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NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PRODUCTIVITY, EXTERNAL BALANCE AND
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PRODUCTIVITY, EXTERNAL BALANCE AND

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... In other words, the economic crisis not only overwhelmed the Fed’s inflation-targeting methods, but showed them to be deeply inadequate. Given the consequences of that failure, America’s policymakers now need to ask: Could the Fed have done better? It could have, had it set its sights not on inflati ...
PAPER SERIES CURRENT MID ANTICIPATED DEFICITS, INTEREST RATES AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
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... some validity, and more generally to reexamine the relation between debt, deficits, interest rates and economic activity. The first issue taken up in the paper is that of sustainability. Is it the case that some countries are running unsustainable deficits and may be forced, at some time in the futu ...
Optimal Monetary Policy in a Currency Union: Implications of a
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... optimal policy plan requires that union in‡ation is stabilized by the single central bank, whereas …scal policy, implemented at the country-level, should stabilize idiosyncratic shocks. Ferrero (2009) moves one step further by introducing a government budget constraint. He shows that a balanced budg ...
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Document

... After studying this chapter, you will able to ƒ Distinguish between inflation and a one-time rise in the price level ƒ Explain how demand-pull inflation is generated ƒ Explain how cost-push inflation is generated ƒ Describe the effects of inflation ƒ Explain the short-run and long-run relationships ...
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Inflation and Unemployment: The Phillips Curve
Inflation and Unemployment: The Phillips Curve

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Slide 1
Slide 1

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... reduces private wealth and stimulates labor supply (e.g. Barro and King (1984) and Aiyagari et al. (1992)). Yet the same wealth effect which instills a rise in output crowds out private consumption and the multiplier must fall short of unity. Alternatively, in the new Keynesian model in which prices ...
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... in monetary policy which could not be addressed by changing the interest rate. To be more precise, the New-Keynesian Model which consists of three equations was considered good enough to explain the economy and other macro variables which were not included in this model were often ignored. However, ...
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... cannot be observed directly. This approach was used in a recent study by Caballero and Pindyck (1992) of U.S. manufacturing industries, and it will provide one of the means by which we gauge the impact of uncertainty in this paper. In the next section, we briefly review the basic theory of irreversi ...
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... market economies and more advanced small open economies. They argue that emerging markets are characterized by dominant trend growth rate shocks in contrast to the case of advanced economies in which stationary productivity shocks take the lead. In this paper, our main objective is to look at the so ...
The New IS-LM Model: Language, Logic, and Limits
The New IS-LM Model: Language, Logic, and Limits

... that featured a Phillips (1958) curve—made it possible to explore the implications for inflation.1 The simultaneous occurrence of high inflation and high unemployment in the 1970s led macroeconomists to question this aspect of theoretical and quantitative macromodels. Further, during the rational ex ...
2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Macroeconomics, 4/e
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... leads to a decrease in output. Equilibrium in financial markets implies that an increase in output leads to an increase in the interest rate. When the IS curve intersects the LM curve, both goods and financial markets are in ...
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... If the deficit is caused by a decrease in taxes, the government debt will ultimately be paid off with higher taxes that benefits current citizens and harms future ones. If the deficit is caused by higher government spending, however, the economy will be affected in a different way. ...
Download paper (PDF)
Download paper (PDF)

... the inflation target is unable to send immediate signals to both the public and the markets as to whether the current stance of money is appropriate. Because as equation 5 and 6 illustrate, optimal monetary policy involves “inflation forecast targeting”, publication of forecasts provides immediate ...
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Fear of floating

Fear of floating refers to situations where a country prefers a smoother exchange rate to a floating exchange rate regime. This is more relevant in emerging economies, especially when they suffered from financial crisis in last two decades. In foreign exchange markets of the emerging market economies, there is evidence showing that countries who claim they are floating their currency, are actually reluctant to let the nominal exchange rate fluctuate in response to macroeconomic shocks. In the literature, this is first convincingly documented by Calvo and Reinhart with “fear of floating” as the title of one of their papers in 2000. Since then, this widespread phenomenon of reluctance to adjust exchange rates in emerging markets is usually called “fear of floating”. Most of the studies on “fear of floating” are closely related to literature on costs and benefits of different exchange rate regimes.
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