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INITIAL PROGRAM INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) Report No.: AB2757 Project Name Region Sector Project ID Borrower(s) Implementing Agency Date PID Prepared Estimated Date of Appraisal Authorization Estimated Date of Board Approval Second Punjab Irrigation Sector Development Policy Loan South Asia Irrigation and drainage (100%); P102333 Government of Pakistan Government of Punjab December 7, 2006 March 26, 2007 May 31, 2007 1. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement 1. Pakistan's economy showed strong resilience in the face of devastation caused by the October 2005 earthquake and a sharp increase in international oil prices. Economic growth slowed down somewhat, but at 6.6%, the GDP growth was among the strongest in the region and only marginally slower than the target of 7% set for the year. While on the production side, the capacity constraints have started to become increasingly binding, continued strong domestic demand, which remained buoyant despite some tightening of monetary policy, was the main factor behind the strong growth performance by the economy. As aggregate demand exceeded domestic supply of goods and services, domestic prices and balance of payments remained under severe pressure. While the exports increased by 14% in 2005/06, imports grew by almost twice that rate. As a result, the current account deficit rose to US$ 5.7 billion (4.4% of GDP), compared with US$ 1.8 billion (1.7% of GDP) in 2004/05. Although the foreign exchange reserves continue to remain at a comfortable level of over US$ 10 billion, they now support only 3.2 months of country’s imports. The Government has already started tightening the money supply and is committed to take additional measures to stabilize the price and external trade situation. The prospects for continued strong economic growth, therefore, remain strong. 2. Strong economic growth during the last three years has led to higher household incomes and lower poverty. Incomes have increased steadily over the past few years. Per capita income in 2005/2006 rose to $847, up from $742 a year earlier. World Bank estimates of poverty based on the 2004/2005 Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey (PSLM) reveal that, between 2001 and 2005 poverty incidence declined by 5 or 10 percentage points. All segments of the population, in both urban and rural areas, have gained from income growth. This reduction in poverty could be attributed not only to economic growth, but also to the Government’s commitment for an accelerated reduction in poverty. The Government is currently in the final stages of updating its poverty reduction strategy, and it commitment towards poverty reduction is underscored by the sharp increase in pro-poor expenditures. The PRSP expenditures have increased at an annual rate of over 23% p.a. and are now tentatively estimated at 5.5% of GDP compared to 3.7% of GDP in 2000/01. 3. The crucial importance of irrigation. With an average annual rainfall of less than 240 mm, Pakistan is one of the world’s most arid countries. The population and the economy are heavily dependent on the Indus river system. Starting from the 19th century, weir controlled irrigation was developed and gradually the Indus irrigation system became the largest contiguous irrigation system in the world. Today, irrigation is a critical factor for Pakistan’s economy. About 80 percent of the arable land and 90 percent of agricultural output are entirely dependent on irrigation, making this a critical sector for rural development and poverty alleviation. However, Pakistan faces major water related issues that have serious social, economic and environmental implications: growing demand and declining water availability per capita; competition and mistrust among the riparian; deteriorating infrastructure --as a result of inadequate operation and maintenance and lack of modern asset management plans; over-exploitation and deteriorating quality of groundwater resources spurred by drought, and inequitable canal water deliveries; increasing risk of flooding, particularly in the lower Indus basin, due to rising river beds; sea intrusion and environmental degradation of the Indus delta and coastal areas resulting from inadequate environmental flows; poor governance and irrigation service delivery, in part due to lack of user participation; and low water use efficiency and agricultural productivity. As a consequence, the full potential of irrigation as the major contributor to agriculture growth and employment is not being achieved. 4. The federal government has taken several important actions during the last two years to address water sector challenges that fall within the federal domain, including support to the provinces for water conservation; developing additional water storage capacity; determination of environmental flow requirements of the Indus delta; and preparation of a draft National Water Policy that supports institutional reform and capacity building at the federal level, including establishment of an apex body to steer water reform and building the capacity of the Indus River System Authority (IRSA), which is responsible for the administration of the Inter-Provincial Water Apportionment Accord of 1991. 5. Punjab is a microcosm of Pakistan. Surface and groundwater resources constitute the lifeline of Punjab’s agro-based economy. Agriculture is the major contributor to Punjab’s economy, accounting for 28 percent of its output and employment to over 40 percent of its work force. Over 90 percent of Punjab’s agricultural output comes from 25 million acres of irrigated land. Irrigation has the same importance and the sector faces the same institutional and policy issues, as the rest of Pakistan. 6. To address the issues in irrigation, in the year 2004, Punjab prepared a medium term irrigation sector reform program (ISRP), after extensive consultations with various stakeholders within and outside the government, with the full backing of the political leadership. Continuing consultation with water users/farmers is an integral part of the reform process. The ISRP supports, within the irrigation sector, the broader provincial strategy articulated in the Punjab Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (P-PRSP)1, which emphasizes improving governance by enhancing the accountability of state institutions; improv ing service delivery systems; accelerating growth and generating employment through enhanced focus on productive sectors; and enhancing the effectiveness of public expenditures through budgetary and institutional reforms. The ISRP is built on four pillars: Pillar I: Institutional and Policy Reforms to improve the management and maintenance of the irrigation system to ensure its long term physical and financial sustainability. Pillar II: Water Resources Management Reforms to make intra-province water allocation and distribution more transparent. Pillar III: Irrigation Service Delivery Reforms to improve the quality, efficiency and accountability with which irrigation services are delivered. Pillar IV: Reforms to improve water use efficiency and on-farm productivity. Rationale for Bank involvement 7. Link to Country Assistance Strategy. Based on the past experience, both GOPunjab and the Bank agreed that new approaches and instruments were needed to meet the diverse set of challenges facing the water sector. The Development Policy Loan (DPL) instrument was considered a more suitable instrument for supporting the newly formulated reform agenda, given that a programmatic approach provides the flexibility to support reforms while managing risk; permits greater attention to capacity building; and focuses on results. In line with 1 The Punjab government has recently initiated the process of updating the P-PRSP. The ISRP would be an integral part of the updated P-PRSP. the Country Assistance Strategy, the first irrigation sector development policy loan (DPL1 of US$100 million equivalent), in a programmatic series of three loans, was approved by the Bank on June 1, 2006, to support the first year of the ISRP. 8. Outcomes of DPL1: Spurred by high level ownership by farmers and government, the first year of ISRP, supported by DPL1, has yielded very positive outcomes under each reform pillar. For example: a. A good beginning has been made in moving away from the policies that had resulted in gradual deterioration of the hydraulic infrastructure in the past. The issue of chronic budgetary gap for routine and preventive maintenance was resolved by rationalizing budgetary “yardsticks” by linking them with market prices; the maintenance budget was nearly doubled and a substantial reduction in the backlog of deferred maintenance was achieved; a system of performance evaluation/audit was developed to ensure transparent and judicious spending of the enhanced budget resources, and a system of fortnightly meetings of the Departmental Accounts Committee (DAC) was institutionalized to resolve advance audit observations; and to improve the efficiency of collection of abiana (water charges), the responsibility of O&M of distributary canals was handed over to FOs in one canal system (LCC East), with good results. b. Intra-province water entitlements have been made more Transparent. The Irrigation and Power Department (IPD) has established a robust Irrigation Management Information System (IMIS) under which the water diverted in each of the 24 main canals and all distributary canals of the LCC East Canal system, is metered and the data captured on daily basis. The IPD website displays the entitlements and the actual flows diverted in all main canals. c. The quality, efficiency and accountability of irrigation services have improved in the areas served by canals where reforms have been implemented. In the LCC East Canal system the responsibility for operation and maintenance (O&M) and abiana collection has been devolved to democratically elected farmer organizations (FOs) under irrigation management transfer agreements (IMTAs), which specify the rights and obligations of the bulk water providers and water users. Benchmarking and monitoring data show that in this canal system the equity of water distribution has improved; abiana collection is higher than in non-FO canals; the overall maintenance regime has improved; and water related disputes among users have reduced and are resolved more expeditiously and in a participatory manner. d. Investments in water conservation technologies are proceeding on, or ahead of, targets, with visible improvement in water use efficiency (20%-30% increase) and productivity. A structured program to promote use of laser guided land leveling equipment is being successfully implemented with good uptake of this technology by farmers and service providers. A draft amendment to the Punjab Agricultural Produce Ordinance has been prepared and submitted for approval. The amendment supports the role of private sector, and public-private partnerships and the establishment of market information systems at the district level. Finally, proposals were prepared for restructuring of agricultural research that would promote private sector participation and set up autonomous corporate bodies to carry out demand driven research. e. Demonstration of Reform Success. Punjab is now recognized all over Pakistan as the leader in Irrigation Reform, and other provinces are aspiring to follow suit. 2. Proposed Objective 9. The purpose of the proposed loan is to provide continued financing to the Province of Punjab, to move forward with implementation of the ISRP agenda under each reform pillar, focusing, inter alia, on (i) sustainability of the hydraulic infrastructure by sustaining adequate funding for M&R and reducing costs and further improving financial accountability; (ii) expanding the coverage and improving the quality of the IMIS to further enhance transparency in the administration of water entitlements; (iii) improving service delivery by scaling up irrigation management transfers to FOs, benchmarking of performance, improving communications with stakeholders, and mainstreaming environmental and social safeguards in O&M activities; and (iv) enhancing productivity through policy reform and incentives for adopting new technology, improving markets, and restructuring research. Specific prior actions have been identified under each reform pillar. 3. Preliminary description A. Pillar I: Reforms to improve the management and maintenance of the irrigation system to ensure its long term physical and financial sustainability 10. During the second year of the ISRP, the IPD is moving ahead with the following reforms actions, inter alia: (i) preparation of a 5-10 year Asset Management Plan that would set priorities for medium/long term rehabilitation and maintenance of the existing infrastructure; (ii) revision of maintenance and repair (M&R) yardsticks to reflect FY07 market prices, and allocation of budget, accordingly; (iii) establishment of a performance evaluation system for M&R, and a Procurement Unit in IPD; (v) a 20% reduction of advance audit observations in FY07; (iv) transition/transfer of public tubewells to farmers, and (vi) improvement of abiana collection performance. B. Pillar II: Water Resource Management Reform 11. The objective of this reform is to emphasize the nexus of entitlements, measurements and transparency and build on Punjab’s existing platform of water entitlements2, to make intra-province water allocations and distribution more transparent. These reforms would enhance farmer confidence, reduce uncertainty of water deliveries and help increase productivity. 12. During the second year of the ISRP, the following actions, inter alia, are being taken to deepen and broaden the reform under this pillar: (i) water accounts for all main canals continue to be posted on IPD website; (ii) installation and calibration of gauges is being completed for the LCC East Canal system, and distributary canal discharge data posted on IPD website; (iii) warabandi schedules (proxy for water entitlements at the farm level) are being published by FOs on their respective notice boards; and (iv) work has started on the preparation of a holistic groundwater management strategy covering all sub-sectors (agriculture, urban and rural drinking water, industry, environment). C. Pillar III: Irrigation Service Delivery Reforms 13. The objective under this pillar is to improve the quality, efficiency and accountability with which irrigation services are delivered. This objective is being achieved through a combination of organizational 2 Pakistan has a long- and well-established tradition of water entitlements. The 1991 Inter-provincial Water Accord establishes clear entitlements for each province. Implicit in the Water Accord, too, is a set of water entitlements at the canal command level. There are also well-established rules for further distributing water to the distributary and outlet levels. Below the outlets, the warabandi is a proxy (appropriate in its era) to a water right, in which a farmer has a right to time, a surrogate for water. However, the administration of intra-province water entitlements needs to be made more transparent and implemented in a participatory manner. changes and introduction of incentives and instruments. This entails, among others, decentralization of operation and management of the system; the use of contracts which specify the rights and obligations of service providers and users; and benchmarking for water services. 14. During the second year of the ISRP, the reforms initiated in the first year are being moved to the next stage, involving scaling up and further deepening as well as supplementary measures. Key actions being taken include: (i) establishment of 100 additional FOs and signing of IMTAs with them; (ii) continuation of FO capacity building program; (iii) staffing and capacity building of IPD’s Social and Environmental Unit (SEMU) that is responsible for increasing awareness within IPD, AWB, and FOs, for assessing and mitigating social and environmental risks associated with asset management activities3; (iv) preparation of a communication strategy4 (internal and external communication); (v) arrangements for both internal and external monitoring (including third party validation); (vi) rehabilitation of FO managed channels under ongoing projects; and (vii) staffing of IPD Reform Unit. D. Pillar IV: Reforms to improve water use efficiency and on-farm productivity 15. The objective of this reform is to improve water use efficiency and productivity through policy reform and incentives and for adopting new technology, improving markets, and the quality of agricultural research. 16. During the second year of the ISRP, the following key actions are being taken: (i) continuation of the water conservation measures on a larger scale; (ii) analytical work that could provide the basis for models of economic incentives for farmers to move away from crops and practices that waste water; (iii) processing of an amendment to the Agricultural Produce Marketing Ordinance of 1978, which among others will open up entry of farmers and private sector in the management of agriculture market places; help to formulate and implement internal and export market strategies; and facilitate linkages and partnerships between farmers and cooperatives, and (iv) restructuring the agricultural research sector. The package includes reactivation of the Punjab Agriculture Research Board (PARB), and creation of corporate bodies for dealing with important crops, with the ability to attract qualified scientists and with adequate administrative and managerial flexibility. 4. Environmental Aspects 17. The Strategic Country Environmental Assessment (SCEA), completed in June 2006, determined that Pakistan has a comprehensive national policy and institutional framework for environmental management in place. The Pakistan Environmental Protection Act of 1997 confers broad-based enforcement powers to the Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency (Pak-EPA) and the provincial environmental protection agencies. The Pak-EPA Review of Initial Environmental Examination and Environmental Impact Assessment Regulations, 2000 (IEE-EIA Regulations, 2000) provides the necessary details on the preparation, submission, and review of initial environmental examinations and environmental impact assessments. The National Environmental Quality Standards (NEQS) define maximum allowable concentrations of pollutants in municipal and liquid industrial effluents discharged to inland waters. The Pak-EPA has published a set of environmental guidelines for carrying out environmental assessments and the environmental management of different types of development projects, including those in the protected and sensitive areas. 18. The SCEA highlights the ubiquitous shortage of trained manpower and insufficient budgetary allocations, a lack of clear definition of roles, work plans and targets, and ineffective coordination and 3 4 Preparation of social and environmental guidelines for screening M&R activities is one of the prior action for DPL2. While a comprehensive communication strategy (covering internal and external communications) is under preparation, IPD has already adopted some good practices, including consultation with farmers on scheduling of canal closure for annual maintenance as well for rehabilitation works. communications between federal, provincial and local administrative entities. The result is that, while an appropriate and necessary administrative capacity exists on paper, its effectiveness is seriously curtailed in practice due to these shortcomings. To help address these weaknesses, the Bank has shown its willingness to provide assistance to the Ministry of Environment and provincial environmental agencies for the implementation of the National Environment Policy 2005. 19. The financing provided under the DPL will support a wide range of improvements in irrigated agriculture in Punjab through strengthening of institutions, and the introduction of systems and practices to provide adequate, equitable and reliable irrigation supplies. The expected results are improvements in the management of asset stock, the management of water resources, irrigation service delivery, land productivity and water use efficiency. These improvements are expected to lead to environmentally positive outcomes, including some reduction in water-logging and salinization. 20. The on-going operations of the IPD include maintenance and rehabilitation of existing hydraulic infrastructure. These activities present localized, small-scale environmental risks. To address these concerns, the proposed loan supports strengthening of the IPD’s Social and Environmental Management Unit (SEMU), to build awareness and capacity for environmental and social risk management. The SEMU is currently preparing guidelines for the management of environmental and social risks in IPD operations. The guidelines will be disseminated through the IPD website. 5. Tentative financing Source: GOPunjab IBRD Total (US$m) 160 100 260 6. Contact point Manuel Contijoch Co-task Leader The World Bank 1818 H Street Washington DC NW 20433 Tel: 202-473-3919 Fax: 202-522-2420 and 202-522-1770 [email protected] InfoShop The World Bank 1818 H Street Washington DC NW 20433 Tel: 202-458-5454 Fax: 202-522-1500 www.worldbank.org/infoshop