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PROJECT INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) CONCEPT STAGE Report No.: AB4428 Project Name NELSAP Regional Agricultural Trade and Productivity TA (Phase II) Region AFRICA Sector Irrigation and drainage (40%); Agricultural marketing and trade (30%);Crops (20%);General agriculture, fishing and forestry sector (10%) Project ID P115414 Borrower(s) NILE BASIN INITIATIVE Nile Basin Initiative P.O. Box 192 Entebbe, Uganda Tel: +256 414 321424/321329 Fax: +256 414323757 [email protected] Implementing Agency NILE EQUATORIAL LAKES SUBSIDIARY ACTION PROGRAMME COORDINATION UNIT (NELSAP-CU) Nile Equatorial Lakes Subsidiary Action Programme (NELSAP) Inyota House, P.O. Box 6759 Kigali, Rwanda Tel: +250 08307334 Fax: +250 580100 [email protected] Environment Category [ ] A [X] B [ ] C [ ] FI [ ] TBD (to be determined) Date PID Prepared March 2, 2009 Estimated Date of Appraisal Authorization June 29, 2009 Estimated Date of Board Approval October 30, 2009 1. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement Competition for water resources is increasing in the Nile Basin Within the Nile Basin’s ten riparian countries 160 million people depend for their livelihoods on the river and its tributaries. Demand for water is expected to increase in coming decades. Population increases alone will double water demand over the next quarter century, and to this will be added demand emanating from new investments particularly for hydropower and agriculture. Given the increased pressure on regional water resources, it is in the interest of all riparian states to manage shared water in a more sustainable and equitable manner. Joint action is also needed to reduce the costs of extreme water events such as floods and droughts. Recognizing the importance of cooperation, in 1999 nine Nile riparian states1 established the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) as a partnership to “achieve sustainable socio-economic development through equitable utilization of, and benefit from, the common Nile Basin water resources.” Management of Nile Basin water requires an understanding of Basin agriculture Within this broad mandate to manage transboundary water resources for development, the NBI has developed capacity since 1999 for integrated water resource management in NBI’s implementing bodies, through the Shared Vision Program (SVP). It has also initiated a first generation of investments through the Subsidiary Action Program (SAP), with particular focus on hydropower. This work has been supported by donors through the Nile Basin Trust Fund, managed by the World Bank. Water resource management at basin level requires good monitoring capability and forward planning capacity. Agriculture is one of largest water users in the region, and the ambitious agricultural development plans of riparians will increase demand on the Basin’s finite water resources. Under the Comprehensive Africa Agricultural Development Program, African countries are seeking to increase agricultural growth rates to an average of 6 percent per year. Four areas of support are emphasized of which one, land and water management, will affect the demand for water directly by increasing investment in irrigated agriculture. Others activities will stimulate water demand through expansion of commercially oriented crop and livestock products that use water as an input. It is important for the Basin manager to anticipate these new water uses and weigh them against competing uses across the Basin. Conversely, agricultural investments of individual riparians need to take account of the increasing opportunity cost of Basin water as early as the appraisal stage, and such costs need to be monitored and regularly updated. Without such an accounting, country investments are likely to employ inefficient technologies, and riparian projects may not be economically viable in the long run. The riparian countries through the NBI have asked the Bank to help integrate agricultural production and trade into the regional water management agenda. Bank assistance for agriculture-related activities began in April 2008 with initiation of the first phase of the Regional Agricultural Trade and Productivity Project (RATP).2 This Preparatory Phase, which ends in June 2009, is on track to complete its three main tasks: identification of activities for Bank 1 The NBI includes Burundi, DRC Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda. 2 The Grant Agreement for RATP-1 was signed in April 2008. The total grant amount is US$1m. assistance in the second phase; consultation with regional stakeholder on the proposed activities and preparation of an implementation manual. This PCN is therefore being presented for the second, or Implementation Phase of RATP. The technical assistance provided under the project is financed under a recipient-executed trust fund. Because the grant exceeds the US$5m threshold, a Project Concept Note (and later PAD) is required. RATP’s sustainability depends on close collaboration with the Institutional Strengthening Project (Nile-ISP) RATP will operate within the institutional framework for NBI that is being consolidated, with Bank support, under the recently launched Nile Institutional Strengthening Project. The Nile-ISP builds on the activities of the NBI, enhancing the knowledge base and skills for integrated water management across the entire Basin and in key Basin bodies, in particular the Nile Secretariat (NBI-Sec) and its two sub-basin coordinating units (ENTRO, covering Eastern Nile and NELSAP-CU, covering the Equatorial Lakes to the south). There is a particular need to strengthen skills in strategic planning, resource mobilization, and response to emerging issues such as climate change. In addition to this internal harmonization, linkages with other regional institutions will be strengthened, including bodies that have emerged since NBI’s inception such as the Lake Victoria Basin Commission. All of these activities will help the NBI move to status of a permanent River Basin Organization (RBO). While the Nile-ISP is developing an essential hydrology-based framework for water resource tracking and decision-making, as currently conceived it leaves out sector-specific information and tools needed to evaluate the interaction of Basin water resources with country growth plans and investments. The RATP will fill this gap for agriculture and complement the Nile-ISP's hydrology modeling with needed sectoral detail. At the end of the Project, the NBI’s main implementing bodies will have an agricultural database and planning model, and staff skilled in its use, that is well integrated into the water balance model. The Nile-ISP will locate responsibility for coordination of Basin water management in a new body to be created in the Nile-SEC, the Sustainable Water Planning and Management Unit. The Unit will develop the Nile Basin Sustainability Framework to help countries align their water, environmental and other relevant policies to common principles in one transboundary framework. Ongoing and future development projects within the Basin will take place within the agreed Framework. Knowledge generation and capacity building activities under RATP II will mainstream agricultural issues into this emerging management and planning framework. RATP and other regional initiatives RATP is aligned with major pillars of the Bank’s Regional Integration Assistance Strategy for Sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically it involves: (i) coordinated investments in support of regional public goods by focusing on shared water resources and agricultural productivity and (ii) institutional cooperation with a focus on reduction of tariff and non-tariff barriers, regional policy harmonization, and regional business environment. RATP also meets regional project eligibility criteria.3 3 It involves three or more countries; is designed so that its benefits spill over country boundaries; has the support of RECs; provides a platform for policy harmonization; and is part of a regional agricultural strategy. RATP complements other on-going Bank operations and analytical work in the region, including the DFID-funded Developing Agricultural Markets program (with COMESA), the EU Agricultural Commodities Program, Eastern Africa Regional Grain Trade ESW, and ESW on Non-Tariff Measures for Trade in Goods in the East Africa Community. Finally, the Project is in line with the Bank efforts to respond to the global food crisis by promoting regional approaches for sustainable water management and regional integration. Rationale for Bank involvement Since 1999 the Bank has intensively engaged Nile Basin countries to promote cooperation in management of the Nile. Regarding agriculture, this culminated in a late October 2008 meeting in Kigali, Rwanda, that included all RATP Steering Committee members and produced a consensus on the basic elements of the RATP design. That meeting agreed on the core focus of the Bank assistance (which is reflected in this Concept Note) and based on those results requested the NELSAP-CU to submit a formal project proposal to the Bank for the Implementation Phase, with a budget of US$6.8m. A long-term process of engagement has paid off, building trust and a perception of common interest among a large and diverse group of stakeholders, and providing an invaluable foundation for future activities. The Bank is well-positioned technically to support future consultations, having long experience dealing with development of agriculture, water resources and trade at regional level, as well as within individual riparian countries. Development partners support the Bank’s involvement, through their commitments to the Nile Basin Trust Fund. The Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA), the key financier of RATP, has consistently welcomed Bank leadership and program development, and provided technical support to the RATP task team during the concept and preparation stages of the project. 2. Proposed objective(s) The project development objective (PDO) is to increase the knowledge in the Nile Basin on agricultural issues for support of economically viable agriculture that uses Basin water resources in a sustainable and efficient manner. The key outcome indicators will include: (i) institutional options for supporting agriculture by the NBI and future RBO prepared; (ii) a baseline database on water use for productive agriculture established and incorporated into the Nile Basin Decision Support System (DSS); (iii) analyses of outlooks for agricultural development and water use in the Basin prepared and disseminated; (iv) the in-house and regional stakeholder capacity on integrating the virtual water concept into regional and national agricultural and water planning developed; (v) technical studies on cross-border agricultural trade completed and disseminated; (vi) at least one regional commodity group strengthened, with a stronger voice in relevant national and regional trade and policy development; (vii) the capacity of NELSAP-CU for identifying and guiding projects with transboundary relevance strengthened. 3. Preliminary description The proposed technical assistance will be financed from the Nile Basin Trust Fund. Project activities will include four components: (1) Defining NBI’s core agricultural functions; (2) Integration agriculture into Basin strategic water resource planning and management; (3) Building capacity to support more productive and economically sustainable agriculture in the Basin through regional trade; and (4) Project management and M&E). Component 1: Defining NBI’s core agricultural functions. Component 1 will define the role of NBI and its successor RBO in agricultural development. It will critically assess the agriculture-related core functions of other RBOs and the recommendations prepared by the firstgeneration NBI projects. The work under this component will analyze the advantages and disadvantages of various mandates (i.e. water resource management vs. development functions) to inform the process by which the NBI’s core mandate is defined. It will be very closely coordinated with NBI-ISP, focusing on complementary activities related to agriculture. This component will also include consultation, communication, and capacity building activities for the NBI and other regional stakeholders. Component 2: Integrating agriculture into Basin strategic water resource planning and management. This component includes two activities. First, it will support the collection of the basin-wide data on agricultural sector and water use from sector activities (i.e. irrigated systems, rain-fed agriculture, livestock, etc.) that will be integrated into the Nile Basin Decision Support System (DSS).4 DSS is the information system that provides a common and shared basis for NBI planning and decision making processes, locally, sub-regionally, and Basin wide. It will provide the means to estimate the impact of climate change on agricultural production and water use in productive agriculture, as well as to evaluate the impact of agricultural investments on water resources and the impact of water costs on the economic viability of emerging investments. 17. Second, this work will allow modeling of future demand and supply of agricultural products and assessment of the implications for Basin water demand. It will provide the DSS and the NBI Water Management and Planning Unit with the analytical tools to predict changes in agricultural demand and trade, inform riparian countries on required interventions to adjust food supply in terms of improvement of water productivity and irrigation expansion, estimate the outlook for exports and imports, and assess likely changes in land use and the sectoral product mix. Component 3: Building capacity to support more productive and economically sustainable agriculture in the Basin through promoting regional trade. This component will support three activities: assessment of “virtual water” trade, analysis of actual cross-border trade in agricultural commodities, and liaison with selected private commodity groups operating within the region. First, it will introduce and help operationalize the concept of “virtual water” by emphasizing the importance of trade for water resource management. Water is traded in virtual forms, i.e. in forms of agricultural commodities. Although invisible, import of virtual water can be an effective means for water-scarce countries to preserve their domestic water resources. The training and capacity building activities will be prepared together with the World Bank Institute that has recently developed the innovative training course of relation between international trade and water resource management. Second, it will finance technical studies on selected cross-border agricultural trade corridors, for example those that monitored by the USAID-supported Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWSNET) and the World Food Program. These studies will identify opportunities for greater trade, document major constraints to trade, both spatial and seasonal, and prepare recommendations for public investments and trade facilitation measures. The objective is to 4 The activities under this component will be jointly implemented with the NBI Water Resources Planning and Management Project that is developing the DSS. proactively advocate the importance of promoting regional agricultural trade as a means to increase the efficiency of productive water use in the Basin. This work will be done jointly with COMESA and EAC; building partnerships with these RECs is critical as they are the venues for trade policy discussion and trade reforms at the regional level. Third, the above work will be complemented by supporting one or more selected regional commodity groups. The aim is to empower and strengthen the capacity of the private sector and civil society to participate in policy dialogue on regional trade and in the marketing assessment’s work on cross-border trade corridors, and to strengthen agribusiness linkages in the Nile Basin region. Building partnerships with regional networks such as FEWSNET, the Eastern Africa Grain Council, the Horticulture Council of Africa and others is also critical for RATP and the NBI in order to engage with private sector and access reliable market information. Component 4: Project management unit. This component will provide support to the project management unit, and the monitoring and evaluation of project performance and results. RATP will use institutional arrangements similar to those that are currently used in the preparatory phase. The Project Management Unit will be responsible for implementing the project activities. Project implementation will be guided by the Regional Project Steering Committee, which is comprised of two experts from each country, from ministries responsible for irrigation, agriculture, and trade. Regional stakeholders such as RECs and the private sector will participate as observers in the Steering Committee meetings. National Liaison Officers have been identified who will support project activities at the national level. The NELSAP-CU will coordinate RATP activities with other NBI bodies, including the Nile-SEC, NELSAP-Technical Advisory Committee and NEL Council of Ministers. 4. Safeguard policies that might apply RATP-2 is classified as Category C project. RATP-2 does not include or directly finance any activity that has safeguard impacts. The Project will use the NBI Strategy for Addressing Environment and Social Safeguards, the compliance with which will be ensured through NBIISP. This Strategy describes NBI’s approach to address and manage safeguard issues, related public consultations and disclose documents. 5. Tentative financing Source: ($m.) Borrower 0 Nile Basin Initiative Trust Fund 6.8 Total 6. Contact point Contact: Sergiy Zorya Title: Economist Agriculture and Rural Development Unit (AFTAR), Africa Region 6.8 Tel: (202) 458-4867 Email: [email protected]