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ESA International Economics, 2 Lecture 8 Giorgia Giovannetti Professor of Economics, University of Firenze E-mail: [email protected] 13/9 14/9 20/9 Introduction:globalization and separation No class Measuring globalization, 1 21/9 Measuring Globalization, 2, Indicators Overview trade models (Bernard et al 2007; 2011) 27/9 28/9 Exercises on indicators, data etc 4/10 13/10 18/10 China (invited Lecture) The concept of Comparative advantage: the model of Ricardo Ricardo and comparative advantage, 2 /H-O, intro Trade models: H-O Trade models: H-O,2 20/10 Exercises on Ricardo & H-O 25/10 Trade and Imperfect competition, 1 Trade and imperfect competition, 2 Geography models/gravity Hysteresis, Heterogeneous firms 6/10 11/10 27/10 3/11 8/11 10/11 17/11 The Melitz model Exercises on imperfect competition & Melitz model Trade policy 22/11 Trade Policy: TTIP 24/11 FDI and Multinationals: OLI theory FDI and Multinationals Offshoring/trade in tasks 15/11 29/11 1/12 6/12 Brexit discussion Granularity and aggregate shocks Definition Absolute Advantage – Deardorff: The ability to produce a good at lower cost, in terms of real resources, than another country. In a Ricardian model, cost is in terms of only labor. Absolute advantage is neither necessary nor sufficient for a country to export a good. – When a country has the best technology for producing a good, it has an absolute advantage in the production of that good. Absolute advantage is actually not a good explanation for trade patterns. Comparative Advantage – Deardorff: The ability to produce a good at lower cost, relative to other goods, compared to another country. In a Ricardian model, comparison is of unit labor requirements; more generally it is of relative autarky prices. With perfect competition and undistorted markets, countries tend to export goods in which they have comparative advantage. Due to Ricardo (1815). Comparative advantage is the primary explanation for trade among countries. – A country has a comparative advantage in producing those goods that it produces best compared with how well it produces other goods. Ricardian Model • To develop a Ricardian model of trade, we used an example with two goods: wheat and cloth. • Home as the country exporting wheat and importing cloth. Ricardian Model • The Home Country – We will assume that labor is the only resource used to produce both goods. – One worker can produce 4 bushels of wheat or 2 yards of cloth. – The Marginal Product of Labor is the extra output obtained by using one more unit of labor. – MPLW = 4 and MPLC = 2. the Ricardian Model • Home Production Possibilities Frontier – We have assumed 25 workers in Home, MPLW = 4, MPLC = 2; QW = MPLW(L) = 25(4) = 100; QC = MPLC(L) = 25(2) = 50 – If all the workers were employed in wheat, the country could produce 100 bushels. – If they were all employed in cloth they could produce 50 yards. – The PPF connects these two points. SlopePPF MPLC ( L ) 50 100 MPLW ( L ) MPLC 1 MPLW 2 Ricardian Model: Home Production Possibilities Frontier Ricardian Model Opportunity Costs for Goods in Home and Foreign Cloth (1 Yard) Wheat (1 Bushel) Home 2 Bushels of Wheat ½ Yard of Cloth Foreign 1 Bushel of Wheat 1 Yard of Cloth The Ricardian Assumptions—Preferences • The preferences of all consumers in the world are identical. • For any individual, the Marginal Rate of Substitution is independent of the scale of consumption. – An individual’s MRS of wheat for cloth is the maximum amount of wheat that he/she would be willing to pay for one unit of cloth. – Under this assumption, if the amounts of cloth and wheat being consumed are, say, doubled, then the MRS remains unchanged. – In other words, the MRS does not change if the ratio of the amounts of cloth and wheat consumed, cloth/ wheat, does not change. Marginal Rate of Substitution • Note that a consumer’s MRS of wheat for cloth is, simply, a measure of how much the consumer likes cloth. • We assume that MRSWC decreases as the consumption of cloth increases relative to the consumption of wheat … • …And remains unchanged if the consumption of cloth remains unchanged relative to the consumption of wheat. The Ricardian Assumptions—Technology • Goods are produced (out of resources) with technologies that satisfy Constant Returns to Scale. – That is, if the producer of a commodity, say, doubles the amounts used of all resources, then the amount produced will also double. The Ricardian Assumptions • There is perfect competition in all markets. – That is, no buyer or seller of a commodity has the power to affect the price of the commodity by himself. – More specifically, the market for a commodity is said to be perfectly competitive if: • There are many sellers • There are many buyers • All sellers sell the exact same product • Individuals make decisions so as to maximize happiness, whereas • Firms make decisions so as to maximize profits • Governments do not interfere with the smooth functioning of markets; there are no taxes, subsidies, tariffs, quotas, etc. Ricardian Model: Main Lessons • Trade occurs because technology varies from country to country • Even backward can gain from trade with advanced • Advanced countries can gain from trade even if their workers have to compete with “cheap labor” countries