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Economic Inequality and Social Justice –Lessons from the Northern Europe Presentation of Judy McKnight, Member of EESC, Group 11, (Employees), at the Annual meeting of the EEA Consultative Committee at Akureyri, Iceland, 3-4 May 2012 I am very pleased to have the opportunity of participating in this debate on the issues of economic inequality and social justice. What we can hopefully do in this discussion is start to dig below some of the raw statistics in this area and hear direct from our colleagues in Iceland, Norway and the other Nordic countries, about their experience of these issues and the impact of the banking failure and on-going economic crisis. In particular, how these policies have impacted on their relative success as being more equal and more socially just societies than most other developed market economies. We can then consider the lessons for the rest of the EU; perhaps especially at a time when there is increasing evidence that growing inequality stifles economic growth, yet when the social dimension of Europe is under severe threat from the austerity measures being introduced in response to the economic crisis. Austerity measures which not only further exacerbate the increase in economic inequality and further undermine the basic tenets of social justice, but measures for which there is an increasing body of evidence, are restricting economic growth, and thereby delaying further, the end of the economic crisis. I should start by putting my cards on the table and saying that, unlike my fellow panellists this afternoon, I am not an academic. My background is as a trade union official in the public sector in the UK since the early 1970s. While I have been aware in general terms that there was a growth of economic inequality in the UK over the past decades, however, I was genuinely shocked when I read an article in The Guardian in February 2011, pointing out that, since 2003, Britain had mimicked US style income inequality, with income at the very top having shot ahead such that the top 1% had swallowed 60% of income growth. It also stated that the average pay in Britain would be no higher in 2015, than it was in 2003, after taking account of inflation. Thus for most working people, their real net disposable income would not have increased for 12 years at least. It made me sit up and do a bit of digging on this subject. Certainly the research of the OECD very graphically shows that Iceland and the other Nordic countries tend to be far ahead of other countries in respect of social justice and the Nordic countries continue to have lower levels of inequality than other wealthy countries. 1 In 2011 for example, the research organisation Bertelsmann Stiftung, produced a “Social Justice in the OECD”, which included an index on Social Justice , which showed that out of 31 countries, the top 6 countries, were, in descending order: Iceland, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Finland and the Netherlands. By social justice the OECD identified 6 areas; 2 Poverty prevention; Access to education; Labour market inclusion Social cohesion and non-discrimination Health Intergenerational Justice. Its definition of social justice is as a concept that has the “aim of realising equal opportunities and life chances” and is “able to garner the consensus needed for a sustainable social market economy.” It “depends less on compensating for exclusion, than it does on investing for inclusion.” Equally, in respect of income inequality, the Nordic countries have traditionally been in a league of their own. Again to quote the OECD, “On average, the richest 10% of the population in OECD countries have 9 times more income than the poorest 10%. In Nordic countries the gap is less stark – but still the rich there have 5-6 times as much income as the poor. “ So if the Nordic Countries top one set of indices, the UK tops another. The OECD’s 2011 Report “Divided We Stand”, showed that since the mid-1970s, the UK had a greater increase in income inequality among working age people than any other wealthy country. 3 The Report showed that the annual average income of the top 10% in 2008 was 12 times higher than that of the bottom 10%; up from a ratio of 1 to 8 in 1985 and significantly higher than the average income gap in developed nations of 1 to 9. Just prior to the 2008 recession, the top 0.1% of highest earners in the UK accounted for 5% of total pre- tax income, a level of wealth hoarding not seen since the 2nd World War. In the UK at the same time as increasing their wealth, the rich have seen their taxes fall, with top marginal tax rate falling from 60% in the 1980s, to 40% in the 2000s. Having increased to 50 % in 2010, under the Labour Government, in the Conservative/Liberal Democrat Coalition Government’s latest budget, they have announced that it will revert to 45% in 2013. The OECD concludes that labour and social policies in rich nations have helped the wealthy. In Britain, although spending on pubic services increased in the past decade, benefits to the poor were worth less and taxes were less distributive. The effect was a weakening in the state’s ability to spread wealth throughout society. From the mid - 70s to the mid - 80s the tax benefit system offset 50% of the rise in income inequality, it now manages only 20%. Although the OECD Report figures stop just before the recession, experts say the trends continued into the downturn. The OECD also point out the particular implications for young people, and expresses concern that: “Youths who see no future for themselves feel increasingly disenfranchised.” 4 In the UK, research conducted by the Financial Times in March this year, based on statistics from the UK Data Archive, showed that for the vast majority of generations in the 20th century, real living standards at any age level were higher than those of the previous generations. This trend ceased in 2000, long before the economic crisis, when incomes of households headed by people in the 20s stopped rising. The growth of unemployment for young people across Europe and the EEA is a concern. Eurostat data shows Spain with the worst statistics, with a staggering 50.5% of under 25 years old unemployed, and the UK does not fare well with 22% youth unemployment, but the Nordic countries do not do all that well either in this regard. Norway is not too bad with 7.6% youth unemployment, but Iceland cannot be complacent with 15.5 youth unemployment, nor Denmark with 14.7%, Finland with 20% and Sweden with a very worrying 23.5% of under 25s unemployed. And what is interesting is that it is not just people like me with my trade union background that are shocked and concerned by these developments. Opinion polls show wide scale concern at the sharp rise in inequality. There has been an increased recognition that there is something fundamentally unfair and unjust about societies where the benefits of economic growth go to the super rich and are not shared across society. In the UK, traditionally right wing newspapers have recently led campaigns against the unfairness of the hugely excessive bankers bonuses at a time when ordinary workers are facing little if any pay rises, when welfare benefits are being slashed and yet the UK’s Government talks of “us all being in this together”. According to the OECD in almost all countries apart from the US and Japan, more than 50% of people say that inequality is too high and in the UK 65% say so. The rise in inequality led to the rise of the Occupy Movement, and by November 2011 the Occupy protests were taking place in 92 cities and 85 countries worldwide. Although authorities have cleared away many of the Occupy camps, they remain as active as ever, albeit being forced to adopt more guerrilla type tactics in their protests. So what is to be done? The OECD Report recommends that to rebalance society there should be a series of measures that focus:- 5 on job creation, on increased redistributive effects and on freely accessible and high quality public services in education, health and social care. In other words Social Justice, exactly those measures from which the rest of the world can learn from Iceland, Norway and the other Nordic Countries. Some interesting questions arise from these findings. Let me briefly address three of them:1. Whether the promotion of economic inequality has worked in helping economic growth or whether the trend to more unequal societies in recent years been a significant contributory factor in leading to the economic crisis? 2. Whether or not inequality is effective in respect of economic growth, is having such a divided society a price worth paying? 3. If there is increasing evidence that an increase in inequality is a major contributory factor behind the economic crisis, why are austerity measures being adopted that undermine social justice and make inequality greater than ever? 1) Does a growth in inequality generate economic wealth? The Austrian- American Ludwig von Mises, one of the leading economists to speak in favour of the superiority of the markets, wrote in 1955: ”Inequality of wealth and incomes is the cause of the masses’ well-being, not the cause of anybody’s distress… where there is a lower degree of inequality, there is necessarily a lower standard of living of the masses”. This view was also promoted by Keith Joseph, one of Margaret Thatcher’s right hand men, in 1976 when he said:”Making the rich poorer does not make the poor richer… The pursuit of income equality will turn this country into a totalitarian slum” Tony Blair’s Labour Manifesto of 1997 said he had “no time for the politics of envy”, changing Labour’s approach to wealth distribution. This was spelt out even clearer by Stephen Byers, a Labour Minister in 1998, when he said that “wealth creation was now more important than wealth distribution. In recent years, however, there is not only evidence that that there has been an increase in economic inequality, but also a growing school of thought that it has helped trigger the economic crisis. Stewart Lansley, in his book “The cost of inequality: Three Decades of the SuperRich and the Economy” gives three reasons for this. 6 Heavily précised, these are: 1) In most rich economies, wage enabled consumption accounts for 2/3 economic demand. If wages don’t keep up with output, consumer societies lack the capacity to consume. 2) Concentrating the proceeds of growth in the hands of a small global financial elite leads to asset bubbles. Only a tiny proportion ended up in productive investment. Instead it raced around the world in search of faster and faster returns, creating the bubbles, in property, commodities and business. 3) There has been an increased disconnect between enrichment and economic dynamism. Financier’s made money through takeovers, private equity, property and financial and industrial engineering, not from investing in the productive economy but often extracting wealth from existing companies and leading in most cases to the destruction of jobs. Similar arguments have recently been made by the Asian Development Bank in its recent report, “Asian Development Outlook 2012: Confronting Rising Inequality in Asia”. The report states that “in spite of developing Asia’s great success in raising living standards and reducing poverty, swelling income disparities threaten to undermine the pace of progress. Regional policy makers need to ensure that the benefits of growth are widely shared”. It urges Governments to tackle inequality in three ways: Aim to create productive jobs for a wide section of the population; Improve social inclusion so that access to education, health and other services are not restricted to the rich Create social safety nets to protect the poorest in society. 2) Whether or not inequality works in terms of economic growth, is having such a divided society a price worth paying? In the UK, a book called “The Spirit Level, Why Equality is Better for Everyone” , written by two academics, Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett, was published in the UK in 2009. It has had very good coverage in the UK press and has led to establishment of “The Equality Trust”, a foundation devoted to the promotion of the wider understanding of the harm caused to society from inequality. In essence, it asserts that a smaller gap between rich and poor means a happier, healthier, and more successful population. It also asserts that more economic growth will not necessarily lead to a happier, healthier, or more successful population. In 7 fact, there is no relation between income per head and social well-being in rich countries. The following graph demonstrates this assertion across a range of countries, and illustrates that countries such as Norway and Sweden have more equality and less health and social problems than more unequal countries such as the UK. 3) Why are most governments adopting austerity measures that undermine social justice and make inequality greater than ever? We are entitled to ask why most governments in Europe are adopting the current austerity measures, when there is no evidence that they are being effective. We have to assume that the measures are being adopted because of government’s political ideology, and/or, the influence exerted by the European policy makers and international institutions such as the IMF. We might also add the demands of the credit rating agencies and of course, the financial market. We might also ask: What are the implications of the austerity measures for the social dimension of the EU? 8 Or what are the implications of the austerity measures for the achievement of the Lisbon Strategy target of reducing the number of people living in poverty in the EU by 20m by 2020? Despite the Europe 2020 Strategy having the aim of “smart, sustainable and inclusive growth”, the reality is that the current austerity measures being adopted in most countries make substantial progress on “inclusive growth”, inconceivable in the foreseeable future. Perhaps again, there are lessons to be learnt from Iceland and the other Nordic countries, where the welfare, the social model, of government, has not only sought to promote economic equality and protect the poorest in society, but it has also achieved higher growth than most other European countries. Conclusion To conclude then, I will quote the Stewart Lansley again, when he said: “The lesson- for the right as well as the left- is that capitalism that shares its output proportionately between profits and wages, and fairly amongst all citizens, is not just likely to be politically more stable, it will also deliver a more productive economy, faster growth and less turbulence. A generation ago, the baton of economic philosophy was passed from the social democrats to the market theorists, with disastrous consequences. It is now time it was passed back.” References The Guardian (2011) 28 February 2011 – Interview with Clive Cowdrey of the Resolution Foundation Bertelsmann Stiftung (2011) “Social Justice in the OECD –How Do the Member States Compare? Sustainable Governance Indicators” OECD (2011) “Divided We Stand: Why Inequality Keeps Rising” Financial Times (2012) 17 March 2012, “The Jinxed Generation” Asian Development Bank (2012) “Asian Development Outlook: Confronting Rising Inequality in Asia” Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett (2009) “The Spirit Level, Why Equality is Better for Everyone “ Stewart Lansley (2011) “The Cost of Inequality: Three Decades of the Super-Rich and the Economy” 9