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MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises We are flipping 3 coins and the outcomes are represented by a string of H’s and T’s (HTH, etc.). How many elements are there in the sample space? Express the event “There are more heads than tails” as a set. What is the probability that there are more heads than tails? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises We are flipping 3 coins and the outcomes are represented by a string of H’s and T’s (HTH, etc.). How many elements are there in the sample space? By the Fundamental Counting Principle: 2 x 2 x 2 = 8 Express the event “There are more heads than tails” as a set. { HHH , HHT , HTH , THH } What is the probability that there are more heads than tails? By the Basic Probability Principle, # 𝑤𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑚𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝐻𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑠 4 1 𝑃 𝑚𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝐻 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑛 𝑇 = = = # 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑒 8 2 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What is the probability of drawing a heart? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What is the probability of drawing a heart? 13 DIAMONDS) 1 4 suits (CLUBS, SPADES, HEARTS, 𝑃 𝐻𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑡 = 52 13 CLUBS 13 SPADES 13 HEARTS 13 DIAMONDS = 4 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What are the odds against drawing a heart? Notice that there are 13 Hearts and 39 non-Hearts Odds against drawing Heart are 39 : 13 which reduces to 3 : 1. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What is the probability that all 4 are black? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What is the probability that all 4 are black? What is the probability that all 4 are black? 26 black cards 26 red cards MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Four cards are drawn from a well-shuffled 52-card deck. What is the probability that all 4 are black? From previous picture, there are 26 black cards and 52 cards in all. Because the order the cards are drawn is not important, we count the cards using combinations. There are 𝐶 26,4 = 14950 ways to choose 4 black cards. There are 𝐶 52,4 =270725 ways to choose any 4 cards. By the Basic Probability Principle, 𝑃 𝑎𝑙𝑙 4 𝑏𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑘 = # 𝑜𝑓 𝑤𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑠𝑒 4 𝑏𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑘 # 𝑜𝑓 𝑤𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑠𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑦 4 𝑐𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑠 = 𝐶(26,4) 𝐶(52,4) = 14950 270725 = 46 833 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Opinions of residents in a town and surrounding area about a proposed racetrack is given here. Support Oppose Live in town Live in area surrounding 3325 392 4747 617 A reporter randomly selects one of these 9081 people to interview. What is the probability that the person is for the track? What are the odds against the person supporting the track? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Opinions of residents in a town and surrounding area about a proposed racetrack is given here. Support Oppose Live in town Live in area surrounding 3325 392 4747 617 A reporter randomly selects one of these 9081 people to interview. What is the probability that the person is for the track? 3325 + 4747 8072 2 × 2 × 2 × 1009 8 𝑃 𝑆𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑠 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑘 = = = = 9081 9081 3 × 3 × 1009 9 What are the odds against the person supporting the track? 1:8 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the diagram below, what is the probability that it hits the shaded area? (Write final answer as a decimal rounded to 4 decimal places.) 8 in. 6 in. 4 in. 4 in. 3 in. 2 in. 2 in. 1 in. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the diagram below, what is the probability that it hits the shaded area? (Write final answer as a decimal rounded to 4 decimal places.) Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. 8 in. 6 in. 4 in. 2 in. 2 4 in. 3 in. 1 2 in. 1 in. 2 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 2 × 1 + (2 × 2) 2 + 4 6 𝑃 ℎ𝑖𝑡 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 = = = = = 0.1875 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑚 8×4 32 32 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the figure below which is built from 4 different size squares (2 blue and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 21 in. 9 in. 6 in. 15 in. 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 9 in. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the figure below which is built from 4 different size squares (2 blue and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 21 in. 9 in. 6 in. 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 9 in. 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the figure below which is built from 4 different size squares (2 blue and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 9 in. 9 in. 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 225 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 15 in. Area of the biggest green square is 15 x 15 = 225 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the figure below which is built from 4 different size squares (2 blue and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) - 81 144 9 in. Subtract blue area b/c it covers up part of the green. 9 in. 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 225 6 in. 9 in. 15 in. 9 in. Area of Small blue square is 9 x 9 =81 21 in. 15 in. Area of the biggest green square is 15 x 15 = 225 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises If a dart is thrown and hits somewhere in the figure below which is built from 4 different size squares (2 blue and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 144 + 36 = 180 9 in. 9 in. - 81 144 6 in. The small green square sits on the small blue square and adds back more green. 6 in. Subtract blue area b/c it covers up part of the green. + 36 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 225 36 15 in. 9 in. 15 in. 9 in. Area of Small blue square is 9 x 9 =81 21 in. 6 in. Area of the biggest green square is 15 x 15 = 225 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises the total is 180 square inches. If a dart is So, thrown andgreen hits area somewhere in the figure below The total area of the whole figure is 21 xsquares 21 = 441(2 square which is built from 4 different size blue inches. and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 144 + 36 = 180 9 in. 9 in. - 81 144 6 in. The small green square sits on the small blue square and adds back more green. 6 in. Subtract blue area b/c it covers up part of the green. + 36 6 in. 15 in. 21 in. 225 36 15 in. 9 in. 15 in. 9 in. Area of Small blue square is 9 x 9 =81 21 in. 6 in. Area of the biggest green square is 15 x 15 = 225 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises the total is 180 square inches. If a dart is So, thrown andgreen hits area somewhere in the figure below The total area of the whole figure is 21 xsquares 21 = 441(2 square which is built from 4 different size blue inches. and 2 green), what is the probability that it hits the green area? (Write final answer as an integer or simplified fraction.) 144 + 36 = 180 9 in. 9 in. - 81 144 6 in. The small green square sits on the small blue square and adds back more green. 6 in. Subtract blue area b/c it covers up part of the green. + 36 21 in. 225 36 15 in. 9 in. 15 in. 9 in. Area of Small blue square is 9 x 9 =81 21 in. 6 in. Area of the biggest green square is 15 x 15 = 225 15 in. Note: The probability of hitting a region is proportional to the area of that region and the whole diagram. 6 in. 15 in. 180 20 𝑃 ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 = = 441 49 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Player 1 & Player 2 play a ame using Spinner A and Spinner B as shown. Player 1 gets to choose one of the spinners, both players spin, and the one getting the larger number wins. Which spinner should Player 1 choose? Assuming that choice of spinner what is the probability that Player 1 wins? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Player 1 & Player 2 play a ame using Spinner A and Spinner B as shown. Player 1 gets to choose one of the spinners, both players spin, and the one getting the larger number wins. List every possible way the 2 spinners could land, then count the # of times each wins. Which spinner should Player 1 choose? Assuming that choice of spinner what is the probability that Player 1 wins? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Player 1 & Player 2 play a ame using Spinner A and Spinner B as shown. Player 1 gets to choose one of the spinners, both players spin, and the one getting the larger number wins. List every possible way the 2 spinners could land, then count the # of times each wins. Which spinner should Player 1 choose? A spin 1 1 1 4 4 4 9 9 9 B spin 2 7 8 2 7 8 2 7 8 Who wins B B B A B B A A A Assuming that choice of spinner what is the probability that Player 1 wins? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Player 1 & Player 2 play a ame using Spinner A and Spinner B as shown. Player 1 gets to choose one of the spinners, both players spin, and the one getting the larger number wins. List every possible way the 2 spinners could land, then count the # of times each wins. Which spinner should Player 1 choose? B (wins 5 out of 9 times) A spin 1 1 1 4 4 4 9 9 9 B spin 2 7 8 2 7 8 2 7 8 Who wins B B B A B B A A A Assuming that choice of spinner what is the probability that Player 1 wins? MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Player 1 & Player 2 play a ame using Spinner A and Spinner B as shown. Player 1 gets to choose one of the spinners, both players spin, and the one getting the larger number wins. List every possible way the 2 spinners could land, then count the # of times each wins. Which spinner should Player 1 choose? B (wins 5 out of 9 times) A spin 1 1 1 4 4 4 9 9 9 B spin 2 7 8 2 7 8 2 7 8 Who wins B B B A B B A A A Assuming that choice of spinner what is the probability 5 that Player 1 wins? 𝑃 𝐵 𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑠 = 9 MATH 110 Sec 13.1 Intro to Probability Practice Exercises Some more detailed solutions and some more problems and solutions can be found here: http://cas.ua.edu/mtlc/UAMath110/Exercises/Sec13-1ExercisesSOL.pdf