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Open Probability State 2015 Specific instructions: Pick the exact answer unless otherwise stated. NOTA denotes none of the above. For Questions 1-3 use the following information. Set S consists of the first 100 positive integers. 1) What is the probability of picking a number that is both prime and odd from set S? a) .17 b) .24 c) .25 d) .27 e) NOTA 2) What is the probability of picking a triangular number that is odd from set S? a) .07 b) .13 c) .24 d) .25 e) NOTA 3) What is the probability of choosing a Fibonacci number from set S? Given: 11th Fibonacci number is 89 a) .08 b) .09 c) .10 d) .11 e) NOTA 4) Twelve twins are participating in a tournament. The 24 people are randomly assigned to groups of 3. What is the expected number of twins in the same group? a) 23/24 b) 24/23 c) 1 d) 3/2 e) NOTA 1 1 1 5) Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 2, 𝑃(𝐵) = 2, and 𝑃(𝐵|𝐴) = 3. What is 𝑃(𝐴 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐵)? a) 1/6 b) 1/3 c) 1/2 d) 2/3 e) NOTA 6) Let X equal to the number of ways that a committee of 49 people can be chosen out of 99 people and Y equal to the number of ways a different committee of 49 can be formed out of the same 99 people. What is X+Y? Note: Being chosen to one committee doesn’t disqualify you for the other committee a) 99!/2! 99 b) (49 ) 100 c) ( 50 ) 99 2 d) ((49 )) e) NOTA 1 Open Probability State 2015 7) A bag contains four balls of the following colors: Green, Yellow and two Blue. If two balls were drawn at random and one is known to be Blue, what is the probability the other is Blue? a) 1/6 b) 1/5 c) 1/2 d) 5/6 e) NOTA 8) A dot starts its life on the bottom right corner of an 8x8 grid. How many different ways can it move to the top left most corners in the least number of moves, if the dot can only go up/down or left/right? a) 14 b) 128 c) 3432 d) 6864 e) NOTA 9) If A, B, and C are positive integers, how many solutions are there for the following equation? 𝐴 + 𝐵 + 𝐶 = 20 a) (19 ) 2 b) (23 ) 3 c) 20 ∗ 19 ∗ 18 d) (20 ) 3 e) NOTA 10)A math student is about to play the lottery: The ticket is a combination of a single letter (A-Z) and three numbers (0-9). The letter is first then the three numbers. The three ways to win the lottery: Match the last two characters on the ticket: Win $100 Match the last three characters on the ticket: Win $1000 Match all the characters on the ticker: Win $100,000 What is the expected payout if the ticket costs $20? a) -18 b) -184/13 c) -368000 d) 0 e) NOTA 11)What is the probability of choosing an even number from the first ten rows of the Pascal’s Triangle? Row 1 is 1 and Row 2 is 1,1 a) 2/5 b) 3/5 c) 4/11 d) 7/11 e) NOTA 2 Open Probability State 2015 12)A fair six-sided die is rolled 3 times. What is the probability of NOT rolling a number larger than 4 on any of the rolls? a) 1/2 b) 1/4 c) 1/8 d) 1/16 e) NOTA 13)What is the probability of drawing a Queen and then a Hearts after replacement from a standard deck of 52 cards? The cards are randomized so that every card has the same probability of being chosen. a) 1/52 b) 1/68 c) 1/48 d) 1/72 e) NOTA 14)How many unique 5 digit palindrome numbers are there? Note: 00001 will be considered a 5 digit number a) 1 b) 100 c) 900 d) 1000 e) NOTA 15)When a pair of fair 6-sided die are rolled, what is the probability of rolling a two even numbers? a) 1/2 b) 1/4 c) 1/6 d) 1/8 e) NOTA 16)What is the sum of the coefficients in the expanded form of (4𝑥 + 𝑦)5 a) 64 b) 1024 c) 3125 d) 7776 e) NOTA 17)Diego and Ryan are having a contest to see who can toss the most heads on a fair coin. Diego only wins when he has more heads than Ryan, otherwise Ryan wins. Diego likes to cheat so he gets an extra toss than Ryan. What is the probability that Ryan wins? Note: Ryan muss toss at least once a) 1/5 b) 1/3 c) 1/2 d) 0 e) NOTA 3 Open Probability State 2015 18)A box contains 10 white chocolates and 15 dark chocolates. If each chocolate is removed one by one and eaten. What is the probability of the last one being a dark chocolate? a) 1/2 b) 1/3 c) 1/4 d) 1/5 e) NOTA 19)Diego lives a lonely life on a one-dimensional number line. He can only move forward two or back one. If he starts at x=0 and ends up at x=7, how many distinct ways could he have taken if he took at most 8 steps? Note: Forward two counts as a step and backward one counts as a step a) 5 b) 40 c) 56 d) 61 e) NOTA 20)6 dots are placed at random on a 10x10 grid. What is the number of combinations that no two rows or columns contain more than one dot? Note: Only one dot can be in any one position a) 100! b) (10 ) 6 100 c) ( 6 ) d) ((10 ))2 6 e) NOTA 21)A string is cut at two points chosen randomly on the string. What is the probability that no piece is more than half the length of the original string? a) 1/2 b) 1/4 c) 2/3 d) 3/5 e) NOTA 22)Ryan stole his friend’s iPhone. He’s trying to figure out the passcode combination to unlock the phone. The passcode is a four digit number, with each digit only being a number from 0 to 9 (inclusive). If he knows that each digit has to be at least one away and 0 and 9 cannot be next to each other (1234, 0909, 1272, and 1278 cannot be combinations), how many possibilities are there for the passcode? a) 512 b) 732 c) 1024 d) 5120 e) NOTA 4 Open Probability State 2015 23)A fair coin is tossed 20 times. The probability of getting three or more heads in a row is 0.7870 and the probability of getting (three or more heads in a row) or (three or more tails in a row) is 0.9791. What is the probability of getting three or more heads in a row and three or more tails in a row? a) 0.1609 b) 0.5949 c) 0.7870 d) 0.9791 e) NOTA 24)This morning when a MAO student was getting ready for this test he decided to count the number of outfits he has. If he has 3 math team shirts, 10 pants and 5 pairs of shoes. How many combinations of outfits are there for him to wear to the competition? Note: His sponsor is Mrs. Woolfe so he has to wear a math team shirt and no two clothing items are identical. a) 30 b) 50 c) 150 d) 300 e) NOTA 25)What is the probability of getting the word “Rearrangement” from arranging 2 A’s, 3 E’s, 1 G, 1 M, 2 N’s, 3 R’s and 1 T? 1 a) 13! b) c) 1 2!3!2!3! 13! 2!3!2!3! 2!3!2!3! d) 13! e) NOTA 26) In the state of Washington, the House of Representatives has 10 members. If 8 republicans and 6 democrats are running and the House must consist of 6 Republicans and 4 Democrats, how many combinations of Representatives can be elected? a) (86) b) (64) c) (86)(64) d) (14 ) 10 e) NOTA 27) A family has 3 children. What is the probability of the three children being a boy and two girls if one of the three children if at least one of the three is a boy? a) 3/8 b) 3/7 c) 1/5 d) 7/8 e) NOTA 5 Open Probability State 2015 For the next question use the following information: Assume a class of N students and K seats. Each student gets an assigned seat (meaning N is less that or equal to K). If the first student to enter the class chooses a random seat to sit in and every student after either sits in the assigned seat if unoccupied or random seat if occupied. 28)What is the probability of the last person to enter the classroom will not sit in the assigned seat if there are 25 students and 25 seats? Pick the answer that is closest to the actual value. a) .75 b) .5 c) .25 d) 0 e) NOTA 29)In a poker game there are four players: A, B, C, and D. The dealer is chosen by following these rules: In the following order (ABCDABCDABCD…), each player is dealt a card and the first player to receive the ace of spades or the ace of hearts from a well shuffled standard deck of 52 cards. Who has the highest probability of being the dealer? a) Person A b) Person B c) Person C d) Person D e) NOTA 30)Whose name is on the visual representation of the binomial theorem? a) Blaise Pascal b) Pierre de Fermat c) Girolamo Gardano d) Chevalier de Mere e) NOTA 6