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Section 6.2 Introduction to Hypothesis Testing 1 Rejection Regions Sampling distribution for Rejection Region z z0 Critical Value z0 The rejection region is the range of values for which the null hypothesis is not probable. It is always in the direction of the alternative hypothesis. Its area is equal to . A critical value separates the rejection region from the non-rejection region. 2 Critical Values The critical value z0 separates the rejection region from the non-rejection region. The area of the rejection region is . Rejection region Rejection region z0 z0 Find z0 for a right-tail test with = .05. Find z0 for a left-tail test with = .01. z0 = –2.33 Rejection region Rejection region z0 z0 3 Find –z0 and z0 for a two-tail test with z0 = 1.645 –z0 = –2.575 and z0 = 2.575 = .01. Using the Critical Value to Make Test Decisions 1. Write the null and alternative hypothesis. Write H0 and Ha as mathematical statements. Remember H0 always contains the = symbol. 2. State the level of significance. This is the maximum probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. (Making a type I error.) 3. Identify the sampling distribution. The sampling distribution is the distribution for the test statistic assuming that the equality condition in H0 is true and that the experiment is repeated an infinite number of 4 times. 5. Find the rejection region. 4. Find the critical value. Rejection Region z0 6. Find the test statistic. The critical value separates the rejection region of the sampling distribution from the non-rejection region. The area of the critical region is equal to the level of significance of the test. Perform the calculations to standardize your sample statistic. 5 7. Make your decision. If the test statistic falls in the critical region, reject H0. Otherwise, fail to reject H0. 8. Interpret your decision. If the claim is the null hypothesis, you will either reject the claim or determine there is not enough evidence to reject the claim. If the claim is the alternative hypothesis, you will either support the claim or determine there is not enough evidence to support the claim. 6 The z-Test for a Mean A cereal company claims the mean sodium content in one serving of its cereal is no more than 230 mg. You work for a national health service and are asked to test this claim. You find that a random sample of 52 servings has a mean sodium content of 232 mg and a standard deviation of 10 mg. At = 0.05, do you have enough evidence to reject the company’s claim? 1. Write the null and alternative hypothesis. 2. State the level of significance. = 0.05 3. Determine the sampling distribution. Since the sample size is at least 30, the sampling distribution is normal. 7 Since Ha contains the > symbol, this is a right-tail test. Rejection region z0 1.645 4. Find the critical value. 5. Find the rejection region. 6. Find the test statistic and standardize it. n = 52 = 232 s = 10 7. Make your decision. z = 1.44 does not fall in the rejection region, so fail to reject H0 8. Interpret your decision. There is not enough evidence to reject the company’s claim that 8 there is at most 230 mg of sodium in one serving of its cereal. Using the P-value of a Test to Compare Areas A z f o t f le e h 3 t o 109 t a 0. re = 0.05 z0 = –1.645 Rejection area 0.05 z0 z = –1.23 P = 0.1093 z For a P-value decision, compare areas. If reject H0. If fail to reject H0. For a critical value decision, decide if z is in the rejection region If z is in the rejection region, reject H0. If z is not in the rejection region, fail to reject H0. 9