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The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

... Luca Onorante European Central Bank* (updated from A. Meyler and I.Rubene) October 2009 *The views and opinions expressed are those of the presenter and not necessarily those of the ECB ...
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... means Miniature’s unemployment rate is 5 percent (= 5/100). Suppose we could take a group photo of the unemployed workers each month so as to obtain a continuing record of their monthly numbers and reveal whom they are. By comparing the monthly photos over long periods, we could sort out the types o ...
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Inflation targeting

Inflation targeting is a monetary policy in which a central bank has an explicit target inflation rate for the medium term and announces this inflation target to the public. The assumption is that the best that monetary policy can do to support long-term growth of the economy is to maintain price stability. The central bank uses interest rates, its main short-term monetary instrument.An inflation-targeting central bank will raise or lower interest rates based on above-target or below-target inflation, respectively. The conventional wisdom is that raising interest rates usually cools the economy to reign in inflation; lowering interest rates usually accelerates the economy, thereby boosting inflation.
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