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Budget deficits and inflation feedback
Budget deficits and inflation feedback

... Relation to some recent contributions The problem of dual equilibria in the ITLC has been extensively discussed in the literature. A prominent avenue of research is to use the more appealing assumption of adaptive learning instead of pure adaptive expectations. As was originally shown by Marcet and ...
Inflation Dynamics in Sri Lanka: An Empirical Analysis
Inflation Dynamics in Sri Lanka: An Empirical Analysis

... makers in Sri Lanka. Table 1 provides a comparison of inflation rates in Sri Lanka with other economies and illustrates that except for Sri Lanka and emerging market and developing economies, all other regions maintain their inflation at low levels. ...
BANK OF JAMAICA Quarterly Monetary Policy Report
BANK OF JAMAICA Quarterly Monetary Policy Report

... The above chart presents the output gap, the gap between actual output and potential, and the NAIRU gap, the gap between Unemployment and the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). When output is below potential (negative output gap) inflationary pressures are negative due to econo ...
INFLATION IN VIETNAM
INFLATION IN VIETNAM

... until present. It should be noted that Vietnam had centralized and closed economy with rationing system after getting its independence in 1975. Despite the government’s strict control of commodity prices and wages, the government failed to ensure the stability of prices. One illegally parallel marke ...
The Science of Monetary Policy
The Science of Monetary Policy

... a stripped-down baseline model in order to characterize a number of broad principles that underlie optimal policy management. We then consider the implications of adding various real world complications. Finally, we assess how the predictions from theory square with policy-making in practice. Throug ...
Inflating Away the Public Debt? - Centre for Economic Policy Research
Inflating Away the Public Debt? - Centre for Economic Policy Research

... Reserve, which in 2012 held significant long-term debt, would suffer a significant loss with higher inflation. Second and related, over only a few years, market participants put a very low probability on U.S. inflation being significantly high. In the near horizons, there is much debt but little ext ...
Chapter 11 - Pearson Canada
Chapter 11 - Pearson Canada

... Real Business Cycle Theory and the Business Cycle Facts Although the RBC theory—which combines the classical, or market-clearing, version of the IS–LM–FE model with the assumption that productivity shocks are the dominant form of economic disturbance—is relatively simple, it is consistent with many ...
Monetary Policy Report, April 2016
Monetary Policy Report, April 2016

Core inflation: a critical guide
Core inflation: a critical guide

... interpret. The ‘noise’ might be a reflection of movements in relative prices, or it may reflect one-off price level effects that will affect the annual inflation rate for a year. A key task for policymakers, as with all economic variables they monitor, is to read through the volatility or ‘noise’ in ...
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply

... A fall in the price level from P1 to P2 increases the quantity of goods and services demanded from Y1 to Y2. There are three reasons for this negative relationship. As the price level falls, real wealth rises, interest rates fall, and the exchange rate depreciates. These effects stimulate spending o ...
Bank of England Inflation Report August 2006
Bank of England Inflation Report August 2006

Sample Chapter 28
Sample Chapter 28

... economic developments that would permit the rapid growth to continue without increased inflation. If he was right, an aggressive increase in interest rates was not only unnecessary but could damage the economy. What did Greenspan see? Did the Fed raise interest rates in 1996? What happened to output ...
2012 IOptimal Policy and the Sectoral Composition of Output
2012 IOptimal Policy and the Sectoral Composition of Output

... The private sector equilibrium for given interest and tax rates is described by equations (6), (8), (9), (10) and (11). Government chooses monetary and tax policy to maximise welfare subject to these constraints. Net revenue from payroll taxes and subsidies is spent on or financed by lump sum transf ...
Bank of England Inflation Report May 2008
Bank of England Inflation Report May 2008

... and in April the MPC cut Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points. Under the assumption that Bank Rate moves in line with market yields, the Committee’s central projection is for output growth to slow further over the next year and then recover. But there is a risk that the slowdown may be more prolonged ...
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paper - University of Oxford, Department of Economics

... would be ever to decide whether inflation was due to excess demand or to cost push factors, and they ended up concluding that the kind of aggregate data they had did not allow them to distinguish between the various possible causes. They did contemplate (p191) the possibility of a 'vast experiment' ...
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The impact of land supply on prices: A sub

... weak, but statistically significant, relationship with house prices and those suburbs with high levels of land supply tended to exhibit price growth at a lower rate that suburbs with no new land supply. However, there was no relationship across sub-markets due to the considerable variation within th ...
NBE WO~G PAPER SERIES THE TIME-VARYING NAIRU AND ITS
NBE WO~G PAPER SERIES THE TIME-VARYING NAIRU AND ITS

... at any given time there exists a unique NAIRU, then the Phillips curve tradeoff at that unemployment ...
Swedish Quantitative Easing
Swedish Quantitative Easing

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Monetary Policy Statement June 1997 Contents
Monetary Policy Statement June 1997 Contents

... Until now, the Bank’s projections have included simple ‘straight line’ assumptions regarding the future path of interest rates and the exchange rate. Using these and many other assumptions, projections were developed for economic activity and inflation. In other words, the inflation outlook was cond ...
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... capital, and land to produce Y = 800 bushels of corn. V is constant. In 2008, MS = $2000, P = $5/bushel. For 2009, the Fed increases MS by 5%, to $2100. a. Compute the 2009 values of nominal GDP and P. Compute the inflation rate for 2008–2009. ...
Download paper (PDF)
Download paper (PDF)

... various innovations in firms’ and consumers’ behavior, perhaps induced by technological progress or financial innovations, might have allowed consumers to better cushion themselves from the impact of interest-rate fluctuations.4 This is however not the only possible interpretation. In fact, the resp ...
Inflation Persistence: Alternative Interpretations and Policy Implications
Inflation Persistence: Alternative Interpretations and Policy Implications

Monetary Policy in Japan: Problems and Solutions
Monetary Policy in Japan: Problems and Solutions

... Governor Hayami, misjudged the economic conditions, maybe because they were too eager to go back to the “normal” situation where the interest rate is positive. The interest rate hike in August 2000 was a clear mistake of this kind. Second, the Governor and fellow Board members took independence lite ...
Endogenous Wage Indexation and Aggregate
Endogenous Wage Indexation and Aggregate

... indexation literature. Using an aggregate loss function criterion, they find that the optimal aggregate indexation increases when supply-side shocks become more important in explaining output fluctuations (relative to nominal or demand-side shocks). More recent papers find similar conclusions.6 In c ...
July 2011 minutes - Lars E.O. Svensson
July 2011 minutes - Lars E.O. Svensson

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Stagflation

In economics, stagflation, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is a situation in which the inflation rate is high, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains steadily high. It raises a dilemma for economic policy, since actions designed to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment, and vice versa.The term is generally attributed to a British Conservative Party politician who became chancellor of the exchequer in 1970, Iain Macleod, who coined the phrase in his speech to Parliament in 1965. Keynes did not use the term, but some of his work refers to the conditions that most would recognise as stagflation. In the version of Keynesian macroeconomic theory that was dominant between the end of World War II and the late 1970s, inflation and recession were regarded as mutually exclusive, the relationship between the two being described by the Phillips curve. Stagflation is very costly and difficult to eradicate once it starts, both in social terms and in budget deficits.One economic indicator, the misery index, is derived by the simple addition of the inflation rate to the unemployment rate.
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