in North-Greenland, we studied how sampling time and duration of sampling, affected the distribution patterns of Arctic arthropods at family and species level resolutions. Through multivariate models, turnover measures, and species richness, we assessed the seasonal window where arthropod diversity was stable and compared the results to similar data from three other sites in the Arctic, spanning a large geographic and climatic. To further document how this seasonal window could be expected to deviate in response to climate change, we used environmental fitting analysis to correlate findings with environmental variables. Arthropod compositions displayed a similar multivariate pattern across sites, habitats taxonomic resolution and years. However, compositions differed significantly between habitats as well as sampling dates, and there was an interaction between sampling dates and habitats for most sites. Increasing temperatures and advancement in timing of snowmelt extended the seasonal window where richness peaked, and this also varied slightly among sites. The recommendations made here are a useful tool for accruing large scale data on distributional patterns. Introduction Global biodiversity loss is occurring at an alarming rate, due to global change and increasing human influence (Butchart et al. 2010). Monitoring of biodiversity, as well as, gaining a full comprehension of the spatial and temporal distribution of species are among the top priorities in ecology (Heller & Zavaleta 2009). Recent accelerating climate change, which alters habitats and compromises species living conditions, increases relevance further (Elmendorf et al. 2012). In spite of increasing focus, sufficient information about the distribution of species richness in large regions, such as the Arctic, remains sparse for many biological groups (CAFF 2013; Hodkinson 2013). Many ecological studies seek to track changes in species diversity and composition throughout the season and over multiple years (Høye & Forchhammer 2008; Spitzer & Jaroš 2009; Bowden et al. 2015), in order to adequately describe the changes in communities brought on by environmental disturbances, such as climate change (Magurran et al. 2010). Although sampling all taxa at multiple sites through a full season of activity is preferable, it may be a daunting task, due to logistical constraints and limited resources available. This predicament, however, raises an interesting question. What fraction of the community is ignored by not covering full seasons? Numerous studies on species-area relationships have shown strong positive relationships between species richness and turnover and the area or the heterogeneity of the habitat sampled (Connor & McCoy 1979; Lomolino 2000; Hansen et al. 2016a; Hansen et al. 2016b; Vandvik et al. 2016). The temporal pendant of species area relationship, the species–time relationship (Adler & Lauenroth 2003; White & Gilchrist 2007; McGlinn & Palmer 2009), describes the similarly positive relationship between species richness and the length of time a site is studied (Preston 1960), but has not yet been studied as intensively. Temporal species accumulation operates at multiple time scales. Firstly species accumulates intraannually as seasons and conditions shifts. Secondly, variability in weather patterns between years accumulates species over decades or even centuries. Thirdly, there is the evolutionary change in extinction and speciation rates, operating over centuries and millennia (Preston 1960; Magurran et al. 2010; Boggs 2016). Therefore the seasonal development of species is expected to change across years. Moreover, changes over time in a community may occur as the observed accumulation of richness as more species are added throughout the time frame, but also from turnover events where one species replaces another, making both community composition and richness important measures (Yen et al. 2016). Most past and contemporary studies of species-time relationships refer to the interannual variation of species aggregating over the course of multiple years. A few studies have indicated that lowering the temporal extent and resolution of sampling may have limited impact on species compositions and diversity (Nally et al. 2004; Xu et al. 2015). It is, however, unknown to what spatial and taxonomic extent the generality of these patterns can be inferred. Furthermore, when combining spatial and temporal patterns, the influence of increasing the spatial extent exceeds that of temporal increments on species richness (Erös & Schmera 2010). One way of capturing the seasonal window where local colonization and extinction patterns are low, is to look for statistical regularity and aggregation in the observed compositional patterns (White & Gilchrist 2007). Considering this, the rate of species accumulation might not be constant over the span of a season, and specific subsets in time may capture significant proportions of the community. Multiple studies of Arctic distributional patterns have disputed the common conception of the Arctic as a rather homogenous landscape and that heterogeneity between habitats cause great diversification (Bowden & Buddle 2010; Normand et al. 2013; Sikes et al. 2013; Ernst et al. 2016; Hansen et al. 2016a), yet little focus has been given to the temporal variation in arthropod compositions across the active season in Arctic regions. While species in the Arctic are under strong seasonal impacts, the region offers a powerful model system for studying changes over time. Hence temporal studies of Arctic communities can prove useful for overcoming the challenges brought on by sampling large or multiple areas. Moreover, the Arctic region spans large climatic gradients, rendering results of temporal studies applicable at the global scale. Invertebrates have long been recognized as good indicators of changing communities due to their small body sizes, relatively short generation time and ectothermic lifestyle. Terrestrial arthropods furthermore play an important role in the Arctic food webs as they represent more than one third of all terrestrial organisms, including plants and fungi (CAFF 2013). Since timing of snowmelt and increasing summer temperatures have been identified as important drivers of the active season length of Arctic arthropods (Høye & Forchhammer 2008), they are likely to be important factors in controlling seasonal dynamics of Arctic arthropod communities. In this study, we evaluate the effect of sampling time and duration on arthropod diversity, turnover and composition. More specifically, we study the seasonal development across multiple sites, taxa and habitats. By including both family- and species level data, we verify whether the patterns are replicated at lower taxonomic resolutions. We investigate the difference in species composition and diversity between habitats and discuss this in relation to temporal variation in species composition and species richness. We propose an optimal timeframe where communities are stable and furthermore suggest a tradeoff between sampling more habitats and shorter timeframes for answering questions regarding compositional changes. An optimal sampling window (a) maximizes community diversity; (b) is characteristic of whole-season community composition; and (c) is robust to effects of inter-annual weather variability and long-term climate change. The goal of this study was to determine the “optimal” sampling window (date and duration of sampling) for arthropod communities across a wide array of terrestrial arctic locations and habitat types. We divided this goal into two objectives: Objective 1: We describe seasonal dynamics in community composition and compare indices of arthropod community composition, stability and species richness for sampling windows that vary in date and duration across multiple Arctic sites and habitat types; Objective 2: We evaluate the effects of inter-annual weather variability and long-term climate trends on community assembly and community indices for each sampling window within sites and habitat types. Methods Data We compiled datasets entailing three different regions within the Arctic (Svalbard, Greenland and Alaska). The Greenland datasets are comprised of two datasets collected as part of Greenland ecosystem Monitoring (GEM). One consists of 18 consecutive years (1996 – 2014) (samples from 2010 were lost in transit from Greenland) of weekly pitfall trap samples from Zackenberg valley, North-east Greenland (74º28’ N, 20º34’ W). The Nuuk dataset, consists of weekly pitfall trap samples (2008 – 2010) in Kobbefjord, South-west Greenland (64°07’N / 51°21'W). Both datasets have been identified to family level and furthermore butterflies, spiders and muscid flies have been identified to the species level for Zackenberg. The Alaskan dataset, sampled at Toolik lake at (68°38' N, 149°35' W) holds two consecutive years (2010 and 2011) of weekly pitfall trap sampling, and has been identified to family level (Rich et al. 2013). From Svalbard (78°55' N, 11°55' W), pitfall sampling occurred from 2009 to 2011 and has been identified to the lowest possible taxonomic level (Table 1). For each dataset, we selected the weeks where all habitats had been equally sampled across all years and standardized to counts per trap per week. The week numbers were calculated from day of year. Analysis of site characteristics We examined the distribution of the four regions in relation to climatic gradients within the Arctic using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Data for five climatic variables were extracted from the worldclim data set (Hijmans et al. 2005): annual mean temperature, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, precipitation of the warmest quarter, precipitation of the coldest quarter, and minimum temperature of the coldest month. PCA was conducted with climate data within the sub- to high Arctic and the most common climate (75-percentile) within Greenland, subarctic, low arctic, and high arctic was delineated. The four regions were plotted according to their climatic conditions with the multidimensional climate space. Arthropod community composition and seasonal assembly To visually identify the time frame of the season where arthropod species composition was most stable, we first modeled each dataset through latent variable modelling. Latent variable modelling is a Bayesian model-based approach that explains community composition through a set of underlying latent variables to account for residual correlation, for example due to biotic interaction. This method offers the possibility to adjust the distribution family to account for over-dispersion in count data via negative binomial distribution. Thus, it also accounts for the increasing mean-variance relationship without confounding location with dispersion (Hui et al. 2015). Three “types" of models may be fitted: 1) With covariates and no latent variables, boral fits independent response GLMs such that the columns of y are assumed to be independent; 2) With no covariates, boral fits a pure latent variable model (Rabe-Hesketh et al. 2004) to perform model-based unconstrained ordination (Hui et al. 2015); 3) With covariates and latent variables, boral fits correlated response GLMs, with latent variables. We created latent variable models at site levels for each dataset with two latent variables. to visualize how the arthropod communities were distributed. This method is comparable to a two dimensional non metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) plot. From the latent variable model, we extracted the posterior median values of the latent variables which we used as coordinates on ordination axes to represent family level composition at plot level (Hui et al. 2015). We drew convex ellipses around posterior median values belonging to each habitat for each dataset based on 95 percent confidence limits of the yearly averages. For this purpose, we used the function ‘ordiellipse’ in the r package ‘Vegan’ (Oksanen et al. 2016). We repeated this analysis at species level for the Zackenberg dataset. We then tested whether the seasonal development in arthropod composition differed significantly between habitats through a multivariate extension of General Linear Models (GLMs), using the function ‘manyglm’ in the package ‘mvabund’ (Wang et al. 2012). This recently developed method offers the possibility to model distributions based on count data by assuming a negative binomial distribution. We tested for main effects of week and habitats and for an interaction between the two terms. We then repeated the latent variable modeling at habitat level for all datasets with a significant interaction term, and calculated convex ellipsoids around posterior median values belonging to each week based on the standard error of the yearly averages. We extracted the centroid of each ellipsoid, which we plotted on top of the latent variable plot. At habitat level, we tested if the seasonal development differed significantly between years, by testing for an interaction between time of season (week) and year. Sampling window – based arthropod species richness and turnover Multivariate methods for measuring beta diversity have been shown robust compared to classical methods. This is due to the dependency upon gamma diversity in classical methods, such that when sampling effort increases, so does beta diversity along with gamma diversity (Bennett & Gilbert 2016). We used the centroids extracted from the latent variable models for each habitat from the Zackenberg family level dataset. While the distance to the group centroid is a common way of measuring spatial beta diversity (Anderson et al. 2006), it describes the yearly variations in beta diversity within the weeks and not the unidirectional, temporal drift in multivariate space from one week to the next. We used the distance between week to week centroids as a measure of temporal turnover, and used the average area of the two ellipsoids as error bars to represent the interannual variation. We calculated species richness for each week and each habitat across all years. To identify the timeframe and length of timeframe in which the highest number of species were represented, we calculated species richness for each combination of timing and duration; four week sampling at nine different points, three week sampling at ten different points, two week sampling at eleven different points of the season and one week sampling at 12 different points. We explored how what proportion of total season species richness was captures for each of the sampling strategies. Climatic variability and the effect on seasonal development We used the Zackenberg family level dataset to analyze the sensitivity of diversity to climatic variables. This dataset is the only one, where environmental variables were measured every year. Timing of snowmelt has been shown to occur significantly earlier, as well as average may-august temperatures to become significantly warmer (Bowden et al. 2015). Timing of snowmelt has furthermore proven a significant predictor of season length for arthropods (Høye et al. 2014). To identify if the different seasonal development between years was climate related, we ran a multivariate correlation analysis with the function ‘envfit’ in the ‘vegan’ package. We used the posterior median values of the latent variables as response variables and timing of snowmelt, average may-august temperature, year and week as predictor variables. We examined how the changing climate has affected seasonal development of arthropod assemblages by dividing the Zackenberg family level dataset into years of early and late snowmelt, as well as, warm and cold years. Early snowmelt years were categorized as years where the average day of year for snowmelt lay below the average day of year for all years. Similarly, warm years where categorized as years where the average summer (may august) temperature lay above the average across years. Following these divisions, we calculated species richness for each category. Results Analysis of site characteristics The investigated sites were distributed across the climatic space of the PCA. Two sites were distributed within the high Arctic climate (Ny Aalesund and Zackenberg) and two sites in the low Arctic (Nuuk and Toolik) (Fig. 1). The first two axis of the PCA explained 87% of the variation and was mainly correlated with precipitation of the warmest quarter (1. Axis) and temperature of the warmest quarter (2. axis). Toolik have warmer summers then the other sites and Nuuk, Ny Aalesund and Zackenberg is distributed along a gradient from wet to dryer conditions. Arthropod community composition and seasonal assembly Arthropod compositions differed significantly between all of the investigated habitats at each site and there was a significant effect of week (Table 2). The moisture gradient was a driving component across sites. At Zackenberg, there was a clear distinction between arthropod communities, in the wet habitats and arthropod communities in the dry and mesic habitats. For Nuuk habitats, the biggest distinction was found between the shrub covered habitat and the wet, with the dry habitat as an intermediate (Fig. 2). However, the interaction between seasonal development and habitat was not significant for Toolik and Ny Aalesund, even though arthropod compositions differed significantly between both habitats and week (Table 2). The weekly development through the season, displayed a characteristic u-shaped pattern for all the habitats at all the sites. The arthropod compositions were more similar towards the beginning and the end of the season. There was a change in multivariate space from week to week throughout the season, yet, the communities seemed to stabilize during mid-season with less distance between the weekly centroids (Fig. 3). Sampling window – based on arthropod species richness and turnover At Zackenberg, the weeks of significantly (non-overlapping error bands) highest richness where between week 29 until week 33 for the dry habitat. The mesic habitat varied from week to week and richness never reached a plateau. In the wet habitat, richness increased until week 29 and stabilized before dropping in week 32. Turnover patterns were opposite to richness and stabilized at the lowest point between week 29 and 30, until increasing again between week 32 and 33. Turnover in the mesic habitat did not reach a stable low point until between week 32 and 33. In Nuuk, there was inter annual variability both in species richness and turnover, but species richness in the shrubs and the dry habitat peaked from week 29 to 32. The wet habitat had significantly higher species richness in week 32 and it was overall lower than in the shrub and dry habitat. Turnover did not differ significantly in any of the habitats between any of the weeks for Nuuk. Species richness at Toolik was significantly highest in week 25 to 30 and declined drastically in week 31. Turnover was lowest between weeks 26 to 28. In Svalbard, species richness was significantly highest in week 29 with a maximum of 13 taxa present, and turnover did not change significantly between any of the weeks (Fig. 4). Analysis of sampling strategy in Zackenberg mirrored the weeks of highest richness and turnover and revealed that sampling either week in a one-week sampling strategy between weeks 28-32, yielded 69-72 percent of the taxa present when sampling a full season. Four weeks of sampling that time frame yielded 79-81 percent of the full season taxa detected. The optimal timespan for one week sampling strategy in Nuuk was starting week 28 and 29 which detected 55-57 percent of the full season taxonomic richness, whereas four weeks of sampling with the same starting weeks presented 64-69 percent. In Toolik, the optimal starting week was between week 26 and 28 for one week sampling duration, which detected 59-61 percent of the taxa present throughout a full season and four week in with the same starting weeks yielded 75-77 percent. In Ny-Aalesund, there was no significant difference between sampling duration (Fig. 5). The effect of climatic variability on seasonal development Temperatures had a significant effect on arthropod compositions in the dry and mesic habitat at Zackenberg and year was highly correlated with temperature. In the wet habitat, there was no significant effect of snowmelt, temperature and year (Fig. 6). The average day of year for snowmelt across all years was day 152. For six years (2004, 2005, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2013) the average snowmelt date lay below this threshold, and these were categorized as early snowmelt years. Average may-august temperature was 2.23 °C and the years 1996 – 2002 and 2014 had an average may-august temperature below this threshold. Taxonomic richness was higher and peaked earlier for the warm and early snowmelt years (Fig. 7). Discussion Across sites, habitats, and taxonomic levels, arthropod compositions displayed similar trends in seasonal development with less seasonal drift during the peak season weeks (i.e. weeks with low turnover). In present study one week of carefully planned sampling at Zackenberg research station, represented up to 72 percent of richness detected through a full season of sampling. Zackenberg monitoring program presents us with a unique chance of studying temporal trends as it has been operating for 20 years and has collected data on arthropods with weekly intervals throughout the active season. A long term monitoring program at ecosystem level is quite unique and can answer questions entailing interaction dynamics through trophic mismatch and cascades (Mortensen et al. 2014). Additional short term sampling schemes with high spatial resolution across multiple sites could help fill gaps in our knowledge of species distributions and add information to the model predictions of climate change effects on biodiversity. This could be partly accomplished through citizen science schemes as well as cross disciplinary cooperation among researches, where full seasonal commitments may not be an option, but simultaneous multiple year and site collections are. With a strong standardized sampling design available, people without scientific training can carry out fieldwork and will be capable of generating data, which will help biologists answer questions regarding species distributions. Utilizing local communities is a valuable way of accruing large amounts of data otherwise unattainable. It is important to note that we are not trying to limit the temporal extent, nor resolution of long term monitoring schemes. These recommendations are solely for studies of distributional patterns and inferences on life history traits, species interactions and other species specific responses, require longer timeframes to answer. We are still dependent on long term sampling strategies spanning full seasons with higher detailed resolution levels. However, these findings have merits in addition to the high resolution monitoring schemes. Climate changes are altering habitats (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Elmendorf et al. 2012) and expanding the active season for arthropods (Høye & Forchhammer 2008), affecting arthropod compositions across the Arctic (Bowden & Buddle 2010; Hansen et al. 2016b). Time and duration of peak richness may therefor change with a changing climate. Our results show that increasing temperatures does not cause shifts in timing of peak richness, but increases species richness and extends the time frame, where species richness is significantly highest. Sampling strategies have previously been studied in other ecosystems and for other groups of organisms with the intent of describing effect of lower sampling extent and intensity on diversity patterns. For instance temporal aggregation of species had a substantial effect on the species-time relationship of rodent populations in Arizona (White & Gilchrist 2007). A study of ciliated protozoa in the Yellow sea, north China, a sampling regime with one third the amount of original sampling, recovered > 75% information of the total seasonal variability and > 90 percent of protozoan ciliate species present (Xu et al. 2015). Compared to our findings of little effect of changing climates on timing of optimal sampling window, as well as, the similar u-shaped pattern across a large climatic gradient, super generalizations to other ecosystems and regions is possible. The study indicates that short term sampling procedures comes with some considerations. The peak in species richness varies between sites with earlier seasonal peaks at the lower latitudes. As a consequence, sampling one week requires careful consideration of the geographic location of the study. Interaction between seasonal development and habitat coupled with different temporal development in species richness underlines not only a need to sample multiple habitats, but also a detailed consideration towards habitat characteristics, such as soil moisture and vegetation structures. For instance, wet and mesic habitats display the lowest and latest peaks in species richness. These results mirror a previous study from the Godthåbsfjord area in Nuuk, where diversity and species richness where overall lowest in the fens (Hansen et al. 2016b). The year to year variation in turnover for some sites (Nuuk and Ny Aalesund), which is less pronounced for species richness, indicates that abundances vary substantially between years. However, multiple inter annual short term samplings will help counterbalance the year-to-year variability. Shorter sampling windows are more sensitive to stochastic events, such as less optimal weather and it is therefore always desirable to sample the longest term possible. This study is to our knowledge the first to answer questions regarding sampling time and duration of Arctic arthropods, and may prove valuable in the planning of logistically challenging field work (Post & Høye 2013). In conclusion, should compromises be made between spatial and temporal sampling resolution and extent, we believe that an increase of spatial, at the cost of temporal intra annual extent and resolution, is preferable. In combination with the long term monitoring programs, these recommendations will go a long way in mapping species distributions, as well as, responses to climate change. Acknowledgements We gratefully acknowledge the tremendous efforts put forward in connection with data collection. 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Ecography:n/a-n/a DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02306. 1 Table 1 2 Overview of sites: The asterisk indicates that the dataset is used for supportive analyses and the 3 results can be found in supplement material 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Dataset Position Years Sampling intensity Taxonomic resolution Habitats 1996 – 2014 Selected sampling period (weeks) 24:35 Zackenberg (Greenland) Nuuk (Greenland) Ny Aalesund (Svalbard) Toolik lake 74º28’ N, 20º34’ W 64°07’N / 51°21'W 78°55' N, 11°55' W Weekly Family level 2008 – 2014 25:39 Weekly Family level 2009 – 2011 27:33 Two-day interval 2010 – 2011 21:30 Weekly Family, super family and order Family level Dry,mesic and wet Dry, wet and shrub Mesic and dry 68°38' N, 149°35' W Zackenberg* 74º28’ N, 20º34’ W 1996 – 2014 24:35 Weekly Species level (butterflies, spiders and muscid flies) Open and shrub Dry, mesic and wet 14 Table 2 15 Table of deviance. Table showing results of the multivariate GLM, testing the difference 16 between habitat and weeks, as well as the interaction between them at family and species level. 17 The Zackenberg family level interaction between year and week at habitat level is also shown. Dataset Variable Zackenberg Week Habitat Week:Habitat Week Habitat Week:Habitat Week Habitat Week:Habitat Week Habitat Week:Habitat Week Habitat Week:Habitat Year Week Year:Week Year Week Year:Week Year Week Year:Week Nuuk Ny Aalesund Toolik lake Zackenberg species level Zackenberg wet Zackenberg mesic Zackenberg dry 18 19 20 21 22 23 Degrees of freedom 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Deviance P 753 2848.1 554.7 493.2 761.7 186.1 133.6 130.8 23.9 508.1 244.8 91.6 511.2 2194.7 97.5 198 382.2 65.9 233.5 640.9 93.2 406 321.3 130.3 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.190 0.010 <0.001 0.265 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.020 <0.001 <0.001 0.010 <0.001 <0.001 0.010 24 Figure 1 25 Climate space. Plot of the principal component analyses with the following variables 26 downloaded from http://www.worldclim.org/bioclim: annual mean temperature, minimum 27 temperature of the coldest month, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, precipitation of the 28 warmest quarter and precipitation of the coldest quarter. Climate data is plotted with grey colors 29 and the sites in blue. Dashed lines delineate the 75-percentile of the climatic conditions within 30 high-, low- and sub-Arctic, respectively. 31 32 33 34 Figure 2 35 Site level latent variable plots. Latent variable plots displaying how arthropod communities are 36 distributed along two latent variables. Ellipsoids show the 95 percent confidence bands around 37 habitats. 38 39 40 41 42 Figure 3 43 Seasonal variation in arthropod community composition. Latent variable plots showing the latent 44 variable models divided onto habitats. The division was only made if there was a significant 45 interaction between habitat and week. The points below are centroids of the standard error of the 46 weekly centroids. 47 48 49 50 51 Figure 4 52 Richness and turnover plots. Family level richness and turnover plots showing species richness, 53 as well as, distance between centroids for the weekly average of across years. Both indices are 54 shown with standard errors of interannual variation. 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 Figure 5 67 68 69 70 71 Proportion of total species richness. Line graph showing how much of the total species richness is detected with four different sampling durations (one week, two week, three week and four week). The week number on the x-axis shows starting week and the y-axis shows the proportion of the total species richness detected within a year. Error bars are standard error of the interannual variation. 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 Figure 6 80 81 Correlation with environmental variables. Biplots showing only significant (p<0.05) variables from the environmental fitting analysis 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Figure 7 96 A) Climatic variability and effect on species richness. Seasonal development of species richness 97 divided into years with late (blue colors) versus early (red colors) snowmelt and cold (blue 98 colors) versus warm (red colors) years. Error bars represents standard error of the weekly 99 average across years. 100 101 102 103 Supplements 104 Fig S1: Species level latent variable models for Zackenberg data. The top figure shows all 105 habitats and the three figures below shows the seasonal weekly development divided onto 106 habitats 107 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 DOI 10.1007/s00300-014-1622-7 ORIGINAL PAPER Habitat-specific effects of climate change on a low-mobility Arctic spider species Joseph J. Bowden • Rikke R. Hansen Kent Olsen • Toke T. Høye • Received: 10 June 2014 / Revised: 8 October 2014 / Accepted: 12 November 2014 / Published online: 2 December 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014 Abstract Terrestrial ecosystems are heterogeneous habitat mosaics of varying vegetation types that are differentially affected by climate change. Arctic plant communities, for example, are changing faster in moist habitats than in dry habitats and abiotic changes like snowmelt vary locally among habitats. Such differences between habitats may influence the effects of climate changes on animals and this could be especially true in low-mobility species. Suitable model systems to test this idea, however, are rare. We examined how proxies of reproductive success (body size, juvenile/female ratios) and sex ratios have changed in low-mobility crab spiders collected systematically over a 17-year period (1996–2012) from two distinct habitats (mesic and arid dwarf shrub heath) at Zackenberg in northeast Greenland. We identified all adults in the collection to confirm that they represented just one species (Xysticus deichmanni Sørensen) based on morphology. This provided a unique opportunity to measure recruitment potential because we could assume that all juvenile crab spiders belonged to that species. We determined sex, stage, and size of all specimens (n = 2,115). Body size variation was significantly related to the timing of snowmelt and differed significantly between the sexes and habitats with the spiders in the mesic habitat showing a stronger temporal response to later snowmelt. Juvenile/ female ratios also differed significantly between habitats; as did the overall abundance of individuals. We found significant main effects of snowmelt and habitat on sex ratio with the proportion of females decreasing significantly in response to later snowmelt only in the mesic sites. Effects of climate change may be masked by habitat differences and have implications for future range changes of species at both small and large spatial extents. We recommend that local habitat differences are included in analyses of species responses to climate change. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00300-014-1622-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Keywords High Arctic Arthropod Zackenberg Thomisidae Mesic heath Dry heath J. J. Bowden (&) R. R. Hansen T. T. Høye Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, C.F. Møllers Allé 8, Bldg. 1110, 8000 Århus C, Denmark e-mail: [email protected] Introduction K. Olsen Natural History Museum Aarhus, Wilhelm Meyers Allé 210, 8000 Århus C, Denmark T. T. Høye Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, Høegh-Guldbergs Gade 6B, Bldg. 1632, 8000 Århus C, Denmark T. T. Høye Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, Grenåvej 14, 8410 Rønde, Denmark Terrestrial ecosystems are heterogeneous mosaics of ecoregions at a global scale (Olson et al. 2001) and vegetation types at regional scales (Walker et al. 2005). Similarly, there is great heterogeneity in regional (Rühlund et al. 2013) and local changes to temperature and soil moisture across regions like the Arctic tundra. Specifically, some areas are becoming wetter, due to permafrost melt and some dryer, due to increased net evapotranspiration (Zona et al. 2009). Recent climate change has been occurring at an accelerated rate in the Arctic with substantial ecological 123 560 repercussions (ACIA 2005; Post et al. 2009; Høye et al. 2013); however, local habitat may modulate these changes, for example, snowmelt occurs later and vegetation is typically higher in wet low-lying areas (Stow et al. 2004). Studies and syntheses of Arctic plant communities have revealed that species’ responses to climate change are idiosyncratic (Myers-Smith et al. 2011; Elmendorf et al. 2012), but generally these changes (species composition and/or local abundance) have been more pronounced in wet tundra habitats (Elmendorf et al. 2012; Schmidt et al. 2012a). Local effects to individuals are highly dependent upon small-scale variation in temperature and moisture regime, and climate-induced shifts can thus have significant impacts upon populations and communities over small spatial scales (Kudo and Hirao 2006; Høye et al. 2007a, 2013). The biological effects of climate change occur in situ and act upon traits that dictate whether individuals in a population will be able to adapt to a changing environment or disperse to another more suitable habitat (Bourne et al. 2014). Body size is a particularly important trait to the life history (e.g., reproductive success), physiology (e.g., thermal limits) and ecology (e.g., resource acquisition) of individuals in a population (Chown and Gaston 2010). In terrestrial arthropods, body size is primarily influenced by food availability and temperature (Chown and Gaston 2010) and is often positively correlated to fecundity, mass (e.g., Bowden and Buddle 2012) and overall fitness (Jakob et al. 1996). In the Arctic, however, snowmelt has proven to be a particularly important predictor of phenology and body size variation (e.g., Høye et al. 2009, 2013). Like insects (Stillwell et al. 2010), female spiders are frequently known to exhibit higher phenotypic plasticity in body size than males in response to environmental gradients (Uhl et al. 2004). Previous studies have shown that variation in body size is a good indicator of sensitivity to variation in growth season length in wolf spiders (Lycosidae) (Høye et al. 2009; Høye and Hammel 2010; Bowden et al. 2013). It is, however, still unclear whether cohort-specific changes in body size are reflected in more direct measures of fitness and whether similar responses are found in other taxa and in different habitats. The crab spiders (Thomisidae) are closely related to wolf spiders, but represent an ecologically distinct group of spiders, which comprises species of non-web building, sit-and-wait predators. While it is clear that the timing of snowmelt significantly affects body size variation in the Arctic wolf spider [Pardosa glacialis (Thorell)] (Høye et al. 2009), the crab spiders are less mobile, meaning that as juveniles they possess a low propensity for dispersal (Morse 1992) and as adults that they 123 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 remain on the ground below or adjacent to vegetation (Leech 1996) due to their slow-moving sit-and-wait lifestyle. Crab spiders, like other arthropods with low mobility (e.g., Thomas 2000; Thomas et al. 2001; Warren et al. 2001), are therefore likely more strongly influenced by local scale differences in habitat. Additionally, snowmeltinduced variation over time or between habitats in the Arctic could directly (e.g., sex-specific responses to climate change/increased juvenile mortality) or indirectly (e.g., alterations to female body size) influence sex ratios, fecundity and/or subsequent recruitment. Since females command significantly greater reproductive requirements, they frequently display greater responses in body size to gradients in resource availability (e.g., Høye et al. 2009; Høye and Hammel 2010). Terrestrial arthropods comprise a substantial portion of the Arctic’s terrestrial biomass and species diversity (Callaghan et al. 2004). Spiders serve as a central component to Arctic terrestrial food webs (Hodkinson and Coulson 2004; Roslin et al. 2013), serving as food for many birds and small mammals, but also as top predators of mesofauna and are well represented in diversity and abundance on the Arctic tundra (e.g., Bowden and Buddle 2010). Long-term data on Arctic arthropods is scarce; Zackenberg, Greenland, however, represents a long-term monitoring program that has been collecting terrestrial arthropods and environmental data for nearly 20 years in the high Arctic. Two of the habitat types being monitored are mesic and arid heath in which the mesic habitat undergoes substantially later snowmelt on average (Høye and Forchhammer 2008). Previous literature suggests that our focal species, Xysticus deichmanni Sørensen, can be found more frequently in arid tundra habitats (Leech 1996; Wyant et al. 2011). Our objective was to determine how habitat-specific snowmelt has influenced inter-annual variation in body size, recruitment and sex ratio in a species with low mobility (X. deichmanni). We predicted that body size would decrease significantly with later snowmelt due to the shorter season with which to obtain resources. We also predicted that there would be a significant difference between the two habitats with smaller body size in the mesic habitat due to the substantially shorter snow-free period, resulting in a significant snowmelt–habitat interaction. Furthermore, because of their relatively higher costs of reproduction, we predicted that females would exhibit a stronger response to later snowmelt than males. We also predicted that there would be significant main effects of snowmelt and habitat, as well as, a significant interaction between snowmelt and habitat on recruitment (indexed by proportion of juveniles to adult females) and sex ratios (indexed by proportion of females to males). Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 Materials and methods Sampling and specimens Arthropods were collected weekly during the summer months (June, July and August) each year and sorted to the family level as part of the Zackenberg Basic Monitoring Program (Schmidt et al. 2012b) at Zackenberg; located in northeast Greenland (74280 N, 20340 W, Fig. 1). Specimens are preserved in 70 % ethanol and currently housed at the Natural History Museum in Aarhus, Denmark. We identified all specimens of Thomisidae to the species level and confirmed that X. deichmanni is the only crab spider species in the collection. It is distinguishable based on morphology from other such species in the genus (Dondale and Redner 1978). Y. Marusik had also previously identified numerous specimens from the collection from 2002 and confirmed that all individuals examined were X. deichmanni. The family is represented by just two known species in Greenland, Xysticus durus (Sørensen) in the south and X. deichmanni in the northeast (Marusik et al. 2006). X. deichmanni is a ground-dwelling species distributed broadly across the Arctic from Alaska across Canada and into northern Greenland (Leech 1996). We only used individuals collected from plots 3, 4, 5 and 7 as 561 per the Monitoring Program (see Høye and Forchhammer 2008); representing each two mesic and two arid sites, respectively, over a 17-year period from 1996 to 2012 (2,010 samples were unfortunately not available). Over this period, average summer (June–August) temperature was 4.63 ± 0.22 C (±SE) as recorded 2 m above the surface by a centrally located meteorological station. The mesic and arid sites are dominated by similar vegetation cover, largely made up of Dryas octopetala, Salix arctica, lichen and grasses with Cassiope tetragona in the mesic sites and lie approximately 500 m apart from one another (Høye and Forchhammer 2008). The most distinct difference between the two habitat types is the moisture regime (mesic versus arid) and the related timing of snowmelt. Specifically, snowmelt occurs earlier and at a more consistent date, inter-annually, in the two arid sites. Similar mesic sites in the area average 34.85 ± 1.90 % (±SE) water by volume while similar dry sites average 18.85 ± 0.95 % water by volume at a depth of 5 cm (Sigsgaard et al. 2014). The Zackenberg Basic Monitoring Program has been in operation since 1996 with standardized collection of arthropods via a gridded pitfall trapping regime (Schmidt et al. 2012b). Each plot consists of a 10 m 9 20 m grid utilizing 8 (1996–2006) or 4 (2007–present) pitfall traps. Pitfalls at Zackenberg consist of 10-cm-diameter yellow cups and are Fig. 1 Map of study region with inset orthophoto indicating the two (3, 4) mesic and two (5, 7) arid sites sampled at Zackenberg (74280 N, 20340 W) in northeast Greenland between 1996 and 2012 123 562 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 open during the activity season when plots are snow free (mid-June) until snow begins to fall again (early September). To obtain body size, we measured the carapace width of all specimens using a Wild M5A stereo microscope with an ocular micrometer. Statistical analysis and data Snowmelt (DOY) Although temperature is important to the growth and survival of arthropods, timing of snowmelt is a particularly good predictor of body size in wolf spiders (Høye et al. 2009) and phenology of terrestrial arthropods at Zackenberg (Høye et al. 2007b; Høye and Forchhammer 2008). We used habitat-specific snowmelt date, calculated as the day of year (DOY) from January 1st, when \50 % of the plot about the respective traps was covered with snow. While snowmelt between the two habitats is highly correlated (r = 0.81, Pearson), it occurs much later in the mesic habitat, which results in higher soil moisture. Furthermore, we included a habitat effect as the inter-annual variation is over twice that of the arid sites (Fig. 2). We also included sex as a factor due to the influence of sexual size dimorphism in the species (Dondale and Redner 1978). We used general linear models weighted by sampling error in R (R Development Core Team 2013) to determine how annual mean adult body size of X. deichmanni changed over 17 years. Weights were based on the reciprocal of standard deviation so as to up-weight the years with the smallest errors; singletons and doubletons were removed from the analyses (one female from 1999 and two females from 2008). The terms snowmelt and habitat were included in every full model. We also ran within-habitat models to test for habitat-specific effects of snowmelt. We tested how sex ratios and juvenile/female ratios (also determined to fit Gaussian error distributions) differed through time and between the two habitats in response to snowmelt using linear models. We expressed juvenile/female ratio [juveniles/(juveniles ? females)] and sex ratio [females/(females ? males)] as proportions (Wilson and Hardy 2002); providing us with a standardized index that allowed us to compare potential changes in recruitment (Clark et al. 2004) and sex ratio with snowmelt and between the two habitat types. We also tested how the total abundance (measured as activity density) differed between the habitats and with snowmelt. We recognize that the pitfall collection method is biased toward mature males searching for mates and our index of sex ratio underestimates the actual proportion of females in the populations; similarly, we opted to represent recruitment by the proportion of juveniles to females due to the large number of males collected. We used all specimens available from the four sites for our analyses, but due to the influence that sample size may have on proportions in some years with relatively low sample size, we conducted tests at higher restrictions (at least 10, 15, 20 individuals owing to the response) and our results proved to be robust. We included interactions in the initial models, but only retained them if they were significant and all responses were log-transformed to improve linearity and confirmed to meet assumptions of normality and homoscedasticity. Results 190 We identified a total of 2,115 (1,259 adult) individuals belonging to the species X. deichmanni for our analyses (Table S1). Overall, 2 times more males and 1.7 times more females were collected in the arid habitat than the mesic habitat. 180 Body size and abundance Year vs Arid.Snow.melt Year vs Mesic.Snow.melt Year vs ChirArid.1 Year vs ChirMesic.1 170 160 150 140 130 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Year Fig. 2 Difference in inter-annual snowmelt date between mesic and arid habitats from 1996 to 2012 at Zackenberg, Greenland. Snowmelt date, measured as day of year (DOY) from the 1st day of each annum for arid (solid line) and mesic (dashed line) habitats 123 Body size (Fig. 3a) varied greatly over the sampling period with snowmelt and sex both contributing significantly to the model describing body size variation (Table 1). There was no significant effect of inter-annual snowmelt in the arid habitat, but the individuals from the mesic habitat were negatively influenced by later snowmelt (Table 1). We also noted no significant (p = 0.123) effect of snowmelt, controlling for sex, on body size using a global averaged snowmelt with individuals averaged over both habitats (F2,29 = 117.8, R2Adj = 0.88). Females were significantly larger than males, body size decreased with later snowmelt dates and mesic sites yielded significantly larger individuals than their arid counterparts (Table 1). Females and males were 0.072 ± 0.019 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 a 563 Table 1 Results of weighted linear regression models (weighted by 1/standard deviation/sex/habitat/year) and parameters of body size variation in adult Xysticus deichmanni from Zackenberg, Greenland 2.6 Carapace Width (mm) 2.5 Model 2.4 p Full Intercept 1.0 ± 4.5E-2 \0.001 Sex (male) -9.0E-2 ± 5.0E-3 \0.001 2.2 R2Adj = 0.85 p B 0.001 Snowmelt Habitat (mesic) -1.0E-3 ± 3.0E-4 3.0E-2 ± 8.0E-3 0.002 \0.001 Arid Intercept 9.1E-1 ± 5.7E-2 \0.001 2.1 F2,28 = 150.5 Sex (male) -8.5E-2 ± 5.0E-2 \0.001 R2Adj = 0.91 Snowmelt -4.0E-4 ± 4.0E-4 0.32 2.3 p B 0.001 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Year Juveniles/(Juveniles + Females) Estimate F3,59 = 113.6 2.0 b Parameter 1.0 1.1 ± 7.5E-2 \0.001 Sex (male) -9.4E-2 ± 8.0E-3 \0.001 Snowmelt -1.0E-3 ± 5.0E-4 0.01 Mesic Intercept F2,29 = 69.22 R2Adj = 0.81 p B 0.001 0.8 0.6 Male Intercept 9.1E-1 ± 5.0E-2 \0.001 F2,29 = 4.88 Habitat (mesic) 2.5E-2 ± 8.0E-3 0.005 R2Adj Snowmelt -9.0E-4 ± 3.0E-4 0.009 1.0 ± 7.8E-2 \0.001 = 0.20 p = 0.01 Female Intercept 0.4 F2,29 = 3.68 R2Adj = 0.15 Habitat (mesic) Snowmelt 0.2 p = 0.04 0.0 Specimens were collected from four sites (two arid, two mesic) and totaling 1,259 individuals collected over a 17-year period 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 3.5E-2 ± 1.3E-2 -1.0E-3 ± 5.0E-4 0.01 0.06 2012 Year Fig. 3 Inter-annual variation in body size and juvenile/female ratios between mesic and arid habitats at Zackenberg, Greenland. a Body size of male (open) and female (closed) Xysticus deichmanni from 1996 to 2012 collected in arid (triangles) and mesic (circles) heath sites in Zackenberg, Greenland. Body size was measured as carapace width in millimeters to the nearest hundredth of a millimeter. Error bars represent standard errors from each yearly mean. b Variation in juvenile/female ratios, measured as proportion of juveniles in the population, of Xysticus deichmanni from 1996 to 2012 collected from arid (solid line) and mesic (dashed line) habitats in Zackenberg, Greenland. No juveniles were collected in 1998 at the mesic sites, and no samples were available for 2010 (Fig. 4a) and 0.034 ± 0.009 mm (Fig. 4b) larger (±SE) in the mesic sites, respectively, and differed significantly between habitats. Surprisingly, while females exhibited higher variation intra-annually and between habitats, only males responded significantly to inter-annual variation in snowmelt date (Table 1). The total abundance of X. deichmanni was significantly (p = 0.005) lower in the mesic sites (F2,29 = 13.7, R2Adj = 0.45; Fig. 4c), despite a significantly later average snowmelt (F1,30 = 38.06, R2Adj = 0.54, p \ 0.001). Total abundance did not vary significantly with inter-annual snowmelt (p = 0.77). Recruitment index Juvenile/female ratios varied greatly over the sampling period (Fig. 3b) and were significantly lower in the mesic habitat (Table 2; Fig. 4d). Juvenile/female ratios did not vary significantly with snowmelt within the mesic habitat, but did decrease significantly with later snowmelt within the arid habitat (Table 2). Significantly more (F1,30 = 29.1, p B 0.001) juveniles were captured from the arid habitat than the mesic habitat (1.23 ± 0.18 and 0.27 ± 0.05 individuals per trap day per annum ± SE, respectively). No juveniles were collected during the year 1998 at the mesic sites. Sex ratios There were significant effects of snowmelt and habitat on female/male ratios overall revealing a higher proportion of females in the mesic site. Although there was an overall higher proportion of females/males in the mesic habitat, the proportion of females decreased significantly in years of later snowmelt (Table 3; Fig. 5). Sex ratio did not change significantly with snowmelt in the arid habitat, but there was no significant interaction between snowmelt and habitat (p = 0.07). 123 564 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 p = 0.01 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.5 p = 0.005 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 Mesic Mesic Arid c Arid d 0.12 Abundance (per trap day) Male carapace width (mm) b 2.5 p = < 0.001 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 Mesic Juveniles/(Juveniles + Females) Female carapace width (mm) a 1.0 p = 0.04 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Arid Mesic Arid Fig. 4 Bar graphs showing significant differences in body size, juvenile/female ratios and abundance between mesic and arid habitats at Zackenberg, Greenland. a female and b male body size (measured as carapace width in millimeters) c abundance (averaged to individuals per trap day per annum) of all individuals and d juvenile/female ratios (proportion of juveniles in the population) between the two habitats. Error bars represent standard errors. p values are based on full models including snowmelt and habitat Table 2 Results of full and habitat-specific linear regression models with parameters of juvenile/female ratios in Xysticus deichmanni from Zackenberg, Greenland Table 3 Results of full and habitat-specific linear regression models with parameters of sex ratios in Xysticus deichmanni from Zackenberg, Greenland Model Parameter p Model Parameter Full Intercept -8.8E-2 ± 1.2 0.49 Full Intercept F2,28 = 3.52 Habitat (mesic) -4.3E-1 ± 2E-1 0.04 F2,29 = 3.35 Habitat (mesic) R2Adj = 0.14 Snowmelt 0.65 R2Adj = 0.13 Snowmelt Estimate 4.0E-3 ± 8.0E-3 p = 0.04 Estimate p 8.7E-1 ± 5.7E-1 0.008 1.3E-1 ± 5.0E-2 0.02 -4.3E-3 ± 2.0E-3 0.05 p = 0.05 Arid Intercept F1,14 = 6.40 Snowmelt 1.6 ± 7.4E–1 0.05 Arid Intercept 5.3E-2 ± 4.5E-1 0.91 -1.3E-2 ± 5.0E-3 0.02 F1,14 = 0.17 Snowmelt 1.0E-3 ± 3.0E-3 0.69 R2Adj = 0.26 R2Adj B 0.01 p = 0.02 p = 0.69 Mesic Intercept F1,13 = 0.69 Snowmelt -2.6 ± 2.3 1.2E-2 ± 1.4E-2 0.29 Mesic Intercept 0.42 F1,14 = 6.43 Snowmelt 1.4 ± 4.5E-1 0.007 -6.8E-3 ± 2.7E-3 0.025 R2Adj B 0.01 R2Adj = 0.26 p = 0.42 p = 0.025 Specimens were collected from four sites (two arid, two mesic) collected over a 17-year period Specimens were collected from four sites (two arid, two mesic) collected over a 17-year period Discussion Local, habitat-specific variation in species’ phenological responses to climate change is particularly important in Arctic and alpine ecosystems (e.g., Kudo and Hirao 2006; 123 Høye et al. 2013). In these systems, snowmelt effectively opens the activity/growth season for many species of animals and plants. The snow-free period determines the amount of resources that can be accumulated during the Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 565 Females/(Females + Males) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 Snowmelt (DOY) Fig. 5 Linear relationships between sex ratio (measured as proportion of females in population) and habitat-specific snowmelt date. Annual sex ratios in response to habitat-specific snowmelt in the mesic (closed circles) and arid (open circles) habitats. Data represent proportions of females in the adult population collected using pitfall traps between 1996 and 2012 at Zackenberg, Greenland growing season. Snow is unevenly distributed across the landscape and the habitat-specific timing of snowmelt influences both incident radiation and subsequent soil moisture levels to create habitats of varying aridity. Here, we have shown that such variation in the abiotic environment also affects fitness-related traits like body size and juvenile/female ratios, as well as sex ratios in a species with low mobility. Importantly, we identified effects of climate when accounting for habitat variation which was not detectable in models not taking local habitat variation into account. Previously, Høye et al. (2009) have shown that date of snowmelt significantly affects average annual body size in the Arctic wolf spider, such that years with a longer snowfree period are associated with a larger mean body size. Conceivably, the additional time enables individuals to obtain more resources and achieve a larger adult size. Our finding is in contrast to Høye et al. (2009) who showed that the highly mobile wolf spiders seem less affected by habitat-specific snowmelt although they did identify plot differences in males and juveniles. This emphasizes the importance of species-specific responses to climate change, such that low-mobility species like X. deichmanni are likely more affected by landscape scale habitat variation. Similar to Høye et al. (2009), we suggest that, since females are driven to obtain a large body size under fecundity selection (Stillwell et al. 2010), both the cost associated with reproduction and environmental constraints impose strong limits upon final body size in the Arctic. We did not, however, detect a significant response in female body size to inter-annual variation in snowmelt as expected, but females did exhibit higher intra-annual variation in size as compared to males (Fig. 3a). Size variation in males is also affected by resource limitation and thought to be primarily under sexual selection (Stillwell et al. 2010). Small size in males, therefore, could be advantageous despite strong environmental constraints on size because early maturation may ensure mating success. Hence, any size variation in individual males is likely affected by resource availability and modulated by the balance between the benefits of early maturation versus large size in the competition for mates. The larger body size and smaller juvenile/female ratio in the mesic habitat are somewhat surprising and suggests habitat differences are very important in this species. Habitat differences in the species may arise through a combination of mechanisms to achieve optimal growth and fitness such as delayed maturation, higher resource availability in mesic sites and possibly, migration of specific-size individuals to preferable sites. A delayed maturation is quite possible given the delay in season onset due to the significantly later average snowmelt in the mesic habitat. Later snowmelt does, however, mean that maturation occurs during a warmer part of the growing season, where resources may be more abundant (Høye and Forchhammer 2008). Moreover, the variance in snowmelt date is over two times greater in the mesic sites than the arid sites. Such unpredictable timing of snowmelt compounded with the significantly shorter snow-free period could lead to significant alterations in life history strategy (e.g., delaying maturation to maximize reproductive output or general reductions in reproductive fitness). Still, there could be higher resource availability in the mesic sites leading to the significantly larger body size detected in these sites. Indeed, mesic habitats likely support a higher abundance of small flies that require an aquatic or semi-aquatic life stage and may constitute a sizeable portion of the spider’s diet (Leech 1996). We have witnessed substantial pulses of some groups in the mesic habitat. For example, the Chironomidae are on average higher in abundance in the mesic sites (0.52 ± 0.17 individuals per trap day per annum) than in the arid sites (0.34 ± 0.07 individuals per trap day per annum) although, not significantly. Lastly, it is possible that large individuals preferably migrate to mesic habitats simply to avoid desiccation stress. Indeed, species vary greatly in their desiccation tolerance and distribute themselves accordingly over fine spatial scales (e.g., Devito et al. 2004), but surface area to volume ratio decreases with increasing size; making larger individuals less susceptible to desiccation. It is unlikely that there is a great degree of movement between the populations as spiders in the genus Xysticus are slow-moving ground dwellers that do not show a high propensity for aerial dispersal (Morse 1992; Larrivée and Buddle 2011) or movement as adults (Leech 1996). 123 566 Contrary to our prediction, we found significantly larger body sizes in the mesic habitat, yet there was a significantly lower abundance of crab spiders at these sites. Similarly, Wyant et al. (2011) found substantial differences in the abundance of X. deichmanni between dry and moist tundra (89 and five individuals, respectively) over a three year sampling period in Alaska, adding support to our designation of sites as being arid or mesic. Furthermore, as early as 1966, Leech observed that X. deichmanni ‘‘…is a member of the arid Arctic faunal element.’’ This, compounded with evidence from sex ratios and juvenile/female ratios suggests that mesic sites serve better for resource acquisition (potentially with the cost of delayed maturation/reproduction) and that the arid habitat represents better sites for mating and reproduction; especially in years of late snowmelt. While larger size in arthropods in theory provides the necessary resources for offspring production, trade-offs in reproductive effort may prevent the production of many fit offspring (Bowden and Buddle 2012) that can successfully be recruited into the population. Similarly, Puzin et al. (2011) found higher average egg-sac mass (reproductive output) in two species of wolf spider when collected from their respective optimal habitats. They also detected a trade-off between egg size–number in one species, such that more smaller progeny were produced in the optimal habitat while fewer large progeny were produced in the sub-optimal habitat. This may help explain the higher juvenile/female ratios detected in the arid tundra habitat where females were significantly smaller. Moreover, the mesic habitat could pose a higher risk of juvenile mortality due to predation, parasitism or disease, yet, increased juvenile mortality could come about either through juvenile susceptibility to overwintering (Martyniuk and Wise 1985) or simply through increased growth rate with high food availability (Higgins and Rankin 2001). Furthermore, Benton and Uetz (1986) have shown that survival of juveniles from arid habitats is higher than juveniles from moist habitats in a tropical spider at a broad array of humidity treatments, suggesting that they possess a stronger tolerance to desiccation stress. Whether differences between habitats are primarily driven by time constraints related to timing of snowmelt, differences in resource availability or susceptibility to desiccation stress should be tested experimentally. The significant decrease in female/male ratios may explain why larger females in the mesic sites do not translate into higher abundance of juveniles (and overall individuals) in these sites. Fewer females in the population in relation to later snowmelts in the mesic sites, due to, for example, sexual mismatch or delayed maturation could negatively affect population dynamics (Miller-Rushing et al. 2010) in the mesic habitat. Although our assessment of the proportion of females in the population is male biased 123 Polar Biol (2015) 38:559–568 (given the collection technique), the collection methods among habitats and over time are standardized. Like many others with Arctic and/or alpine distributions (e.g., Schmoller 1970; Høye et al. 2009), X. deichmanni seems to require multiple years to mature (J.J.B. personal observation), so lagged effects may also play a role in the population dynamics of these species (e.g., Høye et al. 2009) and this should be investigated further with an experimental approach. Here, we have shown the value of long-term arthropod collections to reveal how habitat can mediate the effects of climate change on species and that it may have particularly strong effects upon low-mobility species in the Arctic. We predicted that body size, recruitment (measured as proportion of juveniles in the population) and sex ratios in a low-mobility spider would be significantly affected by temporal variation in snowmelt, habitat and their interaction. We also predicted that females would exhibit a stronger response in body size to snowmelt than males. We found that body size varied significantly with snowmelt and between the habitats with a stronger effect of snowmelt in the mesic habitat, but females did not show a stronger response than males. We found that our index of recruitment was significantly higher in the arid tundra and varied significantly with snowmelt in this habitat. Lastly, there were significant main effects of habitat and snowmelt on sex ratio with the proportion of females in the mesic habitat responding negatively to later snowmelt, but did not find any significant interactions. These relatively contemporary effects may be intensified by future habitat-specific climate changes. 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Environ Res Lett 8:034023. doi:10. 1088/1748-9326/8/3/034023 Zona D, Oechel WC, Kochendorfer J, Paw UKT, Salyuk AN, Olivas PC, Oberbauer SF, Lipson DA (2009) Methane fluxes during the initiation of a large-scale water table manipulation in the Alaskan Arctic tundra. Glob Biogeochem Cycles 23:GB2013. doi:10.1029/2009GB003487 Downloaded from http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/ on August 28, 2016 Global change biology rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org Research Cite this article: Bowden JJ, Eskildsen A, Hansen RR, Olsen K, Kurle CM, Høye TT. 2015 High-Arctic butterflies become smaller with rising temperatures. Biol. Lett. 11: 20150574. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2015.0574 Received: 3 July 2015 Accepted: 9 September 2015 Subject Areas: ecology High-Arctic butterflies become smaller with rising temperatures Joseph J. Bowden1, Anne Eskildsen2,4, Rikke R. Hansen1,4, Kent Olsen2,5, Carolyn M. Kurle6 and Toke T. Høye1,3,4 1 Arctic Research Centre, 2Department of Bioscience, and 3Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Aarhus University, 8000 Aarhus, Denmark 4 Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, 8410 Rønde, Denmark 5 Natural History Museum Aarhus, 8000 Aarhus, Denmark 6 Division of Biological Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA The response of body size to increasing temperature constitutes a universal response to climate change that could strongly affect terrestrial ectotherms, but the magnitude and direction of such responses remain unknown in most species. The metabolic cost of increased temperature could reduce body size but long growing seasons could also increase body size as was recently shown in an Arctic spider species. Here, we present the longest known time series on body size variation in two High-Arctic butterfly species: Boloria chariclea and Colias hecla. We measured wing length of nearly 4500 individuals collected annually between 1996 and 2013 from Zackenberg, Greenland and found that wing length significantly decreased at a similar rate in both species in response to warmer summers. Body size is strongly related to dispersal capacity and fecundity and our results suggest that these Arctic species could face severe challenges in response to ongoing rapid climate change. Keywords: Lepidoptera, insect, terrestrial arthropod 1. Introduction Author for correspondence: Joseph J. Bowden e-mail: [email protected] Electronic supplementary material is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2015.0574 or via http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org. Body size change is regarded as a third universal species response to climate change along with shifts in phenology and range [1,2]. Body size is a key trait related to the life history of individuals with implications for reproductive success [3,4] and dispersal capacity [5,6]. In ectothermic species, like arthropods, body size is especially influenced by the abiotic environment. Two patterns in ecology summarize the general pattern of ectothermic body size variation in response to temperature change. The adaptation of Bergmann’s rule to ectotherms describes latitudinal or thermal variation in size, such that larger individuals occur at higher latitudes and in colder environments [7]. Similarly, the specific pattern of higher temperatures resulting in smaller adult size of ectotherms, deemed the temperature–size rule, has been commonly found via experiments on numerous taxa [8–10]. While there are several proposed ways that temperature may influence final adult body size (including effects on food limitation and predation rates), the role of metabolism is central [1,9]. Although both Bergmann’s rule and the temperature–size rule predict larger individuals in colder environments, the opposite pattern also occurs [7,9]. Hence, two hypotheses detail how external temperatures may drive size responses to climate change in arthropods in seasonal environments. First, the metabolic rates of arthropods increase with warmer temperatures [1,11]. Therefore, in warmer environments, organisms become smaller if they cannot offset energy losses related to increased metabolic costs during growth. Conversely, rising temperatures in seasonal environments associated with longer growing seasons may allow arthropods to obtain more resources and grow larger [2,12]. These two mechanisms may act in concert, moderating the outcomes of each or the effect of a longer growing season could depend upon trophic level [2]. Although feeding rates of herbivores may & 2015 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved. Downloaded from http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/ on August 28, 2016 (a) 170 2. Material and methods (b) 2 rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org increase to some peak [13], extended seasons could also mean lower plant-food quality, especially during late season [14]. Temperature and timing of snowmelt define the activity and growing season for numerous Arctic taxa and influence life histories (e.g. [15,16]). Here, we present the longest time series of body size variation within arthropod (i.e. butterflies) species at high latitude. We tested which of the hypotheses was better supported by our data using snowmelt as a proxy for season length and temperature as a proxy for the metabolism hypothesis and predicted that previous year’s temperature would best explain variation in body size as it covers the majority of the larval growing period. snowmelt (DOY) 160 150 140 Biol. Lett. 11: 20150574 130 0 (b) Data analysis We used current year’s May–June (tempt) and previous year’s May–August (tempt21) temperatures to encompass the larval growing season. Current and previous years’ snowmelt date (snowt and snowt21) were used as proxies for season length. We used linear mixed-models with a Gaussian error distribution to determine which predictor(s) best explained variation in wing length using annual averages (years as replicates) for each sex in each species. We composed an a priori list of candidate models based upon what we currently know about the development of these species (electronic supplementary material, table S1) and the best model was determined by model selection using the Akaike information criterion corrected for small sample size (AICc). We repeated the analyses using individuals as replicates to test for random effects of day of year (DOY) and plot using log-likelihood ratio tests. We tested for plot variation using Tukey’s honestly significant difference (HSD). Differences in body size between plots were tested in subsequent models using individuals as replicates when there was a significant plot effect. Normality was assessed using q–q-plots. Statistical tests were conducted using the R environment for statistical computing [20]. 3. Results Timing of snowmelt is occurring significantly earlier (figure 1a) and average temperatures over the activity period of caterpillars have increased significantly (figure 1b,c) during the study period. While some of the variables were significantly –1 –2 –3 (c) 4 average tempt–1 (°C) Butterfly specimens and climate (snowmelt and temperature) data were collected in northeast Greenland (748280 N, 208340 W) from 1996 to 2013 as part of the Zackenberg Basic Monitoring Programme [17]. See the electronic supplementary material (detailed Material and methods) and references therein for more details on climate data collection and plant community characteristics. Arthropods were collected weekly during the activity season each year in one window trap plot and six pitfall trap plots in an area less than 1 km2, but the peak flight period for adult butterflies occurs mid–late July depending upon snowmelt and temperature [18]. The butterfly community at Zackenberg has four species but is dominated by the Arctic fritillary, Boloria chariclea Schneider and the northern clouded yellow, Colias hecla Lefèbvre. We measured all 3629 (1934 males and 1695 females) B. chariclea and 847 (531 males and 316 females) C. hecla collected. Both of these species most probably have a 2 year generation time at our site [19] with adult size depending on resources accrued during their larval stages. We determined sex, and measured the length of one forewing from thoracic attachment to apex of the wing to the nearest 0.01 mm21 using a Diesellaw 150 mm digital caliper. average tempt (°C) (a) Study area and data 3 2 1 1995 2000 2005 year 2010 2015 Figure 1. (a) Timing of snowmelt (F1,16 ¼ 8.92, estimate ¼ 21.05, R2Adj ¼ 0:32, p ¼ 0.008), (b) May– Junet temperature (F1,16 ¼ 10.87, estimate ¼ 0.11, R2Adj ¼ 0:37, p , 0.005) and (c) May – Augustt21 temperature (F1,16 ¼ 22.52, estimate ¼ 0.11, R2Adj ¼ 0:56, p ¼ 0.001) from 1996– 2013 at Zackenberg, Greenland. correlated, there was no indication of multicollinearity (electronic supplementary material, table S2). Average wing length + s.e. in male (17.96 + 0.02 mm) and female (18.87 + 0.02 mm) B. chariclea differed significantly (F1,3626 ¼ 1145, p , 0.001, analysis of variance (ANOVA)). The wing lengths of male (22.45 + 0.04 mm) and female (23.19 + 0.06 mm) C. hecla also differed (F1,845 ¼ 108.8, p , 0.001, ANOVA). Wing lengths varied greatly in both species over time (figure 2a,b), yet were strongly correlated between the sexes in B. chariclea (r ¼ 0.88, p , 0.001) and C. hecla (r ¼ 0.80, p , 0.001), and between species (all r . 0.6, p , 0.01). Average annual body size decreased significantly in response to previous year’s temperature (tempt21) for both Downloaded from http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/ on August 28, 2016 (c) 3 rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org average wing length (mm) (a) 24 23 22 Biol. Lett. 11: 20150574 21 (b) (d) average wing length (mm) 20 19 18 17 1996 2000 2004 year 2008 2012 0 3 2 average tempt–1 (°C) 1 4 5 Figure 2. Inter-annual variation in average male (open circles) and female (filled circles) wing length over the sampling period for (a) Colias hecla and (b) Boloria chariclea and their responses (c,d, respectively) to average May– Augustt21 temperature. Error bars represent s.e. Data for 2010 are not available. (Online version in colour.) Table 1. Summary statistics showing the best-fit models as selected by AICc on wing length for each sex of Boloria chariclea and Colias hecla collected between 1996 and 2013 at Zackenberg, Greenland using annual averages. Significance of individual parameters is indicated by asterisks. species sex intercept snowt snowt21 tempt tempt21 p-value R2Adj F (d.f.) Boloria chariclea F C 20.41** 19.38** 20.01 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 20.31** 20.25** 0.01 0.007 0.42 0.38 6.46 (13) 10.16 (14) Colias hecla F C 25.68** 26.25** 20.02 20.02 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 20.29* 20.32* 0.19 0.05 0.06 0.27 1.88 (13) 3.72 (13) *p , 0.05; **p , 0.01. n.a., not applicable. species (table 1 and figure 2c,d) and was consistently selected in the top models for all tests (electronic supplementary material, table S3). The models using individuals as replicates also revealed significant effects of current year’s snowmelt on wing length (electronic supplementary material, table S4). DOY and plot significantly improved model fit for B. chariclea, but not for C. hecla (electronic supplementary material, table S5) and some sites differed significantly from one another (electronic supplementary material, table S6). We re-analysed the dataset excluding the plots that showed significant differences from others, but as temperature remained included in the top models with very similar estimates (electronic supplementary material, table S5) data from all plots were retained in the final models (table 1). We tested for interannual variation in size for B. chariclea, controlling for collection date by re-analysing the data with individuals collected from the same peak abundance day of each season; in this way, we effectively controlled for seasonal variation. These models similarly included the negative effects of temperature on body size in the top models (electronic supplementary material, table S7). 4. Discussion We show that body size of males and females in two HighArctic butterfly species fluctuated in synchrony from year to year, strongly supporting the influence of external factors on inter-annual size variation in these species. We further show that increasing summer temperatures lead to smaller adult body size, thus corroborating earlier short-term experiments suggesting that higher temperatures result in smaller adult size [3,10]. Even though longer, warmer seasons may mean a longer period of time to obtain resources, the seasonal quality of resources, combined with the higher cost of obtaining them, Downloaded from http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/ on August 28, 2016 bioclimatic models [23]. While these models include dispersal capacity, in situ adaptation to climate change or plasticity may enable some populations of a species to persist. Indeed, the degree to which phenotypic plasticity and adaptation ultimately play a role in this system remains to be thoroughly investigated. A recent review by Seebacher et al. [24] suggests that terrestrial ectotherms in less stable environments are less capable of physiological plasticity in response to climate change, particularly at high latitudes. Hence, species such as these found at high latitudes, adapted to cold climates, could suffer from further warming. repository (http://dx.doi.org/10.5061/dryad.43gt3). Authors’ contributions. A.E. and T.T.H. conceived the idea and J.J.B. measured specimens, generated data, performed analyses and prepared the first draft. A.E., T.T.H., C.M.K., R.R.H. and K.O. contributed to data interpretation, article revisions and final approval. Competing interests. We have no competing interests. Funding. T.T.H. and A.E. acknowledge 15 Juni Fonden, Denmark for support. Acknowledgements. Access to butterfly specimens and climate data were kindly provided by the Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring Programme. Specimens are curated by the Natural History Museum Aarhus. References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Gardner JL, Peters A, Kearney MR, Joseph L, Heinsohn R. 2011 Declining body size: at third universal response to warming? Trends Ecol. Evol. 26, 285–291. 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Høye TT, Eskildsen A, Hansen RR, Bowden JJ, Schmidt NM, Kissling WD. 2014 Phenology of higharctic butterflies and their floral resources: speciesspecific responses to climate change. Curr. Zool. 60, 243–251. Eliasson CU, Ryrholm N, Gärdenfors U. 2005 The Encyclopedia of the Swedish Flora and Fauna, Fjärilar, Dagfjärilar [Swedish]: Hesperiidae— Nymphalidae. Uppsala E: Artdatabanken, Sveriges Lantbruksuniversitet. R Core Development Team. 2014 R: a language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing. (http://www.R-project.org/) Lemoine NP, Burkepile DE, Parker JD. 2014 Variable effects of temperature on insect herbivory. PeerJ 2, e376. (doi:10.7717/peerj.376) Barrio IC, Bueno CG, Hik DD. In press. Warming the tundra: reciprocal responses of invertebrate herbivores and plants. Oikos. (doi:10.1111/oik. 02190) Settele J et al. 2008 Climatic risk atlas of European butterflies. BioRisk 1, 1–710. (doi:10.3897/biorisk.1) Seebacher F, White CR, Franklin CE. 2014 Physiological plasticity increases resilience of ectothermic animals to climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 61 –66. (doi:10.1038/NCLI MATE2457) Biol. Lett. 11: 20150574 Data accessibility. Supporting data can be accessed via the Dryad data 4 rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org suggests that the larvae cannot compensate for energy losses. While some species could be capable of increasing their feeding rate to offset increased metabolic costs with warming, this ability appears to be relatively uncommon and species likely possess some locally adapted optimal feeding temperature [21]. Indeed, Barrio et al. [22] recently showed that respiration rates in the Arctic moth (Gynaephora groenlandica) were significantly higher and growth rates significantly lower at lower elevation, adding support to the metabolism hypothesis. While we believe our study presents the longest time series available on body size variation in butterflies, the mechanistic basis for the observed variation remains to be demonstrated. We also cannot rule out that generation time is extended in particularly short growing seasons. We have demonstrated that two butterfly species in the High-Arctic responded similarly and negatively to warming temperatures over 18 years. Smaller body size in these Arctic species could have significant consequences for their population dynamics by leading to decreased dispersal capacity or lower fecundity and fitness. B. chariclea has already demonstrated a significant shift towards earlier and shorter flight seasons at Zackenberg [18] and both B. chariclea and C. hecla are considered under extremely high climate change risk by the Climatic risk atlas of European Butterflies given future Current Zoology 60 (2): 243–251, 2014 Phenology of high-arctic butterflies and their floral resources: Species-specific responses to climate change Toke T. HØYE1,2,3*, Anne ESKILDSEN2,4 , Rikke R. HANSEN3, Joseph J. BOWDEN3, Niels M. SCHMIDT3,5, W. Daniel KISSLING6 1 Aarhus Institute of Advanced Studies, Høegh-Guldbergs Gade 6B, bldgs. 1630-1632, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark Department of Bioscience, Kalø, Aarhus University, Grenåvej 14, DK-8410 Rønde, Denmark 3 Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, C.F. Møllers Allé 8, bldg. 1110, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark 4 Department of Bioscience, Aarhus, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade, bldg. 1540, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark 5 Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark 6 Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 94248, 1090 GE Amsterdam, The Netherlands 2 Abstract Current global warming is particularly pronounced in the Arctic and arthropods are expected to respond rapidly to these changes. Long-term studies of individual arthropod species from the Arctic are, however, virtually absent. We examined butterfly specimens collected from yellow pitfall traps over 14 years (1996–2009) at Zackenberg in high-arctic, north-east Greenland. Specimens were previously sorted to the family level. We identified them to the species level and examined long-term species-specific phenological responses to recent summer warming. Two species were rare in the samples (Polaris fritillary Boloria polaris and Arctic blue Plebejus glandon) and statistical analyses of phenological responses were therefore restricted to the two most abundant species (Arctic fritillary, B. chariclea and Northern clouded yellow Colias hecla). Our analyses demonstrated a trend towards earlier flight seasons in B. chariclea, but not in C. hecla. The timing of onset, peak and end of the flight season in B. chariclea were closely related to snowmelt, July temperature and their interaction, whereas onset, peak and end of the flight season in C. hecla were only related to timing of snowmelt. The duration of the butterfly flight season was significantly positively related to the temporal overlap with floral resources in both butterfly species. We further demonstrate that yellow pitfall traps are a useful alternative to transect walks for butterfly recording in tundra habitats. More phenological studies of Arctic arthropods should be carried out at the species level and ideally be analysed in context with interacting species to assess how ongoing climate change will affect Arctic biodiversity in the near future [Current Zoology 60 (2): 243–251, 2014]. Keywords Arctic, Arthropod, Flight period, Greenland, Pitfall trap, Zackenberg Phenology is a key indicator of species responses to climate change (Parmesan, 2006) and among terrestrial animals, ectotherms are particularly sensitive, probably because their developmental rates are closely related to variation in the abiotic environment (Høye et al., 2007; Thackeray et al., 2010). Butterflies in particular are frequently used as model organisms in phenological studies, because they respond rapidly to environmental change (Diamond et al., 2011; Illan et al., 2012; Roy and Sparks, 2000; Westwood and Blair, 2010). Additionally, their appeal to the general public has stimulated monitoring programs and has generated high-quality data, especially in temperate and boreal regions (Karlsson, In press; Roy and Sparks, 2000). Recent global warming, however, is particularly pronounced in the Arctic and empirical evidence suggests that Arctic Received Dec. 17, 2013; accepted Mar. 20, 2014. Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]. © 2014 Current Zoology species across broad taxonomic scales are responding rapidly to these changes (Høye et al., 2007; Post et al., 2009). Unfortunately, long-term records of individual arthropod species from the Arctic are virtually absent and the phenological sensitivity to climate change in most arctic arthropod species remains to be estimated (Bale et al., 2002; Hodkinson et al., 1996; Hodkinson and Bird, 1998). The biological monitoring program at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland, represents an exception, where arthropods have been collected weekly during the growing season since 1996 and subsequently sorted to the family level (Schmidt et al., 2012). Very little information exists about the drivers of phenological variation at the species level for Arctic arthropods, but family-level studies suggest that timing of snowmelt and temperature are important (Danks and 244 Current Zoology Oliver, 1972; Høye and Forchhammer, 2008a, b; Strathdee and Bale, 1998). Snow cover acts as a constraint on arthropod growth and development in arctic and alpine environments (Forrest and Thomson, 2011; Iler et al., 2013a). Effectively, the timing of snowmelt opens and closes the activity season for many arthropods in the Arctic. For many species, this time period dictates the amount of resources they can accrue and utilize in the current season e.g. for reproduction, dispersal or to carry them over the winter into the following season. Temperature during the active season may modulate the effect of snowmelt on arthropod phenology by affecting their developmental rate (Hodkinson et al., 1996). In addition, many Arctic arthropod species, like spiders (Bowden and Buddle, 2012; Høye et al., 2009) and insects (Butler, 1982; Morewood and Ring, 1998), have multi-annual life cycles and their phenological responses to climate change may further depend on overwintering strategy or species-specific developmental cues. Like their predicted shifts in distribution under climate change (Eskildsen et al., 2013; Leroux et al., 2013), phenological responses to climatic change in arthropods could be species-specific and have concealed consequences for trophic interactions. In arctic insects, the emergence of adults normally coincides with the peak in food resources, the availability of mates, or suitable egg-laying habitats (Danks, 2004; Høye and Forchhammer, 2008b; MacLean, 1980). Arctic pollinator communities are dominated by Diptera species that are generalized in their flower visitation patterns (Elberling and Olesen, 1999; Lundgren and Olesen, 2005). Among arctic flower visitors, however, butterflies visit only a subset of the available flowering plants (Olesen et al., 2008). Hence, butterflies form a relevant taxonomic group with which to examine species-specific phenological responses to climate change. Even if different butterfly species respond to changes in the same phenological cue, they can do so at different rates (Hegland et al., 2009). Hence, more subtle changes in the phenological response of a pollinator community may only be fully resolved with species-level information (Iler et al., 2013b). Pollinator populations are often limited by the availability of floral resources (Potts et al., 2010). Such resource limitation can emerge if the flight season of a pollinator shifts relative to the flowering season of its plant resource causing a decrease in the temporal overlap of pollinators and flowers (Høye et al., 2013; MillerRushing et al., 2010). Moreover, in butterflies, the Vol. 60 No. 2 availability of nectar resources can affect adult longevity and population dynamics (Boggs and Inouye, 2012; Cahenzli and Erhardt, 2012). Hence, if adult butterflies emerge in asynchrony with the flowering season or during a period of low flower availability, their flight season may become shorter with potential detrimental effects on population dynamics (Nilsson et al., 2008). We have recently demonstrated that the flowering season at our study site is shortening and this could affect resource availability and flight season duration in butterfly species (Høye et al., 2013). Here, we examine species-specific phenological responses to recent warming in high-arctic butterflies and their temporal synchrony with floral resources. We use specimens collected as part of the Zackenberg Basic monitoring programme (Meltofte and Rasch, 2008) that were previously identified to the family level. We identify these specimens to the species level and establish species-specific estimates of onset, peak and end of the flight season. For two species with sufficient data, we ask two specific questions: 1) Are onset, peak, and end of the flight seasons affected by recent rapid warming and changes in timing of snowmelt at Zackenberg? 2) To what extent is the duration of the flight season related to the timing of the flight season and the temporal overlap with the flowering season of relevant plant species. 1 Material and Methods 1.1 Study area and data Data were collected at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland (74°28'N, 20°34'W) as part of the Zackenberg Basic monitoring programme. Although expanding, the growing season is currently limited to between early June and early September during which the average air temperature is around 4.5°C. Throughout the study period, temperature and snow depth were recorded hourly by an automated weather station (Hansen et al., 2008). Timing of snowmelt was estimated as the first date when less than 10 cm of snow was measured (Hinkler et al., 2008). The vegetation of the study area can be roughly divided into five major plant communities: fen, grassland, Salix snow-bed, Cassiope heath, and Dryas heath (Elberling et al., 2008). Arthropods were monitored during 14 consecutive years (1996–2009) in one window trap plot and six pitfall trap plots in the vicinity (<2 km) of the weather station. Each pitfall trap plot (10 m × 20 m) consisted of eight pitfall traps during 1996–2006 and four pitfall traps thereafter. The pitfall traps were yellow plastic 245 HØYE TT et al.: Phenology of high-arctic butterflies cups 10 cm in diameter. The colour was chosen to attract flying insects while also catching surface-active arthropods. The window trap plot consisted of two traps each with two chambers. The two traps were placed perpendicular to each other. Arthropods caught in the traps were collected weekly during June, July and August. The window trap plot and the pitfall traps in arid heath (one plot), mesic heath (two plots) and in the fen (one plot) were in operation during the entire study period 1996–2009, while one snow-bed plot and one additional arid heath plot were only operated during the periods 1996–1998 and 1999– 2009, respectively (see Schmidt et al., 2012 for details). The entire butterfly community at Zackenberg consists of four species: Arctic fritillary, Boloria chariclea (Schneider), Polaris fritillary, B. polaris (Boisduval), Arctic blue, Plebejus glandon (de Prunner), and Northern clouded yellow, Colias hecla (Lefèbvre). Only one additional species, Small copper, Lycaena phlaeas (Linnaeus) has been observed in Greenland. All specimens caught in all years were previously identified to the family level (Nympalidae, Lycaenidae and Pieridae) as part of Zackenberg Basic monitoring program. We identified the specimens to the species level and calculated species-specific estimates of onset, peak and end of the flight season. The data set included a total of 3,868 specimens retrieved from the pitfall and window trap plots. As part of this study, we revisited a subset of 1,660 Boloria specimens, distributed evenly across all years. Because our subset represents more than half (51%) of all Boloria specimens in the collection, differences in phenology between B. chariclea and B. polaris in the subset would also likely reflect the total sample of specimens. A total of 35 specimens (out of 1,660) were identified as B. polaris, equalling just 2.1% of the Boloria specimens. For the purpose of making robust phenological esti- mates, we assumed that all Boloria specimens not subject to species identification were B. chariclea since B. polaris made up such a small subset of the Boloria sp. specimens in the subset subject to species identification. The Lycaenid species P. glandon was even rarer (n = 23 specimens) than B. polaris in the samples across all years (Table 1). The low sample sizes prevented us from estimating inter-annual variation in the phenology of B. polaris and P. glandon. Adults of all four species of butterflies were only observed during July, August and early September (Table 1). Traps were occasionally flooded, destroyed by arctic foxes (Vulpes lagopus, Linneaus), or trampled by muskoxen (Ovibos moschatus, Zimmermann), so the capture numbers in each plot were converted to individuals caught per trap per day for each trapping period, i.e. scaled by the number of active traps and the number of days each trap was active (see Høye and Forchhammer 2008b for further information). The Zackenberg Basic monitoring program also included weekly observations of the number of buds, open and senescent flowers from the same locality and the same time periods within and across years on six flowering plant species (Cassiope tetragona, Dryas octopetala, Papaver radicatum, Salix arctica, Saxifraga oppositifolia and Silene acaulis). These plant species are very common at the study site. The butterfly species B. chariclea has been observed on flowers of all six species and C. hecla has only been observed on D. octopetala, S. arctica and S. acaulis (Olesen et al., 2008). For B. chariclea, we used data on all six plant species and for C. hecla we used only data on the three plant species upon whose flowers the species has been observed. Each plant species was monitored in 3–6 plots (see Schmidt et al., 2012 for details). Both butterfly species have also been observed on flowers of other plant species, for which we have no data on flowering phenology. We used the data on flower phenology to Table 1 Summary of phenological observations for four species of butterflies at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland (Boloria chariclea, B. polaris, Colias hecla and Plebejus glandon) Species First Onset Peak End B. chariclea 168 200±2.0 212±2.3 B. polaris 176 190 217 C. hecla 176 194±2.4 P. glandon 196 196 st Last n 224±1.7 245 3,235* 232 238 35* 205±2.6 218±2.3 238 575 204 211 224 23 All dates are given as days after 1 January. The first observation is the first date at which a butterfly of a particular species was found in a trap across all years (1996–2009) and the last observation is the last date across all years. Onset, peak and end indicate the mean day of year ± SE at which 10%, 50% and 90% of the annual sum of individuals were caught, respectively. Asterisks indicate that only 51% of the total collection of Boloria specimens was checked for B. polaris and the remaining specimens were assumed to be B. chariclea. The sample size, n gives the total number of specimens of a particular species identified from the traps. 246 Current Zoology characterize the temporal variability in floral resources available for each of the two butterfly species. An independent study of the pollination network at our site documented visits by B. chariclea to 15 plant species and to 5 plant species by C. hecla (Olesen et al., 2008). 1.2 Data analysis Following Høye and Forchhammer (2008b), we defined onset, peak and end of the flight season of adult butterflies by dates at which 10%, 50% and 90% of the seasonal capture of a species was reached, respectively. The dates for onset, peak and end of the flight season were estimated by linear interpolation between weekly trapping periods. For instance, peak flight season was estimated by interpolation between the latest weekly trapping period in which less than 50% of the individuals were caught and the earliest weekly trapping period in which more than 50% of the individuals were caught. For each weekly trapping period, we pooled the number of individuals from all plots to base the phenological estimates on the largest number of individuals and because previous analyses of Boloria specimens demonstrated limited phenological variation among plots (Høye and Forchhammer, 2008b). Although low sample sizes prohibited us from estimating yearly phenology metrics for B. polaris and P. glandon, we calculated an average across years of onset, peak, and end of the flight season for future comparisons. All dates were expressed as day of year with 1st January equalling day 1. Flight season duration was estimated as the number of days between onset and end of the flight season. We quantified onset and end of the community-wide flowering season at a landscape scale based on the relevant plant species for each of the two butterfly species following the approach of Høye et al. (2013). At the study site, snowmelt typically takes place during June, while the flight season of butterflies is typically in July and early August. We were interested in separating the effect of snowmelt from the effect of temperature after snowmelt on the timing of the butterfly flight season. Hence, we used mean daily July temperature as a predictor of timing of the butterfly flight season in addition to timing of snowmelt. We applied generalized linear models with a Gaussian error distribution (McCullagh and Nelder, 1998) with onset, peak, end, and duration of the flight season of B. chariclea and C. hecla as response variables. As predictors for models with onset, peak and end of the flight season, we used the mean daily temperature during July, the timing of snowmelt, and their interaction. Non-significant terms were removed successively using F-tests based on Vol. 60 No. 2 type III sums of squares and starting with interaction terms and evaluating main effects only if interaction terms were non-significant. The correlation between timing of snowmelt and July temperature as well as between peak flight time of B. chariclea and C. hecla was estimated with Pearson correlation analysis. We calculated the temporal extent of overlap between the flowering season of relevant plant species (see above) and the butterfly flight season in days for B. chariclea and C. hecla, separately. We tested for trends in the duration of overlap during the study period and whether duration of the flight season was affected by onset of the flight season, the duration of the overlap with floral resources or their interaction. Finally, for analyses of temporal trends in peak flight time and overlap with flower seasons, year was used as a continuous predictor variable in simple linear regression models. 2 Results The number of specimens was highest for B. chariclea (n = 3,235) and C. hecla (n = 575) and very low for B. polaris (n = 35) and P. glandon (n = 23). The earliest and the latest butterfly records were observations of B. chariclea, while the earliest observation of P. glandon was later than all other species and the latest observation of this species was also earlier than all other species. The average peak flight time was late July for C. hecla and P. glandon, and about ten days later in B. chariclea and B. polaris (Table 1). For B. chariclea and C. hecla, the timing of peak flight season varied markedly from year to year (Fig. 1), with a significant trend towards earlier peak flight season in B. chariclea (slope = -1.22, F1,12 = 6.14, P = 0.029), but not in C. hecla (slope = -0.68, F1,12 = 1.12, P = 0.31). In B. chariclea, onset, peak, and end of the flight period showed a statistically significant relationship with timing of snowmelt, mean daily July temperature, and their interaction (Table 2). In C. hecla, the onset, peak, and end of the flight season was, however, only significantly related to timing of snowmelt (Table 2). Timing of snowmelt and July temperatures were not significantly correlated (Pearson correlation: r = -0.38, n = 13, P = 0.18). The flight season of both butterfly species was generally later than the flowering season of the plant species that are visited by the butterflies and for which we had flower phenology data (Fig. 2). The duration of the flight season showed a statistically significant and positive relationship to the duration of overlap with floral resources in both B. chariclea (Fig. 3a) and C. hecla (Fig. 3b), but not with onset of the flight period or their interaction in any of the two 247 HØYE TT et al.: Phenology of high-arctic butterflies species (Table 3). The duration of overlap became smaller during the study period, but the relationship was not signi- ficant for B. chariclea (slope = -0.080, F1,12 = 0.13, P = 0.72) or C. hecla (slope = -0.77, F1,12 = 3.56, P = 0.084). Fig. 1 Peak flight times of two butterfly species A) Boloria chariclea and B) Colias hecla during 1996–2009 at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland. Summary statistics (R2 and P-values) based on simple linear regression analysis are given in each panel Regression lines indicate that slopes are significantly different from zero. Table 2 Results of generalized linear models of onset, peak and end of the flight season for two butterfly species (Boloria chariclea and Colias hecla) at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland, across 1996–2009 as a function of mean daily temperature during July and timing of snowmelt, as well as their interaction as continuous variables Species Event B. chariclea Onset -144.2±111.8 2.05±0.66 35.4±14.4 -0.21±0.09 Peak -266.1±136.6 2.90±0.80 54.5±17.6 -0.33±0.10 End -54.4±103.9 1.71±0.61 30.9±13.4 -0.19±0.08 Onset 109.7±27.5 0.50±0.16 - - C. hecla Intercept Snowmelt Temp Snowmelt:Temp R2 P 10 0.73 0.0032 10 0.73 0.0037 10 0.69 0.0069 12 0.44 0.0096 df Peak 104.1±26.5 0.60±0.16 - - 12 0.55 0.0025 End 131.3±24.6 0.51±0.15 - - 12 0.51 0.0043 Only models with significant parameters (at α = 0.05) are shown. Parameters ± SE are presented along with residual degrees of freedom, coefficient of determination (R2) and P-value. Fig. 2 The onset and end of the flight season of A) Boloria chariclea and community-wide flowering seasons for six flowering plant species (Cassiope tetragona, Dryas octopetala, Papaver radicatum, Salix arctica, Saxifraga oppositifolia and Silene acaulis) which the butterfly species has been observed visiting and B) Colias hecla and community-wide flowering seasons for three flowering plant species (Dryas octopetala, Salix arctica and Silene acaulis) on which the butterfly species has been observed visiting The lower line in each set is onset and the upper line is end of butterfly flight seasons (hatched lines) and flowering season (full lines). 248 Current Zoology Vol. 60 No. 2 Fig. 3 Duration (end minus onset) in days of the flight season for A) Boloria chariclea and B) Colias hecla in relation to the overlap with the flowering season of six relevant plant species for B. chariclea and three relevant plant species for C. hecla (see text for details) The overlap is negative in some years, because onset and end of seasons are defined by the date of 10% and 90% of butterflies and flowers observed during the season, respectively. Regression lines based on simple linear regression analysis along with R2 and p-values are given in each panel. Table 3 Results of generalized linear models of flight season duration for two butterfly species (Boloria chariclea and Colias hecla) at Zackenberg, north-east Greenland, from 1996–2009 as a function of the overlap with the flowering season of their respective plant species (upon which they have been observed), the onset of flight season, and their interaction as continuous variables Species Intercept Overlap Onset Overlap:Onset df R2 P B. chariclea 21.41±1.46 0.83±0.33 - - 12 0.35 0.027 C. hecla 17.32±2.52 0.49±0.17 - - 12 0.39 0.016 Only models with significant parameters (at α = 0.05) are shown. Parameters ± SE are presented along with residual degrees of freedom, coefficient of determination (R2) and P-value. 3 Discussion The literature on species-specific phenological responses to ambient climatic variability of Arctic arthropods is scant and to our knowledge this is the first study to span more than a decade of observations (Høye and Sikes, 2013; Leung and Reid, 2013). Given the species richness of arthropods in marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments in the Arctic, this illustrates an important knowledge gap that limits our ability to predict the consequences of rapid climate change for Arctic biodiversity (Meltofte 2013; Callaghan et al., 2004b; Post et al., 2009). We have previously demonstrated large family-level variation in estimates of timing of emergence over a broad range of terrestrial arthropods at Zackenberg (Høye et al., 2007; Høye and Forchhammer, 2008b). However, with familylevel taxonomic resolution, it is not possible to separate the effects of changing species composition between years from the inter-annual variation in phenology of individual species (Callaghan et al., 2004a). By identifying the individual species of a butterfly assemblage from the monitoring program at Zackenberg, we have made progress towards estimating species-specific phenological responses to recent climatic variation in the Arctic. The two abundant butterfly species indeed differ in their trend towards earlier flight time, their phenological responses to climatic variability, and in inter-annual variation in degree of temporal overlap with floral resources. This suggests that phenological responses measured at coarse taxonomic resolutions can mask important variability at the species level. Our results indicate that timing of the flight season in high-arctic butterfly species is closely related to the timing of snowmelt. While the timing of the flight season in C. hecla is only related to timing of snowmelt, there is an additional effect of July temperature in B. chariclea, and this temperature effect interacts with timing of snowmelt. This suggests that the advancement of the flight season in B. chariclea with warmer temperatures is most pronounced with late snowmelt. The HØYE TT et al.: Phenology of high-arctic butterflies lack of relationship to summer temperatures in timing of the flight season for C. hecla may be the reason why C. hecla is not showing a trend towards earlier flight time during the study period. The summer temperature has increased dramatically during the study period at our site (Høye et al., 2013). With future warming, the flight seasons of B. chariclea and C. hecla may shift relative to each other. Since peak flight date is generally ten days later in B. chariclea than in C. hecla, their flight times are likely to become more synchronized. A knowledge gap is whether future timing of snowmelt in the region will advance or be delayed, which is currently uncertain (Stendel et al., 2008). The duration of butterfly flight seasons could be affected by the timing and duration of flowering seasons if the lifespan of each individual butterfly is constrained by access to floral resources. Adult longevity has been linked to nectar resources in some butterfly species (Cahenzli and Erhardt, 2012; Murphy et al., 1983). Our results demonstrate that the duration of the flight season varied by a factor of two over the study period in both butterfly species and was related to the duration of overlap with relevant floral resources. Other studies have found extending flight seasons, but these studies have used observations collected at much larger spatial extents (Roy and Sparks, 2000; Westwood and Blair, 2010). For instance, a recent study demonstrated extended flight seasons in northern butterfly communities in response to recent warming across Sweden (Karlsson In press). Flight seasons may also be extended when the flight seasons start earlier. This could happen by more pronounced protandry (i.e. males emerging earlier than females) in years of early snowmelt and warmer temperatures. Our estimates of the onset and end of the flowering season of plant species known to be visited by the studied butterfly species is generally earlier than the flight season of the butterflies. Both species of butterflies are known to visit flowers of other plants as well and some of these are late flowering species (e.g. Arnica angustifolia and Bistorta vivipara). Hence, the apparent mistiming of the butterfly flight season with the flowering season presented here could be due to the subset of plant species for which we have data on flowering phenology. The butterfly flight season may also be timed primarily with particular phenological stages of the plant species used for oviposition, although this would not explain why flight season duration is related to the overlap with our subset of plant species. We consider it more likely that our measure of onset and end of the 249 flowering season is rather conservative. Indeed, in a pollination network study from our site, the same plant species were observed to flower later than the end of flowering in our permanent plots (J.-M. Olesen unpublished data). Our results demonstrate that for high-arctic study sites it is possible to use pitfall trapping to census butterfly species. We used yellow pitfall traps as a method to trap both ground-active and flying insects in the same trap (Böcher and Meltofte, 1997). The large sample sizes for at least two species of butterflies using this technique suggests that this approach is useful for remote tundra localities as it does not require trained butterfly observers who are otherwise needed for conventional transect counts (Pollard and Yates, 1993). The separation of B. chariclea and B. polaris is difficult in the field and we provide new information on their relative abundance. We found less than 3% of the Boloria specimens to be B. polaris, suggesting that this species is much rarer at Zackenberg than B. chariclea. This could be linked to the distribution of their larval food plants or because of habitat segregation not picked up by our sampling design. We consider it unlikely that our subsampling procedure, where we identified 51% of the Boloria specimens, could have accidentally missed samples with a large proportion of B. polaris specimens. The low capture numbers for B. polaris and P. glandon could potentially be the result of these butterfly species not being attracted to the yellow colour of our pitfall traps, but independent data from a study of the pollination network at our study site support the idea that B. polaris and P. glandon are rare species in the area (J.-M. Olesen unpublished data). The strong phenological response to climate variation that we document for high-arctic butterflies and the clear differences between the two most abundant species suggest that species-specific studies of populations of arctic arthropods should be a research priority. Future phenological studies of Arctic arthropods should ideally be analysed in context with interacting species to assess how ongoing climate change will affect Arctic biodiversity. Long-term records will be particularly helpful in attempts to identify the climatic constraints on the future persistence of high-arctic butterfly species (Post and Høye, 2013). 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