* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download AK_Macro_CH07 - McGraw
Survey
Document related concepts
Transcript
AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 CHAPTER SEVEN Answers to Self-Test Questions 1. See the following graph: NTR1 G & NTR NTR2 G Real GDP Budget Surplus Real GDP Budget deficit 57 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 2. $80B. (The debt is $100B and there is a current budget surplus of $20B which will reduce the debt to $80B) 3. a) See the following table: 0 20 – 30 Real GDP Net tax revenues Budget balance 40 30 – 20 80 40 – 10 120 50 0 160 60 + 10 See the following graph: Budget balance 30 20 BL 10 0 -10 0 40 80 120 160 -20 -30 Real GDP 4. a) b) c) d) shift to the left shift to the left shift to the right shift to the left 5. Contractionary fiscal policy is used to close an inflationary gap. Aggregate demand decreases causing price and national income to fall. 6. a) unemployment: rise (because GDP will fall with the drop in government spending, or increased tax rates); b) GDP: fall (because of the drop in government spending or increased tax rates); c) NTR: may rise or fall (a lower GDP will reduce taxes but overall NTR might rise or fall depending on whether tax rates were increased or government spending reduced.) d) deficit: smaller (but will not be eliminated) Second set of circumstances: a) unemployment: fall (because GDP has risen) b) GDP: rise (because of the increase in government spending or cut in tax rates) c) NTR: may rise or fall (a higher GDP will increase taxes but overall NTR might rise or fall depending on whether tax rates were decreased or government spending increased.) d) deficit: may be larger or smaller (but will definitely persist). 58 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 7. $300 is the initial level of equilibrium income and is determined as follows: C C I G Xn AE 0.5Y Y = = = = = = = = 20 + 0.75(Y 80) 40 + 0.75Y 50 80 60 0.25Y 150 + 0.5Y = Y 150 300 After the increase in G and T of $20: C = 20 + 0.75(Y 100); therefore C = 55 + 0.75Y I = 50 G = 100 XN = 60 0.25Y AE = 155 + 0.5Y 0.5Y = 155 Y = 310 The new income level, therefore, is $310. The effect on the economy is not neutral, i.e. the effect of a change in T does not entirely cancel out the effect of the change in G. 8. If the economy is experiencing an inflationary gap, then a budget deficit would be inappropriate. Answers to Study Guide Questions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. True True False: both the price level and real GDP will rise. True False: only net tax revenues are a function of GDP; government spending is regarded as autonomous. 6. True 7. False: it produces a parallel shift down. 8. False: the opposite way around. 9. False: the level of GDP will still increase. 10. True 11. c 12. b 13. a 14. d 16. a 17. b 18. d 19. b 21. b 22. c 23. c 24. b 26. a 27. b 28. e 29. a 59 31. d 32. b 33. a 34. b AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 15. d 20. e 25. c 30. d 35. d 36A. Key Problem a) GDP = 1200; price level = 120 b) recessionary gap of 400 (since the intersection of the AS and AD curves occurs to the left of the Potential GDP curve, there is a recessionary gap) c) deficit of 200 (at a GDP of 1200, the BL line is below zero at – 200) d) See the following figure: Figure 7.10 (completed) 60 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 AD must increase by 600 which is 6 squares to the right e) increase in government spending of 200 (200 times the multiplier of 3 equals the gap of 600) f) See Figure 11.10 (completed) The new GDP would be 1600 and the price level would be 140. (This where AD2 intersects AS.) g) deficit of 200 (The increase in government spending of 200 will shift the BL down by 200 or 4 squares); h) G needs to be reduced by 200. (Since at equilibrium of 1200 that is the amount of the government’s deficit.) See Figure 11.10 (completed) The BL shifts up by 200 (4 squares). i) See Figure 11.10 (completed); AD would decrease by 600 (3 X 200). j) the AD curve would shift back by 6 squares, thus the new GDP would be 800 and the new price level 100. k) Since the decrease in government spending would shift the BL up by 4 squares, at a GDP of 800 the budget would have a deficit of 200. 37A. a) NTR = 135.8 ( Tax revenues = 222.2; transfer payments = 52.6 + 33.8 =86.4) b) 13.2 (NTR = 135.8; G = 40.8 + 81.8 = 122.6) c) 46.7% (103.7/222.2 x100) d) 14.3% (31.7/222.2 x 100) e) 25.2% (52.6/209 x 100) f) 16.2% (33.8/209 x 100) 38A a) deficit of $14B Balance = (0.35 x 360) – 140) b) surplus of $35B Balance = (0.35 x 500) – 140) c) GDP of $400B 0.35Y = 140, therefore Y = 140/0.35 39A. a) AD1 to AD2 and BL1 to BL3 b) AD1 to AD3 and BL1 to BL2 40A See the following table: Table 7.9 (completed) Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Budget Surplus / / / 8 5 / Budget Deficit / 14 29 / / 6 National Debt 280 294 323 315 310 316 61 GDP Debt/GDP % 700 725 730 700 720 750 40.0 40.6 44.2 45.0 43.1 42.1 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 41A. a) recessionary gap of $20B (Equilibrium of $520 is $20 less than potential GDP of $405) b) $40B ( the AD curve must be shifted right by 4 squares) c) $10B (1/4 of $40) d) deficit of $5B (T increases by 0.25 x increase in GDP ($20b) = $5b; G increased by $10b.) 42A. Fiscal policy refers to the government’s approach to its own spending and taxation. For instance, should the government make sure that its spending and tax revenues always balance every year, or perhaps every business cycle or alternatively should it deliberately over- or under- spend in order to correct problems in the economy? 43A. The federal government owes most of its debt to Canadians – to banks, insurance companies, and other firms, institutions or individuals who buy Canadian government bonds. Only 16 percent (in 2010) was foreign-owned.) 44A. a) $100B (G = $300; NTR = $200) b) $600B (If G drops by $100 then GDP will drop by $200 from its present level.) c) deficit of $50B (The G line shifts down by 2 squares - $100). 45A. a) recessionary gap of 200 (Equilibrium GDP of 1300 is $200 less than potential GDP of $1500) b) increase AD 400 ( to get it to intercept at potential GDP of $1500) c) 8.33% (Price index increases from 120 to 130.) 46A. a) b) c) d) e) C I G XN AE 0.5Y Y = = = = = = = 25 + 0.6Y 60 160 55 - 0.1Y 300 + 0.5Y 300 600 multiplier = 2 (MPE = 0.5; MLR = 0.5; multiplier = 1/0.5 deficit of 20 (T = 20 + 0.2(600) = 140; G = 160) new equilibrium Y = 560 (If G falls 20 then Y will fall by 20 x multiplier 2) deficit = 8 (T = 20 + 0.2(560) = 132; G = 140) 62 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 47A. a) Party A: down (using contractionary policy); Party B: up (using expansionary policy) b) Party A: down (because GDP will fall); Party B: may go up or down (GDP will increase NTR but tax rates have been cut and will reduce NTR) c) Party A: up (because GDP is down); Party B: down (because GDP is up) d) Party A: will remain though may be smaller (because NTR will fall); Party B: : will remain and may even be bigger e) Party A: down (because AD is lower); Party B: up (because AD is higher) 48A. a) and b) See the following figure: Figure 7.14 (completed) A 320 G Spending/NTR NTR 240 G1 G2 160 80 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Real GDP B BL2 Budget balance 80 BL1 0 0 100 200 300 -80 -160 Real GDP 63 400 500 600 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 c) Surplus of $80. 49A. First, there is a potential time lag problem in that it may take many months for the full effect of a change in policy to take effect and in the mean time the conditions of the economy might change so that the policy becomes inappropriate. Second, some argue that fiscal policy is ineffective because of potential problems of inflation (using expansionary fiscal policy) or the crowding out effect. Thirdly, budget deficits might become habit-forming for a government leading to a higher and higher national debt so that an increasing amount of government spending is devoted to paying interest on the debt at the possible cost of reduced spending on health care and education. 50A. The primary goal of counter-cyclical fiscal policy is to correct problems in the economy. It does this by increasing spending (or decreasing taxes) when the economy is in a recession and by decreasing spending (or increasing taxes) when the economy is in an inflationary boom. Three criticisms of this policy are: it is subject to serious time lags it is ineffective because it may be inflationary, and may crowd out private spending it can lead to serious budget deficits. 51A. In order to pay off the national debt, funds must be taken from citizens in the form of taxation and used to redeem the bonds. However, while everyone pays taxes (in one form or another); not everyone owns bonds. Since it is the wealthy who are the biggest bondholders, such a repayment would represent a serious redistribution of incomes. 52A. a) C C C I G XN AE 0.3Y Y = = = = = = = = = 40 + 0.8YD 40 + 0.8(Y – 340) - 232 + 0.8Y 100 340 107 - 0.1Y 315 + 0.7Y 315 1050 b) no surplus or deficit c) C C C I G XN = = = = = = 40 + 0.8YD 40 + 0.8(Y – 400) - 280 + 0.8Y 100 400 107 - 0.1Y 64 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 AE 0.3Y Y = = = 327 + 0.7Y 327 1090 C = 60 + 0.8 (Y – (200 + 0.25Y)) 53A. a) C = – 100 + 0.6Y I = 600 G = 200 + 0.25Y XN = 700 – 0.2Y (Y = AE = 1400 + 0.65Y Y = 4000 b) c) d) G = T = 200 + 0.25 (4000) = 1200 XN = 700 – 0.2(4000) = –100 multiplier = 2.86 (MPE = 0.65; MLR = 0.35; multiplier = 1/0.35) 54A. a) See the following table: Table 7.11 (completed) Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 GDP ($B) 600 580 560 612 620 608 Deficit/Surplus 0 -5 - 10 +3 +5 +2 b) Government spending: 145. After 6 years the government has an accumulated deficit of – 5. Therefore to balance the budget over the 7-year cycle it needs a surplus of 5 in year 7. Since its predicted revenues are $150 (25% x $600), it needs to budget for spending of 145. c) Change in tax rate: 0.8% (Alternatively, to produce a surplus of $5, its tax revenues will need to be $155. 155/600 x 100 = 25.8%) So the MTR must increase from 25% to 25.8%) 55A. Equilibrium income will increase by $50. Done separately, an increase of G of $100 increases Y by 250 (2 ½ times). An increase of T of $100, reduces YD by $100, which causes C to fall by $80. The drop of $80 causes Y to fall by $200 (2 ½ times). Changing both at the same time will net out to an increase of $50. 56A. Generally speaking, when an economy is in a recession, the government finds it is running a budget deficit. If the government were to try to balance the budget in these circumstances (by reducing government spending or raising taxes) the effect will be to 65 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 7 reduce aggregate demand, thus decreasing GDP. In other words, the recession will get worse, i.e. the action of the government pushes the economy further in the direction it was heading. Similarly, when an economy is experiencing an inflationary boom period, the government generally finds that it has a budget surplus. If it attempts to reduce the surplus by increasing government spending or reducing taxes the effect will be to increase aggregate spending thus pushing up inflation higher. 66