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Chapter 19 Capital Project Analysis Learning Objectives • • • • Explain who is involved in the capital investment decision process. Describe the kinds of decisions that are made in capital investment decision analysis. Explain the four stages of the capital decisionmaking process. List the kind of information that is needed to evaluate a capital investment project. Learning Objectives • Calculate a projects’ net present value, profitability index, and equivalent annual cost. • Explain the concept of a discount rate and the weighted average cost of capital. Capital Project Analysis • Occurs during the programming phase of the management control process • Primarily concerned with new projects that require a substantial investment outlay and a long project life (greater than 2 years) • It is also a yearly estimate of resources that will be expended for new programs during the coming year Figure 19–1 Capital Decision-Making Participants External Participants Financing sources - investment bankers, bondrating agencies, bankers, and feasibility consultants, etc.; collectively, may influence the amount of money that can be borrowed and the terms of the borrowing Rate-setting and rate-controlling agencies – can limit the amount of money available for financing capital projects by reducing the amount of profits that may be retained External Participants, cont. Third-party payers - affect both capital expenditure levels and sources of financing through reimbursement provisions Planning agencies – review applications of capital expenditures and pass recommendations to the state authority responsible for final approval or disapproval in states that require certificate-of-need. Internal Participants Board of trustees - responsible for the capital expenditure and capital financing program of the health care firm – Main function - clearly establish defined goals and objectives, which is the prerequisite to programming phase of capital expenditure analysis – Approves preliminary five-year capital expenditure program, which is linked to strategic financial plan Planning committee - define, analyze, and propose programs to help the organization attain its goals and objectives Internal Participants, cont. Finance committee - involved with translating programs into financing requirements; ensures adequate financing to meet program requirements Chief Executive Officer (CEO) - responsible on a dayto-day basis for implementing approved capital expenditure programs and developing related financing plans; much of the authority is delegated by the board of trustees Department managers - make most of the internal requests for capital expenditure approval Internal Participants, cont. Medical staff – mostly not employees of the health care firm; place demands for capital expenditures due to their influence on firm’s utilization Controller - facilitates approval of capital expenditures; assists administrator with allocating budget to competing departments Treasurer - for obtaining funds for both shortand long-term programs Capital Expenditures Classification • Capital expenditure - a commitment of resources that is expected to provide benefits during a reasonably long period, at least two or more years • Most important classifications by: – – – – Period during which the investment occurs Types of resources invested Dollar amounts of capital expenditures Types of benefits received Period of Investment • Determining the amount of resources committed to a capital project depends heavily on the definition of the period • Consider example – initiation of programs funded by grants – Capital expenditures and additional operating funds for later periods may be required, if there is a formal or informal commitment to continue the program for a longer period – Long-run capital costs of grant-funded projects must be identified Types of Resources Invested • Capital assets – tangible fixed assets • Lease – many health care facilities lease a significant % of their fixed assets (e.g., equipment) • Operating costs associated with beginning and continuing capital project – Lifecycle costing - method for estimating the cost of a capital project that reflects total costs, both operating and capital, over the project’s estimated useful life – Lifecycle costs should be considered for all programs; doing so may affect selection of alternative projects Amount of Expenditures • Control over capital expenditures should be conditioned by the total amount involved • Follows one of the patterns: – Approval required for all capital expenditures – Approval required for all capital expenditures above a preestablished limit, e.g. $5,000 – No approval required for individual capital expenditure projects below a total budgeted amount • Sometimes absolute dollar limit is placed - authorized capital budget on any items in question Types of Benefits • Determine what systems of management control and evaluation to be used (e.g. investment in medicaloffice building vs. investment in alcoholic rehab unit) • In health care, benefits differ from those considered in other industries and may include benefits that are more important than cost reduction or increase in profits • Main categories: – Operational continuance – Financial – Other Types of Benefits, cont. • Operational continuance - produces benefits that permit continued operations of the facility along present lines – Main questions: • Are continued operations in the present form desirable? • Which alternative investment project can achieve continued operations in the most desirable way? – Example – requirement to install sprinkler system in a nursing home; failure to do so may result in discontinuance of operations Types of Benefits, cont. • Financial - either reduced costs or increased profits to the organization – If the major benefits are financial, traditional capital budgeting methods may be more appropriate • Other – investments range from projects that activate major new medical areas (e.g. outpatient services) to projects that improve employee working conditions (e.g. employee gymnasiums) – Benefits may be more difficult to quantify and evaluate Capital Decision-Making Process • Allocation of limited resources to specific project areas that directly affects the efficiency, effectiveness and, ultimately, the continued viability of the organization • Main interrelated stages: – – – – Generation of project information Evaluation of projects Decisions about which projects to fund Project implementation and reporting Generation of Project Information • Information is gathered that can be analyzed and evaluated later • Main categories of information needed for expenditure proposal evaluation: – – – – – – Alternatives available Resources available Incremental Cost data Incremental Benefit data Prior performance Risk projection Project Information Types • Alternatives available – must be considered to evaluate capital expenditures (e.g. different manufacturers, different methods of financing) • Resources available – must be allocated among numerous investment opportunities; may force department managers to submit only projects that are in the department’s best interests • Cost data - lifecycle costs of a project should be presented; limiting cost information to capital costs can be counterproductive Project Information Types, cont. • Benefit data – quantitative (financial) and qualitative (unquantifiable benefits) • Prior performance - comparison of prior actual results with forecast results gives a decision maker some idea of the reliability of forecasting • Risk projection – “what-if” questions (e.g. how would costs and benefits change if volume changed?); programs with extremely high proportions of fixed or sunk costs are much more sensitive to changes in volume and thus more risky Project Evaluation • Based on solvency and cost • Solvency – ability to show positive rate of return in the long run; operation of an insolvent program eventually can threaten the solvency of the entire organization • Cost - organization needs to select projects that contribute most to the attainment of its objectives, given resource constraints = > Cost-benefit analysis – Cost-effectiveness analysis - projects that are eventually selected should cost the least to provide the service Decisions About Funding Projects • Decision makers possess lists of possible projects that may be funded • Each project should represent the lowest cost of providing the desired service or output • Various benefit data on each project should be described Decision Making Example • Consider example – how many projects out of 3 will be funded? • Projects –hemodialysis unit, burn care unit, commercial lab • Relevant decision criteria: – – – – Solvency Incremental management time required Public image Medical staff approval • Decision makers must weight the criteria according to their preferences, because none of the projects dominates Decision Making Example, cont. Project Implementation and Reporting • Expenditure control systems should be focused on whether the projected benefits are actually being realized as forecast • Benefits of establishing capital expenditure review program: – Highlights differences between planned versus actual performance that may permit corrective action – May result in more accurate estimates – Forecasts by individuals with a continuous record of biased forecasts can be adjusted to reflect that bias Justification of Capital Expenditures • Initiated by a department or responsibility-center manager through the completion of a capital expenditure approval form • Approval provides a detailed summary of: – Amount and type of expenditure – Attainment of key decision criteria – Detailed financial analysis • Small capital expenditures (under $2,000) usually not subjected to detailed analysis and do not require justification Justification of Capital Expenditures, cont. Replacement items are specially recognized: – Expenditure less than $20,000 may not be subject to review – Higher limit due to replacement items being essential to operational continuance of existing operations – Not evaluated as closely as expenditures for new pieces of equipment Justification of Capital Expenditures, cont. • Capital expenditure review process should focus on best alternatives • Overall criteria of selection process: – Need (management goals, hospital goals) – Economic feasibility – Acceptability (physicians, employees, community) • Non-financial criteria also important • Key aspect of the capital expenditure approval process is the financial or economic feasibility of the project measured by summary statistic: – Discounted cash-flow method (DCF) – Nondiscounted cash-flow method Discounted Cash-Flow Methods • DCF methods are based on time value concept of money • Main methods and areas of application: – Net present value - capital financing alternative – Profitability index - capital expenditures with financial benefits – Equivalent annual cost - capital expenditures with nonfinancial benefits Net Present Value (NPV) • Discounted cash inflows less discounted cash outflows and initial investment outlay • The NPV presents the return on investment expressed in dollar terms. • Only incremental cash flows should be considered , i.e. the additional cash inflows and outflows that accrue as a result of taking on the capital project • Not included – sunk and financing costs (financing costs are represented by discount rate) Net Present Value, cont. • When comparing two alternatives, the one with the highest NPV should be selected • Consider example – asset can be financed with 4-year annual $1,000 lease payment or can be purchased for $2,800. • In this case, select the project with the lowest NPV cost. • Assume the discount rate is 10% (can reflect both borrowing or investment cost) • Present value (PV) cost of lease = $3,169 compared to the PV cost of purchase = $2,800 • The purchase alternative is the lowest cost alternative method of financing Cost Reimbursement • Means that facility would be entitled to reimbursement for depreciation if the asset was purchased, or the facility would be entitled to the rent payment if the asset was leased • Effects are declining in the era of prospective payment and capitation, except for designated critical access hospitals and other groups under Medicare • Example – PV of reimbursed cash inflow under straight-line depreciation with 20% of capital expenses reimbursed by third-party cost payers Present Value of Reimbursement, cont. • Asset purchased: organization would pay $2,800 immediately – For each of the next four years, it would be reimbursed for the noncash expense item of depreciation in the amount of $700 per year ($2,800 ÷ 4) – But, because only 20% of patients are capital cost payers (covered by third-party payers who reimburse the facility for capital costs), only $140 per year would be received (.20 × $700) • Asset leased: organization would be reimbursed for lease payment of $1,000 per year – But: because only 20 percent of the patients are capital cost payers, only $200 (.20 × $1,000) would be paid Present Value of Reimbursement NPV of Financing Alternatives NPV of Financing Alternatives, cont. • Best method of financing is purchase: – Annual expenses will be $700 in depreciation, compared with $1,000 per year with the leasing plan – Lower NPV • Caution: relative ratings regarding NPV could change quickly, given higher percentages of capital cost reimbursement – If 80% of capital costs reimbursed, leasing’s NPV (–$634) is better (i.e., less negative) than purchasing’s NPV (– $1,025) Profitability Index • Compares rates of return of competing projects • Useful when the benefits of the projects are mostly financial (e.g. capital project that saves costs) • When funding is limited, projects with the highest rate of return per dollar of capital investment are best candidates for selection Profitability Index, cont. • Consider example: investment in laundry service shared with a group of hospitals • Investment cost - $100,000 • Savings in operating costs : $20,000 per year for 10year project • Discount rate : 10% Present value of operating savings = $20,000 6.145 = $122,900 NPV = $122,900 – $100,000 = $22,900 Profitability index = $22,900 = .229 $100,000 Profitability Index, cont. • Profitability indices >0 imply that the project is earning at a rate greater than the discount rate • With no funding constraints, all projects with profitability indices >0 should be funded • In most situations, funding constraints do exist, and only a portion of those projects with positive profitability indices are actually accepted Profitability Index and Cost Reimbursement • Need to adjust initial NPV of $22,900 to reflect the effects of cost reimbursement • The firm can receive 50% of the annual depreciation of $10,000 ($100,000/10) or $5,000 per year as a reimbursement cash flow – PV of this stream, $30,725 is added to the initial NPV of $22,900 • Savings of $20,000 per year reduce reimbursable costs by $10,000 annually – PV of the loss is $61,450 subtracted from initial NPV • Cost reimbursement thus reduces increased costs associated with new programs, but it also reduces the cost savings associated with new programs Equivalent Annual Cost • The expected average cost, considering both capital and operating cost, over the life of the project • Primarily important when selecting capital projects for which alternatives exist Equivalent annual cost = Sprinkler Systems • Example: investment in sprinkler system to maintain license • Two alternatives: – System A: $5,000 in investment and annual maintenance of $500 annually for 10 years – System B: $10,000 in investment and annual maintenance of $200 for 20 years • Discount rate: 10% Sprinkler Systems, cont. Equivalent annual cost of a $5,000 sprinkler system: Present value of operating costs = $500 6.145 = $3,073 Present value of investment = $5,000 Equivalent annual cost = $3,073 $5,000 $1,314 6.145 Equivalent annual cost of a $10,000 sprinkler system: Present value of operating costs Present value of investment = $10,000 Equivalent annual cost = $1,703 + $10,000 = $1,375 8.514 = $200 8.514 = $1,703 Sprinkler Systems, cont. • $5,000 sprinkler system would produce the lowest equivalent annual cost (EAC) of $1,314 per year, compared with the $1,375 EAC of the $10,000 system • Note: EAC method allows to compare projects with different lives, assuming that technology will not change • Subjective weight should be given to projects of shorter duration EAC and Accounting Costs • Not identical; annual reported accounting cost for the two alternatives would be the annual depreciation expenses plus the maintenance cost: Accounting expense per year ($5,000 sprinkler system) = $5,000 $500 $1,000 10 Accounting expense per year ($10,000 sprinkler system) = $10,000 $200 $700 20 EAC and Accounting Costs, cont. • Not incorporating time-value concept of money can produce misleading results, as it does in the previous example • Second alternative is not the lowest cost alternative when the cost of capital is included • Savings of $5,000 in investment cost between the two systems can be used either to generate additional investment income or to reduce outstanding indebtedness EAC and Cost Reimbursement In the sprinkler example, consider the effects of cost reimbursement (assume 50% cost will be reimbursed): • EAC of a $5,000 sprinkler system: – PV of reimbursed operating costs = $500 x 6.145 x .50 = $1,536.25 – PV of reimbursed depreciation = $5000/10 x 6.145 x .50 = $1,536.25 – EAC with cost based reimbursement = $1,314 – (1,526.25+1,536.25)/ 6.145 = $814 EAC and Cost Reimbursement In the sprinkler example, consider the effects of cost reimbursement (assume 50% cost will be reimbursed): • EAC of a $10,000 sprinkler system: – PV of reimbursed operating costs = $200 x 8.514 x .50 = $851.40 – PV of reimbursed depreciation = $10,000/20 x 8.514 x .50 = $2,128.50 – EAC with cost based reimbursement = $1,375 – (851.40 +2,128.50)/ 8.514 = $1,025 EAC & Cost Reimbursement • In this example, the effect of cost reimbursement did not change the decision. • The lower-cost sprinkler system is still the best alternative. Discount Rate • In health care, discount rate is important, but not critical, as decision making is not solely based on financial considerations • Change in relative ranking of projects is much more likely to result from an accurate forecast of cash flows than from an alternative discount rates • However, the choice of discount rate may affect desirability of alternative projects so it is important to consider. • Primary methods for defining the cost of capital for use in DCF analysis: – Cost of specific financing source – Yield achievable on other investments – Weighted cost of capital Discount Rate Selection • Cost of specific financing source - sometimes used as the discount rate (e.g. firm borrows money at 8%) • Yield rate - the investment yield possible in the firm’s security portfolio (e.g. firm earns 10% on security investments) Discount Rate Selection • Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) – most widely used method: Weighted Average Cost of Capital = [ Debt/(Debt+Equity) Cost of debt ] + [ Equity/(Equity+Debt) Cost of equity] • Represents the marginal cost of capital to the firm, recognizing capital consists of both debt and equity • The major challenge is defining cost of equity for NFP firms. One solution is to use a the cost of equity for a similar IO firm. Valuation • More hospitals are buying or acquiring related health care businesses (e.g. other hospitals, nursing homes, physician practices) • Main question – what is the value of business acquired? • Acquired business – capital expenditure that needs to be evaluated