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ECOLOGY A New View of Species Extinction Comparing the Value of Two Marine Mammal Species Kali Pruss ‘14 W e all hear about climate change, species extinction, and impending environmental collapse. We see commercials, books, and films dedicated to inspiring action to save endangered species. However, species preservation is not as simple as human goodwill – investing in saving a species is an economic investment as well. With the number of endangered species climbing each year, it is not economically plausible to pour money into saving every single endangered species (1). Many intelligent mammal species receive more attention than declining plant or insect species. For example, whales have a “unique place in conservation lore” – they have become a symbol of humanity’s capacity for greedy overharvest (2). People also simply find them fascinating; whales have become the subject of successful commercial movies, such as Free Willy, and literature, such as Moby Dick. We speak of “saving the whales”, but is it reasonable to attempt to do so? Given two marine mammal species, would one be more valuable to save? Based on ecologic, economic, and intrinsic value and the potential for reestablishment, would killer whales or blue whales be more worthwhile to sustain? We may ask, “What difference will it make if sharks or whales disappear?” It is estimated that the ocean holds ten million species–what’s the big deal with losing one or two (3)? Some scientists believe that “many species, perhaps most, do not seem to have any conventional value at all, even hidden conventional value” (4). Others think that biological diversity, the number, variety and variability of living organisms in a given assemblage is the key to life as we know it and “holds the world steady” (3, 5). Whales are some of the most voracious consumers in the oceans due to their great abundance and their large metabolic demands; thus, they have the potential to play an ecologically significant role in marine ecosystems as important consumers in food webs. Additionally, their carcasses can support more than 350 species for 80 years (2). However, in his book The Future of Life, Wilson argues that every time humanity entered a virgin environment, most of the megafauna soon vanished (6). Humans routinely eat their way down the food chain: Native Americans quickly hunted North America’s largest mammals, such as the Wooly Mammoth and the Giant Sloth, to extinction. If megafauna vanish often, would the disappearance of whales, or one species of whale, matter? What are the ecological impacts of killer whales and blue whales independently? Killer whales have a large impact on their ecosystems. Bioenergetic analyses have been used to assess the caloric needs of average-sized whales. A 2,800-kilogram female requires 193,000 kilocalories per day; a 4,733-kilogram male requires 287,000 Image courtesy of Peter Nijenhuis. Orcas, also known as killer whales, play an important in eco-tourism and the entertainment industry as the symbol of SeaWorld’s “Shamu” business. 18 Dartmouth Undergraduate Journal of Science Fig. 1: A simplified version of the Antarctic food chain. Krill provides the basic resource for many large mammals (10). kilocalories per day (2). Because orcas are top predators in the food chain, a cascade of effects may reverberate through their ecosystem, often negatively impacting the species below them. One example of this is from hunting of whales in Western Alaska, which led to orcas switching their primary prey to sea otters. Increased predation by killer whales led to decline in sea otter populations (2). Sea otters feed on sea urchins, so the urchin population exploded with increased killer whale predation. The increased sea urchin populations have deforested many kelp beds. The otter’s key role in the ecosystem was essentially eliminated by killer whale predation (7). Kelp forests are one of the most diverse and productive ecosystems in the world, and deforestation has profound and lasting impacts on many species (7, 8). Whale hunting led to killer whales having a negative impact on their ecosystems. Blue whales, on the other hand, have a less dramatic impact on their ecosystems. The largest animal on the planet, blue whales also have high metabolic demands. Blue whales require between four and eight tons of food per day (9). However, blue whales feed almost exclusively on krill, a small shrimp-like invertebrate. Krill abundance is crucial to blue whale populations. However, many other whale species also feed on krill as their main food resource (10). As other whale populations increase, krill population levels decrease, and as krill abundance decreases, blue whales may suffer. Commercial fleets also harvest krill and may also compete with blue whales for the resource (10). However, because FALL 2011 krill is widely abundant and has a relatively stable population, a decrease or increase in blue whale population will have relatively little effect on krill populations and the ecosystem as a whole. Krill have more predators than just blue whales, as shown in Fig. 1. The size of blue whale populations affects krill population sizes less than vice versa. Similar to the debated importance of biodiversity in terms of the health of ecosystems, the economic value of biodiversity is controversial. Many argue that a true value cannot be placed on the worth of biodiversity. Other economists calculate the total value of a species as the components that arise from current use and expected future use (4). “Use” may be commercial or noncommercial, such as the need for raw materials, aesthetic satisfaction or personal experiences. Determining the economic value of a species is anthropocentric because humans assign the values of what is “worthwhile” and utilitarian because different characteristics of a species count to the extent that people want them to (4). Whales may be economically valuable in many ways. Tourist activities, such as whale watching, yield high revenue in many countries. Countries around the world that have invested in whale watching currently host 13 million whale-watchers per year (11). Starting whale-watching industries in countries that do not yet have them could generate an additional 413 million dollars and 5,700 jobs. Doing so would increase total benefits from whale-watching to over 2.5 billion dollars per year at 19,000 jobs globally (11). Killer whales are important in eco-tourism and the entertainment industry. Every year, thousands of people travel to the Pacific North Coast Integrated Management Area (PNCIMA) for opportunities to see orcas in the wild. The overall economic value of killer whales to the whale watching industry is millions of dollars per year (12). Expenditures per person per day on eco-tourism for killer whales were 472 dollars in 1986 and 530 dollars in 1989 (13). SeaWorld has turned the killer whale image into a multi-million dollar brand. “Shamu” is SeaWorld’s largest business and the company owns more killer whales than anyone else in the world (14). Blue whales yield less annual revenue than killer whales. Expenditures per person per day on eco-tourism for blue whales in 1986 and 1989 were only between 62.50 and 70.40 dollars (13). Blue whales are not used in the entertainment industry and are the subject of fewer whale-watching expeditions due to their lower densities than orcas. In his 1973 paper “Profit Maximization and the Extinction of Animal Species,” Colin Clark argues in favor of the economic value of the total extermination of blue whales (16). In historical human exploitations of various populations, Clark points out that a characteristic pattern occurs. As harvests expand, exploitation increases, fears are expressed for the survival of the population and associated industry, and conservation measures are considered, and sometimes implemented. However, it is a reasonable possibility that the owner of a resource would want to maximize the present value of harvest (and discount the future revenues by doing so). According to Clark, it is economically preferable to kill every blue whale in the ocean and to reinvest the profits in growing industries rather than wait for the long-lived species to recover to the point of sustainable annual harvest. It is impossible to assign a true value to the intrinsic worth of a species but still important to consider when determining a species’ worth. According to Earle, most people feel immense goodwill toward dolphins, whales, and other marine mammals (3). The high revenue that comes from killer whale eco-tourism is a result of the powerful aesthetic and intrinsic value humans hold for killer whales (12). Humans value orcas’ social behavior, intelligence, 19 and strength (12). Killer whales are highly protective of their young, and other adolescent females in a pod often assist mothers with infant care (9). Killer whales are the largest of the dolphins and are one of the world’s most powerful predators. Our fascination with these creatures is evident in our portrayal of them in literature throughout history: killer whales have been the subject of ancient mythological stories and current popular films as vicious monsters or as man’s best friend. Humans value blue whales for different reasons than they value orcas. Blue whales are the largest animals to ever inhabit the earth. They are as long as approximately three school buses (70 to 90 feet) and weigh between 200 and 300 thousand pounds. The blue whale has a heart the size of a small car and a tongue that weighs as much as an elephant (9, 15). These creatures leave us in awe. However, we know relatively little about blue whales. Unlike killer whales, they usually travel alone or in pairs and can hear each other from up to 1,000 miles away (9). Their relatively low densities make it difficult for researchers to learn about their migration patterns and life histories. Blue whales not only represent a marvel as the world’s largest animal, but also present a potentially interesting or important opportunity to learn more about ocean organisms and ecosystems. Killer whales have never been hunted extensively by humans and as of yet are not considered “endangered”, but “threatened” (9). Second to humans, they are the most widely distributed species in the world (17). They are not restricted to specific regions, a frequent characteristic of endangered species. Minimum worldwide abundance estimates of killer whales are around 50,000 individuals (2). Blue whales, on the other hand, are a highly endangered species. Their numbers have dropped significantly due primarily to whaling in the 20th century. Of the 5,000 blue whales which inhabited the North Pacific, only 1,200 are left; only a few hundred reside in the North Atlantic, and of the 20,000 blue whales in the Southern Hemisphere, only 9,000 remain, half of which are pygmy blue whales (18). Because of their “preciously low numbers”, blue whales are especially vulnerable to habitat degradation and 20 reduction of their main food source, krill. According to the Save the Whales foundation, due to the amount of time it takes for blue whales to grow and reproduce, it may be too late for their recovery despite all efforts to save them (18). Moreover, many blue whales have trouble finding mates due to their low densities. Mori and Butterworth claim that after their protection in Antarctica, the blue whale population there experienced an 8 percent per year increase (10). However, Save the Whales asserts that even though a few populations are increasing slightly, overall, their numbers are too small for recovery (19). While blue whales are a biological marvel and present possible research opportunities, killer whales have a greater economic benefit and will be easier to sustain. The loss of blue whales is likely to have relatively low ecological impact, and they may be beyond saving already. The already low economic revenue from blue whales would decrease greatly from the amount of resources that would be invested in the conservation of this species, as they may already be beyond saving. Although killer whales currently have many negative impacts on their ecosystems, humans could potentially change killer whales’ primary prey again by trophic manipulation to benefit the ecosystem. For example, since we know killer whales’ predation on otters caused the elimination of many kelp forests, introducing a new source of prey for killer whales could allow kelp forests to recover. Of course, we do not truly face an ultimatum between these two species, and Many would never advocate allowing the extinction of blue whales. However, this type of model can reveal a way of thinking about conservation that more traditional approaches would overlook. Most conservationists only consider each species’ intrinsic value and seek to restore every species to a sustainable abundance. While considering intrinsic value is important, this approach may not be practical. Taking a more holistic view by considering the benefit a species has to its ecosystem, to humans, and the amount of human resources which would be required for the species’ recovery may present a method which is difficult to accept but most pragmatic. References 1. J. Shogren et al., Conserv. Biol. 13, 1257-1261 (1999). 2. J. Estes et al., Whales, Whaling and Ocean Ecosystems (Berkeley: University of California Press, Berkeley, CA, 2006). 3. S. Earle, The World is Blue: How Our Fate and the Ocean’s are One (National Geographic, Washington D.C., 2009). 4. E. Wilson, Ed., Biodiversity (National Academy Press, Washington D.C., 1988). 5. D. Pearce, D. Moran, The Economic Value of Biodiversity (Routeledge, London, UK, 1994). 6. E. Wilson, The Future of Life (Random House, Inc., New York, NY, 2002). 7. J. Estes, M. Tinker, T. Williams, D. Doak, Science 282, 473-476 (1998). 8. R. Steneck et al., Environ. Conserv. 29, 436-459 (2002). 9. National Geographic, Animals (2011). Available at http://animals.nationalgeographic. com/animals (May 2011). 10. M. Mori, D. Butterworth, Af. J. Mar. Sci. 26, 245-259 (2004). 11. A. Cisnero-Montemayor, U. Sumaila, K. Kaschner, and D. Pauly, Mar. Policy [in press], 1-6 (2010). 12. David Suzuki Foundation, Killer Whales (2011). Available at http://www.davidsuzuki.org/ issues/oceans/science/marine-planning-and conservation/killer-whales (May 2011). 13. L. Pendleton, J. Rooke, Understanding the Potential Economic Impact of Marie Wildlife Viewing and Whale Watching in California: Executive Summary (2006). Available at http:// www.dfg.ca.gov/mlpa/pdfs/binder3dii.pdf (May 2011). 14. Associated Press, SeaWorld’s Shamu shows resume today (2010). Available at http:// www.nhregister.com/articles/2010/02/27/news/ c6seaworld.txt (May 2011). 15. The Marine Mammal Center, Blue Whale (2011). Available at http://www. marinemammalcenter.org/education/marinemammal-information/cetaceans/blue-whale.html (May 2011). 16. C. Clark, J. Polit. Econ. 81, 950-961 (1973). 17. Sea World, Animals: Killer Whales (2011). Available at http://www.seaworld.org/animalinfo/info-books/killer-whale/index.htm (May 2011). 18. Save the Whales, Blue Whale Info (2008). Available at http://www.blue-whale.info/Save_ the_Whales.html (May 2011). 19. Save the Whales, Blue Whale: Balaenoptera musculus (2011). Available at http://www.savethewhales.org/blue.html (May 2011). Dartmouth Undergraduate Journal of Science