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www.pwc.com/energy PwC dialogue: the growing significance of NOC renewable energy strategies The growth of renewable energy in the Middle East could transform the energy supply and business development opportunities open to national oil companies (NOCs). There is increasing recognition that, just as these countries are ‘oil rich’ so they are also potentially ‘renewables rich’. In the run up to this year’s World Petroleum Congress, PwC has been conducting a dialogue on the role of NOCs in relation to renewable energy. Paul Navratil, PwC’s Middle East Energy and Utilities Leader, points out: “NOCs are not the first companies that are top of mind when you think about renewable energy. But the reality is that many are getting involved in potentially significant ways. The NOCs have played the lead role in exploiting the abundance of hydrocarbon resources. Many of them are also well positioned to take a lead in exploiting their country’s renewable resources.” NOCs in the Gulf Cooperation Council states are often called upon by their governments to undertake strategic projects which benefit the country at large. Renewable energy is a case in point and, as Navratil points out, “strong capital project management skills, experience in delivering large scale strategies, and their sheer influence on the overall economy make them the natural custodians of such initiatives.” The immediate impact of renewable alternatives to gas and oil fired power generation is to free up oil and gas for the more valuable export market, reduce some countries’ dependence on gas imports and diversify the energy mix to increase energy security. In terms of NOCs’ own operations, renewables provide sustainable, low carbon options for their power needs. It is clear also that some energy policies in the region have much wider strategic ambitions for renewable energy. For example, Saudi Minister of Petroleum, Ali Al-Naimi, has said: “Saudi Arabia aspires to export as much solar energy in the future as it exports oil now.1” 1 2 Solar is the most abundant renewable resource but some areas also offer significant windpower opportunities. Many leading NOCs have established internal capacity to develop their renewables activities. Saudi Aramco, for example, is building a team within its power systems organisation to develop renewable energy. It is reviewing a range of options including scalable renewable projects, technology selection, local manufacturing options and the business case for wind and solar energy. Qatar Petroleum has established a renewable energy unit within its strategic planning unit to keep a watching brief on renewable energy and its possible development in Qatar. In Kuwait, the Kuwait Petroleum Corporation established new technology arm, KPC Energy Ventures, in 2006 to actively pursue the development of low carbon fuels including hydrogen generation from oil and fuel cell technology. In 2011, the Kuwait Ministry of Electricity and Water announced an ambitious plan to generate 10 per cent of its electricity from sustainable sources by 20202. This eclipsed the previously highest 2020 target in the Gulf states - 7 per cent set by Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Interview with Reuters, 24 September 2009. Announced by Eyad Ali al-Falah, assistant undersecretary for technical services, Kuwait Ministry of Electricity and Water, 25 October 2011. Speaking with PwC, Dr. Mohammed Ramadhan, board director and president of KPC Energy Ventures, says: “NOCs can play the role of a leader in their country, encouraging other sectors to explore and adopt renewable energy to meet their own energy needs. In Kuwait and generally in the region, we have a lot of sun for renewable energy but the regional climatic challenges such as dust or sandstorms need to be understood and managed." The exact approach and role of NOCs varies from country to country. Whatever the specific approach, all NOCs have a keen interest in assessing the right time to make moves either to introduce renewable power as part of the supply chain for their own operations or as a business growth opportunity. The Gulf states are experiencing close to double digit growth in electricity demand per annum. Demand in the Middle East region as a whole is forecast to double by 2035 according to the International Energy Agency3. 3 New gas-fired generation is the main response to this demand growth but this means losing a valuable gas export opportunity or being more dependent on gas importation. As Dr. Ramadhan observes: "Just as LNG imports in Kuwait now help free up crude and products for exports, renewable energy can play a similarly vital role in the future." Hannes Reinisch, a PwC alternative energy projects specialist in the region, says: “Renewables appear more expensive at the moment but they offer a strategic opportunity. Companies need to have a clear strategy and the right modelling in place. We’re entering a period when countries and companies will want to keep a close eye on the economics of renewables investment as technology evolves and the cost base comes down further.” ‘New policies scenario’ in World Energy Outlook 2010, International Energy Agency. PwC checklist Renewable strategies of NOCs • • • • • sustainable, low carbon options for their power needs solar thermal as a source of process heat for oil & gas activities wider market growth opportunities technology development and delivery support in meeting national renewable energy targets Contact us: Paul Navratil Middle East Energy, Utilities & Mining Leader Telephone: +971 2 694 2920 Email: [email protected] Hannes Reinisch Telephone: +971 2 694 7463 Email: [email protected] This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PricewaterhouseCoopers does not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. © 2011 PwC. All rights reserved. Not for further distribution without the permission of PwC. “PwC” refers to the network of member firms of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited (PwCIL), or, as the context requires, individual member firms of the PwC network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity and does not act as agent of PwCIL or any other member firm. PwCIL does not provide any services to clients. 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