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May 11, 2011 9.3 Probability Sample Space: possible results of an experiment Event: subset of the sample space P(E) = # outcomes in E # outcomes in S Find the sample space for each: 1. one coin is tossed 2. two coins are tossed 3. three coins are tossed May 11, 2011 Find the probability of each event. 1. tossing a head on one toss of a fair coin 2. tossing two tails in a row on two tosses of a fair coin 3. drawing a spade from a standard deck of cards 4. rolling a four or five on one roll of a die. 5. rolling a sum of 4 on a single roll of two fair dice. May 11, 2011 Probability Distribution: each outcome is assigned a unique probability Outcome 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Probability May 11, 2011 Find the probability of rolling a sum divisible by 2 on a single roll of two fair dice. May 11, 2011 Probability Function: a fn P that assigns a real number to each outcome in a sample space, S, subject to the following conditions: 1. 0 < P(O) < 1 for every outcome O; 2. the sum of the probabilities of all outcomes in S is 1; 3. P(O) = 0 May 11, 2011 Is it possible to weight a standard 6-sided die in such a way that the probability of rolling each number n is 1 exactly ? (n2+1) Outcome 1 2 3 4 5 6 Probability May 11, 2011 Sal opens a box of two-dozen chocolate cremes and offers three of them to Val. Val likes vanilla creme the best, but all the chocolates look alike on the outside. If 11 of the 24 cremes are vanilla, what is the probability that all three of Val's picks turn out to be vanilla? May 11, 2011 Multiplication Principle of Probability: Suppose an event A has probability a and an event B has probability b under the assumption that A occurs. Then the probability that both A and B occur is ab. May 11, 2011 Using a Venn Diagram In a large high school, 43% of the students are girls and 45% of the students play sports. Half of the girls at the school play sports. a. What percentage of the students who play sports are boys? b. If a student is chosen at random, what is the probability that it is a boy who does not play sports?