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1 Introduction to Economic Analysis Lesson 1. Basic Ideas Principles concerning the way people make decisions 1. People face trade offs A trade off is an alternative between different courses of action. A trade off exists because there is scarcity. If resources are scarce and I have two objectives, then the more I have of one, the less I will have of the other. 2. The true cost of something is what you give up to get it Because people face trade offs, making decisions requires the comparison of costs and benefits of alternative courses of action. Example: Costs and benefits of going to university. Opportunity cost of doing something: the cost of what you have to give up to get or to do something. 2 3. Correct economic decisions are arrived at by using marginal thinking We think at the margin when we put ourselves at the border, at the margin of our present situation, and think of the consequences (costs and benefits) of going beyond this border, of doing something additional to this present situation. Example: Problem 4 of Lesson 1 One possible answer: Total revenue from developing 3YX: 3 m€ Total cost of developing 3YX: -6 m€ Net result -3 m€ Conclusion: Suspend the development of 3YX This conclusion is wrong Correct answer: Revenue from continuing the project: Costs of continuing the project: Net result from continuing project: Conclusion: Finnish the project 3m€ -1m€ 2m€ 3 Error first answer: counting the 6 m€ as cost of continuing the development. 5 of these 6 m€ have already been spent. Nothing can be done about them. They are a bygone, a sunk cost. In fact they are not the costs (the opportunity costs) of continuing the project. Check answer is right If I follow first answer I loose 5m€ (0-5=-5) If I follow second answer I loose 3m€ (3-6=-3) 4. People respond to incentives People make decisions comparing benefits and costs. If these benefits or these costs change, the decisions also change. In other words: people respond to relative prices. If something becomes more expensive, I buy less of it; if something becomes cheaper, I buy more of it. 4 Principles concerning the interaction between agents 5. Trade can make everyone better off. 6. Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity 7. Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes Principles related to the workings of the whole economy 8. A country’s standard of living depends on its ability to produce goods and services. 9. Prices rise when the government prints too much money. 10. Society faces a short-run trade off between inflation and unemployment. 5 Two examples of models 1. The circular flow diagram Assumptions: a) The economy has two types of agents: households and firms. Households consume goods and own factors of production that they hire to firms. Firms produce goods and use (hire) factors of production (labour, land machines, etc.) b) Households and firms interact in two types of markets: - market for goods and services (in this market households buy and firms sell). - market for factors of production (in this market households sell and firms buy). 6 Spending Revenue Market for´Goods and Services Goods and services bought Goods and services sold Firms Households Labour, land, capital sold Factors for production bought Market for factors of production Wages, profits and rents Income 7 2. The production possibilities frontier (PPF) Assumptions: a) The economy produces only two goods: cars and houses. b) All factors of production are employed in the production of these two goods. c) Technological data: CARS 3500 3250 2750 2000 1000 0 HOUSES 0 100 200 300 350 375 8 Cars / year 4.000 A 3.000 F 2.000 D C E 1.000 B 100 200 300 400 Houses / year 9 Characteristics of the PPF -If all resources are used, we are at the frontier. For example, point C (2000 cars; 300 houses). -If some of the resources are not used, we are inside the frontier. For example, point D (2000;200). -Point C is called an efficient point. At C the economy can only produce more of one good by producing less of another. This is the definition of efficiency. -Point D is an inefficient point. -The slope of the PPF shows the opportunity cost of producing these two goods. cars 1000 CE 20 houses 50 At C, each additional house costs 20 cars. The opportunity costs o a house is 20 cars. -The opportunity cost is not constant along the PPF. For example, at F (going from F to C), the opportunity cost of a house is 7.5 cars. Why? -More resources, or better technology, will shift the PPF outwards.