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China’s Middle Class An emerging social group Middle Class • Originally, those inhabitants of medieval towns in France who occupied a position somewhere between the peasants and the landowning nobility were referred to as Bourgeoisie • The bourgeoisie later became synonymous with the middle class. Wealth & Democracy • Independent middle class was associated with democratization in history • However, there is no necessary connection between economic prosperity and democracy In China • Modernization had already started well before the reforms – modernizing state system and bureaucracy – most of GNP derived from industries – substantial service sector in economy By late 1950s • Party-state controlled almost all industry and commerce • Petty commodity economy remained – marginal – low status – legally tenuous – politically risky By 1970s • Public versus private interests • Public was increasingly dominated by empty ideological rhetoric and ritualistic action • Private consisted in the promotion and discussion of particularistic interests through the back door and in the back alleys of the system In Reform Era • Reform measures and economic growth have since brought about – endorsing the pursuit of private material interests – greater economic and social diversity and political openness – remarkable individual wealth to certain groups of people Late 1970s & Early 1980s • Private production and commerce were legalized • Individual (or household) enterprises [geti] – small operations (less than 8 employees) – officially sanctioned as a “necessary supplement to the socialist economy” • 50 million geti firms employed 106 million people at the end of 2014 Late 1980s • Private enterprises [siying] – each has more than 8 employees – recognized and confirmed by Zhao Ziyang – legalized by constitutional amendment in 1988 as a ``supplement to the publicly owned economy” – investors have property ownership and inheritance rights From 1999 to 2014 • Private enterprises [siying] – increased from 1.5 million to 15 million – Number of investors increased from 3.2 million to 30 million – Number of employees increased from 20 million to 144 million • Since 1992 siying GDP grows at 60% a year and tax grows at 80% a year Urban Employment Rural Employment (millions) Employees in Private and Household Enterprises (2014) Actual Size of Private Sector • Official figures understate the real size and significance of the private economy in China today – confusion in classification of township and village enterprises – intentional obfuscation by entrepreneurs or officials – difficulty in classifying new hybrid forms of enterprises New Middle Class • Owner-operators – private entrepreneurs • Managers – state capitalists – social capitalists – suburban executives • Service providers State & Middle Class • Party-state remains central to China’s economic development and to its emerging new middle class • Middle class of the reform era have emerged from within the local ``establishment” Socially & Culturally, ... • Socially, the new middle class are characterized by intense parochialism – remarkably limited social mobility – identification with native place • Culturally, the new middle class are trendsetters, especially in consumption patterns Politically, ... • The new middle class are not alienated or independent from the party-state • They operate in close proximity and through close cooperation with the partystate • In a 1997-1999 survey at 4 counties, 16% of private entrepreneurs had run in village elections Private Business • Change in the rhetoric: – marginal => ``supplement” => ``necessary supplement” => ``necessary component” => ``organic part” • Economic justification: – create jobs (3/5 of new firms, 1/5 of new jobs) – pay taxes – donate to charitable causes ``Three Represents” • A CCP document in 1989 barred private entrepreneurs from entering the Party • Difficulty of implementation at grassroots – in a 1997-1999 survey only 27% of county officials supported the ban • In 2001, Jiang Zemin: CCP represents the ``requirements of the development of advanced productive forces” 30% 30 CCP Members 25% 20% 20 17 17 15% 15 13 10% 8 5% 0% 1988 1990 1989 1992 1991 1994 1993 1996 1995 1998 1997 2000 1999 2002 2001