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Chapter Six Bond Markets McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-1 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Overview of the Bond Markets • A bond is a promise to make periodic coupon payments and to repay principal at maturity; breech of this promise is an event of default • Bonds carry original maturities greater than one year so bonds are instruments of the capital markets • Issuers are corporations and government units McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-2 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Bond Market Instruments Outstanding, 1994-2001 ($Bn) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1994 Treas. bonds McGraw-Hill /Irwin 1997 2000 Muni. securities 6-3 2001 Corp. bonds Total Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Treasury Instruments • • • • T-Bills T-Notes T-Bonds Strips Maturity < 1 Year Maturity 1 to 10 Years Maturity 10 to 30 Years Other Agency Bonds McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-4 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Composition of the U.S. National Debt ($Bn) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1994 T-bills U.S. savings securities Other McGraw-Hill /Irwin 1997 2000 T-notes Foreign series 6-5 2001 T-bonds Govt. acc. sec. Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Municipal Bonds (Munis) • Securities issued by state and local governments to fund either temporary imbalances between operating expenditures and receipts or to finance long-term capital outlays for activities such as school construction, public utility construction or transportation systems • Tax receipts or revenues generated are the source of repayment • Attractive to household investors because interest (but not capital gains) are tax exempt McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-6 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Tax Exemption and Muni Yields ia = ib(1 - t) Where: ia = After-tax (equivalent tax exempt) rate of return on a taxable bond ib = Before-tax rate of return on a taxable bond t = Income tax rate of the marginal bond holder Example: You can invest in taxable corporate bonds that are paying 10% annually on munis. Your marginal tax rate is 28%. The aftertax rate of return on the taxable bond is: 10%(1-.28) = 7.2% McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-7 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Municipal Bonds • General Obligation Bonds – bonds backed by the full faith and credit of the issuer • Revenue Bonds – bonds sold to finance a specific revenue generating project and are backed by cash flows from that project McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-8 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Top Municipal Bond Underwriters Underwriter Principal Amount (in millions $$) Salomon Smith Barney UBS Paine Webber Merrill Lynch Morgan Stanley Bear, Stearns Lehman Brothers Goldman Sachs J.P. Morgan Securities Dresdner Kleinwort Benson Banc of America Securities Industry totals McGraw-Hill /Irwin $40,049.0 33,587.2 23,902.5 19,811.4 17,513.5 16,978.4 16,854.5 10,298.5 6,720.4 6,390.6 Market Share 12.1% 10.1% 7.2% 6.0% 15.3% 5.1% 5.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.9% No. of Issues 610 667 273 316 177 231 198 131 12 311 $342 billion 6-9 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Contracting Choices with the Underwriter • Firm commitment underwriting – the issue of securities in which the investment bank guarantees the corp. a price for newly issued securities by buying the whole issue at a fixed price from the corporate issuer then seeks to resell to suppliers of funds (investors) at a higher price • Best efforts underwriting – the issue of securities in which the underwriter does not guarantee a price to the issuer and acts more as a placing or distribution agent, bank acts as agent on a fee basis related to its success in placing the issue McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-10 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Corporate Bonds • Bearer bonds – coupons attached that are presented by the holder to the issuer for interest payments when due • Registered bonds – the owner of the bond is recorded by the issuer and coupon payments are mailed to the registered owner • Term bonds – entire issue matures on a single date • Serial bonds – mature on a series of dates McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-11 (continued) Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Corporate Bonds • Mortgage bonds – issued to finance specific projects which are pledged as collateral • Equipment Trust Certificates – bonds collateralized with tangible non-real estate property • Debentures – backed solely by the general credit of the issuing firm and unsecured by specific assets or collateral • Subordinated debentures – unsecured debentures that are junior in their rights to mortgage bonds and regular debentures (continued) McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-12 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Types of Corporate Bonds • Convertible bonds – may be exchanged for another security of the issuing firm at the discretion of the bond holder • Stock Warrant – give the bond holder an opportunity to purchase common stock at a specified price up to a specified date • Callable bonds – allow the issuer to force the bond holder to sell the bond back to the issuer at a price above the par value (call price) • Sinking Fund bonds – bonds that include a requirement that the issuer retire a certain amount of the bond issue each year McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-13 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Bond Credit Ratings Explanation Moody’s Investment grade categories: Best quality; smallest degree of risk Aaa High quality; slightly more long-term Aa1 risk than top rating Aa2 Aa3 Upper medium grade; possible A1 impairment in the future A2 A3 Medium grade; lack outstanding Baa1 investment characteristics Baa2 Baa3 S&P AAA AA+ AA AA AAA+ ABBB+ BBB BBB(continued) McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-14 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Bond Credit Ratings Explanation Moody’s Speculative investment grades: Speculative issues; protection may Ba1 be very moderate Ba2 Ba3 Very speculative; may have small B1 assurance of interest and principle B2 payment B3 Issues in poor standing; may be in default Caa Speculative in a high degree Ca Lowest quality; poor prospects of attaining C real investment standing McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-15 S&P BB+ BB BBB+ B BCCC CC C D Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Eurobonds, Foreign Bonds, Brady Bonds and Sovereign Bonds • Eurobonds – long-term bonds issued and sold outside the country of the currency in which they are denominated (e.g., dollar-denominated bonds issued in Europe or Asia) • Foreign Bonds – long-term bonds issued by firms and governments outside of the issuer’s country, usually denominated in the currency of the country in which they are issued McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-16 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.