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Biodiversity II: patterns of species diversity Bio 415/615 Questions 1. What are 2 possible reasons the tropics have more species than temperate and polar regions? 2. What does it mean that biodiversity patterns are ‘scale dependent’? 3. How do we estimate the total number of world’s species? 4. What are two reasons species richness goes up when you sample a larger area? # of Described Species • • • • • • • • • • Insecta Plantae Other Arthropods Mollusks Fungi Protozoa Algae Fish Flatworms Roundworms 751,000 248,428 123,151 50,000 46,983 30,800 26,900 19,056 12,200 12,000 • • • • • • • • • Annelida Birds Coelenterata Reptiles Echinoderms Sponges Monera Amphibians Mammals 12,000 9,040 9,000 6,300 6,100 5,000 4,760 4,184 4,000 How many species are there? How do we know? Take what we do know, project it to include things we don’t • Example 1: species-area curves • Example 2: body size • Example 3: sub-sampling Gross (and Biased) Underestimates • Estimates range from 2 to 100 million species (1.4 million described) • New species being discovered • Strong biases in counts – 1980: study of 19 trees in a tropical rainforest • 1200 species of beetles • 80% previously undescribed • Likely 6 to 9 million species of arthropods – 1 sq m tropical forest: • 200,000 mites, 32 million nematodes, 90 million bacteria • # of species? – Oceans: very poorly studied, especially deep sea • Estimated 1 million undescribed species from deep sea • Hydrothermal vents: 20 new families, 50 genera, 100 species Scale dependence Biodiversity patterns are sensitive to SCALE. • Just as what you see through a telescope depends on the magnification and field of view. CVS plot locations, 1988-2000 Scale-independence Pine woodlands and savannas Richness 100 10 Wet savanna Dry sandy upland Sand barrens 1 -2 -1 0 1 Log Area (m2) 2 3 Scale-dependence 100 Richness Montane rich coves 10 Spruce-fir forests 1 -2 -1 0 1 Log Area (m2) 2 3 Mechanisms 100 Species pools: Resources and Propagules Richness Montane rich coves 10 Spruce-fir forests Size / Density 1 Disturbance -2 -1 0 1 Log Area (m2) 2 3 Preston 1960, Time and space and the variation of species breeding birds tropical temperate Three phases and coexistence Shmida and Wilson 1985 Preston 1960 Hubbell 2001 Three basic reasons species richness increases with area: 1. Habitat diversity goes up (a greater range of environments are sampled, potentially including a greater array of niches) 2. Population sizes increase, leading to a lower extinction rate (from island biogeography) 3. Some species require large areas because they have large ranges or habitat requirements (e.g., large predators) Patters of species richness • Broad scale: – Latitude – Climate – Elevation • Fine scale: – Productivity – Disturbance Large-scale patterns of species richness • Known for well over a century – Joseph Banks, Johann Forester, Alexander von Humboldt, Charles Darwin, Alfred Wallace & others (many more species in the tropics) • Not well documented until mid-20th century • Major area of biogeography and ecology today Global plant diversity at large scales Latitudinal gradients in diversity measure the number of species found within bands of latitude 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 An example of a typical latitudinal gradient New World Bats 180 160 Number of species 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -80 -60 -40 Data from Lyons & Willig 1997 -20 0 Latitude 20 40 60 80 Another example, Palms of the New World 160 Number of Species 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Latitude 20 30 40 Groups that provide evidence for a latitudinal gradient in diversity: Birds Marine Gastropods Mammals Marine Bivalves Freshwater Fishes Marine Fishes Trees Corals Epiphytes Insects Many have argued that this pattern is universally true for all large taxonomic groups Many small taxonomic groups, e.g. pine trees, don’t show the expected pattern despite the fact that trees overall show the latitudinal gradient Pinaceae of North America Number of Species 50 40 Tree species: 30 U.S. and Canada ca. 679 Costa Rica 1400+ 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Latitude (5 degree bands) 70 80 Other taxonomic groups also don’t show the expected latitudinal gradient in diversity, but in each case the expected pattern is seen at a higher taxonomic level: Penguins (family) vs. Birds (Class) Seals (family) vs. Mammals (Class) Ichneumonidae (family) vs. Insects (Class) Threvidae (family) vs. Insects (Class) Explain the latitudinal gradient • There have been over 30 hypotheses What’s yours? Explanations for the latitudinal gradient in diversity: 1. Historical Perturbations – places that have been disturbed (e.g. by glaciation) may have fewer species because of A. Differential rates of extinction B. Inadequate time for species to recolonize 2. Differential rates of evolution – places with more resources or higher temperature may have faster rates of evolution A. Speciation faster then extinction B. More “evolutionary experiments” tried, and more niches filled Others: 3. Climatic Stability – stable climate may promote specialization (and speciation) and reduce extinctions 4. Harshness – harsh conditions may limit species numbers 5. Interspecific interactions – biotic interactions may promote specialization and coexistence and are more intense in the tropics 6. Habitat Heterogeneity – diverse habitat structure may permit finer subdivision of resources and greater specialization 7. Productivity/Energy – greater available energy may allow for greater numbers of species to coexist Species richness and energy Figure 2 Species–energy relationships. a, Mean monthly summer temperature (°C) and richness of breeding birds in Britain (grid cells of 10 km 10 km)33. b, Mean annual sea surface temperature and richness of eastern Pacific marine gastropods (bands of 1° latitude)10. c, Potential evapotranspiration (mm yr-1) and richness of Epicauta beetles (Meloidae) in North America (grid cells of 2.5° 2.5° south of 50° N, 2.5° 5° north of 50° N)31. And more… 8. Seasonality versus habitat heterogeneity: or, ‘why mountain passes are higher in the tropics’ 9. Land area greater in the tropics? (no) 10. Mid-domain: must be more range limits at the poles (put ranges on map at random) How do we figure this out? 1. Pose hypotheses based on existing data that can be tested by gathering more data. (cosmologists and geologists do this, too) 2. Reduce hypotheses down to mechanisms that can be experimentally addressed (e.g., rate of evolutionary diversification with microbes) How do we figure this out? 1. Pose hypotheses based on existing data that can be tested by gathering more data. (cosmologists and geologists do this, too) Generally speaking, the 2. Reduce hypotheses down to world has been too mechanisms that can be experimentally complex to give definite addressed (e.g., rate of evolutionary answers, and our tools are diversification with still toomicrobes) blunt to provide easy resolution. Across scales? Latitudinal patterns can be extended to altitude (elevation) and ocean depth Bird Species in Peru and New Guinea Local richness patterns (fine scales) • Local patterns = below a ‘region’, usually a single vegetation plot • Local patterns are nested (and thus constrained) within large-scale patterns • What varies environmentally at large scales versus small scales? = environmental texture Hump-backed model What is the x-axis? A model for local diversity Grime 1979 Local version regional richness Local richness could be set by: 1. Local processes – such as species interactions, or 2. Regional diversity and regional processes – such as dispersal limitation, or 3. Both (metapopulation perspective) Regional richness could be set by: 1. The interaction between alpha and beta diversity 2. By processes that occur at regional scales – such as rates of speciation and extinction Local Richness boundary proportional sampling ceiling Regional Richness Species in forest habitat of South Africa: mixed evidence From Lawes et al. 2000