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Course Course Number University or College Professor’s Name E-Growth Exercise #4 ( Student Name: ________________________ Section: ______________________________ points) Please limit your answers to the spaces provided. If necessary, write on the back of the page. Do not attach printout or additional pages. All questions pertain to the E-Growth module in the SimEcon® software package. Make sure that you have read the “E-Growth Manual” and “SimEcon® Operation Instructions.” These materials may be found at the Class Web site prior to beginning the exercise. For many of the exercise’s questions, it will be necessary to refer to those instructions. For many of the exercise’s questions, it will be necessary to refer to your text. Open the E-Growth Module of SimEcon®. You will see a table entitled, “Initial State of Your Society -- Generation 0.” Write down the values for the initial parameters below: Population: Real GDP: Consumption Spending: Investment Spending: Public Goods Spending: __________ __________ __________ __________ __________ Click “Continue.” You will see a table for “Social Variables”. Enter 23 years as the age of first marriage, 1.9 children and 0.12 spent on research and development. Click “Continue.” You will see a table for “Economic Variables”. Enter $13 billion for investment and $19 billion for public goods. Click “Continue.” Fill in the table below: Change in Population: Real GDP: Real GDP Per Capita: Real Capital Stock: __________ __________ __________ __________ What is real GDP? ____________________________________________________________ ________________________________________ . What is the difference between real GDP and real GDP per capita? __________________________________________________. Suppose that over a period of 10 years real GDP of a given nation doubled and the population over that same time period tripled. Would real GDP per capita increase, decrease or remain the same? ______________________________ . Which statistic is a truer measure of the real standard of living for a given nation? __________ . Given the information in the above tables, what is the percentage growth rate (or decline) of real GDP? ____________________. What is the percentage growth rate or decline of real GDP per Course E-Growth Exercise #4 Page 2 capita? ____________________. Has the standard of living improved or gotten worse or stayed the same in this nation? ____________________. How did the change in the age of first marriage affect this? __________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________ How did the change in research and development spending affect the standard of living? _____ ______________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________ How did the change in investment spending affect the standard of living ____________ ______________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________. How did the change in public goods spending affect the standard of living? __________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________. Click “Continue.” You will see a table titled, “Economic Variables.” Enter the following amounts: (1) Investment Spending -- $9 billion; and (2) Public Goods Spending -- $16 billion. Note that your values for social variables will remain the same as the last generation. Click “Continue.” Fill in the amounts for the table below: Change in Population: Real GDP: Real GDP Per Capita: Real Capital Stock: __________ __________ __________ __________ Compared to the last generation, have the amounts spent on investment and public goods increased, decreased or remained the same? __________. What is the new percentage rate of growth or decline in real GDP? (Calculate from the first generation to this one.) ____ ______ How did the changes in investment and public goods spending cause this new growth rate or decline? _________________________________________________________________ ___ ______________________________________________________________________________ Course E-Growth Exercise #4 Page 3 ______________________________________________________________________ ____ __________________________________________________________________. What is the new percentage rate of growth or decline in real GDP per capita? (Calculate from the last generation to this one.) ____________________. Why did real GDP decline while real per capita GDP increased? __________________________________________________ ______ ________________________________________________________________ Click “Reset All Variables.” You will go back to the table titled “Social Variables.” Suppose that this country enacted strict measures to control population growth and industrialize the economy. For example, China limits all couples to only one child per family. A couple will face strict legal sanctions if they try to have more than one child. Suppose also that in our nation no one was allowed to marry before a certain age. Enter these amounts for the social variables: (1) Age of Marriage -- 25 years; (2) Number of Children -- 1.75; and (3) Percentage Spent on R & D -- 0.16. Click “Continue.” Use the default variables for the economic variables: (1) Investment Spending -- $12 billion; and (2) Public Goods Spending -- $18 billion. Click “Continue.” Fill in the amounts for the table below: Change in Population: Real GDP: Real GDP Per Capita: Real Capital Stock: __________ _________ __________ _________ Compared to the last generation, what was the percentage growth rate of real GDP? __________ __________. Compared to the last generation, what was the percentage growth rate of real GDP per capita? ______________________________. Considering economic growth, would you refer to this situation as a depression, a recession, stagnation or prosperity? __________. Would you refer to this nation as impoverished, stagnant or rapid growth? ____________________ __________. Disregarding the political measures discussed earlier and considering only the rate of economic growth, which of the following five nations would provide a good example of the above situation? (1) the United States; (2) Great Britain; (3) Bangladesh; (4) South Korea; or (5) Central African Republic. __________________________________________________ ___ __ _ ______________. Click “Reset All Variables.” Now, suppose that this nation imposed even more draconian measures to increase economic growth. Enter the following social variables: (1) Age of Marriage -- 40; (2) Number of Children -- 1.75; and (3) Percentage Spent on R & D -- 0.20. Click “Continue.” Enter the following economic variables: (1) Investment Spending -- $35 billion; and (2) Public Goods Spending -- $35 billion. Change in Population: Real GDP: Real GDP Per Capita: Real Capital Stock: __________ ________ __________ _________ Course E-Growth Exercise #4 Page 4 Compared to the last generation, what was the percentage growth rate of real GDP? _______ _____________. Compared to the last generation, what was the percentage growth rate of real GDP per capita? ______________________________. Would it be correct to say that in this generation real GDP per capita almost tripled? ___ (Yes, No). Looking at the above situation, what are the major drawbacks in terms of to living in a society such as this? (Consider marriage, population growth, military power and the age distribution of the population.) __________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________. Click “Continue.” You will see the table titled “Economic Variables.” Accept the default amounts: (1) Investment Spending -- $12 billion; and (2) Public Goods Spending -- $18 billion. The social variables will remain the same. Click “Continue” to get “Generation 5 Results.” Click “Continue” two more times to get “Generation 6 Results.” This will also use the same social and economic variables. Now, click “Graph.” This will produce a graph of the economic growth of this nation over all six generations. Draw this graph below. Why did the per capita GDP grow slowly over the first few generations and why did per capita GDP grow so rapidly over the last generations? ______________________________ ___ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ _______________________. In the E-Growth module of the SimEcon® program, growth in population seems to be inversely related to changes in per capita GDP. In the 19th century, an economist named Malthus predicted Course E-Growth Exercise #4 Page 5 that world population would grow at a geometric pace while agricultural production would only grow at an arithmetic (slower) pace. He predicted that because of this after several generations, most of the world’s population would be impoverished. Did his ideas prove correct or incorrect? _________. Why? __________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________ . What might be some of the advantages of increasing population in terms of the labor force ____ ________________________________________________________ . Considering the population decline in Generation 4, how would that affect the size of the workforce? ______________________________. How would that affect the supply and/or demand for labor? ______________________________. Other things being equal, how would that impact the equilibrium wage? ________________________________________ __________________________________________________. Finally, how would that change in the wage rate affect the workers’ real incomes, other things being equal? __________ __ __________________.