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FRONTIERS OF ENTPEPRENEURSHIP RESEARCH 1988 Proceedings of the Eighth Annual Babson College Entrepreneurship Research Conference. Sponsored by Center for Entrepreneurial Studies Babson College Wellesley, Massachusetts 02157 and Co-sponsored by New Venture Development Faculty of Management The University of Calgary Calgary, Alberta, Canada Edited by BRUCE A. KIRCHHOFF Babson College WAYNEA.LONG The University of Calgary W. ED McMULLAN The University of Calgary KARL H. VESPER University of Washington WILLIAM E. WETZEL, Jn. Babson College C Babson College 1988 SUMMARY NEW CONCEPTS IN ENTREPRENEURIAL TESTING Authors Norbert Szyperski Heinz Klandt Address University of Cologne Projektbereich Gruendungsforschung D-5000 Koeln 41, West Germany (0049) 221-470-4316 (0049) 6597-3837 Principal Topics Classical approaches of entrepreneurial testing are related to personal characteristics like demographia, needs, motivations, traits, etc. During the last ten years we have done some empirical work at the Cologne University in the field of researching for the personal traits of entrepreneurs comparing our German population with the results of US and other international studies. We also have intensified the research of factors related to the micro-social environment of the entrepreneur (family, incubators). The paper-starts with an overview of our related results. But only a limited degree of statistical variance can be explained that way. Some psychologists have shown alternative approaches in the similar field of vocational testing (personnel-selection), using, for example, biographical questionnaires, in-baskettests or -which is rather new also for personnel-testingcomputer-simulation of real world systems. Looking for alternative approaches in entrepreneicial testing, we first used biographical questionnaires, which'jeemed to be interesting because of the quality of the data (hard data) they are based on, and because biographical questionnaires are successfully used in loosing practical problems of personnel- 66 selection; they explain a considerable part of the statistical variance of vocational performance. Since two years we have been working yet in another field by developing a business-simulation-game for entrepreneurial testing purposes which is now finished with a 360 KByte Pascal source code; it is named "EVa". An English language version is in preparation. In this complex computer-simulation of the start-up and early developmental stage of a software firm, the subject (i.e., real or potential new business founders) has to practice entrepreneurial decisions. Therefore, the experimenter is able to observe entrepreneurial behavior of the subject in a quasi experimental environment, and the computer registrates each action of the subject and the resulting development of the simulated firm. Method and Data Base Our research is based on a panel sample of 238 potential and actual entrepreneurs, which were recruited when participating on entrepreneurial seminars or were ordering a planning help for new business founders. First data were picked up in the seminars in 1981. By the first questionnaire we used in the seminars and two other mailed questionnaries in 1982 we collected demographical, motivational, personality and personal situation variables (micro-social environment) as well as indicators of entrepreneurial performance. In 1984 we repeated the measurement of success-indicators to have a longer performance time. In 1986 we again collected data of entrepreneurial performance and added a biographical questionnaire with about two hundred biographical items. We started our pretests with the business-simulation game in late 1987 with MBA students, and are continuing the data collection of different groups of potential and real entrepreneurs. We plan to use also some of the subjects of the panel mentioned above. We focus especially on the correlation between one's entrepreneurial success in the real world and the success the same person reaches when playing with our simulation model. Major Findings The following results are related to 179 potential and real German entrepreneurs from the panel sample mentioned above. In the traditional field of entrepreneurial mot2.~ations and personality most of the German results correspond to those found in the U.S.A.; this is true for n-ach, n-risk, n-indep., locus of c., as factors influencing entrepreneurial activities. Even though we do have some striking results in respect to the Job satisfaction and similar aspects: our German entrepreneurs 67 are more content with their last Job then are potential entrepreneurs and are positively (through, for example, inheritance of wealth; not negatively through Job loss or similar events) displaced. It is also striking that German entrepreneurs are more likely to come from employers with 100 and more employees than could be statistically expected. For 49 entrepreneurs of the above mentioned Cologne panel study we got performance data in terms of turn over; Table 1 gives a summary of our results. Referring to the biographical questionnaire 36 entrepreneurs of our panel were ranked along their personal income; we have found a surprisingly high spearman rank correlation between the 68 height of income and the total score of the biographical questionnaire (rho-.86). Even the sample was small and may be rather homogeneous an explained part of variance of nearly 80% seems to be remarkable. When splitting into quartile-groups of income, there is a high significant difference between the biographical scores of the extremal groups: The most successful group scores to an average (mean) of 213 points while the less successful group scores to 120 points only. When differentiating into 8 subscores all of them show a clear cut between the extreme quartile groups of success. With regard to intelligence (here: reasoning), there appears to be no significant correlation with business success (see Table 1). This should come as no surprise since standard psychological tests are not good predictors generally of occupational success. The attributes typically measured are seldom relevant to the problems which are found in qualified vocational work situations and where the conteXt is the formation of a new enterprise such tests are even less likely to be appropriate. Business problems tend to be opaque, complex, interrelated, unstructured and uncertain and they often demand the definition of goals and an active search for information. This kind of intelligence seems not possible to be measured using conventional tests and this leads to the conceptualization of simulation games as instruments of entrepreneurial testing. Our empirical work in this field is not yet finished; until now we have played Ehe game with atout 70 subjects in between are 10 entrepreneurs. We will pretent first results of the empirical validity of the new test instrument "EVa" on the Babson 1988 conference. 69 height of income and the total score of the biographical questionnaire (rho-.86). Even the sample was small and may be rather homogeneous an explained part of variance of nearly 80% seems to be remarkable. When splitting into quartile-groups of income, there is a high significant difference between the biographical scores of the extremal groups: The most successful group scores to an average (mean) of 213 points while the less successful group scores to 120 points only. When differentiating into 8 subscores all of them show a clear cut between the extreme quartile groups of success. With regard to intelligence (here: reasoning), there appears to be no significant correlation with business success (see Table 1). This should come as no surprise since standard psychological tests are not good predictors generally of occupational success. The attribute's typically measured are seldom relevant to the problems which are found in qualified vocational work situations and where the context is the formation of a new enterprise such tests are even less likely to be appropriate. Business problems tend to be opaque, complex, interrelated, unstructured and uncertain and they often demand the definition of goals and an active search for information. This kind of intelligence seems not possible to be measured using conventional tests and this leads to the conceptualization of simulation games as instruments of entrepreneurial testing. Our empirical work in this field is not yet finished; until now we have played the game with about 70 subjects in between are 10 entrepreneurs. We will present first results of the empirical validity of the new test instrument leEVa't on the Babson 1988 conference. 69 height of income and the total score of the biographical questionnaire (rho=.86). Even the sample was small and may be rather homogeneous an explained part of variance of nearly 80% seems to be remarkable. When splitting into quartile-groups of income, there is a high significant difference between the biographical scores of the extremal groups: The most successful group scores to an average (mean) of 213 points while the less successful group scores to 120 points only. When differentiating into 8 subscores all of them show a clear cut between the extreme quartile groups of success. With regard to intelligence (here: reasoning), there appears to be no significant correlation with business success (see Table 1). This should come as no surprise since standard psychological tests are not good predictors generally of occupational success. The attributes typically measured are seldom relevant to the problems which are found in qualified vocational work situations and where the context is the formation of a new enterprise such tests are even less likely to be appropriate. Business problems tend to be opaque, complex, interrelated, unstructured and uncertain and they often demand tihe definition of goals and an active search for information. This kind of intelligence seems not possible to be measured using conventional tests and this leads to the conceptualization of simulation games as instruments of entrepreneurial testing. Our empirical work in this field is not yet finished; until now we have played the game with about.70 subjects in between are 10 entrepreneurs. We will present first results of the empirical validity of the new test instrument "EVa" on the Babson 1988 conference. 69