Download (and research) Key application areas: aviation, severe - CNR-ISAC

World Meteorological Organization
WMO OMM
Working together in weather, climate and water
WMO Priorities and Perspectives on IPWG
São José dos Campos, Brazil, 15-19 October 2012
Stephan Bojinski
WMO Space Programme
WMO
www.wmo.int/sat
WMO OMM
World Meteorological Organization
(WMO)
• Founded 1950, successor to IMO (1873)
• Specialized agency of the United Nations for meteorology (weather
and climate), operational hydrology and related geophysical sciences
(e.g., atmospheric chemistry, oceanography, agriculture);
• UN “authoritative voice”
• 189 Member states and territories; “Permanent Representatives”
• Promote, foster, facilitate world-wide cooperation, with a focus on
National Meteorological and Hydrological Services
WMO OMM
WMO Programmes
+ Co-sponsored Programmes: GCOS, GOOS, GTOS, IPCC, …
WMO OMM
WMO High-level Priorities 2012-2015
• Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)
• Integration of observation and information systems
(WIGOS/WIS)
• Disaster risk reduction
• Support to aviation
• Capacity building
(from WMO Strategic Plan 2012-2015)
WMO Space Programme Activities
WMO OMM
Observations:
Requirements
Mission/orbit plans
Gap analyses
Inter-Calibration
Products:
Sustainability
Quality
ISWGs
SCOPE-CM
SCOPE-NWC
WIGOS
GFCS
Data
Dissemination
& Access:
Timeliness,
Standards, Tools
Training &
Awareness:
Virtual Lab
Regional projects
www.wmo.int/sat
WMO OMM
WMO (and related) Requirements for
observations of precipitation
Source:
wmo.int/oscar
Observing
System
Capabilities
Analysis and
Review Tool
WMO OMM
1.
2.
3.
4.
Sat precipitation-related WMO Activities
Severe Weather
Forecasting Demonstration
Project (SWFDP)
Flash Flood Guidance
System (FFGS) – Regional
Projects
SCOPE-CM – climate data
records
SCOPE-Nowcasting –
regional harmonization of
nowcasting products
Use of satellite precipitation estimates
(WMO Survey 2012, 226 responses)
90%
Used
Planned
80%
Required, but currently not available or useable
Not required
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Africa
Asia
S America
N&C America
SW Pacific
Europe
Total
1. SWFDP (E.g.: Eastern Africa, Lake Victoria)
WMO OMM
SWFDP Main Goals:
•Improve Severe Weather Forecasting
•Improve lead-time of Warnings
•Improve interaction of NMHSs with users
 Focus on:
 Strong winds
 Heavy precipitation
 Hazardous waves
(Indian Ocean and Lake Victoria)
 Dry spells
 Users: general public, disaster management,
media, agriculture and fisheries
 Global Centres: ECMWF, UKMO, NOAA/NCEP
(NWP guidance material)
 MSG satellite products (EUMETSAT products)
 Regional Centre: RSMC Nairobi
 National Met. Centres: Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda,
Burundi, Rwanda and Ethiopia
2. Flash Flood Guidance Systems in Regions
WMO OMM
•
FFG is an estimate of
how much rainfall over a
specified time in a small
basin is needed to initiate
flooding on small streams
• Development and implementation of regional
flash flood guidance (FFG) and early warning
systems
• Regional development of technology,
training, procedures to address the issues of
mitigating the impacts of flash floods
• Adapted FFG system implemented in Central
America, Black Sea region, Pakistan,
Mekong basin
2. Flash Flood Guidance: Schematic
WMO OMM
Source: Hydrologic Research Centre, Central America
10
3. SCOPE-CM: Sustained Co-Ordinated Processing of
WMO OMM
•
•
Coordinated international network of space agencies (…) to produce
Climate Data Records (ECV records) from multi-agency satellite data
SCOPE-CM conducts projects to jointly elevate CDR generation
capabilities to a higher maturity level, aiming at
•
•
•
•
Sustained CDR production
Increased knowledge, methodologies and capabilities
Maximized benefit from investments through coordination and
cooperation
SCOPE-CM is connected with relevant stakeholders:
•
•
Environmental Satellite Data for Climate Monitoring
WMO, GCOS, CEOS, GEO, CGMS/GSICS, WCRP/GEWEX, ESA
(observer)
Phase I (2008-2012) completed: Clouds/aerosols (AVHRR), TWV/LWP
(SSM/I), Surface albedo (GEO), AMV, UTH
→ Call for proposals for new SCOPE-CM projects in January 2013
Invite IPWG to contribute project on precipitation climatology
WMO OMM
4. SCOPE-Nowcasting (NWC) - Outline
• Sustained, Co-Ordinated Processing of
Environmental Satellite Data for Nowcasting
(SCOPE-NWC) initiative
• Ensuring continuous, sustained provision of
consistent satellite products for nowcasting and
severe weather risk reduction
WMO OMM
4. SCOPE-Nowcasting (NWC) Objectives
• Provide a mechanism through which satellite
data/products can be made available simply and quickly
• Primarily for users in the NMHSs of smaller or
developing nations, where expertise and facilities for
processing and utilizing satellite data may be limited or
non-existent
• Also for more advanced nations where there may be
efficiencies possible through combining resources,
expertise, and efforts
WMO OMM
4. SCOPE-NWC: Concept of operations
! Establishing a
collaborative
network
! Among experts,
user institutions
and satellite
operators
! To include IPWG,
WWRP, SWFDP
WMO OMM
4. SCOPE-NWC Pilot project outlines
Category
Product
Region
Provider
User
Gaps
Basic
nowcasting
Imagery, RGB composites
and enhancements, fog
detection and cloud
products
WMO Region II
(Asia) and
Region V (SW
Pacific)
JMA, CMA,
KMA (TBD)
NMSs in Region
II and V
No standard
products
available;
products limited
Advanced
nowcasting
Ice cloud detection and
turbulence to support
aviation; potentially adding
precipitation, fog
Australia and
adjacent Region
II (Asia) and V
(SW Pacific)
CMA, JMA,
KMA (TBD),
NASA, NOAA
(for precip)
NMHSs in RA II
and RA V
No products
currently
available (except
for precipitation)
Advanced
nowcasting
Blended satellite global
precipitation product
(GEO+LEO)
Global coverage
Hydro
Estimator,
NASA TRMM
(3B42), NOAA
(real-time MW)
Civil authorities,
NMHSs, Flash
flood guidance
systems, general
users
Rapid, facilitated
access to
quantitative
precipitation
estimates
RT Ocean
Products
Near-Real-Time (3-hourly)
Ocean surface winds for
NWP
Initially Indian
Ocean
IMD/ISRO
(Oceansat-2)
and
EUMETSAT
OSI-SAF
NWP Centres,
Marine
Forecasters
OSVW not fully
exploited
RT
Atmospheric
Composition
products
Dust Monitoring and
Prediction Products
WMO Region II
(Asia) and V
(South-West
Pacific)
CMA, JMA
SDS-WDCs,
NMSs (to issue
results and
warnings) in RA
II and RA V
Regional
diversity of
aerosol-related
products not
harmonized
WMO OMM
4. SCOPE-NWC Pilot project outlines
Category
Product
Region
Provider
User
Gaps
Basic
nowcasting
Imagery, RGB composites
and enhancements, fog
detection and cloud
products
WMO Region II
(Asia) and
Region V (SW
Pacific)
JMA, CMA,
KMA (TBD)
NMSs in Region
II and V
No standard
products
available;
products limited
Advanced
nowcasting
Ice cloud detection and
turbulence to support
aviation; potentially adding
precipitation, fog
Australia and
adjacent Region
II (Asia) and V
(SW Pacific)
CMA, JMA,
KMA (TBD),
NASA, NOAA
(for precip)
NMHSs in RA II
and RA V
No products
currently
available (except
for precipitation)
Advanced
nowcasting
Blended satellite global
precipitation product
(GEO+LEO)
Global coverage
Hydro
Estimator,
NASA TRMM
(3B42), NOAA
(real-time MW)
Civil authorities,
NMHSs, Flash
flood guidance
systems, general
users
Rapid, facilitated
access to
quantitative
precipitation
estimates
RT Ocean
Products
Near-Real-Time (3-hourly)
Ocean surface winds for
NWP
Initially Indian
Ocean
IMD/ISRO
(Oceansat-2)
and
EUMETSAT
OSI-SAF
NWP Centres,
Marine
Forecasters
OSVW not fully
exploited
RT
Atmospheric
Composition
products
Dust Monitoring and
Prediction Products
WMO Region II
(Asia) and V
(South-West
Pacific)
CMA, JMA
SDS-WDCs,
NMSs (to issue
results and
warnings) in RA
II and RA V
Regional
diversity of
aerosol-related
products not
harmonized
WMO OMM
•
•
•
•
Summary I: General WMO
recommendations to IPWG
Evaluate and assess methods and datasets
Harmonize quality assessment and verification
Develop best practices and access/interface tools
Assist in integration and interoperability of rainfall
estimates from different sources
– Many WMO application areas require satellite precipitation
estimates: weather, hydrology, climate, cryosphere, ocean, …
• Develop concise high-level recommendations (<5) to
WMO/CGMS
WMO OMM
Summary II
• WMO emphasizes its support to IPWG
• Encourages IPWG to
– Discuss scientific state-of-the-art
– Take action to leverage research for operations
• IPWG encouraged to contribute to SCOPE-CM
• IPWG encouraged to contribute to SCOPE-NWC
WMO OMM
Thank you!
From Global to Regional to Local
WMO OMM
Global/Regional Observations
& ATM Model Forecasts
Computational
Component
Computational Core
Adjustments and Warning
Core
Local Products
& Uncertainty
Local Data
Regional Centers
(Hydromet expertise)
1. Decisions are made with multiple datasets and
under uncertainty
2. There is a need to modify the products of the
global/regional system locally and have capability
for estimating consequences to local variables of
interest
Local or Country
Warning Generation System
(e.g., WFO or NMHS)
Local or Country
Warning Dissemination System
Public Warnings
WMO Space Programme Activities
WMO OMM
Observations:
Requirements
Mission/orbit plans
Gap analyses
Inter-Calibration
In support of:
 Weather
 Climate
 Water
 Disaster Risk Reduction
 Hydrology
 Cryosphere
 Space Weather
Products:
Sustainability
Quality
SCOPE-CM
SCOPE-NWC
WIGOS
GFCS
Data
Dissemination
& Access:
Timeliness,
Standards, Tools
Training &
Awareness:
Virtual Lab
Regional projects
www.wmo.int/sat
SCOPE-NWC Products
WMO OMM
•
•
Products need to be consistent across platforms and use standard formats
Useful in the forecasting range zero to six hours where, in the case of NWP,
current model forecasting capability is limited.
•
Four broad categories of SCOPE-NWC products
–
–
–
–
Basic (Atmospheric) Nowcasting Products: these are primarily products used
qualitatively, such as visible and infrared imagery, RGB composites and
enhancements, fog detection and cloud products;
Advanced (Atmospheric) Nowcasting Products: these include quantitative
products requiring the application of algorithms for their generation; products
such as precipitation, atmospheric motion vectors, stability indices, total
precipitable water, convective initiation and sounding products, and other
products to support aviation such as turbulence or aircraft icing potential;
Realtime Ocean Products: these include scatterometer data for sea surface
winds and sea state data from altimetry; and
Realtime Atmospheric Composition Products: these include fire detection,
smoke, sand and dust, aerosols and volcanic ash