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High Commission of India London (Economic & Commerce Wing) Economic & Commercial Report on the United Kingdom March 2015 Overview of UK’sEconomy Gross Domestic Product in volume terms was estimated to have increased by 0.6% between Quarter 3 (July toSept) 2014 and Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2014, revised up 0.1 percentage points from the previousestimate of GDP published in February 2015.GDP was estimated to have increased by 2.8% in 2014, compared with 2013, revised up 0.2percentage points from the previously published estimate. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) was unchanged in the year to February 2015, that is, a 12month rate of 0.0%, down from 0.3% in January.The main contributions to the slowdown in the rate came from price movements for a range ofrecreational goods (particularly data processing equipment, books and games, toys & hobbies),food and furniture & furnishings. The unemployment rate was 5.7%, lower than for August to October 2014 (6.0%) and for a year earlier (7.2%). Theeconomically active population is those in work plus those seeking and available to work.There were 30.94 million people in work, 143,000 more than for August to October 2014 and617,000 more than for a year earlier. The deficit on trade in goods and services was estimated to have been£0.6 billion in January 2015, compared with £2.1 billion in December 2014. This reflects a deficitof £8.4 billion on goods, partially offset by an estimated surplus of £7.8 billion on services.The sharp narrowing of the deficit reflects a fall of £2.5 billion in imports. Almost half of this fall(£1.2 billion) is attributed to oil imports, where trade remains volatile due to the well publicisedoil price movements. The fall in oil imports is largely from countries outside the European Union(EU). In addition there were falls in all of the main commodities imported from the EU. The Bank of England kept interest rates at 0.5% and maintained the stock of purchased assets financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion. Mergers and Acquisitions Involving UK Companies in Q4 2014 2014 saw total domestic and cross border mergers and acquisitions involving UK companies fall to the lowest numbers recorded since 1987, when ONS first published overall total M&A figures. In both Q3 and Q4 2014 total domestic and cross border mergers and acquisitions continued to report lower levels of activity than seen before the 2008-09 economic downturn. In 2014 20 completed acquisitions of UK companies made by foreign companies (inward M&A) were reported. This is the lowest quarterly figure reported since Q1 2013 when 19 acquisitions were recorded. During 2014 there were 105 acquisitions of foreign companies made by UK companies (outward M&A) compared with 58 recorded in 2013, a year-on-year increase of 81%. UK Budget 2015 – Highlights Rt Hon George Osborne, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer presented his Budget to the Parliament on March 18, 2015. Following are the highlights: The UK had the fastest growth in the G7 in 2014: The UK economy had the fastest annual growth among G7 economies in 2014, and the strongest annual growth since 2007. At the end of 2014, employment had reached its highest ever level, unemployment has been falling in every region across the UK, and inflation is at a record low.But risks still remain and there is still more to do to support businesses and boost productivity. Debt will be falling as a share of GDP in 2015-16: Debt will be falling as a share of GDP from 2015-16. This is a year earlier than forecast at Autumn Statement.By 2014-15, the deficit is forecast to have fallen by half, from 10.2% at its peak in 2009-10, to 5% in 2014-15.In 201819, the government will have a surplus (will raise more in taxes than is being spent) of £5.2 billion. The tax-free personal allowance is being increased in April 2017, to £11,000: To make work pay and ensure families keep more of the money they earn, the tax-free personal allowance – the amount people earn before they have to start paying tax – will rise to £10,800 in 2016-17, and £11,000 the year after.The increases to the personal allowance from £6475 in 2010, to £11,000 in 2017-18 will save a typical taxpayer £905.To make sure the full benefits of the personal allowance increase are passed on to higher rate taxpayers, the government will also increase above inflation the point above at which higher earners start paying 40% tax. It will increase by £315 in 2016-17, and by £600 in 2017-18 - taking it to £43,300 in 2017-18. A new Personal Savings Allowance will take 95% of taxpayers out of savings tax altogether: From April 2016, a tax-free allowance of £1,000 (or £500 for higher rate taxpayers) will be introduced for the interest that people earn on savings.If they are a basic rate taxpayer and have a total income up to £42,700 a year, they will be eligible for the £1,000 taxfree savings allowance.If they are a higher rate taxpayer and earn from £42,701 to £150,000, they’ll be eligible for a £500 tax-free savings allowance. Introducing the Help to Buy ISA – every £200 people save towards their first home, the government will put in an extra £50, up to a maximum bonus of £3000: The government has already helped people to buy a home with Help to Buy, which allows people to purchase a home with just a 5% deposit.The government is now going further. To help first time buyers save for a deposit, it is introducing a Help to Buy ISA.People will be able to open an ISA, save up to £200 a month towards their first home, and the government will boost it by 25%. That’s a £50 bonus for every £200 people save, up to £3000. People will have complete freedom to take money out of an ISA and put it back in later in the year: ISAs are being reformed so that instead of being able to put up to £15,240 in the 2015-16 tax year into an ISA in total, people can take out their money and put it back in within the same year, without losing their ISA tax benefits - as long as the repayment is made in the same financial year as the withdrawal. £1.25 billion for children’s’ mental health services: An extra £1.25 billion will be spent on mental health services for children and new mums – helping more than 110,000 people. Cancelling the fuel duty increase scheduled for September: Fuel duty will be frozen again; since 2011, the government has cut and frozen fuel duty, saving a typical motorist a total of £675 by the end of 2015-16.By the end of 2015-16 fuel duty will have been frozen for five years, resulting in the longest duty freeze in over 20 years. Cutting beer duty for the third year in a row: There will be another penny off a pint, a 2% cut for spirits and most ciders, and a freeze on duty on wine. Up to five million pensioners will be given the freedom to sell their annuity for a cash lump sum: From April 2016, people who already have an annuity will be able to now effectively sell it on, so that they too can benefit from the pension freedoms announced at last year’s Budget.Currently, people who have bought an annuity are unable to sell it without having to pay at least 55% tax on it. From April 2016, the tax rules will change so that people who already have income from an annuity can sell that when they choose and will pay their usual rate of tax they pay on income, instead of 55%. Charities will be able to claim more gift aid on small donations: The amount of small donations charities can get an extra 25% top up payment on in gift aid without needing any paperwork is increasing from £5,000 to £8,000 a year.The government expects 6,500 charities to claim in full the higher new cash boost of £2,000 a year – nearly double the current amount. Farmers will have more time to average their profits for income tax: This extends the period from two to five years, and will give farmers additional security as they typically have volatile profits due to uncontrollable factors such as the weather. We will abolish the annual tax return: Millions of individuals will have the information HMRC needs automatically uploaded into new digital tax accounts. Businesses will feel like they are paying a simple, single business tax – and again, for most, the information needed will be automatically received. Support for all regions across the UK: Working with Transport for the North, the government will look at rolling out better roads, quicker journeys and improved rail connections between the major cities of the north, as part of the government’s plan to build a Northern powerhouse.The government is also giving even more powers to local areas, with a new devolution deal for things like transport, business support and skills for West Yorkshire, and more planning powers for London.Ten Enterprise Zones across the country are also being supported to go further to create growth and jobs.The government is also working on a Cardiff city deal and opening negotiations on the Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon. Making sure banks pay their fair share: The government is increasing the rate of the bank levy (one of the taxes that banks pay) from 1 April 2015.This will raise an additional £900 million a year. Increased support for the oil and gas sector: The oil and gas sector provides highly-skilled jobs, energy security and makes a significant contribution to the UK economy.To encourage further investment in the North Sea, the government will introduce a new Investment Allowance and reduce the supplementary tax charge on oil and gas companies further, from 30% to 20%, from 1 January 2015.The rate of Petroleum Revenue Tax paid on older oil and gas fields will also be reduced from 50% to 35%.These changes are expected to increase oil production by around 15% by 2019, and drive £4 billion of new investment over the next five years. Faster broadband and better mobile networks: The government is investing up to £600 million to deliver better mobile networks, and is announcing a new ambition that ultrafast broadband of at least 100 megabits per second should become available to nearly all UK premises in the country. Introducing postgraduate research loans: Loans up to £25,000 will be available for postgraduate PHD and masters research students.The government will also conduct a review into how the government can strengthen its funding for postgraduate research. Further investment in science and innovation: Future economic success depends on future science success. The government is investing £140 million in world class research on the infrastructure and cities of the future, and £40 million in research into what is known as the Internet of Things. This is the next stage of the information revolution, connecting up everything from urban transport to medical devices to household appliances.The government is also launching a new UK research initiative into the future potential of digital currency technology, supported by a £10 million increase in funding in this area. The government will consult on a tax relief for local newspapers: Local newspapers are a vital part of community life, but they’ve had a tough time - so the government is announcing a consultation on how to can provide them with tax support. UK-India Bilateral UK-India Trade Review (in £ million) % change UK Imports from India % change 4017 +36.49 5446 2011 5488 +36.61 2012 4567 2013 Total % change India’s Balance of Trade +25.86 9463 +30.16 1429 5868 +7.74 11356 +20.00 +380 -16.78 6010 +2.41 10577 -6.85 +1443 5118 +12.06 6186 +2.92 11304 +6.87 +1068 2014 3893 -23.93 6566 +6.14 10459 -7.47 +2673 January 2015 271 +7.53 546 -1.62 817 +1.23 +275 Year UK Exports to India 2010 (Source: Office for National Statistics and Overseas Trade Statistics, HM Customs & Excise) Trade and Investment Enquiries from India: Trade and Investment Enquiries from UK: Tenders from India: 45 04 23 UK Foreign Secretary’s visit to India on March 12, 2015 Rt Hon Philip Hammond, Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs visited India on March 12, 2015 to open the new British Deputy High Commission in Chandigarh, attend the first meeting of the British Business Group, and meet with the Chief Ministers of Punjab and Haryana. During his visit, the UK Secretary also met with SmtSushmaSwaraj, Hon’ble Minister for External Affairs and ShriArunJaitley, Hon’ble Minister of Finance, Government of India. Visit of ShriArunJaitley, Hon’ble Minister of Finance, Government of India to UK during March 13-14, 2015 ShriArunJaitley, Hon’ble Minister of Finance, Government of India visited UK to unveil the statue of Mahatma Gandhi in Parliament Square, London during March 13-14, 2015. The Finance Minister was accompanied by ShriSimanchala Dash, Private Secretary and Shri Manoj Joshi, Joint Secretary, Department of Economic Affairs. An 11 member business delegation of the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) led by Dr JyotsnaSuri, President, FICCI also accompanied the Minister for various business engagements within the UK. ShriJaitley called on TRH Prince Charles, The Prince of Wales. He called on Rt Hon David Cameron, Prime Minister of the UK at No 10, Downing Street on March 14. The Hon’ble Minister earlier had a bilateral meeting with Rt Hon George Osborne, Chancellor of the Exchequer during which a number of issues with regard to the India-UK economic and financial relations were discussed. The two leaders discussed the progress made since 2010 in strengthening and deepening co-operation between Britain and India on economic and financial issues, including increased inward investment in each other’s economies. The UK has established itself as the biggest major investor in India in the G20, and India invests more in the UK than it does in the rest of the EU combined. The ministers affirmed the importance of continuing this progress in the future, building on each country’s respective strengths. Following the bilateral meeting, Mr. Osborne hosted a Breakfast Roundtable meeting at No 10, Downing Street, which was attended by prominent members of Britain’s economic and financial community. The Minister also met Rt Hon Ed Miliband, Leader of the Opposition and Rt Hon Keith Vaz MP for Leicester East. The bronze statue of Mahatma Gandhi made by the leading British Sculptor Mr Philip Jackson was unveiled in the Parliament Square, London on March 14, 2015. During the unveiling ceremony of the historic statue of Mahatma Gandhi, the Minister said, “Nobody embodies the deep and enduring connections between the world’s oldest democracy and the world’s largest democracy as well as Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi – the Mahatma – whose statue is being unveiled in Parliament Square.” “Gandhiji will find himself set permanently in stone very close to the place he occupied transiently, in flesh and blood, on his first night in London more than one hundred and twenty five years ago”. During the ceremony, Prime Minister Cameron said, “For me there are three reasons in particular why I believe this statue is so important for our country. The first is that in putting Gandhi in this famous square we are giving him an eternal home in our country. The man who turned the politically unimaginable into the politically inevitable, whose work in South Africa paved the way for Mandela and whose doctrine of Satyagraha became the inspiration for the civil rights movement across the world. Second, this statue celebrates the incredibly special friendship between the world’s oldest democracy and its largest. Finally, this statue celebrates the universal power of Gandhi’s message ‘Sab kosanmati de bhagavān’. I hope that as Gandhi takes up residence in this square at the heart of our politics and democracy that we can all be blessed with the wisdom of Gandhi today, tomorrow and for generations to come.” The unveiling ceremony was attended by Rt Hon SajidJavid, Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, Lord Meghnad Desai, Lady Desai, Indian veteran Actor Mr Amitabh Bachchan and other important dignitaries. The ceremony also featured personal reflections from Mahatma Gandhi’s grandson, ShriGopalkrishna Gandhi, former Governor of West Bengal. On the first day of his visit, the Finance Minister participated in an event on ‘Investment Opportunities in India’ hosted by the High Commission of India, the UK-India Business Council and FICCI. ShriJaitley highlighted the key outcomes of the Indian Budget 2015, focussing in particular on how the announcements would impact British business investing in India and also support the Government of India’s ‘Make in India’ initiative. He invited UK investors to take advantage of opportunities opening up rapidly in the Indian economy. The Minister also participated in a Roundtable Discussion hosted by the City of London and the London Stock Exchange with London’s leading institutional investors at the London Stock Exchange on March 13, 2015. During the discussion, Mr Xavier Rolet, CEO, London Stock Exchange Group said that London Stock Exchange has more Indian companies listed on their equity and debt markets than any other international market and also provides cutting edge technology to some of India’s leading exchanges. He added that, India’s most dynamic companies have access to the world’s largest pool of institutional investment capital here in London. The Hon’ble Minister also participated in the J.P. Morgan India Insights Luncheon Presentation on March 13, and later that day inaugurated the Union Bank of India (UK Ltd)’s subsidiary in London. British Experts on River Cleaning calls on Uma Bharti A team of experts from UK called on Smt Uma Bharti, Hon’ble Minister for water Resources, River Development and Ganga Rejuvenation to discuss Clean Ganga Mission. The three member team was accompanied by Mr.Julian Evans, British Deputy High Commissioner in India and Ms. Melissa Else, Second Secretary Energy Security. The British experts also gave a power point presentation on measures taken to clean River Thames in UK. During the discussions the Minister emphasized on the need to utilise the assets already created in Varanasi during Ganga Action Plan at the first instance so that it can be revived by July this year. Dr.Martin Griffiths, Former Head of Water Quality for the UK Environment Agency and Deputy Director of Regulation in the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, who was one of the member of the team gave a detailed account of the assets created and presently lying unutilized on the banks of Ganga at Varanasi.Dr.Griffiths was one of the experts who was associated with Ganga Action Plan-I. The other two experts were Mr.Ben Piper, Hydrologist and water resource planner from Atkins consultants and Mr. Gwyn Rees, Director, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology and Science Area Lead for water resources..SushriBharti thanked British experts and expressed the hope that her Ministry looks forward for a long and fruitful association with them in Clean Ganga Mission. Secretary of the Ministry Shri AK Bishnoi,AdditionalSecretayDr.Amarjeet Singh, Director National Mission on Clean Ganga, Shri TVSN Prasad and senior officials of the Ministry were also present during the discussions. UK clears first batch of Indian Alphonso mangoes post year-long ban The UK cleared the first batch of the premium Indian Alphonso mangoes, dispatched after lifting the ban on the fruit by the EU, this week. Two Mumbai-based exporters sent the king of the fruits after the Agricultural and Processed Foods' Export Development Agency (APEDA) gave option of vapour heat treatment (VHP) to the exporters, who were skeptical about the proposed treatment to eliminate fruit fly infestation. Sun Pharma to buy GSK's opiates business in Australia Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd, India's largest drugmaker by sales, said that it has agreed to buy GlaxoSmithKline's opiates business in Australia to strengthen its pain management portfolio.The business consists of analgesics made from raw materials found in opium poppy plants, and includes two manufacturing sites in the states of Tasmania and Victoria.Glaxo's decision to part with the opiates business comes as Tasmania's poppy industry is facing a tough crop and the United Nations is expected to cut the state's poppy crop area this week.The business employs 185 staff, including 155 in Victoria state and 30 in Tasmania state. Sun Pharma said it would hire all employees from both sites.Both companies said they expect to close the deal by August. TCS unveils teaching resources to reduce UK digital skills gap Tata Consultancy Services, India's leading IT services, has unveiled a new initiative in the UK designed to help encourage more young people into digital careers. In partnership with The Tech Partnership and MyKindaCrowd, has created a resource pack to help teachers educate young people about possible roles in the IT industry, and the steps they need to take to achieve that ambition. Tata-funded automotive research centre to come up in UK The Tata Group’s former and current chairmen, Ratan Tata and Cyrus Mistry, respectively, unveiled the foundation stone of a £150-million centre, targeting pioneering automotive research, in central England, as part of efforts to enable the UK plug its development skills gap.Funding for the National Automotive Innovation Centre has come from Jaguar Land Rover, Tata Motors and the University of Warwick, on whose campus the centre will be built, as well as from the British Government.Once built, it will provide 33,000-metre square space for 1,000 engineers, designers and academics.Facilities will include a design and simulation space, a laboratory focused on advanced propulsion systems, and a highly advanced drive-in car simulator.The centre will also be used as part of Jaguar Land Rover and Tata Motors’ research into driverless cars. Tata JLR announces mega 600 million pound investment in UK Tata Motors-owned luxury car maker Jaguar Land Rover will invest 600 million pounds in the UK as part of its expansion plans, including doubling the size of its operations at its headquarters in Coventry. The funds will be pumped into its R&D and manufacturing divisions across three JLR sites in the West Midlands region of England - Castle Bromwich Advanced Manufacturing Plant; Whitley Advanced Design and Development Centre; and the National Automotive Innovation Centre in Coventry. UK healthcare firm Bupa sees strong growth in India British private healthcare group Bupa is eager to expand quickly in India's fast-growing health insurance market, once a rule change on foreign investment is implemented, the firm's chief executive said.Bupa, which operates globally and gets 70 percent of its revenue from health insurance, said in January it planned to raise its stake to a new maximum of 49 percent in its joint venture with Max India, from the current maximum for a foreign investor in insurance of 26 percent.Bupa was the first foreign company to announce plans to raise its holding in an insurance venture after the rule change was announced in late 2014. Shell to set up global IT centre at Bengaluru Global energy giant Shell announced setting up of a global information technology centre at Bengaluru to provide IT support to all its business verticals.Shell India Markets Pvt Ltd will create the in-house centre, which is expected to provide employment opportunities for several thousand IT professionals by 2020. “The investment stems from a review of Shell’s global IT projects and selected operations support capability that places greater emphasis on delivering projects in-house,” it said, adding that the centre will form an integral part of the firm’s global IT project delivery and support network.Shell said it selected Bengaluru for its competitiveness and the availability of a skilled, diverse IT talent pool covering the broad range of skills and disciplines that the firm needs worldwide.Shell recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the Andhra Pradesh Gas Development Corporation, GDF Suez and GAIL for setting up a Floating Storage Regasification Unit (FSRU) project in Kakinada in Andhra Pradesh. ***