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AP STATISTICS LIST OF CONFIDENCE INTERVALS/HYPOTHESIS TESTS Flash Cards: Front: Estimate of the Population mean, μ (Standard deviation of population known) Back: Parameter: μ Statistic: x Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is known 2) n > 30 or population distribution is normal 3) independence and 10% condition 4) SRS Formula: x z* n TI/CALC function: ZInterval Estimate of Population mean, μ (Standard deviation of population unknown) Parameter: μ Statistic: x Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is unknown 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition 4) SRS s Formula: x t * , df = n-1 n TI/CALC function: TInterval Estimate of single population proportion, p Parameter: p Statistic: p̂ Conditions: 1) SRS 2) Independence and 10% condition 3) npˆ 10 and n(1 pˆ ) 10 pˆ (1 pˆ ) n TI/CALC function: 1-PROPZInt Formula: Estimate of difference in 2 independent population means, μ1-μ2 pˆ z * Parameter: μ1 – μ2 Statistic: x1 x2 Conditions: 1) 2 independent SRS’s 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition Formula: ( x1 x 2 ) t df* s12 s 22 n1 n2 df=min(n1-1,n2-1) or from calc. TI/CALC function: 2-SAMPTINT Estimate of difference in 2 population proportions, p1-p2 Parameter: p1 – p2 Statistic: pˆ 1 pˆ 2 Conditions: 1) SRSs from 2 independent populations 2) Independence and 10% condition 3) n1 pˆ 1 10, n1 (1 pˆ 1 ) 10, n2 pˆ 2 10, n2 (1 pˆ 2 ) 10 Formula: ( pˆ 1 pˆ 2 ) z * pˆ 1 (1 pˆ 1 ) pˆ 2 (1 pˆ 2 ) n1 n2 TI/CALC function: 2-PROPZInt Estimate of mean Parameter: μdiff difference between 2 Statistic: x diff paired population means, Conditions: μdiff 1) 2 paired SRS’s 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition Formula: s diff , df = n-1 n TI/CALC function: TInterval Test of a single population mean, μ (standard deviation of x diff t * Parameter: μ Statistic: x Null Hypothesis: H0: μ = μ0 population known) Test of a single population mean, μ (Standard deviation of population unknown) Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is known 2) n > 30 or population distribution is normal 3) independence and 10% condition 4) SRS x 0 Test Statistic: z / n TI/CALC function: ZTEST Parameter: μ Statistic: x Null Hypothesis: μ = μ0 Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is unknown 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition 4) SRS x 0 Test Statistic: t , df = n-1 s n TI/CALC function: TTEST Test of mean difference of paired samples, μdiff Parameter: μdiff Statistic: x diff Null Hypothesis: μdiff = 0 Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is unknown 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition 4) SRS xdiff 0 Test Statistic: t , df = n-1 s diff Test of the difference of two independent population means, μ1-μ2 Test of a single population proportion,p n TI/CALC function: TTEST Parameter: μ1 – μ2 Statistic: x1 x2 Null Hypothesis: μ1 = μ2 or μ1 - μ2>0 Conditions: 1) standard deviation of population is unknown 2) if n<15, population distribution must be approximately normal if 15<n<40 population distribution must not be too skewed and no large outliers if n>40 then no large outliers 3) independence and 10% condition 4) 2 independent SRSs x1 x 2 0 Test Statistic: t s12 s 22 n1 n2 df = min(n1-1,n2-1) or from Calculator TI/CALC function: 2-SAMPTTEST Parameter: p Statistic: p̂ Null Hypothesis: H0: p = p0 Test of the difference in 2 independent population proportions, p1-p2 Conditions: 1) SRS 2) Independence and 10% condition 3) np0 > 10 and n(1-p0) > 10 pˆ p 0 Test Statistic: z p 0 (1 p 0 ) n TI/CALC function: 1-PROPZTEST Parameter: p1-p2 Statistic: pˆ 1 pˆ 2 Combined (or Pooled) proportion: pˆ c x1 x2 n1 n2 Null Hypothesis: H0: p1 = p2 or p1 – p2 > 0 Conditions: 1) 2 SRS from independent populations 2) Independence and 10% condition 3) n1p1> 10 and n1(1-p1) > 10 and n2p2 > 10 and n2(1-p2) > 10 Test Statistic: z pˆ 1 pˆ 2 0 pˆ c (1 pˆ c )( 1 1 ) n1 n2 TI/CALC function: 2-PROPZTEST Test if a set of observed values matches a set of expected values (one variable and one sample) OR – How well does a CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS-OF-FIT TEST Hypotheses: H0: p1 = __, p2 = ___, ……, pn = ___ Ha: At least 1 proportion is different Or H0: The population distribution is correct sample distribution match the hypothesized population distribution? Ha: The population distribution is not correct Conditions: 1) Data are counts 2) SRS (if you wish to generalize results to entire population) 3) At least 5 counts in each expected cell (O E ) 2 test statistic: 2 E df = # categories-1 Calc: Put observed values into L1 Put expected values into L2 SUM(L1 – L2)2/L2 Use χ2cdf OR – use χ2GOF-TEST (TI/84) OR – GOODFIT PROGRAM (TI/83) Test to find if category (Test of Homogeneity) - Hypotheses: proportions are the H0: p1=p2= p3=p4, ….,pn=pm same for 2 or more Ha: Not all proportions are the same groups (2 or more Conditions: groups – one variable 1) SRSs independent samples) 2) All Data are counts 3) Expected number in each cell is > 5 (O E ) 2 Test Statistic: 2 E df = (row total –1)(column total –1) Test for association (Independence) for 2 categorical variables (two categorical variables – one sample) CALC: Put observed values into MATRIX[A], χ2-TEST, MATRIX[B] will contain the expected values (Test of Independence) Hypotheses: H0: 2 variables are independent Ha: 2 variables are not independent Conditions: 1) SRS 2) Data are counts 3) Expected counts are > 5 in each cell (O E ) 2 E df = (row total –1)(column total –1) Test Statistic: 2 CALC: Put observed values into MATRIX[A], χ2-TEST, MATRIX[B] will contain the expected values Test for a relationship (non-zero slope) between 2 quantitative variables Parameter: β (population slope) Statistic: b Null hypothesis: H0: β = 0 (There is no linear relationship between x and y) Conditions: 1) Scatterplot looks like a line is a good fit 2) (x, y) is an SRS 3) Equal-Variance Condition – The spread around the line is nearly constant throughout. Look at the residual plot for outliers or a fan-shaped pattern that indicates this condition is not met. 4) Normality – The distribution of y-values for each x-value follows a normal model. Check the residuals for normality by making a normal probability plot for the residuals. Test Statistic: t b s , SEb= SE b ( x x ) 2 df = n-2 s = estimated standard deviation of spread around the regression line s Estimate of the slope of a regression line 1 ( y yˆ ) 2 n2 s 1 residual 2 n2 CALC: LINREGTTEST Parameter: β (population slope) Statistic: b Conditions: 1) Scatterplot looks like a line is a good fit 2) (x, y) is an SRS 3) Equal-Variance Condition – The spread around the line is nearly constant throughout. Look at the residual plot for outliers or a fan-shaped pattern that indicates this condition is not met. 4) Normality – The distribution of y-values for each x-value follows a normal model. Check the residuals for normality by making a normal probability plot for the residuals. formula: b t n*2 SEb Calc: LINREGTINT SEb= s ( x x ) 2