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The Capture of Morbidity Information in General Practice Douglas Fleming Director, RCGP, Birmingham Research Unit Nottingham: July 20, 2005 Content of Presentation History of morbidity surveys Purpose of morbidity surveys THE POTENTIAL OF ROUTINE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORDS FOR EPIDEMIOLOGY IN PRIMARY CARE The Weekly Returns Service SELECTED RESULTS FROM MORBIDITY SURVEYS History of morbidity surveys Deaths by cause 1851 William Farr: the establishment of the ICD-now version 10 1946 the London Sickness Survey 1956 The first national practice based morbidity survey 1971/72 and on to 1976; 1981/82; 1991/92- the 2nd 3rd and 4th surveys Regular General Household surveys since 1972 Purpose of morbidity surveys To describe disease prevalence To examine social and regional inequalities To monitor changes in prevalence and to seek for evidence of trend To study co-morbidity To examine GP workload To provide information for health service planning Electronic Medical Records Have arrived Let us ensure we use them to maximum advantage Remember we will arrive at a time when the record is uniform across primary and secondary care. Common classification systems and standardises recording protocols are needed What is the practice EMR used for? Patient Registration Patient Consultation Record Complete Prescribing Record Limited Prescribing Record (e.g. repeat prescriptions) Research Facilitator – completion of templates Accessing System for patient lists Quality Assurance Epidemiology EMR for epidemiology If you focus on EMR for epidemiology you can achieve all the other functions. Conversely if your primary focus is on any other purpose you may exclude the possibility of use for epidemiological research. The EMR is a filing cabinet containing medical information Everything put in it can be retrieved But if we want to retrieve information readily we must put in in an orderly fashion. Example patient record Abdominal Pain for 3 days, radiation to RIF, Vomiting 24 hours, pain increasing. No diarrhoea and no urinary symptoms. O/E tender RIF, no guarding, t.38.0o C Urine no protein, no sugar, no blood. Rectal examination not done. Patient told he may have appendicitis and hospital admission (QE) arranged. Structure record for filing and decide what you wish to analyse Subjective Abdo pain, vomiting Objective Tender RIF t 38.0oC Assessment Appendicitis Plan Admit hospital In structuring for filing, for analytical purposes, you will l lose the free text describing the negative information and qualifying details S No urinary symptoms, no diarrhoea. O Rectal examination not done, Urine no sugar. A May have appendicitis. P QE hospital All boxes need to be filled in a structured patient electronic record Essential for an accurate patient record. Free text is important. Negative and qualifying details need to be stored but not in a way that confuses analysis Sometimes you can bring data together from different consultations in order to fill every box Many episodes of illness involve only one consultation, therefore complete the assessment box at each consultation. The meaning of Asthma: an orderly record: information in the right place Recent hospital admission for asthma Had asthma as a child. Never had asthma. Reversibility test for asthma Worried about son with serious asthma. Father died of asthma. Occupational asthma. Asthma attack. Asthma review. Who does the filing? The Classification System, but you must use it properly The Read Thesaurus Is a medical terminology containing many more codes than ICD. By using Read codes, you can process the information and analyse by ICD (or ICPC) but you are able to retain a higher level of detail in your patient centred record. There are separate codes for patient complaints (presenting symptoms) and symptom diagnoses. Consultation/episode type Used to distinguish incidence from ongoing illness, but not needed for prevalence. The fact of consultation for the specified condition determines prevalence. A repeat prescription (without consultation) is sometimes an indicator of prevalence (eg. Hay fever, glaucoma) Intelligent interrogation of database needed Episode typing in use: the example of otitis media Feb 1 Feb 4 Oct 10 Oct 12 Oct19 Record= Otitis Media F Record= Otitis Media O Record= Otitis Media N Record= Otitis Media O Record= Otitis Media O 1 person = annual prevalence 2 episodes and when they occurred = incidence 5 consultations = workload The importance of episode type Much epidemiological research is concerned with the timing of events. For this type of research it is important to identify when new episodes of illness occur. For example we may be interested in the factors which precipitate asthma attacks and we need to know when patients consult with new episodes as opposed to consulting simply to renew medication or as part of routine management. The simplest episode typing must distinguish new episodes from ongoing consultations. RCGP Weekly Returns Service Weekly Returns Service (WRS) established in 1964 Fully computerised data entry and automated data extraction since 1994 Record all new episodes (and consultations) of illness (per 100,000 population) Report on a twice weekly basis (daily possible) Monitor at national, regional and practice level Age and gender specific data Now also provide annual prevalence data ASTHMA WRS and hospital admissions 1990-97 2.5 0-4 years 5-14 years 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 1 6 week WRS Admissions 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 Acute Otitis Media & Common Cold (per 100,000 All Ages) 10yr av. incidence in yrs 1991-2000 400 140 350 120 300 100 250 80 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 Cold (All Ages) OM (all Ages) Incidence of influenza-like illness: Virus isolations in sentinel networks 1996/97 England/Wales Incidence rate The Netherlands FluA FluB Incidence Baseline Confidence interval 300 250 200 Virus isolates 30 25 20 150 15 100 10 50 5 0 0 37 41 45 49 1 5 9 13 17 19 37 41 45 49 1 Week From Fleming DM. Zambon M, Bartelds AIM, de Jong JC. The duration and magnitude of influenza epidemics: European Journal of Epidemiology 15: 467-473 1999 5 9 13 17 19 Episodes, Admissions and Deaths For Respiratory disease (Age 75+) 45000 4000 40000 3500 35000 3000 30000 2500 25000 2000 20000 1500 15000 1000 10000 500 5000 0 age group (years) excess admissions excess bed days 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 0 number of excess bed days 4500 15-19 number of excess admissions Figure 5: Average excess admissions and excess bed days by age group, 1989/90 to 2000/01 Acute bronchitis: weekly incidence in 0-4 and 65+ age groups by winter weeks in alternate years 1995-2002 1200 1000 65+ years 800 600 400 200 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 rate per 100,000 0-4 years week 1995/96 1997/98 1999/00 2001/02 1400 1400 1200 1200 1200 1200 1000 1000 1000 1000 800 800 800 800 600 600 600 600 400 400 400 400 200 200 200 200 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 0 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 RSV w eek Bronchitis 1400 1400 1400 1200 1200 1200 1200 1000 1000 1000 1000 800 800 800 800 600 600 600 600 400 400 400 400 200 200 200 200 0 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 w eek 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 RSV reports 1400 bronchitis incidence rate per 100,000 RSV reports w eek 4 0 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 w eek 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 bronchitis incidence rate per 100,000 0 bronchitis incidence rate per 100,000 1400 RSV reports 1400 bronchitis incidenc rate per 100,000 RSV reports Weekly incidence of acute bronchitis contrasted with RSV reports from the Health Protection Agency: winter weeks from selected years 1996/97 - 1999/00 Acute Respiratory Infections 1000 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 800 600 400 200 0 94 95 96 97 98 99 Year (1994-2000) Ac. Resp Inf Presc 00 N of Precps (millions) Mean weekly incidence of acute respiratory infections vs antibiotic prescriptions 800 50 700 45 Antibacterial prescriptions (x 1,000,000) Consultation rate per 1,000 Respiratory illness and antibiotic prescribing 40 600 35 500 30 400 25 300 20 15 200 10 100 5 0 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Year Antibacterial prescriptions Upper respiratory tract infection Lower respiratory tract infection Combined 2003 INFECTIONS OF SKIN & SUBCUTANEOUS TISSUE Mean weekly incidence rate by Gender 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 04 03 02 FEMALE 01 00 99 98 97 96 95 94 MALE Prostate and Breast Cancer Prevalence per 10,000 by age and gender 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0-1 1-4 5- 15- 25- 45- 65- 75+ 0-1 1-4 5- 15- 25- 45- 65- 75+ 14 24 44 64 74 14 24 44 64 74 NL - Male Eng - Male NL - Female Eng - Female Benign Prostatic Hypertrophy Prevalence per 10,000 by age and gender 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0-1 1-4 5- 15- 25- 45- 65- 75+ 0-1 1-4 5- 15- 25- 45- 65- 75+ 14 24 44 64 74 14 24 44 64 74 NL - Male Eng - Male NL - Female Eng - Female WRS; Influenza vaccination uptake 2003 compared with 2002 70 60 50 40 0-44 (2002) 0-44 (2003) 45-64 (2002) 45-64 (2003) 65-74 (2002) 65-74 (2003) 75+ (2002) 75+ (2003) 30 20 10 0 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Summary Computer storage of medical records is replacing paper records. The computer is a filing cabinet, but you need a good filing system. Disciplined data capture is at the heart of a good record whether for routine patient management of for epidemiological research. The classification system does the filing. Select it carefully according to your purpose and collaborators. Be wary of mapping programmes across classifications. SOAP is a good structure on which to base your recording but if you want to concentrate your analysis on one or two of these boxes you must make appropriate entries in every box at every consultation including home visits. Episode typing is needed to study seasonality for contemporary surveillance.