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Course Syllabus: MAT 210 – Probability and Statistics Fall Semester 2005, Section 2 Instructor: Ulrich Hoensch, Ph.D. E-mail: [email protected] Office: Bair 115 Office Phone: (406)-657-1126 Office Hours: Monday, Wednesday 10:40-11:40 a.m., Tuesday, Thursday 2:15-3:15 p.m., and other times by appointment Credits: 3 Semester Hours Class Meetings: Tuesday, Thursday 9:20-10:35 a.m. Class Room: Bair 104 Class Web Page: http://www.rocky.edu/~hoenschu/FS_2005/MAT210/Section2/main.html Course Description: A non-calculus based study of discrete probability theory and its statistical applications. Use of permutations and combinations in computing probability of discrete events. Distribution theory and its applications in hypothesis testing and setting confidence intervals. Prerequisite: MAT100 or satisfactory score on a placement exam. Rationale: MAT 210 can be used to fulfill part of Rocky Mountain College’s Mathematics General Education Requirement; it is a highly recommended course for students majoring in sciences requiring data collection or analysis. MAT 210 will assure that students in the teacher education program will be knowledgeable in the fields of data analysis, mathematical probability and statistics (the course provides content knowledge in mathematics, as indicated in the RMC Teacher Education Program Conceptual Framework). Texts: 1. Class Notes for MAT 210, Fall Semester 2005 (required). 2. Bluman, Elementary Statistics, A Brief Version, McGraw Hill (recommended, not required). Calculator: A calculator is required; calculators on cell phones or similar devices may not be used. Course Objectives: At the completion of MAT 210, students will be able to: 1. organize and graphically represent data; 2. compute sample statistics such as the mean, median, variance and standard deviation; 3. use counting techniques, including permutations and combinations, to compute probabilities of discrete events; 4. model real-world situations using both discrete random variables and normal distributions; 5. compute confidence intervals for population parameters, such as the mean and the standard deviation; 6. perform hypothesis testing for population parameters, including one- and two-sample tests, and formulate convincing arguments using inferential statistical methods; 7. collect and analyze real-world data, and convincingly present results using the appropriate statistical vocabulary; 8. correctly perform linear regression analysis; 9. critically assess the virtue and validity of statistical methods and recognize the limitations and inappropriate use of statistics. Methods of Evaluation: Students will be evaluated based on the following evidence. Tests, in-class and homework assignments. Attendance record, timeliness, the amount of courtesy and respect extended towards fellow students and the instructor. Level of academic and personal honesty and integrity. Criteria for Grade Assignment: To receive a passing grade, a student must show evidence that she/he is able to successfully perform the tasks laid out as course objectives (see above). Furthermore, students must attend all class meetings, arrive on time and exhibit appropriate classroom and social behavior. More specifically, a student is required to have accrued at least 60% of possible points to meet these criteria (see below). In addition, all submitted work must be the student’s own work, or if it is not, names of sources or collaborators must be identified. Possible points will come from: 3 one-hour, in-class tests, each worth 100 points; here students must submit only their own work, by using only a graphing calculator, and other explicitly permitted material; the final exam, which is worth 200 points; here students must submit only their own work, by using only a graphing calculator, and other explicitly permitted material; several in-class assignments, or homework assignments, worth a total of 200 points; This amounts to a total of 700 possible points. The following grading scale will be used to assign grades. A: 90%, or more B: 80 – 89% C: 70-79% D: 60-69% F: less than 60% of possible points. Instructional Methods and Experiences: This is a small-class lecture with occasional in-class practice sessions. Student participation in the lecture is encouraged, group work is encouraged for the in-class work. Study groups outside of class are strongly recommended. However, completion of homework assignments must be done independently by each student. Class Policies: Students are required to attend all class meetings and complete all assignments. All homework assignments must be submitted at the beginning of class on the due date. All in-class assignments, including tests and exams, must be completed in the time allotted by the instructor. All work on tests and exams must be the student’s own work, and may only be obtained through the use of allowed tools. Homework assignments must be completed independently by each student. Tests and exams may only be made up if the instructor is notified in advance of qualified absences. Qualified absences are limited to the following: (a) activities connected with Rocky Mountain College programs; (b) grave illness (in which case a doctor’s note is required); (c) a family or personal emergency, or due to force majeure. In cases (b) and (c) above, students may be excused from assignments if they notify the instructor immediately after their absence. College Academic Policies: Students must abide by all Academic Integrity Policies of the College. See http://academics.rocky.edu/index.php?topgroupid=2&groupid=32 for details. State and National Standards Matrix — The teacher education program of Rocky Mountain College uses INTASC standards and Montana Board of Education standards as guidelines for the education of our pre-service teachers. INTASC Standards N/A N/A Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions Montana Board of Education Standards 10.58.518 (1)(a): (iii) 10.58.518 (1)(a): (v),(ix),(xi) 10.58.518 (1)(h): (i) Course objectives which meet these standards 9 4, 7 4 Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Data and its Power Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Investigation through Data Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Data Representation Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Analysis and Interpretation of Data Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Inference Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Probability Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Predicting Outcomes Based on Probabilities Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Random Variables Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Descriptive and Inferential Statistics Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Probability Theory Principle #1: Statistics and Probability :: Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions Principle #1: Discrete Mathematics :: Counting Techniques 10.58.518 (1)(f): (i) 1, 7, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (i) 1, 7, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (i) 1, 2, 7, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii),(iii),(v) 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (iii),(v) 5, 6, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii) 3, 4 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii),(iv) 3, 4, 9 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii) 4 10.58.518 (1)(f): (i),(ii),(iii),(v) 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii),(iii) 3, 4 10.58.518 (1)(f): (ii) 3, 4 10.58.518 (1)(h): (ii) 3 Course Schedule: MAT 210 – Probability and Statistics Fall Semester 2005 Note: This is an approximate schedule; changes will be announced in class. Day Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Date August 23 August 25 August 30 September 1 September 6 September 8 September 13 September 15 September 20 Topics First Day of Class; 2.1, 2.2, 2.3 2.4, 3.1, 3.2 3.3, 3.4, 3.5 4.1, 4.2 4.3 5.1, 5.2, 5.3 5.3, 5.4 Review for Test 1 Test 1 Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Thursday Tuesday Tuesday Thursday TBA September 22 September 27 September 29 October 4 October 6 October 11 October 13 October 18 October 25 October 27 November 1 November 3 November 8 November 10 November 15 November 17 November 22 November 29 December 1 TBA 5.5, 5.6 6.1, 6.2, 6.3 6.4 7.1, 7.2, 7.3 7.4 7.5 Review for Test 2 Test 2 8.1, 8.2 8.3 8.4 9.1, 9.2 9.3 9.4 Review for Test 3 Test 3 10.1, 10.2 Chapter 11 12.1, 12.2 Final Exam in Bair 104