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Welcome to EC 382: International Economics By: Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Week Four 1 Week Four: Class One Tuesday, September 18 14:10-15:00 AC 202 Your ICA1s are graded but I forgot to bring them to class today. – You will receive them tomorrow Expect an ICA tomorrow 2 What are the causes of international factor movements? Assume factors of production are mobile between India and the U.S. Assume the U.S. is capital abundant and India is labor abundant. Labor earns a higher wage in the U.S. than in India. Inequality of wages would cause workers from India to migrate to the U.S. 3 What are the effects of international factor movements? Wages would begin to _____ in fall the U.S. as supply increases. rise Wages would begin to ______ in India as supply decreases. Migration of labor would stop when wages are equal between countries – no more gains from migration. 4 What about capital? Capital will migrate from the U.S. to India to earn a higher rate of return. Capital will migrate until the rate of return is the same between the two countries. 5 Fact In general, capital is more mobile than labor; why? – Immigration restrictions – Language/cultural barriers 6 How does the international factor movement compare to international trade? International trade is sometimes – a substitute for factor movements between countries. – a complement for factor movements between countries 7 Example of substitute Ireland is capital abundant and has comparative advantage in production of capital intensive goods and return to capital is low. Two alternatives: 1.Export capital intensive good (machines) & import labor intensive good (shoes), or 2.Capital leaves the nation and labor enters the nation until there is no more comparative advantage or disadvantage; produce machines and shoes domestically. – If factor movements are blocked, trade is pursued. 8 Example of complements Shoes and machines can be traded, but some goods and services can not be traded. Like what? – Haircuts Someone who lives in Ireland will not go to Turkey to get a hair cut But the Turkish hairdresser (labor) can migrate to Ireland 9 Which one is economically preferred? And why? The literature has shown that When possible, factor movements are preferred to trade. – World output will be maximized – Blocking factors from earning the highest rate of return is less efficient. 10 What is foreign direct investment (FDI)? It implies directly investing in the firm’s plant and equipment. (Physical investment as opposed to just sending money.) It takes the form of a domestic corporation opening a foreign subsidiary or buying control of existing foreign firm represents real investments in land, nonresidential investment, and equipment and software. 11 FDI: Facts More than 92% of FDI originated in developed countries. World’s developed countries received nearly 76% of the world’s FDI. 12 FDI in the world Table 5.2 13 International Economics Week 4- Class 2 – Wednesday, September 19 – 11:10-12:00 PM – Tyndall Please pick up your ICA1 14 ICA2 In teams of 2 Half a page Print both names 3 Multiple Choice Questions Write down the answers 15 Question 1 A relatively large amount of intraindustry trade would be associated with: – – – – A) an index of intraindustry trade close to 1.0. B) an index of intraindustry trade close to zero. C) an index of intraindustry trade of 0.20. D) a large amount of imports in a product category with few exports in the same product category. 16 Question 2 According the product cycle model, comparative advantage: – A) may move from one country to another country as the product matures. – B) is based on the income level of the domestic country. – C) will remain in the country where the product is introduced. – D) is based on economies of scale. 17 Question 3 Why is international trade viewed as a "second best" alternative when compared to the movement of the factors of production? – A) Being able to move the factors of production would increase world output. – B) International trade has too many problems associated with it. – C) Factors of production are cheaper and easier to acquire. – D) Resources are best used with international trade. 18 Yesterday, I showed Table 5-2 19 Question: what does Africa’s negative outflow of FDI mean? Africa has a negative outflow of FDI which means that Africa has withdrawn its FDI outflow. 20 What are the reasons for FDI? Higher rate of return on investment because – the receiving nation is capital scarce and labor abundant Low cost of labor 21 What are the reasons for FDI? Low cost of transportation of output Low cost of transportation of inputs Low cost of paper work (licensing, permits ,..etc.) Low taxes High trade barriers in the receiving nation Low cost of natural resources 22 What are the effects of FDI? In the source country The country that sends the capital to another country. – When capital moves out of the source decreases country, the supply of capital ________ which causes an increase in the rate of return to capital. Owners of capital in source country benefit Owners of transferred capital benefit from higher rate of return in foreign country. 23 What are the effects of FDI on the labor in the source country? Reduction in supply of capital means less capital for labor to use. – Capital-to-labor ratio declines – Productivity of labor declines Wages decline – Note: in a competitive market wage = marginal product of labor 24 I received a question (just in time) Why when there is less capital the productivity of labor declines? Think of me as a labor, in which scenario will I be more productive in class? 1. Give me a chuck and a blackboard 2. Give me a laptop and projector – Note: by “less capital” we mean lower valued (less technologically advanced) capital 25 What are the effects of FDI on the host country? – – – Host country The country that receives the factor of production from another country. decreases Supply of capital increases which ________ the rate of return. Increase because there is more Labor productivity _________ capital per worker. Return to labor increases. Opening of trade increases wages and decreases returns to capital in the laborabundant country. 26 You had a question on Figure 5.1 Before we get to the figure let’s prepare ourselves What is a demand curve for oranges? – A curve that shows the highest price we are wiling and able to pay at each level of quantity of oranges The highest price represents the value of oranges to us 27 International Economics Week Four- Class 3 – Wednesday, September 26 – 15:10-16:00 – AC 201 I still have leftover ICA1s – Pick them up please 28 ICA2-Question 1 A relatively large amount of intraindustry trade would be associated with: – – – – A) an index of intraindustry trade close to 1.0. B) an index of intraindustry trade close to zero. C) an index of intraindustry trade of 0.20. D) a large amount of imports in a product category with few exports in the same product category. Answer: A 29 ICA2- Question 2 According to the product cycle model, comparative advantage: – A) may move from one country to another country as the product matures. – B) is based on the income level of the domestic country. – C) will remain in the country where the product is introduced. – D) is based on economies of scale. Answer: A 30 ICA 2- Question 3 Why is international trade viewed as a "second best" alternative when compared to the movement of the factors of production? – A) Being able to move the factors of production would increase world output. – B) International trade has too many problems associated with it. – C) Factors of production are cheaper and easier to acquire. – D) Resources are best used with international trade. Answer: A 31 Demand Curve for oranges The value of 2nd pound of oranges to us is €10 This is called marginal value of the 2nd pound P 10 The value of 5th pound of oranges to us is €7 7 This is called marginal value of the 5th pound D 2 5 Q 32 The same is true for demand curve for capital The value of 2nd unit of capital is €10 But what determines this value? P 10 It depends on how productive capital is 7 We are willing to pay the 2nd capital €10, because it can produce €10 of output for us. D 2 5 Q €10 is the value of marginal product of capital 33 The same is true for demand curve for capital If we end up hiring 5 capital, each unit produces up to the height of the demand curve P If we could hire capital continually, the area under the demand curve up to 5 unit of capital = total output D 5 Q 34 Figure 5.1: Output and Welfare Effects of International Capital Mobility US is capital abundant Total output in the US = a + b India is capital scarce Return to Capital, U.S. Return to Capital, India Sk Sk R a a’ Total output in India = a’+ b’ E’ I RU E S DUS b’ b DINDI A Capital Stock, U.S. Assumption: Supply of capital is fixed (vertical) Capital Stock, India 35 Figure 5.1: Output and Welfare Effects of International Capital Mobility Out put in US drops b+ c by ____________ Capital moves from US to India Return to Capital, U.S. Return to Capital, India Sk’ Sk Sk R e RUS’ RU F d I c RI ’ E DUS S a b e’ d’ a’ Sk’ F’ c’ E’ b’ Output in India goes up c’+b’ by ________ World out put up goes_____ DINDI A Capital Stock, U.S. Capital Stock, India 36 Figure 5.1: Output and Welfare Effects of International Capital Mobility US capital’s share of Indian output is b’ _____. Total return to capital (capital’s share of total output) in the US changes from a + b to a+d ___________ Return to Capital, U.S. Return to Capital, India Sk’ Sk Sk R e RUS’ RU F d I c RI ’ E DUS S a b e’ d’ a’ Sk’ F’ c’ India’s capital’s share of out put declined from a’+d’ to _____. a’ E’ b’ DINDI A Capital Stock, U.S. Capital Stock, India 37 Figure 5.1: Output and Welfare Effects of International Capital Mobility India’s labor’s share of out put used to be e’ _________ Now it is Us labor’s share of output used to be e e+d+c. Now it is ________. Return to Capital, U.S. Return to Capital, India Sk’ Sk Sk R e RUS’ RU F d I c RI ’ E DUS S a e’+d’+c’ _______. b e’ d’ a’ Sk’ F’ a’ c’ E’ b’ DINDI A Capital Stock, U.S. Capital Stock, India 38 Recap 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. World output went up US capital’s share of the world output went up India’s capital share of the world output went down US labor share of out put went down India’s labor share of output went up 39 The role of Government Governments restrict the free flow of foreign direct investment in several ways. – Industrial Policy A government policy designed to stimulate the development and growth of an industry. – It tends to favor local firms at the expense of foreign firms. 40