Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
CONTENTS Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Nyambayar. B IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR 14 Damdindorj N., Undarmaa. E Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses 22 Batsukh. Ts, Unur. S Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards 4 29 Jargalmaa. G The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism (Ecological Tourism Project of “Bor Khyariin Els” in Zavkhan Aimag) 36 Tsogtbayar. B Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises.45 Ivshinkhorol. B, Ramnath Takiar, Ajay Kumar Takiar Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City56 Gantumur P, Bolitogtokh D, Badamkhuu B, Erdene. S Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Sansarmaa. B, Ramnath Takiar COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA 83 Bumdelger. Kh Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems 74 Nyamdorj. D, Tserendash. S, Tornon. T, Mendbayar. B THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM 64 91 Atartsetseg. B Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia 97 Lkhagvasuren. D, khishigbayar. Lk DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER 103 Bolorsaikhan.O, Baigalmaa. L, Otgonbayar.Y United States income tax policy and mechanism 112 Ariunbold. J, Unurjargal. Ch Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Nyambayar. B Wuhan University of Science and Technology, China Abstract: Mongolia’s economic growth has become extremely dependent on the natural resources sector. Based on the data of 2012-14, 17% of the GDP and 80% of export earnings come from the Mining industry. The role of foreign direct investment has become more and more important today, especially for developing countries. Attraction of foreign investment into Mongolia’s economy has now become the key factor to propel Mongolia’s development. After becoming a democratic country, The Mongolian Parliament issued its first “Foreign investment Law” in 1993 and “Mineral Law” in 1997 to regulate activities and relations between the mining and socio-economic environmental sectors. These laws established a positive atmosphere among the parties and created an investor friendly business environment. According to the law, the mineral licenses were granted on a first-come first-served basis, a low taxation and royalty burden was imposed on investors, and more importantly, a stable and predictable legal environment was present. The 1997 Mineral Law was revised in 2006 and amended in July 2009; however, the amendment created backsliding and an unfavorable operational environment for investors due to the increased tax and regulatory burden on them, as well as the overall uncertainty introduced by an unstable and unpredictable legal framework for the sector. This study focuses on legal revisions, its impact on foreign direct investment and performance of the sector. We can see that FDI was rising. It concludes listing obstacles faced by prospective investors and possible countermeasures to take. Keywords: legal environment, foreign direct investment, mining, law Introduction Mongolia is a landlocked country with an enormous wealth in form of natural resources. Copper, coal, iron ore and gold in particular are responsible for an amazing growth performance that Mongolia continues to demonstrate over the last decade. Discovery of enormous mineral wealth along with liberalisation policies attracting foreign investors allowed Mongolia to receive substantial Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in the mining sector. This led to a fast economic growth. However, it’s not undertaken to be lightly as this is not an economic development which can be only achieved with globally competitive non-mining sectors. Resource-poor countries are forced to reach certain level of economic development through which they achieve economic growth in the long run. Asian Tigers South Korea and Taiwan are appropriate examples. By undertaking economic development, these countries achieved high and, more importantly, sustainable growth rates. Natural resources, on the other hand, provide a shortcut to bypass gradual economic development, and to achieve high growth rates through large resource windfalls. By skipping economic development short-run economic growth makes sustainable development hard to reach. Countries fail to undertake process of gradual learning by doing and become dependent on primary exports. In Mongolia’s case, prevailing opinion is that institutional reform towards a democratic and good governance and getting the needed technology, methodology and investment from foreign countries is the key towards sustainable economic development. Mongolia’s democracy is still quite premature and quality of institutions is not high enough to handle such enormous windfalls without problems. The relation between social, political, economic and international factors needs to be Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Page 4 considered. More research in general has to be done in this area. Since World War II most natural resource-rich developing countries failed to create sustainable economy through resource windfalls. A great portion of fossil and mineral resources that fuels todays’ global economy is imported from developing countries. These countries often suffer from bad institutions, not properly developed market economy, and they lack access to markets and capital needed for developing and financing their mining sectors. In such cases, vulnerability to a resource curse could be quite significant. It is thus important to recognise this great danger and better understand the origins of failure or success in resource-rich developing countries. Strong legal environment and finance are two pillars of pushing current mining sector forward. Objectives The general objective of this study is to obtain a comprehensive overview of revisions in legal environment of foreign direct investment in Mongolia in case of mining sector. In doing so it seeks to: - To examine the impact of the law towards FDI and sector performance - To investigate and analyse which factors of the certain law are affecting the downfall or increase of FDI - To determine main legal obstacles refraining foreign investors to do business in Mongolian mining sector Political and legal invironment Quality of institutions (everything from the enforcement of contract law to the honesty of government officials) and their influence on economic growth is a topic well examined throughout the literature (Frankel, 2010). Development economists argue that weak institutions lead to wealth and income inequality, corruption, authoritarian rule and plundering of the country by some of the elites. Those who see natural resource dependence as a curse to sustainable development usually stress out the negative effect on country’s quality of institutions and governance. Some scholars agree that the institutions are really a crucial factor in resource rich countries. For countries with sound institutions, resource endowments are blessing. For those with bad institutional quality they can mean curse. They are the foundation for good growth performance and it is useless to recommend specific micro and macroeconomic policies if the institutional foundations are not supporting them (Frankel, 2010). For example, oil dependent economies are considerably more likely to have limited political freedoms, are more likely to be ruled by non-democratic regimes, tend to have much higher rates of corruption. In extreme cases, there are higher chances of civil wars within their boundaries (Humphreys, Sachs and Stiglitz, 2007). Strong arguments suggest that natural resource dependence is connected with these issues to various extents. In the 1980s, scholars recognized the idea of a resource curse, identified various factors and developed different theories. For example, in 1995 Sachs and Warner reported that economic dependence on natural resources and the slow growth of economy are linked. Richard M. Auty (2008) affirmed that, based on the developmental level of natural resource-dependent countries since the 1960s, “not only may resource-rich countries fail to benefit from a favorable endowment; they may actually perform worse than less well-endowed countries.” During the beginning of the twenty-first century, Naazneen H. Barma and her co-authors, in Rents to Riches?, argued that political economy dynamics could lead resource-dependent developing countries along the path of downfall. Moreover, not all states achieve development by adopting the policies and experiences of countries that converted their resource rents into wealth. In other words, a good policy for one country is not always efficient for another country; hence, countries need to have development-oriented policies that fit their specific context. To avoid the decline and achieve sustainable development, governments should be able to make credible inter-temporal commitments to both extractive companies and its citizens, and the political regime should be inclusive such that the government faces the incentives to use rents to provide public goods that enhance collective welfare. Page 5 Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Corruption and rent seeking High levels of corruption are the most obvious political risk resulting from large resource endowments (Humphreys, Sachs and Stiglitz, 2007). The short run availability of sizeable windfalls increases the chance that these revenues will be exploited and stolen by political leaders. Those who control these windfalls can use the wealth to keep themselves in power either through legal means (political campaigns and populist measures) or arms. Mobutu in Congo, with its enormous copper deposits and vast amounts of diamonds, zinc or gold, is often presented as an example of the later (Halvor, Moene, Torvik, 2006). Another example is Nigeria’s president Abacha who was by some accounts responsible for a theft of approximately USD 3 billion. Especially in oil-rich developing countries corruption is somehow one of the characteristics of the resource business (Humphreys, Sachs and Stiglitz, 2007). The presence of resource endowments can also support corruption indirectly. Relying on windfalls creates weak state structures that make corrupt practices significantly easier. If the power of bureaucratic caucus rises which is the usual development in resource based economies, the risk of corruption is even more aggravated. International or local mining companies are also actor with major influence. Companies often seek the best possible way to maximize their profits. They frequently obtain the mining contracts at below market value by bribing government officials. Methodology and analysis I have focused on following laws as they play a more crucial role in the mineral sector: • Foreign investment law- 1993 • Mineral law – 2006 • Windfall Profit law – 2006 • Long named law -2009 • Law of Mongolia on the Regulation of Foreign Investment in Business Entities Engaging in Strategic Importance Sectors (SFI Law) -2012 • Investment law - 2013 Since the transition into market economy our country has pursued active policy to attract foreign investment. The Law on Foreign Investment of 1990 is one of the first legislations to declare open economy and regulate important factors of market relations. Based on the knowledge and experience accumulated in the first years of drastic political, economic and social changes, Mongolia has revised its Foreign Investment Law (FIL) in 1993. Mongolian Government has steadfastly followed the policy to ensure stable legal environment for foreign investment and introduce changes only to grant more favorable terms to investment regimes and regulations. A vivid evidence of this policy is seen from the stable implementation of the law until 2006. In 2012, the enactment of the SFI Law considerably altered the investment landscape by expanding the discretionary approval authority of the Government or Parliament for private and state-owned foreign investment in strategically important sectors, namely minerals, banking and finance, and media and telecommunications. The SFI Law stipulated that any investments by a foreign state-owned entity required Government approval as a mandatory precondition. In 2013, new Investment law was enacted by Mongolian government replacing 1993 FIL and 2012 SFI law. I have used comparison method to analyze and determine which articles of the mining law have contributed to downfall and increase of FDI based on investment size, companies operating, development of new mine and GDP in the span of 1993-2015. Mongolia’s economic growth has become extremely dependent on the natural resource sector. For example, 20% of GDP, 61% of industrial value added, and 80% of export earnings come from the mining industry. Therefore, the legal and regulatory environment of the Mongolian mining sector plays a significant role in economy. In below diagram, you can see the average percentage of mining sector’s role in total GDP, export, budget and FDI from 2012-2014. Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Page 6 For example, 20% of GDP, 61% of industrial value added, and 80% of export earnings come from the mining industry. Therefore, the legal and regulatory environment of the Mongolian mining sector plays a significant role in economy. In below diagram, you can see the average percentage of mining sector’s role in total GDP, export, budget and FDI from 2012-2014. Fig.1. Mining sector’s Contribution Indicatorsand and Average (2012-2014) Fig.1. Mining sector’s Contributionby by Financial Financial Indicators itsits Average (2012-2014) Export 81% GDP 17% 20 2012 21 2013 17 2014 8 9 FDI Budget 73% 23% % % 9 1 8 1 2012 2013 2014 2 1 2 0 2 3 2013 2014 2012 7 8 8 1 7 3 2012 2013 2014 I havedivided dividedinvestment investmentlegal legalenvironment environmentinin2 2intervals intervalsdepending dependingon onthe theimpacts impactsofofthe the I have working workingregulations. regulations. Increase of foreign direct investment /1993-2006/ Increase of foreign direct investment /1993-2006/ Afterbecoming becoming a democratic country, The Mongolian Parliament issued its first investment “Foreign After a democratic country, The Mongolian Parliament issued its first “Foreign investment Law” in 1993 and “Mineral Law” in 1997 to regulate activities and relations between Law” in 1993 and “Mineral Law” in 1997 to regulate activities and relations between the mining and the mining and socio-economic environmental sectors. These laws established a positive socio-economic environmental sectors. These laws established a positive atmosphere among the atmosphere among the parties and created an investor friendly business environment. The parties and created an investor friendly business environment. The fundamental legal and regulatory fundamental legal and regulatory framework for the procedures of granting exploration and framework the procedures of sector granting exploration rights in the mining was extractionfor rights in the mining was set up byand theextraction Mining Law. According to thesector law, the set up by the Mining Law. According to the law, the mineral licenses were granted on a first-come mineral licenses were granted on a first-come first-served basis, a low taxation and royalty first-served basis, a low taxation and royalty imposed on andpredictable more importantly, burden was imposed on investors, andburden more was importantly, a investors, stable and legal a environment stable and predictable legal environment was present. For almost ten years, the lawpredictable provided a was present. For almost ten years, the law provided a stable and stable and predictable operational environment boosted the mining growth of the mining until operational environment and boosted the and growth of the sector until sector the 2006 amendment. Therefore, it contributed to the attractiveness of the sector and constantly the 2006 increased amendment. Therefore, it contributed to the attractiveness of the sector and constantly Foreign Direct Investments. increased Foreign Direct Investments. 4 there were no restrictions regarding usage of Main clauses, which were attracting FDI were that Main clauses, which were attracting were that no restrictions regarding their property and income, foreign FDI companies had there same were treatment as domestic ones from usage of their property and income, companies had same treatment as domestic from government government and inforeign order to sign investment agreement with the governmentones the required investment was not so high and also of this contract was longer, tax regime level was and in order to signlevel investment agreement withduration the government the required investment flexible. not so high and also duration of this contract was longer, tax regime flexible. TheFDI total as FDIcompared as comparedtoto FDI FDI due Mining sector over the period 1990-2014 is shown in is shown The total duetoto Mining sector over theofperiod of 1990-2014 Fig. 2. The correlation between Total FDI (X) and Mining sector FDI (Y) worked out to be 0.978 in Fig. 2. The correlation between Total FDIwas (X)0.77. andThus, Mining sector (Y)and worked out to be 0.978 (P<0.001) and significant and the slope implying that FDI the rise fall observed (P<0.001)inand significant and the slope wastune 0.77. Thus, that rise and fall observed in Total FDI is highly dependent, to the of 77% on implying the rise and fall the in FDI due to Mining sector. Total FDI is highly dependent, to the tune of 77% on the rise and fall in FDI due to Mining sector. Fig.2: Total FDIand andMining Mining sector sector FDI, (1990-2014) Fig.2: Total FDI FDI,million millionUSD USD (1990-2014) Total FDI Mining sector's FDI 4986.1 4038.2 3198.7 2217.8 2088.1 1120.8 316.8 493.9 1025.9 801.2 708.9 499.9 819.7 366.5 643.5 485.2 195.4 336.9 182.9 845.1 871.8 650.1 Page 7 Slowdown of Foreign direct investment Source: Investment agency Source: Investment agency Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign /2006-2015/ direct investment in Mongolian mining sector The 1997 Mineral Law was revised in 2006 and amended in July 2009; however, the amendment created backsliding and an unfavorable operational environment for investors due to the increased tax and regulatory burden on them, as well as the overall uncertainty Slowdown of Foreign direct investment /2006-2015/ The 1997 Mineral Law was revised in 2006 and amended in July 2009; however, the amendment created backsliding and an unfavorable operational environment for investors due to the increased tax and regulatory burden on them, as well as the overall uncertainty introduced by an unstable and unpredictable legal framework for the sector. The amendment also included a new type of mineral resource called the “strategic deposit.” Such a deposit is defined as one that can influence national security and economic development, for it has capacity of producing more than 5 percent of the country’s total annual GDP. Regardless of the intended improvement purpose, the changes resulted in a substantial decrease in investments and license activities. Consequently, new mining applications were suspended for nine months and created an inconsistent situation. Even According to the law, two types of licenses, exploration and mining, are granted to legal persons, taxpayers in Mongolia, and actors that operate under the laws of Mongolia. Yet, lacking detailed regulations and established requirements for the companies and individuals to obtain exploration and extraction licenses, until recently sector allowed many unincorporated applicants accumulate licenses requirements for thethe companies and individuals to obtain exploration and to extraction licenses, until recently the sector allowed many unincorporated applicants to accumulate licenses for re-were for re-sale for much higher prices than they were initially bought. As more mineral resources sale for much higher prices than they were initially bought. As more mineral resources were discovered, such license dealings were amplified and yielded enormous rent-seeking possibilities. discovered, such there license amplified and yielded enormous 2300 rent-seeking By the August 2012, weredealings already were 3000 mining licenses and an additional exploration possibilities. By the August 2012, there were already 3000 mining licenses and an additional licenses, according to Mineral Resource Authorities. 2300 exploration licenses, according to Mineral Resource Authorities. Fig.3: Mining and Exploration licenses (2006-2015) Fig.3: Mining and Exploration licenses (2006-2015) 6000 5000 4000 All licenses 3000 Exploratory licenses Mining licenses 2000 1000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Mineral Resource Authority Source: Mineral Resource Authority Moreover, anyone, anyone, even eventhose thosewithout withoutprofessional professionalexperience experienceand andknowledge knowledgeofofthe thesector sector Moreover, could could conduct mining activities, which slowed down the progress in sector development and conduct mining activities, which slowed down the progress in sector development and ultimately ultimately created enormous negative consequences on the environment and people’s behavior. created enormous negative consequences the environment people’s In order In order to correct the regulatory gap, theon government decided and to stop issuingbehavior. new licenses in to correct the regulatory gap,from thelast government decided to stopapplications. issuing new licenses in 2010 and only 2010 and only starting year has started to accept starting from last year has started to accept applications. The Law on Prohibition of Mineral Exploration and Mining Activities in River Basins, Water The Law on Prohibition of Mineral Exploration and Mining Activities in River Basins, Water Reservoir Areas, and Forested Areas, commonly known as the Long Named Law, was enacted Reservoir and Forested knownfrom as the Long Named was enacted in 2009Areas, in order to secure the Areas, ecologycommonly and environment the damage causedLaw, by the mining in 2009 in order secure the ecology and environment frompopulace, the damage caused by was the mining activities. Thetolaw, generally, was appreciated by the local for its intention to activities. generally, The was government appreciated reviewed by the local populace, for its intention was to254 protect protectThe thelaw, environment. 1,782 mining licenses and revoked alluvial gold mining licenses in response the law. However, thisand environmentally the environment. The government reviewedto1,782 mining licenses revoked 254beneficial alluvial gold effort reduced the investor’s reliance on the mining sector. mining licenses in response to the law. However, this environmentally beneficial effort reduced the investor’s reliance on the mining sector. Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Page 8 Fig.4: Number of Operating companies in mining sector (2005 – 2014) Fig.4: Number of Operating companies in mining sector (2005 – 2014) Source: Investment agency agency Source: Investment In 2009, the government passed another new law to create a separate legal environment for In 2009, the government passed another new law to create a separate legal environment for uranium mining from the other types of mining. The Nuclear Regulatory Authority of Mongolia uranium mining from the other types of mining. The Nuclear Regulatory Authority of Mongolia was was established as an executive agency in charge of uranium-related procedures. Under the established as an executive agency in charge of uranium-related procedures. Under the law, the new law, the new agency revoked existing licenses of uranium exploration and mining and required agency revoked existing licenses of uranium exploration and mining and required the license holders the license holders to get their licenses re-registered. In November 2010, the agency stated that to get their licenses re-registered. In November 2010, the agency stated that the revoked licenses the revoked licenses would not be restored. These changes in the legal environment represent would not be restored. These changes in the legal environment represent the government’s inability the government’s inability to equally satisfy the participants of the sector while it launches new to equally satisfy the participants of the sector while it launches new laws and policies. laws and policies. Particularly controversial law was the Windfall Profits Tax Law, which was passed separately in 2006 and abolished in 2011. According the law, Profits a 68 percent windfall tax was the profits in Particularly controversial law was thetoWindfall Tax Law, which wasimposed passedonseparately fromand the abolished sale of goldinand copper—at theto time the highest royalty rateimposed in the world. 2006 2011. According theconsidered law, a 68 percent windfall taxtax was on the The tax increase was also interpreted as a burden shifted from smaller developers or individuals to in profits from the sale of gold and copper—at the time considered the highest royalty tax rate large mining andwas resource developers.as These amendments, which were made during or the world. Thecompanies tax increase also interpreted a burden shifted from smaller developers the highly profitable period for the sector, increased uncertainty and decreased the competitiveness individuals to large mining companies and resource developers. These amendments, which of themade sector.during In turn,the thishighly legislation damaged the attractiveness of Mongolian mining in the eyes were profitable period for the sector, increased uncertainty and of investors.the Before the amendment,ofin the Institute Mongolia had achievedthe decreased competitiveness the Fraser sector. In Mining turn, Survey, this legislation damaged a score of 54 out 100 on themining Index ofinPolicy Potential in 2005 for Before its overall attractiveness, attractiveness of of Mongolian the eyes of investors. thepolicy amendment, in the while only 12 and 19 scores were achieved in 2006 and 2007 after the amendments. ranked 78 of Fraser Institute Mining Survey, Mongolia had achieved a score of 54 out of 100 onIt the Index out ofPotential 93 counties very lowpolicy score attractiveness, of 19.5 in 2011‒2012, and the has not Policy in with 2005itsfor itsscore overall while only 12 low andranking 19 scores were improved until now, which demonstrates how easy it is to lose attractiveness, but difficult to achieved in 2006 and 2007 after the amendments. It ranked 78 out of 93 counties withregain its very it. Some countries rely on highhas levels taxation and score low resource-rich score of 19.5developing in 2011‒2012, andtend the to low ranking not ofimproved untilregulation, now, which and it applies more to the businesses that involve foreign companies. This policy can be suitable on demonstrates how easy it is to lose attractiveness, but difficult to regain it. Some resource-rich environmental grounds, yet it also can discourage output and foreign involvement as demonstrated developing countries tend to rely on high levels of taxation and regulation, and it applies more to by businesses the experiences the populist nationalism of Bolivia, and Venezuela. the thatofinvolve foreign companies. This Mexico policy can be suitable on environmental In theyet following we can seeoutput that even price is constantly rising, operating grounds, it alsodiagram can discourage andthough foreigngold involvement as demonstrated by the companies are declining quantity. It of can be derived that because of the Windfall profit law, experiences of the populistinnationalism Bolivia, Mexico and Venezuela. companies are going out of business or evading tax and providing false information about mined Ingold the to following diagram we can see that even though gold price is constantly rising, operating the authorities. companies are declining in quantity. It can be derived that because of the Windfall profit law, companies are going out of business or evading tax and providing false information about mined gold to the authorities. 7 Page 9 Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Fig.5: ofgold goldand anditsits price, 2000-2014 Fig.5:Production Production of price, 2000-2014 Source: Association of Mongolian miners Source: Association of Mongolian gold gold miners Since 75% of exports and 40% of revenues of Mongolia are formed by the mining industries, which theand investment of domestic, foreign and ventures, inconsistency in the Sinceoperate 75% of under exports 40% of revenues of Mongolia arejoint formed by the mining industries, legal and regulatory environment of taxation will be a big challenge to the government. In other which operate under the investment of domestic, foreign and joint ventures, inconsistency in the words, tax policy should be favorable to both the state and investors. legal and regulatory environment of taxation will be a big challenge to the government. In other words, should be favorable to both the state and investors. With tax thepolicy intention to increase the government’s revenue, the amendment to double the royalty rate made in to 2006. However, the doubledrevenue, rate eliminated sector investors the Withwas the intention increase the government’s the amendment to doublemaking the royalty Mongolian industry the royalty regime, again. making the Mongolian rate was madeextractive in 2006. However, thehighest doubledmineral rate eliminated sector investors extractive industry the highest mineral royalty regime, again. Reduction of foreign direct investment will negatively impact Mongolian development, because Reduction of foreign investmentand will financial negativelycapacity impact Mongolian the government lacksdirect the managerial to operate development, the high cost because industry thealone. government lacks the managerial and financial to operate the high cost industrycapital alone. It lacks well-functioning domestic capitalcapacity markets and access to international It lacks well-functioning capital markets andofaccess to international capital markets. As markets. As evidencedomestic of the expensive operation the sector, “60 percent of the total FDI, which is more than 30 times the percentage that goes towards manufacturing and 20 times evidence of the expensive operation of the sector, “60 percent of the total FDI, which is more than 30 more towardsthat construction,” is devoted to the mining times thethan percentage goes towards manufacturing and 20 sector. times more than towards construction,” is devoted to the mining sector. Moreover, consequences stemming from the amendments show that the level of FDI, which is Moreover,to consequences stemming amendments show that decisions. the level ofInFDI, which essential sector operation, is very from muchthe susceptible to government 2012, the is essential sector operation, is very In 2012, the Mongoliantogovernment received 3.8 much billion susceptible U.S. dollarstoingovernment FDI, yet it decisions. was 4.6 billion in the Mongolian received 3.8 billion U.S. dollars in FDI, yet billion in the previousgovernment year. A major reason for the sharp decrease wasit was the 4.6 amendment of previous Foreign Investment Law of for Mongolia (1993) which was is Law Mongolia of on Foreign the Regulation of Foreign year. A major reason the sharp decrease the of amendment Investment Law of Investment in Business Entities Engaging in Strategic Importance Sectors (SFI Law) which was Mongolia (1993) which is Law of Mongolia on the Regulation of Foreign Investment in Business Entities Engaging in Strategic Importance Sectors (SFI Law) which was approved in 2012 June. Persistent debates before and after the change in 8 the Strategic Entities Foreign Investment Law of Mongolia increased the cautiousness of foreign investors regarding the Mongolian investment environment. By November 2013, FDI slumped 50 percent due to a prolonged skirmish with the Rio Tinto Group, which is the largest investor in the Mongolian mining sector. Due to the decline in FDI and export of some minerals, the overall Mongolian economy confronts considerable external imbalances. Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Page 10 In short, overly optimistic changes that were made during the highly profitable period of the sector increased investor uncertainty and decreased the sector’s competitiveness. The level of taxation is dependent on the smooth and profitable operation of the companies. Therefore, if there is an interruption in their operation, the revenue stream going to the government will be reduced. In short, in order to maximize its tax receipts, the government should encourage investments. After the Mongolian Parliament made amendments that were more resource developer friendly, including the repeal of the Windfall Profits Tax effective on January 2011, some positive results were observed. For example, the investment agreement of one of the biggest mining projects “Oyu Tolgoi” was finally signed in September 2009. A report issued by the Mongolian Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative in 2012 shows that the increase of mining and oil activity in recent years has resulted in significant improvement in tax revenue from extractive companies. The tax revenue increased 66 percent between 2010 and 2011, reflecting the rapid influx of investment into this sector. Taxes and revenues from selling the mineral resources are collected and divided by the state. According to the EITI Mongolia report, there are more than 100 government entities that accept payments from the mining companies in Mongolia and the government lacks a centralized, systematic way to keep track of these taxes and revenues. Different ministries, agencies, provinces, and subprovinces can collect the government receipts; consequently, substantial amounts of revenue can be left out of reports by the tax authority and therefore could be illegally spent and distributed. This also suggests that respected central and local authorities lack efficient coordination of rules and responsibilities to track and monitor taxes and revenues. Having a comparatively small population, Mongolia is very vulnerable to this risk. Such a “dynamic inconsistency” problem happens under political pressures, and it discourages foreign companies and investors. Decisions associated with the extractive industry are made by the politicians at higher levels, for the industry brings huge amounts of income which has the ability to impact the entire country. However, excessive involvement of the politicians in the executive branch’s operation damages the government’s ability to pursue consistent and reliable policy in the sector. Since the early 1990s, Mongolia has experienced inconsistency among the political parties in power as well as among members of the government. The frequent change of the governments negatively affects long-term policies, because the new government in power always seeks to neglect and end the policies that were initiated by the previous government. In 2014 new Mineral law has been enacted. The Amendment is aimed to give opportunity to such license holders to continue their mining operations, if they provide 100% guarantee for the environmental rehabilitation and apply for permission to the Mineral Resource Authority of Mongolia for resuming their activity within 3 months after the law comes into effect. Pursuant to the Minerals Law, the state may participate up to 50% jointly with a private legal entity in the exploitation of a minerals deposit of strategic importance where state funded exploration was used to determine proven reserves and such percentage of the state share is determined by an agreement on exploitation of the deposit considering the amount of investment made by the state. Further, the state may hold up to 34% of the shares of the investment made by a license holder in a mineral deposit of strategic importance where proven reserves were determined through funding sources other than the state budget and the percentage of the state share is determined by an agreement on exploitation of the deposit considering the amount of investment to be made by the state budget. Conclusion and recommendation From the analysis, I have deducted following articles that contain specific concepts have attracted foreign direct investment: • Royalty rate was favorable • Investment size to sign Investment certificate was low • No limitation in investment size Page 11 Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector • Same conditions as domestic investors Below articles have folded FDI: • Increase in tax regime • Ban on exploratory licenses • Limitation in investing strategic mines. The current Investment Law (2013) has taken consideration to all these problems and is considered as a plausible law, however, FDI is still dropping as in 2015 it fell by 42%, mining sector’s FDI by 30%. Following this, economic growth is slowing down. Even though we have resources, land, work force and regulatory regimes to attract investors, the reason why the investment is still so low is because of the constant change of legal environment and political instability. Thus, investors have lost confidence that the current situation will stay the same as it can change after every election or depending on the market trend. According to the history of legal environment, following obstacles can be deducted in the way of investors: • Main problems are caused by the Mongolian government and its unstable policy. Including: - Bureaucratism of public officers - Inconspicuous activity of government agencies - Breach of contracts and regulations - Law enforcement is low and articles, clauses are unclear • Even though new law environment is plausible, because of frequent changes in law environment after every election or after rise/decline of market demand, investors have lost confidence. • Arbitration cases that are still not solved and previous government disputes with foreign companies that have closed unfairly on enterprises side are causing distrust with prospective investors Thus, regaining investors trust is a foremost problem. Possible counter-measures to take: 1. In regulatory regimes: Specify in details rights and obligations of the parties, make clear how to solve problems in case of disputes. 2. In government layout: Improve structure: elate correspondence between government agencies Human resource: experienced personnel with knowledge in mining, law, international regulations and economy. Establish a private institution that conserves investor’s rights. Alleviate procedures Formulate a new formula regarding breach of contracts and investor’s defense rights 3. Regarding state policy: Develop infrastructure and push the enforcement of projects Accelerate enforcement of Mega-projects to regain trust of investors, stabilize currency and getting a new technology. Advertise new law amendments and its advantages in the international market to eradicate previous negative trendiness. Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector Page 12 References: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Page 13 Asian Development Bank. “Report on Mongolia - 2014.” http://www.adb.org/countries/ mongolia/economy. Barma, Naazneen H., Kai-Alexander Kaiser, Tuan Minh Le, and Lorena Vinuela. 2011. Rents to Riches? The Political Economy of Natural Resource-Led Development. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2011. EITI Mongolia report – 2013. Available at https://eiti.org/Mongolia Frankel, Jeffrey A. The natural resource curse: a survey. No. w15836. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2010. Fraser Institute Mining Survey 2011-2014. Available at https://www.fraserinstitute.org/ categories/mining Halvor, Moene Zahid, Torvik.L. Incentive Compatible Reforms: The Political Economy of Public Investments in Mongolia. East Asia and Pacific Region: The World Bank, 2006. Available at: http://www.infomongolia.com/ct/ci/169/138/Ministries%20of%20Mongolia. Humphreys, Macartan, Jeffrey D. Sachs, and Joseph E. Stiglitz. “What is the Problem with Natural Resource Wealth?” 2007. Investment Agency of Mongolia, statistic report 1993-2014 Jeffrey D. Sachs and Andrew M. Warner: Natural resources abundance and Economic growth, 1995. Available at : http://www.cid.harvard.edu/ciddata/warner_files/natresf5.pdf Kohn, Michael. “Mongolia Minerals Law Changes may lead to Lifting of License Ban.” Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-21/mongoliaminerals-law-changesmay-lead-to-lifting-of-license-ban.html. M.A.D. “The Mongolian Real State Report 2011-2014.” Available at http://mad-research.com/ mongolia/macroeconomics-mongoila/mining-sectormongolia/. Mineral resource authority report 2014 and statistics /1990-2014/ Mongolian laws are available at : http://www.legalinfo.com Nyamsuren.Ch, The resource curse in Mongolia: Mineral wealth, institutional quality and economic performance, 2014 Richard M. Auty : A Mongolian Perspective. China Brief 5, no. 10. Theunissen, Tirza: Poverty, Inequality, and the Negative Effects of Mongolia’s Economic Downturn. The Asian Foundation, 2013 Available at: http://asiafoundation.org/inasia/2014/06/25/poverty-inequality-and-the-negative-effects-of-mongolias-etim lconomicdownturn/ World bank: Investment climate - Mongolia 2010-2014 Available at http://unctad.org/en/ PublicationsLibrary/wir2015_en.pdf Revisions of the legal environment on increasing foreign direct investment in Mongolian mining sector IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Damdindorj N., Undarmaa. E National University of Mongolia Abstract: The sustainable development of a country is largely dependent on the development of infrastructure sector; therefore, the governmental policies and regulations tend to the sustainable development of this sector. Infrastructure sector includes energy, transportation, post and communication, social infrastructure such as education and health. For recent 6 years, mining and exploration sector has occupied about 20% of GDP, approximately 70% of total industrial products, and 90% of export in Mongolia. This shows the important role which mining sector is playing in the economy of Mongolia. The development of mining sector, in turn is highly dependent on the infrastructure development. The present paper advocate the critical need for development of infrastructure project and to determine models which are large scale infrastructure projects that can be implemented through Public-PrivatePartnership in developing countries. The appropriate models for Mongolian infrastructure sector development are also discussed in the paper. Key words: Infrastructure sector, Public-Private-Partnership, Build-Operate-Transfer, BuildOwn-Operate Forewords: One of the background conditions for the sustainable development of a country is a development of infrastructure sector; therefore, the governmental policies and regulations tend to the sustainable development of this sector. Especially, the mining sector, which is highly dependent on the infrastructure development, plays an important role in the increase of mining products’ competitiveness for developing countries and for promoting into the world market. Infrastructure sector includes energy, transportation, post and communication, social infrastructure such as education and health. In accordance with international experiences, infrastructure projects are financed by private investment in addition to budget assets. The Government of Mongolia also approved “State Policy on PPP” in 2009 that stated “to provide infrastructure and social basic services to public, the public and private sectors should cooperate on the implementation of the projects and programs of major priority for the Government, to make the public participation in certain sectors optional through assignments of some of state tasks and assignments into a private sector”, to improve quality and adequacy of basic service, and to improve efficiency of budgets”. In early 1990s, the entire world, namely developing countries had a practice, where projects of infrastructure sector have been implemented jointly by public and private sectors. The research aims to implement this practice into Mongolia. One. Mining sector development and critical issues For recent 6 years, mining and exploration sector has occupied about 20%of GDP, approximately 70% of total industrial products, and 90% of export in Mongolia. Figure 1 shows that mining sector has become a main moving force of Mongolian economy whereas the sector is under the permanent attention of government, foreign and domestic investors. Therefore, it is necessary to consider positive and negative sides of economic policy based on the mining sector, to improve competitiveness of mining products in order to develop other sectors of the country on basis of the revenue gained from mining sector, namely to make an optional solution to the investment to the mining infrastructure. IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Page 14 Fig. 1: Percentage Contribution of Mining and Exploration sector in Total Economy of Mongolia (2009-2014) Source: National Statistics Office. www.1212.mn In accordance with annual survey conducted by “Ernst and Young Global” International Auditing Company on mining companies of the world, top 10 risks of mining and metals sector have included risks caused by infrastructural sector1 (See Fig. 2). It means mining and exploration sector is directly depended on the infrastructure development. Former researchers also consider development of the infrastructure sector is vital for the sustainability of the Mongolian mining sector’s growth, economic efficiency, and competitiveness2. For recent 5 years, risks of infrastructure sector have become the most critical problem for the mining sector of developing countries; however, you can see this level has decreased in 2013-2014. As any major investment and construction works haven’t been made in infrastructure sector of Mongolia for those years, risk level hasn’t been decreased. Fig. 2. Risks to mining sector of developing countries due to infrastructure sector Source: “Ernst and Young Global” 1 2 Ernst and Young Global. “Business risks facing mining and metals”. 2009-2014 EURASIA CAPITAL “Infrastructure in Mongolia: Challenges and Opportunities”. 2009 Page 15 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Two. The required investment for the infrastructure sector of Mongolia and state budget Infrastructural sector of the country is special for its direct and indirect influences to the economy of the country, its role, initial investment, payback period, and many other data. The projects in infrastructure sector are large scale project and construction of non-current assets, therefore, financial resources are one of the major challenges for the government of project implementation. Recently the Mongolian foreign investment has decreased and domestic financial resource is insufficient; therefore, financial and economic slump has occurred that is being surmounting major issues in the present and future. In accordance with statistics data of the recent 6 years, over 420.0 billion MNT investment has been made into the infrastructure sector annually. The infrastructure sector of the Mongolia would require approximately 19.2 trillion MNT financing for the next decade3. It means that the infrastructure sector would require annually 1.5 trillion MNT additional financing for the next 10 years. 1 2 3 4 № 5 1 China 6 2 India 3 4 5 China 4,367.6 Table 1: The required investment for infrastructure53.1 sector of Asian8,298,440.0 and India 2,172.5 26.4 4,127,750.0 Pacific Ocean countries in 2010-2020 Malaysia 188.0 2.3 357,200.0 Sum /by billion Percentage in total Sum /by billion MNT/ Thailand 172.9 2.1% 328,510.0 Countries USD/ investment 1 US$=1900MNT Mongolia 10.1 0.12 19,190.0 4,367.6 53.1 8,298,440.0 Other /27 countries/ 1,311.4 15.98 2,491,660.0 2,172.5 26.4 4,127,750.0 TOTAL SUM 8,222.5 100 15,622,750.0 Malaysia 188.0 2.3 357,200.0 Source: “ADBI” working paper series, No. 248, Estimating demand for infrastructure in energy, Thailand 172.9 2.1% 328,510.0 transport, telecommunication, water and sanitation in Asia and the Pacific: 2010-2020 Mongolia 10.1 0.12 19,190.0 6 Other /27 countries/ 1,311.4 15.98 2,491,660.0 The Mongolia has no other ways than to be financed these huge amount of investment only by TOTAL SUM 8,222.5 100 15,622,750.0 private investment, namely resources of foreign investors if the state budgettransport, of the Source: “ADBI”sector working paper series, No. 248, Estimating demand for infrastructure in energy, telecommunication, water sanitation inreserves Asia and the Pacific:earnings) 2010-2020just remunerating the current country has noand accumulated (retained expenses.has These additional for these infrastructural sector is to 10.7% of by The Mongolia no other waysfinancing than to resources be financed huge amount of equal investment only average GDP for the last 6 years, 33.8%ofofforeign total budget revenues, 62.2% of total domestic private sector investment, namely resources investors if theand state budget of the country has no accumulated reserves (retained earnings) just remunerating the current expenses. These investment (Fig. 3). additional financing resources for infrastructural sector is equal to 10.7% of average GDP for the last 6 years, 33.8% of total budget revenues, and 62.2% of total domestic investment (Fig. 3). Fig. 3: Additional Financing in terms of the Percentage of the selected financial Fig. 3: Additional Financing terms of theofPercentage of the indicators for in Development Infrastructure in selected Mongoliafinancial indicators for Development of Infrastructure in Mongolia 70 62.2 60 50 42.6 40 33.8 25.3 30 20 10 0 10.7 GDP Total Investment Total Domestic Investment Foreign Investment Total Budget Revenue Source: National Statistics Office. www.1212.mn Source: National Statistics Office. www.1212.mn Therefore, private sector investment is necessary for the development of the infrastructure Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) working paper series, No. 248, Estimating demand for infrastructure in energy, transport, telecommunication, and sanitation Asiaexperiences and the Pacific: sector. In addition, it iswater necessary to useinthe to 2010-2020 be financed major infrastructure 3 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN SECTOR projects by private investment orINFRASTRUCTURE jointly by public and private sector. Page 16 Three. Public-Private-Partnership Since early 1990s, thesector entire investment world has experienced new experience finance Therefore, private is necessaryafor theadvanced development of the to infrastructure sector. Intoaddition, it is necessary use the experiences to be major infrastructure projects projects be implemented in the to infrastructural sector that is financed a Public-Private Partnership (P3), by private investment or jointly by public and private sector. a contractual arrangement between a public agency (federal, state or local) and a private sector entity. Through this agreement, the skills and assets of each sector (public and private) are Three. Public-Private-Partnership shared in delivering a service or facility for the use of the general public. Within the framework of Since early 1990s, the entire world has experienced a new advanced experience to finance projects this partnership, a joint public-private company established or privatePartnership companies(P3), possess and to be implemented in the infrastructural sectoristhat is a Public-Private a contractual arrangementconcession between a public agency local) and private sector entity. Through thisPrivate agreement, implement items on (federal, contractstate andorreturn to athe state after specific time. the skills and assets of each sector (public and private) are shared in delivering a service or facility for the companies take all the Within risks and the partnership, concession aitems during the contractual use of the general public. the efficiencies framework ofofthis joint public-private company is established or private companies possess and implement concession items on contract andalso return period. This model, which implements infrastructure project, is consist of public sector and to the state after specific time. Private companies take all the risks and efficiencies of the concession many other economic subjects of different proprietorship (such as investors, lenders, suppliers items during the contractual period. This model, which implements infrastructure project, is consist of and purchasers etc.) that encourages activation of other Fig. 4). public sector and also many other economic subjects of sectors different(See proprietorship (such as investors, lenders, suppliers and purchasers etc.) that encourages activation of other sectors (See Fig. 4). Fig. 4: Main framework for Public-Private Partnership Fig. 4: Main framework for Public-Private Partnership Source: N. Damdindorj. “Research on Theoretical Basis of Project Finance and Its Implementation in Mongolian Mining Project”, 2012 Source: N. Damdindorj. “Research on Theoretical Basis of Project Finance and Its Implementation in Mongolian Mining Project”, 2012 Fig. 5 illustrates that government can use different types of project implementation models with private such as of existing items, private sector individually or jointly creates Fig. sector 5 illustrates thattransfer government can use different types of project implementation models awith private sector such public as transfer of existing items, privateetc. sector individually or jointly creates a new new entity, through or private sector’s dominance entity, through public or private sector’s dominance etc. Fig. 5: Types of PPP Page 17 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Fig. 5: Types of PPP Source: PPIAF “PPP Basics and Principles of a PPP Framework”, 2012 Source: PPIAF “PPP Basics and Principles of a PPP Framework”, 2012 By the estimation of the World Bank, countries in the world have implemented over 6400 projects the type of through totally 2 trillion billionhave USD implemented in 1990-2014;over out 6400 of which, By theinestimation of PPP the World Bank, countries in 413 the world projects inabout the type of PPP through 2 trillion billion USDinin transportation 1990-2014; out of which, 3,000 3,000 or 48% in thetotally energy sector,413 1,600 or 25% sector, and about the rest or 48% in the energy sector, 1,600 or 25% in transportation sector, and the rest 1,800 in post, 1,800 in post, communication, and social sectors, infrastructure sectors,(See respectively communication, and social infrastructure respectively Fig. 6). (See Fig. 6). The most common types of PPP are Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT), Build-Own-Operate (BOO), Build-Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer and Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer (ROT). (BOO), Over 6,400 The most common types of PPP are(BROT), Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT), Build-Own-Operate projects involved into the survey of the World Bank, 1812 projects or 28% were BOT, 1295 or 20% Build-Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer (BROT), and Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer (ROT). Over were BOO, then respectively (See Fig. 7) shows that these types were the most common types for 6,400 involved into the survey of the World Bank, 1812 projects or 28% were BOT, the half projects of the total projects. 1295 or 20% were BOO, then respectively (See Fig. 7) shows that these types were the most Fig. 6: Sectors of PPP common types for the half of the total projects. energy sector 14% 13% transportation sector 48% Fig. 6: Sectors of PPP 25% communication sector social infrastructure sectors Source: WorldBank Bankwww.worldbank.org www.worldbank.org Source: World Fig. 7: Types of PPP Fig. 7: Types of PPP IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR 28% Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Build-Own-Operate (BOO) Page 18 Fig. 7: Types of PPP Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Build-Own-Operate (BOO) 28% 29% Build-Rehabilitate-OperateTransfer (BROT) 9% Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer (ROT) 20% 14% Others(BLT, RLT...) Source: World Bank www.worldbank.org Source: World Bank www.worldbank.org 1.51.5 trillion MNT or or 790 million US$ financing necessary forfor thethe average annual investment toto the trillion MNT 790 million US$ financing necessary average annual investment the infrastructure sector of Mongolia occupied 4.4% and 0.4% of the average finance of the projects infrastructure sector of Mongolia occupied 4.4% and 0.4% of the average finance of the projects implemented in the world, Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries for the recent 6 years (Table 2) implemented in the world, Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries for the recent 6 years that shows a possibility to attract such an investment if we improve foreign investment environment. (Table 2) that shows a possibility to attract such an investment if we improve foreign investment environment. Table 2: Projects implemented in the World, Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries in 2009-2014 Table 2: Projects implemented in the World, Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries in № Data 2009 20102009-2014 2011 2012 2013 2014 Average № NumberData 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Average of projects in 2009 1 287 307 427 409 291 325 341 the world of Number 1 287 307 427 409 291 325 341 projects in the 2 Total investment in the world /by million dollars/ 157,234 187,862 176,452 195,202 150,353 213,596 180,116 3 Number of projects in Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries 78 62 116 85 85 67 82 4 Total investment in Eastern Asia and Pacific Ocean countries /by million dollars/ 18,175 18,503 15,505 17,876 19,420 18.924 18,067 Source: World Bank. www.worldbank.org In Table 3, you can see 39% of total projects in the energy sector were implemented in BOO type, 30% in BOT, while 37% of transportation sector in BROT and 30% in BOT types, 38% of total projects in social infrastructural sector in BOT and 28% in ROT types. Most of the 861 projects in post and communication sector were implemented in Merchant type. Table 3: Types of infrastructural projects implemented in the Page 19 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR developing countries of the world in 1990-2014 № Data Energy Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) 926 30% Build-Own-Operate (BOO) 1,205 39% Build-Rehabilitate-Operate3 124 4% Transfer (BROT) Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer 4 93 3% (ROT) 5 Others 740 24% Total 3,088 100% 491 16 30% 1% Telecommunication 9 1% 95 11% 606 37% 8 1% 159 18% 295 18% 2 0,2% 204 23% 229 14% 747 86,8% 160 1,637 100% 861 100% 885 Source: World Bank. www.worldbank.org 18% 100% Transportation 1 2 Social Infrastructure 336 38% 26 3% Concession Law of Mongolia states about types of PPP such as Build-Transfer, Build-LeaseTransfer, Build-Operate-Transfer, Build-Own-Operate-Transfer, Build-Own-Operate, Design-BuildFinance-Operate, and Rehabilitate-Operate-Transfer. In Mongolia, totally 5 projects of totally 164.0 million dollars have been implemented in 1990-2014, whereas 120.0 million USD project in energy sector was implemented in Build-Own-Transfer type in 2012. 77% or 101 out of 132 items for PPP implemented in accordance with the Resolution of the Mongolian Government4 were stated for Build-Transfer type, it means that Build Transfer type has been dominating in Mongolia (Table 4). Thus, each 31% of energy sector project was implemented in ВОТ, ВОО, and ВТ types, 50% of transportation sector and 91% of social infrastructure sector, namely education sector had been implemented in BT type. Table 4: Sector of PPP project implementation in Mongolia, type of partnership № Data Energy Social Infrastructure Transportation 1 2 3 4 Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) 4 31% 5 18% Build-Own-Operate (BOO) 4 31% 6 21% 7 Build-Transfer (BT) 4 31% 14 50% 83 Others 1 7% 3 11% 1 Total 13 100% 28 100% 91 Source: www.legalinfo.mn 7,9% 91% 1,1% 100% Table 5 illustrates that a comparison of contents, features, risk conditions for BOT, BOO types commonly used in PPP of developing countries and BT type legally authorized and accepted in our country by the relevant laws. It shows that the public sector takes more risks to itself upon implementation of the project in ВТ and ВОТ types; however, the privilege is that the asset stays under the public ownership as strength of BOO type. Thus, ВОО type does not require Table 5. Comparison between ВТ, ВОТ and ВОО types of PPP Data Financial resource State guarantee Construction Operation Risks Post concession term Property ownership Build-OperateTransfer (BOT) Public and private Only during concession Private Private Build-OwnOperate (BOO) Private Public Public Private Public Public Private Build-Transfer (BT) Public and private Only during reconstruction Private Public N/A Private Private specific financing and guarantee from the state, the property ownership transfers to the private 4 Mongolian Government Resolution №317, Concession items of state property, 2013 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Page 20 sector. Above types have their advantages and disadvantages. It means that the public sector would make an optional choice on the type of partnership with the private sector due to project features. Summary and proposals: • • Mongolia will have been developing mining infrastructure cause the Mongolian economy is depended on mining sector and products. In accordance with the survey, it is impossible for Mongolia to finance all the planned projects are implemented by the state budget only. We had submitted that widespread and effective “Public-Private-Partnership” models are used in Mongolian infrastructure sector. Mongolian government would choose appropriate type of Public-Private-Partnership that considering features of sector, possibilities and capacities of private companies, and their economic capacities. For instance, we consider that it is more suitable to use BOO for energy sector, BROT or BOT for transportation, Merchant for telecommunication, BOT or ROT for social infrastructure sector, respectively. Bibliography: • “ADBI” working paper series, No. 248, Estimating demand for infrastructure in energy, transport, telecommunication, water and sanitation in Asia and the Pacific: 2010-2020, 2010 • Damdindorj N., Research on Theoretical Basis of Project Finance and Its implementation in Mongolian Mining Project. 2012 • Ernst and Young Global, Business risks facing mining and metals, 2009-2014 • EURASIA Capital, Infrastructure in Mongolia: Challenges and Opportunities, 2009. http:// www.associm.com/newsletters/pdf/INFRASTRUCTURE_final.pdf • John D. Finnerty, Project Financing: Asset-Based Financial Engineering, 2006 • Mongolian Concession Law www.legalinfo.mn • Mongolian Governmental Resolution №317 on approval of a list of state property concession items, 2013. www.legalinfo.mn • PPIAF, PPPs: An Introduction, 2009 • http://www.ppiaf.org/sites/ppiaf.org/files/documents/PPIAF_Intro_to_PPPs.pdf • World Bank, Public-Private-Partnerships Reference Guide, Version 2.0, 2014.www. worldbank.org Page 21 IMPLEMENTING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERHSIP (PPP) IN INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses Batsukh. Ts, Unur. S University of Finance and Economics Abstract This paper focuses on twin transitions of political – from totalitarian to democracy, of economic – from centrally planned economy to market economy in Mongolia based on analysis of political and economic spectrum charting. Scatter plot is drawn for showing dynamic changes in political and economic conditions over two period of time namely 1970 and 2010. In the year 1970, the countries like India, Israel, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Turkey had socialist economy but democratic politics while countries like Singapore, Spain, South Korea, Thailand and Iran had dictatorial capitalism. By 2010, most of the countries shifted to democratic capitalism. However, former Soviet Union, China, Thailand and Vietnam had shifted to dictatorial capitalism. We compared the transitions of European countries with similarity of Mongolia, and proposed further suggestions and recommendation on policy issues. It is remarkable that the transition of Mongolia is externally caused instead of internally pressed system change. Mongolia first liberalized politics and then the economy which is generally observed transition path of Eastern European countries. There is a need to improve property right protection, alleviate corruption, limit Government involvement in economy, and decrease Government expenditure to improve governance so that freedom in economy from politics is maintained. Key Words: Transition, Scatter plot, Socialist economy, Dictatorial capitalism, Mongolia Introduction This paper focuses on twin transitions of political – from totalitarian to democracy, of economic – from centrally planned economy to market economy in Mongolia based on analysis of political and economic spectrum charting. Political spectrum is derived from the Freedom in the World index of Freedom House and economic spectrum is derived from Economic Freedom Index of Fraser Institute and Index of Economic Freedom Score of Heritage Foundation. Scatter plot is drawn for showing dynamic changes in political and economic conditions and related conclusions are given. We compared the transitions of European countries with similarity of Mongolia, and proposed further suggestions and recommendation on policy issues. It is remarkable that the transition of Mongolia is externally caused instead of internally pressed system change. Mongolia first liberalized politics and then the economy which is generally observed transition path of Eastern European countries. There is a need to improve property right protection, alleviate corruption, limit Government involvement in economy, decrease Government expenditure to improve governance so that freedom in economy and politics is maintained. 1. Social Development Theories and Critique on Socialism 1.1. Social development theories It is necessary to review social development theories to explain and understand the nature of twin transitions. There are various theories and models and schools of thought that explain development of society, transitional mechanism between different stages. Most influential social development theories are summarized in following table which includes Social Stratification Theory of Karl Marx and Fredrick Engels, Rostovian Take-off Model, Ethno-genesis and Social Cycle Theory of Lev Gumilev and Nikolay Danilevsky. Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses Page 22 Any dynamic system is influenced by “external” and “internal” factors. Catastrophe theory deals with the adjustment of the parameters in the system to gradual external changes which leads the system from one steady state to another one or turns into different system. This phenomenon is deeply related to internal nature of the system. Non-linear systems are sensitive to initial conditions, thus the systems which are internally same nature can be in different steady-states. Smirnov and Ershov (1992) used catastrophe theory in “Perestroika” for explaining Russian transition (Smirnov & Ershov, 1992). On the other hand, the reaction of the system to the unanticipated external shock is studied by stochastic process. Stochastic process is suitable for studying ethno-genesis and social cycle theory. 1.2. Critique on Socialism Twentieth century is definitely the century of socialism. Everywhere around the globe, the countries in Europe, Asia, Latin America, and Africa had their socialist government. However the empirical results of socialist system leads to economic and political disaster no matter when or where the agenda was implemented. Fall of the socialism is attributed neither to the lack of public willingness nor to lack of the stoutness of political leaders. Furthermore neither choosing wrong leader nor unexpected historical incidence can be the failure of socialist system. The fundamental problem was within the ideals of socialism. (Boettke, 1993). When state owns the means of productions, there is no market for factors of production, which also means that there is no money price for factors of production. If there is no pricing system, the economic agents absent with sign of price which is indicator of scarcity, therefore rational calculations is impossible. The free pricing system transforms subjective decision making of one agent into objective signals which are perceivable by other economic agents. Socialism lacks such procedure, therefore, economic decision makers will use scarce resources without frugality, and at the same time, they are not able to get the information that the resources are used inefficiently. Moreover, economic decision makers do not have intensive to correct the biased spending (Mises, 1936), (Mises, 1953). Hayek augmented the above mentioned idea of Mises, and proposed two broad problems in socialist system. First is epistemological problem. Decision making must be logical when authority holds all power to plan economy. Since there is not economic information, most decisions are made not economic logic, but political calculations. This allows immense economic power to few people holding political authority, and they abuse their privilege thus leading to totalitarian regime (Hayek, 1944), (Hayek, 1948). Proposed problems of socialism by Mises-Hayek are interdependent. Four arguments against the socialist system, namely (1) problems of property right and incentive, (2) complexity of information and calculation, (3) epistemological problem and (4) political problem, are causes of one another 2. Spectrum of Politics and Economy 2.1. Political Spectrum Left-right political spectrum indicates the political agenda and ideologies of party or regime. Even left and right wings of political spectrum disprove each other, a person have left wing statement on some issues whereas right wing views on other issues. Page 23 Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses Figure Figure 1. 1. Political Political Spectrum Spectrum and and Related Related Political Political Systems. Systems. Source: Source: (Government (Government of of Alberta, 2014) Figure 1. Political Alberta, 2014) Spectrum and Related Political Systems. Source: (Government of Alberta, 2014) The The political political left left focuses focuses on on societal societal change, change, advancement advancement in in ideas, ideas, and and radical radical changes. changes. Communism and socialism are included in this wing. The political right try to maintain the The political left focuses on societal change, advancement in ideas, and radical changes. Communism and socialism are included in this wing. The political right try to maintain the Communism and socialism arepolitical included in thisagrees wing. The political right try to to some maintain the status quo status quo of society. The central ideas of both sides extent. Political status quo of society. The political central agrees ideas of both sides to some extent. Political of society. The political central agrees ideas of both sides to some extent. Political dictatorship can be dictatorship dictatorship can can be be found found in in two two ways. ways. Extreme Extreme left left including including communist communist tries tries to to bring bring radical radical found in two ways. Extreme left including communist tries to bring radical change, whereas extreme change, change, whereas whereas extreme extreme right right including including fascism fascism tries tries to to suppress suppress any any new new idea idea and and external external rightelements. including More fascism tries to suppress any new idea and external elements. More democratic and democratic and mildly left, right or central ideals are labeled as liberalism elements. More democratic and mildly left, right or central ideals are labeled as liberalism mildly left, right or central ideals are labeled as liberalism (see Figure 1). (see (see Figure Figure 1). 1). 2.2 Economic Spectrum Economic Spectrum 2.2.2.2 Economic Spectrum Economic division the spectrum is on of control, purpose and Economic division divisionofof ofthe the spectrum is based based on degree degree of economic economic control, purpose and Economic spectrum is based on degree of economic control, purpose and property property type. The economical left focuses on collectivism, equality, income redistribution property type. The economical left focuses on collectivism, equality, income redistribution type. The economical left focuses on collectivism, equality, income redistribution and state-owned and property. The right achieve individualism, personal property. The economic right tries achieve individualism, and equality and state-owned state-owned property. Thetoeconomic economic right tries tries to to personal achieve business individualism, personal of business and equality of opportunity (see Figure 2). opportunity (see Figure 2). business and equality of opportunity (see Figure 2). Figure Figure 2. 2. Economic Economic Spectrum Spectrum and and Economic Economic Systems. Systems. Source Source (Government (Government of of Alberta, Figure 2. 2014) Economic Spectrum and Economic Systems. Source (Government of Alberta, 2014) Alberta, 2014) Based on the economic control, economic spectrum is from socialism to Based on onthe theeconomic economiccontrol, control,economic economic spectrum is built built socialism to capitalism. capitalism. Based spectrum is built fromfrom socialism to capitalism. When When economic controls increases, economy is near to socialism. On contrary when When economic controls increases, economy is near to socialism. On contrary when economic controls increases, economy is near to socialism. On contrary when economic controls economic controls economy is (Government of economic controlsisdecreases, decreases, economy is near near to to capitalism capitalism (Government of Alberta, Alberta, 2014). 2014). decreases, economy near to capitalism (Government of Alberta, 2014). 2.3 2.3 Coordinate Coordinate System System of of Political Political and and Economic Economic Spectrum Spectrum 2.3.By Coordinate System of Political and Economic Spectrum By combining combining two two spectrums spectrums in in descartes descartes coordinate coordinate system, system, there there are are four four types types of of classification: (1) dictatorial socialism or (2) democratic (3) By combining two in descartes system, there four typessocialism, of classification: classification: (1)spectrums dictatorial socialismcoordinate or communism, communism, (2) are democratic socialism, (3) capitalism, (4) dictatorial capitalism or fascism. Transitional post-communist (1) democratic dictatorial socialism or communism, (2) democratic socialism, (3) democratic capitalism, democratic capitalism, (4) dictatorial capitalism or fascism. Transitional post-communist(4) Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses Page3 324 dictatorial capitalism or fascism. Transitional post-communist countries are aiming to shift from dictatorial socialism to democratic capitalism. Through the transitional process country may pass countries aiming shift from dictatorial socialism to democratic capitalism. Through throughare either one ofto two remaining systems (democratic socialism and dictatorial capitalism) or both the transitional process country may pass through either one of two remaining systems of two remaining systems. (democratic socialism and dictatorial capitalism) or both of two remaining systems. Figure 3. Coordinate System of Political and Economic Spectrum. Source Figure 3. Coordinate System of Political and Economic Spectrum. Source (Government of Alberta, 2014) (Government of Alberta, 2014) 3 3.1 Measuring Freedom: Indices 3. Measuring Freedom: Indices Political Freedom Index 3.1. Political Freedom Index Since 1972 Freedom House started publishing Freedom in the World Report based on Since 1972 Freedom House started publishing Freedom in the World Report based on democracy democracy and freedom among the nations around the world. Political rights and civil and freedom among the nations around the world. Political rights and civil liberties are measured in liberties are measured in 7. scores scaling fromscore 1 to of 7.1Until average score to 2.5 scores scaling from 1 to Until 2003, average to 2.52003, is labeled as “free”, of of 3 to1 5.5 is is labeled as as “free”, 3 toand 5.5score is labeled as 5.5 “partly free” more labeled labeled “partlyoffree” more than is labeled as and “not score free”. In 2007,than score5.5 for is “partly free” free”. was altered as 5 toscore 7. Thefor report usesfree” political science elements for 7. ranking political uses rights political and as “not In 2007, “partly was altered as 5 to The report civil liberties. science elements for ranking political rights and civil liberties. 3.2 3.2. Economic Freedom Index Economic F reedom Index First economic freedom index measuredbybyFreedom Freedom House their experience First economic freedom index waswas measured Housebased basedonon their experience for indexing political and civil liberties. This index measures freedom of business and federal for indexing political and civil liberties. This index measures freedom of business and federal organizations. In 1972, another index named Economic Freedom of the World Index was developed organizations. In 1972, another index named Economic Freedom of the World Index by Michael Walker, the founder of the Fraser Institute. Since 1995, Index of Economic Freedom was was developed byfrom Michael theand founder of Journal. the Fraser Institute. Since 1995, Index of calculated HeritageWalker, Foundation Wall Street Economic freedom is complex concept covering private choice, market exchange, transaction, and property rights. Economic Freedom was calculated from Heritage Foundation and Wall Street Journal. Economic freedom is complex concept covering private choice, market exchange, 4. Dynamical Analysis transaction, and property rights. of Political and Economic Freedom Changes According to the indices of Freedom house, since 1990 the political freedom is continuously Dynamical of Political andindices Economic Freedom Changes increasing withAnalysis steady paces. Furthermore, of Fraser Institute indicate that nearly 90 percent of all countries in world are labeled as “mostly free or free” since 2000. In other words, the economics According to the indices of Freedom house, since 1990 the political freedom is continuously around the world becomes relatively free, global trade and business activity faces less barriers and increasing with steady paces. Furthermore, indices of and Fraser indicate nearly role of the government in economy had been shrank. Cuba NorthInstitute Korea are includedthat among the 90 countries thatcountries are labeledin“not free”.are labeled as “mostly free or free” since 2000. In other percent of all world 4 words, the economics around the world becomes relatively free, global trade and business Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of activity less barriers and role of the government in economy had been shrank. Cuba Page faces 25 Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses and North Korea are included among the countries that are labeled “not free”. Figure 4 shows the political and economic freedom of the countries in Cartesian coordinate Figure 4 shows the political and economic freedom of the countries in Cartesian coordinate system in 1970 and again in 2010 with 40 years of gap. Political spectrum indicates Freedom in After shows the end of colonialism, the World Report by Freedom House, whereas economic spectrum Economic Freedom of in 1970 socialism was the World Index by Fraser Institute. Center of the coordinate was chosen as average of two indices widespread and strong. Most respectively. of the countries were bipolarized to either After Freedom the endsocialism of colonialism, dictatorial or Figure 4. Global Change in Political and Economic in 1970 socialism was democratic capitalism. widespread andofstrong. Most in After the end colonialism, Countries such as Chile, 1970 socialism was widespread of theIsrael, countries were India, Bangladesh, and strong. Most of the countries bipolarized to either Pakistan, and Turkey had were bipolarized to either dictatorial dictatorial economy, socialism but or socialist socialism or democratic capitalism. democratic capitalism. democratic politics. On the Countries such as Chile, Israel, Countries as India, Chile, other hand,such countries such Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Turkey India, Israel, Spain, Bangladesh, as Singapore, had socialist economy, butSouth democratic Pakistan,Mexico, and Turkey had Korea, Thailand, politics. On the other hand, countries socialist economy, but and as IranSingapore, had dictatorial such Spain, South democratic politics. On the capitalism where Korea, Mexico, Thailand, and Iran other hand, countries such economically free, had dictatorialrelatively capitalism where as politically Singapore, Spain, but not free. South economically relatively free, but Korea, not Mexico, Thailand, politically free. andfor Iran had dictatorial As 2010, bipolarization in capitalism where 1970 had been dissolved economically relativelyinfree, and most of countries the As for 2010, bipolarization in 1970 had but politically not free. world shifted to democratic been dissolved and most of countries capitalism. Cuba still in shifted to holds democratic Asthe for world 2010, bipolarization in its position in communism. It capitalism. Cuba still holds its position 1970 had been dissolved is remarkable that in communism. It is remarkable and most ofhad countries inback the Venezuela shifted that Venezuela had shifted back world shifted to democratic to communism communism from to from democratic capitalism. Cuba still holds democratic capitalism fromcapitalism 1990. Latinfrom American its position in American communism. It 1990. and EastLatin European socialist and countries is remarkable that East1990European socialist their in quickly liberated Venezuelaand shifted back economies shifted to democratic countries inhad 1990 quickly to communism fromAsian capitalism. Central liberated However, their economies democratic capitalism from former republics Soviet Union, and shifted to ofdemocratic 1990. Latin American and had China, Thailand, and Vietnam capitalism. However, Central East toformer European socialist shifted dictatorial capitalism. Asian republics of countries in 1990 quickly Soviet Union, China, liberated and theirVietnam economies Thailand, had and shifted to democratic shifted to dictatorial capitalism. However, Central 5. Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia capitalism. Asian former republics of There was glamour to reform the society in Mongolia after Gorbachev’s Perestroika in 1985. Soviet Union, China, 5Political Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia demonstration was held from December 10th of 1989. Initial phase of political reform Thailand, and Vietnam had finished after promulgating Constitution January 13th of 1992, and Mongolia There was glamour to reformnew the democratic society in Mongolia afterinGorbachev’s Perestroika in 1985. shifted to dictatorial became demonstration “post-communist” newofConstitution private property allowed, Political was country. held fromAccording Decemberto10th 1989. Initial phase of politicalwas reform capitalism. civil participation in judiciary system dramatically expanded, in andJanuary civil mobility finished after promulgating new democratic Constitution 13th became of 1992,free. andFigure 5 Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia Mongolia became “post-communist” country. According to new Constitution private property was allowed, civil participation in society judiciaryinsystem dramatically expanded, and civil in mobility There was glamour to reform the Mongolia after Gorbachev’s Perestroika 1985. became free. Figure 5 shows twin transitions of Mongolia between 2014. The 45 Political demonstration was held from December 10th of 1989. Initial 1989 phaseand of political reform degree blue line depicts theoretical values, if both political and economic transition occurred finished after promulgating new democratic Constitution in January 13th of 1992, and simultaneously. Mongolia became “post-communist” country. According to new Constitution private property was allowed, civil participation in judiciary system dramatically expanded, and civil mobility became free. Figure 5 shows twin transitions of Mongolia between 1989 and 2014. The 45 degree blue line depicts theoretical values,ofif both political and economic transition occurred Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions Page 26 Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses simultaneously. 5 5 shows twin transitions of Mongolia between 1989 and 2014. The 45 degree blue line depicts theoretical values, if both political and economic transition occurred simultaneously. Figure 5.Political and Economic Freedom change in Mongolia (1989-2014). Figure 5.Political and Economic Freedom change in Mongolia (1989-2014). In economic reform started with abolishing price control by Resolution No.20 of the In economic in reform started abolishing price control privatization by Resolution of the government of 1991, and implemented byNo.20 offering coupon for government January 15th with in January 15th of 1991, and implemented privatization by offering coupon for former state-owned former state-owned enterprises which hold 75 percentage of all capital. Multi-party politics, enterprises which hold 75 percentage of all capital. Multi-party politics, democratic elections were democratic elections were initiated andparties held 6 times. New political in 1990s had in initiated and held 6 times. New political found in 1990s hadparties gainedfound political experience gained political experience democratic environment new laws were passedInitial democratic environment and newin laws were passed accordanceand to organic change in society. cultures, principles and legal frameworks for Initial operating economy and and business being formed. accordance to organic change in society. cultures, principles legal were frameworks for From the charting of political and economic spectrum, Mongolian transition is similar to that of operating economy and business were being formed. From the charting of political and Eastern European countries where political transition occurred more rapidly than economic changes. economic Mongolian transition is similar that dynamic of Eastern Moreover fromspectrum, 1989 to 2000, economic liberalization wastomore andEuropean swift. Butcountries recent years, where political transition occurred more rapidly economic changes. Moreover from 1989 is even political freedom has slightly increased, the than economic freedom had shrunken. This decline attributed toeconomic reductionliberalization of private property protection, corruption, government to 2000, was more dynamic and swift. But and recent years, eveninvolvement political indices according to Heritage Foundation Index. freedom has slightly increased, the economic freedom had shrunken. This decline is Judiciary reform is being of currently Current issues in political andgovernment economic frame attributed to reduction privateimplemented. property protection, corruption, and are indicating the lack of strong and stable political culture. Recent years, structure of economy is involvement indices according to Heritage Foundation Index. highly dependent of mining and trade and manufacturing is sharply crowded out as The Economist labeled Mongolia There is not any sign ofissues sustainable economic source and Judiciary reformasis “Minegolia”. being currently implemented. Current in political and economic Mongolian economy is highly dependent of foreign countries in many products. frame are indicating the lack of strong and stable political culture. Recent years, structure of economy is highly dependent of mining and trade and manufacturing is sharply crowded out Conclusions as The Economist labeled Mongolia as “Minegolia”. There is not any sign of sustainable •economic From the theoretical review and historical eventsdependent in the world, the transition source and Mongolian economy is highly of foreign countriesin inMongolia many is caused from external factors and it is natural phenomenon. products. • Mongolian transition has the same pattern as the transition of Eastern European countries Conclusions which shifted through democratic socialism to democratic capitalism. As for Mongolia, donor countries, from international had profound influence the transition. From guidance the theoretical review andorganizations historical events in the world, the on transition in • InitialMongolia phase ofispost-communism to capitalism had finished in 1992, and second phase as a caused from external factors and it is natural phenomenon. “form” had finished now. But nature true means second phase is not European sufficient. Mongolian transition hasthe the sameand pattern as theoftransition of Eastern Page 27 countries which shifted through democratic socialism to democratic capitalism. As for Mongolia, donor countries, guidance from international organizations had profound Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of influence on the transition. Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses • If we do not improve property right protection, alleviate corruption, limit government involvement in economy as well as decrease government expenditure to improve governance, there is a tendency that the freedom in economy and politics may decline. Such that the country will fail on the initial missions promulgated on democratic Constitution in 1992 and original goals of the transition. Reference 1. Aristotle. (1988). Politics. (S. Everson, Ed.) New York: Cambridge University Press. 2. Bellamy, R., & Ball, T. (2003). The Cambridge History of Twentieth-Century Political Thought. Cambridge University Press. 3. Boettke, P. J. (1993). Why Perestroika Failed: The Politics and Economics of Socialist Transformation. London, Chicago: Routledge. 4. Bova, R. (1991, October). Political Dynamics of the Post-Communist Transition: A Comparative Perspective. World Politics, 44(1), 113-138. 5. DK Publishing. (2006). How Governments Work. London: DK Adult. 6. Fraser Institute. (n.d.). (Fraser Institute) Retrieved April 15, 2014, from http://www.fraserinstitute.org/ programs-initiatives/economic-freedom.aspx 7. Freedom House. (n.d.). (Freedom House) Retrieved April 15, 2014, from http://www.freedomhouse. org/report-types/freedom-world#.U3SxdfmSzOg 8. Friedman, M. (1991, Januart 31). Retrieved from Academy of Achievment: http://www.achievement. org/autodoc/printmember/fri0int-1 9. Government of Alberta. (2014, April 15). Learn Alberta. Retrieved April 15, 2014, from http://www. learnalberta.ca/content/sspes/ 10. Hayek, F. A. (1935). Collectivist Economic Planning. 11. Hayek, F. A. (1944). Road to Serfdom. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. 12. Hayek, F. A. (1948). Individualism and Economic Order. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. 13. Hayek, F. A. (1977, May). The Road from Serfdom: Forseeing the Fall. (T. W. Hazlett, Interviewer) 14. Heilbroner, R. (2008). Concise Encyclopedia of Economics. Indianapolis. 15. Heritage Foundation. (n.d.). (Heritage Foundation) Retrieved April 15, 2014, from http://www.heritage. org/index/explore 16. Mises, L. (1936). Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis. London: Jonathan Cape. 17. Mises, L. (1953). The Theory of Money and Credit. Yale University Press. 18. Mises, L. (1990). Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth. London: Ludwig von Mises Institute. 19. Otgochuluu, C. (n.d.). Retrieved from Tsahimurtuu: http://tsahimurtuu.org/index.php/stories/2012-0510-04-48-56/413-archive-story-206 20. Pareto, V. (1906). Manual of Political Economy. New York. 21. Smirnov, A. D., & Ershov, E. B. (1992). Perestrioka: A Catastropic Change of Economic Reform Policy. The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 36, No. 3, 415-453. 22. Trotsky, L. (1972). Writings of Leon Trotsky (1932-33). Pathfinder. 23. Будням нар, С. (2006). Монгол Улсын Үндэсний хөгжлийн цогц бодлогын төсөл. Улаанбаатар. 24. Гүржав, Л., & Норжваанчиг, Б. (2002). Монгол Улсын шилжилтийн эдийн засаг: Хөгжлийн динамизм, тодорхой шинжүүд, өвөрмөц загвар. Улаанбаатар. 25. Лувсандорж, П. (2008). Монголын эдийн засаг: шилжилт, хөгжлийн асуудлууд. Улаанбаатар: МУИС-ийн Хэвлэх үйлдвэр. 26. Никсон, Ф., & Лувсандорж, П. (1999). Монголын эдийн засаг: шилжилтийн эдийн засгийн гарын авлага. Улаанбаатар, Манчестер: Адмон. Analysis on Political and Economic Twin Transitions of Mongolia: Advances and Setbacks, Gains and Losses Page 28 Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Abstract: Jargalmaa. G University of Finance and Economics Tourism is one of the largest global industries, with much of the growing market focused around pristine natural environments such as protected areas. In 2014, at the year´s close, the number of tourists travelling internationally grew by 4.4%, reaching a new milestone increase since the global economic crisis of 2009. The tourism industry generates important direct and indirect economic benefits. These benefits are translated into many jobs and constitute major sources of income for destination residents. In addition, tourists can contribute to improving the socioeconomic dimension by generating larger volume of cultural and artistic activities, which in turn lead to greater dissemination of local culture. From social standpoint, tourism activities can also cause several problems: decreased quality of life due to visitor volume, loss of identity due to outside influences, noise, pollution, etc. Given these positive and negative impacts, sustainable tourism must follow a development path that maximizes the economic benefits while minimizing the impact on the physical and human environment. Sustainable tourism is tourism that minimizes the costs and maximizes the benefits of tourism for natural environments and local communities, and can be carried out indefinitely without harming the resources on which it depends. The article presents the main ideas of sustainable tourism-new form of tourism promoted by authorities, environmental and social institutions and international organizations. It implies taking into account economic, environmental, and socio-cultural aspect by planning and management of tourism. This paper specifically identifies the demand for and perceptions of sustainable tourism ecocertification amongst those working in the industry Key words: Sustainable Tourism, Economic benefit, Tourism related problems, Standard, ecotourism, Certification Introduction Tourism is one of the largest global industries, with much of the growing market focused around pristine natural environments such as protected areas. In 2014, at the year´s close, the number of tourists travelling internationally grew by 4.4%, reaching a new milestone increase since the global economic crisis of 2009. Once again, these results have surpassed UNWTO´s long term projection of 3.8% growth for the period 2010 to 2020, well on track to reach the projected 1.8 billion international tourists by the year 2030 (UNWTO, 2014) With over 1.1 billion tourists taking an international trip every year, tourism continues to be an unstoppable force and a key driver of the global economic recovery. Mongolia, a landlocked country between China and Russia in central Asia, stirs up the nomadic, exotic and mystic images of an international tourism destination. As the home of the legendary Chingis Khan, it is a land of blue skies and vast open Gobi and steppe dotted by nomadic herders and their gers (movable tent used by nomads), crystalline lakes and rugged hills. As a transitional economy and an emerging tourism destination, Mongolia has drawn tourism researchers’ attention to development strategies and management standards. (Hall, 2001) analyzed the nature and role of tourism development in postcommunist societies by using Mongolia as one of the examples. His evolutionary framework revealed the dynamic structural relationships in a slowly changing ideological environment and the challenges facing international tourism development in a transitional economy. (Saffery, 2000), conducting a case study on Gobi Gurvansaikhan National Park, identified tourism development problems in involving local communities in tourism development initiatives and recommended greater local community participation in decision making and appropriate planning. Another study on the same national park focused on zonal use of park resources for conservation and tourism purposes (Bedunah, 2000). Page 29 Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards This easily understandable, given that the tourism industry generates important direct and indirect economic benefits (Sirakaya, 2011). These benefits are translated into many jobs and constitute major sources of income for destination residents. In addition, tourists can contribute to improving the socioeconomic dimension by generating larger volume of cultural and artistic activities, which in turn lead to greater dissemination of local culture. Despite their positive impact, tourism activities may have negative effects (Hall C.M., 1998). For example, in environmental terms, visitors generate solid waste or greenhouse gas through their travels. From social standpoint, tourism activities can also cause several problems: decreased quality of life due to visitor volume, loss of identity due to outside influences, noise, pollution, etc. Given these positive and negative impacts, sustainable tourism must follow a development path that maximizes the economic benefits while minimizing the impact on the physical and human environment (Miller.G, 2001). These objectives must be supported by standards such as criteria and indicators. Concept of sustainability Historically, the concept of sustainable tourism, it is worth noting that the environmental challenges relating to the tourism industry were not at all discussed in the United Nations (UN) World Commission’s report of 1987. The UN plan of action for sustainable development Agenda 21 adopted at the Rio Conference in 1992 covered a total of 40 different topics and 115 programs. However, despite the thematic breadth and ambition to include all groups in society, the tourism industry only featured in a few, brief references to eco-tourism as a tool to promote sustainable development (Johnson, 1993) To explore the principles and objectives of sustainable development in tourism first it is necessary to define the term “sustainable development”. Despite the widespread acceptance of sustainable development, there remains a lack of consensus over the actual meaning of this term. It means different things to different people and can be applied to many context, including tourism. Nonetheless, the most general but accurate is the definition provided by the Bruntdland Report: “Sustainable development is one that meets the needs of the present generation without comprising the ability for future generations to meet their own needs”. Sustainable tourism is tourism that minimizes the costs and maximizes the benefits of tourism for natural environments and local communities, and can be carried out indefinitely without harming the resources on which it depends. Environmentally responsible travel and visitation to natural areas, in order to enjoy and appreciate nature (and any accompanying cultural features, both past and present) in a way that promotes conservation, has a low visitor impact, and provides for beneficially active socio-economic involvement of local peoples (World Conservation Union, 1996). Moreover, the definition applied frequently by tourism planners and in tourism research literature was developed by the World Tourism Organization (WTO). Below in Table 1, we make a list of activities considered sustainable in contrast to the corresponding unsustainable activities (Swarbrooke, 1999), Table 1: Difference of Sustainable and Non-sustainable activities Sustainable General concepts Slow development Controlled development Appropriate scale Long term Qualitative Local control Development Strategies Plan, then develop (eco-design) Concept-led schemes Concentrate on physical elements of landscape Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Non-sustainable Rapid development Uncontrolled development Inappropriate scale Short term Quantitative Remote control Develop without Project-led schemes Concentrate on ”honey-pots” Page 30 Pressure and benefits diffuses Increase capacity Local developers Outside developers Local employer Imported labor Vernacular architecture Non-vernacular architecture Tourist Behavior Law value High value Some mental preparation Little or no mental preparation Respect local customs& traditions Disrespect/ignore local customs & traditions Quiet Loud Learning local ”language” No learning local ”language” Tactful and sensitive Intensive and insensitive Repeat visit Repeat visit Sources: (Swarbrooke, 1999) Sustainable tourism development meets the needs of the present tourists and host regions while protecting and enhancing opportunities for the future. It is envisaged as leading to management of all resources in such a way that economic, social, and aesthetic needs can be fulfilled while maintaining cultural integrity, essential ecology processes, biological diversity, and life support systems (WTO, 1998: 21). Understanding and demand for sustainable tourism One common theme of sustainable tourism is having stakeholder support for tourism. However before tourism organizations support sustainable tourism, they need to have an understanding of what they support. Therefore, it is necessary to assess tourism organizations knowledge of sustainable tourism, (Wilson, 2001). The stakeholders within the tourism organizations surveyed showed a high level (91%) understanding of the concept of sustainable tourism. Furthermore, 97% of these stakeholders thought that ‘all tourism should be sustainable’. In addition, consumers are undeniably one of the major driving forces behind sustainable tourism. Supporting this, (Tjolle, 2008), ‘Sustainable tourism is a market choice, without the consumer there can be no sustainable tourism business’. These results indicate 78% of the tourism organizations expressed there is a tourist demand for sustainable tourism (Fig. 1). Sources: (Conaghan, 2010) This should allow the stakeholders to make sound decisions in relation to the tourism development and management in their organizations. Furthermore the tourism organizations believe not only that all tourism should be sustainable but that tourists actually demand sustainable tourism. Page 31 Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Certification provides benefits to the certified business, to the consumers, governments, the local communities and the local environment. It has its advantages as a sustainable development tool, it showcases good practice and encourages voluntary improvements (UNEP, 1998). The Fig. 2, depicts the tourism organizations opinion on who is benefitting by applying certification. With several stakeholders to choose from, those more prominent to be benefiting were the tourists (20%), the environment (19%), followed by the local communities (15%). This table indicates all the stakeholders benefit as recognized by the tourism organizations in Ireland. Fig. 2: Who is benefiting by implementing certification 25 20 20 19 15 15 10 7 10 8 4 5 0 The tourists Certification organization 14 National tourism authority 3 Academics Local The The in the area communities Environment Government Certified All of them tourism organization Sustainable Tourism Certification Sustainable Tourism Certification Authentic certification oneofway of ensuring sustainability. Certification is sometimes Authentic certification is oneisway ensuring sustainability. Certification is sometimes referredreferred to as to as a management tool. The tool gives credible recognition to reward the businesses that a management tool. The tool gives credible recognition to reward the businesses that comply with such criteria. it isstandards used for that setting that can promote suchcomply criteria.with Furthermore, it is Furthermore, used for setting canstandards help promote true help sustainable true sustainable tourism. Honey and Rome (2001: 5) define certification as: tourism. Honey and Rome (2001: 5) define certification as: “It is a voluntary procedure that assesses audits and gives written assurance that a facility, “It is or a service voluntary procedure assesses auditsaand gives written that a product, process meets specific that standards. It awards marketable logo toassurance those that meet facility, product, process or service meets specific standards. It awards a marketable or exceed baseline standards”. logo to those that meet or baseline standards”. sustainable from unsustainable Theory on certification, propose theexceed instrument will differentiate tourism organizations (Font.X, 2009). There had been an explosion in the range of voluntary Theoryinon propose the number instrument will differentiate sustainable from unsustainable standards thecertification, past ten years and the of companies adopting them (Bendell, 2000), as tourism organizations (Font.X, 2009). There had been an explosion range of voluntary well as the range of programs certifying to sustainability standards (Font X. in a.,the 2002). Furthermore, certification hasinbeen recognized a valuable method to improve industrythem performance (UNEP,as standards the past ten yearsasand the number of companies adopting (Bendell, 2000), 1998) andas influencing markets (Buckley, certifying 2002). It has advantagesstandards as a sustainable well the range of programs to its sustainability (Font development X. a., 2002). tool, Furthermore, it showcases good practice and encourages voluntary improvements (UNEP, 1998) There are certification has been recognized as a valuable method to improve industry over performance one hundred (UNEP, labels for tourism, hospitality and ecotourism, with many of them overlapping in a 1998) and influencing markets (Buckley, 2002). It has its advantages as sector and geographical scope. tool, it showcases good practice and encourages voluntary sustainable development improvements (UNEP, 1998) There are over one hundred labels for tourism, hospitality and Certification Process for of Sustainable tourism ecotourism, with many them overlapping in sector and geographical scope. The certification process consists of five main steps (Poser, 2009) shown in Fig. 3. Certification Process for Sustainable tourism 1. Setting standards 2. Completing an assessment of the business The certification process consists of five main steps (Poser, 2009) shown in Fig. 3. 3. Granting certification based on a successful assessment 4. Recognition of the certification 1. Setting standards 5. 2. Acceptance by an theassessment industry andofthe Completing theconsumers business 3. Granting certification based on a successful assessment 4. Recognition of the certification Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Page 32 5 5. Acceptance by the industry and the consumers Fig. players 3: Process and key players in tourism certification Fig. 3: Process and key in tourism certification Setting standards Granting certification based on a Completing an successful assessment of the assessment business Recognition of the certification Acceptance by the industry and the consumers Sources: (Font X. , 2002) Sources: (Font X. , 2002) Standards: A standard is a documented set of rules, conditions or requirements that are Standards: standard isbody. a documented set of for rules, conditionsan or requirements that are approved approved by a A recognized To be eligible certification, entity must meet or exceed by a recognized body. To be eligible for certification, an entity must meet or exceed the set standard the set standard for that particular certification. To begin the certification process the tourism for that particular Tothe begin the certification process the tourism provider must provider normallycertification. must apply to program by filling out an application form which normally is reviewed apply to the program by filling out an application form which is reviewed by the certification body. by the certification body. In addition to the standards, or criteria, by which the sustainability or In addition to the standards, or criteria, by which the sustainability or greenness of the business is greenness of the business is measured, some programs have core criteria which must be met measured, some programs have core criteria which must be met by any business that wishes to be by any business that wishes to be certified. certified. Assessment: Compliance criteria may determined business itself (selfAssessment: Compliance withwith thethe criteria may be be determined by by thethe business itself (selfevaluation), byby an an independent auditor (third party). While evaluation), the the certification certificationbody body(second (secondparty), party),oror independent auditor (third party). self-evaluation is an important first step in enhancing ownership of the process and helping to While self-evaluation is an important first step in enhancing ownership of the process and educate the business about sustainability practices, alone it does not produce credible certification. helping to educate the business about sustainability practices, alone it does not produce Third-party certification is considered to be the most credible as the auditor doesn’t have a stake in credible certification. Third-party certification is considered to be the most credible as the auditor either the business or the certification program. Performing audits of tourism providers tends to be doesn’t have a stake either the business or the certification program. Performing audits of the mostly costly part ofinthe certification process. tourism providers tends to be the mostly costly part of the certification process. Certification: Those businesses that meet the specified certification program standards are given an award, logo, or ecolabel to use for marketing purposes. Some programs certify businesses Certification: Those businesses that meet the specified certification program standards are on more than one level of certification, allowing and usually encouraging the business to improve its given an award, logo, or ecolabel to use for marketing purposes. Some programs certify sustainability initiatives over time. Monitoring continued compliance with the criteria is an important businesses on more however than oneprograms level of vary certification, allowing and they usually encouraging the aspect of certification; in the degree to which do this mainly because business its sustainability initiativesMany over time. Monitoring compliance of fundingto orimprove the availability of staff resources. programs chargecontinued a certification fee thatwith varies the criteria is an important aspect of certification; however programs vary in the degree to which with either the number of employees the business has or with the revenue generated by the tourism they do this funding or the availability of as staff resources. Many programs provider. The mainly money because supports of administrative functions as well advertising and promotion of the charge a certification fee that varies with either the number of employees the business has or logo and of the certified companies (Honey 2001). Some programs, usually those with a less stringent certification processgenerated and criteria,byarethe free. with the revenue tourism provider. The money supports administrative functions as well as advertising and promotion of theoflogo and of therevolves certified around companies Recognition and Acceptance: The concept certification the (Honey idea that consumers will recognize and accept ecolabeled products or services as preferable to non ecolabeled ones, thereby giving ecolabeled products a lager marketing share. Given the global nature of 6the tourism industry, accreditation of certification programs based on international standards seems to be a crucial, but currently missing link, in giving credibility and increased visibility to these programs and their ecolabels. Page 33 Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Methodological approach A comprehensive literature review was conducted on sustainable tourism certification. The tourism organizations were represented by the accommodation, transport, attractions, and activities and followed by the tour operator sector. As a result of the research, the initial findings were determined and discussed in context of current literature. The respondents are anonymous to ensure confidentiality. Conclusions This study contributes to sustainable tourism research in Mongolia. The awareness of sustainable tourism and certification programs is investigated amongst the stakeholders. The understanding of sustainable tourism was relatively high within the tourism organizations. In addition, they agree all tourism should be sustainable and felt there is a tourist demand. Certification can be used as a tool for sustainable tourism management. These certification programs which certify sustainable tourism standards are rapidly growing worldwide. Certification can be effective depending on the awareness, clarity and credibility (Hansen, 2007). This study highlighted moderate awareness of certification as well as high level of confusion amongst the stakeholders due to the variety of labels. The results had shown the need for certification to be verified by an independent third party. An international accreditation body would be a key component to ensure the credibility of certification programs and restoring confidence in the system. Tourism, properly planned can also increase income and be source of wealth of local community. Sustainable actions can help lower operating costs by reducing generation of waste and usage of water and energy. However, more qualified employees are needed, therefore human capital will also grow. A reputation for being sustainable adds value to touristic enterprises’ brands and strengthens their market position, making them less vulnerable to short-term market and economic changes. In this way introducing principles of sustainable development, certification process however is an expensive process, it can be profitable in long term perspective. References: • • • • • • • • • • Bedunah, D. J. (2000). Rangelands of Gobi Gurvan Saikhan National Conservation Park, Mongolia. Rangelands, 18-24. Bendell, J. e. (2000). Terms for Endearment: Business, NGOs and Sustainable Development. Sheffield. Greenleaf Publishing. Buckley, R. (2002). Tourism Ecolabels. Annals of Tourism Research, 183-208. Conaghan, A. (2010). DEMAND FOR AND PERCEPTIONS OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM CERTIFICATION. Font, X. (2002). Environmental certification in tourism and hospitality: progress, process and prospects. Tourism Management. Font, X. a. (2002). Standards for Sustainable Tourism for the Purpose of Multilateral Trade Negotiations, Commissioned by the World Tourism Organization. World Tourism Organization. Font.X. (2009). Sustainability labels as ecological modernisation. International Centre for Responsible Tourism, Leeds Metropolitan University. ICRT Occasional Paper, 19. Hall C.M., L. A. (1998). The geography of sustainable tourism development: Introduction. Sustainable tourism: Geographical perspectives, 1-24. Hall, D. R. (2001). Tourism and development in communist and post-communist societies. Tourism and the less developed world: Issues and case studies, 91-107. Hansen, A. (2007). The Ecotourism Industry and the Sustainable Tourism Eco-Certification Program (STEP). Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards Page 34 • • • • • • • • • • • • Johnson, S. (1993). The Earth Summit: The United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED). London, UK. Miller.G. (2001). The development of indicators for sustainable tourism. Tourism Management, 22, 351-362. Mirela, T. A. (n.d.). QUALITY MILESTONES OF THE SUSTAINABLE TOURISM. Poser, E. A. (2009). Setting Standards for Sustainable Tourism. Saffery, A. (2000). Mongolia’s tourism development race: Case study fromthe Gobi GurvansaikhanNational Park. Tourism and Development in Mountain Regions, 255-274. Sirakaya, E. J. (2011). Developing dourism indicators for destination sustainability. The Encyclopedia of ecotourism , 411-432. Swarbrooke, J. (1999). Sustainable Tourism Management. Tjolle, V. (2008). Understanding and Marke UNEP. (1998). Ecolabels in the Tourism Industry, United Nations Environment Program. UNWTO. (2014). UNWTO annual report. Wilson, S. F. (2001). Factors for success in rural tourism development. Journal of Travel Research, 132-138. World Conservation Union. (1996). Page 35 Demands for Sustainable tourism Standards The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism (Ecological Tourism Project of “Bor Khyariin Els” in Zavkhan Aimag) Tsogtbayar. B University of Finance and Economics Abstract According to Ulaanbaatar city tourism board, the number of tourists visiting Mongolia in the first 10 months of 2013 was 366,095. The most of the tourist visited from China, Russia, South Korea, Japan, United States, Kazakhstan, Germany, France, Australia, and the UnitedKingdom. Tourism is known to affect greatlythe countries traditional nature and culture. In another words, the change fits with needsof development of sustainable ecotourism. Ecotourism is defined as “responsible travel to natural areas that conserves the environment and improves the well-being of local people”. The fundamental resource of developing ecological tourism are:Peculiarity of natural conditions and resources; Peculiarity of natural zone and range; Peculiarity of life style of the local peopleand their social and economic differences; Mongolian knowledge on treating the nature. Based on the considerations of the local uniqueness and its future development and favorable economic and social conditions, the region around “Bor Khyariin Els”, located in Zavkhan Aimag, has been chosen as the site where to develop “Ecological Tourism –the distance to reach”.The total expense on the tourist camp development in the selected area is estimated to 1,000 million tugrik. Under certain assumptions, it is estimated that there will be a net profit of 486,000$ per year. 1. The orientation of world tourism and alteration 2 International tourist arrivals grew by 5% in 2013, reaching a record 1,087 million arrivals, according to the latest UNWTO World Tourism Barometer. Despite global economic international Demand for international tourism was strongest for destinations in Asia and challenges, the Pacific (+6%), tourism results were well above expectations, with an additional 52 million international tourists Africa (+6%) and Europe (+5%). The leading sub-regions were South-East Asia (+10%), Central travelling the world in 2013. For 2014, UNWTO forecasts 4% to 4.5% growth - again, above the long and Eastern Europe (+7%), Southern and Mediterranean Europe (+6%) and North Africa (+6%). term projections. Demand for international tourism was strongest for destinations in Asia and the Pacific (+6%), of the(+5%). main change in the world’s tourism market a procedure Asia that introduces Africa (+6%) andOne Europe The leading sub-regions were isSouth-East (+10%),new Central and area in (+7%), the tourism market. Tourism market of southEurope east Asia(+6%) is new and destination affirmation Eastern Europe Southern and Mediterranean Northand Africa (+6%). One of inthe change in themarket. world’s tourism market istourists a procedure that introduces themain international tourism Therefore international come to south east Asia. Fornew area in the tourism market. southandeast Asia is new destination and the affirmation that reason thatTourism countries market traditionalofnature culture effect greatly. Another words, change in the international tourism market. Therefore international tourists come to south east Asia. For that fits with concept of eco sustainable development and new tourism or ecotourism. Thus world reason that countries traditional nature and culture effect greatly. Another words, the change fits with market is identified that. and new tourism or ecotourism. Thus world ecotourism concept ofecotourism eco sustainable development market is identified that. The Definition The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Ecotourism is defined as "responsible travel to natural areas that conserves the environment and improves the well-being of local people." (TIES, 1990) Page 36 The Definition Ecotourism is defined as “responsible travel to natural areas that conserves the environment and improves the well-being of local people.” (TIES, 1990) Every country has their own resource of developing tourism that is more qualified tourism types. Ecotourism as a Sustainable Development Concept Strasdas 2001 {drawn by M. Meier} Ecotourism is used to save the nature, social delicate issue system and be sustainable in Ecotourism is used to save the nature, social delicate issue system and be sustainable in many many countries of the world. See pic 1 developing on the eco tourism countries. countries of the world. See pic 1 developing on the eco tourism countries. Ecotourism is used to save the nature, social delicate issue system and be sustainable i many countries of the world. See pic 1 developing on the eco tourism countries. 2. Potential of Mongolian ecotourism. In conjunction the Ulaanbaatar city tourism board has reported that the number of tourists visiting Mongolia in the first 10 months of 2013 has been decreased by 12,8% compare to the same period of the previous year. In other words, a total of 366.095 tourists visited Mongolia in above period and most visited wherefrom China, Russia, South Korea, Japan, United States, Kazakhstan, Germany, France, Australia, and the United Kingdom. 2. Potential of Mongolian ecotourism. Fundamental resource of developing ecological tourism: 1. Peculiarity of natural conditions and resources 2. Potential of Mongolian ecotourism. In conjunction the Ulaanbaatar city tourism board has reported that the number of tourists visiting Mongolia inIntheconjunction first 10 months of 2013 has been decreased by 12,8% compare to the the Ulaanbaatar city tourism board has reported that the number of tourists same period of the previous year. Inin other words, a total ofof 366.095 visited Mongolia visiting Mongolia the first 10 months 2013 hastourists been decreased by 12,8%in compare to the Page 37 The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism the previous year.Russia, In other words, a total of 366.095 tourists visited Mongolia above period andsame mostperiod visitedofwherefrom China, South Korea, Japan, United States, 2. Peculiarity of natural zone and range 3. Peculiarity of life style of the local people, and their social and economic differences 4. Mongolian knowledge on treating the nature Based on the considerations of the local uniqueness and its future development and favorable economic and social conditions, we have chosen the region around “BorKhyariinEls”, located in ZavkhanAimag, as the site where to develop “Ecological Tourism –the distance to reach”. Thus, Model area of Mongolian ecotourism will be establish in every local area, as a result. It needs to be tourism production service Mongolian traditional style and advertise the specific nature, culture, tradition and life shills in each local area. We are implementing and project that the idea is about developing ecotourism. Of course the competitive production in the world is Mongolian nature, culture, tradition and life style. Mongolian eco tourism’s recourse is identified that ; Human - nature Nature – Culture Culture – Tradition Tradition – Life skill. Life skill must be a resource of ecotourism. 3. Developing Strategic of Ecotourism • herder democracy • aboriginal business • Professionalmanagement team (management, tourism. Law, finance, eco technology) • Based in partnership • good governance • controlling of quality • Professionalworkpeople • Tourist destination (7-10 trip, one day trip is 100km) • Traditional event (visit to rural herder, to see nomadic life style, cattle stock ranch) Eco service • Eco toilet, eco sauna end other • Green house, fresh vegetable • Eco itinerary • Life event Logistic • Ulaanbaatar – uliastai – Bus transport – aim destination Bor Hyriinesl • Eco Camp, eco trip, Eco event • Eco marketing, management • Local traditional souvenir We have a eco strategy Eco concept to Tourism Trip Service Product Others The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Page 38 1. Project implementation based on the participation of local state property agencies, local citizens and private business entities and professional organizations The aim of the project is to continuously develop eco-tourism based on the participation of the local citizens and private business entities and professional organizations and, also, based on the natural, social and economic resources. The project is to be a shareholding company owned by the local entities, and will strive for establishing a multi-type community in terms of its ownership and investment source. Closed shareholding company “GoliinUlaan” General strategic plan (“GoliinUlaan”.,Co.LTD whose project implementation works are being carried on their first step) Vision for 2020 To become a company with good governance that employs the best example of developing “Ecotourism” based on the correlations of the mother land, traditional customs and way of life style. Mission We will strive for continuous development of the mother land and the traditional way of life and lifestyle of the local citizens while highly respecting the interests of tourists and investors. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. The company values We will highly respect the interests of the stakeholders to run an environment-friendly green business while taking the changes in the eco-system of the mother land into our consideration. We will restore, develop and expand the traditional way of life and lifestyle of the local citizens. We will work while supporting international relations and cooperation based on the new development trends of eco-tourism. We will work within the legal framework to establish correct management and good governance which meets the concept of eco-tourism. We will cooperate with all kinds of business units which support green development. Mid-term Goals for 2017 – 2020 1. To produce a new brand of eco-tourism production named “Bor Khyariin Els. 2. To obtain the Five Star ranking while meeting the standards of the international tourism & hospitality services. 3. To establish a condition so that the local people are able to make up at least 20% of their family income from this source. Investment plan for the GoliinUlaan., Co.LTD Initial calculation of project investment The initial investment to implement the project is as follows: № 1 Page 39 Factors Investment amount /MNT/ The total expenses on the tourist camp construction works, green house, seeds and fertilizer, soil, technologies, and expenses on bringing the watering facilities into operation / the cost to buy a bus has been included here / Total amount 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Clarification: 1. The tourist camp or the company’s overall construction will be built with natural stone and wood and the roads, paths and fences will be built with natural stone and limestone. 2. A green-house and facilities for watering and fertilizing the soil will be set up. 3. Landscaping works will be carried out according to the planning. 4. Except the purchases for constructions and equipment, we will purchase a bus for the tourist camp. 5. The total expenses in relation with bringing the tourist camp constructions into operation will be financed through “Closed shareholdings”. . 2. The project will be financed through closed shareholdings. № Financing type Nominal value 1 To issue closed shareholdings 1,000,000.00 Number Total 1,000.00 1,000,000,000.00 PS: • 1,000,000,000 MNT equals around 560,225 USD at the rate of exchange of USD-MNT=1,785. 1. The tourist camp net profit for 2017-2020 2. А. Package. Service and income calculation № Ger camp Duration by capacity, by Duration period days the number of tourists Utility percentage of the ger camps The number of tourists per ger Package price per tourist Income from the total package 1 2017оны VII/20-IX/1 40 30 100 30 200 240,000 2 2018оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 3 2019оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 4 2020оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 5 2021оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 6 2022оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 7 2023оны VI/1-IX/1 90 30 90 27 200 486,000 Clarification: 1. The package price per tourist has been estimated 200 on average as fixed price and the further profit shall be counted depending on the rate of exchange. 2. The currency shall be USD compared to MNT and the rate of exchange shall be dependent on the rates of banks. The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Page 40 B. Operation cost estimation № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Duration 2017 VII/20-IX/1 2018 VI/1-IX/1 2019 VI/1-IX/1 2020 VI/1-IX/1 2021 VI/1-IX/1 2022 VI/1-IX/1 2023 VI/1-IX/1 Total Expense on purchasing present asset General, management costs Amortization, other costs 15,000,000 36,500,000 28,250,000 330,000 37,125,000 54,550,000 29,250,000 330,000 40,837,500 54,605,000 29,250,000 124,692,500 44,921,250 54,665,500 29,250,000 128,836,750 49,413,375 54,732,050 29,250,000 133,395,425 54,354,713 54,805,255 29,250,000 138,409,968 59,790,184 54,885,781 29,250,000 143,925,964 301,442,021 364,743,586 Loan Payment for interest fixed capitals 203,750,000 660,000 Total cost 80,080,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 136,255,000 885,595,607 Clarification: 1. The operation costs from 7/20- to 9/1 of 2014 have been budgeted as 15,000,000. The operation cost for 2017-2020 has been estimated in relation with the inflation rate of 10%. 2. Amortization and other costs have been included. C. The investment efficiency of the project The total Rate of income exchange of the of USD packages compared expressed to MNT by USD The total income of the packages expressed by MNT Total cost Net income before tax Tax expenditure Net profit after tax № Duration 1 2017 VII/20IX/1 240,000 1,785 428,000,000 80,000,000 340,000,000 34,000,000 310,000,000 2 2018 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 136,000,000 440,000,000 44,000,000 397,000,000 3 2019 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 124,000,000 453,000,000 45,000,000 408,000,000 4 2020 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 128,000,000 449,000,000 44,000,000 400,000,000 5 2021 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 133,000,000 444,000,000 44,000,000 400,000,000 6 2022 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 138,000,000 439,000,000 43,000,000 395,000,000 7 2023 VI/1-IX/1 324,000 1,785 578,000,000 143,000,000 434,000,000 43,000,000 390,000,000 Total 2,184,000 3,896,000,000 882,000,000 2,999,000,000 297,000,000 Page 41 2,700,000,000 The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Clarification: 1. The package income or purchase income for 2017-2020 has been calculated at the present rate of exchange as USD-MNT=1,785. 2. The rate of exchange has been predicted to be no less than USD-MNT=1,785 in the future. D. Dividend Net income after tax Percentage of dividend distribution Total amount of dividend Number of closed shareholding The amount of dividend of the closed shareholdings № Period to distribute dividend 1 2017, IX/1 39,700,000 50% 198,000,000 1,000 198,000 2 2018, IX/1 408,000,000 60% 244,000,000 1,000 244,000 3 2019, IX/1 404,000,000 70% 283,000,000 1,000 283,000 280, 4 2020, IX/1 400,000,000 70% 280,000,000 1,000 315 5 2021, IX/1 395,000,000 70% 277,000,000 1,000 277,000 6 2022, IX/1 390,000,000 70% 273,000,000 1,000 273,000 Total amount 2,036,700,000 1,555,000,000 1,275,315 Clarification: 1. As it has been regulated in the Company Law, cash dividend will be distributed from the amount of net income after tax. 2. Dividends equal with 1,558,247 per closed shareholding shall be distributed in 2017-2020. E. The present value of the project and income or profit from the project № Duration period Net income after tax The coefficient to transfer to the present value is 20% The present value of net income after tax 1 2017, VII/20-IX/1 313,000,000 0.9701 304,000,000 2 2018, VI/1-IX/1 397,000,000 0.8333 331,000,000 3 2019, VI/1-IX/1 408,000,000 0.6944 283,000,000 4 2020, VI/1-IX/1 404,000,000 0.5787 234,000,000 5 2021, VI/1-IX/1 400,000,000 0.4823 193,000,000 6 2022, VI/1-IX/1 395,000,000 0.4019 159,000,000 7 2023, VI/1-IX/1 390,000,000 0.3349 130,000,000 Total amount 2,707,000,000 1,634,000,000 The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Page 42 Clarification: 1. Net present Value as estimated in cash, NPV= PV-Initial investment = (1,636,487,514 – 1,000,000,000) = 636,487,514 MNT 2. Internal Rate of Return is over 45% calculated as the following IRR = 45% 3. General outline and architectural design of the ecological tourist camp of “Bor Khyariin Els Plan/ design of the eco-tourist camp Outside landscaping of the eco-tourist camp Page 43 The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism General outlook of the eco-tourist ger camps and landscaping References 1. http://www.world-tourism.org 2. www.unwto.org/ 3. http://www.touristinfocenter.mn 4. http://mne.mn 5. http://ecotourismbengal.wordpress.com 6. https://www.ecotourism.org/ 7. Аялал жуулчлалын онол практикийн асуудалд 1 8. Аялал жуулчлалын онол практикийн асуудалд 2 9. Кабушкин Н.И.Аялал жуулчлалын менежмент 1 10.Гүргэмжав Жамсансүрэн Аялал жуулчлалын маркетинг 11.Гантөмөр Д. Аялал жуулчлалын үндэс 12.Баатарцоож Б. Тогтвортой аялал жуулчлал 2008 он The way of strategy implementation and development of Eco Tourism Page 44 Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Ivshinkhorol. B, Ramnath Takiar, Ajay Kumar Takiar University of Finance and Economics Abstract Introduction: Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) constitute more than 80% of the total number of enterprises in Mongolia. It is crucial for any businesses to manage their financial resources properly. A study was therefore designed with the following objectives: Objectives: 1) To explore the sources of finance in the selected sample for medium enterprises in Mongolia; 2) To assess whether the sources of finance varies by the type of enterprises and also by their financial performance. Methods: The financial statements were obtained for selected 14 enterprises and they are categorized into three groups based on their business activities namely Manufacturing (5), Trading (5) and Service providers. From the financial statements, various financial ratios were derived. Using the financial ratios and based on the sum of ranks of the sixteen selected ratios, the enterprises were ranked and categorized as well performing (WP) and non-well performing enterprises (NWP). Results: The major sources of finance were observed to be Short term loan, Retained earnings, Overdraft and Ordinary shares. The sources of finances were observed to be not varying by the type of enterprise. The use of Equity was observed to be more common among well-performed enterprises as compared to those seen in NWP enterprises. Debt to equity ratio (71%) and Debt (%) was observed to be higher among NWP enterprises. Conclusion: 1) Sources of finance do not vary by type; 2) Sources of finance varies by financial performances; 3) Debt to equity and Debt (%) was found to be related to the financial performances of the enterprises. Introduction of the study: The primary purpose of the business is to maximize shareholder`s value (Boundless) and in order to fulfill that each business need a finance and its sources. Why and how to finance a business is one of the key important concern for business owners or business executives. However, depending on the business enterprise`s background, type of operation, financial position and business sector, business entities are available to use a different type of sources such as single or multiples on their operation in Mongolia. This study is only exploring existing sources of finances in the selected sample for mediumsized enterprises that are actively operating at the Mongolian market in particular with trading, manufacturing and service providing industries. Introduction to Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are non-subsidiary, independent firms which employ less than a given number of employees. This number varies across countries (OECD, 2005). In Mongolia, `Law of Small-Medium Enterprise` of Mongolia (adopted in 27 June, 2007), as defined; a business is considered to be an SME mainly based on the number of employees and annual revenue and as given in the following Table 1 (Mongolia L. I., 2007). Page 45 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Table 1 : SME Law of Mongolia (2007) Category Medium Small Sector Number of employees Annual revenue in MNT Manufacturing No more than ≥199 Up to ≥1.5 billion Wholesale trade No more than ≥149 Up to ≥1.5 billion Retail trade No more than ≥199 Up to ≥1.5 billion Services No more than ≥ 49 Up to ≥1.0 billion Small Trade/services No more than ≥ 9 Up to ≥250 million Manufacturing No more than ≥19 Up to ≥250 million Source: http://www.legalinfo.mn/ As of Q4, 2015 (Active Business register, NSO), there are 64,301 entities are registered at National Statistics Office (Mongolia N. S., 2015). Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) constitute more than 80% of the total number of enterprises in Mongolia. It is crucial for any businesses to manage their financial resources properly. Objectives: A study was therefore designed with the following objectives: 1. To explore the sources of finance in the selected sample for medium-sized enterprises in Mongolia; 2. To assess whether the sources of finance varies by the type of enterprises and also by their financial performance; Methodology The financial statements were obtained for selected 14 medium-sized enterprises (General Department of Taxation) and they are categorized into three groups based on their business activities namely Manufacturing (5), Trading (5) and Service providers. From the financial statements, various financial ratios were derived. Using the financial ratios, the enterprises were ranked and categorized as well performing (WP) and non-well performing enterprises (NWP). Theoretical framework: Finance is the lifeblood of business concern, because it is interlinked with all activities performed by the business concern. Based on the definition of (C.Paramasivan), sources of finance mean the ways for mobilizing various terms of finance to the industrial concern. This study completed the literature review and theoretical frameworks related with the sources of finance (its classification, types) and capital structures (Figure 1). • Modigliani and Miller - Firms would prefer to be 100% debt financed, to take full advantage of the tax shield (ACCA, 2009) • Trade-off Theory - Based on the value of an unlevered firm, where the optimal capital structure is found at the trade-off point where the gain from adding additional debt is offset by the extra incurred cost of financial distress (Stephen A. Ross, 2013) • Pecking Order Theory - Can be derived based on adverse selection considerations, agency considerations, or other factors (Stephen A. Ross, 2013) • Optimal capital structure - The optimal cap ital structure is the mix of debt and equity that maximizes a firm’s return on capital, thereby maximizing its value (ACCA, 2009) Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Page 46 I. Mongolian financial sector overview Mongolian financial sector consists of the banking sector and non-bank financial institutions, (NBFIs) such as, savings and credit cooperatives (SCCs), securities and brokerage firms and insurance companies. As of December 2014, Mongolian financial sector is consisting of 13 commercial banks, 1 development bank,banks, 195 small NBFIs, 159 & credit 17cooperatives insurance companies commercial 1 development bank,savings 195 small NBFIs,cooperatives 159 savings &and credit (Togtokhbuyan Lkhagvasuren, 2014). and 17 insurance companies (Togtokhbuyan Lkhagvasuren, 2014). Figure 1: Classification Figure 1: Classification of sources of finances of sources of finances Classification of Sources of Finances According to Tenure of Repayment Long Term 1.Equity Share 2. Preference Share 3. Debenture 4. Venture Capital 5. Financial According to Ownership Medium Term 1. Debenture 2. Lease Financing 3. Term Loan 4. Public Deposit Owned Capital 1. Equity Share 2. Preference Share Borrowed Capital 1. Debentures 2. Financial Institutions Short Term 1. Trade Credit 2. Factoring 3. Bank Loan 4. Cash Credit 5. Commercial Paper 6. Hire Purchase 7. Retained Earning 8. Provision for Taxation 9. Proposed Dividend According to Sources of Generation Internal Sources 1. Equity Share 2. Preference Share 3. Retained Earning 4. Provision for Depreciation 5. Provision for Taxation 6. Proposed Dividend External Sources 1. Debentures 2. Financial Institutions 3. Trade Credit 4. Factoring 5. Bank Loan 6. Cash Credit 7. Commercial Paper 8. Hire Purchase Source: http://schools.aglasem.com/15530 4 Page 47 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Figure 1: Total loans and advances by the banks (2014 Figure and advances advancesby bythe thebanks banks(2014 (2014 Figure1:1:Total Total loans loans and ) 0.3 0.3 0.2 ) 24% 23% 23% 20% 24% 20% 0.2 11% 0.1 11% 0.1 0 9% 8% 8% 5% 9% 5% Trade and Khaan Bank Golomt Bank Xac Bank State Bank Ulaanbaatar Other banks 0Development Bank Trade and Khaan Bank Golomt Bank Xac Bank State Bank Ulaanbaatar Other banks Bank Development Bank Bank Source: Bank of Mongolia Source: Bank of Mongolia Source: Bank of Mongolia Figure 2: SME loan portfolios of commercial banks - Mongolia Figure 2: SME loan portfolios of commercial banks - Mongolia Figure 2: SME loan portfolios of commercial banks - Mongolia 16% 37% 16% To SMEs To To Corporate SMEs 37% To To Individuals Corporate 47% To Individuals 47% Source: (Corporation, 2014) Source: (Corporation, 2014) Source: 2014) Mongolia has recognized the potential of (Corporation, SMEs and has established several programs to Mongolia potential SMEs and has has established several to support support SMEshas in recognized the terms ofthe funding andof capacity building. The Ministry of programs Labor (MOL) Mongolia has recognized the potential of SMEs and established several programs to SMEs in the terms ofregulatory funding and capacity building. The Ministry of Labor (MOL) assumes the overall assumes the overall role (Table 2). support SMEs in the terms of funding and capacity building. The Ministry of Labor (MOL) regulatory role (Table 2). assumes the overall regulatory role (Table 2). Results Results Resultsstudy consists of descriptive statistics and data analysis. A present A present study consists of descriptive statistics and data analysis. A present study consists of descriptive statistics and data analysis. Selection of medium-sized enterprises Selection of medium-sized enterprises of medium-sized enterprises A Selection study is selected 14 enterprises based on the `Top Taxpaying Mongolian Small and A study is selected 14 enterprises based on the `Top Taxpaying Mongolian Small and Medium Medium Enterprises` (2014) by General based Department Taxation, Mongolia and categorized A study is selected 14 enterprises on theby`Top Taxpaying Mongolian Small and Enterprises` (2014) by General Department by Taxation, Mongolia and categorized enterprises into 3 industries by business activities Trading (5), Manufacturing and Service Provider (4). Medium Enterprises` (2014) bynamely General Department by Taxation,(5) Mongolia and categorized 5 5 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Page 48 Table 2 SME support institutions Support Institutions for SMEs SME Development Center of Capital City The Mongolian National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MNCCI) Business Professionals Network (BPN) International Finance Corporation (IFC) Asian Development Bank (ADB) Programs of International European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) Institutions Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Targeting SMEs United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Source: (IFC, 2014) Trading company: It is a company whose main business is buying goods for the purpose of sale without reprocessing. In the event of processing is usually limited to the packaging or the provision of specialized packaging for goods more attractive. So, trading companies mostly have high inventories and receivables, low free cash flows, lower assets and mainly have short-term loans depending on the business activity. Manufacturing company: Manufacturing companies most commonly applied to industrial production, in which raw materials are transformed into finished goods on a large scale. So, manufacturing companies mainly have higher amount of assets (such as factory, equipment, machinery and mechanisms) including raw materials. Depending on the nature of the business, manufacturing companies usually have higher receivables and working capitals. Service industry: These companies are involved in retail, transport, distribution, food services, as well as other service-dominated businesses. The service providing companies primarily earn revenue through providing intangible products and services. Features of industries Mongolian Government approved a program to support “Small and medium-sized enterprises (20142016) in 28 Aug, 2014 by resolution 278. The SME Law adopted in 2007 provides eligibility criteria for the participation of SMEs in government programs and financial assistance to SMEs in terms of soft loans, loan guarantees, insurance schemes and preferential tax treatment. Trading industry features: Trading industry follows below national laws and regulations on their daily business operations. Law of Company (2011) Law on Small and Medium Enterprises (2007) Law of Trade (2015) There is no specific program or policy to support trading activities in Mongolia and because of that trading companies mainly finance from local banks and non-bank financial institutions. Manufacturing industry features: There are several national laws and regulations are applicable when assessing manufacturing sector development: Law on Small and Medium Enterprises (2007) The Mongolian Millennium Development Goals-based Comprehensive National Development Strategy43 (2008) Mongolia’s industrialization program (2009) Page 49 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Mongolian Parliament approved a resolution to support `An increase of local production and workplaces` in 23 Sep, 2011. Manufacturing Sector Guideline for banks providing debt or equity to the Manufacturing sector or manufacturing activities was developed as a companion document to the Mongolian Sustainable Finance. (2014, developed by IFC) In along with above stated terms and conditions, manufacturing industry is available to collect long term debts by lower interest rates. Servicing industry features: Service providing industry follows below national laws and regulations on their daily business operations. Law of Company (2011) Law on Small and Medium Enterprises (2007) Laws and regulations for different range of services (including consulting, baby care, postal, health, good & grocery etc.,) Regarding the servicing industry, there is no specific support and services on their financing options. Descriptive statistics conclusion: Banking industry of Mongolia still accounts the majority of the financial sector of the country Non-banking financial institutions and stock exchange activity and contribution in the financial sector development are still limited To explore the sources of finance for medium-sized enterprises in Mongolia Based on the empirical study, only 6 main sources of finances are commonly used selected 3 industries. Table 3: Top sources of finances by industries Equity finance Short term Internal sources Short term Long term Venture capital Trading Manufacturing Service providing Using sources Total companies % Ranking Ordinary shares 5 5 4 14 14 100 1 Overdrafts 5 4 3 12 14 86 2 4 5 3 12 14 86 2 3 3 1 7 14 50 3 Bonds 1 3 1 5 14 36 4 Venture capital 0 3 1 4 14 29 5 Total 18 23 13 54 14 Retained earnings Short-term loans Source: Author`s empirical study Manufacturing industry uses 77% of common 6 sources and uses 23 out of 30 sources (special industry that uses multiple types of sources of finances). Trading industry uses 60% of common sources (18 out of 30) and service providing industry uses 54% (13 out of 24) of common sources of finances (Table 3). Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Page 50 Table 4: Comparison of sources of finance by industries Trading Manufacturing Service providing TOP-3 sources of finances for industries are including ordinary shares (14 out of 14), retained earnings (12 out of 14), Ordinary overdraftsshares (12 out of 14) and Equity finance 5 short term loans 5 (7 out of 14). 4 But, comparing with trading an service providing industries, manufacturing companies are using 6 types, 23 term sources outOverdrafts of 30 that means who uses Short 5 higher financial 4 leverages on their 3 activity. Trading industry uses much lower financial leverages from external sources and who mainly uses Internal internal and short term sources. Retained Trading earningscompanies4uses 5 types, 18 5 sources out of 30 3who mainly sources use internal sources of finances including ordinary shares, overdrafts and retained earnings (Table 4). Above result approves that the sources of finance don`t varies by industries. Short term Short-term loans Long term 3 1 Table 4: Comparison of sources Bonds 1 of finance by industries 3 Equity finance Short Venture term capital Internal sources Short term Long term Venture capital 3 Trading Venture capital Ordinary shares Overdrafts Using sources Retained earnings Short-term loans Total companies Bonds Source: Venture capitalAuthor`s Using sources Total companies 0 5 5 18 4 3 30 1 empirical 0 18 30 Manufacturing 3 5 4 23 5 3 30 3 study result 3 23 30 1 Service providing 1 4 3 13 3 1 24 1 1 13 24 Source: Author`s empirical study result Figure 3: Sources of finances by generations Figure 3: Sources of finances by generations 100% 80% 50% 43% 54% 60% Internal sources 40% 20% 0% External sources 50% Trading 57% 46% Manufacturing Service providing Source: Author`s empirical study resultstudy result Source: Author`s empirical Based areare 50% external, Based on on the the comparison comparisonbetween betweenindustries, industries,trading tradingindustries industriessources sources 50% external, manufacturing industries external service providing industry uses external 45% external manufacturing industries are are 57%57% external and and service providing industry uses 45% sources sources on their business operations. Above results that sources don`t of finance varies on their business operations. Above results shows that shows sources of finance variesdon`t by industries. by industries. To assess whether the sources of finance varies by the type of enterprises and also by their financial performance 9 of ratio analysis based on the 3 years financial The present study analyzed 5 groups, 16 types statements on the selected enterprises. Before calculate a ratio analysis, calculated each enterprises average to see a general tendency. Based on the ratio analysis, ranked enterprises from 1-14 depending on the each ratio feature and calculated sum of ranking. Based on the sum ranking, re-ranked enterprises from 1-3. So, lower sum of ranking enterprises have higher performances (Florenz C. Tugas, 21 November, 2012). Page 51 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Table 5: Comparison of performances by type of industries Ratio types Manufacturing Trading Servicing 58 162 142 82 98 542 108.4 3 85 150 136 54 113 538 107.6 2 55 86 104 70 57 372 93 1 Liquidity ratio Working capital ratio Profitability ratio Solvency ratio Financial leverage ratios Total Average Ranking Source: Author`s empirical study result Based on average scores (Table 5), servicing industry ranked at 1st place by 93 scores and that means service industry had a better financial performances comparing with other 2 industries. Trading 107.6 scores 2nd place and manufacturing 108.4 by 3rd places (Chandran, 28 November, 2015). Based on the financial performances ranking sums, enterprises divided into 2 groups and 6 of them are well performing and 8 of them are non-well performing categories. When we see comparison of sources of finances between well and non-well performing enterprises financial sources (Table 6), well performing industries mainly use 100% ordinary shares, 100% retained earnings and 67% use overdrafts. They have a lower usage of short term loan, bonds and venture capitals. But non-well performing industries uses, 100% ordinary shares, 100% overdrafts, 75% retained earnings and 62.5% short-term loans. 50% uses bonds only. Thus, it can be concluded that Financial sources don`t vary by industries financial performances. Figure 4: Comparison of Sources of Finance between Well performed and Non-well Figure 4: Comparison of Sources of Finance between performed companies Source: Author`s Well performed and Non-well performed companies 120 100 100 100 100 100 75 80 67 62.5 60 50 40 33 Well Performed (6) 33 25 0 Not well Performed (8) 17 20 Overdraft Short term loans Bond Venture capital Ordinary share Retained earnings Source: Author`s empirical study result Source: Author`s empirical study result Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances Enterprise capital structure and type in ofthe industries selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Based on the comparison of Profitability, Debt and Equity between well performed and Nonwell performed companies, well performed enterprises have 21.5% profitability margin mean Page 52 Enterprise capital structure and type of industries Based on the comparison of Profitability, Debt and Equity between well performed and Non-well performed companies, well performed enterprises have 21.5% profitability margin mean and only 33.7% debt and majority of sources are funded by 74.7% shareholder`s equity. Figure 5 Comparison of profitability, Debt and Equity Equity between Well performed and Non-well performed companies Source: Author`s empirical study result But non-well performing industries have an average -18% profitability and 91.4% (standard deviation 34.27) debt andindustries 18.9% equity Main factor for this negative result was S3 But non-well performing havefinancing. an average -18% profitability and 91.4% (standard (meat 34.27) preparation and18.9% servicing company works during 3 consecutive years and deviation debt and equity financing. Main with factorloss for this negative result was S3 (meat preparation andlong servicing company works with loss during consecutive years and 1.1B MNT long 1.1B MNT term debt with average revenue 667M3tugrigs) term debt with average revenue 667M tugrigs) Figure 6: Comparison of Debt to Equity, Debt and Equity between Well performed and Figureperformed 6: Comparison of Debt to Equity, Debt and Equity between Well performed and Non-well companies Non-well performed companies 100 91.4 80 74.7 71.6 60 40 29.2 33.7 18.9 20 0 Well Performed (6) Debt to Equity Debt (%) Not well Performed (8) Equity (%) Source: Author`s empirical study result Comparison of Debt to Equity, Debt and Equity between well performed and Non-well performed Source:DE Author`s studydebt result companies, well performing industries ratio isempirical 29.2% (33.7% and 74.7% equity), but Nonwell performed companies have DE ratio is 71.6% (91.4% debt and 18.4% equity), that means nonwellComparison performing industries a higher usage debts. between well performed and Non-well of Debt have to Equity, Debt andof Equity performed companies, well performing industries DE 29.2% (33.7% debt and 74.7% Title of theratio Paper: is Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. equity), but Non-well performed companies have DE ratio is 71.6% (91.4% debt and 18.4% equity), that means non-well performing industries have a higher usage of debts. Page 53 Summary of observations: The major sources of finance were observed to be Short term loan, Retained earnings, Overdraft and Ordinary shares. The sources of finances were observed to be not varying by the type of enterprise. The well performing enterprises were observed to be using less short term loans and bonds as the source of their finance. The use of Equity was observed to be more common among well-performed enterprises as compared to those seen in NWP enterprises. Debt to equity ratio (71%) and Debt (%) was observed to be higher among NWP enterprises. The existing and optimal capital structure was found be varying by the type of enterprise. Conclusion: 1. Sources of finance do not vary by type; 2. Sources of finance varies by financial performances 3. Debt to equity and Debt (%) was found to be related to the financial performances of the enterprises. Recommendation: 1. Enterprises need to learn deeply about sources of finances and better to increase a type of sources. 2. Most selected companies are using short-term sources of finances and companies need to define their long term financial strategy/planning and investments. 3. Majority of selected industries (manufacturing, trading) have higher amount of working capitals and companies need to improve their working capital management efficiency. References: • • • • • • • • • • • ACCA. (2009). Paper F9 Financial Management. London: BPP Learning Media Ltd. Bank, W. (2014, October 29). http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2014/10/29/ mongolia-continues-to-improve-its-regulatory-environment-for-small-and-mediumenterprises. Retrieved from http://www.worldbank.org Boundless. (n.d.). https://www.boundless.com/business/textbooks/boundlessbusiness-textbook/introduction-to-business-1/what-is-a-business-22/the-goals-of-abusiness-129-10246/. Retrieved from https://www.boundless.com . C.Paramasivan, T. (n.d.). Financial Management . New Delhi: New Ace International P Limited. Center, S. a. (2014). Database for Small and Medium Enterprises. Retrieved December 2015, from http://sme.gov.mn/. Chandran, T. A. (28 November, 2015). Ranking of Commercial Banks in Uganda: A Comparative Analysis. International Journal of Multidisciplinary and Current Research, 3-4. Corporation, I. F. (2014). SMEs and Women-owned SMEs. Washington: International Finance Corporation. Florenz C. Tugas, C. C. (21 November, 2012). A Comparative Analysis of the Financial Ratios of Listed Firms Belonging to the. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 7-18. General Department of Taxation, M. (n.d.). http://www.mta.mn/pages/137. https://www.boundless.com/business/textbooks/boundless-business-textbook/introduction-tobusiness-1/what-is-a-business-22/the-goals-of-a-business-129-10246/. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://www.boundless.com/business/textbooks/boundless-business-t. IFC. (2014). http://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/d85f65804697b853a598bd9916182e35/ Women+SME-Mongolia-Final.pdf?MOD=AJPERES. Retrieved from http://www.ifc.org Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Page 54 • • • • • • Mongolia, L. I. (2007, July 27). http://www.legalinfo.mn/. Retrieved from http://www.legalinfo. mn/ Mongolia, N. S. (2015, December 31). http://www.1212.mn/. Retrieved from http://www.1212. mn/ OECD), T. O.-o. (2005, December 02). https://stats.oecd.org/glossary/detail.asp?ID=3123. Retrieved December 04, 2001, from The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD): OECD, 2005, OECD SME and Entrepreneurship Outlook: 2005, OECD Paris, page 17 Securities, F. (2015, October 4). Retrieved from 2014 performance of financial sector and banking industry of Mongolia: www.frontier.mn Stephen A. Ross, R. W. (2013). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance (10th ed., Vol. Standard). New York, USA, United States of America: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. Togtokhbuyan Lkhagvasuren, H. X. (2014). Analysis of the returns of small and medium-sized. Journal of Finance and Accounting, 7. Page 55 Title of the Paper: Analysis of the sources of finances in the selected sample of Mongolian medium-sized enterprises. Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Gantumur. P, Bolitogtokh. D, Badamkhuu. B, Erdene. S University of Finance and Economics Abstract The paper explores the researched methodologies to set living standard of households in Mongolia. 1008 households were randomly sampled from 5 districts of UB city. Methods used are as follows: Household livelihood level was evaluated and concluded by creating “Assets Index” from the main indicators of household livelihood and by using Principle Component Analysis in conjunction with scaling, by creating an expense index by using the regression coefficients of multiple factors and by using the method of income substitution. Poverty risk coefficient was determined by using the Wolf Point of equilibrium point method. Gini index was calculated using income, outcome variation coefficient and Lorenz curve was used to determine uneven distribution of income and outcome. The results of the research showed that 28% were “Extremely poor”, 60% were “Average” 12% were “Wealthy”. Factors that are influencing the household livelihood level are as follows: The household with disabled member; Head is unemployed or low educated; Household size is 6 or more; has no source of income; Family leaves in a Ger. The income level of workers in “Cooperative”, “Locally owned” and “Others” groups were relatively uneven. The index value average was determined at 0,931 with a standard inclination of 0,999 by the “Principal component analysis” index. This means if the household lives in an apartment, it will get 0,244 units higher than a household without an apartment. If the household has stove, it will get 0,232 units higher than a household without stove, whereas a household with capitals will get 0,113 units higher than a household without capital. Key words: household, living standard, household revenue, household expenses, Lorenz Curve, revenue replacement methodology, poverty risk coefficient, Methodologies to set living standard levels The following methods are described and used to define the Living standards: Variation coefficient, GINI index, Theil Index, Asset index, Revenue replacement methodology, Poverty risk coefficient references and calculation methodologies. Variation coefficient is a simple statistics method to describe uneven income distribution. Variation coefficient is determined through comparative ration between average income and standard income deviation. When income is distributed comparatively evenly, standard deviation level is lower thereby making variation coefficient less. It is easier to calculate variation coefficient; however, it requires full data on personal income. In addition, too low or too high meaning of income or other deviation meanings may influence on standard and average deviations used for calculation of variation coefficient. All of these show that income distribution can be uneven; therefore, variation coefficient cannot express approximate measurement of uneven income distribution. GINI index measures distribution of income, or in some cases, consumption expenditure among individuals or households. Within the framework of the research, work we have estimated changes in distribution of total income and expenditure by GINI index depending on the number of family members. This survey used two indices of Theil to measure uneven income distribution of households in a way available to transfer into a sum or to provide intended features as a measure of inequality in well-being; i.e, average independent (income must be of one type) as a principle of repetition in regression, (Pigou-Dalton) transfer principle are provided. We have used T and L indices of Theil for measurement of inequality. (Bourguignon, 1979, Shorrocks, 1980) Total inequality is expressed by the sum of inequality inside groups or between the groups; however index of inequality can be changed Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Page 56 into a sum of inequality indices. Average independent refers to non-change of inequality index when family revenue changes by similar interrelations for every household. Regression is independent when inequality indices do not change when number of households changes proportionally to every income level; i.e, inequality indices are dependent only on absolute population frequency only in every income level; however, it does not depend on absolute frequency of population. (Pigou-Dalton) transfer principle is considered on basis of an idea to make any income transfer from rich household to poorer households or to reduce inequality indices without any changes in absolute income order. We did analysis on considering it is possible to group all the households by different features of regression or social-economic data such as but not limited to age or education as we shall work on unified income data (data divided into deciles). The main deposit of our analysis is “long term treasure of a household is explained by the biggest variation of asset variables”. There is no test to check this deposit directly. Living standard of households is set by income replacement methodology in addition to revenue and expenditure. Table1: Income Replacement Methodologies № Methodology Features 1 Income replacement It summarizes pack data of living standard setting. methodology 2 Poverty vulnerability It grants a possibility to determine poverty through setting percentage coefficient of poverty in total population. 3 С method It chooses the most suitable variable among similar variables included into poverty vulnerability coefficient. Through logarithm of consumption data of per person, coefficients are calculated through the smallest quadratic method. 4 С1 method It includes some additional variables that express household living standards the best. Every research group makes calculation using 4 models. Calculation is made by the minimum quadratic method on basis of logarithm of per persons consumption. This method is the best suitable to determine the poorest households; however, it has some disadvantages to set detailed differences between poor households and the most vulnerable households to poverty. 5 PC method This method sets asset index of households through setting the percentage using correlations coefficient between household asset data. source: collection of researchers SSO’s Household living standard methodology was approved by the joint resolution number 123/165 of Chairman of National Statistics Committee and Minister of Personal Development and Social Welfare on November 07, 2013. 1 WolfPoint Pointofofequilibrium equilibriumpoint pointmethod method calculatescoefficient coefficientofofpoverty povertyrisk risk(K) (𝐾𝐾)vulnerability vulnerabilityby 1 Wolf calculates by the numbers of poor persons in total population and percentage of poor people the total the numbers of poor persons in total population and percentage of poor people in the totalinpopulation. population. Hereof 𝑃𝑃 percentage of poor persons, 𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н percentage of poor persons in total Hereof Рях percentage ofяхpoor persons,Рун percentage of poor persons in total population population 𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н − 𝑃𝑃ях 𝐾𝐾 = 𝑃𝑃ун This coefficient shows the risk of the household vulnerable the poverty through positive and 1 Tonegative research modern methodology that determines living standard of households and people, in comparison with meaning while positive numbers show far from the poverty line whereas minus some countries of same development level. Research report, 2005 numbers express higher vulnerability level to poverty. To make the estimation, vulnerability Methodology to set living standard of households: Page 57 coefficient is deducted from wolf point of equilibrium point. Whereas 𝑌𝑌𝑛𝑛 is anofestimation On the example Ulaanbaatar of City living standard dependent on the data. 𝑌𝑌𝑛𝑛 = 1 − 𝐾𝐾 This average estimation data shall become an average living standard estimation, which is 1 Wolf Point of equilibrium point method of poverty riskpeople (𝐾𝐾) vulnerability by the numbers of poor persons in total calculates populationcoefficient and percentage of poor in the total by the numbers of poor persons in total population and percentage of poor people in theintotal population. Hereof 𝑃𝑃ях percentage of poor persons, 𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н percentage of poor persons total population. Hereof 𝑃𝑃ях percentage of poor persons, 𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н percentage of poor persons in total population population 𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н − 𝑃𝑃ях 𝐾𝐾 =𝑃𝑃𝑦𝑦н − 𝑃𝑃ях 𝑃𝑃ун 𝐾𝐾 = 𝑃𝑃 This coefficient shows the risk of the household vulnerablethe thepoverty povertythrough throughpositive positive and This coefficient shows the risk of the householdунvulnerable and This coefficient shows the risk of the household vulnerable the poverty through positive and negative meaning while positive numbers show far from the poverty line whereas minus numbers negative meaning while positive numbers show far from the poverty line whereas minus negative meaning while positive far from the poverty line whereas minus express higher vulnerability level tonumbers poverty. Topoverty. make the estimation, vulnerability coefficient numbers express higher vulnerability level show to To make the estimation, vulnerability numbers express higher vulnerability level to poverty. To make the estimation, vulnerability is deducted from wolf pointfrom of equilibrium point. Whereaspoint. Vn isWhereas an estimation of estimation living standard coefficient is deducted wolf point of equilibrium 𝑌𝑌𝑛𝑛 is an of coefficient fromonwolf dependent on is thededucted data. living standard dependent the point data. of equilibrium point. Whereas 𝑌𝑌𝑛𝑛 is an estimation of living standard dependent on the data. 𝑌𝑌 = 1 − 𝐾𝐾 𝑛𝑛 𝑌𝑌𝑛𝑛 = 1an− average 𝐾𝐾 This average estimation data shall become living standard estimation, which is This average average estimation estimation data datashall shallbecome becomeananaverage averageliving living standard estimation, which This standard estimation, which is is calculated by the following formula: calculated by the following formula: calculated by the following formula: 1 𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿 =1 ∑ 𝑌𝑌𝑖𝑖 𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿 = 𝑛𝑛∑ 𝑌𝑌𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛 Living standard estimation shall be divided into the following intervals to set their living Living standard bebe divided intointo the following intervals to set their living standards: Living standard estimation estimationshall shall divided the following intervals to set their living standards: standards: Table2: Living standard estimation Table2: Living intervals standard estimation intervals Table2: Living standard estimation intervals Living standard Living standard estimation Living standard Living standard estimation Living standard Living standard estimation Wealthy -0,65 Wealthy -0,65 Above average 0,65-0,8 Wealthy -0,65 Above average 0,65-0,8 Average 0,801-0,95 Above average 0,65-0,8 Average 0,801-0,95 Poor 0,951-1,115 Average 0,801-0,95 Poor 0,951-1,115 Very 1,115+ Poorpoor /deprived/ 0,951-1,115 Very poor /deprived/ 1,115+ Н.Тунгалаг, Я.Шуурав, 2005 он Source: Х.Гүндсамбуу, Ч.Дагвадорж, Very poor /deprived/ 1,115+ Source: Х.Гүндсамбуу, Ч.Дагвадорж, Н.Тунгалаг, Я.Шуурав, 2005 он Source: Х.Гүндсамбуу, Ч.Дагвадорж, Н.Тунгалаг, Я.Шуурав, 2005 он Collective survey on household living standards of Ulaanbaatar city Collective survey on household living standards of Ulaanbaatar city Collective surveyofon household standards of Ulaanbaatar city survey since National Statistics Committee Mongolia has living been conducting household revenue 1966 while household revenue survey and living standard surveys have been reorganized into NationalSocial Statistics Mongolia been conducting household revenue survey Household and Committee Economic of Survey sincehas July 2007. The survey annually chooses 11232 National Statistics ofrevenue Mongolia has on been household revenue survey since 1966 whileCommittee household and livingsex, standard surveys been households of Mongolia through collection of survey data ageconducting limit, educational level,have employment since 1966 while household Social revenue survey and Survey living standard surveys been reorganized into Household andand Economic since July 2007. have The survey status of family members, income, revenue, consumption of households. reorganized into Household Social and Economic Survey since July 2007. The survey annually chooses 11232 households of Mongolia through collection of data on age limit, sex, National chooses Statistics Committee of Mongolia has been cooperating with World Bank to enhance annually households through collection of data on age limit, sex, educational level,11232 employment statusofofMongolia family members, income, revenue, and consumption capacity of human resources in statistics sector and to improve methodology to calculate living educational level, employment status of family members, income, revenue, and consumption of households. standard and poverty line of Mongolia in order to show real changes in the living standard of of households. National Statistics Committee Mongolia has been with World Bank to enhance Mongolian people to reach proper of results on basis of thecooperating suitable methodology. National of statistics Mongoliasector has been cooperating with World Bank to enhance capacityStatistics of humanCommittee resources in and to improve methodology to calculate living In accordance with results of regression model to analyze effects of consumer goodsliving on the capacity of human resources in statistics sector and to improve methodology to calculate standard and poverty line of Mongolia in order to show real changes in the living standard of living standard of the people, one percent growth in flour price increase minimum labor wage standard and poverty line ofproper Mongolia in order to show real changes in the living standard of by Mongolian people to reach results on basis of the suitable methodology. 1.3 Mongolian percent while one to percent beef on price andofelectricity payment decrease minimum labor people reach growth proper in results basis the suitable methodology. In by accordance with percent, results ofrespectfully regression model to analyze effects of consumer goods on the wage 5.69 and 3.87 In accordance results of regression model to in analyze effects of consumer goods the living standardwith of the people, one percent growth flour price increase minimum laboronwage In accordance with model toone determine factors affecting on increase the average monthly household living standard of the people, percent growth in flour price minimum labor wage by 1.3 percent while one percent growth in beef price and electricity payment decrease income, 0.75 percent growth inpercent averagegrowth monthlyinincome of a household increases average monthly by 1.3 percent while one5.69 beef price and electricity payment decrease minimum labor wage by and 3.87 percent, respectfully expenditure household oneand percent. minimumof labor wage byby5.69 3.87 percent, respectfully One percent growth in inflation rate decreases real purchasing power of households by 0.021 percent. 1 To research modern methodology that determines living standard of households and people, in 1 To research modern methodology that determines living standard of households and people, in Permanent andsome transferring main composites of a household’s comparison with countries incomes, of same development level. Research report, 2005 average income, comparison with some countries of same development level. Research report, 2005transferring incomes generally grow in same speed depending on the time. In 2006, permanent and 3 were at same speed; since then, transferring income 3 growth has been dominating certain periods. Within the research works, we have conducted various research works such as to divide household income and expenditure sources into different categories such as age limit, sex, educational background, status of head of family, number of family members, permanent and temporary residence etc. in order to calculate living standard through extended calculation of poverty vulnerability coefficient in some data, to make comparison, to summarize and research affects of Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Page 58 inflation, price for main products, exchange rate changes on the household living standard through development of econometric model of influences and analysis on household withdrawal structure through classification of products, and setting real expenditure and revenue size for per member of a household. We have used information on UB city households from the data fund of “2013 national survey to set household living standard” by National Statistics Office. We have analyzed results of the research work to choose research methodology using information on UB city households and results of collective survey on 1000 households randomly picked up among households using collective research methods and other categories. In accordance with variation coefficient analysis, male workers of 45-49 and above 60 age limits and staffs of joint stock companies have higher level of uneven income distribution, while other groups have comparatively same level of income distribution. By GINI index of household income and expenditure, households that occupy almost 90 percent of population earn 66 percent of income while wealthy families that occupy 10 percent of total population occupy 34 percent of total income. In addition, there are many families with income lower than minimum living standard. Food consumption expenses are distributed evenly in families in comparison with other expenses. Production, loan and savings expenses go to 10 percent of population, the wealthy group in the society. By GINI index classified by branches, incomes are distributed unevenly for workers and staffs in Joint Stock companies, Cooperatives, Local Property Enterprises, and Miscellaneous in comparison with other sectors. Households use 60 percent of total expenses in food, over 20 percent – clothes, around 5 percent for services, and approximately 15 percent for emergency. We may name factors that increase household expenses such as but not limited to number of family members, animal husbandry and land farming engagement, loan, family owned apartment building, car, salary and stimulation income, pension and subsidy, and tax return: however sex of head of family, human development subsidy, and other incomes may reduce expenditure. We have also developed a methodology to calculate indices of household expenditure, according to which, 9.5 percent of total households live wealthy while 55.6 percent of the households live below minimum living standard (Table 3). Table 3: Living Standard level based on Expenditure index, percentages of households Living standard Percentage Wealthy and above average Average Poor and very poor 9,8% 34,4% 55,8% Source: By the calculation of researchers On the research work, we have used research work of the living standard categories and some surveys of living standard of the people. We numbered households by their expenditure index. So, we divided households into groups by the meaning of indices making “very poor” for 20 percent, “poor” for the next 20 percent, “average” for third 20 percent, and “above average” for fourth 20 percent, and “wealthy” for the last 20 percent. So, this classification is not based on any data of poverty and we hereby emphasize that we have used common tendency to conduct research works dividing into quantiles and deciles. By the result of our research work, an average family income of the household is 1536000 for wealthy families, 768000-1536000 tugrik for average and 768000 for people below living standard considered around 83 percent of the participants. By the total expenditure and the cost classification of households, GINI index was calculated for households with female head of families or families Page 59 Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City with 5-8 members and other expenses categories are comparatively uneven; however, cost for per member of the household was even. PCA-principal component analysis In accordance with asset index used for analysis of main composites to set asset variables index with the “average” group households can be upgraded into wealthy classification when they have comfortable apartment buildings, and when the head of the family becomes higher educated or works for private sector, or gain a land to make some income. However, very poor households can be upgraded into poor classification when they have some savings, computer, fridge, washing machine and rice cooker in their asset. Table 4: Living standard data based on asset index, quantiles of households Source: By the calculation of researchers For households involved into the survey works, we have used household living standard setting methodology approved by National Statistics Committee and Ministry of Population, Personal Development and Social Welfare totally 30 data in 10 groups and poverty risk coefficient were used to make living standard estimation by 54 data in 10 groups. In order to calculate poverty risk coefficient, we have used some results of the research works that involved over 12000 households made by National Statistics Committee in 20122. In accordance with the result of the research work susceptibility of the households could not be calculated due to lack of some data; therefore, we have used some 54 data in 10 groups such as but not limited to location of households, number of family members, educational background or employment of head of family, apartment condition, business engagement of the households, number of employed members with salary or other incomes, vehicles owned by family members, some assistance and supports obtained from others and social susceptibility. In order to calculate poverty risk coefficient3 which is based on household capacity of living standard, around 23,3 percent of 1000 households in the survey works had lower consumption level while 34,8 percent have above the average consumption that means households should upgrade their estimation by around 0,3 units in order to transfer to upper or upgraded groups. In order to estimate poverty risk coefficient, poverty and family location, poverty and number of families, poverty and educational background for head of family, poverty and employment for head of family, poverty and apartment condition, poverty and social susceptibility were used in accordance with data “Poverty image 2012” calculated by National Statistics Committee. The rest 4 groups of data used some results of collective researches 2012. In other words, poverty and vehicles owned by the households were considered by their types and models, poverty and number of employed members of the household poverty and personal transfer, poverty and household business engagement group data were calculated jointly with the team members from the National Statistics Committee4. For National Statistics Committee, Poverty image-2012,2013 The privilege is living standard is calculated using 14 data out of National statistics Committee, “Living standard setting methodology” 4 National Statistics Committee, Household Social and Economic Research team calculations 2 3 Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Page 60 instance, we made calculations by 7 data such as company, savings, or shop, shopping malls, cafeteria, private cattle, land to obtain some income or no assets. Number of family members with certain income was calculated by members above 15 years of age or members with monthly income of above 96.000 tugrik. Income is referred to as some income obtained from animal husbandry, land farming, non-agricultural production, trade and service related information obtained at the level of households. Therefore, in order to transfer household income into personal income, we have considered revenue for members that directly answered in the question about their main employment; however, the employment for other members of the family should be considered as revenue directly to a head of the family if no answer was given into the question. Pension and subsidy income include pregnant mothers or mothers with infant suckling babies, subsidy for disabled people, children subsidy for the loss of feeder, temporary subsidy for loss of labor capacity, and some income from human development fund, and so on. We have also considered some rent income of their properties such as apartment building, car, equipment, land, savings interest, dividend income, loan interest, securities income, and permanent or weekly, monthly and quarterly donations and gifts and assistance for members of the family. Poverty and vehicle type include all the types of vehicles in one family. The factors that make living standard lower than average include higher number of family members, lower educational level for head of family, inhabitant in ger, or when head of the family is herder, unemployed or has no assets or vehicles or obtain some assistances from nongovernmental organizations or other international organizations or head of the family is physically disabled. Summary and Recommendations The research work was conducted by the methodology that may set living standard of household not only at the level of Ulaanbaatar city but also at the state level. So, we can use the information data in practice. It is very important to use GINI index that classified like type of organizations of staffs, number of household members, their sex and age levels. Staffs in Joint Stock Companies and Co., Ltd. have uneven distribution in their salary and stimulations in comparison with other sectors that you can see from the results of the research work. In accordance with the asset index, about 27,5 percent out of 828 households go into a group of “very poor” households. By main index of households around 30 percent of the households go into a group of “very poor” Asset index and higher probability and vulnerability to poverty of households are shown in the results of the research work. Correlation coefficient between asset basic index and asset index that include only properties make 0,959 that means living standard level is comparatively good. PCA analysis methodology is available to make an estimation of living standards of households. To calculate index of household income, it is more suitable to create linear data of long term period in order to make permanent estimation on living standard of these families. Data included into asset index calculation or that decreases living standard level, it is necessary to conduct some policies that attract attention of the state and government. Page 61 Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Bibliography In Mongolian 1. Х.Гүндсамбуу, Ч.Дагвадорж, Н.Тунгалаг, Я.Шуурав: “Өрх, иргэдийн амьжиргааны түвшинг тодорхойлж буй өнөөгийн аргачлалыг судлах, хөгжлийн ижил төстэй зарим орнуудтай харьцуулах нь” судалгааны тайлан, 2005 он 2. Нээлттэй Нийгэм Форум, Монгол дахь ядуурлын асуудалтай холбогдох, ном зүй, 2004 3. Дэлхийн банк, Ядуурлыг бууруулах ба эдийн засгийн удирдлага, Зүүн Ази Номхон далайн бүс, Монгол Улс, Ядуурлын байдлын үнэлгээ, 2006 4. Монгол Улсын ЗГ, UNDP, Монголын хүний хөгжлийн индекс, 2007, Хөдөлмөр эрхлэлт, ядуурал 5. Дэлхийн зөн, Монголын хөгжлийн гарц ТББ, “Гэр хорооллын айл өрхүүдийн амьжиргаа, боловсрол, эрүүл мэнд, орчны эрүүл ахуйн нөхцөл байдал” судалгааны тайлан, 2006 6. Үндэсний статистикийн хороо, Дэлхийн банк, Монгол улс дахь ядуурлын дүр төрх-20072008, 2009 7. МУИС, ЭЗС, Б.Батмөнх, Макро эдийн засгийн болон аж байдлын үзүүлэлтээр хийсэн хүчин зүйлийн судалгаа, 2010 8. МУИС, ЭЗС, Статистикийн тэнхим, Өрх, гэр бүлийн байдал, Хүн ам, орон сууцны 2010 оны тооллогын үр дүнгийн сэдэвчилсэн судалгаа, 2011 9. Үндэсний статистикийн хороо, Дэлхийн банк, Монгол улс дахь ядуурлын дүр төрх-2012, 2013 10. Үндэсний статистикийн хороо, UNDP, Мянганы хөгжлийн зорилтууд болон ядуурлын зураглал-2011, 2012 11. Монгол Улсын ЗГ,UNDP, Монголын хүний хөгжлийн индекс, 2011, Тогтвортой хөгжил болон эрх тэгш байдлыг хүний хөгжилтэй хослуулах нь, 2012 12. Монгол Улсын ЗГ,UNDP, Монголын хүний хөгжлийн индекс, 2014, Залгамж үеийнхээ төлөө, 2014 13. ҮСХ, “Өрхийн нийгэм, эдийн засгийн судалгаа”, 2012 14. ҮСХ: “Орлогыг орлуулан тооцох аргаар өрхийн амьжиргааны түвшинг тодорхойлох аргачлал” , 2010 он 15. Засгийн газар: “Тогтвортой амьжиргаа II төсөл” 2010 он 16. Оюу-Толгой төсөл, Хөдөлмөр эрхлэлт ба амьжиргааны түвшин, 2012 In English 17. Inequality in the distribution of household expenditures in Indonesia: A Theil decomposition analysis, Takahiro Akita, Rizal Affandi Lukman, Yukino Yamada, The developing Economies, XXXVII-2, (June 1999): 197-221 18. A wealth Index of Household Living Conditions in Mauritania, EI-Houssainy Abdel Bar Rady, Ahmed Amin EI-Sheikh, Mohamed ould Aly Oumar, 19. Estimating wealth effects without expenditure data-or tears: an appliocation to educational enrollments in states of India, Deon Filmer, Lant H. Pritchett 20. Household Income and Expenditure Survey Analysis Report, Federated States of Micronesia, Division of Statistics, Office of Statistics, Budget and Economic Management, Overseas Development Assistance, and Compact Management Federated States of Micronesia, 2007 он 21. Household Structure, and Household Income, and its Components over the Life-Cycle in Turkey, Productivity Commission Staff Working Paper, 2012 он Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Page 62 22. Trends in the Distribution of Income in Australia, Jared Greenville, Clinton Pobke, Nikki Rogers, March, 2013 23. Attanasio, O. P., & Székely, M. (2000). Household saving in developing countries –inequality, demographics and all that: How different are Latin America and South East Asia?. InterAmerican Development Bank, Research Department, Working Paper No:427. 24. Tansel, Aysıt. (1994). Wage employment, earnings and returns to schooling for men and women in Turkey. Economics of Education Review, 13(4), 305-320. 25. World Bank 2012, GINI Index, World Development Indicators, http://data.worldbank.org/ indicator/SI.POV.GINI (accessed 15 November 2012). 26. 2006, Household Expenditure Survey and Survey of Income and Housing, User guide 200304, Cat. no. 6503.0, ABS, Canberra. Page 63 Methodology to set living standard of households: On the example of Ulaanbaatar City Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Sansarmaa. B, Ramnath Takiar University of Finance and Economics Abstract: INTRODUCTION: For the last century, the car culture has spread over the entire globe Mongolia, itself does not have a domestic car manufacturer; therefore, its passenger car market has to totally rely on foreign-made cars imported from up to 40 different countries. The sale of new and old cars in Mongolia is increasing every year. A study was therefore carried out to explore the status of Automobile Industry in Mongolia to assess; OBJECTIVES: 1.The current status of Automobile industry; 2. The performance of Automobile industry; 3. The new car sales in Mongolia and 4.Predict the sales of new cars and to give appropriate recommendations. METHODS: The secondary data related to registered car in Mongolia during 2013-2015 was utilized. The GDP, Consumer Price, Bank Loans issued, Unemployment during the same period were utilized as Independent variables to predict the car sales for the year 2016-17. Method of Moving averages and Multivariate regression analysis was used for data analysis and interpretations. RESULTS: GDP, Bank loan issued, CPI, Quarter value (time variant) and sales value was found to be significantly contributing to the model. The prediction of new car sales in Mongolia came out to be 1507 and 1060 for the year 2016 and 2017, which happened to be 17% and 42% less as compared to previous year estimates suggesting a decreasing trend in the car sales. Based on the accurate sales forecast, budgeting by monthly and quarter basis is advocated. Seasonal trend in car sale should also be considered for cash budgeting. Key words: Automobile industry, Current status, Performance, New car, Prediction of sales Introduction For the last century, the car culture has spread over the entire globe. In Europe alone, the automotive industry accounts for roughly 12 million jobs (including related jobs); in the US, more than 8 million; and in Japan, more than 5 million (McKinsey & Company , Inc, 2013). There are three major automakers are leading in global market by its capital and business alliance. Those are Toyota Motors from Japan, Volkswagen group from Germany and General Motors from USA. They are expanding their existence by making business alliance with other small automakers and cooperating in new technology development. Mongolia, itself does not have a domestic car manufacturer; therefore, its passenger car market has to totally rely on foreign-made cars imported from up to 40 different countries (Mongolian Statistical Yearbook, 2014). Total registered units in Mongolia is increasing aggressively every year which was 20 units in 1929 is now reached 437,677 units as of 2014. A research study was therefore carried out to explore the status of Automobile Industry in Mongolia with the objectives of Assessing: 1. The Current Status of Automobile Industry 2. The Performance of Automobile industry 3. The New car sales in Mongolia and Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Page 64 4. To Predict the Sales of New Car and Give appropriate Recommendations The growth of vehicle in Mongolia is shown below in Fig. 1 Source: National statistics book 2014 The number of registered vehicles has almost increased more than5 times since the year 2005 in Mongolia. The growth of vehicles could be due to following reasons: • Successful Shifting from a centrally planned economy to a market economy. Mongolia has made good progress in undertaking fundamental economic reforms centered on price liberalization, privatization, and in establishment of market institutions. Since that time, Mongolia has joined many international conventions and agreements and foreign trade expanded to other third countries. • Mining sector development has been accelerated since 2000 and moreover, the intensive mining has brought economic development and accelerated construction sector as well increased use of private vehicles (Ministry of Nature, Environment and Tourism of Mongolia , 2010). • • • Sustainable growth of rising household income and increase in population of urban cities. Limited access of public transportation in urban areas and under-developing road infrastructure condition. However, this growth trend has changed in last five years particularly after the year 2011 vehicle’s import has gradually decreased by average 13% up to 2015 year (Fig. 2). Page 65 Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Vehicles segment composition Source: National statistics book 2014 If we see types of total registered vehicles in the market, in average 67% is passenger car, 24% is trucks, 6% is buses and 3 % is special purpose vehicles. Of all the vehicles registered in Mongolia, about 68% are registered in capital city Ulaanbaatar, alone (National statistics book 2014). Vehicles age Generally, cars in the market are classified by three categories by their age namely 1 to 3 years old (brand new car), 4 to 9 years and 10 and more years (second hand cars). Based on the total vehicles registered in year 2014, the percentage of cars in above categories were 5%, 20% and 75% respectively (National statistics book 2014). Thus, it can be concluded that second hand vehicles dominate the Mongolian vehicle market. Dealers and distributors in mongolia Currently in Mongolia, officially 17 passenger car dealer and distributor companies are operating inorder to represent the manufacturers brand and supply it with 1S to 4S (sale, service, system, spare parts) service in the market. All dealers are found to be arranging loans for their customers (Table 1). In case of Mongolia, automotive official sales representatives have both dealer and distributor company function. Due to it’s developing stage of economy and small market size, some manufacturer assign the local company directly or through the multinational trading houses (especially Japan manufacturers are dealing with this business model). Financial performance analysis Financial ratio analysis is pretty powerful thing and is essential for successful decision-making. To analyse each dealer company’s financial performance, researcher collected 12 sample companies’ financial statements for 3 continues years (2013 to 2015), out of 17 companies. Primary data is collected from Taxation office in pure purpose of academic research. Due to company’s financial information non-disclosure issues, I coded 12 companies by D1 to D12 order and showed their results by dividing all numbers in digit 2 (Table 2). To provide a basis for analysis, for each financial ratio, the firm adjusted as the best was given one point and the next one, two points, and the last one as 12 points. The total points for each ratio category were then computed to arrive at the composite score, an overall basis for analysis. Based on financial ratio ranking and sales performance ranking, most well ranked company in sales are not good at financial ratio ranking. For example, the dealer D10 was ranked as 1 in sales Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Page 66 while based on ratios, it was ranked as 10 (Table 2). Table1: Dealers and Distributors of Vehicles and Their Retail Finance type in Mongolia No Authorized Dealer Official status Brand name Dealer Distributor Retail finance type Own finance company Bank loan 1 Khet Motors LLC Toyota + - - + 2 Wagner Asia Automotive LLC Ford, Land rover, Range rover, Lincoln + + + + 3 Bodiz Automotive LLC Toyota, Skoda - - Mazda + - - + 4 Monnis Motors LLC Nissan, Infinity + + - + 5 Bridge Group LLC Suzuki + + - + 6 Mongolian Star Melchers Mercedes Benz, Jeep, Group LLC (MSM Group) Dodge + + - + 7 Mongol Hyundai Automotive LLC Hyundai + + - + 8 BMMM LLC Mitsubishi - + - + 9 Nomin Motors (Nomin trading LLC) Chevrolet, Citroen, Hammer, Cadillac,GMC + + - + Volkswagen + + Toyota + - + + Lexus - - 10 Tavanbogd Motors LLC 11 Naran Motors LLC BMW + + - + 12 Mongol Subaru Automobile Company Subaru, Ssang Yong + - - + 13 Munkhada LLC Toyota + - - + 14 Kia Motors Mongol LLC Kia + + - + 15 Baz Automotive LLC (Baz-International LLC) Peugeot + + - + 16 Starchase Motorsports Mongolia LLC Porsche + - - + 17 Max Group LLC Honda + + - + (Source: Author’s observation and study) Table 2: Performance ranking of each company based on both Sales and Financial Ratios Well performing companies by sales value Dealer Companies Sales units Average Unit Value TTL Value earned Sales Ranking Ratio Ranking Most well performing D2 D4 116 84 131,667,628 108,010,981 15,273,444,902.87 9,072,922,442.14 4 6 2 1 6 7 Page 67 Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian D8 D6 D10 D1 D3 D9 D5 D7 D12 219 182 705 131 32 47 11 89 6 112,097,572 79,279,765 109,344,126 149,859,615 26,483,018 86,200,868 57,290,680 33,748,664 118,568,486 24,549,368,190.62 14,428,917,303.42 77,087,609,144.42 19,631,609,579.07 847,456,573.40 4,051,440,807.85 630,197,485.38 3,003,631,100.22 711,410,915.43 D11 3 53,052,963 159,158,890.11 2 5 1 3 9 7 11 8 10 6 5 10 9 3 7 4 8 12 8 10 11 12 12 14 15 16 22 12 11 23 Correlation of Sale and ratio Grand Total 1756 107,171,774 188,193,635,145.30 Ranking is 0.12 Source: Author’s calculation Sales forecast analysis for brand new cars Sales forecast is a key element in conducting automotive dealership business. Accurate and good forecasting helps developing and improving strategic planning and understands the market trend itself. In-order to forecast sales accurately, factors such as general economic conditions, consumers, automotive global and domestic behaviours, dealer companies features and changes and periods have been considered carefully. Thus, by descriptive analysis, researcher concluded analysis of how key macroeconomic indicators are affecting to the brand new car sales and what are their relationships based on last three years data in a quarter interval. Significance of this analysis is, it enable financial planner to calculate and predict how the brand-new car sales will fluctuate in accordance with macroeconomic movement of the region. To understand and select the major macroeconomic indicators, first studied theory of demand and its determinants. Because demand and supply have also been generalized to explain macroeconomic variables in a market economy, including the quantity of total output and the general price level Selection of key determinants in car demand GDP: The Real Gross Domestic Product is selected as one of the key macroeconomic indicator that may affect the car sales. The GDP can be taken as a proxy to Income (a rise in a person’s income will lead to an increase in demand, a fall will lead to a decrease in demand for normal goods) and its distribution in the community Gross domestic product is an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the gross values added of all resident institutional units engaged in production (plus any taxes, and minus any subsidies, on products not included in the value of their outputs). The sum of the final uses of goods and services (all uses except intermediate consumption) measured in purchasers’ prices, less the value of imports of goods and services, or the sum of primary incomes distributed by resident producer units. (OECD, glossary of statistical terms) The Real Gross Domestic Product is an inflation-adjusted measure that reflects the value of all goods and services produced in a given year. Unlike nominal GDP, real GDP can count for changes in the price level, and provide a more accurate figure. So Real GDP is taken in regards of income of the community. Bank loans for car purchase: Brand new car’s market price is generally high and is not affordable by many customers to provide immediate cash for purchasing the vehicle. An alternative source of finance to a customer in such a situation is loan and financial help provided by the dealer himself or by the banks and other financial institutions. Since there is a limited availability in dealership Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Page 68 financing, the most common available financial source is commercial bank’s loan. Currently all commercial banks are providing financial loans for costumers who are planning to buy car based on their credit rating. Thus, it was collected leading 6 commercial bank’s 3 consecutive year’s loan amount per quarter bases and analysed as one key macroeconomic indicator that may affect the car sales. Loans are taken as a general habits for peoples spending and procuring habits. Value of the product (without dealer margin): Official dealer companies’ sales are consists of various brands and each brand varies by its price and technical features. Thus, the product input value is selected as one of the key determinants of the demand (Table 3). Time series: All data’s that is used for regression analysis is found in quarter basis for 3 years. Therefore time analysis is based on 4 quarters for 3 years of interval and time values are taken 4 quarters by 3 years and total 12 months. Unemployment: Unemployment occurs when people who are without work and are actively seeking work. The unemployment rate is a measure of the prevalence of unemployment and it is calculated as a percentage by dividing the number of unemployed individuals by all individuals currently in the labor force. Table3: Sales of the Cars by Brand and its Input Value (as of 2015) Sales of the Cars by Brand and its Input Value (as of 2015) Brand Sales number Average Unit Value (Mil Tug) Toyota Nissan Land Rover Hyundai Mercedes-Benz Porsche Lexus Jeep Ford Suzuki Subaru Volkswagen Mazda Peugeot Chevrolet BMW Kia Other 973 182 96 89 74 66 58 42 35 32 29 27 18 14 10 6 3 2 106.7 79.2 179.8 33.7 163.6 229.1 166.4 75.3 67.5 26.4 44.0 71.8 43.6 54.9 57.5 118.5 53.0 46.2 Grand Total 1756 Source: Summary based on Import statistics of 2015 Increases in the demand for labor will move the economy along the demand curve, increasing wages and employment. The demand for labor in an economy is derived from the demand for goods Page 69 Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Consumer Price Index (CPI): A consumer price index (CPI) measures changes in the price level of a market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. The CPI is a statistical estimate constructed using the prices of a sample of representative items whose prices are collected periodically. The annual percentage change in a CPI is and services. If the demand for goods and services in the economy increases, the demand for labor used as a measure of inflation. A CPI can be Increasing used to index thesupply real value of wages, salaries, will increase, increasing employment and wages. money in general will increase and pensions for regulating and fordemand deflating show changes short-term demand. Long-term prices the increased willmonetary be negatedmagnitudes by inflation. to A rise in fiscal expenditures is (Investopedia, another strategy 2016) for boosting aggregate demand. (Wikipedia org, 2016) in real values. Consumeranalysis: Price Index (CPI): consumer index (CPI) in GDP, the price Regression Sales of Athe car canprice be believed to measures be relatedchanges to Real Loan level of a market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. The CPI is a amount the leading banks, car'sof input value, unemplyoment andprices CPI in statisticalissued estimatebyconstructed using the prices a sample of representative itemsrate whose accordance demand the datachange was obtained above quarterly are collected with periodically. Thetheory. annual So percentage in a CPI ison used as a variables measure ofin inflation. A CPI for canthe be used indextothe real value wages, salaries, andanalysis pensions was for regulating prices and the basis yearto2013 2015. The of multiple regression attempted taking for deflating monetary magnitudes to show changes in real values. (Investopedia, 2016) car sales as dependent variable and real GDP, loan amount, time series, unemplyoment rate, Regression analysis: Sales of the car can be believed to be related to Real GDP, Loan amount car input and CPI as independent variables. issued by value the leading banks, car’s input value, unemplyoment rate and CPI in accordance with The future trend was on obtained in two ways. 1. Using analysis demand theory. Soin thenew datacar wassales obtained above variables in quarterly basismulti-variate for the year 2013 to 2015. The multiple regression analysis was attempted taking the car sales as dependent variable and 2. Seeing the trend in car sales by moving averages. The result of multi-variat analysis and real GDP, loan amount, time series, unemplyoment rate, car input value and CPI as independent showed that, the sales value and quarter value which are significantly related to new car variables. sales. unemplyoment not found to be 1.significantly related with sales TheHowever, future trend in new car salesrate waswas obtained in two ways. Using multi-variate analysis and at 5% level (Table 4). in car sales by moving averages. The result of multi-variat analysis showed 2. Seeing the trend that, the sales value and quarter value which are significantly related to new car sales. However, unemplyoment rate was not found to be significantly related with sales at 5% level (Table 4). Table 4: Result of multi-variate regression analysis by SPSS Table 4: Result of multi-variate regression analysis by SPSS Result of multi-variate regression analysis by SPSS Model B t 1 (Constant) GDP Loan 874.880 0.100 8.93E05 Sales input value 0.008 Quarter Values -33.962 CPI -9.312 a. Dependent Variable: Sales P value 2.012 3.831 1.732 0.0455 0.0045 0.067 18.807 -7.528 -2.055 0.001 0.001 0.043 GDP – Real Gross Domestic Product Loan*- Loan amount that issued by leading 6 commercial banks for car procurement QV – Quarter value time series 9 CPI- Consumer Price Indexes Sales value – Car’s input value * According to result, loan amount found to be not significant at 5% level but its probability of significance was around 7%, and expected to have a definite role in sales, the sales was included in the multiple regression equation as one of the independent variable. All the selected independent variable like GDP, Loan, Sales value, Quarter value (representing the time), are theoretically known to influence the car sales, one tail significance test was considered as appropriate for the analysis purposes. Sales forecast for upcoming two years Based on the collection of data, trend analysis was conducted and as a result no linear trend was seen in car sales. This led me to conduct moving average method to prospect the upcoming two years new car sales in the market in total by using multi-variate equation model. Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Page 70 For the assessment of future values of selected independent variables like GDP, Loan, Quarter value and Sales value, the moving average approach was utilized (Table 5). Accuracy for calculation was analysed by comparing the actual result with forecasted numbers and result showed that average accuracy of prediction was 99.97% (Table 6). Table 5: Predicted values of parameters to be used in Multivariate equation. Forecasting years Time series GDP1 Loan2 CPI1 Sales value3 13 3033 958563.9 98.1 24619.4 14 4409.2 1279377.7 101 86031.7 2016 15 4668.9 1005778.5 102 56297.3 16 4528.6 1294930.3 105.3 71095.3 17 3223.8 1095017.2 96.5 27087.9 18 4600 1415830.9 99.4 88500.1 2017 19 4859.7 1142231.8 100.4 58765.7 20 4719.4 1431383.6 103.7 30929.1 1 2 3 NSO of Mongolia-2015; Bank of Mongolia-2015; Mongolian Custom’s Statistics 2015 As a result, based on predicted macro-parameters by using multi-variat equation, new car sales for upcoming two years are forecasted as below (Table 7). Table 6: Forecasting of sales and it’s accuracy by the selected multi-variate model Year 2013 2014 2015 Quarter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Sales (S) Predicted (P) % Accuracy = (S/P)*100 446 703 717 525 461 1204 801 442 267 727 310 445 100.0 102.9 95.7 97.9 106.0 99.0 99.1 105.2 89.9 106.1 104.4 93.3 446 683 749 536 435 1216 808 420 297 685 297 477 Mean 99.97 5.22 Standard dev. Source: Author’s calculation Table 7: Multivariate equation model result Forecasting years Total Sales Change % from 2015 2016 2017 1494 866 -18% -103% Source: Author’s calculation But to make the sales more accurate, moving average for sales only was conducted. And result found as below (Table 8). Page 71 Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian As a result both multi-variant equation and moving average method, upcoming years new car sales are decreasing. Table 8: Predicted new car sales in 2016 and 2017 by moving average method. Forecasting years Time series 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2016 2017 Predicted sales Total Predicted (quarterly) Sales 240 611 416 240 176 436 288 160 Change % compared to previous year 1507 -17% 1060 -42% Source: Author’s calculation Seasonal trend in new car sales In-order to see whether new car sales follow any seasonal trend, data was obtained by years (2013 to 2015) and quarters (Q1 to Q4). So the seasonal variation was observed in the sales of the new cars. The maximum sales were in Quarter 2 (37%) followed by Quarter 3(25%). Thus. Based on this result, hypothesis is proved (Table 10). 2013 2014 2015 Q1 446 435 297 2013 2014 2015 Average 18.5 15.1 16.9 16.8 Table 10: Quarterly sales and trend Q2 Q3 Q4 683 749 536 1216 808 420 685 297 477 Sales as Percentage (%) of Total sales 28.3 31.0 22.2 42.2 28.1 14.6 39.0 16.9 27.2 36.5 25.3 21.3 TTL 2414 2879 1756 100 100 100 100 * - Top sales; * The second top sales Source: Author’s calculation So based on research analysis, researcher recommends followings as a priority for automotive dealer companies. • Make accurate sales forecast by selecting appropriate indicators. • Based on the accurate sales forecast, then make budgeting by monthly and quarter basis, coordinate with investment plan. • Make break-even point analysis • Seasonal trend should be considered for cash budgeting • Expand loan capacity by cooperating financial institutes • When planning sales should be consider not only by value but also by brand reputation • Expand share market and improve brand image • Improve inventory management system (Just-in-Time etc.) • Introduce costumer to costumer, face to face sales approach and find out potential customer. Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian Page 72 • Introduce Total-Quality-Management. • Expand and improve sales-supporting business of spare parts and after-sales service. Bibliography and reference source • ACCA. (2015). Paper P4 Advanced Financial Management. London: BPP Learning Media Ltd. • Arnold, G. (2008). Corporate Financial Management (5th Edition ed.). Pearson. • Bank of Mongolia. (2015 йил 5-January). www.mongolbank.mn. Retrieved 2015 йил 24-February from http://www.mongolbank.mn/eng/liststatistic.aspx Clearwater industrials team report . (2013). Global Automotive Report 2013. In J. Pendrill (Ed.). EIU/KPMG survey - forecasting with confidence. (2013). IFC. (2013). www.ifc.org. (&. C. I. F. Corporation, Producer) Retrieved 2015 йил 24-February from http://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/2497ac00420dd6e7a00bff494779b2ad/Mongolia_ Scorecard_2013_ENG.pdf Invest-Mongolia. (2014). http://invest-mongolia.apip.com. (Invest-Mongolia, Producer) Retrieved 2015 йил 5-January from http://invest-mongolia.apip.com/mining/foreign-miningcompanies Investopedia. (2015). www.investopedia.com. (Investopodia, Producer) Retrieved 2014 йил 28-February from http://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/12/beginners-guide-miningstocks.asp KPMG. (2012). www.kpmg.com. (KPMG, Producer) Retrieved 2015 йил 20-February from http://www.kpmg.com/MN/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Investment-2012/ Documents/InvestmentInMongolia2012.pdf National Statistical Office of Mongolia. (2015 йил 5-January). Retrieved 2015 йил 24-February from www.nso.mn: http://www.nso.mn/content/1072# , http://1212.mn/en/ OECD. (2009). The Automobile industry in and beyond the crisis. Stephen A. Ross, R. W. (2013). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance (10th ed., Vol. Standard). New York, USA, United States of America: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. World Bank . (2009 йил June). www.worldbank.org. (WorldBank, Producer) Retrieved 2015 йил 24-February from http://www.worldbank.org/ifa/rosc_cg_mongolia_09.pdf • • • • • • • • • • Page 73 Performance of Automobile Industry of Mongolian COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Nyamdorj. D, Freelance Consulting, Tserendash. S, Mongolian Academy of Agriculture Sciences, Torno. T, Rural Development Expert, Mendbayar. B Pasture specialist Abstract A natural pastureland is considered as one of the important ecological factors that influence to sustainability of animal husbandry in Mongolia. About 90% of the national pasture land is categorized as a susceptible to desertification. Main factors that cause to the land desertification are climate changes and human factors, which human factor contributes about 42 percent to. Due to a loss of the traditional herding practices, there was occurred unpredicted deterioration of the pasture conditions for last 30 years. A collaborative management, which is supported with combination of indigenous and expert knowledge, will help to prevent from pastureland degradations. An industrial research experiment on application of the collaborative pasture management was demonstrated in Buutsagaan, Khureemaral and Zag soums (sub-districts) of Bayankhongor aimag (province) in Mongolia in 2012-2016 under a financial support by ADB Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction Establishment of Climate Resilient Rural Livelihood Project. There were conducted two types of studies, questionnaire and pasture surveys. The questionnaire survey was obtained from members and leaders of herder groups, non-group herders, and local government officials. This paper illustrates only reflections of the herder group leaders on usage of collaborative management of pasture resources in those soums. Key words. Herder groups, leaders, planning, implementation, control, vegetation Introduction The UN Climate Change Conference was organized in Paris in 2015 under a motto of “Last Chance”, drawing attention of the global population into global warming problems (COP21, 2015). The global warming much influences into animal husbandry, land use, and ecology (Dagvadorj, Natsagdorj, Dorjpurev, & Namkhainyam, Mongolia Assessment Report on Climate Change 2009, 2010). According to the 5th Biodiversity Convention Report, about 78% of pastureland of Mongolia is affected with desertification, for which a human contribution is accounted as 39-44% (БОЯ, МУИС, 2015, хууд. 18). 90% of pasture was changed from its initial natural conditions, 80% of which was converted into such situations that pasture land conditions could be recovered as result of improvement of pasture use method (Булгамаа, Будбаатар, Анхцэцэг, Сүмжидмаа, Ганхуяг, & Брандон, 2015). There have been implemented several donor projects in Mongolia in areas of improvement of pasture management practices. All those projects comprised only limited scales: comparatively small pasture areas and limited number of herder households. ADB “Establishment of Climate Resilient Rural Livelihoods” the project that experimented collaborative pasture management practices activities comprised about 80% of soum pastureland and 73% of overall herder households. Background World widely, livelihoods of about 1 billion people are dependent on pastureland, which comprises about 40% of the dry land (David R. Kemp, 2013). As a landlocked and high elevated country, Mongolia’s ecosystem is very much susceptible (Цэрэндаш, Төмөржав, & Гомбосүрэн, Газар, бэлчээр, мал, 2003). Ancient people in the Central Asia were made an animal husbandry as a main source of their livelihoods about five thousand years ago (Төмөржав & Эрдэнэцогт, Монголын нүүдэлчин, 1999, хууд. 3). Mongols evolved a “classic” nomadic animal husbandry by many centuries within complicated systems of nature, livestock, and human (Төмөржав & Эрдэнэцогт, Монголын нүүдэлчин, 1999, хуудсд. 108, 110). Within these complicated systems the human plays a role of the coordination and ruling (Төмөржав, Монголын бэлчээрийн мал аж ахуй, 2004, p. 38). COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Page 74 Pastureland. Mongolia has a territory of 156.4 million hectare, of which 72% is accounted as pastureland. Overall forage resource is estimated about 46 million tones (Цэрэндаш, Лхагважав, & Алтанзул, Бэлчээр судлал 50 жилд, 2011, p. 7). This makes about 98% of feed that national livestock utilize annually (Цэрэндаш, Монгол орны бэлчээрийн нөөц түүнийг ашиглах, хамгаалах бодлогын зарим асуудал, 2012). According to the SDC report, a livestock number has reached to about 85 sheep units in 2014 (ШХА-Ногоон алт төсөл, 2015). But overall carrying capacity of national pasture is estimated from 75 (ХХААЯ, 2013) to 86 million sheep units (Цэрэндаш, БуянОрших, & Цэрэндулам, Монгол орны бэлчээрийн чадавхи, экологи чанарын үнэлгээ, 2000). These facts show that the pasture carrying capacity is nearly reached to the ceiling as of 2014. Systematic and purposeful scientific researches concerning pasture vegetation have been undertaken since 1921, and been accelerated since 1969, when a professional research institute was founded in the country (Цэрэндаш, Лхагважав, & Алтанзул, Бэлчээр судлал 50 жилд, 2011). According to the 5th Biodiversity Convention Report, about 78% of pastureland is affected with desertification in certain degrees. For desertification a human effect is estimated 39-44% among other factors (БОЯ, МУИС, 2015, хууд. 18). According to the SDC report, plant species that are below a reference level are occurred in 65% of surveyed areas, and 30-35% of pasture land, except a desert zone, was over utilized (ШХА-Ногоон алт төсөл, 2015, хуудсд. 15, 25). Herds & herders. As shown on a below bar chart, a livestock number of the country was doubled within 1989-2014 and a flock composition was dramatically changed because of the goat number increase. At the same time, a herder numberArticle was almost too. Journal of Management for thedoubled, International Article for the International Journal of Management 2014 2014 2013 2013 2012 2012 2011 2011 2010 2010 2009 2009 2008 2008 2007 2007 2006 2006 2005 2005 2004 2004 2003 2003 2002 2002 2001 2001 2000 2000 1999 1999 1998 1998 1997 1997 1996 1996 1995 1995 1994 1994 1993 1993 1992 1992 1991 1991 200% 200% 150% 150% 100% 100% 50% 50% 0% 0% 1990 1990 Figure 1 Herder numberFigure changes1between and 2014 Herder1990 number changes between 1990 and 2014 Figure 1 Herder number changes between 1990 and 2014 The national statistical office classifies herder families into 10 classes in terms of their animal NationalFor statistical herder classes terms the animal numbers. last 25 office years classifies (1990-2014), thefamilies herdersinto who10have lessinthan 100of livestock were National statistical office classifies herder families into 10 classes in terms of the animal number they hold. For last 25 years the herders who have less than 100 livestock were decreased, and the livestock are becoming to get concentrated with hands of a few herders. number they hold.forFor lastcategories. 25 years the herders who have less than 100 livestock were decreased, except other Figure 2 Herder classes change between 1990 and 2014 decreased, except for other categories. 35% 30% 35% 25% 30% 20% 25% 15% 20% 10% 15% 5% 10% 0% 5% 0% 2 Herder classeschange change between 19901990 and 2014 FigureFigure 2 Herder classes between and 2014 1990-1994 1990-1994 1995-1999 1995-1999 2000-2004 2000-2004 2005-2009 2005-2009 2010-2014 2010-2014 Pasture management. According to the Mongolia’s Constitution, a pastureland is a state Pasture According to thecommonly. Mongolia’sIt Constitution, a pastureland is a state property.management. Pasture resources are utilized has non-excludable and sub-tractable property. Pasture resources are utilized commonly. has non-excludable and Traditionally, sub-tractable featuresIt (Долгорсүрэн, 2015). COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF PageFigure 75 features (Долгорсүрэн, 2015). Traditionally, Mongols pay high significance to the land and IN MONGOLIA 3 Traditional use of pasture (Ts.Tserendash THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES 2003) high significance to the and consideredpay it as a base of the state in land Xiongnu Figure 3 Traditional use of pasture (Ts.Tserendash Mongols 2003) considered as a- base of the state in Xiongnu Empire (209it BC 93 AD) (Википедиа, 2016). Empire BC Empire - 93 AD) (Википедиа, 2016). During (209 Mongol (1206-1405) Chinggis Pasture management. Mongols pay their high attention to the land during Xiongnu Empire (209 BC - 93 AD), and considered it as a “root of the state” (Википедиа, 2016). During the Mongol Empire (1206-1405) Chinggis khaan solely owned the land, and from time to time it shifted to aristocrats’ possessions (Баянжаргал, 2004) till XX century and the herder had only user rights (Батхүрэл & Дорж, 2011, хууд. 167). Traditionally, Mongols understood and considered pasture always within its ecosystem; had four season migrations and frequent movements to utilize pasture resource and to prevent from degradations (Цэрэндаш, Төмөржав, & Гомбосүрэн, Газар, бэлчээр, мал, 2003). During a socialist economy pastureland belonged to a public or state. A herder cooperative “negdel” coordinated and managed whole pasture area utilizations within its soum territory. This was partly negatively influenced to old traditional practices, but in other hand such coordination helped to do land improvement, enrich pasture water supply, and to increase economic return (Жигжидсүрэн, 2005). Due to a collapse of the centrally planned economy in beginning of 1990s, those negdels were dismantled and bankrupted (Авирмэд, 2014), and the pastureland became a state property (Constitution of Mongolia, 1992). Pasture relations were left miserable, because pastureland utilization was left for commons without clear distinctions and regulations (Минжигдорж, 2012). To resolve current problems related with pasture utilization, it is necessary to introduce a proper pasture management involving herders, to support cooperation among herders (Гансэлэм.Д, 2009), and to introduce pasture use planning in the soums (Цэрэндаш, Төмөржав, & Гомбосүрэн, Газар, бэлчээр, мал, 2003), (ҮХААЯ, 2012). Despite of a privatization or state management, researchers suggested a third way to utilize common natural resources, which is to be managed by self-governing institutions of the resource users (Ostrom, 1990) with coordination of other stakeholders. There are three main stakeholders, namely a state, local government, and herders, who should have an equal collaboration and cooperation to utilize pasture resources. Results of the collaboration may depend on who will do what kind of activities when (Цэрэндаш, Төмөржав, & Гомбосүрэн, Газар, бэлчээр, мал, 2003). According to the Mongolia’s Constitution, a pastureland is a state property. Pasture resources are utilized commonly. It has non-excludable and sub-tractable features (Долгорсүрэн, 2015). Figure 3 Traditional use of pasture (Ts. Tserendash 2003) Methods Theory. Despite of a privatization or state control, there was suggested another way of utilizing common natural resources by researchers. A self-governing institution that is self-organized by resource users could be a potential solution for long term utilization of common pasture. There was identified a framework of a long term enduring, self-organizing, and self-governing intuitions with 8 principles, which are such clearly defined boundaries, congruence between appropriation and provision rules and location conditions, collective-choice arrangements, monitoring, graduated sanctions, conflict resolution mechanisms, minimal recognition of rights to organize, and nested enterprises for larger systems (Ostrom, 1990). For doing pasture management there are required three main parties such as state, local government, and herders. These parties must have an equal right on cooperation to manage pasture resources. Results of the collaborative efforts depend on who will do what kind of activities when (Цэрэндаш, Төмөржав, & Гомбосүрэн, Газар, бэлчээр, мал, 2003). Research goals. The research aimed to experiment a collaborative management practices in certain neighboring soums covering majority of the pasture territory and the herder households by COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Page 76 organizing and improving local institutions for use of common pasture in order to reduce or prevent from pasture degradations. Following steps were applied for executing industrial experiments. • Investigate pasture conditions at the start • Support herders in organizing self-governing (pioneer and satellite) herder groups based on “neg nutgiinkhan, neg usniikhan”, (people from the same pasture and water resources) • Strengthen a local capacity on application of the traditional practices combined with scientific knowledge • Enroll local herder, government leaders and specialists, into collaborative management practices with assistance of national professional experts • Elaborate a herder group level pasture use plan together with sketch map in consultation with bagh (lowest administrative unit) governor, introduce to bagh khural (assembly) and integrate them as a bagh level pasture use plan • Organize an annual stakeholders’ consultative workshop on “Soum pasture use” in order to integrate all herder groups or bagh level pasture use plans as a soum level pasture use plan • Submit a soum pasture use plan to a soum government for integration into to a soum land use plan, and to a soum citizens assembly for ratifications • Establish a pasture use agreement between herder groups and a soum governor • Assist to herder groups and bagh governors in implementing, monitoring, and planning • Conduct a pasture vegetation study on experimental areas with participation of representative of herders, bagh governor, and soum specialists. Stakeholders of the collaborative management who participated in research three soums were herder groups, herder group leaders, bagh and soum governors, soum pasture specialists, and professional experts. For the research there were used (i) structured questionnaire surveys of treatment and control herder households, herder group leaders, and bagh governors (ii) interviews with soum and bagh governors, and soum pasture specialists, and (iii) pasture vegetation study on experiment areas. Samples. There were 74 herder groups, who involved into industrial experiments during 20122015. Out of which 70 herder group leaders were interviewed. A sample fully represents their representative herder groups in the soums. Content of questionnaire. It contains 3 sections such as background information, herder origination, pasture use, monitoring, and results. The background section contains information about age, size of family, years of herding, livestock number, possession of yards in a soum center, and animal shelters. The herder organization section contains information such as a year of herder group establishment, year of enrollment to a group, group objectives, rule coherence with local situations, important points of the rule, roles of the group leader, problems faced at earlier stage, problems resolved, group meetings, significance of the herder groups, decision making, monitoring, sanctions for rule-breakers, disputes, local government attitude, and group goals. The pasture use section contains information about pasture use planning at group and bagh, start of pasture planning, stakeholder roles, cost of using pasture, implementation and monitoring, and impacts. Results This section contains only results of the questionnaire survey that was taken only from the (70) herder group leaders in experimental soums. Background section. Out of surveyed 16% were young, 77% were middle, and 7% were elders in accordance with national statistical herder age classification. About 64% of group leaders had 3-5 family members, and 22% had 6-7 family members. In other side, 54% family had 3 adult members for herding, 20% had 4 members, 15% had 1-2 members, and 9 had 5 or more adult members in family. Out of interviewed 60% had a family use fenced land in soum centers. Page 77 COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Item Members Members, % Adults for herding,% 1 0 2 14 4 11 Table 1 Family member composition Composition 3 4 5 6 19 19 26 16 54 20 7 0 7 6 8 0 9 1 1 0 1 Article for the International Journal of Management Out of surveyed, 32% herder group leader family had 201-500 livestock, 23% had 501-999, 23% had 1000-1499 livestock,Figure and 21% hadhousehold less than 200inlivestock. Out ofnumber herder group leaders 89% and 4 Herder classes terms of livestock 81% had animal winter and spring shelters, and 86% had summer pasture. 40 29 of livestock number Figure 4 Herder household classes in terms 21 21 16 30 20 10 0 0 1 0 -10 11-30 31-50 2 1 51-100 101-200 201-500 501-999 1000-1499 1500- Herder group leader Herder group section. Out of surveyed herder groups 47% were established in 2012, 27% - in 2013, 17% - between 2014 and 2015, and 8% - created before 2012. Whereas 49% group leaders were elected in 2012, 29% - in 2013, 17% - between 2014 and 2015, and 6% - elected Herder group section. Out of surveyed herder groups 47% were established in 2012, 27% - in before 2012. 2013, 17% - between 2014 and 2015, and 8% - created before 2012. Whereas, 49% group leaders were elected in 2012, 29% - in 2013, 17% - between 2014 and 2015, and 6% - elected before 2012. Table 2 Years herder groups incorported and group leaders elected Table 2 Years herder groups incorported and group leaders elected Item Item Incorporated Incorporated Enrolled toto Enrolled herder group group herder 2002 2002 11 2010 2010 1 2011 2011 4 - 2 2 Year 2012 2012 33 34 2013 2013 19 2014 2014 88 2015 2015 44 20 88 44 Among surveyed herder groups a maximum had 33 herder group member households, minimum Among surveyed herder groups a maximum had 33 herder group member households, had 7 member households, and on average 17 member households. minimum had 7 member households, and on average 17 member households. group members Figure 5 Number herdergroup group member households Figure 5 Number of of herder member households 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 herder group codes 3 per. Mov. Avg. (Series1) COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA All herder group leaders assume that their group rule coherent with local situations. OutPage of 78 surveyed, 57% herder group leaders replied that their groups aimed to properly utilize and protect pasture resources, 27% said to collaborate and help each other, and 16% answered to generate income. Out of surveyed, 57% herder group leaders replied that most important Article for the International Journal of Management All herder group leaders assume that their group rule coherent with local situations. Out of sanction57% rule-breakers and leaders to have replied a free membership. Concerning most important in surveyed, herder group that their groups aimed to properly utilizearticles and protect the rules, 49% - pasture use to regulation, 31% - cooperation amongand members, 10% - control and pasture resources, 27% said collaborate and help each other, 16% answered to generate income. Out of surveyed, 57% group leaders replied that most important points in their group sanctions, and remaining didherder not answer. rule are to manage pasture resources, 31% said that to sustain cooperation among members, and Concerning most difficulties faced by the herder at the beginning was and inactiveness 10% said that to control over implementation of the groups rule, sanction rule-breakers to have aoffree members (37%), low understanding goals of members (30%), mistrust foruse eachregulation, other (27%), membership. Concerning most important articles in the rules, 49% - pasture 31% low exchange of members, information (3%), and lack knowledge the leaderdid (3%). Nowadays as cooperation among 10% - control andof sanctions, andofremaining not answer. group leadersmost replied, 83% of the herder groups resolved their problems. was Theyinactiveness assumed Concerning difficulties faced by the herder groups atfaced the beginning that most significance of the herder group operation was the pasture use planning and of members (37%), low understanding goals of members (30%), mistrust for each other (27%), and the collaboration among group members lowprotection exchange(53%) of information (3%), and lack of knowledge of the (47%). leader (3%). Nowadays as group leaders replied, 83% of the herder groups resolved their faced problems. They assumed that most Concerning government attitude towas the herder groupuse leaders, soumand government significance of local the herder group operation the pasture planning protectionapplauds (53%) and supportsamong with finding (11%), helps to resolve problems (4%), do not regard (13%), and the(69%), collaboration group members (47%). disturbs herder groups (3%). Concerning local government attitude to the herder group leaders, soum government applauds (69%), supports with finding (11%), helps to resolve problems (4%), do not regard (13%), and disturbs Pasture use section. Herder group leaders described that a way of decision making related to herder groups (3%). pasture issues are as following: group member consultations (84%), group leaders solely Pasture section. (6%) Herder leaders described(3%). that a way of decision making related to (7%), fewuse of members or group through bagh meetings pasture issues are as following: group member consultations (84%), group leaders solely (7%), few of members (6%)(a) or 77% through meetings (3%). Out surveyed usebagh pasture towards pasture plan, 67% interviewed say their bagh use Out surveyed (a) 77% (b) use93% pasture towards pasture plan, 67% interviewed their bagh pasture under planning, leaders replied that they pasture rotation, 9%say - started followuse pasture under planning, (b) 93% of the leaders replied that they pasture rotation, 9% started follow pasture plans after 2012, (c) 97% interviewed responded that they participate in pasture pasture plans after 2012, 97% of the that they participate planning processes; 67%(c) - participate in interviewed group level leaders planning,responded 37% -participate in bagh level in pasture planning processes; 67% participate in group level planning, 37% -participate in bagh planning, 7% - participate in soum level pasture planning, and (d) 27% leaders prefer to have level a planning, - participate soum levelinpasture leaders prefer to have plan in 7% a group level, 43in% - a plan a bagh planning, level, andand 30%(d) - a27% planofinthe a soum level. a plan in a group level, 43 % - a plan in a bagh level, and 30% - a plan in a soum level. Herder pasture planning should bebe (a)(a) herders, bagh Herder group group leaders leadersassume assumethat thatstakeholders stakeholders pasture planning should herders, bagh soum government, and professional experts (b) herders and, soum andand soum government, and professional experts (40%),(40%), (b) herders and, bagh andbagh soumand government government (40%), (b) only bag government (6%), and (14%). (c) only herders (14%). Herder groupthat (40%), (b) only bag government (6%), and (c) only herders Herder group leaders assume leaders assumeshould that pasture planning should be initiated by (a) herders (56%), (b) (c) bagh pasture planning be initiated by (a) herders (56%), (b) bagh citizens meeting (23%), bagh citizens meeting (23%), (c) bagh governor (16%), and (d) soum government (6%). governor (16%), and (d) soum government (6%). Herder group leaders obtain pasture related information through group meetings (49%), neighbors Herder leaders obtain pasture related information through group (49%), (29%), andgroup bagh meeting (23%). 41% of responded that they meet 4 times permeetings a year, 33% meets neighbors (29%), and bagh meeting (23%). 41% of responded that they meet 4 times per a 2-3 times, 23% meets 5 or more, and 3% meets once a year. year, 33% meets 2-3 times, 23% meets 5 or more, and 3% meets once a year. Figure 6 Numbergroup group meetings perper yearyear Figure 6 Number meetings Number of meetins 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Herder group codes 3 per. Mov. Avg. (Series1) Page 79 7 COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA The main problem faced by herder groups at the beginning for pasture use planning was lack of knowledge on pasture use planning (36%), mistrust among members (36%), non-group herders (26%), and too much livestock (3%). 81% of the herder groups has resolved those faced problems today. As herder group leaders judge the most important activities for implementation of pasture use planning is organization of herder groups (49%), pasture carrying capacity survey (24%), soum level pasture planning workshops (16%), and pasture training (11%). Out surveyed, 81% provide a control and 19% do not provide a control over implementation of plans or rules. Only 46% herder group leaders respond that they do have a kind of sanction against rule breakers such as convincing, talking over group meeting, reminding, reading the riot act, fine with cash or livestock, additional works such as meal for group meeting, and exclude from group. 67% said they have dispute related to pasture and well use (44%), allocation of goods (16%), participation to group works (16%), cost sharing (11%), and communication (13%). The herder group leaders replied that the control over implementation of pasture use plan should be done by herders themselves (49%), bagh governor (33%), and soum government (14%). Herder group leaders see results of the experiments as following: increased carrying capacity (56%), collaborative use and protection of common pasture (37%), and no outputs (7%). Conclusions and Recommendations Within the research work there have been conducted several questionnaire surveys from different stakeholders and field surveys on pasture conditions or health. This paper only considers reflection of the herder group leaders about experiments on collaborative management of pasture resources. As summarized findings of the questionnaire survey from the herder groups leaders. • A sample of the survey fully represents herder group leaders in the research soums. • The herder groups established themselves but received technical assistance from external professional specialists. • Governance of the herder groups is very independent, no influence from outside. A herder group rule the groups are following is approved by members and they can revise it themselves. In addition to the rule, a pasture use plan of the herder groups also devised by participation of members, and accepted by local government. • The herder group leaders well understand a key stakeholder who initiates pasture use planning, implementation, and controlling is herders. A majority of the group leaders prefer to have a pasture use plan in herder group and bagh levels. • Nearly half of the herder group leaders consider importance of having external professional body to be enrolled for pasture use planning events. • About 80% of the herder groups provide internal control over implementation of the pasture use plan. About half of herder groups have different kinds of sanctioning against rule-breakers. • Herder group leaders think most important activities for implementation of pasture use planning is organization of herder groups. They also gave an importance to activities such as pasture carrying capacity survey, soum level pasture planning workshops, and pasture training. • Almost all herder group leaders considered collaborative use and protection of common pasture and increased carrying capacity were main impacts of industrial experiment At this stage only given reflections of the herder group leaders concerning collaborative pasture management. Therefore reflections of other stakeholders should be also be compared. COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Page 80 Bibliography • Википедиа. (2016, 1 сар). Retrieved March 2, 2016, from Википедиа: https:// mn.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9C%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%83%D0%BD_ %D1%88%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8C%D1%8E%D0%B9 • COP21. (2015). UN Climate Change Conference. Retrieved March 1, 2016, from COP21: http://www.cop21.gouv.fr/en/more-details-about-the-agreement/ • Dagvadorj, D., Natsagdorj, L., Dorjpurev, J., & Namkhainyam, B. (2010). Mongolia Assessment Report on Climate Change 2009. Ulaanbaatar: Ministry of Environment, Nature and Tourism. • Dagvadorj, D., Natsagdorj, L., Dorjpurev, J., & Namkhainyam, B. (2010). Mongolia Assessment Report on Climate Change 2009. Ulaanbaatar: Ministry of Environment, Nature and Tourism. • David R. Kemp, H. G. (2013, May 21). Innovative grassland management systems for environmental and livelihood benefits. PNAS, 8370. • Ostrom, E. (1990). Governing the Commons: The Evoluation of Institutions for Collective Action. Cambridge: Cambridge Universsity Press. • Авирмэд, Б. (2014). Хоршооны туршлагад суурилсан зөвлөмж. Улаанбаатар хот: Спектр Хэвлэл ХХК. • Батхүрэл, Г., & Дорж, Т. (2011). Монголын менежментийн сэтгэлгээний хөгжилт. Улаанбаатар хот: Наранбулаг Принтинг ХХК. • Баянжаргал, Ч. (2004). Чингис хааны эдийн засгийн бодлого, өв уламжлал. Улаанбаатар: Содпресс. • БОЯ, МУИС. (2015). Биологийн олон янз байдлын тухай конвенцийн 5 дугаар тайлан. Улаанбаатар: БОЯ. • Булгамаа, Д., Будбаатар, У., Анхцэцэг, Б., Сүмжидмаа, С., Ганхуяг, Н.-О., & Брандон, Б. (2015). Монгол орны бэлчээрийн газрын экологийн чадавхи, түүнийг бэлчээр зохион байгуулалтад ашиглах боломжийг судалсан дүнгээс. Монгол орны бэлчээрийн нөхөн сэргэх чадамжийг бэхжүүлэх нь, Салбар хөрвөсөн эрдэм шинжилгээний бага хурал (pp. 19-23). Улаанбаатар: Цогтпринт. • Гансэлэм.Д. (2009). “Мал аж ахуйн хөгжлийг төрөөс дэмжих үндэслэл, зарим арга зам” Бизнесийн удирдлагын ухааны докторын зэрэг горилсон диссертаци. Монгол улс. • Долгорсүрэн, Д. (2015, January 7). Чөлөөт шилжилт хөдөлгөөнтэй нийтийн нэгдмэл нөөц: Монгол ба АНУ-д зохион байгуулсан эдийн засгийн туршилт. Улаанбаатар. • Жерри, Х., Рекс, П., & Карлтон, Х. (2015). Бэлчээрийн менежмент, үндсэн зарчмууд ба туршлагууд (6 дахь хэвлэл ed.). Улаанбаатао: Тэпэ ХХК. • Жигжидсүрэн, С. (2005). Бэлчээрийн менежмент. Улаанбаатар: АДМОН ХХК. • Минжигдорж, Б. (2012). Бэлчээр ашиглалтын уламжлал шинэчлэлийн асуудал. Бэлчээр ашиглалтын тулгамдсан асуудлуудыг зохицуулах арга зам (pp. 44-48). Улаанбаатар: Мөнхийн үсэг ХХК. • Намжим, Т. (2004). Монгол улсын эдийн засаг (Vol. Боть 2). Улаанбаатар: Монгол улсын шинжлэх ухааны академи. • Төмөржав, М. (2004). Монголын бэлчээрийн мал аж ахуй. (Ж. Батаа, Ed.) Улаанбаатар, Монгол: Олонлог сэтгүүлийн хэвлэх үйлдвэр. • Төмөржав, М., & Эрдэнэцогт, Н. (1999). Монголын нүүдэлчин. Улаанбаатар: Монголын мал эмнэлгийн холбоо. • ҮХААЯ. (2012). Мал зүйчийн лавлах бичиг. Улаанбаатар: Мөнхийн үсэг ХХК. Page 81 COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA • ХХААЯ. (2013). Бэлчээрийн хүрэлцээ. Гаргасан 2015 оны September 26, Хүнс, хөдөө аж ахуйн яам: http://www.mofa.gov.mn/new/index.php?option=com_content&view=arti cle&id=114&Itemid=207-аас • Цэрэндаш, С. (2012). Монгол орны бэлчээрийн нөөц түүнийг ашиглах, хамгаалах бодлогын зарим асуудал. Бэлчээр ашиглалтын тулгамдсан асуудлуудыг зохицуулах арга зам (pp. 49-54). Улаанбаатар: Мөнхийн үсэг ХХК. • Цэрэндаш, С., Буян-Орших, & Цэрэндулам, З. (2000). Монгол орны бэлчээрийн чадавхи, экологи чанарын үнэлгээ. Улаанбаатар: ***. • Цэрэндаш, С., Лхагважав, Н., & Алтанзул, Ц. (2011). Бэлчээр судлал 50 жилд. Улаанбаатар: Мөнхийн үсэг ХХК. • Цэрэндаш, С., Төмөржав, М., & Гомбосүрэн, Ч. (2003). Газар, бэлчээр, мал. Улаанбаатар: Монголын шинжлэх ухааны акедеми. • ШХА-Ногоон алт төсөл. (2015). Монгол орны бэлчээрийн төлөв байдлын үндэсний тайлан. Улаанбаатар: Ногоон алт төсөл. COLLABORATIVE MANAGEMENT OF COMMON PASTURE RESOURCES: REFLECTIONS OF THE HERDER GROUP LEADERS IN EXPERIMENTAL LOCALITIES IN MONGOLIA Page 82 THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Bumdelger. Kh School of Economics and Business Management, Mongolian National University Abstract The increase in life expectancy and solution of social security of citizens of the pension age is becoming one of the emerging issues for various governments across the world. The old age pension is a complicated issue related to the person’s biology, psychology and level of the country’s development. Mongolia has chosen a savings or accumulation method to use in implementing the old age pension scheme which is appropriate to the current circumstances. Thus, in the present study the issues of reform of the pension insurance system in the framework of the savings method is considered. We suggest that all the working population to be involved in the pension insurance; early retirement to be done on the preferential conditions and transfer it to the social security system; To change the retirement age in accordance with the life expectancy of the population; create the opportunities for the private sector organizations to run pension insurance activities along with the state organizations; To distribute pension from the suggested main four sources of the state pension fund and change the rate of deduction and reflect it in the law. We also suggest to increase the pension fund money in the financial market, in accordance with these to create a legal environment to protect the pension fund from the further business risks. Key words: Old age pension, pension fund, life expectancy, retirement age, pension rate, savings fund Introduction The increase in life expectancy and solution of social security of citizens of the pension age is becoming one of the emerging issues for the states and governments of any country across the world. Although it is proven that the old age pension insurance system being implemented nowadays was one of the biggest reforms made in the social security sector during the transition period from the central planning economy to the market economy, it does not meet the present-day requirements. The increase in the number of population, trends in the balance of income and expenditure of the insurance fund, the capacity of the state budget, and social requirements on supporting the livelihood of the elderly population illustrates the necessity of reform to the pension insurance system in Mongolia as in other countries. Implementing this reform, it is required to change some elements of the pension system in accordance with the population factors(4,5,6: 5-6,10, 6 ), to provide pension from the multiple sources, to increase the average pension as well as to reduce the burden on the state budget. Body Since the old age pension is a complicated issue related to the person’s biology, psychology and level of the country’s development, we considered the theoretical concepts of this research on the stakes of the sciences such as biology, sociology, psychology and economics. As there are no proper theoretical foundations and models for the complete solution of the old age pension scheme in the world, each country is formulating and implementing the methodology which fits to its special features according to the recommendations[1:364] and conventions of the World Labour Organization. There is a dominating tendency in choosing the methods of raising retirement age , unification of retirement age between men and women(2:№102, 71 дүгээр зүйл), transition to multiple tier pension scheme and savings methods(3:№128, 17 дугаар зүйл). Mongolia has chosen a savings or accumulation method to use in implementing the old age pension scheme which is appropriate to the current circumstances. Thus we have considered in this study the issues Page 83 THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM of reform of the pension insurance system in the framework of the savings method. The inseparable component of the state policy on improving social security is to create legal environment appropriate to the Mongolian special features. We consider the following measures are important to be taken regarding this policy: • To change the current pension insurance system and to create the opportunities for the private sector organizations to run pension insurance activities along with the state organizations; • To distribute pension from the main four sources of the state pension fund and change the rate of deduction and reflect it in the law. • To legalize that all the working population to be involved in the pension insurance; • To change the current system of entitling early retirement on the preferential conditions and transfer it to the social security system. • To change the retirement age in accordance with the life expectancy of the population and the size of sources of the pension fund. We are drawing a conclusion that there is a reason for considering the issues of changing the pension age based on the facts showing the continuous increase in the life expectancy and the result of the survey conducted among the population on the increase of the retirement age. The retirement age has not been changed since 1958 when it was legally adopted for the first time. If at that time life expectancy of the Mongolians was 60(9: 327-347), nowadays male life expectancy is 65.42 and female life expectancy reached 75.01 and average life expectancy became 70.2 which is 10 years longer than it was in 1958. In order to establish the correlation between the life expectancy and retirement age we have studied the male and female life expectancy and retirement age of 51 countries using the regression equation and graph. Fig. 1: Correlation between male life expectancy and retirement age Average life expectancy Source: Researcher’s estimation The coefficient of the linear correlation is 0.73 and this shows that life expectancy and retirement age have a strong positive linear dependence. The determination coefficient is 54% and it shows that the retirement age is affected by the life expectancy by R2=54%. This means that in most of the countries, deciding the retirement, the life expectancy is also considered besides many other factors which contribute to 46% of the variance. THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Page 84 Figure 2. Correlation between female life expectancy and retirement age Source: Researcher’s estimation The study on the dependence of female life expectancy and retirement age illustrates that its regression equation is y = 0.5327x + 20.429, and the coefficient of the linear dependence is 0.71, in other words, it has a very high dependency, and the determinant coefficient is 0.50, which shows if the life expectancy increases by one year, the retirement age will increase by 0.53 years. According to this study the retirement age depends not only on the life expectancy, but also on the many other factors related to the social and economic features of the counties. The life expectancy and GDP per capita might be considered as the main factors in defining the retirement age based on the comparison of the information from 51 countries involved in the study. Female pension age 3 Average wages and salary 0.658 - 0.543 0.056 0.308 0.575 - 0.376 0.651 0.059 0.258 0.681 0.575 0.681 0.930 0.16 0.187 1.000 /in USD/ Average monthly wages and salary / in USD/ 2 Number of dependants per employee Male pension age Percentage of net annual growth of population 1 GDP per capita Indicators Female life expectancy № Male life expectancy Table 1: Matrix of the correlation between the factors affecting the retirement age Source: Researcher’s estimation When the research survey on the appropriateness of current retirement age (60 for men, 55 for women) was conducted among the retirees, 31.1% of the respondents agreed that it’s rational and the rest deemed it’s not appropriate. 79.5% of the male retirees answered that the retirement age should be changed to 63 to 65, and 67.7% of the female retirees answered it should be over 60. The researchers Tungalag and Dagvadorj conducted a similar research in 2011. At that time, 67.0% of the retirees answered the most appropriate retirement age for men is 60 and 87.6% of them answered - 50 to 59 for women. The study shows that the life expectancy, GDP per capita and average monthly wage have a strong impact on the retirement age for both males and females, but the percentage of the net Page 85 THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM The researchers Tungalag and Dagvadorj conducted a similar research in 2011. At that time, should be changed to 63 to 65, and 67.7% of the female retirees answered it should be over 60. 67.0% of the retirees answered the most appropriate retirement age for men is 60 and 87.6% of The researchers Tungalag and Dagvadorj conducted a similar research in 2011. At that time, them answered - 50 to 59 for women. 67.0% of the retirees answered the most appropriate retirement age for men is 60 and 87.6% of them answered - 50 to 59 for women. The study shows that the life expectancy, GDP per capita and average monthly wage have a annual of on thethe population andage number of dependants employee affect much stronggrowth impact retirement for both males andper females, but do thenot percentage ofon thethe net The study shows that the life expectancy, GDP per capita and average monthly wage have a retirement age. annual growth of the population and number of dependants per employee do not affect much on strong impact on the retirement age for both males and females, but the percentage of the net Considering the retirement the age.biological factor (life expectancy) and level of development of the country (GDP annual growth of the population and number of dependants per employee do notdependence affect muchofon per capita) as the factors affecting the retirement age, we of calculated a linear Considering the main biological factor (life expectancy) and level development of the country (GDP the retirement age. these two using regression equation: per capita) as the the following main factors affecting the retirement age, we calculated a linear dependence of Considering the biological factor (life expectancy) and level of development of the country (GDP Retirement agethe forfollowing men: these two using regression equation: per capita) as the main factors affecting the retirement age, we calculated a linear dependence of Retirement age for men: these two using the following regression equation: Retirement age for men: Retirement age for women: Retirement age for women: Retirement age for women: Figures in brackets are Standard error. Figures in brackets are Standard error. Figures in(1) brackets Standard error. Equations and (2)are illustrate that 1 year increase in the life expectancy causes the retirement age for men increase by 0.236 years and retirement age for women increase by 0.351 years. Equations (1) and (2) illustrate that 1 year increase in the life expectancy causes the retirement Moreover, 1$ increase of GDP per capita causes an inincrease of 0.014 years for men’s and 0.067 Equations and (2) illustrate 1 year causes the 0.351 retirement age for men(1)increase by 0.236that years andincrease retirement the agelife forexpectancy women increase by years. years for women’s age, life and age for men increaseretirement by 0.236 age. yearsThe andcorrelation retirementbetween age for retirement women increase byexpectancy 0.351 years. Moreover, 1$ increase of GDP per capita causes an increase of 0.014 years for men’s and 0.067 GDP per capita was resulted high, which are R =0.662 for men and R =0.549 for women. y x, y men’s and 0.067 Moreover, 1$ increase of GDP per capita causes anx, increase of 0.014 years for years for women’s retirement age. The correlation between retirement age, life expectancy and years for women’s retirement age. Thewas correlation between retirement age, life expectancy andthe GDP Rational retirement age until 2040 determined based on this principle depending on sex. GDP perwas capita was resulted high, which are Rx,for y=0.662 for men and Rx, y=0.549 for women. per capita resulted high, which are R =0.662 men and R =0.549 for women. Rational (Table 2) x, y x, y Rational age retirement age was untildetermined 2040 was determined based on this principleon depending on the2)sex. retirement until 2040 based on this principle depending the sex. (Table (Table 2) Table 2. Retirement age according to the level of development of Mongolia and trends the life expectancy of to the Population Table 2. in Retirement age according the level of development of Mongolia and Table 2. Retirement age according to the level of development of Mongolia and trends in the life expectancy of the Population trends in the life expectancy of the Population Male Z=46.404+0.236X+0.014Y Female Z=33.04+0.351X+0.067Y 6 1.708 1.708 1.446 62.562.5 62.3 1.446 1.446 1.295 62.362.3 61.9 75.01 77.48 77.48 75.01 79.37 79.37 78.99 2.232 2.232 1.97 61.1 61.1 60.9 62.862.8 62.5 78.99 78.99 78.4 2040 2040 2035 71.38 71.38 70.42 2.494 2.494 2.232 63.363.3 63.1 79.61 79.61 79.37 63.163.1 62.8 60.4 60.4 59.6 60.7 60.7 60.4 1.970 1.970 1.708 2.232 2.232 1.970 59.6 1.708 1.708 1.446 69.37 69.37 68.24 70.42 70.42 69.37 1.446 1.446 1.295 59.6 78.4 78.4 77.48 2030 2030 2025 2035 2035 2030 1.295 1.295 Options for establishing Options Options for age for retirement 75.01 61.9 establishing establishing retirement retirement age age 68.24 68.24 67.06 67.06 67.06 65.42 61.9 1.295 per capita per capita in in thousand thousand USDUSD 2025 2025 2020 2020 2020 2015 1.295 Forecast for GDP per capita in Forecast Forecast for GDP for GDP thousand USD 65.42 65.42 Forecast for life expectancy 22 1 33 2 44 3 55 4 66 5 2015 2015 establishing establishing retirement retirement age age 11 Female Z=33.04+0.351X+0.067Y Options for establishing Options Options for for retirement age Years per capita per capita in in thousand thousand USDUSD № Forecast for GDP perfor capita Forecast Forecast GDP forinGDP thousand USD Years Years Forecast for life № № expectancy Forecast Forecast for life for life expectancy expectancy Male Z=46.404+0.236X+0.014Y Female Z=33.04+0.351X+0.067Y Forecast Forecast for life for life expectancy expectancy Male Z=46.404+0.236X+0.014Y 1.97 1.971.708 2.494 2.494 2.232 60.9 60.9 60.7 61.2 61.2 61.1 Source: National Office. Updated population calculations 2010-2040, 2040 71.38 Statistics 2.494 63.3 79.61 2.494 researcher’s 61.2 estimation based on the Mongolian national population and housing data of 2010. According to estimates, it’s possible to change men’s retirement age to 62 starting from 20162017, 63 from 2035 and women’s retirement age to 59 starting from 2016-2017 and 60 from 2025. One main factor influencing the expenditure of the pension insurance fund aside from the population of pensioners is average pension. In 2014, 322.7 thousand people in Mongolia are receiving pension from the social insurance fund, and 74.9 percent or 241.9 thousand of them are old-age pensioners. In 2014, 984.6 billion MNT spent from the pension insurance fund to the pension THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Page 86 fund. The Mongolian national pension insurance fund has increased by 18 times, or 24.2 percent annually over the past 15 years. Including the pension insurance premiums income have increased by 18.0 times, and the state budget subsidies for pension have increased by 17.1 times. Table 3. Comparative study of the average pension and the average salary Average salary, Against average salary 18.2k MNT 62.3k percentage 29.2 2005 38.5k 105.4k 36.5 3 2010 126.9k 379.4k 34.2 4 2014 257.4k 844.0k 30.4 № Year Average pension, MNT 1 2000 2 Source: Estimates of researchers based on secondary data on http://1212.mn/statHtml/ statHtml.dо /labor, employment, unemployment, average salary/ The study compared the estimated average pension in the national scale to the average salary of the employees and average pension equal to 29.2-39.1 percent of average salary between 20002014, and 91.8 percent of old-age pension receivers said that the current pension does not meet the basic needs of living. In the framework of improving the old-age pension insurance system, we also considered the change of the retirement age as well as the improvement of the types, forms and premiums of the insurance and balancing of the insurance fund revenues and expenditures and using it in the financial market. For this purpose we’ve developed models to deal with these problems in case of ensuring the independence of the pension fund. The balance of revenue and expenditure of the pension fund is determined by our models in the following cases: Ti, revenue ≥ Ti, expenditure Ti, revenue –revenue of the pension fund during the i period ; Ti, expenditure – expenditure of the pension fund during the i period; Ti,revenue = ƒ(GDP, TP, N, M, W, LA) (1) Ti,expenditure = ƒ(K, P, V, J) (2) In order to estimate the formation of old age pension insurance fund we looked at the following factors that affect the pension fund and its expenses: 1. Gross Domestic Product GDP 2. GDP per capita, thousand MNT = GDP:TP 3. Total Population TP 4. The number of the working population LA 5. The proportion of the working population in the total number of the population N = LA:TP 6. The percentage of the working population involved in the social insurance= M 7. The number of people eligible for social insurance = LA:M 8. The number of pensioners K 9. The average wages W 10. Salary deduction percentage for pension insurance L 11. The average pensionP 12. Operational costs of the insurance organizations V 13. The interest rate of the banks to pay the pension fund balance J Page 87 THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM 11. The average pension P 12. Operational costs of the insurance organizations V 13. The interest rate of the banks to pay the pension fund balance J We proposed the options for upgrading the factors by calculating the pension fund’s source by function Ti,revenuethe = ƒ(GDP, N, M, W, LA) (1) and by its calculating distribution the by function = ƒ(K, We proposed options TP, for upgrading the factors pension T fund’s source by P, i,expenditure function = ƒ(GDP, TP, N, M, W, LA) (1) and its distribution by function T = ƒ(K, P, V, J) to V, J) T (2) by changing cases when there’s fund loss. According to our calculation, it is suitable i,revenue i,expenditure (2) change by changing cases when loss.59 According to in our2020, calculation, it is suitable to change the retirement agethere’s to 62 fund for men, for women 63 for men, 51 for women since the2030, retirement age to 62 for men, 59 for women in 2020, 63 for men, 51 for women since 2030, the the pension insurance premiums by 15 percent in 2030 and by18 percent in 2035. As a pension premiums by 15Mongolian percent in people’s 2030 andpension by18 percent in 2035.will As get a result of to these result insurance of these measurements, plan duration closer other measurements, Mongolian people’s pension plan duration will get closer to other countries’ average, countries’ average, and the average pension increases to 80 percent of the average salary. and the average pension increases to 80 percent of the average salary. We’ve developed developed the the following age pension and We’ve following model model for for the thepossibilities possibilitiesofofmultiple multiplesources sourcesold old age pension and made the calculation of the methodology. made the calculation of the methodology. Figure 3. Model of Multiple the old age Figure 3. Model of Multiple sources of thesources old ageofpension . pension . State budget Individual Organisation State pension insurance fund Pension insurance fund Voluntary pension fund Benefits Benefits Benefits State pension insurance fund Pension insurance fund Voluntary pension fund Employer pension fund Employer pension fund Source: Model developed by researchers Source: Model developed by researchers We consider that introducing multiple sources of old age pension fund has many advantages, We consider that introducing sources age pension has many advantages, such as the pensioner will getmultiple his or her from of theold four sources of fund the pension fund, and will be such as the pensioner will get his or her from the four sources of the pension fund, and will be protected from income risks in the future and increase life guarantee. protected from income risks in the future and increase life guarantee. Conclusions and recommendations Although the old age pension is low, a pension insurance fund is not able cover its expenditure with its income and it burdens the state budget. Average life expectancy of the Mongolian people is increasing steadily, but the consequences of the retirement age being intact for many years show us that it is essential to develop the legal environment. THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Page 88 We recommend the following ways of improving the old age pension system on the basis of the results of the study: 1. To change the legal environment for the old age pension 2. To increase the retirement age 3. To improve the old age pension insurance system. The latest studies conducted on the improvement of the old age pension system, theories and concepts proposed by the scientists are used as the theoretical and methodological grounds designed to improve old age pension system. Each country has been developing the pension system relevant to its special features based on the common theory and methodology and there is a tendency to increase retirement age for men and women, bring the women’s retirement age closer to the men’s retirement age and finance the pension from multiple sources. For the last 15 years, our average pension increase has not kept up with the price increase of the consumer goods and commodity as well as has not met the minimum needs of living. In 2014, average pension accounted for only 30.4 percent of the total amount of the average wages is one example of this. It indicates that there is a need to implement significant measurements to change our basic retirement system. In the process of improving the pension insurance system, it is important to make the pension insurance fund to be independent and transfer some of it to the private sector, expand the scope of insurance eligibility, use the monetary assets raised from insurance premiums in the business, change the rate of insurance premiums. In accordance with the increase in the life expectancy and the country’s economic growth we assume that it is necessitated to increase men’s retirement age to 62 starting from 2016-2017, 63 from 2030 and women’s retirement age to 59 starting from 2016-2017 and 61 from 2030. We recommend some options for delivering the pension from the four different sources such as “Basic pension” from the pension insurance fund, “Savings pension” from the savings pension insurance fund, “Additional pension” from the operators of voluntary insurance activities and “Pensions with specific criteria” from the pension fund provided by the employer in the framework of the pension insurance savings method. References 1. Олон Улсын Хөдөлмөрийн Байгууллага. “Зөвлөмжүүдийн эмхэтгэл”. (2012) Улаанбаатар 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. хот. Олон Улсын Хөдөлмөрийн Байгууллага (1952) он. Нийгмийн хамгааллын доод хэмжээний тухай конвенц. Олон Улсын Хөдөлмөрийн Байгууллага (1967) он. Хөдөлмөрийн чадвараа алдсаны, өндөр насны болон тэжээгчээ алдсаны тэтгэврийн тухай конвенц. Aaron George Grech (2013) How best to measure pension adequacy. David E. Bloom and Roddy McKinnon (2013) The design and implementation of public pension systems in developing countries: Issues and options. Peter R. Orszag and Joseph E. Stiglitz (1999). Rethinking Pension Reform:Ten Myths About Social Security. st Robert Holzmann & Richard Hinz., (2006) Old Age Income Support in the 21 Century,World Bank. Salmen E. (1996) Unemployment Insurance in Algeria: Implications for a Labor Market in Transition. Policy Research, and External Affairs, Country Economics Department. The World Bank, Washington D.C. Stadtman E.R. (1988) Biochemical markers of aging. Exp Gerontol, Page 89 THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Интернетээс ашигласан Вэб хаяг: 1. www.social insurance in USA(Social Security (United States)-Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) 2. http://ndaatgal.mn/tailan/SIGO-REPORT-2014.pdf 3. http://1212.mn/ 4. http://sonin.mn/news/politics-economy/480 5. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/home.aspx 6. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN 7. www.populationpyramid.com/Mongolia/free/ http://www.khun.gov.mn/files/web_pension.pdf 8. www.mongolmed.mn/article/983/ 9. http://www.parliament.mn/law/project/541/category/2 / THE WAYS OF IMPROVING THE OLD AGE PENSION SYSTEM Page 90 Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems Atartsetseg. B National University of Mongolia Abstract Background: The educational system needs to be changed in accordance to the new demands and requirements of social and economic situation.One way of enhancing competitiveness and developing a distinctive model of higher education institutions is to implement knowlegde management (KM) promptly. The Knowledgement have five major components as Orgnization culture, Organization structure, Orgznization’s Information technology, Common Knowledge and Physical environment. Obectives: To assess what are the bottlenecks in implementation of KM policies in Higher Education set up in Mongolia. Methodology: A survey was undertaken among 24 teachers who were teaching KM subject in Universities and colleges in Mongolia. A predesigned questionnaire was used in carrying out the survey. Results: Based on the survey results the top 5 benefits of KM were: It leads to Development of more relevant and knowledge focused policies; Help in Establishment of goals, objectives which is right and significant; Development of research atmosphere; Creation of learning atmosphere for new knowledge, Effective teaching and learning process. The major three bottlenecks reported in implementation of KM are: Lack of understanding of the value and benefits of KM; Organization’s structure and processes are not designed for KM; Current mindset does not encourage Knowledge sharing culture. It is believed that Implementation of KM will enhance academic quality, reduce time and cost in decision making, improve student service, consequently create effective relationship between stakeholders. The universities will be able to obtain more commercial opportunities and research based benefits, specially promote creation and application of knowledge to meet their main startegic objectives. Keywords: Knowledge, Knowledge management, higher education, knowledge sharing and application, Academic quality, decision making. Introduction There have been many organizations that have implemented KM principles, best practices and tools. A knowledge management /KM/ approach is the conscious integration of people, processes and technology. It enables the people within an organization to share what they know to improve quality of service and outcomes. KM plays an important role in the improvement of organizational competitive advantage through sharing of best practices, faster response to key institutional issues, improving process and employee`s skills. The application of KM approach will enable institutions to gain a more comprehensive, reflexive and integrative view of the organizational knowledge for leading to improved knowledge sharing, more effective decision making, planning and performance enhancing. In this turn means relevant and focused policies in compliance with institutional goals and objectives, the ability to access information more quickly, improved academic and administrative services, reduced costs and prevention of mistakes and failures. But the apparent failure in KM initiatives is primarily caused due to lack of sharing culture, lack of awareness of the benefits of it and failure to integrate KM into everyday working practices. The paper is included background of knowledge management, feature of KM in higher education institutions, and what benefits for implementing KM. Overview of Knowledge management In today`s global economy, knowledge is basis of competitive advantage. So what is knowledge? Although there is no one standard definition on knowledge, definitions by leading KM gurus share one common characteristic-knowledge increases capacity for effective action. There are some Page 91 Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems definitions of knowledge: “Knowledge is information in action.” (Carla O’Dell and Jackson Grayson Jr. Essaides N.O et al, 1998) “I define knowledge as a capacity to act.” (Sveiby K.E., 1997) “Justified belief that increases an entity’s capacity for effective action.”(Ikujiro Nonaka I., 1994) “Knowledge is an information that changes something or somebody-either by becoming grounds for action or by making an individual (or an institution) capable of different or more effective action.” (Drucker, 1989) KM practitioners “knowledge” is capacity for effective action, including information that is useful for effective action, producing results, or creating value. Knowledge can be classified into 2 general types as showing in the Fig. 1: Fig. 1: Classification of Knowledge Documents Procedures Manuals Rules/Policies Practices Systems Skills Experience Mind of individual Explicit knowledge Tacit knowledge Explicit knowledge means that they have been codified so it is possible to touch, see, hear, feel and manipulate them (e.g. books, reports, data files, newsreels, audios and other physical forms). Tacit knowledge is the kind of knowledge that is difficult to transfer to another person by means of writing it down or verbalizing it. On knowledge management, it is the process of capturing, developing, sharing, and effectively using organizational knowledge. It refers to a multi-disciplined approach to achieving organizational objectives by making the best use of knowledge. The knowledge to be managed includes both explicit-documented knowledge, and tacit-subjective knowledge. Some definitions of knowledge management following are; • “Knowledge management is the systematic, holistic approach to the sustainable improvement of the handling of knowledge on all levels of an organization” (Eppler M. , 2002) • “Knowledge Management is the discipline of enabling individuals, teams and entire organisations to collectively and systematically create, share and apply knowledge, to better achieve their objectives” (Ron Young, CEO/CKO Knowledge Associates International) • “Knowledge management is … getting the right knowledge to the right people at the right time and helping people share and put information into action in ways that strive to improve organizational performance” (Carla O’Dell and Jackson Grayson Jr. Essaides N.O et al, 1998) • “KM is an integrated approach of creating, sharing, and applying knowledge to enhance organizational productivity, profitability and growth” (Asian Productivity Organization, 2013) An important point in knowledge management is to pay attention to collective knowledge and know-how and to evolve these things using teamwork. The goal of knowledge management is to make organization work more effectively, so institutions can strengthen its competitive capabilities and success. We need to have enough skilled workers and to educate them when needed. Therefore it’s not just about the knowledge itself, but about how to use and spread the knowledge in the most effective and wide way. Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems Page 92 Successful KM implementing is depends on many factors. KM infrastructure is most important factors to implement KM in any organization. In an organizational context, the infrastructure includes 5 major components (Becerra-Fernandez, 2010) (Table.1): Table 1: Major components of Knowledge infrastructure № Infrastructure Description 1 Organizational culture Organizational culture reflects the norms and beliefs that guide the behavior of the organization’s members. The most important challenges in KM are nontechnical in nature – and have to do with lack of the above organizational culture characteristics 2 Organizational structure Hierarchical structure of the organization affects the people with whom individuals frequently interact, and to or from whom they are consequently likely to transfer knowledge 3 Organization`s information technology system The information technology infrastructure includes data processing, storage, and communication technologies and systems 4 Common knowledge It refers to the organization’s cumulative experiences in comprehending a category of knowledge and activities, and the organizing principles that support communication and coordination 5 Physical environment The physical environment within the organization is often taken for granted, but it is another important foundation upon which knowledge management rests 1. Nature of KM in higher education The contemporary university is the most important institution in the complex process of knowledge creation and distribution, serving as home not only to most of the basis sciences, but also to the complex system of journals, books, and databases that communicates knowledge worldwide. (Serafin Talisayon, 2006) Today`s academic world is very demanding and very competitive. Issues and challenges in academics not only affect people, but also environment, industry standards and demands, educational norms, growing competition and so on. The higher education institutes create knowledge during their academic and administrative processes. Capturing and making the institutional knowledge available will ensure continuity and will accelerate organizational learning. But most higher education institutions face the difficult task of integrating their knowledge for improved knowledge sharing and effective decision making. Academic and administrative processes of teaching, examination, evaluation, admissions, counseling, training and placement and research and consultancy result in many useful experiences and studies which may be defined as knowledge in the context of higher educational institutes. KM in educational settings should provide a set of design Huang /1998/ suggested the main instruments of society for the constant pursuit of knowledge sharing and collaboration. They are (1) making knowledge visible, (2) increasing knowledge intensity, (3) building knowledge infrastructure, (4) developing a knowledge culture. The most generally recognized four organizational knowledge management strategies are culture, leadership, technology, and measurement (The American Productivity and Quality Center). KM in educational institutions aims at integrating the knowledge produced at all levels and using it towards the institute`s goals and targets. 2. Benefits of KM in HEIs KM application will bring many benefits for the university processes and services. The survey respondents was 24 people who doing research work and teaching on KM and innovation management field in higher education institutions of Mongolia. Table-2 illustrates the survey results frequencies and percentages of the alternative questions. Page 93 Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems The survey result shows the most important benefits are Development of knowledge focused policies, Research oriented-university system, Creation of learning organization, Effective teaching and learning process, Improved human resource development policy. (Table.2) Table.2 Benefits of KM by range activities Range activity Benefits of KM Frequency (%)* Development of more relevant and knowledge focused policies 19 79.2 Establishment of goals, objectives which is right and significant 16 66.7 Creation of learning organization which is responsive to the Planning and 16 66.7 new knowledge society developing Improvement of procedures and processes 13 54.2 Enhancement of ability to develop labor market-focused 8 33.3 strategic plans Research oriented-university system 17 70.8 Increase of motivation for research 12 50.0 Increased competitiveness and responsiveness for research 12 50.0 Research grants, contracts and commercial opportunities Facilitation for interdisciplinary researches 11 45.8 Utilization of institutional resources and facilities 10 41.7 Reduced time and extra costs for research 10 41.7 Effective teaching and learning process /knowledge creating by 16 66.7 lecturers and students/ Improvement of teaching methodologies 14 58.3 Teaching Motivation towards research in selected area and improved 13 54.2 and learning student projects Enhancing quality of curriculums and programs by leveraging processes 11 45.8 best practices and monitoring learning outcomes Development of Interdisciplinary curriculums 10 41.7 Development of internet technology based learning 8 33.3 Enhancement of responsibility and accountability 12 50.0 Improvement of services for students 11 45.8 Administrative Reduced service process cycle times 11 45.8 services and Improved service quality and capability of faculty and staff 10 41.7 10 41.7 Student affairs Improved services for alumni Improved efficiency of the administrative services 9 37.5 Effective and efficient decision making 9 37.5 Improved human resource development policy 16 66.7 Development of performance evaluation of faculty 14 58.3 Human Creation of work environment and culture for knowledge 12 50.0 resource sharing Self-improvement and career development plans 11 45.8 management Clear understanding of responsibilities and expectations 10 41.7 Motivation towards superior performance 9 37.5 Note: Respondents are chosen 3 main benefits *- by duplicated percentages 3. Problems of KM implementation There are obvious challenges to the implementation of KM in Higher education institutions. Question was “Which of challenges are facing to implement KM for higher education institutions?” They ranked challenges the most important one from 1 to 8. The following table shows a typical response to first 2 questions. Based on the responses, the sum of scores was obtained as 48 and 83 (Table 3). Table.3 Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems Page 94 Main problems № Lack of understanding of the benefits of KM Organization’s structure and processes are not designed for KM 1 2 1 Frequencies of Ranking by respondents 3 4 5 6 7 2 8 Total 12 6 4 0 1 0 1 0 48 7 3 5 2 1 2 2 2 83 The following table shows the calculation of sum scores in first 4 questions. (Table.4) Table.4 Lack of understanding of Organization’s structure Current mindset does not Lack of appropriate the benefits of KM and processes are not encourage Knowledge information technology designed for KM sharing culture and KM techniques Rank Freq Sum Rank Freq Sum Rank Freq Sum Rank Freq Sum score score score score 1 12 12 1 7 7 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 6 12 2 3 6 2 4 8 2 4 8 3 4 12 3 5 15 3 5 15 3 3 9 4 0 4 4 2 8 4 2 8 4 7 28 5 1 5 5 1 5 5 3 15 5 5 25 6 0 0 6 2 12 6 3 18 6 1 6 7 1 7 7 2 14 7 4 28 7 0 0 8 0 0 8 2 16 8 2 16 8 1 8 Amount 24 48 Amount 24 83 Amount 24 109 Amount 24 87 The integrated calculation is shown in the next table. (Table.4) Table.4 № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Main problems Lack of understanding of the value and benefits of KM Organization’s structure and processes are not designed for KM Current mindset does not encourage Knowledge sharing culture Lack of funding for KM Lack of appropriate information technology and KM techniques Lack of leadership and management support KM at all level Lack of incentives and reward KM implementing Inability to measure financial benefits of KM Sum of score 48 83 87 89 109 126 128 138 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 The survey result shows the main problems are Lack of understanding of the value and benefits of KM (I), Organization’s structure and processes are not designed for KM (II), Current mindset does not encourage Knowledge sharing culture (III), Lack of funding for KM(4). Conclusion and comments A university environment and function seems to be by its nature especially suitable for the application of knowledge management principles and methods. Therefore, we need to understand benefits of creating knowledge management system in higher education institutions for sustainability development in the future. Universities have more opportunities to use their existing resources effectively and build knowledge management by solving faced problems. First step of implementing KM system is to share and transfer best practices between universities. In this 21-st century the internet and IT technologies have become key elements in the contemporary knowledge network. We can implement some of the available practices: Page 95 Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems IT based KM system implementation Capture and share knowledge and best practices from other best universities Provide training corporate learning Develop and support entrepreneurship programs Manage intellectual property of university by researchers Perform and enhance web based publishing for students and other customer Development of E-learning subjects and programs Support fruitful projects and researches Enhancements of relationship with business organizations so on. Basically in the coming years knowledge management would prove the right direction of all education institutions. References • • • • • • • • • • • • • • APO, (2002), Entrepreneurship and innovation in the Knowledge-based economy, ROC Applying Corporate Knowledge management Practices in Higher education Asian Productivity Organization, (2010) “Knowledge Management Tools and Techniques Manual” Boydell T and Leary M; (2006) “Identifying Training Needs”; London; CIPD Bryan Bergeron, (2003), Essentials of knowledge management, USA Carla O’Dell Cindy Hubert , (2011), The New edge in knowledge management , USA Christee Gabour Atwood, (2009), Knowledge management Basics, ASTD press, USA Editor.Serafin Talisayon, Asian Productivity Organization, (2013) “Knowledge Management for the Public Sector” Eppler, M, (2002) Glossary definition: Knowledge management.Net Academy Kimiz Dalkir, (2011), Knowledge management in Theories and Practices, MIT press Mamta Bhusry, Jayanti Ranjan; (2011) Implementing Knowledge management in higher educational Institutional Institutions in India: A Concepttual Framework Philip G.Altbach,(2011) American higher education in the 21stt Century, The Johns Hopkins University press Ramlee Abdul Rahman; (2011), Asia-Pacific Conference Library & Information Education & Practice,“Knowledge Sharing Practices Serafin Talisayon, (2006), 99 paradigma shifts For survival in the global knowledge economy Knowledge management In higher education institutions: Concept, benefits & Problems Page 96 Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. Lkhagvasuren. D, Khishigbayar. Lk National University of Mongolia Abstract Introduction: A previous study showed that working in state or private enterprises, gender, qualifications, brand of university graduated, years of employment, workload and duty and responsibility can be influenced on the scale of wages. Objectives: The paper aims to assess and reveal the factors that are associated with accountant’s wages in Mongolia. Methods: The study is based on survey of 153 subjects including accountants and financial professionals. In survey questionnaire 12 questions were included and selected respondents are ask to answer them. Based on their responses, the analysis was carried out. Results: The study concludes that the factors that are influencing the wages positively are gender, work-place whether state or private enterprises, years of employment, qualifications, workload and responsibility. But the brand of university graduated is not related to scale of wages for accountants. Keywords: workload, qualification and wage, years of employment Introduction Mongolian economic transition was started in 1990, since then the wage system has changed a lot. Although the wages have been increasing from time to time but remained lower than the inflation. This implies that the real income has not increased over the time. A total of 28763 workers of the 1731 enterprises are involved in the research that is carried out by the Ministry of Labor Research Institute. Result of the study indicated that the average wages to be 528700 MNT and 818200 MNT for those who work in Civil services and those in financial field1. These salaries raised to 70040 and 844800 MNT by the end of the year 2014. The minimum wage is observed to be192000 tugrugs. But the wage growth is 8.0 percent lower than inflation rate. The 90 percent of total employee works in small and medium enterprises in Mongolia. Civil servants receive wages that is dependent on the year of employment, official position and duty. The qualifications, skills, official position and duty, job performance and year of employment are the factors that influence the scale of wages for private sector. This study aims to assess and reveal the factors that are influencing accountant’s wages. Literature reviw Many researchers have made study of factors that are influencing accountant’s wages. By using a sample of accountants from US and Australia, Yvonne Stedham, Jeanne H. Yamamura (2006) show that for both countries, to indicate that accountant’s assessment depends on their duty and responsibilities from a gap in salary between male and female accountants. Job responsibility was significantly related to salary whereas gender was not. Men who were accountants in Australia were likely to have a higher level of education and more experience than women. In the US, female accountants were marginally less satisfied with their salary than male accountants. This was not true for Australia. Implications of these findings are discussed. Salary factors are affecting wages items such as productivity, the organization financially, management approach and professional needs, year of employment, gender, workload and the cost of living. In 2013, by the survey of Ministry of Labor Research Institute, the average wage is 528700 thousand tugrugs. The research institute of State Great Hural is concluded “financial sector is kept appriorate ratio between labor productivity and wages because as the labor productivity increasing, wages come to be increased” under the study of “The factor analysis that is influencing labor productivity” 5 Ministry of Labor Research, Salary structure survey, 2014 Page 97 Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. The accountant needs, workload and scale of wages The accountant profession is not included the list of 20 most popular professions of Mongolia in 2015. But the demand for certified accountant is 9th place of the list of 20 professional needs in the world in 2013.2 In 2016, accountant profession is listed at 24th for occupations on U.S. News’ list of the 100 Best Jobs of 2016.3 Good jobs are those that pay well, challenge us, are a good match for our talents and skills, aren’t too stressful, offer room to advance and provide a satisfying work-life balance. Accountant profession is ranked 3th in Best Business Jobs. Jobs are ranked according to their ability to offer an elusive mix of factors, such as salary, job market, future growth, stress, work life balance. In the list accountant’s average score is 7.2 score (salary 6.4, job market 10, future growth 6, stress 6, work life balance 8). According to the BLS, the median annual salary for an accountant was $65940 in 2014. The best-paid 10 percent earned roughly $115950, while the lowest-paid made approximately $40850. The best-compensated accountants work in the fields of securities and commodity contracts intermediation and brokerage and for the federal executive branch. The highest-paid accountants work in the metropolitan areas of New York City, San Jose, California and Salinas, California.4 “Mongolian Talent Network” corporate has concluded that the accountant and the auditor’s average wage is 1800000 tugrugs in 2015. International organizations have concluded salary factors that are affecting wages items such as responsibility, working conditions, workload, experience, year of employment, qualification, job performance, geographic location and organization’s size.5 Accountant’s social guarantee has to be reliable because of the responsible for protection and usage of asset. Table 1: Accountant’s job comparison • • • • • • • • • 4 5 2 3 International standart1 documentation of financial transactions prepare the financial statements and records of data analysis create database provide financial information safe help internal management decisions accounting policies, laws and regulations to implement and do their analysis and answer questions related to accounting reliability of financial information and kept stable organization operates without losing customer confidence Training workshops regularly participate in regular manual reading textbooks specialized books, and joining professional associations and strengthen the constant ability of their professional expertise. Work will achieve a specific discharge Team achieved relevant results contribute to its work. • • • • • • • • • • • • Mongolia2 record primary documentation and check, confirm prepare financial and other reports prepare half and full-year report do financial analysis do budget, plan and performance process and review accounting policies help to management decision-making create a financial database and protect financial data. Improve financial internal control study the laws related to accounting transformation and suggest managers provide reliable financial information improve knowledge and skills http://www.assa.mn/content/13130.shtml?a=education http://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/rankings/the-100-best-jobs?page=3 http://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/accountant http://www.careerprofiles.info/salary-factors.html Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. Page 98 Table 2: Scale of monthly salary comparison /MNT/ Similar domestic products Similar economic and social development country Other countries Country Mongolia Thailand Kazakhstan USA Russia China Average wage 11107003 16625004 1254000-25080005 7192000 -123840006 79500007 72000008 Data analysis The study is based on survey including total of 153 accountants and financial professionals. We used 12 questions to assess and reveal the factors that are influencing accountant’s wages. The survey results show that 91% of respondents were accountants and it is more important to reveal the factors that are influencing accountant’s wages. This study shows the 74 percent of respondents are women, 57% of total respondents are less than 35 years old, 65% of respondents have experience of 1-10 years while 35% have more than 15 years of experience. About 63% of the respondents work at private sector and the remaining as civil servants. 71% of About 63% of the respondents work at private sector and the remaining as civil servants. 71% of our sample is graduated from State University. In private enterprise’s the accountant’s working our sample is graduated from State University. In private enterprise’s the accountant’s working hour hour are between 10-13 ahours a day. Fortunately, civil servants fora 8day. hours a day. Every are between 10-13 hours day. Fortunately, civil servants work for 8work hours Every accountant accountant bachelor degreethem and29% among them 29% of accountants have master andand doctor has bachelorhas degree and among of accountants have master and doctor degree 33% degree and 33% of respondents are Certified Public Accountants, Certified Tax Consultants and of respondents are Certified Public Accountants, Certified Tax Consultants and Certified Appraisers. Certified Appraisers. Our study shows that 85% of the respondent’s wages ranged between 500,000-1000,000 Our study shows thatmore 85%and of the respondent’s wages between tugrugs, tugrugs, only 3% has 2000,000 tugrugs scaleranged of the wage. 68%500,000-1000,000 of them have not received any 71%and of accountants have two jobsoftothe earn additional onlypromotion. 3% has more 2000,000 tugrugs scale wage. 68% ofincome. them have not received any promotion. 71% of accountants have two jobs to earn additional income. Chart 1: A classification of profession for respondents (%) Chart 1: A classification of profession for respondents (%) 3% 3% Chart 2: A classification of scale of wage (%) Chart 2: A classification of scale of wage (%) 11% 3% 3% Accountant Financial manager 25% 61% Economist treasurer 91% 500000-1000000 1000000-1500000 1500000-2000000 More than 2000000 WeWe used 1212 jobjob descriptions of of accountants used descriptions accountantsand andpresented presentedthe thepercent percentofofevery everyjob jobperformance performance (Table Documentation, prepare financial and other the most job. Unfortunately, (Table3).3). Documentation, prepare financial andreports other was reports waspopular the most popular job. 20-30% of accountants a financial database and protect financial data. financial data. Unfortunately, 20-30% create of accountants create a financial database and protect reveal relevance of factors influencing in wages: WeWe reveal thethe relevance of factors thatthat areare influencing in wages: • Gender and wage: The statistical result exhibits that men receive more pays than women 3). and wage: The statistical result exhibits that men receive more pays than women (Chart Gender (Chart 3).of required qualification and wage: In case of qualifications it is possible to get more • Profession wages (Chart 4). Profession of required qualification and wage: In case of qualifications it is possible to get • Workload and wage: more wages (ChartAs 4).the wages increase, workload also increases (Chart 5). • Workload and years of employment: As years of employment increases, it is expected that few Workload and wage: As the wages increase, workload also increases (Chart 5). promotions will also occur thereby there workload (Chart 6). Workload and years of employment: As years of employment increases, it is expected Factors associated with(Chart the wages Page 99 that few promotions will also occur thereby there workload 6).of Accountants in Mongolia. Wage and enterprises: Private sectors can be possible to receive more wages as compared to state sectors (Chart 7). • Wage and enterprises: Private sectors can be possible to receive more wages as compared to state sectors (Chart 7). Workload and enterprises: Private sectors have more workload than state sectors (Chart 8). • Table 3: Job Performance among the Accountants Responses N= 153 142 148 78 66 59 48 73 31 31 31 50 50 58 58 87 87 87 84 84 84 77 77 77 Jobs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 88 8 99 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 Record primary documentation and check, confirm Prepare financial and other reports Prepare half and full-year report Do financial analysis Do budget, plan and performance Process and review accounting policies Help to management decision-making Createaafinancial financialdatabase databaseand andprotect protectfinancial financialdata. data. Create Create a financial database and protect financial data. Improvefinancial financialinternal internalcontrol control Improve Improve financial internal control Studythe thelaws lawsrelated relatedto toaccounting accountingtransformation transformationand and Study Study the laws related to accounting transformation and suggest suggestmanagers managers suggestreliable managers Provide Provide reliablefinancial financialinformation information Provide reliable financialskills information Improve Improveknowledge knowledgeand and skills Improve knowledge and skills Average Average Average Chart 4: The scale of wages by qualifications (%) Chart 4: The scale of wages by qualifications (%) Chart 4: The scale of wages by qualifications (%) PERCENT PERCENT OFOF RESPONDENTS RESPONDENTS PERCENT PERCENT OFOF RESPONDENTS RESPONDENTS Chart 3: The scale of wages by gender (%) Chart 3: The scale of wages by gender (%) Chart 3: The scale of wages by gender (%) 70.0 53.7 62.5 70.0 53.7 62.5 60.0 60.0 50.0 50.0 24.4 24.1 40.0 24.4 24.1 40.0 30.0 17.1 11.6 30.0 20.0 17.1 11.6 4.9 1.8 20.0 10.0 4.9 1.8 10.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 80.0 80.0 60.0 60.0 40.0 40.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 81.4 81.4 48.9 48.9 33.0 33.0 11.9 13.8 6.8 11.9 13.8 6.8 4.3 4.3 SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) man man Job performance ( %) 92.8 96.7 51.0 43.1 38.6 31.4 47.7 20.3 20.3 20.3 32.7 32.7 37.9 37.9 56.9 56.9 56.9 54.9 54.9 54.9 50.3 50.3 50.3 qualifications qualifications woman woman no qualifications no qualifications Percent Percent ofof workload workload PERCENT PERCENT OFOF WORKLOAD WORKLOAD Chart 5: The relationship of workload and year of employment 6: The scale of wages by by workload (%)(%) Chart 5: The relationship of workload and year of employmentChart Chart 6: The scale of wages workload Chart 5: The relationship of workload and year of employment Chart 6: The scale of wages by workload (%) 70 90 61 79 70 90 61 79 54 80 53 60 51 54 80 53 60 61 70 51 45 50 61 70 45 60 50 60 43 40 50 40 43 40 50 40 40 30 40 30 30 20 30 20 20 10 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 500-1000 1000-1500 1500-2000 2000 more 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 >20 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 >20 500-1000 1000-1500 1500-2000 2000 more Year of employment Year of employment SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) Chart 7: The scale of wages by enterprises (%) Chart 7: The scale of wages by enterprises (%) spondents ondents Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 80 80 51 51 31 14 31 4 15 15 2 3 Chart 8: The relationship of workload and enterprises Chart 8: The relationship of workload and enterprises Page 100 state sector 46 Per 0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 Year of employment 10 0 >20 500-1000 1000-1500 1500-2000 2000 more SCALE OF WAGES (THOUSAND MNT) Percent of respondents Chart The scale of wages enterprises Chart 7: 7: The scale of wages by by enterprises (%)(%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Chart Chart8:8:The Therelationship relationshipofofworkload workloadand andenterprises enterprises 80 51 14 31 4 15 2 3 46 state sector 59 private sector Scale of wages (thousand MNT) state sector private sector 0 20 40 60 PERCENT OF RESPONDENTS Our study concludes thatthat factors thatthat are are influencing in wages are gender, work work in whether state Our study concludes factors influencing in wages are gender, in whether or private enterprises, yearsyears of employment, profession of required qualifications, workload and state or private enterprises, of employment, profession of required qualifications, workload and responsibility. But age and brand of university graduated is not related to scale of wages responsibility. But age and brand of university graduated is not related to scale of wages for accountants. accountants. Summary • • • • • • • • • • • The study is based on the survey of 153 accountants and financial professionals. The working hours for private enterprises continues to be 10-13 hours a day. Fortunately, civil servants work 8 hours a day. Our study shows that about 85% of respondent’s wages are in the range of 500000-1000000 tugriks and, only 3% has more and 2000000 tugriks scale of the wage. 68% of the respondents reported that they never received any promotion. 71% of accountants are doing more than one job mainly to have additional income. The wages of the accountants in Mongolia are less than the average wage reported internationally. The factor that are influencing the wages of the accountants are gender, work place whether state or private enterprises, years of employment, qualifications, workload and responsibility. The age and brand of university graduated is not related to scale of wages for accountants. The statistical result exhibits that men receive more pays than women. In case of higher qualifications, it is possible to get more wages. The wages increase was positively related to workload and the position held by them. In general the accountants in private sectors are expected to receive higher wages as compared to those working in state sectors. Page 101 Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. References • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Bohning. W.R, The Differential Strength of Demand and Wage Factors in Intra-European Labour Mobility: with Special Reference to West Germany, 1957–1968, 2009 Casey Jo Kyukendall, Key factors affecting labor productivity in the construction industry, 2007 Chimgee. D, SPSS for Windows 15.0 User Guide, 2015 Chuluuntsetseg. G, The analysis of wages, 2016 Derek A. Neal, William R. Johnson, The Role of Pre-Market Factors in Black-White Wage Differences, 1995 Ministry of Labor Research, Salary structure survey, 2014 Oyun-Erdene. B, Labor productivity and wages statistical analysis, 2008 Wiji Arulampalam and others, Is There a Glass Ceiling over Europe? Exploring the Gender Pay Gap across the Wage Distribution, 2007 Yvonne Stedham, Jeanne H. Yamamura, Gender differences in business ethics: justice and relativist perspectives, 2006 http://www.assa.mn/ http://money.usnews.com/ http://www.careerprofiles.info/ Steven Bragg “Accountants’ Guidebook” 2nd edition http://biznetwork.mn/ http://www.1212.mn/ http://worldwide.mn/ http://www.payscale.com/ http://www.indeed.com/ Factors associated with the wages of Accountants in Mongolia. Page 102 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Bolorsaikhan.O Mongolian national university of medical sciences, Baigalmaa. L, Mongolian national university of medical sciences, Otgonbayar.Y National University of Mongolia , Abstract Backround: With the rapid changes in social life, the needs and interests of students have also changed. In order to successfully fulfill the obligations to develop, mature, and socialize them it is important to continuously promote a range of versatile skills among them. The education quality is directly dependent on teachers’ development. Therefore a study was designed with the following objectives: Objectives: To assess the teacher development in the tertiary education institution, their current situation of legislative framework and its policy. Further to carry out the assessment of teachers self-training activity, performing duties and influencing factors and to study further measures. Method: The study was conducted in April 2015 involving 80 higher education teachers. The TPI model questionnaire was used to understand personal teaching methods utilizing the concept of self-assessment with scores, self-expression, and reflection of diversified understanding. In TPI model questionnaire, there are 45 questions that are divided by 3 types of differences in belief, objectives and operations, and have 5 main indicators by Likert scale with score up to 5. Results: The analysis of the government issued policy documents shows high content repetition, unclear and undefined goals, and indefinite results which decreases the value and importance of the these documents. Based on teachers own assessment, the role of a teacher is very important in the reform of higher education but there are negative factors that affect this, such as, inadequate assessment of teaching, conservative, inflexible and passive approach in teaching, and, the number of students causing a work overload. Key words: teaching perspectives, teaching styles, development of a teacher, TPI Introduction The true nature of teaching is to develop the disciples’ mind, body and other aspects and teach them learning methods and how to acquire knowledge. Furthermore, to fulfill that nature, the attitude of a teacher plays an important role. The Law on Education of Mongolia states that, “The goals of the education of Mongolia are to develop mental, moral and physical abilities, and to instill a sense of humanity and independency in learning, working and sustaining life”1. As the reputation and development direction of a university and institution is determined by the knowledge, skills and experience of the higher education teachers, as well as the image they form, it is crucial for teachers to seek constant improvement of their skills and knowledge and to be life-long learners. In current society, higher education teaching consists of four activities, which are research, training, service provision and management. In order to develop an effective system for assessment of teachers, the following actions are required: training quality improvement, enhance responsibility, appropriate and correct selection of assessment criteria and training and preparing a professional evaluator. People tend to fix and develop themselves only after acknowledging their own mistakes and disadvantages. The international method to assess the competence of a teacher is to have them assess themselves. The purpose of the study is to determine the advantages as well the importance of this method2. TPI model is an online questionnaire method for teachers’ assessment that consists of 45 questions divided into 3 types of differences: belief, objectives and operations, and has 5 main indicators by Likert scale with a score up to 5. This questionnaire is available free online at www. TeachingPerspectives.com and can be used by everyone. It helps to understand personal teaching Page 103 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER methods by self-assessment with scores, self expression, and reflection of diversified understanding3. - Difference in beliefs: Questions 1-15. - Difference in objectives: Questions 16-30. - Difference in operations: Questions 31-45. Participants in the study circle the appropriate number from 0 to 5 in front of each sentence. Each group has five indicators namely Transmission, Apprenticeship, Developmental, Nurturing, Social reform. Each of these indicators will be assessed for their Belief, Intentions and Action with the help of TPI questionnaire1,2. The questionnaire examines views on training (TPI) with five indicators that measure the views and differences in “teaching”. The questionnaire helps to determine the belief, objectives and operation differences of teaching, philosophical conflict in teaching, as well as selfassessment. Transmission: accurate and definite content and study topics is effective teaching. A good teacher understands the topic and study content. The main purpose of a teacher is to deliver accurate and effective content to students, propose definite goals, effective teaching time, clarify misconceptions, answer questions, give immediate feedback, correct mistakes, summarize, appropriate direction of a student, require high standards, and assessment related to goals. Apprenticeship: teacher is very skillful in classroom and experienced expert in the workplace. The role model teachers determines what the student can do on their own and what can be done under the teacher’s supervision, as well as teach students in “development zone”. The more competent the student becomes, the more the responsibilities of the teacher changes. They give students individual assignments and responsibilities, and provide passive students development opportunities to become independent employees. Developmental: the teaching program is designed from “student’s perspective”. It is necessary for a teacher to understand the thoughts and explanations of students regarding the content of a program. Students are taught decision making skills, how to review and reflect problems, develop thinking skills by posing questions, and working on issues, cases and examples. Teachers provide their own knowledge, adjusting to the students’ understanding and ability levels. Nurturing: Requires long-term, stable efforts. Teachers create a trusting and supportive environment, set an implementable but challenging goal for the student, help, support and encourage students to reach their goals. They do not sacrifice their own true nature and their self-esteem in order to succeed. That is why the training assessment is not a winning but a personal development. Social reform: Attempts to change society in a real and independent manner. Teachers strive to make students adhere to their own values and opinions during their training. From this perspective, teacher’s training approaches not individuals but the public. During discussions, the teacher makes a notice not only of the knowledge but on the reason for a student to participate in the discussion. Although these responsibilities are defined separately, they are inter-related with the day-to-day operations of a teacher creating a unified set of activities4. Development of a teacher: From one side, development of a teacher is a qualitative change in body, mind, mental stability, health, cognitive, ethical and emotional maturity, and on the other side it is an understanding of a teacher’s professional activity (scientific research, study, training and its methods, marketing, consultancy) and all other aspects that develop them5. As the Law on Higher Education of Mongolia states in order to teach primary program higher education, a teacher requires not only the teaching certificate but also at least a master’s degree6. Teachers also shall prioritize to enhance their theoretical knowledge, teaching methods and skills, become a technologist that organizes training to enhance the professional development with other teachers6, Improve teaching methods, tools and curricula based on research and utilizes the methodology of education and psychology sciences7. Increasingly high demand for better quality training makes the education sector with teachers, researchers and policy aim to prepare efficient specialists. Although the teacher development issue is publicly acknowledged, it is seen both in real life and in research that training plans and programs are inconsistent, and cannot meet the needs of a teacher. It is important to note that a significant DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Page 104 investment is spent in order to prepare teachers, conduct trainings for professional development and other events. According to MECS commissioned research on teacher development in 2011: (29 universities and colleges with 785 teachers and 2051 students, including 65 managers were recorded by researchers of the University), the majority of teachers think that the most important things to affect teaching methods are their own personal skills and then supporting materials. The most influential professional skills are teaching skill and analytical skill. The study above shows that teachers tend to prioritize technological education and skills and the need to implement training programs consistent with it. The results of the survey show that teachers are showing a more dominant effect on the teacher-student scale of learning, and teachers focus more to enhance their teaching skills. There is no unified standard and method to assess the training of higher education teachers in our country. Higher education teachers’ performance has evaluated by following 3 main types of work: training, research (creation, other creative activities, experiment, innovative works, service), and other works (school, society, and public events). Teacher labor has evaluated by teacher set time (TST). The total work throughout the academic year is 1600 points for Mongolian National University of Medical Sciences (MNUMS), 26 TST for Mongolian state University (MSU), 23 TST for Mongolian State Teacher’s University (MSTU), 27 TST for Agricultural University (AU), 28 TST for State Technology University (STU)8. MNUMS has a separate unit of “Faculty development” for development of a teacher. MSTU has renewed their policy and the fifth article is about the teacher development. Other universities have no mention of teacher development and it shows evidence that it is just the beginning. Teacher evaluation becomes valuable and meaningful when the environment is set to support their development9. . Objectives 1. Research teacher development in the higher education institution, their current situation of legislative framework and its policy 2. To obtain the self-assessment in the teaching activities by teachers 3. To determine performing duties and factors which influence them, as well as study further measures Materials and method: The study was conducted by the combination of quantitative and qualitative random sampling methods and a cross-sectional descriptive model. Document studies were carried out to investigate the combination of valuation methods, such as the legal framework and documents to external (higher education institutions Teacher’s Development) and the self-assessment questionnaire survey. Five main indicators were chosen such as Transmission, Apprenticeship, Developmental, Nurturing and Social reform and assessed with the help of Likert scale with score up to 5. Collected quantitative data was processed using SPSS 17.0, Windows Excel programs and analysis. Page 105 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER RESULTS: Teacher development WB-school education World’s quality uarantee Optimal higher education management and financial systems Human resources Salaries and bonuses, a complex social problem Doctoral degree proportion of teachers University teachers baseline annual leave every 6 years Time uncertain To establish a teacher and optimal workload management personnel and improve their work planning and execution process, criteria and method for the evaluation of Declarative quality Table 1: The current legal framework and policies on teacher development 1 “Education 2021” + - + 2 “Higher education reform mapping” + - + 3 “Higher education reform policy objectives of 2025.” + - + 4 “Higher Education Reform 2012-2016” + - + + + + - + 5 A master plan for the development of education in Mongolia, 2006-2015 (MUZG.2008): + + + + + - + 6 Higher Education Reform mapping / 2010 - 2021 (Ministry of Education, 2010): + - + 7 Higher Education Reform (DBShT) - 2012-2016 “project (Ministry of Education, ADB, 20122016): 8 “Education” national program (2010-2021): + + + + + 9 State for Education Policy (2014-2024): + + + 10-13 Source : According to the information provided in Table 1, above, the analysis of the government issued policy documents shows high content repetition, unclear and undefined goals, and indefinite results which decreases the value and importance of the these documents. These documents include facts like increasing the costs of professional development by 8% annually, or sending 100 teachers abroad for training, but there is no specification on how to enhance the professionalism and how to choose those 100 teachers. Although there are articles on teacher development, there are unclear implementation tools, mechanisms, and solutions, with unrealized implementation to date, declarative period with neared completion, and high repetition in the context, decreasing the value and importance of these documents. Results of self-assessment of teaching activity: The study was conducted in April 2015 involving 80 higher education teachers. There were 33.5% male and 66.5% female respondents. The mean age of respondents was 30-39, with the eldest being 52. DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Page 106 The results of the study found that teachers with the highest score indicator are role models and evaluated their training activities using five indicators: The mean scores of selected five indicators were found to be significantly different (P <0.001). This shows that the apprenticeship indicator which has the highest mean of 39.27 with professional teachers to teach and can be taken for a role models (Fig. 1). The results of the questionnaire: The study involved deans, teachers, training officers (28), students (6), and others as human resource managers, engineers, and risk analysts of a higher education organization. According to their graduate information 7 were from Mongolian State Teacher’s University (MSTU), 6 were form Mongolian State University (MSU), and 11 were from State Technology University (STU). Of the respondents 74% are people that worked for the state from 10 to 34 years, 68% of them have worked in the education sector more that 10 years. Taking into consideration their age the range is from 17 to 59. Fig. 2: Responsibility of a teacher in higher education development-reform activity 69 percent of teachers surveyed responded that they have a great role in decision making and a responsibility in higher education development-reform activity. However, 30% responded that teachers perform insufficiently to reach goals of higher education sector (Fig. 2). Page 107 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Fig. 3: Negative factors in higher education teacher’s activity Negative factors in higher education teacher’s activity are: first, inadequate assessment of teaching (56%); second, conservative, inflexible and passive approach in the teaching (52%); third, the number of students and overload (47%); fourth, insufficient environment for a teacher to develop (44%); and fifth, teacher’s social reform (38%). How do you see the main direction and way for a teacher to develop and constantly educate themselves, in connection with demands and new requirements set in higher education sector? Figure 4. In connection with demands and new requirements set in higher education sector To evaluate the main direction and way for a teacher to develop and constantly educate themselves, in connection with demands and new requirements set in higher education sector, by the following: First, base the training by research (79%); second, develop and renew teaching methods (58%); third, connect the training to the life (50%); fourth, use technology in the training (44%); and fifth, teacher should participate actively in social and civil position (37%) . Conclusion: The TPI model is an online questionnaire method for teacher’s operation assessment that consists of 45 questions that are divided by 3 types of difference in belief, objectives and operations, and have 5 main indicators by Likert scale with score up to 5. This questionnaire is available freely online on www.TeachingPerspectives.com and can be used by everyone. It helps to understand personal DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Page 108 teaching methods by self-assessment with scores, self expression, and reflection of diversified understanding14. The questionnaire was accurately assessed by 100,000 respondent measurements that were conducted in more than 100 countries over 10 years. The research determined the understanding of the professional and legislative framework of teaching methods in various social conditions and cultures. The half century study confirms the peculiar, diversified and comprehensive activity that is the higher educational sector. However, for the past few years and over many studies different teaching methodologies have combined and showed high level results14. For example, according the Kember study of 13 researches conducted during 1983 to 1996 the teaching methodology includes 5 methods15. The methods that were mentioned in the study were similar with the 5 methods mentioned above. The results show that although there are a lot of human factors that exist the teaching methodology for adults (higher education) utilizes few. The performance of social reform (34.66) and apprenticeship (39.27) received the highest score. Comparing our study results with the Kember’s one we can see that the later study shows the role model performance higher. Outcomes: 1. Although there are articles associated with university and institution teachers in the government issued policy documents, there are no implementation tools, mechanisms, solutions, unclear results, unrealized implementations to date, declarative periods with failed completion, and high repetition in the context, which decreases the value and importance of the these documents 2. The self-assessment of teachers shows that the highest rated performance category was the apprenticeship (39.27) indicator, the following by the indicator is transmission (37.1), nurturing (36.95), developmental (36.76) and social reform (34.66). According to the apprenticeship indicator of 39.27 we can see that most esteemed teaching process is a apprenticeship, as professionally teaching sets a role model. However, society reformer shows the lowest performance. 3. Although the responsibility of a teacher in higher education reform is very high there are negative factors that affect it; firstly, inadequate assessment of teaching; secondly, conservative, inflexible and passive approach in the teaching; thirdly, the number of students and overload; fourth, insufficient environment for a teacher to develop; and fifth, teacher’s social issue. The following are the methods and directions in which teachers can develop and educate themselves in relation to the new reforms and needs of higher education sector: first, base the training by research; second, develop and renew teaching methods; third, connect the training to the life; fourth, use technology in the training; and fifth, the teacher should live actively in social and civil position. Further attention focus: In near future, it is necessary to implement teacher’s development that is based on evidence-based theory. We must pay close attention the following, in order to improve teaching quality relating to the following education reform policies and projects: Technology assistance: Create web systems for e-assessment for higher education teachers and their operations. The internet based system gives the definite security for assessment and results can be further be used in multiple ways. Self-assessment: By self-assessment teachers can define their strengths, and improve their weaknesses with no external pressure. Group assessment: The assessment from colleagues will help correlate with self-assessment results and allow teachers to learn how to work with the team. The right to assess other colleagues gives the feeling of satisfaction, equality and boosts the team spirit. Page 109 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Student assessment: Teachers can view their student assessment in the web system, and the results will allow identification of issues to focus on in order to further develop themselves. Management assessment: Management assessments of performance may be used in various ways, as they can contribute to the promotion, reward, disclose their achievements to the public, advertise, and direct the education development as well as improve the planning of human resource policy, to be used with self-assessment, group assessment, and student assessment. It is expected that by introducing the web based assessment system, the accreditation process will become easier and defined to the foreign and domestic universities and institutions, and indicate quality during accreditation. Recommendations: the following measures should be taken into consideration in order to support the higher education teacher’s development: Education sector policy makers’ level: 1. Develop university research that can compete on the international scale, and introduce tenure track in universities and institutes in order to create competitive environment based on social needs. It is possible to create brand new requirements, criteria and evaluating environment for teacher’s development. 2. Fulfill the independent position for higher education development by confirming the finance, management, structure and operation legislative framework. 3. Support universities by introducing continuous “teacher’s development” programs, create environments where teachers can freely work rotationally, gain experience, improve the training and scientific side of their profession, while spending at least 3% of the profit to the teacher’s development. 4. Define positive factors that can contribute to the higher education students’ achievement, collect documents and information of teachers’ skills and form a database and further define developing factors for teachers’ development. 5. Financially support summer and internet training developments that enhance the teachers’ professional and educational aspects, issue and renew annually a handbook that consists of higher education skills and their work statements, written by specialists. Higher education level: 1. Make research-teachers, relevant structure to direct research training in order to develop research competency, provide academic freedom for teachers, create an environment for implementation. 2. Include teachers in the planned training for development, share experience, issue and implement strategy and plans for teachers’ development, create legislative environment for continuous training 3. Define the teaching working hour overload based on real study, responsibility for academic and intellectual freedom, as well as professional responsibility, create an external structure that evaluates the benefits, results, and university quality. 4. Make evaluation one of the methods for teaching, create internet based assessment system to evaluate teaching quality (introduce Singaporean implementation management, Finland’s selfassessment of teachers and implement international method for same-professional evaluation) 5. Define in detail the boundaries of training content by levels, create an adequate training program, plan teacher’s methodology on development project, plan a training to improve skills. DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER Page 110 Teacher’s level: 1. Create an opportunity to use information technology in order to assess their own development level, for example, internet portfolio and TPI methods. 2. Teacher must continuously improve their knowledge, teaching methods, and be a life-long learner, as well as be highly self-disciplined. 3. Continues learning and using new technological ways of information distribution, and introduce them in the teaching process. 4. Improve team building skills and share personal knowledge with other colleagues. 5. Remember that student’s knowledge comes from their teacher, always support and direct students References : 1. Comprehensive national development policy based Mongolian Millennium Development Goals. 2. Haynes, DD (2010). One teacher’s experience with National Board assessment. Educational Leadership. 52 (8). 3. Linda Darling-Hammond. (2009). Teacher Preparation and Teacher Learning. 4. Tracz et al. (2005). Improvement in teaching skills: Perspectives from National Board for Professional Teaching Standards field test network candidates. San Francisco. 5. Recommendations of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), the status of university teaching staff. 1997.Giinyerönkhiibagakhural 29th session of UNESCO. 6. Mongolian Parliament No. 36, 1995 “The State Education on Policy “ 7. High Education Law . 2002 8. Ya.Otgonbayar (2015), university faculty development sociological analysis doctorial dissertation UB. 9. J.Davaa. (2012), and high school and college teachers and methodological issues, and high school and college teacher development, the Ministry of Education, State University, Head, Research within the recorded lectures 10. Mongolian International Education, Culture and Science Minister position. 2003 11. High education reform scenarios (2010-2021) Education Current condition. 12. High Education of the World Conference 2009. High Education a new driving force and Social Change and on development studies (UNESCO, Paris, 7th May 5-8, 2009) 13. Mongolian International Higher education: policy documents . 2010. 14. John B. Collins and Daniel D. Pratt. ( 2010 ) The Teaching Perspectives inventory at 10 years and 100,000 respondents; Reliability and Validity of a Teacher Self-Report Inventory. 15. Kember,D. (1997). A reconceptialization of the research into university academics. Conceptions of teaching. Learning and Instruction, 7, 255-275. Page 111 DEVELOPMENT OF A TEACHER United States income tax policy and mechanism Ariunbold. J, Unurjargal. Ch University of Finance and Economics Abstract: There are two truths on the earth that a man is born and a man dies. Between these emerges one more truth is that a man pays tax. In order to live and survive, people are required to earn money by working, or doing business. By doing so, a person will have to pay tax no matter he or she lives. Due to the second tax law reform in Mong3olia, individual income tax and corporate income taxes are being examined and being revised again. According to this law reform, this paper aims to study the specialty and distinction of one of the most prosperous and freest country United States’ income tax. Preface: We can see that for anyone who earn money and pay tax, the tax system is been designed simple, transparent, fair and allows people to choose, and also depending on how much they earn the tax rate differs for corporate and individuals. The significant experiences, such as deducting essential living expenses from taxable income and using graduated tax rate depending on the income, prove that US tax system is effectively adjusted for citizens’ welfare and we should implement this form in Mongolia. In Mongolia, income tax law was enacted in 2007 and applied10% fixed tax rate to every taxpayer regardless of their income bracket. It is one of the factors which caused a huge gap between poor and rich. And uncertainty about tax exemption and tax avoidance still exist (persist). Main section: In the US, the following forms of business entity are classified for tax purpose. When you are starting a business, you must decide what form of business entity to establish. Your form of business determines which income tax bracket you belong to and what kind of form you have to file. 1. Sole Proprietorship The sole proprietorship is the simplest type of business under which one can operate a business. It is not required for a sole proprietorship to register or get a separate identity under the law. A sole proprietor reports the sole proprietorship income or losses and expenses by filing a Schedule C form, which is along with individual income tax return (form 1040). For some sole proprietorship business, employees are not paid paycheck, instead they are given their salary as a direct cash or a check. In this case, employers are also responsible for paying their employment tax. Private businesses that are not being to operate in specific form of business entity, will be included in sole proprietorship. If you are an employee and earning some type of income in United States, you must pay social security tax. It is approximately 15% of your total income. If you get paid by a paycheck, your employer is responsible for paying the half of the social security tax on behalf you. For self-employed individuals, they are required to pay the whole social security tax themselves. 2. Partnership To form a partnership, business must be registered and need to establish a business name. It is a relationship between two or more people who join to carry on a trade or business. United States income tax policy and mechanism Page 112 The partnership, as well as an entity treated as a partnership for federal income tax purposes, uses Form 1065.But partnerships do not pay tax on their profits instead after filing Form 1065, copies of Schedule K-1 must be furnished and sent to the partners with detailed information on an allocation of the profit/loss is made to each partner on a Schedule K-1, based on their ownership percentage. And each partner pays tax on their profit which will be considered as a personal income, and also pays 15% of social security tax too. 3. S-corporation S-corporation is a legal entity owned by two or more shareholders. If you elect an S corporation status when forming a corporation, it has a responsibility to file an annual tax return on Form 1120S. For tax purpose,S corporations do not pay tax, same like partnership. Also, they do not fill Schedule K-1 based on their ownership percentage too. Shareholders must incorporate the amounts reported on K-1 into their personal income tax return. Apart from sole proprietorship and partnership, they do not pay social security tax additionally on their income tax and also file Schedule K-1 since they are paying social security tax that comes from their salary.1 4. C-corporation A C corporation is owned by shareholders, too. A C corporation is type of entity which is distinguished from others by the fact that its profits are taxed to the States. A C corporation reports a corporate tax information on Form 1120.For a C corporation, shareholders are taxed on both personal level and the corporate level. In order to determine the taxable income, people who have chosen to operate in one of these business entities, will have to report their gross income and their business deductions included in their tax report to determine the amount of profit. Type of business deductions and common expenses: 1. Use of transportation expenses in a business. This is the most common business expense which could be expensed by two different methods. People can choose the one that provides the greatest deductible amount amongst the two method. For the specific car or truck expenses, the deductible amount will be same each year. Therefore, regardless of choosing one of these methods, bridge-and tunnel-tolls and parking fees are additionally deductible. a. Standard Mileage Rate Under the standard mileage rate, people deduct a 57,5 cent for every business mile you drive and the total amount will be their car use expense. Also they must determine what portion of the total miles driven that are business miles. One method to determine is to use odometer by recording the mile at the start and the end of the year and determine the difference to calculate the expense. b. Actual Expenses To use the actual expense method, people can claim their education by including depreciation, licenses, gas, oil, tolls, Insurance, parking fees, registration fees and repairs, receipts and invoices to the expense report. 2. Commission fees 3. Outside service or Contract fee 4. Bank fees 5. Depreciation of business assets 6. Business Insurance 7. Legal and professional fees 8. Rent expenses 1 www.aicpa.com Page 113 United States income tax policy and mechanism 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. Repairs, maintenance and replacement expenses Business supply expenses Taxes and licenses Business travel expenses Wages and payroll taxes Meals and entertainment tax /Main purpose of entertainment had to be the active conduct of business, and generally can deduct 50% of entertainment expenses/ 15. Telephone expenses 16. Business use for home If people use part of their home for business, they may be able to deduct some of expenses related to business use of home. Such as cost of electricity, heating, maintenance, property taxes and mortgage interest can be deducted depending on the portion of work-space area of a home. In other words, when a person who working at home, is able to deduct individual expenses from their taxable income. 17. Other expenses Some other expenses, which incurred in operating a business and not been mention in categories above, are able to be deducted. If it can be proved as business purpose expenses. Above are the most common business expenses. Even though, in most cases, these business expenses are deductible, there are still several restriction and need to be asked for professional advice from certified tax accountant about which one is deductible and non-deductible in your case. People, engaged in private business, should regularly estimate their business expenses within a year according to the type of expenses above. Later, the total amount needs to be given to accountants to estimate taxes. For everyone who is not estimating and considering the costs could pay more taxes than they actually owe. Because it could be underestimated. In addition, tax returns might be revised by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). If you do not estimate the exact costs, there is a risk for claimed deductions to be dismissed and also you would be responsible for paying additional taxes. Tax is easier when determining the income and expenses, and also will have no fear of the IRS by producing accurate reports. Therefore, taking some time to estimate costs once a week or month is recommended by IRS. According to these, can calculate the costs using Microsoft Excel, or using accounting software QuickBooks has recommended. And most people, operating small businesses, follow these tips by using programs. Depending on the type of business entity, each person earning income pays tax and receives social services. It is said that, paying tax is inevitable in the Unites States. Next section is about tax issues related to individuals. If you are earning income and a U.S. citizen, citizen residing overseas, resident alien, green card holder and nonresident, you are obliged to file your income return and pay any amount of estimated tax by law. This report must be applied at the national level and the provincial level. But in some regions, such as /Texas, Nevada, Washington, Florida, Alaska, South Dakota, Wyoming/ do not have income tax. It is explained as an example of policy to reduce population density. If you are reporting annual income to IRS, beside income you earned in U.S, it should also include income from worldwide. This applies to a variety of individuals and organizations and each of them fill out the different form of report and pay estimated taxes. For filing tax return, all individuals and business entities estimate tax on their profit, after deducting the allowable expenses from the gross income. For individuals, there are five categories of tax filing status: 1. Single filer 2. Married person filing jointly or surviving spouse United States income tax policy and mechanism Page 114 3. Married person filing separately 4. Head of household 5. Qualifying widow(er) with dependent child This section includes most common types of personal income that is taxable and must be reported on tax return. 1. Wages and salaries - Received for performing services as an employee of an employer, and must be included in gross income in the withheld. Employer should provide a Form W-2, and employee must include all income and withholding from Forms W-2 on tax return. 2. Interest received from bonds, mutual funds, certificate of deposits and demand deposit accounts - receives Copy B of Form 1099-INT and reports interest income from Form 1099INT on tax return. 3. Dividend - receive a Form 1099-DIV and reports dividend from this form on tax return 4. Business income - Total revenues minus expenses to run this business, and remaining amount will be taxed on. Claims both income and expenses. 5. Pensions and Annuities - If receive retirement benefits in the form of pension or annuity payments from a qualified employer retirement plan, it is taxable. Reports from Form 1099R on tax return. 6. Social Security Benefits - People, used to work in U.S and paid social security tax, may start receive at full retirement age of 65 7. Real Estate Rental income - Cash, property or service received for the use of real estate or personal property is taxable as rental income and may deduct expenses of renting property from rental income. 8. Other income such as Unemployment Compensation should be reported on tax return. Some other uncommon income is not mentioned above. This section is about adjustment and deduction from income mentioned above. Some common examples are: Half of the private business tax, money for retirement pension account, self-employed individuals’ social security, student loan interest payment, tuition payments and etc. If these things are deducted as allowed by law, it means taxpayer’s tax payment would be reduced. And after eliminating exemptions and concessions from adjusted income, taxable income is determined. 1. Standard or Itemized deduction The standard deduction is a fixed dollar amount that reduces the income taxed on. Standard deduction varies according to filing status. In 2015, the standard deduction was: ● For single or married filing separately - $6,300 ● For married filing jointly or qualifying widow(er) - $12,600 ● For head of household - $9,250 Itemized deduction includes: ● Large, uninsured medical and dental expenses ● Mortgage interest and real estate taxes payment ● States tax payment ● Investment interest expense ● Donation and other limited deductions All or some of these expenses will occur and if the total amount is greater than standard deduction, expenses could be itemized. Page 115 United States income tax policy and mechanism 2. Exemption Tax exemptions reduce adjusted gross income, by reducing the fixed amount multiplied by number of exemption. The personal exemption amount for 2015 was $4,000 and for 2016 is $4,050. If there are three exemptions, total exemption amount would be $12,000. If the total income of exemption is greater than specific amount of adjusted income, it phases out. At last the taxable income will be determined and taxed at a different rate according to the adjusted income amount and type.2 In the following table shows, approximate tax rate. /2016/ Marginal Tax Rate[19] 10% 15% 25% 28% Married Filing Jointly or Qualified Widow(er) Taxable Income $0 – $9,275 $0 – $18,550 $9,276 – $37,650 $18,551 – $75,300 $37,651 – $91,150 $75,301 – $151,900 $91,151 – $190,150 $151,901 – Single Taxable Income Married Filing Head of Household Separately Taxable Taxable Income Income $0 – $9,275 $9,276 – $37,650 $37,651 – $75,950 $75,951 – $115,725 $0 – $13,250 $13,251 – $50,400 $50,401 – $130,150 $130,151 – $210,800 33% $190,151 $231,450 – $231,451 – $115,726 – $206,675 $210,801 – $413,350 35% $413,350 $413,351 $413,350 – $413,351 – $206,676 – $233,475 $413,351 – $441,000 39.6% $415,050 $415,051+ $466,950 $466,951+ $233,476+ $441,001+ After determining the taxable income, check if you may qualify for the any tax credits (EITC) of IRS.A tax credit is a tax incentiveprovided by State government, and most common tax credits are Earned Income Tax Credit, Education Credits and Child and Dependent Care Credit. Tax credit amount is not regular and varies depending on the size of income and reporting forms. Also tax credit applies in two types, first one reduces the amount of owed tax to zero and second one is, if your owed tax is reduced to less than zero, you may get a refund. After the credits, the remaining amount is a tax which the taxpayer should pay. It is just an income tax and if the taxpayer is an individual business owner, self-employment tax should also be paid additionally. This tax isapproximately 15% of the income after deducting business expenses. There are more taxes in addition to this two taxes mentioned above, but those are not common.3 And one more thing to mention is, beginning in 2014, individuals must have health care coverage and report any payment amount on tax return form. Conclusions: 1. Putting every unit of taxpayers such as families and individuals in a form of defining their tax themself, has created meaningful opportunitiesfor tax collection, as well as taxpayers. 2. The advantages of people filing taxes jointly with family members instead of separately, may occur the improvement for accounting and reporting and it also meets the policy of value-added tax intensive system 3. Individuals certain incomes such as pensions, benefits and etc, do not even be mentioned in our income law. Therefore, this flaws of tax law should be fixed. Form 1095-B and C Guidance for your 2015 Tax return www.irs.gov 2 3 United States income tax policy and mechanism Page 116 It is clear that deducting mortgage interest expense, self-employed health insurance premiums, student loan interest payments and tuition payments, instead of confusing arrangements like exemption of bought house and tuition fees in Mongolia, has influenced the tax reporting. Progressive rate is the tax rate, that depends on the taxpayer earned revenue and it is also essential part of the tax policy of any country. Our very first mission we need to accomplish is, not to collect the maximum amount of tax, instead educate public to accurately report their taxable income. We can prevent unnecessary expenditure of budget and tax avoidance by coordinating tax policy with population register /migration, marital status, family structure and etc/, social welfare policy, and such other. Therefore tax policy is very important to ensure theconsistency of government policies. Tax professionals’ advisory service is essential part of collecting estimated tax and filing income tax return. References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/f1095c.pdf. www.tcrs.com www.aicpa.com www.tax.mn www.1098T.com www.1095B.com www.1095C.com www.1095A.com Credits and deductions. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from Internal revenue service website, https://www.irs.gov/Credits-&-Deductions Understanding merchant tax regulations. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from American express website, https://www209.americanexpress.com/merchant/services/en_US/taxinformation US Tax & Financial Services for Individual Tax. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from US tax and financial services website, http://www.ustaxfs.com/individual-tax-2/ Individual Federal Income Tax Rates by Tax Year. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from US tax and financial services website, http://www.efile.com/tax-rate/federal-income-tax-rates/ Filing your federal texes. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from USA government website, http://www.efile.com/tax-rate/federal-income-tax-rates/ Tax Types Accepted. (n.d.). Cit.04/28/2016. Retrieved from IRS Authorized tax payment service provider ,https://www.payusatax.com/TaxTypes.aspx Page 117 United States income tax policy and mechanism