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The Dutch Disease and Its Neutralization: A Ricardian Approach Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
The Dutch Disease and Its Neutralization: A Ricardian Approach Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira

... main reasons that explain why medium-income countries such as those two, which grew considerably in the past, are not growing enough in the present: on the one hand, there was a substantial shrinking of public investments, and, on the other hand, since the end of 1980s those countries failed to neut ...
Current account reversals and currency crises: empirical
Current account reversals and currency crises: empirical

... banks refused to roll over their short-term foreign currency assets vis-avis offshore and onshore Korean banks. The attempts by the central bank to shore up the foreign liquidity position of banks simply led to the rapid loss of foreign currency reserves and the collapse of the currency. Insofar as ...
G97/4 Current account and exchange rate behaviour economy
G97/4 Current account and exchange rate behaviour economy

... It is assumed: (1) that all agents’information set is dated at time (t-1) and (2), that market participants and the monetary authority share the same information. The dating of the information set is motivated by three factors: first, it is the most realistic dating of the information set for inflat ...
The Eurosystem`s bond purchases and the exchange rate of the
The Eurosystem`s bond purchases and the exchange rate of the

... to remain expansionary for longer than previously expected and that future money market rates, too, will therefore stay low for longer. This, in turn, would bring current capital market rates under pressure. Much like with the portfolio rebalancing channel, such developments would tend to provoke ne ...
The Exchange Rate and the Interest Rate Differential in Kenya: A
The Exchange Rate and the Interest Rate Differential in Kenya: A

... in the money market, thereby raising the domestic interest rates. The result has been that the exchange rate has been stabilized in the short run but at the cost of high interest rates, which jeopardize the goal of increased domestic investment and economic recovery. The liberalization experience wi ...
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the... of Economic Research
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the... of Economic Research

... is clear that for foreign investors, Korea is an attractive market that has not yet been sufficiently explored. Then the most relevant question to our analysis in this paper is what maintains the high (real) interest rate in Korea and how it will evolve over time. Figure 11.3 plots three series of i ...
Stop-loss orders and price cascades in currency markets
Stop-loss orders and price cascades in currency markets

... the response to take-profit orders, which generate negative-feedback trading and are therefore unlikely to contribute to price cascades. (3) The response to stop-loss orders lasts longer than the response to take-profit orders. Most results are statistically significant for hours, although not for d ...
New evidence on the puzzles: Results from agnostic identification
New evidence on the puzzles: Results from agnostic identification

... recursive identifications and impose at most rather mild sign restrictions or shape restrictions a priori. In response to monetary policy shocks they find no robust results regarding the timing of the peak response of the exchange rate, but robust evidence in favor of large deviations from UIP due to ...
Multi-Product Firms and Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Multi-Product Firms and Exchange Rate Fluctuations

... u­ nderstand the d­ eterminants of incomplete exchange pass-through. This strand of the literature started with Feenstra, Gagnon, and Knetter (1996) and Goldberg and Verboven (2001) studying price behavior in the international car market, and is experiencing a recent surge with the availability of o ...
Price dispersion: the role of borders, distance, and location∗
Price dispersion: the role of borders, distance, and location∗

... and border size. In fact, a number of factors can be important in shaping this so called "border effect." For example, the size of the border will depend on international differences in non-traded input costs. A "border effect" will be present when the non-traded inputs like labor and land that go into ...
This PDF is a selection from a published volume from... Research Volume Title: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy
This PDF is a selection from a published volume from... Research Volume Title: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy

... Over the past twenty years there has been a marked shift toward more flexible exchange rate regimes and more open capital accounts by both industrial and emerging market countries. Exchange rate targets accounted for over half of monetary policy regimes in 1985, but declined to just 5 percent in 200 ...
stop-loss orders and price cascades in currency markets
stop-loss orders and price cascades in currency markets

... the response to take-profit orders, which generate negative-feedback trading and are therefore unlikely to contribute to price cascades. (3) The response to stop-loss orders lasts longer than the response to take-profit orders. Most results are statistically significant for hours, although not for d ...
Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance
Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance

... what is the optimal number of currencies in the world. More specifically, they have asked whether it would make sense for some countries to give up their national currencies and either adopt another country’s currency, or join other nations in creating a regional currency. The first option – adoptin ...
hefte3-07 - bibsys brage
hefte3-07 - bibsys brage

... structures impacting on exports in developing countries. Still, some theoretical progress has been made. Göcke (2002) analysed the different concepts of hysteresis that are applied in economics and the forms of persistence (path-dependence) that follow. Amable et al (1995) introduced the crucial dis ...
referees, and Stephen J. Turnovsky July 1983
referees, and Stephen J. Turnovsky July 1983

... ineffective inofar as the stabilization of the real part of the domestic economy is concerned. Likewise, if the monetary authority intervenes in the exchange market so as to exactly accommodate for nominal movements in the demand for money, thereby rendering the excess demand for money dependent onl ...
US Intervention in the Exchange Market for DM, 1977-80
US Intervention in the Exchange Market for DM, 1977-80

... We look at daily data for the period starting on October 1, 1977, and ending two and a half years later, on March 31, 1980. The last quarter of 1977 was chosen as the beginning point because sizable intervention recommenced then, after several years of very limited intervention. The end point was di ...
Trade Integration, Competition, and the Decline in
Trade Integration, Competition, and the Decline in

... statistic takes into account the correlation between the two series as well as their relative volatility and can be derived as the estimate from a univariate least squares regression of the real exchange rate on the relative import price. As shown in Table 1, our estimate of βpm ,q has declined in ...
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES OFFSET AND STERILIZATION UNDER FIXED EXCHANGE
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES OFFSET AND STERILIZATION UNDER FIXED EXCHANGE

... its monetary policy dominance over the other European central banks by "punishing" them whenever it was forced to intervene in support of the European currencies participating to the pre-EMS "snake"; according to this hypothesis the punishment consisted in overcoinpensating the ...
Does the Exchange Rate Regime Matter for Inflation?  Ilker Domaç
Does the Exchange Rate Regime Matter for Inflation? Ilker Domaç

... developments in Argentina. More precisely, the debate over fixed and flexible exchange regimes has once again taken center stage. Some claimed that the first round of this debate was won by those advocating flexible regimes: all crisis episodes took place in countries which had adopted a variety of ...
NEMO: An Equation for the Canadian Dollar
NEMO: An Equation for the Canadian Dollar

... rate): real non-energy commodity prices and labour productivity differentials with the United States. This relationship is augmented by nominal variables to capture short-run dynamics: Canada-US short-term interest rate differentials, the evolution of the US dollar relative to other currencies, and ...
1 Exchange Rates and Prices in the Long Run
1 Exchange Rates and Prices in the Long Run

... The Measurement of Money This figure shows the major kinds of monetary aggregates (currency, M0, M1, and M2) for the United States from 2004 to 2012. Normally, bank reserves are very close to zero, so M0 and currency are virtually identical, but reserves spiked up during the financial crisis in 2008 ...
Stock Prices, Exchange Rates, and Oil
Stock Prices, Exchange Rates, and Oil

... investigate the dynamics of international stock movements, and find significant cross-market interactions. These empirical findings are of interest for two reasons. First, portfolio theory suggests that if the stock returns between markets are less than perfectly correlated, investors should be able ...
Foreign Exchange Interventions at Zero Interest Rates
Foreign Exchange Interventions at Zero Interest Rates

... 2000, the Bank of Japan, acting as the agent of the Ministry of Finance, bought US dollars on 168 occasions for a cumulative amount of $304 billion and sold US dollars on 33 occasions for a cumulative amount of $38 billion. In this paper, we use monthly data from 1991 to 2002. The variables include ...
Forecasting Method #1
Forecasting Method #1

... pivotal to their comeback, they will need to keep the exchange rate low or risk an adverse effect on their exporting capabilities. -According to the Reserve Bank of Australia they currently carry 6.286 billion AUD in their reserve fund. They could use this as a form of direct intervention to increas ...
External Wealth, the Trade Balance, and the Real Exchange
External Wealth, the Trade Balance, and the Real Exchange

... well as on its output growth rate. For instance, going back to the US example, a debtor country that grows quickly and manages to earn returns on its foreign assets that are higher than the payouts on its foreign liabilities requires a much smaller trade surplus to stabilize its net foreign asset po ...
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Foreign exchange market

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. This includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies at current or determined prices. In terms of volume of trading, it is by far the largest market in the world. The main participants in this market are the larger international banks. Financial centres around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of multiple types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies.The foreign exchange market works through financial institutions, and it operates on several levels. Behind the scenes banks turn to a smaller number of financial firms known as “dealers,” who are actively involved in large quantities of foreign exchange trading. Most foreign exchange dealers are banks, so this behind-the-scenes market is sometimes called the “interbank market”, although a few insurance companies and other kinds of financial firms are involved. Trades between foreign exchange dealers can be very large, involving hundreds of millions of dollars. Because of the sovereignty issue when involving two currencies, forex has little (if any) supervisory entity regulating its actions.The foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. For example, it permits a business in the United States to import goods from European Union member states, especially Eurozone members, and pay Euros, even though its income is in United States dollars. It also supports direct speculation and evaluation relative to the value of currencies, and the carry trade, speculation based on the interest rate differential between two currencies.In a typical foreign exchange transaction, a party purchases some quantity of one currency by paying with some quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market began forming during the 1970s after three decades of government restrictions on foreign exchange transactions (the Bretton Woods system of monetary management established the rules for commercial and financial relations among the world's major industrial states after World War II), when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.The foreign exchange market is unique because of the following characteristics: its huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the world leading to high liquidity; its geographical dispersion; its continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e., trading from 22:00 GMT on Sunday (Sydney) until 22:00 GMT Friday (New York); the variety of factors that affect exchange rates; the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income; and the use of leverage to enhance profit and loss margins and with respect to account size.As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect competition, notwithstanding currency intervention by central banks.According to the Bank for International Settlements,the preliminary global results from the 2013 Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and OTC Derivatives Markets Activity show that trading in foreign exchange markets averaged $5.3 trillion per day in April 2013. This is up from $4.0 trillion in April 2010 and $3.3 trillion in April 2007. Foreign exchange swaps were the most actively traded instruments in April 2013, at $2.2 trillion per day, followed by spot trading at $2.0 trillion.According to the Bank for International Settlements, as of April 2010, average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, a growth of approximately 20% over the $3.21 trillion daily volume as of April 2007. Some firms specializing on foreign exchange market had put the average daily turnover in excess of US$4 trillion.The $3.98 trillion break-down is as follows: $1.490 trillion in spot transactions $475 billion in outright forwards $1.765 trillion in foreign exchange swaps $43 billion currency swaps $207 billion in options and other products↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
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