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Following Up Gravitational Wave Event Candidates Roy Williams (Caltech), Peter Shawhan (U Maryland), for the LIGO Scientific Collaboration and Virgo Collaboration LSST All Hands Meeting 2012 August 14 LIGO-G1200782 ))) ► Sources of Gravitational Waves ► Compact binary coalescence Stellar core collapse Bill Saxton, NRAO/AUI/NSF e.g. neutron stars or black holes ► Neutron stars Periodic from bump Non-periodic from flare Casey Reed/PSU h(t) ► Cosmic strings ) )) ► Early Universe Like CMB ► and others… The challenge: Expected strain amplitudes at Earth are 10–21 or less 2 ))) A Full-Size GW Detector LIGO Hanford Observatory (Washington state, USA) 3 ))) Advanced LIGO will be a Vast Improvement Image courtesy Beverly Berger and atlasoftheuniverse.com Best estimate: will detect dozens of mergers per year* *”Rates paper” 1003.2480 Factor of ~10 better amplitude sensitivity than initial detectors Factor of ~1000 greater volume of space 4 ))) Advanced Detector Network, ~2015 and Later GEO-HF KAGRA Advanced LIGO 600 m 4 km 4 km 3 km 3 km 4 km Advanced LIGO LIGO-India Advanced VIRGO (proposed) 5 ))) Global GW Observatory Data courtesy LIGO/LSC http://www.ligo.org/science/GW100916/ Sky localization by time differences Need at least 3 operating detectors to localize signals Coordinate science runs and downtimes when possible ROUGH GUIDE to typical error region areas: 2 detectors: ~1000 square degrees (annulus) 3 detectors: tens/hundreds square degrees 4 detectors: ~10 square degrees ))) Impact of Follow-up Observations Finding an optical/radio/X-ray/neutrino transient will put the GW event candidate in an astronomical context Much more science! May be able to confidently detect a somewhat weaker GW event (spectral) Localize in a host galaxy (or outside!) Compare GW and electromagnetic emissions: strength, time, etc. Allow better parameter estimation from the GW data Need to manage probability of false (unrelated) associations Classification of transients will be essential Should have a handle on the normal population of similar transients In 2009–2010: Program active for 10 weeks of LIGO-Virgo joint observing Nine event candidates were followed up by at least one telescope Including two by Swift (XRT & UVOT) [ Evans et al., arXiv:1205.1124 ] No stand-out candidates, unfortunately 7 ))) Supernova vs Binary Inspiral CC Supernova is a detonation BRIGHT Can be seen to edge of Universe Binary Coalescence is an impact Fainter But bright along jet axis (= short GRB) Metzger and Berger 1108.6056 8 ))) upper limit Post merger accretion Van Eerten/MacFadyan 1102.4571 Figs: Metzger and Berger observation On Axis LSST is Essential The range of existing SGRB optical afterglows … indicates that observations with LSST are essential. Off Axis Isotropic kilonova Metzger and Berger 1108.6056 -- Metzger and Berger 9 ))) LIGO Hanford GEO 600 Virgo LIGO Livingston Transfer data Swift: NASA E/PO, Sonoma State U., Aurore Simonnet Rapid Alerts for Follow-up Observations KAGRA LIGO-India Send info to observers GW data Analyze data, identify triggers, infer sky position Estimate background Validate Trigger database Select event candidates Goal: Catch a counterpart that would have been missed (or detected only later) Missed GRB, orphan afterglow from off-axis or “failed” GRB, kilonova, … Localize accurately, compare GW & EM emissions 10 ))) Communication with Follow-up Observers Assemble event candidate information Type of signal, significance, time, sky map, estimated physical params (?) Format as a VOEvent, for instance Send alert to observers Plan to use standard channel(s) like GCN/TAN, VOEventNet May have revised / refined information to distribute later LSC and Virgo committed to releasing public alerts in the long run Early on, work with partners through MOUs until a few GWs are detected Policy: http://dcc.ligo.org/cgi-bin/DocDB/ShowDocument?docid=89391 11 ))) Observing Partners During 2009–2010 XRT UVOT 1.2 m 2m LSST, 6.7m 1.3 m 1m 1m APERTURE Mostly (but not all) robotic wide-field optical telescopes Many of them used for following up GRBs, surveying for supernovae and other optical transients 12 ))) Observing Partners During 2009–2010 25 sq deg 20×20° 3.4 7.3 sq deg sq deg 3.4 3.4 sq deg sq deg XRT UVOT LSST 9.4 sq deg 3.4 sq deg 3.4 sq deg FIELD OF VIEW 5.7 sq deg 3.4 sq deg Mostly (but not all) robotic wide-field optical telescopes Many of them used for following up GRBs, surveying for supernovae and other optical transients 13 ))) Event of 20100916 the “Big Dog” Coherent WaveBurst probability sky map: The “Big Dog” Top 1000 pixels reported • total area: 160 129 sq deg • est. containment: ~19% Phase rings 14 ))) Galaxy Prior Probably (maybe not*) GW sources stay near their places of birth … Use positions of known galaxies within 50 Mpc White et al., CQG 28, 085016 Star formation proxy = blue light luminosity Galaxies not so useful at 200 Mpc – too many. False positives are concentrated on the galaxies * Fong et al 1012.4009 15 ))) Follow-up for Big Dog nearby galaxies SkyMapper TAROT, ROTSE Images taken within 44 min after event, 2 min after LIGO event, and on subsequent nights … turned out to be blind injection Zadko Swift Zadko 16 Summary Gravitational wave detectors are operated as a global network Data combined and analyzed coherently Advanced LIGO and Virgo upgrades are in progress First science runs planned for 2015–16 Might be years to full sensitiviy and good localization KAGRA and LIGO-India to join too Have begun a program of producing and sending rapid alerts Supports both prompt and delayed follow-up observations Many lessons learned from the 2009–10 science run Now preparing an improved future program with easy MOU Transition to public alerts planned after detection of 4 GW events