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Chapter Seven Individual & Group Decision Making B7-1 Decision Making Defined Decision: is a choice made from among available alternatives. Decision Making: is the process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-2 Types of Decisions Programmed Decisions: are repetitive and routine. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Nonprogrammed Decisions: are those that occur under nonroutine, unfamiliar circumstances. © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-3 Decision Making Style Decision Making Style: reflects the combination of how an individual perceives and responds to information. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-4 Decision Making Styles Tolerance for ambiguity Panel 7.1 Analytical Conceptual Directive Behavioral Task & technical concerns People & social concerns High Low Value Orientation McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-5 Rational Decisions Rational Model of Decision Making: also called the classical model explains how managers should make decisions; it assumes managers will make logical decisions that will be optimum in furthering the organization’s best interests. McGraw-Hill/Irwin The Rational Model is based on unrealistic assumptions: Complete information, no uncertainty Logical, unemotional analysis, Best Decision for the organization © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-6 Panel 7.2 The Four Steps in Rational Decision Making Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Identify the problem or opportunity Think up alternative solutions Evaluate alternatives & select a solution Implement & evaluate the solution chosen McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-7 Nonrational Decision Maing Nonrational models of decision making: explain how managers do make decisions; they assume the decision making is nearly always uncertain and risky, making it difficult for managers to make the optimum decisions. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Nonrational Models are: Satisficing Incremental © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-8 Making Better Decisions Through Knowledge Management Explicit Knowledge: information that can be easily put into words. Tacit knowledge: individual based, intuitive, acquired through considerable experience, and hard to express and to share. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-9 Panel 7.5 The Ethical Decision Tree Yes Do it. Is it ethical? Yes No Yes Does it maximize shareholder value? Is the proposed action legal? No No Don’t do it. Yes Don’t do it. Would it be ethical not to take action? No McGraw-Hill/Irwin Don’t do it. Do it. © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-10 Advantages & Disadvantages of Group Decision Making Advantages Disadvantages Greater pool of knowledge A few people dominate or intimidate Different perspectives Groupthink Intellectual stimulation Satisficing Better understanding of decision rationale Deeper commitment to the decision McGraw-Hill/Irwin Goal displacement © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-11 What Managers Need to know about Groups & Decision Making 1) They are less efficient 2) Their size affects decision quality 3) They may be too confident 4) Knowledge counts McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-12 Panel 7.7 When a Group Can Help in Decision Making 1) When it can increase quality 2) When it can increase acceptance 3) When it can increase development McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-13 Participative Management Participative Management: the process of involving employees in setting goals, making decisions, solving problems, and making changes in the organization. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-14 Panel 7.8 Factors that Can Help Participative Management Work Top management is continually involved Middle and supervisory managers are supportive Employees trust managers Employees are ready Employees don’t work in interdependent jobs PM is implemented with TQM McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-15 More Group Problem Solving Techniques Interacting group Nominal group Delphi group Computer aided decision making McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-16 How Do Individuals Respond to a Decision Situation? Effective Responses: Importance Credibility urgency McGraw-Hill/Irwin Ineffective Responses: Relaxed avoidance Relaxed change Defensive avoidance Panic © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. B7-17 Decision Making Biases Availability bias Representativeness bias Anchoring and adjustment bias McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Key Terms Used in This Chapter Anchoring and adjustment bias Explicit knowledge Availability bias Goal displacement Bounded rationality Groupthink Consensus Heuristics Deciding to decide Incremental model Decision Interacting group Decision making Knowledge management Decision making style Nominal group Decision tree Nonprogrammed decisions Defensive avoidance Delphi group Nonrational models of decision making Diagnosis Opportunities Escalation of commitment Panic Ethics officer Participative management McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Key Terms Used in This Chapter Problems Programmed decisions Rational model of decision making Relaxed avoidance Relaxed change Representativeness bias Satisficing model Tacit knowledge McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.