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Introduction to Economic Growth and Instability
Introduction to Economic Growth and Instability

... has been reached and resource prices will rise with increasing demand, causing producers to raise prices. Note: Chapter 7’s distinction between nominal and real GDP is helpful here. 2. Cost-push or supply-side inflation: Prices rise because of rise in per-unit production costs (Unit cost = total inp ...
Econ 102: Problem Set 1
Econ 102: Problem Set 1

... aggregate demand curve? Under what circumstances would it shift horizontally by exactly $100 billion? What aspects of economic behavior would cause it to shift by more than $100 billion? What aspects would cause it to shift by less? This is a change in government purchases, G. Since G is one compone ...
Document
Document

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Business Cycle Theory
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... Predicting average behavior and some pitfalls of faulty economic analysis 1. Macroeconomic behavior may be predicted more accurately because an group average may offset the unusual behavior of individuals who are “outliers.” 2. The fallacy of composition, however, may be a problem in generalizing f ...
Exam I from Summer 2006
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ISMP_2012_L2_post
ISMP_2012_L2_post

Department of Economics, University of Toronto
Department of Economics, University of Toronto

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Unemployment Rate
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... relationship between the quantity of real GDP produced and the overall price level. Keynes hypothesized that the aggregate supply curve was essentially horizontal in the short-run, suggesting that the economy could expand its rate of output without any upward pressure on the price level. In addition ...
Inflation and Deflation: Meaning, Measures and Impact
Inflation and Deflation: Meaning, Measures and Impact

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Business Cycles

... B. Contractionary bad times give us the most problems.  First: Real GDP declines during a contraction.  Second: Unemployment increases.  Third: The incomes of employed resources also tend to fall, or at least not rise as much as in an expansion.  Fourth: Business profits decline and bankruptcies ...
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Test 1
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... inflation by about a percentage point, two scenarios cause some to worry about higher inflation. First, some fear that a sharp drop in the dollar could cause inflation to jump. This seems unlikely. A precipitous dollar depreciation would be associated with global financial instability, but such inst ...
Economics Revision: Conflicts between Macro Objectives
Economics Revision: Conflicts between Macro Objectives

... leads  to  an  excess  of  aggregate  supply  over  demand.   Intuitively  a  period  of  falling  prices  seems  good  news  for  consumers  and  ought  to  prompt  a  rise  in   the  volume  of  goods  and  services  sold  and   ...
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... by a statistical regression of the funds rate on core consumer price inflation and on the gap between the unemployment rate and the Congressional Budget Office’s estimate of the natural, or normal, rate of unemployment. The resulting policy guideline recommends lowering the funds rate by 1.4 percent ...
1. Circular Flow. In the circular flow model of the economy, income is
1. Circular Flow. In the circular flow model of the economy, income is

... will magnify the income redistribution effects when the inflation is unexpected. f. Output variability means that actual real GDP will be more volatile when inflation is high. This results from higher and more volatile inflation, which raises uncertainty which reduces risk taking behavior, and highe ...
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... Another key indicator of an economy’s health is its unemployment rate. An economy with a low unemployment rate is usually healthy and growing, because it is not wasting its labor resources. More workers means more production and more consumption ...
Key - Personal.psu.edu
Key - Personal.psu.edu

... Government increases spending (infrastructure) by $ 1 Trillion. What is the new expression for the IS curve now? Y = [ 3 + 2.2 -.2 + 4.0 + 1.5 - 1.5] x (1 / 1 - .5) - (.1 + .2 + .2)/(1 - .5) r Y = 18 - r i) Resolve for the new Y, π and r. Again, assume that inflation expectations are unchanged. Labe ...
Full employment is just that, nobody who is actively seeking a job is
Full employment is just that, nobody who is actively seeking a job is

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18 mark F582 - mrshearingeconomics
18 mark F582 - mrshearingeconomics

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Phillips curve



In economics, the Phillips curve is a historical inverse relationship between rates of unemployment and corresponding rates of inflation that result in an economy. Stated simply, decreased unemployment, (i.e., increased levels of employment) in an economy will correlate with higher rates of inflation.While there is a short run tradeoff between unemployment and inflation, it has not been observed in the long run. In 1968, Milton Friedman asserted that the Phillips Curve was only applicable in the short-run and that in the long-run, inflationary policies will not decrease unemployment. Friedman then correctly predicted that, in the upcoming years after 1968, both inflation and unemployment would increase. The long-run Phillips Curve is now seen as a vertical line at the natural rate of unemployment, where the rate of inflation has no effect on unemployment. Accordingly, the Phillips curve is now seen as too simplistic, with the unemployment rate supplanted by more accurate predictors of inflation based on velocity of money supply measures such as the MZM (""money zero maturity"") velocity, which is affected by unemployment in the short but not the long term.
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